Commodities
BRENT weaker after inventories and tariffs expectationsThe BRENT Crude (Brent Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7444, 13th and 24th February swing low level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7444 level could target the downside support at 7245 followed by 7134 and 7050levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7444 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7530 resistance followed by 7640 levels.
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USOIL H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 169.24, which is a pullback support that closes to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 71.58, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 68.29, which is a swing low support level.
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DeGRAM | GOLD is pressing the trend lineGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
Chart volatility has decreased
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and is forming an ascending wedge.
We expect a pullback after consolidation under the dynamic support.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Approaching the 2year Buy Zone.WTI Crude Oil turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.899, MACD = -0.720, ADX = 32.215) failing to cross above the 1D MA50 last Thursday and eventually getting rejected to today's low. This low just hit the HL trendline of September and is about to enter the S1 Zone that has been holding since March 2023. Every breach inside this Zone has been the best long term buy opportunity on WTI. Until the Zone breaks, we will treat it as the best buy entry, aiming at the LH Zone (TP = 77.00).
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update For 2-26-25Please take a moment to watch this video, in which I share my techniques and highlight what I believe will be the next setup phase for the SPY/QQQ, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin.
It looks like the selling pressure is nearly over, and I think the shift to a moderate recovery rally could set up over the next 24-48 hours.
It could be a good setup for skilled traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAGUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is nearing our sell entry at 32.00, a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 31.19, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 32.57, above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GOLD - Price can make movement up and then fall to $2880Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Not a long time ago, the price started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon reached $2760 level.
Price some time traded inside support area and then broke $2760 level, after which continued to grow next.
Soon, price made a correction to support line of channel and then rose to $2880 level and at once made a small correction.
After this, Gold broke $2880 level and then exited from a channel and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, Gold declined to support level and then in a short time rose to the top part of flat, where it trades near now.
In my mind, Gold can make a move up and then start to decline to $2880 support level.
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XAUUSD Still bearish on a Channel Down.Gold / XAUUSD entered a Channel Down on the 1hour timeframe forming today a Death Cross.
This is the first 1hour Death Cross since December 16th when Gold was again inside a Channel Down.
That Channel Down had symmetrical bearish waves of -3.00% each.
We expect the current one to show the same attributes, thus the bearish wave that just started on the Death Cross should be -2.30%.
Sell and target 2865.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend.
After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation.
Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ.
It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends.
BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support.
This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support.
Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place.
Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom.
Get some today.
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GOLD - Still Bullish Indeed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈XAUUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge marked in orange.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong structure and support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GOLD is around the the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue zone is broken downward, a deeper bearish movement towards the $2,775 demand zone would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Go long crude oilDear Traders,
Currently, crude oil continues its downward trend, though the pace of its decline has moderated, showing signs of bottoming out. Moreover, oil has now pulled back to the critical support zone around the 68 level. Should oil fail to decisively break below this support, a technical rebound could occur at any moment. Additionally, with oil’s relatively low valuation, it becomes increasingly attractive in the market.
For short-term trades, I favor initiating long positions on crude oil, with an initial target of a rebound toward the 69.5-70.5 zone, which seems well within reach.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
(XAU/USD) on the 1-hour (1H) timeframe, showing a potential buy,(XAU/USD) on the 1-hour (1H) timeframe, showing a potential bullish setup.
Chart Details:
• Current Price: Around 2,888.57
• Technical Analysis:
• Entry Zone: Around 2,877 - 2,883 (marked in red)
• Target Zone: Around 2,923 - 2,925 (marked in green)
• Expected Movement: The chart suggests a potential bullish reversal from the entry zone, targeting the upper resistance.
• Support Level: The entry zone is acting as a key support area.
• Resistance Level: The target zone is the expected resistance level.
Conclusion:
The setup indicates a possible buy opportunity from the entry zone with a potential upside towards 2,923 - 2,925. If price holds above the support, the bullish move could play out. However, if price breaks below 2,877, downside risk increases.
XAG/USD - Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Feb 24-28)The XAG/USD Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 31.25
2nd Support – 30.67
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XAUUSDGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2888
Four-hour chart resistance 2918, support below 2888-2850
Gold operation suggestions: Gold began to fall after being suppressed at the 2930 mark in the Asian and European sessions yesterday. The European session continued to fall under pressure at the 2920 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 2900 integer mark and stabilized at the 2890 line to bottom out and rebound. Then the gold price fluctuated and rose to close above 2910
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 2918, and the short-term support below is 2888. If it falls below the new low, it may accelerate its decline during the day and can be seen near 2850. If it is a false breakthrough, the final daily line closes above 2890 or fluctuates widely. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2888near SL:2892
BUY:2890near SL:2887
Use small size to control risk
Crude Oil Technical Outlook: Range Breakdown & Next Targets🔹Key Observations:
1. Range Formation & Breakout:
- The price was consolidating within a range (highlighted in the pink box).
- A range breakout trading setup is identified.
- The price has broken below the range support, signaling potential downside momentum.
2. Breakout Confirmation:
- The price has moved below a key support area (marked in blue).
- The breakdown indicates a potential continuation of the downtrend.
3. Downside Targets:
- 1st Target: $68.00 (first green line).
- 2nd Target: $67.05 (second green line).
- If the price sustains below the breakout level, these targets could be reached.
4. Volume Analysis:
- The volume bar at the bottom suggests increased selling pressure.
- The breakout occurred with notable volume, which confirms bearish sentiment.
▪️Technical Outlook:
- Bearish Bias: The chart suggests a bearish move with downside targets aligned at $68.00 and $67.05.
- Watch for Retest: If the price pulls back toward the breakout zone, it may confirm the breakdown before further decline.
- Invalidation Level: A strong recovery back above the blue support zone could invalidate the bearish setup.
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Intraday Setup: Gold Market Technical Outlook & Supply Zone.🔹Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis
- The chart highlights a supply zone around the 2,914 level, where price previously faced strong selling pressure.
- Gold has broken below this zone, indicating a potential bearish continuation.
- A retest of the supply zone is expected before further downside movement.
- The projected path suggests a move lower towards new support levels, likely around 2,890 or below.
- If price fails to reclaim the supply zone, sellers may maintain control.
▪️Conclusion:
Gold appears to be in a short-term downtrend, with potential selling opportunities near the supply zone before further declines.
Gold Market Analysis & Trading Strategy for TodayHello traders! Let’s analyze gold’s price movement and build a strategy for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD is experiencing a slight pullback, currently trading at $2,910 in the early trading hours. The precious metal remains stable within a descending parallel channel on the 1-hour chart, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
This correction aligns with declines in stocks and Bitcoin, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in the market. However, unlike other assets, gold has found support at lower levels, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to stabilize the market.
While gold is retracing, it remains relatively stable compared to other assets. If buyers continue defending key levels (trendline boundaries), we could see a short-term recovery attempt.
Additionally, investors are awaiting the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which is set to be published on Friday. This data could have a significant impact on gold’s direction.
XAUUSD UPDATED VIDEO ANALYSIS XAU/USD Analysis for 21 February 2025
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the factors influencing Gold (XAU/USD) for tomorrow, based on technical and fundamental insights from recent market data and forecasts:
1. Technical Analysis & Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at 2,940–2,943 USD (record high observed on 19 February)
A breakout above this zone could target 2,970 USD (next psychological barrier) or even 3,030 USD (Triangle pattern completion)
Support Levels:
Critical support at 2,887–2,906 USD. A drop below this range might trigger a deeper correction toward 2,850 USD
Indicators:
RSI (54.58): Neutral but leaning bullish.
MACD & Williams %R: Buy signals
Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought, suggesting short-term correction risks, though the broader uptrend remains intact
2. Fundamental Drivers
Fed Minutes Impact:
The release of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes (scheduled for 19–20 February) is critical. A hawkish tone (e.g., delays in rate cuts) could strengthen the USD, pressuring Gold. Conversely, dovish hints may fuel bullish momentum
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing US-Russia negotiations over Ukraine and Trump’s renewed tariff threats (e.g., 25%+ tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors) may sustain safe-haven demand for Gold
Dollar Dynamics:
The inverse correlation between XAU/USD and the USD remains pivotal. A weaker dollar (due to risk-off sentiment or Fed easing expectations) could propel Gold higher
3. Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Case:
A sustained break above 2,943 USD confirms the Triangle pattern breakout, targeting 3,030 USD
Continued safe-haven demand (geopolitical risks, tariffs) and dovish Fed signals may drive prices higher
Bearish Risks:
Failure to hold 2,900 USD support could trigger a correction toward 2,850 USD
Hawkish Fed rhetoric or USD strength (e.g., strong economic data) may cap gains
4. Strategic Takeaways
Entry Points:
Long positions: Consider buying on dips near 2,900–2,877 USD with a stop loss below 2,850 USD
Short-term traders: Target 2,970 USD if resistance at 2,943 USD breaks
Risk Management:
Monitor Fed Minutes and USD volatility. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically based on news flow
Conclusion
Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging. However, tomorrow’s Fed Minutes will be pivotal in determining short-term momentum. A breakout above 2,943 USD opens the door to new highs, while a breakdown below 2,900 USD signals profit-taking or a deeper correction. Traders should align positions with technical levels and news-driven volatility.
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