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Gold key levels with both buy and sell entries 12/01 to 17/01Gold key support and resistance levels for the coming week . Ill look to enter a buy at 2692 monitering support and resistance levels to the upside. For a sell my entry would be 2684 . For Gold we have seen a rise after a strong drop , we have retraced from 2600 to 2690/91 area now we could see a correction to the downside again. As always trade safe wait for levels and conformation of entry. This is not finincial advice mearly shareing my technical analasis on gold for the coming week
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
Gold - 15 min ( Gentle Buy and Sell Scalping After Break Out )In the context of the FXCM Gold market analysis, significant key levels have been identified on the 15-minute time frame. A bullish indication is present following a breakout above the key level at the 2771 area, accompanied by high trading volume. Conversely, a bearish scenario is anticipated should the price breach the key level at the 2755 area, also supported by increased volume. We prioritize delivering the most accurate trading opportunities and analyses, emphasizing precision rather than mere numerical data. ⚡️Gold / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bullish After Break key level + High Volume / 2771 Area 🚨Bearihs After Break key level + High Volume / 2755 Area ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by GentleGoldenEngine
XAU/USD : Get Ready for more correction before the next bullrun!Analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that in the last trading day of the previous week, before attempting to establish a new high, the price faced a correction from the $2786 level and has since declined, reaching as low as $2747. Currently, gold is trading around $2761, and if the price stabilizes below $2780, we can expect further corrections. The potential targets for this decline are $2756, $2751, and $2747, respectively. This analysis will be updated soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
6
Natural Gas ( XNGUSD ) Buy Opportunity Current Price: $3.267 Setup: Natural Gas is bouncing off a strong demand zone and respecting the ascending trendline support, indicating potential for a bullish move. The RSI is turning upwards, suggesting momentum in favor of buyers. Entry: $3.267 Stop Loss: $3.15 (below demand zone and trendline support for safety) Take Profits: TP1: $3.36 TP2: $3.55 TP3: $3.98 Why Buy? Price is rebounding from a solid demand zone. Clear respect for the trendline, confirming bullish sentiment. Rising RSI signals growing momentum for a move higher. Up to 7,200 USD profit per lot! $1,100 Risk per lot ! 🎯 Plan your trade and manage your risk! Let’s make some great trades together! 💹
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ValchevFinance
Gold Outlook: Bullish Above 2759, Bearish Below Gold Technical Analysis Gold now will drop to touch 2759 and then should stabilize above 2759 to be bullish toward 2788, and If a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes above 2788, it could further drive the price upward toward 2805 and 2810. On the other hand, if gold stabilizes below 2759 and 2752, it is likely to decline further, targeting 2739. Key Levels Pivot Point: 2772 Resistance Levels: 2787, 2804, 2813 Support Levels: 2759, 2739, 2722 Trend outlook: Bearish: If the price breaks below 2759 Bullish: While trading above 2759 Bullish Confirmation: A break above 2788
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
XAUUSD - Gold Enters the Last Week of January!On the 4-hour timeframe, gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling indicated by the target of the midline of the ascending channel. A correction of gold towards the demand zone will provide us with its next buying position. Last week, the gold market showcased one of its most stable and impressive performances in recent months, seemingly adapting to the shocks and uncertainties introduced by the newly established U.S. administration. Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst at Barchart.com, highlighted that given global markets’ reaction to the unpredictability of the new U.S. president, there appear to be few barriers to new record highs for gold. He stated, “At this point, we can set aside technical and fundamental analysis. Gold is acting as a safe haven against the chaos stemming from the new U.S. government. No one knows what the next statement or action will be.” According to the latest U.S. Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report released by S&P Global, the services sector index dropped to 52.8, marking its lowest level since April of last year and falling below market expectations of 56.5. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, exceeding the forecasted 49.7. The composite PMI also decreased to 52.4. Although confidence in the services sector has declined from its 18-month peak in December, it remains the second-highest level recorded in the past year.Additionally, the services sector experienced the fastest rate of job creation in 30 months. Input costs and selling prices across sectors also rose at the fastest pace in four months. Chris Williamson, Chief Economist at S&P Global, commented on the data, stating that U.S. businesses began 2025 with optimism about the new administration’s policies. In particular, growth expectations in the manufacturing sector have increased due to anticipated government support. He also noted that while GDP growth slowed slightly in January, sustained business confidence suggests this slowdown may be temporary. The rise in hiring rates, driven by improved business outlooks, is another encouraging sign. However, Williamson warned about increasing inflationary pressures. Companies reported that rising supplier costs and higher wages, driven by labor shortages, have led to price increases. If this trend continues, concerns about inflation could intensify, prompting the Federal Reserve to adopt more hawkish policies. Rich Checkan, President and COO of Asset Strategies International, predicted that gold might experience a price correction in the short term. He explained, “While the long-term trend for gold remains bullish, thanks to the mismanagement of fiat currencies, I anticipate a price correction this week. Gold has approached historical highs today, but uncertainties surrounding the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting could prompt investors to take profits, leading to a temporary price pullback.” This week, officials from major central banks worldwide will convene to make critical decisions. These meetings come as discussions about President Trump’s tariff threats resurface. The Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the Bank of Canada (BoC) are all scheduled to hold their monetary policy meetings this week.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,768.46. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,790.08. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
How to Enter a BUY In GOLD This Week! Step By Step!This is how I do it every trading day, and I want to share it with my viewers! Make sure your time frame alignment is one of the following: Weekly - 4H - 15m - 1m Daily - 1H - 5m - 1m Then make sure your bias is aligned on each one of those TFs. Then enter your trade on the 15m or 5 minute. You're all set! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
1
XAGUSD - Silver on the verge of a big week?!Silver is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. If the correction continues, we could see a break of the channel bottom. A consolidation above $30.8 would provide a path for silver to rise to the supply zone, where we can sell at a risk-reward ratio. According to the annual report by StoneX Financial, silver has been highlighted as one of the top-performing metals among both precious and industrial metals in 2025.Benefiting from its dual nature as a monetary and industrial asset, silver is set to gain from rising gold prices and strong industrial demand. In the report, Rhona O’Connell, Head of Market Analysis at StoneX, and Natalie Scott-Gray, Senior Base Metals Analyst, forecasted that silver, alongside copper and tin, will outperform other metals in 2025. Despite strong performance in 2024, with a 22% growth, silver is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2025 as the top-performing metal. This projection is based on robust market fundamentals and promising future prospects that have attracted the attention of investors. Part of this growth stems from the long-term outlook for the solar industry, although new U.S. government policies might slow this trend. Investment in silver is expected to remain strong, potentially even outpacing gold. While gold is predicted to peak this year, silver is anticipated to keep growing, with a price target of $33 by the end of 2025. Copper and tin have also garnered attention due to their critical roles in the transition to green energy and digitalization. On the other hand, aluminum has been identified as a metal requiring cautious investment. The report notes that silver has historically been recognized as a precious metal due to its history as a form of currency and its use in jewelry. According to the authors, “Silver’s relationship with gold has always played a key role in its price behavior, but in reality, this relationship is more complex.” They added, “Throughout much of last year, silver behaved like a precious metal during bullish trends and like a base metal during bearish ones. Statistical analysis confirms this. During U.S. economic recessions, silver’s price performance and correlation with gold and copper show that, more often than not, silver traded more in line with copper than gold. In inflationary periods, the opposite was true.” StoneX attributes this to two primary reasons. They explained, “Firstly, the nature of silver’s supply, which is predominantly derived as a byproduct of base metals or from industrial scrap, prevents it from having a clearly defined equilibrium price in the market. Secondly, a small group of investors sees silver as an accessible way to capitalize on gold’s price volatility.” They highlighted that “President-elect Trump’s suggestion that Mexico and Canada could face tariffs was enough to unsettle the market, even if these were likely negotiating stances rather than definitive decisions. Mexico accounts for approximately 25% of U.S. silver imports, and Canada accounts for 10%. Just the idea of such tariffs was enough to drive silver prices higher. However, as is often the case with silver, this movement was short-lived. This metal remains one of the most vulnerable to rapid and reactive price swings and should always be approached with caution.” They concluded, “Silver will continue to respond to any significant activity in the gold market and will also see further transitions this year due to the ongoing fundamental investment deficit growth. While it may face headwinds from European recession and potential oversupply of solar cells, its long-term outlook remains bright, likely continuing to attract investors and speculative funds.” Meanwhile, Lee Hardman, an analyst at MUFG Bank, noted that the depreciation of the dollar, following Trump’s statement that he would “prefer” not to impose new tariffs on China, might be limited. He argued that Trump is still likely to implement higher tariffs. Trump has called for lower interest rates and a weaker dollar to support the U.S. economy. However, his policies of higher tariffs, stricter immigration controls, and tax cuts, if enacted, “are likely to bolster U.S. yields and the dollar for a longer period.” In an interview with Fox News, Trump stated that he “prefers” not to impose new tariffs on China, suggesting the possibility of a trade deal.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Behind the Curtain: Economic Forces Fueling Crude Oil Futures1. Introduction Crude Oil Futures (CL), traded on the CME, are a cornerstone of global energy markets. Representing a vital benchmark for the energy sector, these futures reflect shifts in supply, demand, and macroeconomic sentiment. As both a speculative and hedging instrument, CL Futures are closely tied to economic forces shaping the global economy. In this article, we leverage machine learning insights from a Random Forest Regressor to uncover the top economic indicators influencing Crude Oil Futures across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes. By identifying these drivers, traders can gain a data-driven perspective to navigate the dynamic crude oil market effectively. 2. Understanding Crude Oil Futures o Contract Specifications: Standard Contract: Represents 1,000 barrels of crude oil. Tick Size: Each tick is 0.01 per barrel, equating to $10 per tick per contract. Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours, ensuring global access and liquidity. o Micro Crude Oil Contracts (MCL): Contract Size: Represents 100 barrels of crude oil, 1/10th the size of the standard CL contract. Tick Size: Each tick is 0.01 per barrel, equating to $1 per tick per contract. Purpose: Offers smaller-scale traders’ access to the crude oil market with lower capital requirements, making it ideal for those looking to hedge or test strategies. o Margins: Standard CL Contract Margin: Approximately $6,000 per contract (subject to market volatility). Micro MCL Contract Margin: Approximately $600 per contract. The combination of high liquidity, leverage, and the flexibility offered by Micro Crude Oil contracts makes CL Futures a versatile choice for a broad range of participants, from institutional investors to retail traders exploring smaller-scale strategies. 3. Daily Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators Machine learning insights reveal that the following daily indicators play a crucial role in shaping Crude Oil Futures' movements: U.S. Trade Balance: Measures the difference between exports and imports. A narrowing trade deficit signals improved economic health and potential upward pressure on oil demand, while a widening deficit may indicate weakened economic sentiment, weighing on crude prices. Unemployment Rate: Reflects labor market conditions and overall economic health. A declining unemployment rate often correlates with increased energy consumption due to stronger economic activity, boosting crude oil prices. Building Permits: Tracks new residential construction permits issued. Rising permits reflect economic confidence and can signal increased energy demand for construction activity, providing upward momentum for crude prices. 4. Weekly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators Weekly indicators provide medium-term insights into crude oil market dynamics. The top drivers include: Corporate Bond Spread (BAA - 10Y): Reflects the difference between corporate bond yields and Treasury yields. Widening spreads signal economic uncertainty, potentially reducing crude oil demand. Narrowing spreads suggest stability, supporting higher crude prices. U.S. Trade Balance (again): At the weekly level, trade balance trends highlight the interplay between global trade and crude oil demand, influencing market sentiment over several days. Housing Price Index: Indicates trends in real estate values, reflecting consumer confidence and economic stability. Rising housing prices often signal strong economic conditions, indirectly bolstering crude oil demand. 5. Monthly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators Monthly indicators provide a long-term perspective on Crude Oil Futures trends, highlighting macroeconomic forces at play. The top monthly drivers are: Natural Gas Prices: As a competing energy source, fluctuations in natural gas prices can impact crude oil demand. Rising natural gas prices often lead to increased crude consumption, while declining prices may pressure oil demand downward. U.S. Trade Balance (again): Over a monthly timeframe, the trade balance reflects sustained shifts in international trade dynamics. Persistent trade deficits may signal weaker global economic activity, affecting crude oil prices negatively, whereas trade surpluses may support demand. Net Exports: A critical measure of a country’s export-import balance, net exports reveal global demand for domestic products, including crude oil. Surpluses suggest robust international demand, often leading to upward pressure on oil prices, while deficits indicate weaker sentiment. 6. Applications for Different Trading Styles Economic indicators provide actionable insights tailored to specific trading styles: Day Traders: Focus on daily indicators such as U.S. Trade Balance, Unemployment Rate, and Building Permits to anticipate intraday volatility. For example, an unexpected improvement in building permits might signal stronger economic activity, potentially boosting crude oil prices intraday. Swing Traders: Weekly indicators like Corporate Bond Spread (BAA - 10Y) and Housing Price Index offer insights into intermediate trends. For instance, narrowing bond spreads often reflect economic stability, aligning with medium-term bullish positions in Crude Oil Futures. Position Traders: Monthly indicators such as Natural Gas Prices and Net Exports are essential for capturing long-term macroeconomic shifts. Sustained increases in natural gas prices, for example, might support prolonged bullish sentiment in crude oil markets. 7. Risk Management Strategies Risk management is crucial when trading Crude Oil Futures due to the inherent volatility of energy markets. Key strategies include: Hedging Volatility: Utilize correlated assets, such as natural gas or refined product futures, to hedge against price swings. Monitoring Leverage: Adjust position sizes based on volatility and margin requirements to minimize risk exposure during periods of heightened uncertainty. Timeframe Diversification: Incorporate insights from daily, weekly, and monthly indicators to create a balanced trading approach. For example, while daily indicators may signal short-term volatility, monthly metrics provide stability for longer-term trades. 8. Conclusion Crude Oil Futures are deeply influenced by economic indicators across varying timeframes. From the U.S. Trade Balance and Building Permits driving daily fluctuations to Natural Gas Prices and Net Exports shaping long-term trends, understanding these relationships is critical for navigating the energy market. By leveraging data-driven insights from machine learning models, traders can align their strategies with market dynamics and improve decision-making. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or position trader, these economic forces offer a framework for more informed and strategic trading. Stay tuned for the next installment in the "Behind the Curtain" series, where we unveil the economic forces shaping another critical futures market. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by traddictiv
Brent Crude Oil At Key Resistance - Will It Drop to 78.00?ICMARKETS:XBRUSD is at a key resistance area, marked by historical price reactions and strong selling pressure. This zone has been a reliable turning point for bearish reversals in the past. If bearish confirmation emerges, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 78.00. A breakout above this resistance, however, would invalidate the bearish scenario. Traders should remain cautious and use proper risk management when approaching this level.
ICMARKETS:XBRUSDShort
by DanieIM
COTTON: Buy Setup at Key Support ZonePEPPERSTONE:COTTON is trading within a significant demand zone, marked by prior price reactions and a strong historical support area. This zone has previously acted as a pivot point for bullish reversals, suggesting a high-probability area for buyer interest. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection within this demand zone, the market may move upward toward the 6,824 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. If you have any additional insights or a different perspective, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
FOREXCOM:COTTONLong
by DanieIM
XAGUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAGUSD The price just got rebounded from a very strong resistance, just to go back and retest the range bottom (support) zone, although the Trend remains bearish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the lower part of the market. The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken support and used as resistance before I look for a SHORT trade. A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at $30.953. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by Adefxc
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 27 - January 31]Last week, the gold market continued to benefit from concerns related to tariffs and US President Donald Trump's statements on interest rates, along with a decrease in US bond yields and the USD, and gold prices traded. trading near a 3-week high of above 2,750 USD/ounce. Ahead of the monetary policy meeting next week, it is predicted that the US Central Bank will keep interest rates unchanged and there will only be one interest rate cut this year, while Mr. Trump called on banks to Global central banks lower interest rates. This means there may be disagreements between Mr. Trump and the Fed. This is something that traders are paying attention to and gold prices are likely to benefit from its role as a safe haven asset. This week's economic calendar will focus on central banks globally, with the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada announcing interest rate decisions on Wednesday, followed by an announcement from the European Central Bank. Europe on Thursday. The market will also pay attention to some US economic data, including the December new home sales report released on Monday, durable goods and consumer confidence reports on Tuesday, GDP Fourth quarter weekly unemployment claims and pending home sales on Thursday, and PCE, personal income and personal spending on Friday morning. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, this week's gold price has broken out of the Downtrend line and the important resistance level at 2725, gaining momentum to near the 2790 resistance threshold. Next week, if the 2790 resistance mark is broken, broken, gold prices will continue to set record high prices for early 2025. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,730USD Resistance: 2,770 – 2,762 – (All-time high) SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2831 - 2829⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2835 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2712 - 2714⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2708
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Gold correction comingOur algo suggests a correction in physical gold prices. This might be a slow decline over a year or so. Target price is around 2300 i.e. 23 for AAAU. All the best. Marketpanda Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.
CBOE:AAAUShort
by marketpanda123
#202504 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: We have a first decent pull-back and so far every dip buyer lost money. We are at the daily 20ema and missed the breakout price by 4 ticks. I think the odds favor the bulls to get another leg up and try 80 again. 5 consecutive daily bear bars is a bear micro channel and buying into this is a bad buy. Bulls will probably wait for more confirmation first. So best thing to do here is nothing. If the bulls get another leg up, I highly doubt they will get anything beyond 80, if they make it that far. The market would have never pulled-back that much in a strong trend. current market cycle: trading range - on lower time frames it’s also obviously a bull trend key levels: 73 - 80 bull case: Bulls have their do or die moment around 74. Below 73 this rally is over and we will aim for 67 much more than 80. A strong bullish daily bar could shift the momentum again and another try at reaching 80. Above the 4h 20ema and probably 76, this becomes a decent long again. I would wait for that confirmation before joining the bulls. Invalidation is below 73. bear case: Bears printed an endless pull-back down from 79.45 and the 4h 20ema was big resistance for the entire week. If bears just keep at it, we can continue all the way down from where we started end of December but if bulls gain momentum and go above 76, I doubt many bears want to hold short in fear of going to 80. Invalidation is above 80. short term: Neutral. I need confirmation for either side before I want to take a trade. The 4h and 1h is on the bear side and the daily looks still bullish enough for me to now want to get chopped around between 73 - 76. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
What If I Told You... Soybeans Are Ripe for a Short? | COT StratFollow Me Down the Rabbit Hole: The Soybeans Market Setup for Shorts What if I told you... the soybean market is on the verge of a paradigm shift? That the signals are all around you, hidden in plain sight, waiting for those who can read the code. The Commitment of Traders (COT) data is flashing red, and the truth is undeniable: the smart money is preparing for a downturn. Take the red pill, and let’s decode why the path of least resistance points down. The COT Index: A Matrix of Sell Signals The COT Index is the Oracle, revealing the intentions of the market’s architects. Commercial traders – the ones who truly understand the construct – have loaded up on shorts at levels even more bearish than May. And they’re doing it at lower prices. This isn’t just resistance to the rally. It’s a calculated move. A whisper in the system that the rally is but an illusion, built on a fragile code. Overvalued in the Grand Simulation When you step back and compare soybeans to the benchmarks of reality – gold, Treasuries, and the almighty DXY – their overvaluation becomes clear. The system’s balance demands equilibrium, and soybeans are poised to correct. Sentiment: The False Prophet The Advisor Sentiment Index reveals an uncomfortable truth: the herd is ecstatic. But as you’ve learned, the crowd rarely escapes the Matrix unscathed. Bullish sentiment at these extremes is a trap, and the smart money is already fading this illusion of strength. Spread Divergence: Cracks in the Code The spread divergence between the front-month and the next-month contracts is a glitch in the system. Short-term excitement isn’t aligning with the longer-term structure. When spreads diverge like this, it’s a signal: the construct is destabilizing. Distribution: The Hidden Hand The POIV (Price-Open Interest Volume) divergence reveals a pattern of distribution. The architects of the market are selling into the rally, while the unwitting masses continue to buy. The code doesn’t lie. This is the calm before the storm. The Technical Trinity: %R, Stochastic, and Oscillator Three powerful indicators align, pointing to an impending shift: %R Indicator: Overbought and ready to turn. Stochastic Oscillator: Rolling over, signaling exhaustion. Ultimate Oscillator: Confirming the downward momentum. Combine this with the down-sloping 52-day SMA, and the dominant trend reveals itself: the Matrix is designed to move lower. Patience: The Key to the System This isn’t a call to blindly short. No one escapes the system without discipline. Wait for the daily chart to confirm the trend change. Only then can you move with precision, ensuring that every move aligns with the code. The Choice Is Yours The soybean market is more than what it seems. The smart money, the sentiment extremes, the divergences – they all point to a single truth: this rally is an illusion. But as always, the choice is yours. Will you take the blue pill and believe what you want to believe? Or take the red pill, follow me, and see how deep the COT hole really goes? The trend is your ally – until it isn’t. And this one is collapsing before your eyes. Stay tuned, stay sharp, and remember: the Matrix rewards those who see beyond the veil. Acknowledgment The strategies and concepts taught in this class draw significant inspiration from the works and teachings of Larry Williams, a pioneer in trading and market analysis. His groundbreaking research and methodologies have shaped the foundation of modern trading education. While this class incorporates Larry Williams’ principles, the content has been adapted and presented to reflect my own understanding and application of these ideas. Full credit is given to Larry Williams for his original contributions to the field of trading. Disclaimer The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions. The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
CBOT:ZS1!Short
by Tradius_Trades
Analysis of gold market trends next week: Gold news analysis: Gold prices rose nearly 1% on Friday (January 24), close to the historical high set in October last year, mainly driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's call for interest rate cuts and uncertainty in his trade policy. Spot gold rose as much as 0.12% to $2,785.50 per ounce, up 2.8% this week. Gold prices are currently at their highest level since the all-time high of $2,790.15 per ounce set on October 31 last year. The U.S. dollar index fell to a one-month low, making dollar-denominated gold cheaper for foreign buyers. Gold prices are heading towards new all-time highs, coinciding with a correction in the US dollar. The dollar weakened as Trump hinted that he might relax his tariff policy on China and choose to reach a trade agreement. On Thursday, Trump said at the World Economic Forum in Davos that he would ask for an immediate rate cut. In an interview with Fox NEW, Trump said he preferred not to use tariffs to resolve trade issues with China. Zero-yielding gold is seen as a hedge during times of political and economic turmoil and performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Trump’s comments come ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, when policymakers are widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Gold once again continued its previous upward trend on Friday. It hit the 2785 line at its highest in the US market and then retreated under pressure, approaching the historical high and closing at the 2770 line. The daily line also closed in the inverted hammer shape of the upper lead. Although There is a willingness to go higher and fall back on Friday, but for now, the support of 2770 is still resisting stubbornly, and it has not broken after all. Next week is also the announcement of the interest rate decision. Before that, gold is likely to be in shock. Of course, it does not rule out the early release of news. Once the Asian early trading opens flat next Monday, the 2770 line may also fall. What needs to be tested is the top-bottom conversion 2762-60 area below. This The position is also the rising point of the upward trend, while the upper suppression port remains near 2780-88. In the short term, it is likely to fluctuate around this range, waiting for a later breakthrough. Judging from the 4-hour market analysis, the performance of the Asian morning session and the European session on Monday is also more important. The US session also needs to follow the trends of the European session for layout, regardless of whether the bulls can break through in the later period and set a new high again, or form a retracement correction. situation, there may be a wave of upward energy in the later period. Our professional and experienced gold analyst team recommends the short-term operation strategy for next Monday Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 2758-2762, and add more positions when it falls back to 2750-2753, stop loss 2743, target 2780-2788;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Caesar_Gorman01