XAU Long Term Analysis (Everyone Should Be Careful)Now that we have so much data available, it looks like we have a large diametric on the chart.
We are now at the end of wave E. You should be careful of emotional buys.
It is expected that by hitting the supply, the price will enter the correction phase for more than 1 year.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Commodities
XAUUSD ANALYS#XAUUSD ANALYS
####### This analysis was loaded with the correct wavenumber. ######
With this wave count, we can say that here, by hunting liquidity, $2950 will move towards $2700 to complete micro-wave C of wave 4.
I hope this analysis has helped you.
Share this analysis with your friends.
The analysis was done by Mr. Khosravi.
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ETH LONG PATH TO 15000Here are roughly projected levels ETH is likely to reach reach on its long term path to much higher prices
Levels were approximated by creating trendlines which connect several, key, important pivot highs and lows from the past. These levels should serve as rough estimates for both targets and levels of resistance, for future price.
Comments Appreciated
ETH—Time Has become CrucialETH has had 2 weekly closes below 3000
This is not too surprising nor should it be an end all be all indicator, that determines whether the bull run in BTC, Alts, or both, is coming to a halt or resuming
With that being said, time appears to be getting important, as 3 weekly closes should certainly be concerning.
Here we can see an intact trendline from multi-year lows all the way to more recent lows, until it just recently retested.
Additionally, most volatile, and aggressive moves from from a flase breakdown, which washes out week hands one last time.
-After hitting strong support at 2150, and dropping nearly 30% in hours, ETH QUICKLY recovered the entirety of its loses within a day.
-2150 has several levels of strong support and a further array of support/former resistance levels with 25-50$
-Time is important here—I expect for ETH to make a beeline to 3000 early next week and definitively close above 3000 on the weekly chart, signaling the resumption of the altcoin bull market in earnest.
-If this does not happen, I would say there is a cause for concern, and something is very wrong.
It is also important to note the Bollinger Band crash on the weekly chart when 2150 was tested. The last time this exact scenario occurred, ETH rallied back well above 3000 in a short period of time.
Comments appreciated thanks
How to Get Funded and Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025?How to Get Funded and Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025: A Step-by-Step Action Plan
With prop trading firms offering funding to skilled traders, 2025 presents an excellent opportunity to trade with significant capital while limiting your personal risk. Here’s a detailed roadmap to getting funded and becoming a successful prop trader in the forex market.
________________________________________
📌 Step 1: Build a Profitable Trading Strategy
Before applying to a prop firm, you need a tested and profitable strategy that aligns with prop firm risk rules. Here’s what to focus on:
✅ Choose a Trading Style
• Scalping – Quick, small trades (requires low spreads and fast execution).
• Day Trading – Intraday trades with clear setups (most prop firms allow).
• Swing Trading – Holding trades for days/weeks (lower stress, fits many prop firm rules).
• Algorithmic Trading – Using bots or EAs (some firms allow automation).
✅ Develop a High-Probability Edge
• Top-Down Technical Analysis (Identify trends using multiple timeframes).
• Price Action & Market Structure (Support/resistance, breakouts, trendlines).
• Risk-Reward Ratios (Aim for at least 1:2 RR on trades).
• News & Fundamentals (FOMC, NFP, CPI, interest rate decisions).
✅ Backtest & Optimize Your Strategy
• Use Forex Tester 5 or TradingView’s replay mode to test past market conditions.
• Run at least 100-200 trades in a demo account.
• Maintain a win rate above 50% with an R:R of 1:2 or higher.
________________________________________
📌 Step 2: Master Risk & Money Management
Most prop firms fail traders due to poor risk management. Here’s how to avoid that:
✅ Follow Strict Drawdown Rules
• Daily Drawdown: Most firms allow 5% max daily loss.
• Overall Drawdown: 8-10% max loss before account termination.
• Solution: Risk only 0.5% - 1% per trade.
✅ Position Sizing
• Lot Size Calculator: Always use a calculator to match risk per trade.
• Adjust for Volatility: Trade smaller lots on high-impact news days.
✅ Risk-Adjusted Growth
• Withdraw profits monthly to secure earnings.
• Scale up gradually instead of over-leveraging.
________________________________________
📌 Step 3: Get Funded by a Prop Firm
🚀 Top Prop Firms in 2025 for Forex Traders
• FTMO – Up to $400,000 funding, 90% profit share.
• My Forex Funds (MFF) – Up to $600,000 funding, 85% profit split.
• The Funded Trader – 80-90% profit split, offers aggressive scaling.
• Fidelcrest – Allows scalping, news trading, and EAs.
• E8 Funding – Low drawdown rules, 80% split.
📈 How to Pass a Prop Firm Challenge
Most firms require a two-phase evaluation:
1. Phase 1: Profit target (8-10%) within 30 days without exceeding the daily/overall drawdown.
2. Phase 2: Lower profit target (4-5%) within 60 days with the same risk rules.
3. Funded Stage: Trade firm capital with a profit split (usually 75-90% to the trader).
🛠️ Pro Tips to Pass a Prop Firm Challenge
✅ Risk only 0.5% per trade (low risk = higher success rate).
✅ Trade high-probability setups only (2-3 trades per day max).
✅ Avoid trading the first & last 15 minutes of sessions (high spreads).
✅ Use a prop firm challenge simulator before applying.
________________________________________
📌 Step 4: Optimize & Scale Your Trading Career
🔹 Get Multiple Funded Accounts
• Many firms allow traders to manage multiple accounts.
• Use copy trading software (e.g., Trade Copier, FXBlue) to replicate trades across accounts.
• Some firms have a combined max funding of over $2 million.
🔹 Transition to a Full-Time Forex Trader
1. Withdraw Profits Monthly – Secure earnings and reinvest.
2. Diversify Income Streams – Consider trading signals, coaching, or selling EAs.
3. Trade with Institutional Mindset – Focus on consistency over big wins.
________________________________________
📌 Step 5: Use Trading Tools & AI Bots for an Edge
🔹 Best Forex Trading Tools in 2025
📊 TradingView & MT5 – Best for charting & analysis.
📉 AutoRisk Calculator – Automates lot sizing based on risk %.
🤖 AI & Algo Bots – AI-powered news sentiment analysis & high-frequency trading.
📅 Forex Factory & Myfxbook – Economic calendar & trade tracking.
________________________________________
📌 Step 6: Stay Ahead in the Forex Market
🚀 Follow Pro Traders – Learn from institutions & hedge funds.
📊 Analyze Market Cycles – 2025 will be affected by interest rates & global policies.
📉 Avoid Overtrading – Focus on quality over quantity.
📈 Invest in Continuous Learning – Join trading communities & courses.
________________________________________
🎯 Final Thoughts: The Fastest Way to Become a Forex Prop Trader in 2025
✅ Develop a tested, profitable strategy.
✅ Master risk & money management.
✅ Apply to top prop firms & pass the evaluation.
✅ Scale with multiple funded accounts.
✅ Stay disciplined, patient, and focused on long-term success.
XAUUSD Buy Limit OrderWow, we have a strong push to the up, and I think in this pull back we'll have some reaction in this area.
Let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Xauusd Buy Limit OrderHi everyone.
We've missed our previous trade.
Now in higher TF I think this area has a good potential to set a buy limit order.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold Buy Limit OrderOur previous order was based on the higher TF and it's still valid.
I think for the lower we can use this area to set order.
Let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained
Here is my price action analysis for Gold on a 4H.
The market is currently trading in a sideways after
an extended up movement that was completed 5th of February.
We see a horizontal parallel channel formation.
To confirm the next bullish wave, I suggest waiting for a breakout
of its resistance.
4H candle close above 2887 will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 2900 then.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the channel
may trigger a correctional movement.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Ichimoku Theories - Complicated? Keep it SimpleNYMEX:CL1!
The Ichimoku Strategy is a technical analysis method using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator, which helps traders identify trends, support/resistance levels, and potential trade signals. It consists of five key components:
Ichimoku Indicator Components:
1. Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): (9-period moving average)
• Short-term trend indicator.
• A sharp slope suggests strong momentum.
2. Kijun-sen (Base Line): (26-period moving average)
• Medium-term trend indicator.
• Acts as a support/resistance level.
3. Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): ((Tenkan-sen + Kijun-sen) / 2, plotted 26 periods ahead)
• Forms one edge of the Kumo (Cloud).
• A rising Span A suggests an uptrend.
4. Senkou Span B (Leading Span B): (52-period moving average, plotted 26 periods ahead)
• The second edge of the Kumo (Cloud).
• When Span A is above Span B, the cloud is bullish (green); when Span A is below Span B, it’s bearish (red).
5. Chikou Span (Lagging Span): (Closing price plotted 26 periods behind)
• Confirms trend direction.
• If Chikou Span is above past prices, it signals bullish momentum.
Trading Strategies Using Ichimoku
1. Kumo Breakout Strategy
• Buy when the price breaks above the Kumo (Cloud).
• Sell when the price breaks below the Kumo.
2. Tenkan-Kijun Cross Strategy
• Bullish signal: Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen.
• Bearish signal: Tenkan-sen crosses below Kijun-sen.
3. Chikou Span Confirmation
• Buy when Chikou Span is above past price action.
• Sell when Chikou Span is below past price action.
4. Kumo Twist
• When Senkou Span A crosses above Senkou Span B, it signals a potential bullish reversal.
• When Senkou Span A crosses below Senkou Span B, it suggests a bearish reversal.
5. Trend Confirmation
• Price above the cloud = bullish trend.
• Price inside the cloud = consolidation.
• Price below the cloud = bearish trend.
Advantages of Ichimoku Strategy
✅ Provides a comprehensive market view (trend, momentum, support/resistance).
✅ Works well in trending markets.
✅ Offers clear entry and exit signals.
Limitations
❌ Less effective in ranging or choppy markets.
❌ Can be complex for beginners.
❌ Requires confirmation with other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD).
Trade Smart - Trade Safe 🚀
GOLD - $3,000 is a Magnet!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After recording a new all-time high this week, GOLD has been surging in a parabolic manner.
🎯 Next target? The $3,000 round number is lining up perfectly with the upper bound of the rising channel marked in red.
🏹Meanwhile , every bearish correction would be an opportunity to look for trend-following longs, targeting the $3,000 mark.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Weekly Market Forecast: PLATINUM Is a BUY!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th.
As the Monthly and Weekly timeframes show, this market is in a ranging consolidation. So the strategy is to buy at the lows and sell at the highs until there is a definitive breakout on either side.
With price having swept the lows of the consolidation, it makes sense price will be heading to the buyside liquidity next.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold NEW ATH to $2,912?!We're currently seeing a re-distribution schematic play out on Gold ahead of its sell off. Re-distribution schematics normally take place in between Wave 3 high, Wave 4 low & Wave 5 high.
This sell off schematic normally builds up within a 'Flat Correction' channel, which traps in early sellers and late buyers into the market. This is why it is a hard pattern to recognise.
XAUMO Strategy – GOLD (XAU/USD) for Monday, Feb 12, 2025 Market Overview – The Smart Money Play
🔹 Gold (XAU/USD) trading around $2,860-$2,861 – Bulls still in control on higher timeframes but showing signs of exhaustion.
🔹
Liquidity traps above $2,875-$2,880 – Institutions baiting late buyers.
🔹
Volume decreasing at resistance – Smart money unloading positions.
Translation? Market prepping for a trap & reversal play before the next expansion.
📌 XAUMO SESSION BREAKDOWN & EXECUTION PLAN
🔴
1) Asia Session: Market Balance & Trap Setup
Price Action: Tight consolidation, low volatility, setting up liquidity grab.
Volume: Diminishing – classic pre-move buildup.
Liquidity Zones: Buyers trapped above $2,875-$2,880.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,850-$2,855
Resistance: $2,870-$2,875
🚨 Game Plan:
If price spikes into $2,875-$2,880, look for a reversal short.
If price drops to $2,855 and holds, expect a bounce.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell Limit: $2,875
🎯 Target: $2,855 > $2,845
❌ Stop Loss: $2,883
🟡
2)London Session: Expansion & Trend Confirmation
Price Action: Market picks a direction – we trade the retest.
Volume: If RVOL spikes, expect breakout move.
Liquidity Zones: Order blocks forming at $2,850-$2,855.
Key Levels:
Bullish if price holds $2,855, expect $2,880+.
Bearish if rejection at $2,875, expect $2,840-$2,830.
🚨 Game Plan:
Watch for fake breakouts at session highs/lows.
VWAP & POC confirm bias.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell if $2,872 rejects
🎯 Target: $2,850 > $2,835
❌ Stop Loss: $2,881
🟢
3) NY Session: Institutional Moves & Volume Surge
Price Action: The real move happens here – Smart Money decides direction.
Volume: If RVOL > 1.5, trend continuation is confirmed.
Liquidity Zones:
$2,875-$2,880 – Bull Trap Zone
$2,840-$2,830 – Sell-Side Liquidity
🚨 Game Plan:
If price fakes out above $2,875 & dumps, SELL HARD.
If NY session defends $2,855, BUY THE DIP.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell below $2,850
🎯 Target: $2,830 > $2,815
❌ Stop Loss: $2,860
📈 Buy if price reclaims $2,860 after fakeout.
🎯 Target: $2,880 > $2,885
❌ Stop Loss: $2,852
FINAL XAUMO EXECUTION STRATEGY
If price spikes to liquidity levels, fade the move.
🔸
If VWAP & Delta confirm direction, ride the trend.
🔸
Use session highs/lows as liquidity magnets.
🔸
If RVOL confirms strength, scale in aggressively.
EXXONMOBIL ($XOM) EARNINGS & OUTLOOKEXXONMOBIL ( NYSE:XOM ) EARNINGS & OUTLOOK
1/7
ExxonMobil is back in the spotlight after Q4 2024 earnings. ⚡️💰
From a $59.5B Pioneer merger to record Permian production, there’s plenty to unpack. Let’s dig in!
2/7 – Q4 & FULL-YEAR EARNINGS
• 2024 earnings: $33.7B, down from $36.0B in 2023
• Q4 2024: $7.6B net income (~$1.72/share), with $12.2B in operating cash flow
• Distributed $36B to shareholders in 2024—talk about rewarding loyalty! 💸💥
3/7 – EXPANSION & STRATEGY
• Targeting higher output in Permian Basin & Guyana, despite oil oversupply
• FWB:20B annual share-repurchase program planned for 2025
• Recent Pioneer merger boosts upstream portfolio—long-term production potential just got a big upgrade 🚀
4/7 – VALUATION VS PEERS
• P/E ratio ~13–14, below the industry range (15–18) ✅
• Dividend yield ~3.5%, beating the 3.0% sector average
• Stacks up against Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ) & Shell ( NYSE:SHEL )—but ExxonMobil’s Guyana assets could be the real differentiator 🌍⛽️
5/7 – RISK FACTORS
1️⃣ Oil oversupply + OPEC+ cuts → Price uncertainty 📉
2️⃣ Global economic slowdown → Softens demand
3️⃣ Regulatory scrutiny → Heightened costs
4️⃣ Shifting to renewables → Could reduce big-oil momentum
6/7 Is ExxonMobil truly undervalued given its strong cash flow & dividend?
1️⃣ Yes – Undervalued gem
2️⃣ No – Oil oversupply risk is too high
3️⃣ Maybe – Need more clarity on renewables
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – SWOT SUMMARY
• Strengths: Advantaged assets (Permian/Guyana), robust cash flow 🏭
• Weaknesses: Reliance on oil price, smaller renewables exposure
• Opportunities: Pioneer merger, carbon capture, high-value chemical products
• Threats: Regulatory, oversupply, economic slowdown
Weekly Market Forecast: CRUDE OIL Can Go Lower!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th.
OIL is still trending to the downside, and sells are still valid.
Until we see a bullish market break of market structure, sells all day.
CPI Data news on Wednesday, so be careful trading into news day.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Weekly Forex Forecast: GOLD & SILVER Are Bullish! BUY Them!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th.
Gold and Silver are both bullish, with Gold being the stronger of the two. I am not interested in selling either until I see a bearish BOS, as the swing structure is bullish, and the trend is up. Wait until the fractal structure is aligned with the overall market structure, which would make for higher probability buys to follow the trend.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BREIFING Week #6 : Volatility is LyingHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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USOIL BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the USOIL with the target of 75.15 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
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