GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,300.87 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,322.41.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Commodities
How should gold be positioned after the ADP data is released?Although the current ADP data is positive, and the US GDP in the first quarter is sluggish, the risk of US recession has increased, but gold has not risen sharply, and the 1H moving average is still radiating downward. At present, it can only be regarded as a short-term correction to the oversold area. If the upper 3300-3310 does not break, you can go short. Brothers who have made profits now can exit the transaction in time. We are patiently waiting for entry opportunities.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.688 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Natural gas prices may be poised for a short-term reboundNatural gas prices have fallen by nearly 30% since early March and now appear to have reached oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce of more than 10% back to $3.75 per million British thermal units. Natural gas has risen above its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA), indicating a possible short-term trend change. The 10-day EMA, which previously acted as resistance, could provide support as the commodity’s price increases. A failure to maintain it may signal that the attempted trend reversal has been unsuccessful.
Natural gas reached oversold conditions around 20 April, when its relative strength index (RSI) fell to 30 and prices touched the lower Bollinger Band. Momentum now appears to be shifting, with the RSI showing signs of turning upwards and potentially breaking its downtrend. If this positive momentum continues building, natural gas prices could rise towards their 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3.56. Should prices extend beyond the 20-day SMA, they could rise to $3.75, where prices consolidated for several days around early April.
A failure to reach the 20-day SMA, or an inability to push beyond that level, could suggest natural gas prices may fall back to retest recent lows around $3.05 to $3.10, with the potential to decline further towards the lower Bollinger Band at $2.85.
For now, natural gas prices indicate a possible short-term turnaround. However, prices will need to continue extending higher to confirm that a bottom has indeed been reached.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Short on Oil/Back to 57$ SOONI believe we can continue the retest of previous major support level at 65-66$ and fibonacci 0.618. This major support will be flipped to resistance in my opinion. We can see a significant sell-off back towards the 57$ area and below from this location.
I will be looking to enter a short trade from the 0.618 region/66$ if there is a rejection.
My mid-term/end-of-year prediction for US OIL is between 45-50$ and possibly lower.
If you believe in the fundamentals and idea of this setup, feel free to follow and use it.
Not financial advice.
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GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3307.3
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3292.2
Recommended Stop Loss - 3314.4
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Planning for the Next Trade in Crude OilNYMEX:CL1!
Key Levels – Higher Timeframe:
• 2025 High: 78.56
• Yearly Open (2025): 69.64
• 2025 mCVPOC: 71.83
• Yearly VWAP: 68.41
• AVWAP from Yearly Highs: 67.71
• 2025 mCVAL: 65.28
• March 2025 Low: 64.37
• 2024 Low: 59.91
April 2025 Key Levels:
• April mCVAL: 58.79
• April mCVPOC: 60.94
• April AVWAP from Lows: 61.29
• April AVWAP from Highs: 61.76
• April mCVAH: 63.73
Our previous trade idea played out as expected. With updated levels now in place, we aim to reassess the market context without falling into recency or confirmation bias. These biases often lead to an overly bearish outlook at market lows, especially amid ongoing headlines around trade war tensions and supply concerns. While such fundamentals are important, maintaining objectivity is key.
This leads us to the central question: Is all this bearish sentiment already priced in? If so, why are sellers still dominant?
From a broader perspective, the overall context for crude remains bearish. However, this does not imply an immediate continuation to lower prices.
Currently, price is trading below both the midpoint of 2025 and that of 2024. Additionally, the recent price swing failed at the March 2025 low—an important technical rejection. The 2024 low at 59.91 now serves as key structural support. We anticipate further consolidation within the April 2025 value range, specifically between mCVAH (63.73) and mCVAL (58.79).
We define the area between April’s mCVPOC (60.94) and AVWAPs (61.29 / 61.76) as a "noise zone"—a region where price action is likely to be choppy and directionless. This zone is not favorable for directional trades.
Potential Trade Setup – Range-Bound Play
Example Trade 1: Long Crude Oil
• Entry: 59.91
• Stop: 59.20
• Target: 61.76
• Risk: 71 ticks
• Reward: 185 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.6R
Example Trade 2: Long Crude Oil
• Entry: 58.80
• Stop: 58.20
• Target: 61.76
• Risk: 60 ticks
• Reward: 296 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.93 R
Important Notes:
• These are example trade ideas and not financial advice or recommendations.
• Traders should conduct independent analysis and ensure proper risk management.
• Stop-loss orders are not guaranteed; slippage may occur, resulting in losses beyond predefined levels.
• AVWAP levels are accurate at the time of posting, they may vary as indicator further calculates prices with new volume and price information.
Glossary Index for all technical terms used:
ATH: All time high
VPOC: Volume Point of Control
VAL: Value Area Low
VAH: Value Area High
VP: Volume Profile
AVP: Anchored Volume Profile
C: Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP)
mC: micro-Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP)
AVWAP: Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price
Green Zones: Bull/ Buyers support zones
Red Zones: Bear/Seller resistance zones
Gold Trap Zones vs. Bounce Zones — Daily Flow Outlook April 30 Gold Battle Plan – Liquidity Games Reloaded 🎮💥
Gold’s Not Done — Next Move is Loading… You In? ⚔️🧨
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision – GoldMindsFX Flow 🔥✨
🧠 Macro & Market Context:
Gold continues to range between 3380–3260, with no clean breakout yet. Price action since yesterday has remained reactive and indecisive — still trapped inside the larger structure.
Today’s USD Events (High Impact):
🗣️ Trump Speech
🟦 ADP Non-Farm Employment
🟧 Advance GDP q/q
🟨 Employment Cost Index
🟧 Core PCE + Pending Home Sales
Expect volatility — especially NY session. Liquidity spikes likely.
🧭 Market Bias:
HTF Bias (Daily, H4): Still bullish overall as long as 3230–3240 is respected.
LTF Flow (M15–H1): Consolidation with small bullish attempts — structure still undecided.
📌 Key Structural Zones (Sniper Focus):
🔺 Sell Zones (Premium Supply)
3372–3376 → Trap Sell OB (M15–H1)
→ Price was previously rejected hard from here
3380–3390 → High-Volume Liquidity Pool
→ Major decision zone if price extends upside
🟩 Buy Zones (Discount Demand)
3284–3288 → Clean H1 Demand Reaction + Internal Liquidity
→ This zone triggered a 500+ pip rally this week
3233–3237 → Deep HTF OB + Untapped Liquidity
→ Must-hold level for HTF bullish bias to remain intact
👀 Eyes On Today:
3317–3325 → Micro structure to monitor. If bulls hold above this area, we may retest 3350–3372.
3284 → First bounce zone for reentry if NY dips.
Rejection below 3280 = eyes on 3233–3237.
🔥 Trading Focus Tip:
It’s a news-driven day. Your job isn’t to predict — it’s to wait, react, and strike with logic.
Snipers don’t rush. We let liquidity come to us.
💬 Final Note:
Goldie's still stuck in the cage — but today might be the breakout tease. Don’t chase, don’t guess — just watch the flow and let price tell you the truth. 🎯
Smart moves only. No fluff, just levels.
Let me know — are you watching the bounce or hunting the trap? Drop your zone bias 💬👇
📢 If this helped map your zones, hit that ❤️, smash follow, and drop your bias in the comments — are you stalking 3285 or sniping the 3370 trap? Let’s trade smart, not loud. 🚀💛
Crude oil------sell near 61.60, target 60.00-58.00Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil has also started to fluctuate recently. Yesterday's daily line finally began to decline. Crude oil is bearish in both the big and small trends. Continue to sell when it rebounds to the moving average. The crude oil pattern is still weak on the daily line. The current suppression position has begun to move down. Crude oil 61.68 is an opportunity to sell. The daily moving average has begun to rush down. Don't intercept it.
Fundamental analysis
Today, we will start to pay attention to the ADP data, as well as PCE data and EIA crude oil inventory data.
Operation suggestions
Crude oil------sell near 61.60, target 60.00-58.00
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-30 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests the markets may attempt to trend slightly upward after the big downward pressure/GAP sets up this morning.
As many of you are already aware, I have been predicting a May 2-5 Major Bottom in the markets.
I would suggest today's carryover pattern may be negated by an early breakdown in the markets. If my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern is going to show up, the markets would likely start to break downward today and tomorrow - leading to the Major CRUSH pattern on Friday.
Gold and Silver appear to be consolidating into a flagging/cradle pattern. I believe the downward pressure on the markets will likely prompt a flush-out low in metals before another big rally phase sets up.
BTCUSD is stalling and will likely pull downward as my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern plays out.
Basically, HEDGE your positions.
This market looks like it will roll into a moderate low over the next 4-5+ days, then base and bottom after May 10th or so.
As I've suggested, I positioned for this move about 4-5 days ago. Now, I just need to ride it out and start booking profits when they happen.
Get some.
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GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once broke $2885 level and reached resistance line of channel.
Then it corrected and then continued to move up in channel, but later it dropped to support area.
Price soon rose above $2885 level, making a fake breakout and after retesting this level, continued to grow.
Later Gold reached resistance line of channel and then made correction movement, exiting from channel and entered to pennant.
In pennant pattern, price made upward impulse, breaking $3275 level and at the moment it trades near $3275 level.
I think that Gold can exit from pennant, decline to support area, and then bounce up to $3440
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold can correct to trend line and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After the recent drop and partial gap-fill, the price seems to be forming a solid foundation for a potential continuation to the upside. The price previously rebounded from the lower levels near 2955 and established a strong bullish trend, respecting the ascending trend line multiple times. Each touch acted as a signal for buyers to step in, pushing the price toward higher zones. Eventually, the market broke through a major resistance area, which has now turned into a support zone between 3265 and 3295 points. This area is also reinforced by the trend line, which has been tested again recently. Importantly, the price left a gap during the impulsive move up, and after the correction, the gap was filled, and buyers immediately reacted. Now, Gold is trading slightly above the support zone, showing a clear bounce from both the trend line and horizontal structure. This confluence increases the probability of further bullish momentum. Given the price behavior, market structure, and technical context, I expect that XAUUSD will continue rising toward the 3425 points, that’s why it is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
How to position the market after gold falls to around 3280Gold began to fall after rebounding to around 3313, and has now fallen below the important support of 3300. Looking at it now, gold is most likely to be a relay of the decline. The rebound of gold will continue to be bearish. The current 1-hour moving average of gold tends to stick together and diverge downward, and the decline is a bit sharp. If it continues to cross downwards to form a dead cross, then there is still room for gold shorts to fall. It is recommended to wait and see the support of the previous low of 3260. If the support is not broken, then consider going long. In the evening, we need to pay attention to the fluctuations that may be caused by ADP and PCE data.
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Silver - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation LowerH1 - Strong bearish momentum
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Possible SellsOANDA:XAUUSD My sentiments on gold for today.
1. Last buyer haven, prior to recent one
This is the last place prior to the level gold is sitting on top currently (4.(black)) where buyers would have been really and truly comfortable buying which means we know there could likely be stop losses even below here.
2. Bearish momentum/bearish channel
At this time gold has been bearish for about 7 days and if its one thing you know I believe in is momentum, adhere to whatever the momentum is doing - in this case its selling (bearish) so it is likely IMO to continue to do so - this is further supporting by the elements of my analysis.
3. Buyers stoplosses
The area highlighted in red shows suggested buyers stop losses below the currently obvious buyer havem (4. black) which means this is likely where the market will try to attack to capture that trapped liquidity. Something to think about, if gold had the liquidity to buy, it would. Let this guide you in terms of what you allow yourself to see next.
4. Current Obvious buyer haven
Pay attention to the level I've drawn to show where buyers would be heavily induced to buy at this time, this looks like a gold mine for buys (pun intended lol). Something you'd learn in this space, if it feels to good to be true, it probably is.
5. Possible move
This is what I think is likely to occur, gold will crash below the current obvious buyer haven taking out all previous buyer stops, capturing all that liquidity along the way even attacking the last buyer haven. Then and only then can gold resume it's bullish activities because now it would have enough liquidity to do what it wants.
What are your thoughts?
SHORT ON GOLDGOLD has created a nice head and shoulders pattern and has also broke the neckline.
Since then we have created a lower high and are starting to push down.
Dollar should rise after news today at 8:15 this would aid in pushing gold down.
I will be selling gold to the 3000 price level looking to catch 2000 pips.
EURAUD H2 compression BUY/HOLD +150/300 pips🏆 EURAUD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 7650/7700
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 8050/8150
🔸Status: compression wedge
🔸getting ready for a PUMP
🔸noteworthy compression in April
🔸Price Target Bears: 7650/7700
🔸Price Target BULLS: 8050/8150
📊 Forex & Gold Market Highlights – April 30, 2025
💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1400
- Trading around 1.1390 amid softer U.S. economic data
- Investors await German economic indicators and U.S. PCE report
- April shows a 5.1% gain, the largest monthly increase since November 2022
💷 GBP/USD Hovers Near 1.3400
- Sterling trades at approximately 1.3379 after testing YTD highs
- U.S. JOLTS and Consumer Confidence data missed forecasts, fueling Fed rate cut speculation
🥇 Gold Retreats Below $3,310
- Spot gold at $3,302.58 per ounce, down 0.4%
- Decline follows easing trade tensions and a stronger U.S. dollar
- Investors focus on upcoming U.S. PCE data and non-farm payrolls report
📌 Market Outlook:
- EUR/USD: Potential to test 1.15 if German data supports euro strength
- GBP/USD: Eyes on U.S. economic data for direction; support around 1.3300
- Gold: Volatility expected; watch for U.S. economic indicators influencing Fed policy expectations
Chart Overview (EUR/USD — 4H)Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4 Hour
Current Price: 1.13596
Key Concept Highlighted:
“This is where money is made — in the retrace, not the rally.”
(Focus is on catching retracements, not chasing rallies)
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Technical Breakdown
1. Wave Count (Elliott Wave context assumed)
The chart labels wave iii as complete.
A corrective move is underway (likely forming wave iv).
The next anticipated move is wave v rally to the upside — target zone shown near 1.22000–1.20000.
2. Key Zones
Immediate Support/Buy Zone: Small rectangle near the current price (likely minor demand zone).
Major Buy Zone: 1.10500–1.11500 (approximate)
→ Strong demand area backed by confluence of:
Previous wave structure support
Trendline retest
Cluster of economic event icons (suggesting high volatility catalysts)
3. Bias
Waiting for price to either:
Bounce from the immediate small support (early aggressive long), or
Dip deeper into the major buy zone for safer long entries.
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Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Bullish Double Bottom BreakoutHello guys!
Yesterday we got our profit from gold!
It is a new one:
Gold has formed a clear double bottom on the 1H timeframe, accompanied by a bullish divergence—a classic signal of potential reversal. Following the breakout above neckline resistance, the price is currently in a retest phase, revisiting the breakout zone (now turned support).
🔹 Pattern: Double Bottom
🔹 Signal: Bullish Divergence
🔹 Breakout: Confirmed
🔹 Support Zone: ~$3,300–$3,305
🔹 Target: ~$3,375–$3,385
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above the support area. A failure to hold may invalidate the setup and lead to further consolidation or decline.
📌 Watch for bullish price action near the retest zone for potential entries.
GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,278.91.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,328.53 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DeGRAM | GOLD Held the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Gold is basing at $3 290; defending this demand band keeps $3 500 – 3 520 viable.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Goldman raised its year-end target to $3 700 on robust demand.
✨ Summary
Fundamentals are in line with chart support, favoring a bounce towards $3 500 - $3 520 while maintaining $3 290.
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