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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 17 - March 21]Last week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply, from 2,880 USD/oz to 3,005 USD/oz. Then, profit-taking pressure caused the gold price to drop to 2,978 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,986 USD/oz. The reason for the sharp increase in gold prices in recent days is that US inflation figures (CPI, PPI) have decreased more sharply than expected, raising expectations that the FED will cut interest rates twice more this year. In addition, concerns about US public debt have increased as the US Congress is unlikely to pass the Budget Bill, putting the US government at risk of a shutdown. The FED meeting next week will play an important role in shaping expectations about the FED's interest rate policy. This could be the main driver for gold prices next week, given the inverse correlation between gold and the USD. However, in recent comments, the FED Chairman has remained cautious about inflationary pressures due to concerns that the Trump administration's tariff policies will fuel inflation in the medium and long term. Therefore, it is possible that the FED Chairman will continue to maintain interest rates at current levels in the next meetings. If so, this will be a shock to gold prices next week, causing gold prices to fall next week. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: This week is shaping up to be a volatile one for gold, with markets digesting a number of key economic releases. Central banks continue to dominate the calendar, with the Bank of Japan announcing its interest rate decision on Tuesday, followed by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday and the Swiss National Bank and Bank of England on Thursday. There are also a number of key US economic data releases, including Retail Sales and the Empire State Manufacturing Index on Monday, Housing Starts and Building Permits on Tuesday. On Thursday, markets will be watching the weekly Unemployment Report, Existing Home Sales and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey. 📌Technically, in the short-term perspective on the H1 chart, gold prices next week may maintain their upward momentum to find the 161.8 fibo level around 3035. Or they may temporarily reduce and adjust around the Trendline at 2915. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,977 – 2,956 USD Resistance: 3,000 – 3,021 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3036 - 3034⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3040 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2914 - 2916⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2910
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD surges as geopolitical risks unexpectedly boost gainsOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise in the short term, with gold prices just hitting a new all-time high of $3,014/oz. As investors focused on US economic data, which raised concerns about an economic slowdown, and escalating tensions in the Middle East, the precious metal's appeal as a safe haven was highlighted. Israel Strikes Hamas Targets Across Gaza, Killing Over 200 Israel said it carried out military airstrikes on Hamas targets in the Gaza Strip, a move that risks derailing a fragile ceasefire. Palestinians reported multiple airstrikes by Israel on various areas of the Gaza Strip. Traders were also looking at U.S. retail sales data, which showed a smaller-than-expected increase in February. Falling yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes also helped boost non-interest-bearing gold. Israel has launched a series of airstrikes on the Gaza Strip as a nearly two-month-old ceasefire appeared to be rapidly unraveling, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu saying his government would “increase its military force” against Hamas. Palestinians reported Israeli airstrikes in several areas of Gaza on Tuesday morning, and an Israeli statement confirmed the attacks took place across Gaza. Hamas’ media office said on Tuesday that Israeli airstrikes on the Gaza Strip had killed more than 200 people. The attack shattered a fragile ceasefire that had been suspended for 15 months in the war ravaging the Gaza Strip. It was the heaviest bombing since a ceasefire brokered by Egypt, Qatar and other countries took effect in January. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After reaching and breaking the original price level which is also the bullish price target of 3,000 USD, gold is continuing to aim for the target level behind that, pay attention to readers last week at 3,021 USD in the short term, which is the location of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping up with a significant slope and has not completely moved above the overbought area, showing that momentum and room for growth is still ahead. Next, the main trend and outlook remains bullish with price channels and mid- to short-term trend. The main support is seen by the EMA21. As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it remains technically bullish, the current dips should only be considered as a short-term correction or a buying opportunity. The following areas of interest will also be noted. Support: $3,000 – $2,977 Resistance: $3,021 – $3,065 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3036 - 3034⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 3040 →Take Profit 1 3028 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3022 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2949 - 2951⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2945 →Take Profit 1 2957 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2963
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 3025.8 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 3011.4 Safe Stop Loss - 3034.8 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
2
Will Oil Prices Ignite Amid a Middle East War?The global oil market is critical, with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East potentially leading to significant price fluctuations. Recent military actions by the U.S. against Yemen's Houthi group have contributed to rising oil prices, as Brent crude futures reached $71.21 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures hit $67.80 per barrel. Positive economic indicators from China, including increased retail sales, have supported oil prices despite global economic slowdown concerns. The Middle East remains a focal point for oil price volatility due to its strategic importance in global oil supply. Iran, a major oil producer, could face disruptions if tensions escalate, potentially driving prices higher. However, global spare capacity and demand resilience might cap long-term increases. Historical events like the 2019 Saudi oil facility attacks demonstrate the market's sensitivity to regional instability, with prices spiking by $10 following the incident. Analysts predict that if the conflict escalates to close the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices could exceed $100 per barrel. Nevertheless, historical data suggests that prices may stabilize within a few months if disruptions prove temporary. The delicate balance between supply shocks and market adjustments underscores the need to closely monitor geopolitical developments and their economic ripple effects. As global economic uncertainties overshadow geopolitical risks, maintaining market confidence will depend on sustained positive economic data from countries like China. The potential for peace negotiations in Ukraine and changes in U.S. sanctions could also impact oil prices, making this a pivotal moment for global energy markets.
FX_IDC:USDBROLong
by UDIS_View
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-18-25 : Gap Reversal Counter-TrendFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and feedback. I really love hearing from TradingView subscribers and how my research is helping everyone find success. Just recently, I received some DMs from viewers saying my research has been "dead on" - which is great. One thing is for sure, the big move in Gold/Silver is just getting started. Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Gap-Reversal in a Counter Trend mode. The long-term & short-term bias is currently BEARISH - so I believe the GAP Reversal will be to the upside. Meaning, I suggest we start the day with a mild lower GAP - followed by a moderate price reversal in early trading, leading to a continued melt-up type of trend for the SPY/QQQ Gold and Silver are likely to attempt to melt a bit higher into the TOP pattern for today. I believe this is just a temporary resistance level for metals. Bitcoin is struggling to find upward momentum - but I believe BTCUSD still has a $3k-$5k rally left to reach the current Consolidation highs. We'll see if it breaks higher over the next 3-5 days before rolling over into a new downtrend. Again, I really appreciate all of my followers and viewers. I want all of you to learn to see, read, and understand price action more clearly than ever before. That's why I don't use any technical indicators on my chart. I want you to understand PRICE is the ultimate indicator. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then continue growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it so long rose near support line and reached $2845 level. Then Gold broke this level, exited from channel and started to trades inside flat, where it at once made retest. After this movement, Gold started to grow and later grew to top part of flat, which coincided with $2955 level. Price some time traded near this level and then corrected to support area, after which started to grow. Gold rose to $2955 level and broke it, thereby exiting from flat too and then it continued to move up next. Possibly, Gold can fall to the support area, correcting, and then continue to rise to $3040 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
11
HelenP. I Gold will continue to move up in upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price entered the channel and began moving higher along the trend line. Soon, it climbed to Support 2, which aligned with the support zone, broke this level, retested it, and then continued its upward movement. Later, Gold reached Support 1, which also coincided with a support zone. Shortly after, it broke this level as well, reaching the resistance line of the channel before making a correction to another support zone. The price traded around this area for some time before making a corrective move below Support 1, even briefly breaking the trend line in a false breakout. However, it quickly resumed its upward movement within the channel. Gold then broke through Support 1 again, retested it, and rebounded from the support zone. Based on the current structure, I expect XAU/USD to make a corrective move toward the trend line before continuing its growth inside the upward channel. Given this scenario, my goal is set at 3070 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
11
Skeptic | XAU/USD Ready to Break Out? Key Long & Short Setups!Welcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic . Let’s kick off the week with an analysis of XAU/USD , which seems to be giving us a long trigger right now! Let’s break down the 1-hour time frame. 🔍 Market Overview: The major trend on the daily is still uptrend , so it’s best to trade in the direction of the trend (long) . Last week, as per our analysis, we hit a new ATH and managed to break the resistance at 2954.74 . 📈 Current Situation: After a brief consolidation in the 4-hour time frame, a new uptrend momentum seems to be kicking off, which could lead to another price surge and a potential new uptrend. 🚀 Long Setup: Our riskier long trigger will be activated after breaking 2994.16 , and it looks like the current candle is about to break it. For a safer position, we’ll wait for a breakout above 3002.71 . 📉 Short Setup: A short position below 2968.43 could work, although the uptrend momentum is quite strong, so there’s a higher chance of hitting the stop loss . 💡 This week, we have plenty of setups, so make sure to catch all the analyses and stay prepared. Until the next analysis—stay sharp and trade smart! 💪🔥
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticWise
3
Gold Forecast: Key Levels Above $3,000Gold remains persistent in targeting its inverted head and shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe, eyeing the 3,040-resistance. However, monthly overbought conditions—seen in 2024, 2020, and 2011—raise caution for potential sharp reversals. • In 2011, an overbought RSI led to a nearly 900-point retracement • In 2020, a similar overbought condition resulted in a nearly 450-point decline • In November 2024, another overbought reading triggered a nearly 250-point drop • Now, gold has once again reached these overbought levels, raising caution for a potential momentum recharge. Key Events: 🔹Israel-Gaza tensions escalate as the 2-month ceasefire ends 🔹Trump and Putin negotiate a ceasefire with #Ukraine 🔹The US Dollar weakens amid trade war risks, with focus on Wednesday’s FOMC for the long-term outlook Key Levels: 🔺Above 3,040: The trend could extend to 3,080 🔻Below 3,040: A reversal may test 3,000, 2,955, 2,930, and 2,900 - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 3,023.60. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,981.07 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
WTI OIL turned the 4H MA50 into Support and aiming higher.WTI Oil (USOIL) has broken above the bearish trend of the former Lower Highs and a Channel Up emerged. The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) broke for the first time in almost a month and has now been turned into Support. As long as this holds, we expect Oil to target the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at $70. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTILong
by TradingShot
Next Week's Trading Blueprint for USOILThis week, U.S. crude oil closed at $67.18, with a weekly increase of 0.2%. Next week, there is sufficient upward momentum. The United States has tightened sanctions on Iran, and there is a risk of supply contraction. Moreover, the decline in U.S. gasoline inventories far exceeds expectations, indicating strong demand. Technically, if the key resistance level of $69.00 is breached, an upward space will be opened, and the bullish forces are expected to push up the price of U.S. crude oil. USOIL Trading Strategy for Next Week: buy@ 65-66.5 tp:69-70 I firmly believe realized profit and a high win - rate are the best measures of trading skill. Daily, I share highly precise trading signals. These include clear entry points, stop - loss levels for risk control, and profit - taking targets from in - depth analysis. Follow me for big financial market returns. Click my profile for a trading guide on trends, strategies, and risk management.
TVC:USOILLong
by JohnGonzalez7
1
XAUUSD: 18/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3030-50, support below 2978 Four-hour chart resistance 3030, support below 3000 One-hour chart resistance 3020, support below 3006 Gold operation suggestions: Gold was consolidated at a high level yesterday, and rose straight after entering the breakthrough. The US dollar is weak, and gold is still strong in the short term, but the attached indicator has entered the top divergence area, and there is a need for adjustment, with the previous continuous increase in volume. The current rise is a slow rise, and the callback is a fast retracement. It is also a deep retracement. At this stage, it is most likely to misjudge the direction, and the fluctuation range will become larger and larger. Remember, sideways trading does not mean the end of the rise. Heavy volume will soon lead to a new high. Avoid chasing highs. From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the one-hour level 3006 and the four-hour level 3000 line, focusing on the important support of the 2978 line. The retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish, and the upper target still focuses on the new high. Before the daily level does not fall below the lower support, it still maintains a long-term transaction. Buy: 3006near SL: 3000 Buy: 3000near SL: 2995
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold has not reached the top yet!Continue to buy today, rely on the 5-day moving average to enter the market, and rely on the 10-day moving average to continue to be bullish at the extreme position. From the perspective of the morphological structure, the upper trend line pressure is around 3036, and the 4-hour level market is consolidating at a high level! The high point of the daily chart continues to break through, which is an unstoppable rhythm. At the same time, the K line runs at a high level of 2990-3000. This is a sign of laying a solid foundation, sitting firmly at the bottom, and the moving average continues to run upward, which is also close to vertical upward. Wait for a decline to continue buying more! At present, gold is still bullish and strong. As long as there is a chance to fall back, we will buy it. It is easiest to trade with the trend. Key points: First support: 2993, second support: 2982, third support: 2968 First resistance: 3016, second resistance: 3028, third resistance: 3040 Operation ideas: Buy: 2988-2990, SL: 2981, TP: 3010-3020; Sell: 3016-3018, SL: 3027, TP: 2300-2990;
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst