USOIL: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 73.387 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 72.481.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Commodities
4-Hour Analysis for XAUUSD (14 June 2025)4-Hour Analysis: The Bigger Picture
Price Action & Market Structure
Current price is at $3432.835.
The market has printed a higher high above the previous swing at ~$3425.
Last Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred to the upside at ~$3412.
Recent CHoCH (Change of Character): None yet to the downside—bullish structure still intact.
Conclusion: Bullish Market Structure is dominant.
Fibonacci Levels
Measured from the swing low at $3362 to the recent swing high at $3437:
38.2% retracement: ~$3410
50% retracement: ~$3399
61.8% retracement: ~$3388
These are our retracement zones where demand is likely to step in.
Smart Money Key Concepts
Imbalance: Clean imbalance exists between $3408–$3415.
Bullish Order Block (OB): 4H candle at $3394–$3402
Liquidity Grab: Sweep below $3411 (old low) before reversal signals smart money accumulation.
Premium/Discount Zone: Current price is above 50% of last impulse → In premium zone (better to look for sells here until retracement).
Key Zones (Interaction Points)
Buy Zone Cluster (Discount Price)
Zone A (OB + 61.8% + Liquidity Pool) → $3385–$3402
Zone B (Imbalance + Fib 50%) → $3408–$3415
Sell Zone Cluster (Premium Price) – for retracements
Zone C (Last Supply + Swing Highs) → $3437–$3445
Zone D (Rejection Block + Liquidity Above) → $3455–$3462
4-Hour Bias: Bullish
We are in a bullish continuation phase. Ideal trades are buys from demand zones, aiming for new highs or liquidity sweeps above swing points.
Zoom-In: 1-Hour Chart – Trade Setups
Setup 1: Buy from Demand + OB Reaction
Entry Zone: $3394–$3402
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3384
Take Profit 1: $3430
Take Profit 2: $3445
Trigger Condition: Bullish engulfing or bullish BOS on 15-min chart after liquidity grab into the zone.
Reason: Overlap of OB, 61.8% fib, and clean liquidity pool below $3400.
Setup 2: Buy from Imbalance Tap
Entry Zone: $3408–$3415
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3398
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3440
Trigger Condition: CHoCH on 15m with FVG fill (imbalance closes with bullish follow-through).
Reason: Bullish continuation with low-risk entry within imbalance zone and close to 50% fib retracement.
Setup 3: Short from Supply Zone for Retracement
Entry Zone: $3455–$3462
Direction: Sell
Stop-Loss: $3472
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3415
Trigger Condition: Bearish engulfing or 1H CHoCH inside the zone.
Reason: Price likely to grab liquidity above highs before retracing; this is a countertrend scalp within premium pricing.
Final Takeaway:
“Stay bullish on Gold while it’s above $3394—but let price correct into demand before looking to join the trend.”
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Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step________________________________________
🏆 Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step Practical Guide
________________________________________
📌 Step 1: Overview and Goal
The goal is to build a neural network system to predict intraday short-term gold price movements—typically forecasting the next 15 to 30 minutes.
________________________________________
📈 Step 2: Choosing Indicators (TradingView Equivalents)
Key indicators for intraday gold trading:
• 📊 Moving Averages (EMA, SMA)
• 📏 Relative Strength Index (RSI)
• 🌀 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
• 📉 Bollinger Bands
• 📦 Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
• ⚡ Average True Range (ATR)
________________________________________
🗃 Step 3: Data Acquisition (Vectors and Matrices)
Use Python's yfinance to fetch intraday gold data:
import yfinance as yf
import pandas as pd
data = yf.download('GC=F', period='30d', interval='15m')
________________________________________
🔧 Step 4: Technical Indicator Calculation
Use Python’s pandas_ta library to generate all required indicators:
import pandas_ta as ta
data = ta.ema(data , length=20)
data = ta.ema(data , length=50)
data = ta.rsi(data , length=14)
macd = ta.macd(data )
data = macd
data = macd
bbands = ta.bbands(data , length=20)
data = bbands
data = bbands
data = bbands
data = ta.atr(data , data , data , length=14)
data.dropna(inplace=True)
________________________________________
🧹 Step 5: Data Preprocessing and Matrix Creation
Standardize your features and shape data for neural networks:
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
import numpy as np
features =
scaler = StandardScaler()
data_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(data )
def create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10):
X, y = ,
for i in range(len(data_scaled) - window_size - 1):
X.append(data_scaled )
y.append(data .iloc )
return np.array(X), np.array(y)
X, y = create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10)
________________________________________
🤖 Step 6: Neural Network Construction with TensorFlow
Use LSTM neural networks for sequential, time-series prediction:
import tensorflow as tf
from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential
from tensorflow.keras.layers import LSTM, Dense, Dropout
model = Sequential( , X.shape )),
Dropout(0.2),
LSTM(32, activation='relu'),
Dense(1)
])
model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse')
________________________________________
🎯 Step 7: Training the Neural Network
history = model.fit(X, y, epochs=50, batch_size=32, validation_split=0.2)
________________________________________
📊 Step 8: Evaluating Model Performance
Visualize actual vs. predicted prices:
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
predictions = model.predict(X)
plt.plot(y, label='Actual Price')
plt.plot(predictions, label='Predicted Price')
plt.xlabel('Time Steps')
plt.ylabel('Gold Price')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
________________________________________
🚦 Step 9: Developing a Trading Strategy
Translate predictions into trading signals:
def trade_logic(predicted, current, threshold=0.3):
diff = predicted - current
if diff > threshold:
return "Buy"
elif diff < -threshold:
return "Sell"
else:
return "Hold"
latest_data = X .reshape(1, X.shape , X.shape )
predicted_price = model.predict(latest_data)
current_price = data .iloc
decision = trade_logic(predicted_price, current_price)
print("Trading Decision:", decision)
________________________________________
⚙️ Step 10: Real-Time Deployment
Automate the model for live trading via broker APIs (pseudocode):
while market_open:
live_data = fetch_live_gold_data()
live_data_processed = preprocess(live_data)
prediction = model.predict(live_data_processed)
decision = trade_logic(prediction, live_data )
execute_order(decision)
________________________________________
📅 Step 11: Backtesting
Use frameworks like Backtrader or Zipline to validate your strategy:
import backtrader as bt
class NNStrategy(bt.Strategy):
def next(self):
if self.data.predicted > self.data.close + threshold:
self.buy()
elif self.data.predicted < self.data.close - threshold:
self.sell()
cerebro = bt.Cerebro()
cerebro.addstrategy(NNStrategy)
# Add data feeds and run cerebro
cerebro.run()
________________________________________
🔍 Practical Use-Cases
• ⚡ Momentum Trading: EMA crossovers, validated by neural network.
• 🔄 Mean Reversion: Trade at Bollinger Band extremes, validated with neural network predictions.
• 🌩️ Volatility-based: Use ATR plus neural net for optimal entry/exit timing.
________________________________________
🛠 Additional Recommendations
• Frameworks: TensorFlow/Keras, PyTorch, scikit-learn
• Real-time monitoring and risk management are crucial—use volatility indicators!
________________________________________
📚 Final Thoughts
This practical guide arms you to build, deploy, and manage a neural network-based intraday gold trading system—from data acquisition through backtesting—ensuring you have the tools for robust, data-driven, and risk-managed trading strategies.
________________________________________
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 73.374.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.914 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsSupply Shortage Risks
Escalating Middle East tensions pressure Iran's crude supply: Israeli airstrikes have hit key facilities, and potential conflict escalation may disrupt oil production capacity and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil shipments pass). Although OPEC+ has proposed output increases, doubts over implementation fuel concerns about supply gaps, supporting oil prices.
Peak Demand Season Support
Summer triggers peak travel seasons in Europe and the U.S., surging demand for gasoline, jet fuel, etc. Despite global economic slowdown, rebounding seasonal consumption—combined with supply-side uncertainties—exacerbates market fears of supply-demand imbalance, underpinning prices.
Panic Sentiment Drive
Middle East tensions spark panic buying of crude oil futures, amplifying short-term price volatility. As long as conflicts remain unresolved, emotional factors will sustain upward momentum for oil prices.
USOIL
buy@71-72
TP:75~76
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USDJPY Trading RangeUSDJPY saw some corrections late on Friday. Overall, the pair remains sideways in a wide range of 143,000-145,100 and has yet to establish a clear continuation trend.
The wider band in the sideways trend is extended at 146,000 and 142,000.
The trading strategy will be based on the band that is touched.
Pay attention to the breakout as it may continue the strong trend and avoid trading against the trend when breaking.
Support: 143,000, 142,000
Resistance: 145,000, 146,000
Gold Wave Analysis and OutlookHi Traders,
My technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD suggests we are currently in a corrective wave 2 pattern. This correction could take gold to the 1800-1780 region , likely around October 2023.
After wave 2 finishes, wave 3 has potential to break above 2000 and resume the larger bullish trend.
However, we need to see the correction play out first, so I don't anticipate a sustained upside move until after wave 2 completes.
For now, I'm cautious on new long positions in gold until we see signs of wave 2 bottoming out around 1780-1800. Once the correction finishes, I will look to go long for the next leg up towards 2000 (around 2300).
Let me know if you have any other opinion!
Gold: silence on the charts—because the real money already movedThe gold market isn't reacting — it's confirming. The Israeli strikes on Iran? That’s the trigger. But the move started earlier. Price was already coiled, already positioned. All the market needed was a headline. And it got it.
Price broke out of the accumulation channel and cleared $3,400 — a key structural level that’s acted as a battleground in past rotations. The move from $3,314 was no fluke — it was a textbook build: sweep the lows, reclaim structure, flip the highs. Volume spiked exactly where it needed to — this wasn’t emotional buying. This was smart money pulling the pin.
Technicals are loaded:
— Holding above $3,396–3,398 (0.618 Fibo + demand re-entry zone)
— All major EMAs (including MA200) are now below price
— RSI strong, no sign of exhaustion
— Candles? Clean control bars — breakout, retest, drive
— Volume profile above price = air pocket — resistance is thin to nonexistent up to $3,450+
Targets:
— $3,447 — prior high
— $3,484 — 1.272 extension
— $3,530 — full 1.618 expansion — key upside target
Fundamentals:
Middle East is boiling. Iran is ready to retaliate. Israel is already escalating. In moments like these, gold isn't just a commodity — it's capital preservation. The dollar is rising — and gold still rallies. That means this isn’t about inflation, or rates. It’s about risk-off. Pure, institutional-level flight to safety.
Tactical view:
The breakout is done. Holding above $3,396 confirms the thesis. Pullbacks to that zone? Reloading points. While gold remains in the channel and momentum is clean, the only side that matters right now — is long.
When price moves before the news — that’s not reaction. That’s preparation. Stay sharp.
PAXUSDT 4H Levels week ending 6/13/25Paxos Gold (PAXG) is a crypto asset backed by real gold reserves held by Paxos, a for-profit company based in New York. Each PAXG token is redeemable for 1 troy fine ounce of gold custodied in vaults by Paxos and its partners, and its market value is meant to mirror the physical gold it represents.
I'm looking for PAX to make a move towards the previous day high at the least.
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3330.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3338.3
Recommended Stop Loss - 3326.5
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Israel VS Iran War: Oil Spike!Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated dramatically, with both nations engaging in direct military strikes. Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, missile factories, and military personnel. In response, Iran retaliated with missile attacks on Israel, hitting Tel Aviv and wounding civilians
The conflict stems from long-standing hostilities, particularly over Iran’s nuclear program, which Israel views as an existential threat. The situation has drawn international attention, with the United States distancing itself from Israel’s actions while maintaining strategic interests in the region.
The escalation has raised concerns about a wider regional war, with analysts warning of unintended consequences and further retaliation. The global markets have also reacted, with oil prices surging amid uncertainty.
"XAU/USD Bearish Setup: Rising Channel Breakdown AnticipatedPrevious Resistance Zone (Red Rectangle):
The chart shows a clear resistance zone between ~3,340 and ~3,370 USD.
Price was rejected sharply from this zone earlier (marked by the large blue dot at the swing high).
Current Rising Channel (Blue Channel):
A rising wedge or ascending channel is forming, typically a bearish continuation pattern when found in a downtrend.
Price is currently testing the upper boundary of this pattern.
Bearish Projection (Red Path & Arrows):
The chart creator expects a rejection from the top of the channel, leading to a breakdown and a move toward the next key support at ~3,246.94 USD.
A large red arrow and projected box highlight the short setup zone with an implied favorable risk/reward ratio.
Support Target:
Blue horizontal line at 3,246.94 marks the next significant support level, likely a take-profit target for short sellers.
Macro Factors:
Three small icons indicate upcoming U.S. economic events, possibly influencing XAU/USD volatility and confirming the move.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Pattern: Rising Channel (bearish structure)
Entry Zone: Around 3,350–3,360 USD (top of channel)
Target Zone: ~3,246 USD
Risk: Invalid if price closes strongly above the resistance zone (~3,370 USD)
Gold 1hr -Don't Know when is the next movement ? This for You🔥 Gold – 1h Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 1h- Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
Your Ultimate key levels
👌Bullish After Break : 3392
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3415
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3435
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3375
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3325
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,431.19 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,422.53.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.303 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3440-3450
TP 3430-3420
BUY 3415-3400
TP 3420-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish after completing each of our targets throughout the week with ema5 lock confirmations on our proprietary Goldturn levels. Yesterday we finished off with 3388 and stated we would look for ema5 cross and lock above 3388 to open 3428 and failure to lock will follow with a rejection.
- This played out perfectly with the cross and lock confirmation and then the target hit at 3428 completing the range.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428 - DONE
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – CHoCH Confirmed & Discount Pullback in Motio👋 Hey traders!
Here’s your fresh H4 XAUUSD Outlook for June 9, 2025 — real-time structure, sniper zones, and bias clarity, right where price is sitting. Let’s dive in 👇
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term → clean CHoCH & liquidity sweep, targeting discount retracement
🔹 1. 🔍 H4 Structure Summary
CHoCH (Lower) confirmed after recent LH at 3384.
Price failed to reclaim supply → now trading back below the 3350 level.
Multiple internal CHoCHs + bearish OB at 3368 showing clear short-term rejection.
Market is shifting from a bullish continuation into a retracement leg.
🔹 2. 🧭 Key H4 Structure Zones
Zone Type Price Range Structure Notes
🔼 Supply Zone (Flip Trap) 3360 – 3384 Clean CHoCH, FVG, + OB rejection area — major sell trigger
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3272 – 3252 Retest OB + FVG cluster, ideal reaction zone for possible bounce
🔽 Deep Discount Zone 3174 – 3145 Last major accumulation + bullish origin block
🔹 3. 📐 Price Action Flow
Previous HH → LH → CHoCH confirms internal structure break.
Liquidity swept above LH at 3384, trapping late bulls.
Now targeting equilibrium zone around 3260–3280 as next H4 liquidity base.
🔹 4. 📊 EMA Alignment (5/21/50/100/200)
EMA5 and EMA21 are starting to cross down.
Price has lost momentum above EMA50 → retracement expected into EMA100/200 territory (sub-3280).
Full bullish EMA stack remains — but this is a controlled correction inside trend.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI + Momentum View
RSI has dropped below 50 → bearish control short-term.
Momentum flow fading after multiple rejection wicks from premium zones.
📌 Scenarios
🔽 Retracement Flow in Progress
Price likely heading to 3272–3252 demand block for reaction
If this zone fails → we open door to 3174–3145 clean swing zone
🔼 Invalidation
Bullish pressure only regains control on break + hold above 3384
Until then: favor selling the supply + letting price reach discount
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’ve officially shifted into retracement mode on H4. The game now is to either:
Sell retests into supply, or
Wait for clean confirmations at demand for new longs
Let price come to your zone. No emotion — just structure.
💬 Drop your chart view below or ask if you’re unsure where to position next.
Locked in for next move,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Analysis of the latest gold trend on June 13:
Gold multi-period resonance analysis
1. Daily level - trend strengthening stage
Structural breakthrough: The price effectively stood above the 3350 neckline (the upper edge of the previous oscillation range), and the daily closing was "engulfing the positive line", confirming the bullish dominance.
Moving average system: 5/10/20-day moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, MACD double lines diverge upward from the zero axis, and RSI (14) remains above 60 without overbought.
Key pressure: 3390-3400 area (weekly Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level).
2. 4-hour level - momentum verification
Wave structure: The 3320 low point can be regarded as the end of wave C, and the current running is sub-wave 3 of driving wave 3, with a theoretical target of 3415 (1.618 extension level).
Volume and price coordination: The rise is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, while the Asian session pullback is reduced, indicating that the selling pressure is limited.
3. 1-hour level - short-term trading anchor point
Time-sharing support:
Strong defensive position 3356 (starting point of Asian morning session + Bollinger middle rail)
Bull lifeline 3348 (previous high conversion support + V-shaped retracement 61.8% position)
Intraday channel: Currently running along the rising channel (lower rail 3355/upper rail 3395)
Today's three-dimensional trading strategy
▶ Main long plan
Best entry area: 3362-3355 (4-hour EMA10 and channel lower rail overlap area)
Position allocation: 50% main position, stop loss 3345 (stop loss moves up after breaking through the previous high)
Target 1: 3385 (equal amplitude measurement after breaking through the Asian session high)
Target 2: 3400 (reduce position by 50% in the daily pressure zone)
Target 3: 3415 (clear position at the wave theory target position)
▶ Auxiliary short opportunities
Counter-trend conditions: first touch 3408 and appear:
1-hour chart pregnancy line/evening star
MACD top divergence + shrinking trading volume
Operation: light position short (position ≤ 20%), stop loss 3418, target 3380
▶ Breakthrough chasing order strategy
Break above 3402: fall back to 3392 to chase long, stop loss 3385, target 3425
Break below 3348: rise and rebound to 3352 to short, stop loss 3360, target 3330