Commodities
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
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Gold will grow a little more and then make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After forming a downward wedge and several rejections near the support line, the price eventually broke out to the upside, signaling a reversal. This breakout was followed by a strong upward impulse, and Gold quickly shifted into a consolidation phase, creating a wide sideways range structure. Inside this range, we observed multiple rebounds from the lower boundary and a gradual rise toward the resistance level. Recently, the price exited the range upward after testing the buyer zone and breaking above the support area. However, this breakout seems impulsive and may need a correction. Currently, Gold trades slightly above the 3400 level, which aligns with the support area and the previous range border. In my view, the price may make a short upward move, followed by a return to the current support level. That’s why I set my TP at 3400 points, which corresponds to the support area and acts as a potential bounce zone in case of a retracement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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GOLD poised for breakout GLD & /gcAfter going on a huge run to 317 we have spent a significant time now basing out and consolidating we’ve come down into that 300 range and tested and built up quite a bit of support
With the Iranian intentions we could kickstart the next move in gold 317 is the breakout. I am looking to play this breakout on an intra day pull back with some calls one month out for a swing Trey looking at the 320 or 325 strike price
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Gold entered a Rising Channel structure, demonstrating stable growth with higher highs and higher lows.
After testing and breaking through the $3265 support level, the price pulled back slightly and then resumed its upward momentum.
This move confirmed buyer strength and renewed interest in the mid-channel zone.
Recently, Gold successfully retested the $3365–$3375 support area, turning it into a local springboard.
Now price is gaining traction above this zone and appears to be preparing for a continuation of the current trend.
I expect it to rise toward the $3450 target — the upper resistance of the channel.
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As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3420-3402-3380
TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-13 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may stall into a sideways price range.
After the news of Israel targeting Iran in a preemptive strike late yesterday afternoon, the markets moved dramatically lower while Gold & Silver moved higher on the news.
I, personally, see this market trend as a shift in thinking ahead of a long Father's Day weekend.
I see traders trying to position their accounts/trades for uncertainty.
I believe we could see a bit of a shift today - particularly in Metals and the QQQ/NASDAQ/BTCUSD.
Overall, I strongly suggest traders prepare for extreme volatility this weekend as any further news of a counter-strike or further military action in the Middle East could roil the markets.
Happy Friday the 13th - everyone.
Going to be an interesting day to say the least.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Silver to Continue UpWhen a price goes to oversold/overbought levels as indicated by the Bollinger Band, one must them look at the Band Width. When this indicator is rising, it shows that price is stronger than the average. My rule of thumb is to stay positioned in the direction of the trend until this number reverses.
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines.
A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential.
Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups.
🎯 Key Buy Zones:
✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly.
Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift).
✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support.
Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question.
Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers.
📈 Trade Signal:
Bias: 🔵 Bullish
Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
SL: Below 3,395
TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470
R:R: ~1:3
Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
SL: Below 3,368
R:R: ~1:4
🧠 Final Note:
Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
Israel creates a risk-off environmentThe current geopolitical tensions continue to escalate and this is creating a risk-off environment, forcing investors to worry. Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
TVC:USOIL
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Waiting For Another Breakout
Following the latest news, I think you would agree with me that
Gold will most likely rise more.
Your technical confirmation can be a bullish breakout of the underlined
blue resistance and a daily candle close above 3435.
It will be an important trigger that will push the prices way up to a current ATH.
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Oil Price Rally Stalls at $77.72, Just Below 2025 HighFenzoFx—Oil prices resumed their bullish trend, accelerating after geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The rally paused at $77.72, just below the 2025 high.
RSI 14 indicates an overbought market, while volume accumulation at $73.7 suggests possible sell orders. A consolidation phase is likely before further gains.
If oil pulls back, key demand zones at $64.00 and $66.00 offer bullish opportunities, with a potential move toward the 2025 high at $80.59.
Rate Cut Bets Keep Silver in FocusSilver slipped toward $36 per ounce as investors locked in gains after hitting a 13-year high. The metal remains supported by strong industrial demand, supply deficits, and safe-haven interest during global uncertainty. Industrial uses, especially in solar and electronics, account for over half of the demand. A fifth consecutive annual supply deficit is expected, though the Silver Institute sees the gap narrowing by 21% in 2025. Softer U.S. inflation data for May also increased expectations of Fed rate cuts beginning in September, helping sustain interest in precious metals.
Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
Silver energy buildup, Bullish continuation pattern developing Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3723
Resistance Level 2: 3787
Resistance Level 3: 3847
Support Level 1: 3507
Support Level 2: 3448
Support Level 3: 3386
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Flight to Safety 1. Flight to Safety Supports Gold
Ongoing geopolitical risks — whether from Middle East tensions, rising friction in Asia, or persistent uncertainty in Eastern Europe — are keeping investors on edge. In times of heightened risk aversion, gold remains a go-to asset for capital preservation. This "flight to safety" theme has been a key pillar of support for gold's upward move.
2. Trade Concerns Back in Focus
Renewed trade-related concerns, particularly around U.S.-China relations and global tariff discussions, have reignited fears of supply chain disruptions and global economic slowdown. These macro uncertainties further enhance gold’s appeal as a hedge against economic instability.
3. Fed Rate Cut Bets Offer Tailwind
Market expectations are increasingly pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts, possibly starting later this year. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it more attractive to investors. The dovish tilt in Fed expectations is thus providing an underlying bid for gold.
4. Rebounding US Dollar Caps Further Upside
While fundamental drivers remain supportive, a recent rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) is limiting gold’s upside momentum. Since gold is priced in dollars, a stronger USD tends to weigh on demand from foreign buyers, acting as a natural headwind for further gains in XAU/USD.
Trading Implications:
Bullish bias remains intact as long as geopolitical and economic uncertainty persist and Fed rate cut expectations stay on the table.
Watch for key resistance near recent highs; potential profit-taking may emerge if USD strength accelerates.
Near-term support zones include previous consolidation levels and moving averages on the 4H and daily charts.
Important to monitor US economic data and Fed commentary — any shift in rate outlook could cause sharp gold repricing.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3444
Resistance Level 2: 3460
Resistance Level 3: 3483
Support Level 1: 3377
Support Level 2: 3360
Support Level 3: 3340
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Surges Amid Middle East TensionsGold surged more than 1% to exceed $3,440, approaching record levels amid a sharp rise in safe-haven demand. The gains came after Israel's strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, fueling concerns over a wider regional conflict. Uncertainty surrounding potential US tariffs added to market jitters. Additionally, softer US inflation data increased expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, enhancing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Resistance is seen at $3,430, while support holds at $3,350.
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
California Resources Corporation (CRC) – Stock Analysis and ForeCalifornia Resources Corporation, a key player in crude oil production and carbon management, has recently experienced a notable uptick in investor interest.
This momentum appears to be supported by macroeconomic tailwinds, including renewed trade tensions between the United States and other major economies.
Historically, geopolitical uncertainty often leads to increased energy demand and price volatility, both of which tend to benefit domestic oil producers like CRC.
From a fundamental standpoint, investor sentiment toward CRC has grown increasingly positive. The company’s strategic positioning in California's energy transition—particularly its focus on carbon capture and storage (CCS)—is beginning to resonate more with institutional investors looking to align portfolios with sustainable yet profitable energy operations.
If these supportive fundamentals continue, there is potential for the stock to reach $56 in the coming months, assuming no major changes to current market dynamics or geopolitical influences.
Technical Outlook:
Entry Point: $44.68
Stop Loss: $42.73
Take Profit 1: $50.84
Take Profit 2: $55.88
As always, trade with care, apply proper risk management, and ensure your positions align with your overall investment strategy.
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GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,423.03.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,467.03.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Crude Oil - Two Scenarios and about Brain PowerPrice retests the L-MLH.
VI. - Price breaks upward, target is the centerline
VII. - Price reverses again, then the target is the 1/4 line, with a subsequent extended target at the red centerline, and possibly even lower at the white dashed warning line.
On a personal note:
I was once again told that the price didn’t do what I had projected.
...yeah, really, that’s how it is §8-)
After over 30 years in the markets and hundreds of coaching sessions, I’m still amazed that people think you can predict price movements as if with a magic crystal ball.
The fact that this belief still persists (even though they don’t understand even the absolute basics of trading) deeply concerns me at the core of my trading soul.
Because this growing irrationality clearly indicates that far too little is being done in terms of education – or humanity might simply go extinct in the next 100 years due to rapidly declining intelligence!
...maybe I should just create a chart and apply a few median lines/forks?
Happy trading to all of you and I pray for those with lesser brain power.
GOLD PATH TO 3500We see a visible path to 3500 on the xauusd market.
After the breakout at 3400 which extended to 3440's clearing a solid supply zone, gold then had a retracement and rallied back to 3420's which has a solid outlook on the 4hour time frame.
Do not forget that today is friday so dont push the moves .
.......Further breakdown on the lower timeframe