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GOLD → Geopolitical risks are driving gold prices up. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD is updating its interim highs as it retests resistance at 3435 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Economic risks are on the rise... Gold rose 1.5% on Friday in Asian trading as investors sought refuge from escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The price approached 7-week highs and could reach $3,500 if the conflict intensifies. The US and Israel have warned of serious consequences, while Iran has promised to respond. Geopolitics has overshadowed economic news, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September. Technically, the price is emerging from a local consolidation and testing a fairly important resistance level, forming a false breakout and correction. But this does not mean that the price will fall... Resistance levels: 3425, 3435, 3461 Support levels: 3408, 3400, 3377 If gold consolidates above 3425 and continues to storm the resistance, growth may continue, and at the moment, there is a fairly high probability of a retest of the ATH. However, the ideal scenario would be a retest of the zone of interest 3408 - 3400 and the capture of liquidity before continuing growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
Markets Crash: Gold Soars, Crypto Dips!Israel’s strikes on Iran shook markets—Bitcoin and stocks tanked, gold soared. What’s next? Let’s unpack the best trading moves for this chaos! Hey traders, Skeptic here!👋 Yesterday’s Israeli strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear sites, plus high-profile casualties, sent markets into a tailspin. If your positions got stopped out today, don’t sweat it—that’s normal in this mess. Today, I’m breaking down the most likely scenarios for financial markets, especially stocks and crypto, with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Stick with me to navigate this storm! 📉Right now, markets are screaming risk-off . Stocks like the S&P 500, indices, and crypto like Bitcoin are bleeding as buyers have zero confidence. Everyone’s piling into safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. Last night’s news triggered sharp drops in Bitcoin and SPX500, while gold’s rallying hard. This is classic flight-to-safety behavior, and it’s why your stops might’ve been hit. Let’s dive into the geopolitical scenarios driving this and then get to the charts. 📍First, the big picture. Scenario one: Iran retaliates for Israel’s strikes, and we’re stuck in a tit-for-tat escalation for weeks. Markets stay risk-off, stocks and crypto keep sliding, and safe havens like gold thrive. Scenario two: The US-Iran nuclear talks on Sunday, June 15th, lead to a deal, tensions cool, and markets stabilize. If those talks fail, I’m not optimistic— recent US inflation relief, might’ve pushed the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts to boost markets. Without de-escalation, rate cuts won’t save risky assets, and we’re looking at muted growth for crypto and stocks. But if a deal happens, markets could rip—Bitcoin might hit $130K short-term and even $170K as the bull run’s ceiling. For now, uncertainty rules, so let’s see what the charts say. 👀 Let’s start with Bitcoin on the daily. The first major support is $100K-$101K. If we lose that, we’re looking at a 3-4 month time-based correction . I know some of you see Bitcoin’s dip and think it’s a bargain, but hold up—if tensions escalate, breaking $100K-$101K is almost guaranteed. We could slide to $95K (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) or even $86K (0.618 retracement). No buying until Tuesday’s clarity—too risky. Shorting? Also a bad idea. After this sharp drop, where do you put your stop-loss? An 8% stop is the minimum, which trashes your risk-reward ratio. Best move? Sit tight, no positions, and wait for the dust to settle. 📈 Gold’s the star in this risk-off market. On the 4-hour, as we said in last week’s watchlist, it broke the descending channel’s ceiling at 3333.86 and pulled back. Using our trick of cloning the prior channel and placing it above, it’s reacting perfectly at the new channel’s midline. A break above 3434.35 could push us to the channel ceiling at 3550.13 . Personally, I’d wait for more ranging here before going long—stops are too wide right now for a clean entry. If you caught our 3340 long trigger from the watchlist, you’re sitting pretty— just hold . Gold’s got more upside potential, but if you’re not in, don’t FOMO. Wait for a better setup. 🎯 Our EUR/USD long trigger from last week’s watchlist at 1.14555 was a winner if you took it, you hit your risk-reward target and likely locked in profits. Nice work! The new long trigger is a break above 1.16142 resistance. No short triggers here, just like gold. With both major and secondary trends screaming uptrend, shorting against the flow is nonsense. I’d wait for key levels to break and confirm a bearish shift before even thinking about shorts. Trade with the trend, always. 📝our plan: Gold longs above 3434.35 target 3550.13; hold 3340 entries or wait for a range. EUR/USD longs above 1.16142, no shorts. Risk max 1% per trade, set alerts, and stay patient—geopolitical chaos means no FOMO moves. I hope for a day with no wars, where we can focus on what matters—building value and humanity.🤍 That’s today’s breakdown, traders! If this helped, smash that Boost button and Follow for more no-hype analysis. Drop a comment—what’s your next move? Want a coin or market analyzed? This is Skeptic, stay safe, protect your capital, and see you next time! <3
by SkepticWise
GOLD hits $3,435 target, Middle East tensions rise againOANDA:XAUUSD rose to a one-week high as weak U.S. inflation data reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, while conflict in the Middle East boosted safe-haven demand. OANDA:XAUUSD recently hit a fresh one-week high, extending its rally. Spot gold had risen to $3,435 as of press time, after hitting its highest level since June 5. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the operation “will continue until this threat is eliminated.” Iranian state TV reported that the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hussein Salami, had been killed. Iran vowed a “harsh counterattack” against Israel and the United States, while other countries said they were not involved in the operation. Gold is trading near an all-time high of $3,500.10, just shy of $60. Netanyahu said the operation “will last for days to eliminate this threat.” Israel believes the strike killed at least several Iranian nuclear scientists and senior generals, according to a military official. Iranian state TV said Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander Hussein Salami may have been among the dead. Israel's attack on Iran comes after Netanyahu repeatedly warned of attacking the OPEC oil producer to cripple its nuclear program. US and Iranian negotiators are scheduled to hold a new round of talks on Tehran's nuclear program in Oman on Sunday, but Trump said this week he was less confident a deal could be reached. OANDA:XAUUSD extended its recent two-day gains as weak U.S. inflation and jobs data fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. A report on Thursday showed U.S. producer price inflation remained subdued in May, while another showed jobless claims continued to rise, hitting their highest level since late 2021. OANDA:XAUUSD has gained 30% this year as investors increasingly turn to gold as a safe-haven asset amid President Trump’s aggressive trade policies and geopolitical tensions, including in Ukraine. Strong demand from central banks and sovereigns has also supported gold prices. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to reach the target of $3,435 after reaching the previous upside target at the base of $3,400. Currently, the base of $3,400 becomes the nearest support, while other than the resistance of $3,435, there is no resistance ahead to prevent gold from heading towards the all-time high of $3,500. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping upward, still far from the overbought zone, indicating that there is still plenty of room for further upside ahead. There are no factors that could cause gold to decline during the day, and the notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3480 - 3478⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3384 →Take Profit 1 3472 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3466 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3373 - 3375⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3369 →Take Profit 1 3381 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3387
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders, In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area. On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today. Trade safe, Joe
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
5
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for June 13.Technical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3500, support below 3357 Four-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3412 One-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3412. Gold operation suggestions: Affected by the regional situation in Israel/Iran, gold triggered emergency risk aversion and once rose to around 3445. From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of 3412, and the pressure above focuses on the suppression near the daily level of 3500. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is 3412. Before the four-hour level does not fall below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3450-3500. Observe the short-term chart and buy after stabilization. Buy: 3412near SL: 3407 Buy: 3392near SL: 3388
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move? 🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern: Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high WTI crude surged by over 8% US equity indices dipped significantly The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold. 📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30) Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392 Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure 🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets 🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June ✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382 Stop-Loss: 3378 Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410 ❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456 Stop-Loss: 3460 Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430 📌 Tactical Summary Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement. 🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3428.Colleagues, in the last forecast I wrote that I expect to reach the target in the area of 3439.37 and I am not giving up on it. At the moment, the price has made a strong correction and so I will make a new forecast, in which the targets will remain almost unchanged, but I see that the wave pattern has changed a bit. Now wave “1” lower wave is located higher and at the moment I believe that the price is in wave “5”. A correction to the support area of 3265 is possible, but in general I expect to reach the resistance area of 3428. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
17
Update of the Bullish/Bearish Catalysts for Gold prices________________________________________ ⚡️ Gold’s Pullback: A Reset, Not the End After peaking above $3,500/oz in April, gold’s slide back toward $3,210 marks a sharp—but not unusual—correction. What’s changed in the gold narrative? The rapid unwinding of panic bids as the Fed stays hawkish, the dollar flexes, and risk appetite returns. But beneath the surface, multiple structural drivers—old and new—are shaping gold’s next act. ________________________________________ 1. Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy Bias (9/10) Still the #1 driver. With inflation sticky and the U.S. labor market robust, the Federal Reserve’s reluctance to cut rates (4.25–4.50%) is pinning real yields near multi-year highs. This erodes the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, particularly for Western investors. 🦅 Watch for any dovish shift—a single Fed pivot could reignite gold fast. ________________________________________ 2. U.S. Dollar Resilience (8.5/10) The DXY recently surged above 101, buoyed by relative U.S. growth outperformance and ongoing EM weakness. Since gold is dollar-priced, a strong greenback makes gold more expensive for non-dollar buyers, crimping global demand. 💵 Sustained dollar strength could push gold closer to $3,100 unless countered by inflation or new geopolitical stress. ________________________________________ 3. Central Bank Buying & “De-Dollarization” Flows (8/10) This is the new wild card. Countries like China, India, Turkey, and Russia are accelerating gold reserves accumulation—partly to hedge against dollar-centric sanctions and diversify away from U.S. Treasuries. Q2 2025 data shows a 35% jump in net central bank purchases year-on-year. 🏦 This bid underpins the gold market even when ETFs and retail are sellers. ________________________________________ 4. U.S.–China Trade Normalization (7.5/10) The May 2025 Geneva agreement was a big de-risking event. While tariffs haven’t vanished, steady progress on tech and agriculture reduces tail risk for global trade, putting downward pressure on gold’s safe-haven premium. 🌏 Any breakdown or tariff surprise could quickly reverse this. ________________________________________ 5. Algorithmic & Quant Trading Flows (7/10) Gold’s volatility is now heavily influenced by systematic funds. CTA (commodity trading advisor) and quant-driven selling accelerated the recent drop once $3,300 was breached. This non-fundamental selling creates overshoots—but also sharp reversals on technical bounces. 🤖 Expect snapbacks when positioning reaches extremes. ________________________________________ 6. U.S.–U.K. & EU Trade Deals (6.5/10) Both deals have reduced the global uncertainty premium. While the economic impact is moderate, improved global relations have pushed capital into equities and away from gold. 🇬🇧 Keep an eye on political risk, especially if new tariffs or Brexit-related shocks re-emerge. ________________________________________ 7. India–Pakistan and Middle East Geopolitical Risks (6.5/10) Tensions have cooled, but remain a latent driver. The India–Pakistan border saw restraint in May; Iran–U.S. talks are “cautiously positive.” Any surprise flare-up, especially involving oil, can quickly restore gold’s safe-haven bid. 🕊️ Event-driven spikes likely, but not sustained unless escalation persists. ________________________________________ 8. ETF Flows, Retail & Institutional Demand (6/10) ETF inflows have slowed sharply in 2025, but central bank and Asian buying partly offset this. U.S. retail interest has faded due to higher Treasury yields, but any sign of real rates rolling over could spark new inflows. 📈 ETF demand is now more a symptom than a cause of price moves. ________________________________________ 9. Technological Demand & Jewelry Trends (5.5/10) Longer-term, gold’s use in electronics, EVs, and green tech is rising modestly (up ~3% YoY). Indian and Chinese jewelry demand—seasonally soft now—could rebound late 2025 if income and sentiment recover. 📿 Not a short-term driver, but a steady tailwind in the background. ________________________________________ 10. Fiscal Risk & U.S. Debt Sustainability (5.5/10) Rising concerns about the U.S. debt trajectory, especially if deficits widen or the U.S. nears a shutdown or downgrade, can trigger flight-to-quality bids for gold. This is not the main driver now, but is a key “black swan” risk if Treasury auctions stumble. 💣 Could move up the list rapidly on negative headlines. ________________________________________ 🌐 Other Catalysts to Watch: • Israel – Iran tensions in the Middle East – limited impact on gold prices. • Crypto Market Volatility (5/10): Periods of sharp crypto drawdowns have triggered some rotation into gold, but the correlation is inconsistent. • Chinese Real Estate Stress (5/10): Signs of further slowdown or crisis (e.g., major developer defaults) could boost gold as a defensive play in Asia. • Physical Supply Disruptions (4/10): Mine strikes, export restrictions, or transport bottlenecks can create localized price spikes, but rarely move the global market for long. ________________________________________ 🏆 2025 Gold Catalyst Rankings (with Impact Scores) Rank Catalyst Strength/10 Current Impact Direction Notes 1 Fed “Higher for Longer” Policy 9.0 Very High Bearish Key yield driver 2 U.S. Dollar Resilience 8.5 Very High Bearish Hurts non-USD demand 3 Central Bank & “De-Dollarization” Buying 8.0 High Bullish Structural support 4 U.S.–China Trade Normalization 7.5 High Bearish De-risks global trade 5 Algorithmic/Quant Trading Flows 7.0 High Bearish Magnifies volatility 6 U.S.–U.K./EU Trade Deals 6.5 Moderate Bearish Risk appetite rising 7 India–Pakistan/Mideast Geopolitics 6.5 Moderate Neutral Event risk 8 ETF, Retail & Institutional Flows 6.0 Moderate Bearish Trend follower 9 Tech/Jewelry Physical Demand 5.5 Low Bullish Seasonal uptick possible 10 U.S. Debt/Fiscal Sustainability 5.5 Low Bullish Potential tail risk 11 Crypto Market Volatility 5.0 Low Bullish Risk-off flows (sometimes) 12 China Property Crisis 5.0 Low Bullish Asian safe-haven buying 13 Physical Supply Disruptions 4.0 Very Low Bullish Rare but possible ________________________________________ 🚦Where Next for Gold? • Current price: ~$3,210/oz • Key support: $3,150/oz • Key upside triggers: A dovish Fed surprise, sharp dollar reversal, sudden geopolitical event, or central bank “buying spree.” • Risks: Extended strong dollar, yield spike, no escalation of global risks. ________________________________________ Summary Table: 2025 Gold Price Catalysts Comparison Catalyst 2024 Score 2025 Score Change Impact Direction (2025) Commentary Fed Rate Policy 9 9 – Bearish Unchanged, still dominant U.S. Dollar 8 8.5 ↑ Bearish Gained in strength Central Bank Buying 7 8 ↑ Bullish Grown in importance, especially in Asia U.S.-China Trade 7.5 7.5 – Bearish Still relevant, deal holding for now Algorithmic/Quant Flows 6 7 ↑ Bearish Systematic trading influence is rising Geopolitics (excl. Russia/Ukraine) 6 6.5 ↑ Neutral Slight increase, mostly latent risks ETF/Institutional Flows 5 6 ↑ Bearish Slower, but still influential Jewelry/Tech Demand 4.5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Tech/jewelry more important now U.S. Debt/Fiscal Risk 5 5.5 ↑ Bullish Gaining attention with deficit concerns Crypto Market Volatility 4 5 ↑ Bullish Correlation growing, but inconsistent China Property Risk N/A 5 NEW Bullish Added due to emerging Asian risk Physical Supply Disruption 3.5 4 ↑ Bullish Minor, only spikes on rare events ________________________________________ 🥇 Bottom Line: Gold’s retreat reflects a rebalancing of risk and yield, but the stage is set for sudden moves—especially if the Fed blinks, the dollar falters, or new shocks emerge. The top three catalysts (Fed, Dollar, Central Bank buying) are especially worth watching as we head into the second half of 2025.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
50
Israel Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices SurgeIsrael Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices Surge According to media reports, Israel launched a large-scale overnight strike on Iranian territory, targeting dozens of military and strategic facilities linked to the country’s nuclear programme and missile capabilities. Israeli officials justified the action by citing an existential threat from Tehran, which, according to their intelligence, is accelerating its development of nuclear weapons and expanding its arsenal of ballistic missiles. In response, Iran has vowed severe retaliation, stating that the United States and Israel will “pay a heavy price” for the attack. US President Donald Trump has urgently convened a meeting to assess the situation. Commodities Market Reaction In the wake of these developments, gold — the primary safe-haven asset — surged sharply. The XAU/USD price broke above its May high, rising past $3,440. However, the all-time high near $3,498 remains intact for now. Oil prices also spiked due to fears of supply disruption. The military conflict threatens shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial chokepoint through which one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes. Traders quickly priced in the risk of war, anticipating a supply shortage driven by large-scale instability in the Middle East. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart Brent crude oil price has risen to the upper boundary of a large-scale descending channel (shown in red), which is defined by lower highs from 2024–2025. As anticipated, this upper boundary acted as resistance, with the price forming a peak above $76 before reversing downward (as illustrated by the black arrow). From a technical standpoint, following such a sharp rally, Brent is vulnerable to a corrective move. In this scenario, a pullback into the orange zone is possible, where support may be found at: → The psychologically important $70 level; → The 50% Fibonacci retracement level; → The former resistance of the purple descending trendline, now turned support. Nevertheless, given the scale of the geopolitical threat, it is unlikely that market sentiment will allow Brent to decline significantly in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Rob the Cocoa Market Before the Trend Escapes🏴‍☠️Cocoa Vault Breach: Sweet Profit Heist in Progress!🍫💰 (Thief Trader’s Swing/Day Plan – Only Bulls Allowed) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ We’ve cracked the code to the 🏉"COCOA"🏉 Commodities CFD market, and now it’s time to launch a high-stakes heist based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical + fundamental analysis🔥. 🎯 Mission Objective: Infiltrate the overbought zone, where traps are set, robbers are lurking, and the market’s about to turn. The plan? Ride the bullish wave, loot the Red Zone, and vanish with sweet profits. 🏆💸 🔓 Entry Point: "The vault is wide open!" Buy at will — loot that bullish treasure! ⏱️ Best tactic: Set buy limits on the 15M or 30M swing low/high zones. Set alerts and stay sharp. 🛑 Stop Loss: SL = Nearest 4H Swing Low 🔐 Protect your stash. Use risk-adjusted SL based on trade size and number of entries. 🎯 Target: 11,300 or escape early if the pressure builds! ⚔️ Scalper’s Note: Only steal on the long side. 💰 Big money = Go direct 💼 Small bags = Team up with swing traders 📉 Use trailing SLs to guard your gains. 🔥Cocoa Market is Bullish – Why? ☑️ Fundamentals ☑️ Macroeconomics ☑️ COT Report ☑️ Sentiment Signals ☑️ Intermarket Vibes ☑️ Seasonal Patterns ☑️ Trend Forecasts & Target Levels 👉 Dive into the data: 🔗🔗🔗 ⚠️ Trading Alerts: News releases = Danger zones! ❌ No new entries during news ✅ Trailing SL to protect ongoing raids 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 Support this Thief Plan and keep our crew winning daily. 💪 Rob with confidence. Win with consistency. 🎉 Thief Trading Style = Your daily cash machine. 💣Stay tuned for the next robbery blueprint! — Your Friendly Market Criminal, 🐱‍👤
PEPPERSTONE:COCOALong
by Thief_Trader
USOIL:Go long USOIL:Crude oil rose sharply under the tension in the Middle East, the early repeatedly suggested that the continuous low shock after the upward breakthrough, the time of storage force is long enough, especially the watershed 64.8 break after the rising space has been opened, the trading idea is still to step back and do long. Trading Strategy: BUY@66.9-67.2 TP: 68.6-69 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
XAU/USD 4H Technical Analysis 13 June 2025Market Structure & Bias: On the 4H chart, gold has broken out of a recent sideways range and formed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This “break of structure” (BOS) through the old swing high confirms a bullish bias. Price action respects key support zones (demand areas) on retracements, suggesting underlying buying interest. The overall bias is bullish, driven by risk‐off sentiment. Support and resistance act as natural pause/reversal zones For example, a demand zone/order block around ~3390–3400 (from the prior swing low) has been tested and held, fueling the recent rally. Likewise, an imbalance (fair value gap) left below 3400 could attract buyers if price returns. We also note that a change of character (CHOCH) would occur only if price breaks below a higher-low; so far that has not happened. In short, gold’s 4H market structure is bullish (higher highs/lows) and the trend looks set to continue upward unless a strong reversal forms. Key Levels (4H): We use classic pivot points to mark critical levels (using the last 4H high, low, close). Pivot points can project future support and resistance. Based on recent swings, key levels are: Pivot: 3424 (calculated from last bar’s H/L/C) Support 1: 3413 Support 2: 3399 Support 3: 3374 Resistance 1: 3438 Resistance 2: 3449 Resistance 3: 3474 Price currently hovers just below R1. These levels align with congestion zones and Fib retracements (50–61.8% of the last $3290–3427 upswing), so expect active bidding near S1–S2 and selling around R1–R2. Intraday 1H Trade Setups Buy Zone ~3395–3405 (Bullish OB/Demand): Entry: Long on dips into the order-block/demand area near 3395–3405 (just above S1). Stop: ~3385 (≈$10 below entry zone). Targets: TP1 ≈ 3438 (Resistance 1), TP2 ≈ 3450 (near R2). Reason: This zone aligns with a prior institutional order block/demand and a 61.8% Fib retrace of the recent rally. Price has shown bounce here before, so a bullish reaction is likely. Trigger: Look for a bullish reversal candle (e.g. bullish engulfing or pin bar) on 1H in this zone, or a market structure low (MSL) turning point. A break back above the high of that candle can serve as confirmation to enter. Sell Zone ~3435–3445 (Bearish Retrace): Entry: Short near resistance around 3435–3445 (just below R1–R2). Stop: ~3455 (≈$10 above entry zone). Targets: TP1 ≈ 3413 (Support 1), TP2 ≈ 3399 (Support 2). Reason: This area is the upper end of the recent range. It contains a minor supply zone and the R1–R2 pivots. A liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) may occur above recent highs. If price loses momentum here, expect a pullback. Trigger: Watch for a bearish price action signal (e.g. a bearish engulfing candle or a double-top swing) on 1H. A break of the immediate lower low (lower than the last minor swing) would confirm a short-term change of character and signal entry. Breakout Long ~3449+: Entry: Long on a sustained break above R2 (≈3450). Confirm entry when price closes above 3449 on 1H. Stop: ~3424 (just under the Pivot). Targets: TP1 ≈ 3474 (Resistance 3), TP2 ≈ 3495+ (new highs). Reason: A clean breakout of 3450 would indicate strong bullish order flow and trigger stop-run triggers. This would be a continuation trade in line with the 4H uptrend. Trigger: A bullish candle closing above 3449 (ideally with above-average size) or a 1H break of structure (higher high over 3449) would signal entry. Takeaway: Gold remains in a bullish 4H trend; focus on buying dips into demand zones and watch for clear candlestick triggers at support/resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade. It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!
by CityIndex
What is Gold Silver Spread?What is gold silver spread? How to understand them to determine the market direction. Reuters mentioned that the gold-silver ratio dropped from 105 to 94. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend? Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
WTI Oil D1 | Potential bounce off a pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 73.17 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 70.50 which is a level that lies underneath a a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 78.07 which is a a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILLong
by Tradu
1
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3403.57, which is a pullback support. Our take profit will be at 3472, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal. The stop loss will be placed at 3347.94, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3472.00, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal Our take profit will be at 3403.57, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 2529.80, above the 127.2% Fib extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
1
WTI(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 66.96 Support and resistance levels: 69.10 68.30 67.78 66.13 65.61 64.81 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 67.78, consider buying in, and the first target price is 68.30 If the price breaks through 66.96, consider selling in, and the first target price is 66.13
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Bullislh continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 3,374.04 1st Support: 3,348.45 1st Resistance: 3,414.78 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Bullish rise?COPPER has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 4.7862 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 4.7410 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 4.8881 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:COPPERLong
by VantageMarkets