Continue to be bearish, sell around 2650Gold ended in shock and tested the 2633 line several times. The daily line ended the rise of the previous four trading days, and the small adjustment after the big drop ended. With yesterday's closing down, the short-term decline is still there, and the standard shock pattern of the four-hour line rebounded after reaching the support below. It is still in the rebound. The wide range of shocks will continue today. Sell high and buy low in operation.
Gold is not stimulated by news and data now, and the market is not sustainable. Since the decline of gold has not continued, it is shock. After the shock, gold will wait for this week's news data to choose the direction of breakthrough. Now it is shocking, so continue to short at the rebound high.
First support: 2633, second support: 2621, third support: 2605
First resistance: 2651, second resistance: 2666, third resistance: 2680
Commodities
XAUUSD Gold Next Possible move is 2759! Read Description Hello Traders!
Gold looks full bearish can hit 2559! We can see a rising wedge in high time frame (H4) also Elliott wave giving same target because B correct move has been completed and times to give C corrective move till 2559-2504 that is the possibility for Gold in the current situation!
Resistance: 2648, 2660, 2685
Support: 2638, 2620, 2597
Stop Loss: 2660
Tp 2622
Tp 2610
Tp 2570
Tp 2504
GOLD traded steadily, notable events and data during the dayOn the Asian market on Tuesday (December 3), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,640 USD/ounce.
Notable economic data and events on this trading day
Today (Tuesday), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This important employment data is expected to cause large fluctuations in gold prices this trading day.
Economists predict that there will be 7.51 million JOLT vacancies in the United States in October, compared with 7.443 million in September, the lowest level since the beginning of 2021.
The JOLTS job vacancy report was one of the labor force indicators that U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen valued most when she was chair of the Federal Reserve. This index is also labor market data that the Fed is very interested in.
Gold traders will also be watching for speeches by Federal Reserve officials. On Wednesday, Fed Governor Coogler will give a speech on the labor market and monetary policy. Chicago Fed President Goolsby will give a speech.
More information
Trump urged BRICS countries not to try to replace the dollar and threatened to impose 100% tariffs if they did not comply. Trump's comments raised concerns that US interest rates will remain high for a long time and this will not be beneficial for non-yielding gold.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, there are almost no structural changes as gold is still maintaining very modest price activity due to the lack of fundamental breakthroughs.
In terms of factors, gold is facing more pressure with the nearest horizontal resistance at 2,644 USD along with the 21-day Moving Average (EMA21), in addition, the main trend currently dominating is the downward trend. by price channel.
In the short term, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci level, it will have conditions to decrease further with a subsequent target of around 2,606 - 2,600USD, which means the nearest support in the short term is also the 0.618 Fibonacci level. % price point 2,634USD.
The relative strength index is still operating below the 50 level, although it is mostly moving sideways but this should also be considered a negative technical signal.
During the day, the technical outlook leans towards the possibility of price decline with notable points listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2661 - 2659⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2665
→Take Profit 1 2654
↨
→Take Profit 2 2649
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
$TSLA Monthly retrace on the way. I like to think of ,myself as a pattern chart trader... This monthly screams rejection imo, especially with the .78 Fib looming 💬 ... I took a weekly lotto today for $330 strike at contract lows.... Let's see what happens.. will enter a January Put for sure after this ..
XAUUSDGold prices were under pressure yesterday as the PMI news was released, which was good for the dollar and Treasury yields rose. However, gold prices were supported by the forecast of a December Fed rate cut and geopolitical tensions in Syria and Russia-Ukraine, creating a push into safe havens.
Gold prices are currently moving sideways in a large range between 2633 - 2666, the nearest resistance is still at 2660 - 2665, and there is no clear trend for gold at the moment. If this Sideway zone is broken, Gold may find the nearest resistance at 2683-2688. Consider using the support at 2620 - 2625 to catch up with the uptrend of Gold.
‼️XAUUSD BUYZONE 2624 - 2626
SL 2621
TP 2628 - 2630 - open
‼️XAUUSD SELLZONE 2661 - 2663
SL 2666
TP 2659 - 2655 - 2650
GOLD's recovery is limited, pay attention to this week's dataOANDA:XAUUSD remained stable above 2,600 USD last week, mainly supported by rising geopolitical tensions, but after Donald Trump won the US Presidential election, gold was still under pressure to restrain the possibility of price increases in terms of price. Basically because the USD will be supported by Trump's victory.
Regarding gold's latest recovery, after US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data released earlier this week was in line with expectations, market expectations of an interest rate cut in May 12 by the Federal Reserve increased, pushing gold prices higher.
Currently, the market is pricing in a roughly 66% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, a significant increase from more than 50% a week ago.
Geopolitical tensions in Europe caused by Russia's missile attack on Ukraine also provided support for safe-haven assets such as gold.
The Israeli military said its air force on Thursday attacked a facility in southern Lebanon used by Hezbollah to store medium-range missiles, as the two sides accused each other of violating a ceasefire despite the agreement. previous agreement.
Russia on Thursday launched its second major attack this month on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, causing widespread power outages in the country.
Gold is often seen as a safe investment during times of economic and geopolitical instability.
Gold prices have fallen about 3% this month and hit a two-month low on November 14. This is mainly because the US Dollar has strengthened since Trump was elected and his tariff policies are believed to be likely to push up inflation, thereby slowing down the cycle of US interest rate cuts. Federal Reserve.
This week the US will release key economic data including job vacancies, the ADP jobs report and the nonfarm payrolls report, which could provide guidance on the Fed's policy outlook.
Economic data to watch out for this week
Monday: ISM manufacturing PMI
Wednesday: ADP Working Data, ISM Services PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will participate in a panel discussion at the New York Times DealBook Summit
Wednesday Thursday: Claim weekly unemployment assistance
Friday: US nonfarm payrolls report, preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is trying to recover but is still limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci level and EMA21. Note to readers in yesterday's edition.
In terms of overall structure, gold is still inclined to a bearish outlook with the main trend from the price channel, main resistance from EMA21, while the Relative Strength Index has not yet been able to surpass 50. Because So in terms of trends and dynamics, gold still has the prospect of decreasing in price more than increasing.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, it does not technically have enough room for a long-term rally, so rallies should only be considered short-term rallies.
In the immediate future, if gold falls below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, the next downside target will be noticed at around the original price of 2,600 USD.
In summary, the technical outlook on the daily chart of gold prices leans to the downside with notable highlights listed as follows.
Support: 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
Oil prices fall despite positive Chinese manufacturing data
Oil prices dropped for two consecutive days due to a strengthening dollar despite positive manufacturing data from China. The November Caixin manufacturing PMI in China hit 51.5, surpassing the expected 50.5 and marking the highest level since last June. Attention now turns to the OPEC+ meeting on the 5th, where the group will discuss whether to extend crude oil production increases. Originally, OPEC+ planned to raise production by 180,000 barrels per day starting in January, but concerns about oversupply may delay this decision.
After briefly testing the support at 67.60, USOIL rebounded slightly. The price stays within the descending channel, and the gap between both EMAs has widened further, indicating bearish momentum. If USOIL breaks below the channel's lower bound and 67.60, the price may fall further to 64.80. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above both EMAs and the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum to 70.00.
Gold → The correction is gaining momentum. The next target is 24Hello, dear traders, Ben here!
Gold faced significant supply on Monday and broke a four-day winning streak, indicating that gold prices are ready to reach lower levels, such as down to 2547-2470. What has happened and what will happen?
Demand for the dollar has increased at the expense of gold. At the same time, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for November still rose 2.8% year-over-year, higher than the forecast and the Federal Reserve's (FED) target of 2%. These factors could make the FED more cautious in continuing to cut interest rates in the short term.
In the medium term, the focus is on the non-farm payroll report; if the data shows a robust labor market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is more likely not to cut interest rates. That will boost the USD and could negatively impact gold.
On the H4 chart, gold is in a local downtrend channel and below the psychological resistance level of 2643. If the bears keep the 2633-2643 region under control, gold may continue to weaken towards the 2547 - 2470 level.
Technically, after a week of low liquidity due to the holidays, this metal may enter a consolidation phase, for example, in the 2643 - 2623 area, but it is still noteworthy to pay attention to the resistance and support levels from which strong moves can form...
WTI CRUDE OIL Buy signal on Channel Down bottom.WTI Crude Oil is trading inside a Channel Down on the 1hour chart.
The price almost hit its bottom and is already on a 4hour rise.
This is technically the new bullish wave and all prior inside the Channel reached the 0.618 Fibonacci.
Buy and target 68.50 (Fib 0.618).
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XAUUSD Bull Flag to break into a new Channel Up High.Gold / XAUUSD is trading inside a Channel Up since November 25th on the 1hour chart.
At the moment it is on a Bull Flag, which was part of both prior bullish waves.
The 1hour RSI just crossed under its MA and on the next lower low, the price should have already bottomed.
Buy and target 2669, which is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (the last Higher High of the pattern).
Previous chart:
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GOLD → The bears are gaining weight. Resistance retestFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false break of the resistance of the range. The fundamental background is mixed and does not yet allow to form a clear medium and long term strategy, BUT! ...
Trump's policies create new risks. Before taking office, he has already signaled the growth of tariffs for the whole world (Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, BRICS countries). The growth of geopolitical risks also affects the price of metal. On the background of the dollar growth and expected reduction of interest rates by the Fed, gold is declining and confirms the bearish structure of the market. The markets' attention is focused on the ISM manufacturing PMI index in the US. Data from the US
Technically, the price is breaking the ascending support line as well as the 2636 zone, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming and we should pay attention to the key resistance, liquidity and imbalance zones
Resistance Levels: 2636, 0.5-0.7 Fibo, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the previously broken structure and zone of interest is forming. False breakout of 0.5-0.7 fibo (retest) can provoke active selling on the background of the newly growing dollar. But, globally, gold is still in a sideways range without a clear trend direction...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Seize the opportunity to continue shorting goldBros, gold fell as expected and touched the short-term support area of 2635-2630, and then rebounded again. Currently, gold is running around 2639.
At present, gold is repeatedly bullish and bearish in the short term, and neither the rise nor the fall is sustained. The overall market can be classified as a volatile market. However, from the perspective of the strength of gold's rebound, gold is relatively weak, and it has never effectively broken through 2650 during the rebound. So in short-term trading, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound.
Then the area we focus on first is the 2645-2650 area, followed by the 2660-2665 area. As long as gold remains below 2660, I think the short energy is still slightly better, so at the right time, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 and 2660-2665 resistance areas.
Bros, are you as bearish on gold as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Hold on to short gold positionsBros, as I said in my last opinion, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 resistance area. I have already shorted gold at 2645 and 2651 as planned.
Although gold has not fallen effectively so far, it still remains above 2640. But we can see that gold has not effectively broken through 2650 in many rebounds, so I think that after consuming a certain amount of long energy, gold will fall again.
So I am still very confident in my short position. Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD | 15M | TECHNICAL CHARTI have prepared a OANDA:XAUUSD analysis for all of you. I have marked my target and stop-loss levels on the chart. Thanks to everyone who likes and supports my work. I work hard for you here and I will never give up on you.
We will continue to win together. All I ask is that you show your support with a like.
Gold Technical Outlook: Bullish Momentum with Key Levels toWatchGold Technical Analysis
The price action indicates a continuation of the bullish trend following a retracement from the key support level at 2622.
As long as the price remains above 2638 and 2622, the bullish outlook prevails, with potential targets at 2661 and 2678.
For a bearish reversal, the price would need to stabilize below 2638, which could lead to a retest of 2622. A confirmed hourly candle closure below 2622 would likely extend the downside move toward 2612 and potentially lower levels.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2644
Resistance Levels: 2661, 2678, 2706
Support Levels: 2625, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook: Uptrend
The current trend remains bullish, supported by strong price action above critical support zones.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed, allowing us to buy dips from our weighted level bounces.
We started the day with the bearish gap below at 2647 being hit followed 2631 retracement range test at 2631 weighted Goldturn giving us over 40 pip bounce like we always state and all the way into 2647.
We need to keep in mind that ema5 has also locked below 2631 leaving the swing range open. However, we are seeing the bullish Goldturn 2647 being tested. If we see a lock above 2647 then we are likely to see the upper targets or failure to lock above 2747 will see a re-attempt on the lower Goldlturns, also keeping in mind the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
NATGAS BULLISH REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS will be retesting a support level of 3.128$ soon
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
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CRUDE OIL Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is slowly moving
Towards the horizontal support
Level of 66.35$ but its a strong
Key level so after the retest
We will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound from support
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAUUSD: 2/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2627
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold prices quickly hit the 2666 mark in the Asian and European sessions and fluctuated sideways. The US session was suppressed and closed below the 2660 mark. Today, the gold price fell directly at the opening of the Asian session and broke through the 2650 mark and continued to fall back to the vicinity of 2640. After rebounding for two consecutive trading days last week, the short-term gold price entered a suppressed adjustment pattern.
At present, from the 4-hour trend, the pattern of continuous rise in gold in the early stage has basically ended, and the short position will continue to ferment. From the perspective of the market, after the gold price fell below 2645, the original support point turned into the first reference pressure. Relying on this position, the main short position continued to fall downward. The lower target position first focused on whether the 2627 mark could be broken. If the 1H line breaks through, it can be further shorted. If 2627 is not broken, it will still maintain a volatile operation. The short-term watershed between long and short strength is 2639. Before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Keep participating in the trend
SELL: 2639near SL: 2643
SELL: 2624near SL: 2627
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD (02/12) | Bears are Gaining Momentum. Retesting the ResistaXAUUSD is declining after falsely breaking the resistance level of the range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for the formation of a clear mid- to long-term strategy.
Trump's policies are creating new risks. Before taking office, he signaled the possibility of raising tariffs globally (on Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, and BRICS countries). Increased geopolitical risks are also affecting metal prices. On the backdrop of a strengthening U.S. dollar and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates, gold prices are falling, confirming the bearish structure of the market. The market's attention is focused on the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI index.
Technically, the price is breaking below the ascending support line as well as the 2636 level, indicating a dominant bearish sentiment. A correction is forming, and we should pay attention to resistance zones, liquidity, and key imbalances.
Resistance levels: 2636, 2650
Support levels: 2622, 2618, 2605
A retest of the broken structure and the previously significant levels is forming. A false breakout of the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci retracement (retest) could trigger aggressive selling due to the newly strengthened U.S. dollar. However, globally, gold is still within a sideways range without a clear trend.
🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2651 - 2652
⚰️SL: 2656
⬆️TP1: 2644
⬆️TP2: 2639
🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2580 - 2581
⚰️SL: 2575
⬆️TP1: 2586
⬆️TP2: 2591
This concludes the article. Best wishes for a healthy, joyful, and happy weekend.