Crude Oil Found Support: What's Next?FenzoFx—Crude oil tested the $58.9 level as support and bounced back from it. The primary trend is bearish; therefore, it will likely resume if the price closes and stabilizes below this support.
If this scenario unfolds, the next bearish target could be the $55.15 support level.
>>> Win $160.0 prize every week by joining FenzoFx contest.
Commodities
What Next For Gold?So I went back to the weekly after yesterday's success and ath (all time high) and had to re-draw my channel to get a little insight to where she's headed. To be honest, i see a move to 3300 happening (not a prediction). So I have this little vibe. watch the video to see my entry..
GBP/USD at a Crossroads: Imminent Breakout or Bull Trap?The weekly chart of GBP/USD shows a strong recovery following the late-April correction, which brought the price down to a key demand zone between 1.2550 and 1.2600. The bounce was sharp and decisive, but the pair is now facing resistance between 1.3000 and 1.3150 — a previously sold area marked by a visible supply block in red.
The current weekly candle reflects a bullish reaction, but the overall structure suggests a potential exhaustion zone for upward momentum. Price action reveals a series of lower highs in the short term, and while the RSI is bouncing, it remains far from overbought, hinting that this move may be just a technical rebound.
From a trading perspective, a confirmed weakness around the 1.3000–1.3150 zone could offer short opportunities with an initial target near 1.2700 and, if extended, down to 1.2550 — a key dynamic support area. On the flip side, a clean breakout above 1.3150 with strong volume and a weekly close would open the door for a new bullish leg toward 1.3300–1.3400.
Conclusion: GBP/USD is currently at a critical juncture. The next directional move will depend on how price reacts to this resistance zone: a confirmed rejection could trigger renewed selling pressure, while a confirmed breakout may reignite the bullish trend.
TC/GOLD: Could 1 BTC Reach 6,000 oz of Gold by 2027 ($19.2M US)The chart tracks Bitcoin (BTC) priced in ounces of gold (oz) on a logarithmic scale, revealing its historical growth and a speculative projection. As of April 2025, 1 BTC equals approximately 25 oz of gold, which translates to $80,000 per BTC at an implied gold price of $3,200/oz (derived from the projection).
The chart forecasts a dramatic rise to 6,000 oz of gold by 2027, a 240x increase from the current level. At $3,200/oz for gold, this would value 1 BTC at $19.2M, resulting in a market cap of $378 trillion (19.7M BTC in circulation). Historically, Bitcoin has shown exponential growth, with significant spikes during bull cycles (e.g., 2017-2018 and 2024-2025, as circled). Factors like Bitcoin’s capped supply, post-2024 halving scarcity, and potential for increased adoption as "digital gold" could support such a run.
What are your thoughts? Could Bitcoin achieve this monumental target, or is the projection too optimistic? Let’s discuss!
TL;DR: BTC/GOLD ratio is set to ****ing pump! From 25 oz now to 6,000 oz by 2027—1 BTC could hit $19.2M. Buckle up for a wild ride!
Trade tensions escalate, GOLD receives support to break $3,200As trade tensions escalated, market risk sentiment suddenly spiked, with spot OANDA:XAUUSD surging above $3,200.
Data released on Thursday in the United States showed that the consumer price index (CPI) unexpectedly fell in March.
Data showed that the US CPI fell 0.1% month-on-month in March, the first decline in nearly five years, compared to expectations of 0.1% and the previous reading of 0.2%.
In addition, the US CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year in March, lower than the expected 2.5% and the previous reading of 2.8%; the US core CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year in March, lower than the expected 3% and the previous reading of 3.1%.
After the US CPI data was released, traders bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again in June, potentially totaling 100 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year. Low interest rates are generally beneficial for gold because the metal does not pay interest.
Gold prices continued to rise above $3,200 an ounce in early trading in Asia on Friday, breaking the record set in the previous trading day.
Gold prices hit a new high as investors turned to safe-haven assets amid concerns about the impact of tariffs on the global economy, Bloomberg reported on Friday.
Gold’s safe-haven status has been hit again this week, Bloomberg reported. US President Trump’s erratic rhetoric on his tariff agenda has sparked a sell-off in stocks, bonds and the US dollar, as concerns about a global recession spread across Wall Street.
Even after Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs on dozens of trading partners, risks and uncertainties remain, with tariffs on all imports from China now at a rate of at least 145%.
The White House clarified to CNBC at noon ET on Thursday that the Trump administration's tariffs on China under the name of reciprocal tariffs are 125%, but this does not include the 20% tariffs that the United States imposed on China twice in early February and early March of this year due to the fentanyl crisis.
Therefore, during Trump's second term, the cumulative tariffs that the United States has applied to all Chinese goods exported to the United States have reached 145%.
The CNBC report also emphasized that the 145% tariff does not include the US tariffs on China before Trump's second term as US president, including various tariffs imposed on China during Trump's first term and the Biden administration.
Given the current market environment, gold is still going to continue to rise strongly. As a wise man at a coffee shop in Vietnam (TLTV) predicted, this war must be 500% to negotiate. If so, we could soon see gold approaching the $3,500 mark.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has surged above the $3,200 base, and at its current position, it is likely to continue its upward move with the nearest target being the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level of $3,223. Whereas, once the $3,223 level is broken, gold will be in a position to continue its upward move with the next target around $3,295 in the short term.
On the technical front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping upwards without any weakness as it approaches the overbought zone, indicating strong demand in the market and sending a positive signal for the bullish trend.
For the day, as long as gold remains above $3,167, it remains bullish in the short term, and any dip in the current scenario that does not take gold below the EMA21 should be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a trend, or as a buying opportunity.
The notable positions for the intraday uptrend will be listed again for readers as follows.
Support: $3,167
Resistance: $3,223
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3250 - 3248⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3068
→Take Profit 1 3056
↨
→Take Profit 2 3050
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3134 - 3136⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3130
→Take Profit 1 3142
↨
→Take Profit 2 3148
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following news of additional tariffs on China. On the daily chart, the index failed to break above the 20-day moving average and pulled back to the 5-day MA, continuing its box-range movement. Since the 5-day MA is still acting as support, the current trend can still be seen as a sideways consolidation, with 18,500 acting as a central pivot level.
The MACD on the daily chart has not yet clearly broken above the Signal line, so it remains uncertain whether it will make a golden cross with additional upward momentum, or turn downward again. Thus, it’s best to adopt a neutral range-bound trading strategy, keeping strict stop-losses on both sides.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have moved above the zero line, entering a key area to observe whether the third wave of MACD upside begins after this box-range consolidation. Since the current price is correcting after a rebound from a double bottom, and is maintaining the center of the prior bullish candle, buying remains more favorable. Unless the previous day’s low is broken, it’s better to stay buy-biased.
Please note that today's PPI data release is scheduled, which may lead to increased volatility around the announcement time.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower with a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, it failed to hold the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, breaking below the 5-day MA. The MACD continues its downward slope, and unless oil clearly reclaims the 10-day MA, the market will remain bear-biased.
There is resistance now at the 3-day and 5-day MAs, so it’s important to see whether further downside unfolds. As previously noted, the $59 level is a key support zone — watch closely for any breakdowns.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is trending up and pulling the Signal line along, but both remain below the zero line. If oil continues in a box range but the MACD turns downward again and forms a dead cross, there could be another leg lower. For now, continue to focus on buying near the $59 level, and maintain a range-trading approach until further confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed higher with another strong rally. On the daily chart, the MACD has now crossed above the Signal line, generating a buy signal. However, this signal will only be valid if today’s candle closes as a bullish bar, so watching the daily close is critical.
Gold hit new all-time highs during the pre-market session, with the long-awaited 3,216 level, which has been the target since March, now within reach. Beyond this level, we enter the overshooting zone, where it’s difficult to define a precise top. Therefore, it's best to stick to dip-buying strategies, as safe-haven demand continues to surge.
Even though the MACD has crossed bullishly, divergence may form if the current MACD fails to exceed the previous peak. Avoid chasing long positions at the top; instead, look for entries during pullbacks.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has climbed above the zero line, showing a strong one-way bullish trend. RSI across intraday charts is now in overbought territory, so it’s best to avoid short positions entirely for today.
Market Sentiment & VIX
Looking at the VIX index, the daily candle has once again broken above the 5-day MA, indicating that volatility could expand further at any time. With Trump’s remarks shaking markets, it’s impossible to predict what new developments might emerge over the weekend.
Avoid holding overnight positions due to heightened headline risk, and make sure to wrap up this trading week with solid risk management.
Wishing you a profitable trading day!
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For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
XAUUSD D1 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3226.16, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension
Our take profit will be at 3170.13, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3307.54, above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?
The end of the Ukraine-Russia war will undoubtedly impact major global markets,
here’s what we can expect:
Oil Market : With tensions easing, oil prices could drop as supply concerns lessen and sanctions ease. However, global demand could still keep prices stable or even high.
Gold Market : Gold, a safe-haven asset, might face a decrease in demand as geopolitical uncertainty fades, but if the end of the war leads to global economic instability, gold could remain a strong choice for investors.
Forex Market : The end of the conflict could boost the Euro and USD as stability returns to the market. At the same time, the Russian Ruble might face fluctuations as Russia’s economy adjusts to post-war conditions.
Crypto Market : Cryptocurrencies may see mixed reactions—some may retreat as confidence in traditional markets rises, but others could flow in if economic uncertainty continues to prevail globally.
🔮 The war's end could bring hope, but it also presents new challenges for markets worldwide. Stay tuned to see how it all plays out!
Gold Technical Outlook: Bounce Likely Before Deeper Drophello guys.
The recent price action on gold suggests a potential short-term upward move, followed by a possible continuation to lower levels based on key technical factors:
🔹 1. Channel Support Touched – Expecting a Bounce
Price has touched the bottom boundary of the ascending channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout this trend.
This technical level often brings in buyers, suggesting we may see a relief rally or bounce from this area.
🔹 2. Targeting Upper Blue Zones
If this upward correction materializes, price could reach:
The first blue resistance area around 3,090 – 3,100.
Possibly the second zone near 3,120, which aligns with previous structure and minor volume resistance.
These zones offer ideal points for watching price reaction—either rejection for shorts or breakout confirmation.
🔹 3. Potential for Further Downside
If the price gets rejected from one of those resistance areas, we could see a move down to:
The low-volume zone below 3,000, specifically the support at 2,965.
The lack of volume profile in this area (as shown on the left) suggests that once price enters this zone, it can drop quickly due to thin liquidity.
📌 Conclusion
Short-term bullish: bounce from channel support targeting 3,090–3,120.
Mid-term bearish bias: If rejection occurs in resistance zones, anticipate a drop to 2,965 or even lower.
Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes to refine entry and exit points.
Gold - The Blow Off TopAs gold hit a high today I took a look at the chart. Incredible run going back many years. But what goes up must come down. Based on a Fib-extension we can see where price has hit resistance and turned it into support. It happened at 1, 1.272, 1.618, and briefly at 2.618. It has remarkably pushed through that. So in my studies of markets and fibonacci I've found that 4.236 often times bring about the top on a parabolic move. So by following that logic I would put the top, at least a local one, at $3,800. Roughly 25% from here. Anyways, that's my 2 cents on Gold. Happy trading.
Bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 58.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 56.81
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 63.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD has bounce off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 29.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 31.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
$XAUUSD GOLDGold is putting on his best performance in the last few years.
In these phases, very often we can see an acceleration of movement
I also don't rule out the possibility that we break the channel up.
Gold remains a protective asset, and I want to say that this is not the top yet; now, every correction is a new entry point.
The question is, where will it be?
We will break this upward channel from below, stay under it for a while, and then go for new tops.
Now that all amateurs are convinced that everything is moving in the channel, we will break the channel down, and we need to go short. At the expense of these short positions, we will update the ATH. In 2025, I think it would be too easy.
Best regards EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Analysis of Crude Oil StrategiesCrude oil bottomed out and rebounded sharply on Wednesday. This was also due to the impact of the tariff war, which is currently dominating the trend of the financial market. However, on Thursday, it didn't continue to rise. Instead, it fell successively and retraced. Pay attention to going long at the support level of 58.20 below, and consider going short at the resistance level of 61.90 above.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 61.90-62.10
sl 62.80
tp 60.95-61.10
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 4H Technical AnalysisAfter a sharp drop and rebound, gold is now testing the 50% Fibonacci level around 3122. The key resistance zone lies between 3163–3167, where a breakout could open the path to 3218 (0.786 Fibo).
🔹 Resistance levels:
• 3163 – 0.618 retracement
• 3167 – previous swing high
• 3218 – 0.786 level & target
🔹 Main Scenario:
Breakout above 3163 leads toward 3218 continuation.
🔹 Alternative Scenario:
Rejection at 3163 → retrace to 3082 or 3033 before next move.
Momentum indicators are bullish but approaching overbought territory.
Gold Rebounds Off Key Support — Next Leg to $4,200 = 124,000 PIP
View our previous 120,000 PIPs (target hit) Gold trades at the bottom of this page.
Following our previously fulfilled short trade from the top of the ascending channel (TP2 hit at $2,960), gold has now landed precisely at confluence support — aligning with the psychological $3,000 level, ascending channel support, the quarterly dynamic support, and the prior swing high zone. We are now flipping bias long, with a macro continuation in mind, while still respecting the shorter-term range structure.
Structure & Setup:
Another clean reaction from the ascending channel’s lower boundary reaffirms the structure’s technical validity. Price has now tapped the $3,000 round number support, intersecting with the channel base and our prior short target zone — offering strong risk-defined long opportunities.
Macro Context Holds:
Our long-term thesis targeting $4,270 remains intact, backed by structural breakout on the quarterly chart and fundamental gold demand. This move is potentially the start of the next impulsive leg in a broader macro expansion, though we expect the asset to oscillate within the channel boundaries until at least July.
Entry Logic:
This long setup is based on:
– Channel base bounce
– $3,000 psychological round number
- $2,960 quarterly dynamic support
– Reversal at former Take Profit 2 (TP2) short target
– Tight invalidation just below $2,960
– Favourable 1:11+ R:R targeting macro highs
Invalidation:
A clean break and close below $2,960 would invalidate the long thesis and suggest breakdown risk. Until then, structure holds.
Pip Potential:
From $2,960 to $4,200 = 124,000 pips upside potential — aligning with macro projections and Fib extensions from previous cycles (-1.414 & -1.618 zones).
Outlook:
While $4,200 remains our long-term target, we anticipate ranging between $2,960–$3,200 for the next several months. This accumulation phase may precede a breakout leg that targets historical Fibonacci confluence zones.
Summary:
Short trade complete — bias flipped long. We’ve now transitioned from a completed 1:4 R:R short into a 1:11+ macro long off textbook technical levels. Price action is behaving cleanly within the multi-month channel, and this latest support reaction adds further credibility to the bullish continuation thesis.
Let price consolidate — buy positions accordingly. The macro expansion to $4,200 is likely underway.
Previous Short:
75,000 PIP idea (Target hit):
45,000 PIP idea (Target hit):
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another awesome day on the markets with our Bullish targets getting smashed.
After completing all targets upto 3078 yesterday, we continued to get candle body close breakouts above 3078 opening 3094 and above 3094 opening 3119 and then ema5 lock above 3119 confirmed 3148 for the perfect finish to this chart idea.
We can now move over to our 4H chart idea and our remaining multi timeframe route maps to continue to track the movement for the rest of the week.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
I Came Back As A Gold TraderThis is a short detailed video about my journey and transition from PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 to NASDAQ:XAU . For Gold, I see a very big push for a new all time high at 3189-3200. All this is possible if the previous high gets a solid break since there's been a major resistance in the area. I'm currently in the trade and added another just incase. Let's see how this plays out..
Gold (XAU/USD) Bounces Sharply After Retesting TrendlineGold surged +1.43% to close at $3,126.77, delivering a strong bullish engulfing candle after bouncing off both the trendline and 50-day SMA support zone near $2,960.
🔹 MACD is curling back higher, hinting at a bullish momentum reset
🔹 RSI sits at 63.40, supportive of continued upside without being overbought
🔹 Key higher low structure remains intact above the trendline
The rejection of lower prices and follow-through strength reinforce the bull trend. Unless the price breaks below $2,960, buyers remain firmly in control.
Momentum was tested—and it passed. The bull trend remains intact.
-MW