Dollar - WE HIT OUR FIRST TARGET TODAY!!!Amazing work on the dollar for about a month of analysis and finally hitting our target. Its taken its sweet time to drift lower but we have the bigger move today which clipped our target.
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Go back and look at tall the 2 min clips for the last month. We have been in sync all this time
Commodities
GOLD | Bullish Momentum Holds Above 3376, Eyes on 3404 and 3431GOLD | OVERVIEW
Gold remains in bullish momentum following the CPI result of 2.4%, which came in below expectations. This increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed, providing strong support for gold.
As long as the price trades above 3376 and 3351, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 3404. A confirmed stabilization above 3404 could open the path toward 3431.
Bearish Correction till 3376 available.
Pivot: 3376
Resistance Lines: 3404, 3431
Support Lines: 3366, 3347
Gold (XAUUSD) Eyes 3,330 Zone as Safe-Haven Demand Builds!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session, we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 3,330 zone. Gold continues to trade within a strong uptrend, and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, bringing it near a key support/resistance level that could act as a springboard for the next leg higher.
From a fundamental perspective, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have led to the evacuation of diplomatic personnel and increasing concerns of potential military escalation. As uncertainty grows, safe-haven assets like gold tend to attract stronger demand from investors seeking protection against volatility and risk.
If the situation deteriorates further, we could see a surge in gold prices as market participants hedge against geopolitical instability.
Trade safe,
Joe
Crude Oil Eyes 65.40 Support Amid Middle East Uncertainty!!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we’re closely monitoring USOIL for a potential buying opportunity around the 65.40 zone. The commodity remains in an overall uptrend, and is currently undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key support/resistance area near 65.40. This level aligns well with the broader trend structure and may offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
On the fundamental side, geopolitical tensions are on the rise. Reports indicate that U.S. embassy personnel are being evacuated from parts of the Middle East amid growing regional instability. Allegedly, Israel is preparing for potential military action against Iran should nuclear deal talks collapse.
If these tensions escalate further into military conflict, oil prices could spike in response to the heightened risk to regional supply chains.
Trade safe,
Joe
Gold Extends Gains, Eyes 3400📊 Market Overview
• Following softer-than-expected US CPI data, gold surged strongly.
• This morning, gold touched a high of 3377 before pulling back slightly to around 3372.
• A weaker USD and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts remain key bullish drivers.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,380 – $3,400
• Nearest Support: $3,325 – $3,310
• EMA09: Price remains above EMA09, signaling a short-term uptrend.
• Candlestick & Momentum: Gold has broken out of a consolidation zone with strong momentum, though short-term overbought signals are emerging.
📌 Outlook
Gold may enter a mild pullback within the 3370–3380 zone before finding fresh momentum from upcoming Fed signals or macro data. Caution is advised when trading near major resistance.
💡 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3375–3377
🎯 TP: 3355
❌ SL: 3385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3325–3330
🎯 TP: 3350
❌ SL: 3315
GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,359.42
Target Level: 3,293.59
Stop Loss: 3,403.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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TOP 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market in 2025 and Outlook📊 Top 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market (2025)
1. 🥇 Gold price per ounce: Around $3,338–$3,364, with a recent all-time high above $3,500 in April 2025
2. 📈 Year-to-date gain: About +29% in 2025 so far, after a +30% gain in 2024
3. 🏦 Central bank buying: More than 1,000 tonnes bought for the fourth straight year, reserves near record levels
4. 🔒 Inflation hedge: Strong inverse correlation with real yields; high demand driven by inflation and geopolitical worries
5. 📊 Gold vs S&P 500: Both reached new highs together; gold is up about 27% YTD while the S&P 500 is up only around 2%
6. 💍 Jewellery demand: Global gold jewelry demand is down about 9% in 2024, projected to drop another 16% in 2025 due to high prices
7. ⚖️ Gold-to-silver ratio: Now around 94, down from a peak of 105—showing silver is regaining ground
8. 🏅 Record closes: More than 40 record daily closes for gold in 2025, prices consolidating around $3,290–$3,400
9. 🏛️ Technical breakout: Broke out of a 13-year “cup-and-handle” technical pattern in March 2024
10. 🔮 2025 forecasts: Predictions range from $3,600–$4,000 by Q2 2026, with some expecting as high as $4,500 if risks rise
________________________________________
🔄 How This Gold Bull Market Compares to Past Bull Markets
1️⃣ 1968–1980 Super Bull
• 🕰️ Gold climbed from ~$35 to ~$850, a massive 2,330% gain over 12 years
• 🔥 Driven by double-digit inflation, end of the gold standard, and political turmoil
• ⚠️ Huge corrections, including a nearly 45% drop in 1974–76, but rapid rebounds
2️⃣ 1999–2008 Bull Market
• 💹 Gold surged from ~$252 to ~$1,023 (about +305%) in 9 years
• 🚀 Fueled by the commodities supercycle and concerns about global imbalances
• 📉 Big correction during the 2008 financial crisis, but gold rebounded fast
3️⃣ 2018–2025 (Current Cycle)
• ⏳ Gold broke out in 2024 from a 13-year sideways base
• 💥 Up nearly 200% from the 2018 lows to over $3,500
• 🏦 Central banks are the biggest buyers, unlike earlier cycles
• 🛡️ Corrections have been milder—2022 saw only a 20% drop
• 🏃♂️ Fast recovery: new highs reached within months, not years
________________________________________
📊 Quick Comparison Table
Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2008 Bull 2018–2025 Current
🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~305% ~200% so far
⏲️ Length 12 years 9 years 7 years so far
💔 Biggest Drawdown –45% (1974–76) –30% (2008) –20% (2022)
🏦 Central Bank Role Moderate Emerging Dominant
📉 Correction Speed Years to recover 4 years Months
🏛️ Technical Pattern Secular breakout Multiple peaks Broke 13-yr base
________________________________________
🧭 What Makes the Current Bull Market Unique
• 🏦 Central banks are setting the pace with record-breaking demand
• 🩹 Corrections are less severe and recoveries are quicker
• 📈 Gold is rallying alongside stocks, which is rare historically
• 🏛️ The breakout from a 13-year consolidation signals strong structural support
• 🔮 Major forecasts predict further highs through 2026, suggesting this may become one of the strongest cycles ever
XAUUSD Breakout Brewing -- Squeeze Setup in Play📆 June 12, 2025 | ⏱ 4H Chart Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is pressing against a key trendline resistance while holding a clean, ascending trendline from early March — forming a classic triangle squeeze.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The long-term bullish trendline has been respected three times, with each touch followed by strong buying interest (see orange circles).
Current price action is compressing between this trendline and descending resistance, tightening toward a potential breakout zone.
Two likely outcomes on the table:
🔺 Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,385 could fuel a rally toward $3,500–$3,520, especially if momentum accelerates.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $3,260 risks deeper correction toward the $3,000 psychological level, aligning with prior demand zones.
📊 Indicators Insight:
EMA(15) & EMA(60) have flattened → signaling potential volatility expansion ahead.
Volume is building slightly, adding weight to a coming move.
=================================================================
⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Buy on breakout above 3,385, Target: 3,500+
🔴 Sell on breakdown below 3,260, Target: 3,000
📌 Wait for confirmation and avoid chasing within the squeeze range.
💬 What's your take — will gold break through or bounce back?
📌 Follow for consistent multi-timeframe setups across Gold, Silver, and FX majors — 2–3 times weekly.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
CORN.c CORN.c Short Trade Plan (Daily Timeframe)
📍 Trade Setup
Direction: Short
Entry: Instant / Current Market Price (CMP)
Stop Loss (SL): 465.97
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 403.36 (≈ 1:1 Risk-Reward)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 387.00 (≈ 1:1.5 Risk-Reward)
📊 Technical Justification
Trend: Downtrend confirmed – price forming Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
Candle Pattern: Bearish shooting star near resistance – strong rejection signal.
🌽 Top 3 Bearish Fundamental Reasons
Favorable U.S. Weather Conditions
→ Ideal for crop growth → higher yield expectations → bearish pressure.
Weak Global Export Demand
→ Sluggish corn exports (e.g., China slowdown) → less global demand for U.S. corn.
Strong U.S. Dollar
→ Makes U.S. corn more expensive internationally → lowers export competitiveness.
🎯 Risk Management & Execution Plan
Risk-Reward (TP1): ~1:1
Risk-Reward (TP2): ~1:1.5
📌 Once TP1 is hit:
✅ Move SL to Entry (Breakeven) to protect capital and ride remaining position to TP2.
XAG/USD - Channel Breakout (11.06.2025) The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a CHannel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3587
2nd Support – 3555
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Silver Tests Key Long-Term ResistanceSilver is testing the 34.85 level, a critical resistance both in the short and long term. Since 2013, a cup and handle formation has developed just beneath this level. A confirmed breakout could signal sustained long-term bullish momentum.
Supporting this outlook, the gold/silver ratio has recently shown a decisive tilt in gold's favor, reaching historically extreme levels. This test of 34.85 might be the catalyst silver bulls have been waiting for and a return to normal signal for gold/silver ratio with pair trade oppurtunity.
However, caution is warranted. Silver is known for sharp intraday and weekly reversals. Confirming the breakout or false breakout could become tricky.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Key Level
WTI Crude Oil looks overbought after a test of key daily horizontal resistance level.
A violation of a minor horizontal support on an hourly time frame after its test
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a retracement to 66.33 level.
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Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move XAUUSD – Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move
🌍 Macro Pulse: CPI Sparks Momentum, But Will PPI Sustain It?
Gold surged following softer-than-expected US inflation data on Tuesday, with the CPI rising just 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY—both below forecasts. This triggered a broad sell-off in the USD, a pullback in Treasury yields, and a renewed appetite for non-yielding safe havens like gold.
Markets are now increasingly pricing in a rate cut by the Fed in September, adding further fuel to the rally. However, Wednesday’s US PPI data could either reinforce this bullish sentiment or reverse it sharply.
📉 Technical Landscape – H1 & H4 View
🔹 Trend Bias
The bullish structure remains intact, with price carving out higher highs and higher lows since the 3312 level. The recent breakout above 3370 confirms bullish momentum.
🔹 Price Channels
Gold continues to track within a defined ascending channel. A potential retest of the lower trendline near 3345–3350 could provide a dip-buying opportunity.
🔹 EMA Structure
The price trades comfortably above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs.
Short-term EMA crossovers are supportive of continued upside.
🔹 Critical Resistance Ahead: 3392 – 3395
A key technical zone combining Fibonacci extension levels and recent rejection wicks. A decisive break or rejection here will set the tone for the next 48 hours.
🧠 Market Psychology & PPI Scenarios
The market is currently optimistic, but still cautious. The PPI report due later today will likely serve as the next directional trigger:
If PPI prints below estimates → reinforces disinflation narrative → potential breakout above 3,400 with upside targets towards 3,420+.
If PPI comes in hot → raises concerns about sticky input costs → possible short-term reversal or consolidation.
Expect volatility to spike during the New York session.
🎯 Today’s Tactical Trade Setups – 12 June
🟢 Buy Zone: 3324 – 3322
Stop Loss: 3318
Take Profit Targets: 3330 – 3334 – 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350
🟢 Buy Scalp Zone: 3337 – 3335
SL: 3330
TPs: 3341 – 3345 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔴 Sell Zone: 3392 – 3394
Stop Loss: 3398
Take Profit Targets: 3388 – 3384 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350
✅ Final Take
Gold bulls are in control, but the PPI data will likely dictate whether momentum continues or stalls. With key resistance just ahead and macro risk on the table, this is not the time to trade blindly.
🧭 Strategy Tip: Let price confirm the reaction to PPI. Don’t pre-position into volatility. Play the breakout or the fade—but wait for clarity.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 66.44 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 64.25 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 69.11 which is a pullback resistance.
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Repeated sweeps, gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Pay attention to the initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold price jumped higher in Asian session. The short-term upper pressure is at 3375. Once it breaks, the upward route of bulls will be opened. The RSI indicator in the 1H chart began to retreat after touching the overbought area. Last night's high of 3360 is now a breakthrough, and the previous strong suppression is at 3350. This morning's Asian session was also broken and stabilized. Then 3360-3350 has changed from a suppression position to a support position. Therefore, the next position we should pay close attention to should be around 3360-3350. If it can fall back to 3360-3350 in the future, it is possible to enter the market to do more, but at the same time, it is also necessary to defend 3345. Independent trading requires a SL.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3360-3350
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Rallies as Rate Cut Bets Heat UpGold prices extended gains today, driven primarily by lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which has increased speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates.
The weaker inflation reading sent the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields lower, giving gold a strong push to the upside.
Currently, markets are pricing in a 68% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, which is generally seen as bullish for gold buyers.
Another supporting factor is growing investor caution amid lingering uncertainties in U.S.–China trade relations, further boosting demand for safe-haven assets.
At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3,372, up more than 170 pips on the day.
Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?XAUUSD – Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?
Gold (XAUUSD) is compressing within a well-defined rising wedge pattern on the 1H chart, signaling that a decisive move is near. With the U.S. CPI report due on June 12th, traders should prepare for volatility driven by macroeconomic catalysts. Whether gold breaks higher or reverses depends on how the market digests inflation data.
🌍 Macro Backdrop: All Eyes on Inflation
📌 U.S. CPI (June 12): A softer-than-expected reading could revive Fed rate cut expectations and send gold higher. A hotter-than-expected CPI could strengthen the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, putting pressure on gold.
📌 U.S.–China Trade Sentiment: Diplomatic progress in trade talks reduces safe-haven demand in the short term, weakening gold's defensive appeal.
📌 DXY & Bond Yields: A breakout in DXY or a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields post-CPI may lead to a corrective leg lower in XAUUSD.
📈 Technical Overview – Multi-Layered Structure
Pattern: Gold is forming a rising wedge between higher lows and converging highs, typical of breakout scenarios.
Fibonacci Levels (retracement from 3,400 to 3,296):
0.382: 3,336 – intermediate support
0.618: 3,360 – significant resistance, near current swing highs
Moving Averages:
Price is currently above EMA34 and EMA89
Struggling below EMA200 (red), which acts as dynamic resistance
FVG Liquidity Zone: An open Fair Value Gap between 3,360 – 3,374 could act as a magnet before any reversal.
🎯 Trade Strategy Scenarios
🟢 Buy Scenario – Bounce from Support Zone
Entry: 3314 – 3312 | Stop-Loss: 3308 | Take-Profit: 3318, 3322, 3326, 3330, 3335, 3340
Ideal if CPI comes in lower than expected or aligns with a bullish technical rejection from wedge support.
🔴 Sell Scenario – Rejection from Resistance Zone
Entry: 3374 – 3376 | Stop-Loss: 3380 | Take-Profit: 3370, 3366, 3362, 3358, 3352, 3348, 3340
Valid if price taps into the upper liquidity zone (3,374–3,394) and fails to break, especially on CPI surprise to the upside.
🧠 Tactical Conclusion
A dovish CPI → favors BUY setup off lower wedge support
A hawkish CPI → favors SELL near upper resistance and liquidity zones
📌 The market is compressing and gearing up for a breakout. Patience is key — wait for confirmation at key zones and manage risk precisely.
GOLD IS MOVING UPWARD.#xauusd #gold
Hello friends, very busy this days and also no well, had little health issue. But I was watching gold closely in that days too, caught some great moves. In previous analysis I mentioned gold will move upward, unfortunately gold breaked the pattern and moved down to 3394 after that we see again upward movement started. Again a bearish flag pattern is formed but due to tension in geopolitics gold is strongly bullish also yesterday was CPI news where dollar news was negative and dollar move down due to which gold pushed upward. Today gold opening was in gap in upward.
Today I am expecting to move upward and later on it will definitely come down to fill the gap near 3355. So our main target is now 3380-3391-3402.
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XAUUSD, GoldGold is in a correction phase. If the price cannot break through the $3429 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Crude Oil Going Higher - TA and fundamentals aligneThe 0-5 count is not over yet.
Sudo 4 and 5 are still lurking.
It's good to see how the Medianline-Set cought the Highs of the swings. Likewise we can see the subborn rejection at the Center-Line at P3.
I will not trade CL to the short side, until it's clear that P4 is engraved in this Chart. Until then, I maybe shoot for some intraday or dayli trades in Crude.
Economy Facts that support a rise, up to P4:
Crude oil refineries typically switch to producing more gasoline (fuel for cars) in the spring, particularly around March to April in the United States and other northern hemisphere countries.
Seasonal demand: Warmer months mean more driving and vacation travel, increasing gasoline demand.
Regulatory change: Refineries begin producing summer-grade gasoline, which has lower volatility and is required by environmental regulations (especially in the U.S. under EPA rules).
The switch to summer-grade gasoline must be completed by June 1st for retail and May 1st for terminals and pipelines in the U.S.
In Summary:
- Switch begins: March–April
- Completed by: May (terminals), June (retail)
- This seasonal shift is often called the "refinery maintenance season" or "spring blend switch."
GC - Gold digging for a possible ShortAfter reaching WL2, we saw a sharp pullback followed by an immediate double top. Price failed to reach the centerline of the yellow fork, instead stalling at the 1/4 line.
Then came the break of the lower median line (L-MLH), a pullback to the white WL1—then the drop began.
If this market can’t push to new highs, we’ll likely fall back into the median line set. A pullback to the upper median line (U-MLH), as indicated by the red arrows, is a probable scenario.
Next stop: the white centerline.
I trade tiny. I trade with extremely high risk-reward setups. I’m fine getting stopped out all the time —because I’m hunting huge moves.
I don’t chase. No FOMO.
It’s how I sleep well, make money from trading and keep my stress level very low.