DeGRAM | GOLD retest of resistanceGOLD is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price has already reached the upper trend line and resistance level.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
The indicators on the 1H Timeframe indicate a bearish divergence.
We expect a pullback.
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Commodities
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-10 : FLAT-DOWN PatternToday's Flat-Down Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will struggle to move away from yesterday's big open-close range.
Normally, I would suggest the Flat-Down pattern will be a small, somewhat FLAT price move.
But, after yesterday's big move, the Flat-Down pattern can really be anywhere within yesterday's Daily Body range.
So, we could see very wild volatility today. That means we need to be prepared for general price consolidation (which suggests somewhat sideways price trending) and be prepared for some potential BIG price trends within that consolidation.
These BIG price trends would be more like bursts of trending, while still staying somewhat consolidated overall.
Watch today's video to learn how the Excess Phase Peak pattern is dominating the trend right now (in the Consolidation Phase).
The same thing is happening in BTCUSD. BTCUSD has been in an EPP Consolidation phase for over 35+ days now.
Gold and Silver are setting up a CRUSH pattern today. That could be a VERY BIG move higher (or downward). Given my analysis of Gold acting like a hedge (a proper hedge for global risk levels), I believe today's move will EXPLODE higher.
Gold is already in an early-stage parabolic bullish price trend. When gold explodes above $3500, I believe it will quickly gain momentum towards the $5100 level.
Right now, Gold is recovering from the Tariff news and about to explode upward (above $3200) if we see this CRUSH pattern play out well.
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"WTI Crude Oil – Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone? "🔵 . Demand Zone:
⬇️ 60.53 – 59.71
This is the buy zone where bulls are likely to step in!
Price is currently testing this area. Watch closely!
🛑 . Stop Loss (Risk Zone):
📉 Below 59.66
If price falls below here, exit the trade – demand has failed.
🎯 . Target Point:
🚀 63.85
This is the take profit zone. A successful bounce could reach this level!
🟠 . EMA (9-period DEMA):
📉 Currently around 60.86
Price is slightly below EMA, showing short-term bearish pressure.
🟢 . Trade Idea Summary:
• Enter near the blue demand zone
• SL below 🔴 59.66
• TP at 🎯 63.85
• R:R ratio looks favorable (low risk, high reward)
Outlook:
As long as price holds above the demand zone, this setup remains bullish 📈
Let’s see if the bulls can push it to that 63.85 target! 🚀💰
GOLD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3123.0 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3102.5
Recommended Stop Loss - 3132.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Crude oil-----Buy near 65.00, target 62.30-60.00Crude oil market analysis:
Recently, crude oil has also fluctuated greatly due to the influence of fundamentals. It started to rise rapidly yesterday, and the daily line closed with a standard big hammer candle pattern. Today, we rely on the 65.20 position to buy. We can also consider buying when it falls back to a small support. Today's crude oil trend is bearish, and short-term buying and selling are both possible. The current fundamentals have basically not changed the selling of crude oil. In addition, there will be EIA crude oil inventory data tonight. Today's crude oil is expected to fluctuate greatly. Consider selling it when it rebounds to 65.00 in the Asian session.
Fundamental analysis:
Tariffs are the biggest fundamentals in the near future, and the market impact is relatively large. Today we focus on CPI data and crude oil inventory data.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil-----Buy near 65.00, target 62.30-60.00
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the upward structureGOLD is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price has already reached the lower boundary of the channel, the lower trend line and the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point.
The chart has broken the ascending structure, but a descending top must now be formed to continue the decline.
On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators are forming a bullish convergence.
We expect XAUUSD to rebound after consolidating above the important psychological level of $3000.
-------------------
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XAUUSD: 8/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3055, support below 2950
Four-hour chart resistance 3055, support below 2981
One-hour chart resistance 3015, support below 2981
Gold news analysis: The market is currently in a two-way power game between risk asset selling and rising risk aversion demand. Although gold is a safe-haven asset, it is also facing the pressure of liquidity withdrawal. In the context of the unclear Fed policy and the continued escalation of global trade concerns, gold prices may continue to maintain a volatile pattern.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold rebounded quickly in the Asian session yesterday and was under pressure at 3054, then fluctuated and fell, and continued to fall in the European and US sessions, breaking through the new bottom, and finally accelerated downward to break through the 2960 mark to reach 2956 and stabilize and rise.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3015 and the daily level 3055, and the lower support focuses on the 2981 line support. In terms of operation, the rebound pressure at this position continues to sell bearish. Yesterday's daily line closed below 3015. Today we continue to look for a new bottom, and buying needs to be treated with caution.
Sell: 3055near SL: 3060
Sell: 3015near SL: 3020
Sell: 2981near SL: 2988
Gold short-term analysis, follow up and buyPolicy expectations and news are dominating the market. Tariffs have been upgraded again. Gold rose sharply to 3099.4 in late trading, close to the 3100 mark, and retreated sharply by more than $50 to 3048 before closing. The daily chart closed sharply higher. The New York closing price of the daily chart once again stood on the MA10 daily average, with a daily increase of more than 3%.
From a technical point of view, the rebound to 2956 at the beginning of the week ushered in a rebound, and the lows gradually moved up. The big rise closed on Wednesday, so the previous 2956 position formed a bottoming performance, and the Bollinger Bands narrowed more and more obviously. The technical conditions for this wave of bottoming have been met, so there was a bullish outbreak in the US market on Wednesday. As long as the current gold market stands firmly at 3100, it can continue to look up to 3136 or even 3167 or higher.
In the 4-hour chart of gold, we can see that the market has been rising all the way, forming a bottom low at 2956, and 2970 is the shoulder of the head and shoulders bottom. In the short term, we will first see whether it can stand above 3100, and then see whether it can form a unilateral surge and reach a new high. Therefore, trading should still be based on buying.
The lower support can refer to the resistance turning into support after breaking through 3100, followed by the US market retracement position of 3062 on Wednesday. Make effective purchases above these positions, and wait for the next support position to continue to go long after breaking through. As long as these two positions are maintained, the short-term bullish trend will remain unchanged.
Key points:
First support: 3100, second support: 3073, third support: 3062
First resistance: 3118, second resistance: 3136, third resistance: 3154
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3098-3102, SL: 3090, TP: 3120-3130;
Buy: 3062-3065, SL: 3053, TP: 3090-3100;
Sell: 3133-3136, SL: 3145, TP: 3100-3080;
Gold Eyes New All-Time High Amid Bullish FundamentalsDate: April 10, 2025
Pair: XAUUSD
Timeframe: 4H / Daily
Market Sentiment:
The fundamental landscape continues to favor gold as a safe-haven asset. With ongoing geopolitical tensions and persistent inflationary concerns, investors are rotating capital into gold. The weakening dollar and potential rate cuts from major central banks further enhance gold's appeal. This macro backdrop suggests continued bullish pressure on the metal.
Technical Analysis:
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, currently consolidating near the upper range of its structure. The nearest support is seen around the $3080 zone, which has acted as a reactionary level during recent pullbacks. The all-time high (ATH) sits at $3168, which now serves as the immediate resistance.
A breakout above $3168 would confirm continued bullish momentum and open the door for a push towards a new ATH in the $3250 region — a psychological level and a Fibonacci extension target.
If price pulls back, a retest of the $3080 support zone could offer a potential long setup in alignment with the trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3080
Resistance: $3168 (ATH)
Bullish Target: $3250
Personal Outlook:
My bias remains bullish as long as price stays above the $3080 support level. I’ll be watching for a clean break and retest of $3168 to consider scaling in further toward the $3250 target. I’ll also remain cautious of any sharp reversals or macro shifts that may affect sentiment.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal market analysis intended for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
WTI gets a boost, but is this really enough?We saw yesterday the positive reaction due to the pausing of tariffs. However, because of the economic uncertainties and OPEC+ production increases, the price of TVC:USOIL may see more downside.
Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Silver Remains Volatile Amid Trade War and Recession FearsSilver stayed above $30.50 per ounce on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S.-China trade tensions. Prices held a 3.5% gain after President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause and a 10% rate for all but China, which now faces a 125% tariff. China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, and the EU approved duties on €21 billion of American exports. Fed minutes showed concerns about stagflation and the impact of Trump’s trade policies. Markets now await March U.S. inflation data on Thursday for clues on the Fed’s next move.
Technically, the first resistance level is located at 31.50. In case of its breach 32.15 and 33.30 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, the first support is at 30.20. 29.50 and 29.20 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
GOLD surges to weekly targets, eyes era levelsSpot gold prices have surged on the back of US President Trump’s tariff announcement. Gold prices rose as much as 3.9% on Wednesday as markets were volatile, before closing up 3.4%. At the time of writing today, Thursday (April 10), gold is up as much as $44, or 1.4%, on the day.
Gold prices posted their biggest one-day gain in 18 months on Wednesday as confusion over US President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda prompted investors to buy the precious metal as a safe-haven asset, Bloomberg reported.
But after China announced plans to retaliate with 84% tariffs on US products starting Thursday, Trump immediately raised tariffs on China to 125%. The moves raised concerns that the world's two largest economies were heading toward a full-blown trade war.
Stock markets rallied after Trump announced the tariff suspension. US stocks had their best day since the financial crisis, with the S&P 500 index rising nearly 10% after falling to the brink of a bear market last week.
Bloomberg said the US government's erratic tax plans have shaken the world as investors look for direction and certainty. That has supported gold prices overall, with prices up 18% this year. Expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve and central bank gold purchases have also boosted prices.
Gold has gained more than $400 this year, hitting an all-time record of $3,167.57 an ounce on April 3.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve's March meeting showed policymakers almost unanimously warned last month that the U.S. economy faces the risk of rising inflation while economic growth slows. Some policymakers noted that there could be "difficult trade-offs" ahead.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders see a 72% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in June. Gold itself does not generate interest rates, and will perform well in a low-interest-rate environment.
Investors are now looking to the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) due out today (Thursday) for further trading information.
Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold surged to hit all the weekly upside targets noted and readers in the weekly publication at $3,056 in the short term and then the full price point of $3,100. Looking ahead, gold only has a $3,150 size creature to break to set a new all-time high or more.
The relative strength index (RSI) is building, signaling bullish energy in the near term, as long as gold remains in the price channel, the declines should only be limited corrections and not a trend.
As we have noted to our readers throughout our articles since Trump returned to the White House, dips can be viewed as buying opportunities.
And for the day, the notable positions for the bullish picture on the technical chart of gold will be listed again as follows.
Support: 3,103 – 3,100 – 3,056 USD
Resistance: 3,150 – 3,167 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3192 - 3190⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3196
→Take Profit 1 3184
↨
→Take Profit 2 3178
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3050 - 3052⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3046
→Take Profit 1 3058
↨
→Take Profit 2 3064
Gold Jumps 3% on U.S.-China Tariff BattleGold jumped over 3% to above $3,095 per ounce on Wednesday as U.S.-China trade tensions escalated. President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause and a reduced 10% rate for all but China, which now faces a 125% tariff. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the lower rate would apply during talks, excluding China and some sectors. In response, China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, and the EU approved levies on €21 billion worth of American exports. Fed minutes showed policymakers expect higher inflation from tariffs but remain uncertain about its scale and duration.
Supporting gold’s rally further, the World Gold Council reported that gold-backed ETFs attracted 226.5 metric tons in inflows during Q1, totaling $21.1 billion in value.
Key resistance is at $3,135, followed by $3,165 and $3,200. Support stands at $3030, then $3010 and $2956.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3008 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3060 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3059
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3014
Strong Rejection from 3014 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3060 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3082 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 3055 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3060 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3014 zone – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 3 Apr 2025 – Bullish Retest 3054
💯 27 march 2025 – Bullish Retest / Spike 3054
💯 26 March 2025 – Liquidity Grab Range 3016 : 3010
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Skeptic | GOLD: Is the Uptrend Over… or Just Taking a Breather? Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we're diving deep into XAU/USD , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍
Recap & Current Structure:
As mentioned in our previous analysis , after the recent uptrend, we've entered a corrective phase. This correction coincides with rising economic tariffs from the U.S. and retaliatory tariffs from the EU and China—particularly targeting U.S. goods.
Interestingly, gold, which is typically considered a safe-haven asset, also experienced a decline. This raises a red flag: when even gold falls, it signals that markets are likely pricing in an economic slowdown . Everyone seems to be chasing liquidity.
The recession risk is very real, so trade cautiously until a clear trend emerges. Right now, the market is in a state of uncertainty. Given the sharp declines in stocks, gold, and silver, we could see range-bound movement or consolidation this week—and possibly into the next.
Despite this, the major daily trend for gold remains upward , although momentum has clearly weakened. If we see a lower high and a confirmed break below support at 2958.53 , that would significantly shift the outlook—potentially leading to a deeper correction or even a trend reversal, especially in case of broader economic recession signals.
Let’s zoom into the 1H timeframe for actionable trade setups:
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
- Trigger : Break & close above 3039.58
- Confirmation : 7 SMA below the candle during breakout + RSI climbing above OB
- Invalidation : Rejection and close back below 2994.10
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
- Trigger : Rejection at 3019.98 followed by a drop below 2958.51
- Confirmation : RSI entering oversold
⚠️ Key Notes:
- Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging. Wait for clear confirmations before entering any trade.
Stay sharp, stay Skeptical, and I’ll catch you in the next analysis!
Silver H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 31.98 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 33.30 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 30.49 which is a pullback support.
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GOLD → Bounce back to accumulate energy before growthFX:XAUUSD confirms interim bottom at 2970 after a false breakdown and as part of the escalating trade war, price is strengthening from support to the important medium-term level of 3054.
Further dynamics will depend on the market reaction to the minutes of the March Fed meeting and the introduction of reciprocal tariffs between the US and China. The introduction of 104% duties on Chinese goods increases trade tensions, reduces investor confidence and supports the price of gold against the background of a weakening dollar. Even with the Fed's cautious rhetoric, gold may keep rising due to the escalating trade war.
The medium-term situation depends on the Fed (namely hints or actions on rate cuts), the trade war and negotiations on the situation in Eastern Europe
Resistance levels: 3054, 3077, 3099
Support levels: 3033, 3013 (0.5f), 2995
Since the opening of the session (the price has passed the daily norm) gold has exhausted the technical potential and the 3054 area may push the price down (false breakout). As part of a technical pullback, gold may test 3033 - 3013 before looking at upside attempts again.
Additional scenario: pullback to the fvg zone (0.7 - 0.79 fibo) before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance lvl 3100 (wave B).Colleagues, at this point I have redrawn the waves a bit and realized that the upward movement is not over yet, but a rather large correction is possible within waves “ABC” and if wave ‘A’ is finished or almost finished, I expect wave “B”. I believe that the price will reach the level of 3100. After that a reversal and continuation of a small downward movement is possible.
But for now I would look at long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!