RBOB post tariff structure and range to take advantage of!Hi guys today we are starting off with RBOB , which has been quiet for the past month and it has been trading in a structured range between 2.05 as a high resistance and 1.92 / 1.94 as strong support. As of today we are currently sitting at the given support line of 1.92 and the latest news which came from President Trump that he will impose tariffs on Canadian and Mexican Imports , which would probably impact and touch the Oil Industry. The U.S. imports 4M barrels of Crude Oil every single day from Canada and around 900-1M barrels of Oil Crude Oil from Mexico. These tariffs would definitely touch the consumer as a long term which would give us a boost into the overall demand / supply play around the prices of Petroleum Products.
Current entry RBOB (Gasoline)
1.9300 entry level, with two separate targets.
Target 1: 1.9755
Target 2: 2.0310
The strategy can be repeated after the targets are touched with a patient retracement of the lower support line and input similar targets.
Commodities
Gold: Maintaining Downward Momentum
Gold Technical Analysis
The price recently tested resistance at 2651 before retreating.
Today, the price is expected to consolidate within the range of 2647 to 2638, showing bearish momentum. For the bullish trend to resume, the price must stabilize above 2647 by closing 4h candle above it, targeting 2661 as the next resistance. Conversely, as long as the price trades below 2647 and 2638, the trend is likely to remain bearish, with potential declines toward 2623 and 2612.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2647
Resistance Levels: 2661, 2678, 2706
Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook
Uptrend: Bullish momentum is expected if the price holds above 2649.
Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2647.
XAUUSD- SENSTIVE SITUATION WITH BEARISH MOMENTUM Gold Technical Analysis
The price is consolidating between 2637 and 2649, with stability above 2649 which is bullish toward 2661 and 2678,
Otherwise closing 1h or 4h candle below 2637 will support bearish toward 2624
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2637
Resistance Levels: 2649, 2661, 2678
Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook
Uptrend: Bullish momentum is expected if the price holds above 2649.
Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2647 and especially 2638.
Gold AnalysisOn the daily timeframe, we anticipate a downward movement in gold to the 2580 level. Upon reaching the daily ascending trendline, a price rebound toward the 2670 range and interaction with the 4-hour descending trendline is not unexpected.
This analysis is brought to you by the FXonbit Traders Team
Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.68
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 30.056
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 32.02
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NaturalGas enters resistance zone. H4 25.11.2024⛽️ NaturalGas enters resistance zone 📉
On gas the price has entered the zone of strong resistance 3.51-3.63 from which I expect a new exit of the price down. Now on the comeback a false break above is possible, but in general the zone for selling is strong. I aim for a bounce down to 3.0 and 3.15, and there will clarify. The main support is near 3.0 and there is the boundary of the ascending channel from which they can bounce up again.
FX:NGAS
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea delivered the goods with our weighted retracement level providing support and bounce like we highlighted.
We were once again able to buy dips inline with our plans with the movement from 2631 to 2647. However, now we have ema5 cross and lock above 2647 opening the range above.
We have been in a similar play range all week with both ranges below and above now left open. This is typical of ranging market conditions and as always our strategy to buy dips from our weighted levels allows us to navigate the traps and secure the pips.
Our lower weighted levels are in place for bounces inline with our plans, should we see a failure to fill the gap above and see a drop below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) 4/12/2024 Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD)
On the daily chart, gold remains in a prolonged consolidation phase, with price action mainly hovering around the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA21) and the technical level of 2,644 USD.
Although gold has recovered from the previous decline, the overall picture still leans towards a bearish scenario, with the main trend being defined by the price channel (a). Additionally, pressure continues from the EMA21, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 mark. These factors create conditions for a bearish trend.
As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), its technical outlook remains biased towards a downward trend, and any upward movements should be considered short-term corrections.
On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, it could continue to decline towards the next target range around 2,606–2,600 USD. Furthermore, a new bearish cycle would begin if gold drops below the key level of 2,600 USD.
For the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold is highlighted by the following key levels:
Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600 USD
Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663 USD
Spot Crude Oil Energies Market Heist PlanHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist Spot Crude Oil Energies Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
SWING IDEA - RATNAMANI MET AND TUBRatnamani Metals & Tubes, a leading manufacturer of stainless steel and carbon steel welded pipes and tubes, is showing a potential swing trade setup with several bullish technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
3800 Zone Break Out : The 3800 level has acted as a strong resistance zone. The price is now breaking through this level, signaling the possibility of a continued upward move.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle indicates strong buying interest, suggesting momentum may continue.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, indicating overall bullish strength and long-term trend support.
Intact Trend : The broader trend remains intact, indicating that the current momentum is in line with the stock’s longer-term trajectory.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A steady rise in volumes adds confirmation to the breakout, showing strong market participation in this move.
Target - 4270 // 4800
Stoploss - daily close below 3400
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
GOLD - 15 min ( Best Buy and Sell Scalping After Break Out ) ⚡️GOLD
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2651 Area
🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2665 Area
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2637 Area
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2637 Area
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis Not by Number ..
🔖 Announcement Coming After Successful Break
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-04: Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will run into resistance in early trading and roll downward at some point after reaching resistance.
I see the markets opening much higher this morning as the SPY/QQQ are both broadly rallying overnight.
This type of GAP UP opening often leads to the identification of price resistance and a rollover topping formation where price attempts to trail downward to fill the GAP.
The concept that my SPY Cycle Patterns new this was likely many months before today's price action happens is rather unique. And this is why I love my SPY Cycle Patterns.
The is no other place where you can attempt to clearly see into the future like using my SPY Cycle Patterns.
Gold and Silver are still struggling today - but should attempt to make a rally move higher over the next 5+ trading days. Until we break above the Flag High level, Gold and Silver are trapped in a sideways price range.
Bitcoin is also trapped in a sideways price range after reaching recent highs.
As I warn in this video - be prepared for very unusual price action and events over the next 30+ days. I believe we are about to see some very unusual political and economic events play out.
Keep a healthy CASH reserve and trade small quantities right now. Better to protect cash than to risk it on unknowns right now.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
OIL: Day 3, market in breakoutLooking at this chart, I can see a great potential to complete a 2 weeks dump and pump scenario, which it can end up today with the OIL major red new on calendar at 10:30am NYT.
But let's analyse this market, trying to understand what and why specific moves can happen.
Starting from the last week, Monday was a dump day and Tuesday slightly expanded the range to the downside.
Most of the week just consolidated down low without achieving to push the price lower, and Friday it was the first time in the week where we could see the market pushing higher, breaking the high of day. It doesn't necessary mean that something was going to change in the market, but for sure now also long breakout traders are involved.
Friday as well, closed in breakout short, placing the new low of week.
Monday starts the new week and we could see the price retesting the LOW, is now important to understand the behaviour of price once the market reaches levels of interests and this double bottom formation into the previous LOW it may locks the low for the entire week.
Tuesday typically expands the range, which it happened and closed in breakout long.
Today, the market looks like coiling into the current high of day/how of week and I won't be surprise to see a parabolic move!
I currently have a better long thesis pushing up back into the previous HOW, however, I cannot guess how the market will behave during the NY session.
I cannot exclude that price can break down starting a reversal process during Thursday and Friday.
For the long view I would like to see the market coiling into once of these level marked
For the short view I would like to see a market breaking down, pumping back up into the HOD during NY session for a short scalp trade.
I will update the post during the day :)
Have a good trade and for any question feel free to ask!
Markets Slowing Down Ahead of NFP, What To Lookout ForHey There,
The dollar has been in demand so far this week, boosted by it being seen as a safe-haven amid political turmoil in both South Korea and Europe as well as ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine.
With France’s government facing “No Confidence votes” that could spell the end of the short-lived administration of Prime Minister Michael Barnier, pushing the country into uncharted waters of political chaos.
Gold Prices rose marginally as political turmoil in South Korea spurred some safe haven demand along with fears of a collaps in the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire. However, trades continue to remain on the sidelines amid anticipation for more cues on U.S interest rates.
But any gains in gold were largely limited by a spike in the dollar as it soared on uncertainty over the long term outlook for U.S rates.
WTI OIL Bullish break-out to $76 imminent.WTI Oil (USOIL) is so far following our last call (November 26, see chart below) on high precision as, after once last pull-back to the Support Zone, it is now rebounding:
As you can see now on this 1D chart, the price hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today but based on the other 2 November attempts, even a candle close above it doesn't translate into a sustainable break-out.
Contrary to that, however, those 2 attempts weren't supported by a 1D RSI Higher Lows base similar to September's. As you can see that same pattern was that initiated the rebound on the Support Zone that broke above the 1D MA50 and extended even above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and tested the bottom of the 4-month Resistance Zone.
As a result, our $76.00 Target remains intact, which is marginally above the 0.786 Fib and projected to be just below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
US OIL Trade Log USOIL Short Position Analysis
Technical Indicators :
- 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG): Current price is within the 1-hour FVG, indicating a potential short entry point.
- MACD Divergence: A bearish divergence between the MACD indicator and price action suggests weakening upward momentum.
- Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence: Bearish CVD divergence indicates increasing selling pressure despite rising prices.
- Ichimoku Kijun Levels: Price is above the 1H, 4H, and daily Kijun lines, placing it in a relative premium zone, which may precede a downward correction.
Fundamental Factors :
- Fear Premium: Recent price increases are attributed to geopolitical tensions, such as conflicts in the Middle East, leading to a 'fear premium' in oil prices.
- Bearish Macro Outlook: Rising U.S. oil inventories and weak global demand projections, especially from China, suggest a bearish outlook for oil prices.
Trade Parameters :
- Position: Short USOIL
- Entry: Within the 1H FVG at current market price.
- Risk Management:
- Risk per Trade: 1% of trading capital
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
XAUUSD - China, still buying gold?!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. The continuation of the movement of gold depends on the failure or failure of this channel, and you can trade in that direction. In case of breaking the bottom of the channel, we can see the continued decline and see the demand zone and buy within that range with the appropriate risk reward. Maintaining the channel has paved the way for gold to rise to the supply zone, and gold can be sold within that zone.
Recent credible research analyzing undisclosed purchases since May 2024 confirms that China has been secretly buying gold. A recent analysis has validated long-held suspicions that, since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, China has been a significant and covert buyer of gold beyond officially reported levels. Goldman Sachs had previously hinted at such activity, and new findings by the analyst at Money Metals further substantiate this claim.
According to the report, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) discreetly purchased approximately 60 tons of gold in September alone. This trend has been ongoing since May 2024, with evidence suggesting a drawdown from London reserves dating back to May this year. While the PBOC has not reported any gold purchases since April, Goldman Sachs’ NowCast data estimates that around 50 tons of institutional gold purchases were conducted by China in May through the over-the-counter (OTC) market in London.
This strategy is not unique to China. Other nations, such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia, also employ similar tactics to accumulate gold discreetly while avoiding price spikes. The covert nature of these transactions reflects their intent to bolster reserves while maintaining low market prices.
One market analyst has cautioned investors hoping for a Christmas rally in gold prices to proceed with caution, as recent volatility may signal a peak in prices, at least for this year.
Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, noted in his latest report that gold has consistently experienced price increases in December over the past seven years. However, he warned that while recent price corrections might attract bargain hunters in the final month of 2024, gold’s current high prices remain a risk factor.
In his note, Hansen stated that the greatest challenge is the 28.3% rise in gold prices this year, bringing it close to the 29.6% growth seen in 2010 and 31% in 2007. While the fundamental supportive outlook for 2025 remains intact, such significant growth could prompt profit-taking and position adjustments before the year ends.
Hansen predicted that while gold may struggle to achieve new highs in December, his outlook for 2025 remains bullish, with prices expected to reach $3,000 in the new year. He added that geopolitical uncertainties will continue to support the precious metal as a safe haven.
At the same time, the introduction of new trade tariffs on U.S. imports next year is generally perceived as a positive factor for the U.S. dollar. However, the side effects of a stronger dollar could ripple through the global economy, particularly affecting countries reliant on dollar-denominated debt, commodity trade, and export-driven growth. This dynamic might sustain interest in alternative investments like gold and silver.
Hansen further emphasized that Trump’s plans for tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration policies could exacerbate inflation and debt—two key risks that gold investors seek to hedge against.
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go?FX:XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen?
The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech
Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP...
Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher...
Resistance levels: 2651, 2660
Support levels: 2636, 2618
Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!