USOIL:The latest trading strategyThe price of WTI crude oil futures has risen slightly, and the market is currently in the process of bottom - building.
The price briefly broke through last week's high of $67.94, reaching an intraday high of $68.37 before pulling back. The market remains in a "sell - on - rally" mode.
After the higher opening, there is a probability that the crude oil price will stabilize at a lower level. For the subsequent trading strategy, short - selling is worth considering.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@67.7-68.3
TP:66-65
Commodities
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 67.592.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 71.123.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2,989.37
Target Level: 2,923.90
Stop Loss: 3,032.89
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold (XAU/USD) INTRADAY trading close to ATHThe Gold price action exhibits bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action indicates a phase of sideways consolidation near the previous resistance level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Support: 2960 (previous consolidation range)
Immediate Resistance: 3000
Higher Resistance Levels: 3034, 3081
Downside Support Levels: 2909, 2883, 2830
Bullish Scenario:
A corrective pullback toward the 2960 level, followed by a bullish bounce, could reaffirm the uptrend and target the immediate resistance at 3000. Sustained momentum could further drive the price towards 3034 and ultimately 3081 over the longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below the 2960 support level, along with a daily close beneath this mark, would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could trigger a deeper retracement towards the next support levels at 2909, 2883, and 2830.
Conclusion:
While the overall sentiment remains bullish amid the prevailing uptrend, traders should closely watch the 2960 level for signs of bullish continuation or a potential bearish breakdown. A sustained close below this level would signal caution and shift the focus to lower support zones.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
$APA: APA Corporation – Oil’s Wild Ride or Steady Bet?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️
NASDAQ:APA : APA Corporation – Oil’s Wild Ride or Steady Bet?
With APA at $19.70, is this energy titan a fuel for profit or a risky barrel? Let’s drill down! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 19.70 as of Mar 17, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Down from higher levels, reflecting oil price volatility 📏
• Sector Trend: Energy sector volatile amid economic uncertainties 🌟
It’s a rollercoaster—hold tight! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $6.1B (310M shares outstanding) 🏆
• Operations: Oil and gas exploration in key regions like U.S., Egypt ⏰
• Trend: Vulnerable to oil price swings, but diversified operations offer stability 🎯
Firm in its niche, but subject to market winds! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Oil Price Dynamics: Recent drops impact revenue and earnings 🌍
• Company Strategies: Focus on cost management and strategic investments 📋
• Market Reaction: Stock price reflects current market sentiments 💡
Navigating through turbulent waters! 💪
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Oil Price Volatility: Primary driver of performance 🔍
• Regulatory Changes: Environmental regulations and transition to renewables 📉
• Geopolitical Tensions: Impact on supply chains and prices ❄️
It’s a risky venture—stay alert! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Established Presence: Key oil-producing regions like Permian Basin 🥇
• Diversified Portfolio: Operations across multiple geographies 📊
• Financial Stability: Strong balance sheet, per historical data 🔧
Got solid foundations! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Vulnerable to oil price drops, regulatory risks 📉
• Opportunities: Expansion into new markets, M&A activities, potential oil price rebound 📈
Can it weather the storm and shine again? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
APA at $19.70—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $25+ soon, oil prices rebound 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks and opportunities balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $15 looms, further downturn ahead 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
APA’s $19.70 price reflects current market challenges 📈, but its long-term potential remains. DCA-on-dips could be a strategy to average in over time. Gem or bust?
Silver Climbs on Weak Inflation DataSilver surged toward $33.90 an ounce, its highest since late October with ongoing trade tensions and rising Fed rate cut expectations after weak U.S. inflation data.
Trump threatened 200% tariffs on European wines in response to the EU’s 50% tariff on U.S. whiskey, further heightening market uncertainty. U.S. producer prices remained flat in February in the meantime, consumer inflation rose just 0.2%, and jobless claims declined, signaling a resilient labor market.
If silver breaks above $34.00, the next resistance levels are $34.85 and $35.00. On the downside, support is at $33.80, with further levels at $33.15 and $32.75 if selling pressure increases.
Gold's Record Week: $2,980 MilestoneGold surged above $2,980 per ounce, hitting a record and heading for a 2% weekly gain as risk aversion and Fed rate cut expectations grew. Trump escalated trade tensions, threatening a 200% tariff on European wines after the EU's 50% tax on U.S. whiskey.
February's PPI and CPI data showed easing inflation, increasing Fed flexibility for rate cuts, and raising gold's appeal. Strong ETF inflows and continued central bank purchases, with China extending its buying for a fourth month, further supported prices.
Key resistance stands at 3000, with further levels at 3045 and 3100. Support is at 2980, followed by 2916 and 2885.
XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949.
Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target.
2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923.
This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 3-17: GAP PotentialAs we start moving into the Excess Phase Peak pattern consolidation phase, I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt a moderate rally for about 3-5+ days, then roll into a deep selling mode after March 21-24.
I don't believe we have reached a bottom - yet.
I do see a lot of people talking about "the bottom is in" and I urge all of you to THINK.
What do you believe will be the basis of US and GLOBAL economic growth starting RIGHT NOW?
Can you name one thing that will be the driver of economic expansion and activity?
I can't either.
Thus, I suggest traders prepare for more sideways consolidation range trading over the next 60+ days as hedge assets and currencies attempt to balance risks.
BTCUSD, Gold, Silver should all be fairly quiet this week. I'm not expecting any huge price moves this week.
I expect the SPY/QQQ & BTCUSD to move a bit higher while Gold and Silver melt upward a bit further.
Then, after March 21, I expect bigger volatility and a broad rotation in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin where Gold/Silver will start a bigger move higher.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gold Devours Stocks and Outshines Crypto with 40% Gains. Why So?Gold OANDA:XAUUSD has returned 40% in the past twelve months — that’s more than four times the S&P 500’s SP:SPX 9% increase.
Besides leaving stock bros with a sour taste in their mouths, gold is also serving a cold dish of revenge to the crypto heads who had for years been slamming it for lack of appeal. It crushed the $3,000 mark last week, pumping to the rarefied air of $3,005 per ounce.
The market’s digital gold — Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD — is up 26% in the past year. Gold is certainly having a moment here with just about every star aligning for its upside swing. War tremors, inflation jitters, consumer uncertainty and lower interest rates have come together to make gold great again.
Catch the drift? Yes, we mean US tariffs. Trump’s tariff drama is perhaps the biggest driver right now for the shiny stuff. Anxiety over gold getting slapped with a tariff has sent traders, dealers and investors scrambling to get more of it.
The US President has floated some comments on gold but not to the point where he even remotely hints at imposing a tariff. Around the end of February, Trump said he suspects someone might’ve actually been stealing gold from Fort Knox. His remarks came after Elon Musk, designated as a “special government employee,” raised some alarming questions.
“Who is confirming that gold wasn’t stolen from Fort Knox? Maybe it’s there, maybe it’s not,” Musk wrote on X . “That gold is owned by the American public! We want to know if it’s still there.”
Trump chimed in and said in an interview they’re planning to visit Fort Knox soon. “We’re going to go into Fort Knox, the fabled Fort Knox, to make sure the gold is there. He added that “if the gold isn’t there, we’re going to be very upset.”
Fort Knox is the equivalent of Scrooge McDuck’s impenetrable fortress full of gold collectibles. Only that Fort Knox staff doesn't backstroke through the piles of coins (or do they?). The vault holds a total of 147.3 million ounces worth roughly $430 billion today. To those who’re asking why not sell it and pay off some debt — America has a staggering $36 trillion debt burden . Selling gold to pay it off wouldn’t even return a blip on the chart.
According to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (who’s also a hedge fund manager) the gold at Fort Knox is audited “every year” and “all the gold is present and accounted for.”
All American gold is stored in a number of vaults, which collectively add up to a total of 261.5 million ounces (8,100 tons), according to Federal Reserve balances. That’s around a $770 billion piece of a market that’s worth nearly $20 trillion.
So is the gold rush exaggerated and maybe a little overrated?
In practice, gold is a pet rock with an added flair. It doesn’t generate yield, produce earnings or pay any form of interest to those who hold it. But gold has a solid history of being the ultimate store of value.
Gold’s supply is more or less fixed as miners are only able to dig out about 1% to 2% a year at best. All the gold ever unearthed in the world is a little over 216,000 tons , according to the World Gold Council. One way to picture that is 64,200 Tesla Cybertrucks. Or, if we were to melt it all, it would be enough to form a cube that’s 25 yards (23 meters) on each side.
You be the judge now — do you think gold is overpriced? Or are you a gold bug who believes that $3,000 could be the start of a new mega cycle for the precious metal? Share your comments below!
DeGRAM | GOLD hit $3000GOLD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart has consolidated above the upper trend line.
We expect the growth to continue until reaching the upper boundary of the channel.
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Gold day trade short Gold has been exhibiting a strong bullish trend; however, I’ve noticed some divergence today, suggesting a potential high for the session. Based on this observation, I’ve entered a short position, anticipating a pullback in gold prices.
I'm targeting the 2957 level, as there is significant liquidity below Friday’s lows, which serve as a key support level. I believe these levels need to be taken out before gold can continue its upward trajectory.
I’d love to hear your thoughts—let me know what you think! If you found this analysis useful, feel free to give it a boost.
Thanks!
stocks vs gold race to recession safety since fed did its last rate cut in december 2024 fomc, Stocks down gold up
this is classic recession trade - dump risk assets and buy safe heaven
gold hit $3000 on recession panic market crash
if stocks bounce, panic may price out
if stocks fall more, panic selling will trigger which could slow the speed of gold rally
this market action and recent gold bars flying to New York from london may be recession panic buying not the tariff inflation hedge
in 2020 market crash everything went down but when recovery started gold proved better than stocks.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said it would be a difficult one to decipher so we suggested traders wait for the break, trade into the levels given and then look for the RIPs. This worked particularly well for us giving us the move into the lower level as analysed on the break, using the red boxes for direction and then giving us the tap and bounce that we wanted to take the long trades back up into the new all time highs we witnessed towards the end of the week.
We managed to compete all of our bias level targets, getting a pin-point move from KOG’s bias and on top of that completing Excalibur targets and the red box targets. Not a bad week at all on Gold.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’ll be looking for a retracement on the move, however, we are not discounting a curveball move from immediate support to clear liquidity from above. We have the resistance level above 2990 and lower support 2980 which could be the play for the opening. If we break above 2995, we’ll be looking for price to attempt that 3010 and above that 3020 region before attempting to short it again.
On the flip, if we do reject that higher level and can break below 2980, we’ll stick with the plan from last week where we’re looking to continue the retracement back down first into the 2965 level and below that 2950-55. If you look on the chart, we have highlighted a lower level which is sitting around 2935-20, an aggressive move downside can take us there on the manipulation move, so please trade with caution this week and keep an eye on the levels.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2995 with targets below 2970, 2965, 2955 and below that 2950
Bullish on break of 2995 with targets above 3003, 3006, 3010, 3016 and above that 3020
RED BOXES:
Break above 2995 for 2997, 3003, 3009, 3016 and 3021 in extension of the move
Break below 2980 for 2975, 2971, 2965, 2959, 2955 and 2945 in extension of the move
Short and simple this week, let’s see how the week plays out and remember, your risk model is there to protect you, use it, keep your losers small and your winners big!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
WHY NZDJPY IS BULLISH??? DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY is currently trading at 85.900, forming a descending channel pattern, signaling a potential breakout. This pattern often leads to bullish reversals, and once the price breaks above the resistance zone, we could see strong upside momentum toward the 90.000 target. A successful breakout with increased volume will confirm the bullish wave, leading to an anticipated gain of 300+ pips.
From a technical perspective, the pair is testing key resistance levels within the descending channel, and a breakout will align with major trend continuation signals. If buyers maintain control, we could see the price rally towards 87.500 first, followed by a push toward 90.000 psychological resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candles, RSI divergence, and volume spikes to validate the breakout.
On the fundamental side, market sentiment and risk appetite are favoring jpy pairs, with the New Zealand dollar benefiting from commodity price stability and global risk-on sentiment. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's cautious stance on monetary tightening keeps jpy under pressure, further supporting upside potential for nzdjpy. If risk sentiment remains positive, the pair could maintain its bullish outlook, making the 90.000 target highly achievable.
XAUUSD is about to top. What this means for stocks?Seven months ago (August 05 2024, see chart below) we gave our long-term view on Gold (XAUUSD) based on the similarities of the current Cycle with the previous one (before the 2020 High):
The market is now approaching our 3100 Target being up +24% since then. We will not go into the similarities between those two Cycles again. The market will complete on this price a +85.42% rise from the bottom, almost reaching the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
This cyclical pattern shows that when Gold Tops (on its 3rd 1W RSI High) and starts its 4-year Bear Cycle, the S&P500 (blue trend-line) extends its Bull Cycle up until the moment Gold tests its Bear Cycle Resistance and Double Tops, which is when the S&P500 starts its own Bear Cycle and corrects.
Before Gold tops however, the stock market does experience a volatile phase, which is exactly what SPX has been through since January. This is a great signal telling us that Gold may indeed be headed towards a Cycle Top, perhaps even as early as a month from now.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XAU/USD Buy Setup 📈 XAU/USD Buy Setup & Risk Management
🔹 **Trade Setup:**
✅ **Entry**: **$2,995** ✨
✅ **Take Profit (TP)**: **$3,010** 🎯
✅ **Stop-Loss (SL)**: **$2,987** ❌
✅ **Risk-Reward Ratio**: **1:1.88** ⚖️
🔹 **Risk Management Plan:**
📊 **Risk Per Trade**: Keep risk at **1-2% of your capital** 💰
📏 **Pips Risked**: **80 pips** (SL @ 2987) 📉
📏 **Pips Gained**: **150 pips** (TP @ 3010) 📈
📌 **Lot Size**: Use a **position size calculator** to adjust your lot based on risk tolerance ( (www.babypips.com))
🔹 **Trade Execution:**
✅ **Confirm bullish signals** (RSI above 50, MA crossover, strong support at $2,987) 📊
✅ **Avoid over-leveraging** – stick to your trading plan ⚖️
✅ **Monitor market conditions** for news & volatility 📢
🚀 **Gold is volatile—trade smart & secure profits!** 🏅
GOLD will start correction soon?#gold chart (1D daily candle size) has formed a bearish divergence. This may cause a correction in #xauusd. Also, TVC:GOLD has been moving in ascending wedge for long time (mid term). There may be deviations upside to have short sequeezes for early shorters. Therefore, avoiding high risks are appreciated. Not financial advice.
GOLD IN CONSOLIDATION – IS A MAJOR BREAKOUT IMMINENT?📌 Market Overview
Gold starts the week with limited momentum following last week’s sharp drop from its highs. Investors remain cautious, waiting for stronger signals before committing to a clear direction.
This week, the FOMC meeting will be the key event, as the Federal Reserve is expected to provide crucial updates on monetary policy based on last week’s inflation data.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions are rising after Trump's airstrikes on Iran-backed Houthi forces. However, gold has yet to respond significantly to these developments, suggesting that traders are looking for more confirmation before the next big move.
📊 Key Technical Levels
🔹 Support Levels: 2982 - 2976 - 2966 - 2948
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2994 - 3004 - 3015 - 3034
🎯 Today's Trade Setups
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2975 - 2973
📍 SL: 2970
🎯 TP: 2980 - 2984 - 2988 - 2992 - 2998
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3038
🎯 TP: 3030 - 3025 - 3020 - 3016 - 3010
⚠ High Volatility Expected – Prepare for a Breakout!
Gold has been trading within a tight range since last week, and a breakout is likely during the late Asian or early European session. Traders should anticipate increased volatility and ensure strict risk management. Stick to your TP/SL strategy to safeguard capital.
📢 What’s your outlook for gold this week? Will it break higher, or is another correction coming? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
Soybeans: Deja Vu all over againCBOT: Micro Soybean Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MZS1! )
Let’s rewire the clock back for seven years. In 2018, trade tensions escalated between the US and China, resulting in a series of tariffs and retaliations.
On July 6, 2018, US imposed a 25% tariff on $34 billion of Chinese imports. On the same day, China immediately hit back with 25% tariff on equal value of US goods.
American soybeans were among the hardest hit by tariffs. The United States has been the largest soybean producer in the world. According to USDA data, American farmers produced 120 million metric tons of soybeans in 2017, contributing to 35.6% of the world production. About 48.2%, or 57.9 metric tons, were exported to the global market, making US the second largest soybean exporter after Brazil.
China is the largest soybean consumer and importer. In 2017, it imported 94 million metric tons of soybeans, accounting for 61.7% of the global imports. Brazil and the US were the largest sources of China’s imports, with 53% and 34% shares, respectively.
Tariffs on US soybeans punished American farmers. Total tariff level was raised from 5% to 30%. As a result, the FOB cost to Shenzhen harbor in southern China hiked up 700 yuan (=$110) per ton. This made US soybeans 300 yuan more expensive than imports from Brazil.
Tariffs priced American farmers out of the Chinese market. According to USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, China imported 1,164 million bushels of US soybeans in 2017. By 2018, China import dropped 74% to 303. While US exports recovered to 831 in 2019, it did not resume to the pre-tariff level until the signing of US-China trade agreement. CBOT soybean futures plummeted 15-20% in the months after the tariffs were imposed.
US farmers incurred huge losses from both reduced sales and lower prices. The following illustration is an exercise of our mind, not from actual export data.
• Without trade tensions, we assume exports of 1,164 million bushels each in 2018 and 2019, at an average price of $105 per bushel. This comes to a baseline export revenue of $244.4 billion for both years combined.
• Tariffs lowered export sales to 1,134 million bushels for the two-year total, at an average price of $87. Thus, the tariff-impacted revenue data comes to $98.6 billion.
• The total impact on soybean sales volume would be -51%, from 2,328 down to 1,134.
• The total impact on export revenue would be -60%, from $244.4 to $98.6 billion.
It is déjà vu all over again.
In February 2025, the Trump administration announced 10% additional tariffs on Chinese goods. This was raised by another 10% in March, setting the total to 20%.
To retaliate against US tariffs, China imposed import levies covering $21 billion worth of U.S. agricultural and food products, effective March 10th. These comprised a 15% tariff on U.S. chicken, wheat, corn and cotton and an extra levy of 10% on U.S. soybeans, sorghum, pork, beef, aquatic products, fruits and vegetables and dairy imports.
This is just the beginning. In the last trade conflict, average US tariff on Chinese imports was raised from 4% to 19%. Now we set the starting point at 39%. How high could it go? From history, we learnt that this could go for several rounds before it settles.
Trading with Micro Soybean Futures
On March 11th, USDA published its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. Both the U.S. and global 2024/25 soybean supply and use projections are basically unchanged this month, meeting market expectations.
In the last week, soybean futures bounced back by about 2%, recovered most the lost ground since China first announced the retaliative measures.
The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of March 11th, CBOT soybean futures have total open interest of 810,374 contracts.
• Managed Money has 101,927 in long, 109,849 in short, and 108,993 in spreading positions.
• It appears that the “Small Money” spreads their money evenly, not knowing which direction the soybean market would go.
In my opinion, the futures market so far has completely ignored the possibility of a pro-long trade conflict with China.
• Seriously, ten percent is just the start. What if the tariff goes to 30% like in 2018?
• How would soybean prices react to a 50% drop in US soybean exports?
Anyone with a bearish view on soybeans could express it by shorting the CBOT micro soybean futures (MZS). These are smaller-sized contracts at 1/10 of the benchmark CBOT soybean futures. At 500 bushels per contract, market opportunities are more accessible than ever with lower capital requirements, an initial margin of only $200.
Coincidently, Friday settlement price of $10.17 for May contract (MZSK5) is identical to the soybean futures price of $10.40 immediately prior to the 2018 tariff.
History may not repeat, but it echoes . At the last time, the tariff on soybeans saw futures prices plummeting 20% within a month. If we were to experience the same, soybeans could drop to $8.00. This is a likely scenario if tariffs were to rise higher.
Hypothetically, a decline of $2 per bushel would cause a short futures position to gain $1,000, given each micro contract has a notional of 500 bushels.
The risk of short futures is the continuous rise in soybean prices. The trader would be wise to set a stoploss at his sell order. For example, a stop loss at $10.50 would set the maximum loss to $165 (= (10.50-10.17) x 500), which is less than the $200 initial margin.
To learn more about all Micro Ag futures contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site:
www.cmegroup.com
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
XAUUSD: 17/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000-3030, support below 2905
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2978
One-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2980
Analysis of gold news: Last week, the gold market ushered in a historic breakthrough. Spot gold surged to $3005 and then fell back to consolidate. The current gold market is in a bullish and bearish game of "strong fundamental support" and "technical overbought correction". Safe-haven demand, central bank gold purchases and interest rate cut expectations constitute the basis for medium- and long-term increases, but in the short term, we need to guard against policy expectations and profit-taking selling pressure. This week's Federal Reserve meeting will become a bull-bear vane. If a loose signal is released, gold is expected to break through $3050 and open up new upside space; if the statement is hawkish or the economic data is stronger than expected, we need to be wary of the long-short battle at the $3000 mark. We need to keep a close eye on the changes in the Bollinger Bands channel shape and the momentum conversion of the MACD/RSI indicator to capture early signals of trend continuation or reversal.
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold finally ushered in a bullish upward breakthrough after repeated fluctuations around the 2980 mark. The European session once accelerated to break through the 3000-point integer mark, and then fell under pressure and fell into a volatile consolidation. The overall gold price continued the extremely strong unilateral upward pattern of bulls. Gold began to trade sideways at a high level again. After falling to 2878 on Friday, it continued to bottom out and rebound. Gold bulls are still better. Now it is accumulating momentum at a high level, but gold has not seen a large adjustment. For the time being, bulls still dominate the market and wait for a decline to continue buying.
From the current trend analysis, today's lower support focuses on the one-hour level 2980 and the four-hour level 2978 line, focusing on the long-short dividing line support of 2950. The intraday retracement relies on the 2980-2978 line to continue to be bullish and unchanged, and the upper target is still concerned about the new high.
Buy: 2980near SL: 2975
Buy: 2950near SL: 2945