Commodities
XAUUSD M15 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
Is there still a chance for a bull market in gold's decline?📰 Impact of news:
1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5
2. Initial jobless claims data
3. Non-farm payroll data
4. Worsening geopolitical situation
5. Watch the impact of the dialogue between Trump and Xi Jinping on gold
📈 Market analysis:
This round of geopolitical conflict caused an upward breakthrough, but the price has cooled down due to the negotiations between China and the United States. The current market is swaying at 3374. In fact, gold has not yet taken a more obvious direction. After all, tomorrow, Friday, is a key node in the data market game. At the 4H level, today's European session has reached the 3404 line, and encountered resistance and pressure here. The current retracement is in line with our expectations, and we expect to go long. As long as the key position of the middle track is maintained, it will continue to rise after being pulled down. At present, I still hold long orders.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3385-3375
TP 3400-3410
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 35.467 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 64.706 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 65.295. and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 9:
Core logic analysis:
Risk aversion cools down
The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the short-term safe-haven demand for gold, but long-term uncertainties (such as the prospects for global economic recovery and the Fed's policies) still support the safe-haven properties of gold.
Technical bearishness dominates
Weekly: Inverted hammer pattern + MACD high dead cross sign, suggesting a callback risk.
Daily: Two consecutive negatives fell below the short-term moving average, MACD dead cross, but be wary of the support strength of the Bollinger middle track (near 3295).
4 hours: The price broke below the Bollinger lower track, the moving average was in a short position, the MACD momentum was downward, and the short-term was bearish.
Key price:
Upper resistance:
First resistance: 3328-3330 (intraday strength and weakness boundary, bearish force point).
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (if broken, the short-term bearish trend may be reversed).
Support below:
First support: 3290-3280 (test target at the beginning of the week, may trigger a rebound).
Strong support: 3280 (break opens the downward space to 3250-3230).
Operation strategy suggestions
Short order opportunity
Aggressive: short with a light position after rebounding to 3325-3330, stop loss above 3340, target 3300-3290.
Conservative: wait for the 3340-3345 area to be under pressure before entering the market, stop loss 3355, target the same as before.
Long order opportunity
Short-term rebound: If it first touches 3280-3290 and stabilizes (not breaking down quickly), you can go long with a light position on the rebound, stop loss 3275, target 3310-3320.
Rebound after breaking: If it quickly breaks down 3280 and rebounds to 3295-3300 under pressure, you can follow the short position for the second time.
Breakout response
Break above 3350: Short orders temporarily exit the market, wait and see whether it will step back to confirm the support and turn long.
Break below 3275: Be cautious in chasing shorts, prevent low-level technical rebounds, and wait for a pullback before following up with shorts.
Risk warning
Data risk: Market volatility may increase before and after the release of non-agricultural data, and be wary of wash-outs.
Sudden events: Sudden changes in geopolitical or Fed policy expectations may reverse technical patterns.
Position management: The current trend is bearish but has not been confirmed to be unilateral. It is recommended to operate with light positions in stages to avoid heavy positions betting on the direction.
Summary: Gold is likely to continue to fluctuate and be bearish next week, but be wary of bullish counterattacks at key support levels. The main trading method is shorting at the rebound high point, supplemented by short buying at the key support level, strictly stop loss and pay attention to the news developments.
Gold: Easing China Tensions Could Weigh on XAUUSD Prices!!!Hey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SILVER Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 35.598
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 34.911
Safe Stop Loss - 36.515
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD H4 Weekly Chart Update For 9-13 June 25Hello Trader,
As you can see that there are some crucial levels appear in the chart, right market sustain above 3300 Psychological Level if market break 3300 Psychological Level Successfully then it will might be testing 325+-60 zone
Above 3300 Psychological Level Market will move towards 3326 level or even 3345
Furthermore kindly check all mentioned zone in the chart carefully
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
USOIL Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 61.359.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 64.395 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold Market Update Ahead of US Jobs Data
On Friday, gold edged up slightly ahead of key US jobs data (NFP). Optimism over a US-China deal and USD profit-taking are capping gold’s gains. A weak NFP (<100,000) would bolster expectations of a Fed rate cut (54% chance in September), supporting gold, while a strong NFP (>200,000) would pressure it downward.
Technically, the market is bullish, with prices consolidating in the 3300-3340 range after breaking resistance. A shakeout at support is possible before the trend resumes.
Resistance: 3375, 3391, 3414
Support: 3339, 3331
Forecasting prices before NFP is tough, so it’s best to wait for the data and monitor price reactions. Prices may stay range-bound until next week, depending on fundamentals.
Best regards,
XAUUSD: Bullish Structure Still Intact?Dear friends,
To begin this post, I want you to understand why I want to connect with the global TradingView community. Simply put, I want to share the value I have and listen to more perspectives from all of you. This helps build a stronger, more united community.
And what about you. What do you think of OANDA:XAUUSD hovering around 3,370 USD?
Let’s explore it together!
OANDA:XAUUSD is moving within a very clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. This indicates that the bullish structure is still being maintained and the buyers remain in control. The recent upward momentum further reinforces the belief that this trend could continue.
The price is currently approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand area. If this zone holds, it could offer a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. The projected bullish target is 3,485 USD, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and represents a reasonable upside objective. This is the area I will closely monitor to find a trend-following buy entry, as long as bullish momentum remains intact.
Of course, I do not dismiss the opposite scenario. Failure to hold this dynamic support may suggest that bullish momentum is weakening and could shift the short-term trend to neutral or bearish.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently!
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran
2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve
📈 Market analysis:
The 1H moving average of gold has shown signs of turning downward. If a death cross structure is formed subsequently, it will open up further downward space. From the market point of view, the price of gold rebounded to around 3364 after the release of non-agricultural data. This position constitutes a short-term key resistance level. If the rebound is under pressure here during the US trading session, short selling on rallies can still be considered. Although the price of gold has started to decline, it has not been able to fall below the important support of 3,300, so the long-term direction remains unchanged. At the same time, we need to pay attention to the effectiveness of the 3310 support line in the short term, and consider long trading only after the bottom is confirmed. For short-term trading, consider shorting at 3340-3350, and look to 3320-3310
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Crude oil-----Sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil is still bearish, and we will continue to sell on rebounds. If it does not break 65.00, it will fluctuate. The general trend is bearish. If it breaks, we will adjust our thinking. Today's crude oil is the key. Will it start to take off before the data? The previous crude oil inventory data did not allow crude oil to break the position. The crude oil fluctuation range is 60.00-65.00. If it breaks this range, we will adjust our thinking on fluctuations.
Operational suggestions
Crude oil-----Sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00
Long positions have made profits, focus on support📰 Impact of news:
1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran
2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the gold price has touched 3340. If it stabilizes here, we can arrange to go long. However, the gold price is constantly testing downwards, which is why I did not arrange to go long immediately. At the same time, we need to be vigilant about whether the gold price will fall below the important support of 3330. If it really falls below 3330, the gold price may test the support of the integer mark of 3300, which will also determine the future market trend.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3400-3370
TP 3340-3330-3300
BUY 3335-3330
TP 3350-3370
SELL 3325-3320
TP 3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
USOIL:The strategy of going short
USOIL: Same thinking, still maintain the short strategy. Friends with short orders at 63.3-63.5 continue to wait, can increase short orders near 63.8, the target is 62.5-62.3 unchanged
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Ivanhoe Mines - a 50% discount opportunity !The share price of this mining monster has suffered a 50% price decline in the last 6 months.
One of the main reasons for the share price decline is the suspension of underground operations at the Kakula mine due to seismic activity. This suspension has led to a withdrawal of production and cost guidance for 2025, causing investor uncertainty and a subsequent drop in share price 1,2,3 Additionally, the company has faced challenges with its smelter, including a fire that damaged onsite generators and caused a three-month delay in commissioning. These issues, combined with power constraints and grid instability in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), have contributed to a more conservative production outlook.
However there are lots of positive catalysts for Ivanhoe Mines: the upcoming rise in precious metal prices, especially the wake up of the severely undervalued PLATINUM prices.
Platreef PGM project in South Africa contains 7 million ounces of gold (0.25 gpt) and 50 million ounces of AuEq. About 90% of annual production (1 million ounces) will consist of PGMs (platinum group metals), making it the largest PGM mine in the world ! Platreef is expected to have low all-in production costs, though more precise figures will become available after the ramp-up phase, scheduled for the second half of 2025.
Platreef PGM, Kakula-Kamoa (massive copper mine, the largest high grade mine globally) and Kipushi (a high-grade zinc operation); With all three of their mines expected to be in production, 2025 could be a pivotal year for them.
Chart wise, the price is still rising in a long term rising wedge. Price just found support on the lower resistance and is bouncing strongly. OBV on balance volume is still on a steady rise. I own Ivanhoe Mines since I got in at sub 1$ (thanks to Rick Rule's reccomandation - God may bless him). and I am not willing to let go before we reach 50$, which is my long term target.
XAUUSD will it pump again? Gold free signal!!!Hello everyone.
I want share my idea about XAUUSD (Gold).
This week we started little bit bearish, week open we see big FVG at 4h chart which was not tested and till today it was coming down, but we see today after US news price was before into daily Gap zone and then show us aggressive buy.
Why we got aggressive buy today?
Gold (XAU/USD) staged an aggressive rally, climbing from a one-month low near $3,155 to around $3,219.81. The catalyst? U.S. economic news, likely softer-than-expected PPI data and growing concerns over a $1.049 trillion fiscal 2025 deficit, sparked safe-haven demand. A weaker dollar and renewed Fed rate-cut bets (possibly starting October) further fueled the surge. Gold’s appeal as a hedge against uncertainty shone through as markets digested mixed signals on Trump’s tariff policies.
Gold’s technical rebound could push it toward $3,400 if it holds above $3,200, but trade optimism or a hawkish Fed might cap gains. Long-term, analysts see gold hitting $3,700 by year-end, driven by inflation and policy risks.
Here is the setup for long side trade, my technical analysis is simple i am following trend, we have some shifting but that's not problem for, only i will be wrong if DXY will continue uptrend.
3212 open long position
3150 stop loss
3400 take profit
In my last analysis about gold i was wrong, my prediction was long but as i mentioned in my last post there was 2h FVG which worked well, and broke daily FVG zone plus last week low. If you want see my last post about gold it will be linked in this post.
Harmonic AB=CD Pattern Guide for TradingViewThe Harmonic AB=CD pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool used to predict price reversals in financial markets. Based on Fibonacci ratios, it helps traders identify high-probability entry and exit points. This concise guide is designed for TradingView users to apply the pattern effectively.
Pattern Overview
- Structure: Four points (A, B, C, D). AB and CD legs are equal in length or follow Fibonacci ratios.
- Fibonacci Ratios:
- BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB.
- CD equals AB (1:1) or extends 1.272/1.618 of BC.
- Types:
- Bullish: Signals a buy at point D (price rises).
- Bearish: Signals a sell at point D (price falls).
How to Identify and Trade
1. Spot AB: Find a clear price swing from A to B.
2. Measure BC: Use TradingView’s Fibonacci Retracement tool to confirm BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB.
3. Project CD: Use Fibonacci Extension to project CD, matching AB’s length or extending 1.272/1.618 of BC.
4. Confirm D: Check for confluence with support/resistance, candlestick patterns (e.g., doji), or indicators (e.g., RSI divergence).
5. Trade Execution:
- Bullish: Buy at D, set stop-loss below D, target point C or A.
- Bearish: Sell at D, set stop-loss above D, target point C or A.
Tips for TradingView
- Use TradingView’s Fib tools for precision.
- Confirm signals with additional indicators (e.g., MACD, volume).
- Avoid choppy markets; focus on trending or range-bound charts.
The AB=CD pattern is a reliable method for spotting reversals when used with proper confirmation. By mastering Fibonacci tools on TradingView and combining the pattern with other signals, traders can enhance their decision-making and improve trade outcomes. Practice on historical charts to build confidence.