GOLD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,297.95
Target Level: 3,337.98
Stop Loss: 3,271.20
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Commodities
Gold Weekly AnalysisThe FOMC meeting could make cold rise up dramatically.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Gold: Weekly overviewHello Traders,
Political condition could cause unstable movements in the market.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone.
The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points.
* A break is confirmed, only if price does not have any moving S&R on it's way.
This analysis is valid until the end of the week.
XAUUSD: Downtrend Channel - Potential Short OpportunityXAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel on the 2-hour timeframe. Price action has been respecting the upper and lower trendlines, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
Given the overall downtrend, I'm seeing a potential short opportunity.
Entry: Look for a SELL signal near the upper trendline of the channel or within one of the resistance zones.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the most recent swing high or above the resistance zone to limit potential losses, around $3,390.00.
Take Profit: Target a Take Profit (TP1) near the lower trendline of the channel. A potential TP level is around $3,250.00
Target a Take Profit (TP2) near the lower trendline of the channel. A potential TP level is around $3,150.00 (adjust based on your risk tolerance and analysis).
Confirmation:
Before entering the trade, seek confirmation from other indicators or chart patterns (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns), or wait for a sell signal from our indicator.
Consider the overall market sentiment and any upcoming news events that could affect the price of gold.
Risk Management:
This is just an idea, not a trading recommendation.
Trading involves risk, and you could lose money.
Always use proper risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders and appropriate position sizing.
Disclaimer:
I am not a financial advisor. This is just my personal analysis, and you should do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Memorial Weekend RisksThis EOD update is to help you try to position for the risks associated with a further breakdown in price trends over the lone Memorial Day weekend.
I know this video will be posted late in the day - but I want you to learn how to hedge against risks and try to learn to take your profits when they are THERE.
This is a really quick video.
Stay safe this weekend and thank you to all our VETS for your service and sacrifices.
We honor you this weekend.
GET SOME.
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Ready to Rob the Copper Market? XCU/USD Heist Plan Revealed!🌍 Hello Global Traders! 🌟
Money Makers, Risk Takers, and Market Shakers! 🤑💸✈️
Dive into our XCU/USD "Copper" Metals Market heist, crafted with the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Follow the strategy outlined in the TradingView chart, focusing on a long entry targeting the high-risk Yellow ATR Zone. Expect a wild ride with overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish players lurk. 🏆💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉
📈 Entry: Storm the Vault!
The market’s ripe for a bullish grab! 💥 For Pullback trade place buy limit orders within the most recent 15 or 30-minute swing low/high levels. Set alerts on your chart to stay locked in. 🔔
🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot!
Set your Thief SL at the nearest swing low on the 3H timeframe for day/swing trades. Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders. Safety first! 🔒
🎯 Targets: Claim Your Prize!
🏴☠️ Short-Term Target: 5.10000
👀 Scalpers, Listen Up!
Stick to long-side scalps. Got deep pockets? Jump in now! Otherwise, join swing traders for the heist. Use trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect your stash. 💰
🐂 Why XCU/USD "Copper" is Hot!
The Fiber’s bullish surge is fueled by key fundamentals. Dive into Macro, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment, Intermarket trends, and future targets via the linkss below for the full scoop. 👉🔗. Stay informed to stay ahead! 📰
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management
News releases can shake the market like a heist gone wrong! 🗞️ To protect your profits:
🚫 Avoid new trades during news events.
🛡️ Use trailing stops to secure running positions.
💥 Boost the Heist!
Hit the Boost Button to supercharge our Thief Trading Strategy! 💪 Every click strengthens our crew, making it easier to swipe profits daily. Join the squad, trade smart, and let’s make money rain! 🌧️💵
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – 23 May 2025Technical Outlook:
Price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with both the upper and lower trendlines being respected consistently. The recent bullish momentum aligns well with the overall market structure, suggesting continued upward pressure.
Channel Support Zone: The lower bound of the channel has consistently acted as dynamic support, with price bouncing each time.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Two clear FVGs are present, with price reacting to the first one already. The second, slightly higher FVG, aligns with the midline of the channel — a common area of short-term consolidation or continuation.
Key Buy Zones:
Zone 1: 3300–3305 – Ideal first entry zone aligning with minor demand and the lower region of the current consolidation.
Zone 2: 3315–3320 – Second entry zone closer to mid-channel and higher FVG area.
Bullish Confluence:
Channel support (structure).
FVG demand zones.
Higher highs and higher lows (market structure).
No significant resistance until ~3380–3400, providing ample R:R.
📈 Trade Signal (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zones:
🔹 Buy Limit @ 3300–3305
🔹 Buy Limit @ 3315–3320
Stop Loss: (just below channel support)
Take Profit 1: 3335
Take Profit 2: 3355
Take Profit 3: 3375
Take Profit 4: 3385
Risk Management: 1–2% per entry zone based on your account size. Adjust position size according to risk tolerance.
Kindly follow, share, support and boost.
Gold Bulls showing Fatigue at 78.6 Fib. Reversal Incoming?Price just tapped into a key confluence zone around 3367–3376, aligning with the 78.6% fib retracement, previous resistance, and a psychological level.
The latest 4H candle is showing classic buy exhaustion — long upper wick, small body, and failure to close above resistance. This could be the first sign of a momentum shift or short-term pullback.
I’m watching for a bearish confirmation candle next. If that shows up, a sell setup targeting back to 3325/3310 could develop.
Aggressive sellers might already be in. Conservative ones may wait for a clean bearish engulfing or break of market structure.
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 33.327 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.210.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,355.96 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,323.73 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HelenP. I Gold will reach trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price traded inside the support zone, which coincided with the support level, and then dropped below. After this price turned around and made impulse up, reached the 3135 level, broke it, and made a retest. Next, price continued to move up and later it reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even broke this level and rose to the trend line. But then Gold at once rebounded and fell below the 3385 level, breaking it again, and continued to decline next. When the price fell to 3215 points, it turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, breaking the resistance level again, after which it turned around and started to fall. Gold broke the 3385 level one more time and later made a gap and then fell to the support level. But not a long time ago, it turned around and started to grow. At the moment, price has almost reached the trend line, so I expect that XAUUSD will reach the trend line finally and then rebound and start to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 3185 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a Piptastic end to the week with our chart idea playing out exactly as anticipated, step by step.
Yesterday, after we cleanly hit 3308, we highlighted a confirmed cross and lock above this level, opening 3343, as the next key target. This level has now been struck with precision, completing the target.
Currently, 3343 is being tested. A ema5 cross and lock above this zone, will open the path toward 3373. However, failure to hold here may lead to a rejection and a move back to test lower Goldturns, just as we've seen this week, where price found support on Goldturns, inline with our plans to buy dips.
BULLISH TARGET
3236 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Daily Sniper Plan for Friday, May 23👋 Hey Gold Snipers, Ready to Slice Through the Noise?
The market has been throwing shadows and traps all day — but structure doesn’t lie. As we head into May 23, we’ve mapped out the real levels that matter. No hype. Just clean logic. You want sniper entries? Here's where we hunt 🧠🎯
🔭 Bias for May 23: Bearish-to-Neutral
Short-term bias is bearish as long as 3298 holds as resistance
If bulls reclaim 3300+ with momentum, we shift into bullish continuation bias toward 3332–3345
Until then, we’re playing inside structure → fading premium, buying deep discount only on confirmation
🧭 Market Update
Gold spent most of Thursday chopping inside indecision, dancing between reclaimed zones and rejected premiums. But smart money leaves a trail — and tonight, structure gave us the blueprint:
CHoCH confirmed from 3345 → now forming a lower high structure
EMA 5/21 still locked bearish on M15–H1, while price holds under the OB flip zone
RSI is showing divergence near key demand
FVGs still exposed both above and below = imbalance-driven reactions likely
Momentum is building... but direction depends on how we react to these zones👇
🧩 Plan for Friday, May 23 – Built Around Key Zones
🔺 Sell Zone: 3314–3320
💥 Premium OB reaction area
→ If price taps and rejects, this is where shorts load
→ EMA 100 and previous LH sit here — high probability fade level
→ Watch for M5 CHoCH or bearish engulfing to trigger sniper logic
⚖️ Flip Zone: 3292–3298
🧠 Former demand turned resistance — now the pivot of truth
→ If price rejects here again, expect quick drop to 3260s
→ BUT... if bulls reclaim and hold above 3300, this flips the script
→ In that case, structure opens doors to:
🟡3314
🟡3332
Even 3345+ (liquidity sweep zone)
We adapt with structure — not emotions.
🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3263–3273
✅ CHoCH support base + FVG + RSI bounce
→ This is sniper ground if price returns here cleanly
→ Look for EMA 5/21 bull lock + M15 BOS
→ Reactive zone, not for the impulsive — confirmation or nothing
🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3242–3250
🔑 Deep liquidity sweep + fib 78–88.6%
→ If price runs the 3260 zone and traps liquidity, this is the reload zone
→ Needs strong wick + RSI divergence + internal BOS to act
❌ Breakdown/Invalidation Zone: 3222–3230
🚨 Below here = no more sniper longs
→ Structure flips HTF bearish
→ If it breaks with volume and OB rejection on retest = prepare for deeper slide
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This isn’t about signals. It’s about structure.
Gold moves best when we wait — not when we guess. We mapped every key zone. Now we wait for confirmation, follow the logic, and let the amateurs get baited in between.
🎯 Bias stays bearish under 3298. Above 3300, we start building toward higher liquidity zones — but confirmation is king.
💬 Let me know which zone you're watching.
🔁 Share this plan if it helped clarify your direction.
🟡 Like + Follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level structure — every session.
Trump triggers risk aversion, how to position gold?🗞News side:
1. Trump plans to impose a 50% tariff on the EU
2. Houthi armed forces strike Israel again
3. Pay attention to the impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈Technical aspects:
Trump is "crazy?" He suggested to impose a 50% tariff on the EU directly from June 1, and threatened to impose a 25% tariff on iPhones not produced locally. This news caused the euro, European stocks, and iPhone stock prices to plummet. At present, the gold price is consolidating between 3350 and 3360. For the US market, it is necessary to prevent a wash, but the short-term increase has been too large. If there is a rapid adjustment, the amplitude will also be large. Therefore, the US market is stuck in the range operation. Pay attention to the support of 3335-3325 below. If it continues to rise, pay attention to the resistance range of 3375-3385.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-23 : Carryover PatternLooking at the charts today, I want to say that it certainly looks like the SPY Cycle Patterns are blending into a consolidated CRUSH/BOTTOM pattern (see the weekend patterns) today and possibly "carrying over" into the early trading next week.
I have been warning of a pending rollover/breakdown in this uptrend for weeks. Today's breakdown seems a bit aggressive, but it is what it is.
If the patterns are consolidating/blending into a bigger breakdown over the Memorial Day weekend, then we could be looking at a very big downward/rotational move in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin over the next 5+ trading days while Gold/Silver continue to rally.
Silver is lagging Gold right now, but I don't think that lasts. Once Gold gets back above $3400, I believe Silver will start to make a big move higher.
The big question in my mind is - how does this carry into Monday's holiday trading schedule and into Tuesday's OPEN?
I'll have to see how things play out today - but it certainly looks like I'll be adding some SPREADS to potentially catch any big move over this weekend.
GET SOME.
This could play out exceptionally well for skilled traders.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver