Commodities
GOLD dropped dramatically then recovered in the short termOANDA:XAUUSD saw a short-term spike during the Asian trading session on Monday (April 7). The price of gold recovered to reach around $3,053/ounce, up $83 from the intraday low of $2,970.47/ounce reached earlier.
OANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply after the Asian open on Monday, with gold also falling sharply as equity markets suffered a sharp sell-off.
While gold typically benefits from periods of volatility, it is more prone to sell-offs during periods of high volatility, with investors likely to sell gold to cover losses elsewhere.
The stock market sell-off has prompted investors to cover their losses. However, rising trade wars and geopolitical risks could boost safe-haven demand, supporting gold prices.
Trump Makes Shocking Claim About Stock Market Crash: "Sometimes You Have to Take Medicine"
When asked about the stock market crash, US President Trump said on Sunday local time, "Sometimes you have to take medicine."
After plunging on Thursday and Friday last week, global stock markets continued to fall on Monday, creating the worst three-day losing streak in history.
“I don’t want anything to happen, but sometimes you have to take medicine to solve the problem,” Trump told reporters on Air Force One, speaking about the economic impact of his sweeping tariffs.
“I can’t tell you what’s going to happen in the markets,” Trump said. “But our country is stronger.” According to Reuters, Trump gave no indication that he would abandon the tariff plan during his speech.
Trump also said he did not intentionally orchestrate the market sell-off. “No, it wasn’t that,” he said.
Last Friday, Trump reposted a video on his social media platform in response to the stock market crash. The video opens with the assertion: “Trump is causing the stock market crash… but he’s doing it on purpose.” Trump’s “No, he’s not” comment came hours after his economic advisers said in a Sunday television interview that the market should not expect to be rescued from the tariff-driven sell-off.
The Stock Market as well as the Gold Market are now directly piloted by Captain Trump, so keeping an eye on Trump is essential for any trader.
One comment can also break all the technical structures, and we cannot trade the market without knowing what is happening in the market. The market is 50%, the rest is now Trump and a part of the FED along with trade and geopolitical developments.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after the gold price fell, it received support from the lower edge of the price channel, an important position of the current main uptrend.
And the recovery brought the gold price back above the EMA21 level, however, the upside momentum is also limited by the technical level of 3,056USD, pay attention to readers in the weekly publication.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index RSI approached the level of 50, which is considered a support position for the RSI and the RSI bending upwards will be considered a positive signal for the bullish recovery momentum.
During the day, the technical uptrend of the gold price is still dominant with the price channel as the main trend and the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,019 - 3,000 - around the lower edge of the channel
Resistance: 3,056USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3093 - 3091⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3097
→Take Profit 1 3085
↨
→Take Profit 2 3079
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3001 - 3003⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2997
→Take Profit 1 3009
↨
→Take Profit 2 3015
Gold H1 projectionKey Points (Revised):
* Asset: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD)
* Timeframe: 1-hour chart
* Recent Price Action: A sharp upward move has occurred, reaching the red highlighted zone (potential resistance).
* Potential Reversal Zone: The red rectangular area between approximately 3009.643 and 3015.015 now appears to be acting as a resistance zone.
* Target Zone: The green rectangular area between approximately 2953.785 and 2944.180 is now the potential target for a downward move.
* Proposed Pattern: The price action suggests a potential rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downward move.
Trading Idea (Revised):
The updated chart suggests a potential short (sell) trade opportunity. The idea is to enter a short position within or near the red highlighted zone (potential resistance), anticipating a downward move towards the green highlighted zone (potential support/target). This is based on the price reaching a potential resistance level and showing signs of rejection.
GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3006.4
Stop Loss - 2998.0
Take Profit - 3024.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1h chart route map playing out, as analysed.
We started the session with our Bearish targets 3034 and 3034 and then the retracement range targets at 2999 and 2975, followed with our Bullish target at 3055, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
The range is currently big and we will continue to see play and test between the weighted levels. A re-test and break below the retracement range will open the swing rang. However, continuous support above the retracement range will see a further test at 3055 weighted Goldturn level and lock above 3055 will see the range above open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
H12 Key Insight – XAUUSD Structure Shift?🧭 H12 Key Insight – XAUUSD Structure Shift
The 12H chart confirms a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), printing a Lower High after the massive rejection from the premium supply zone at 3135–3145.
Here’s the refined breakdown 👇
🔹 What’s Happening:
After tagging a strong premium OB, price formed a Lower High and Lower Low — initiating bearish 12H structure.
A small bearish OB was left unmitigated around 3042–3052, now acting as potential sell interest.
Price is currently ranging just above that, showing indecision — any break and retest may fuel continuation down.
🔻 Key Bearish Target Zone:
🟦 Demand zone at 2896 – 2860
🧠 Why:
Clear imbalance from previous rally
Aligns with EQ level + strong H4 OB
Final mitigation zone before bigger trend decision
✳️ Scenarios from H12 POV:
🟥 If 3050–3060 acts as supply again → continuation toward 2950 then 2890
🟩 If price reclaims 3080+ and holds → structure may shift again bullish
📉 H12 confirms bearish bias, but lower timeframes will give the actual sniper entry triggers.
💬 Drop your thoughts below – Are you still buying dips or flipping bearish?
Stay confident. Stay structured. Let the charts guide you! 🧠💥
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 29.788 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 28.884..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD Daily Plan – April 7 | Sniper EntriesNo guessing. No chasing. Just structure, logic, and precision entries. Based on current structure from H4 down to M15, price is hovering above a major reaction zone, and both bulls and bears have valid reasons to get involved — only if the zone speaks. Let’s map the battlefield 👇
🔹 Market Snapshot:
After the perfect sniper short from 3135, price printed a series of LHs and lower closes.
Now reacting from the 3015–3020 demand/FVG zone, respecting both internal structure and a long-term trendline.
RSI recovering from oversold on M15/H1. Volatility likely as we approach NFP aftermath flow.
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 1 – “The Bounce from the Base”
📍 Entry: 3020–3015
🧠 Why: Bullish M15 FVG, trendline support, RSI reversal
🎯 TP1: 3086
🎯 TP2: 3130
🛑 SL: 3008 (below swing low + OB invalidation)
💬 Classic sniper entry on bullish reaction + CHoCH on M5
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 2 – “Deeper Tap, Higher Reward”
📍 Entry: 2975–2965
🧠 Why: Untouched M30 OB + imbalance zone + D1 demand
🎯 TP1: 3050
🎯 TP2: 3086
🛑 SL: 2958 (below OB + psychological 2960)
⚠️ Only take if 3010 breaks clean and flushes into this area
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 1 – “Short the Retest”
📍 Entry: 3107–3115
🧠 Why: M15 OB + unmitigated FVG + CHoCH after LH
🎯 TP1: 3030
🎯 TP2: 3010
🛑 SL: 3119 (above OB + intraday wick space)
💬 Look for M1–M5 confirmation & bearish PA
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 2 – “The Premium Re-Entry”
📍 Entry: 3135–3142
🧠 Why: Strong OB zone, premium liquidity grab, equal highs
🎯 TP1: 3086
🎯 TP2: 3020
🛑 SL: 3148 (above liquidity + invalidation of OB)
🧠 Still valid if price rallies fast — best with RSI divergence
🧭 Key Levels Recap
3142 – Upper premium OB
3115 – Intraday LH rejection
3020 – Bullish FVG + trendline
2965 – Deeper demand zone
2958 / 3148 – Final SL protection areas
💬 Let’s Grow together
If this sniper plan helps refine your view: ✅ Like if it aligns with your bias
🔔 Follow for clean, daily smart money plans
💬 Drop a comment with your scenario or questions
We're here to build consistency — one precise setup at a time. 🎯
Stay sharp, stay kind! 💛
GOLD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,029.482 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HelenP. I Gold may continue to fall and break support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After failing to hold above the resistance zone between 3140 and 3155 points, Gold made a sharp reversal. The strong bearish reaction from this area marked the end of the previous bullish momentum and triggered an aggressive sell-off. That move broke several minor support levels and pushed the price all the way down to the current support zone between 3010 and 2990 points. Previously, Gold had shown a stable uptrend, consistently bouncing from the trend line and using it as a dynamic support. Each pullback was met with buying pressure, allowing the price to climb higher. However, this time, after reaching the 3140 resistance level, buyers were overwhelmed by strong selling activity. Currently, Gold is trading just above the key support zone and close to the trend line. This area has acted as a pivot level multiple times, but the latest price action shows hesitation from buyers and growing control from sellers. Given the recent sharp decline, the break from the resistance zone, and the pressure near the current support, I expect Gold to continue falling toward 2960 points — my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-7 : POP In Counter Trend ModeToday's POP pattern in Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will find support and attempt to POP upward a bit.
I expect the SPY to attempt to reach levels above 505 today. Possibly trying to peak near 510.
The same thing will happen with the QQQ - a potential rally (POP) higher targeting the 420-425 level.
Watch this video TWICE if you really want to understand what is taking place in the markets right now.
The tariff issue will settle over the next 15+ days. The SPY/QQQ are moving into the EPP Consolidation Phase (just like I've been telling you for months now).
BTCUSD is moving into a BREAKDOWN phase and will likely target $63k over the next 30+ days.
Gold and Silver reacted to the breakdown of the SPY/QQQ as they always do - PANIC SELLING.
Now that the panic selling pressure appears to be subsiding, Gold and Silver should build a base and begin an explosive move higher - targeting $4200-4500 for gold and targeting $41-44 for silver.
We live in exciting times and I still believe the US markets will DOUBLE or TRIPLE over the next 5-10+ years.
Get Some.
XAUUSD Channel Up holding but be ready to short if broken.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up on the 4H time-frame, hitting today its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). That is the first time the price hits this trend-line since February 28 and the previous Higher Low of the pattern.
As long as it holds, expect a Bullish Leg similar to the previous one, to hit first the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 3130 and then the 1.786 extension for a Higher High at 3280.
On the other hand, if we get a candle closing below the 4H MA200, we will be ready to take the loss and go short instead, targeting Support 1 (Feb 28 Low) at 2840, potentially also making contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD short-term analysis. Entering the selling phaseAfter the tariff policy was implemented, gold was sold off in the market on Friday. Gold was under pressure from the upper track of the rising channel trend line at 3160/3165. At present, the correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel. The daily line fell sharply and closed. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator turned down after the previous 80-value high overbought value and fell back to around 50!
The weekly RSI indicator turned down and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the Asian session. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/3075, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. Gold continued to fluctuate downward in the weak bear market in the Asian session. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continues to sell at high levels and buy at low levels.
Gold once again started a dramatic frenzy mode last Friday, with long and short positions tug-of-war and large fluctuations. In the end, the short position was slightly better, which was an eye-opener for the market. With the continuous rise of gold, large fluctuations are also commonplace. Large fluctuations make the market uneasy. In the face of the large decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below is maintained at the 3000 integer mark!
This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high probability of a rebound, and the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion position of 3054-3057, which is also the top position of the last falling candle last Friday. This position will be an ideal short position on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period.
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. Gold will continue to sell after the rebound, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, sellers will have more advantages in the short term. Unless there is a big positive, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The gold rebound resistance is 3054. If it is under pressure, it will continue to sell at highs.
Key points;
First support: 3000, second support: 2990, third support: 2976
First resistance: 3040, second resistance: 3054, third resistance: 3068
Operation ideas;
Buy: 2983-2985, SL: 2974, TP: 3000-3010;
Sell: 3051-3054, SL: 3063, TP: 3030-3020;
Tariff Panic = Opportunity | WTI Long SetupWTI Oil has finally dipped into my long-watched buy zone, driven by macro fear and an aggressive tariff agenda. The current drop aligned perfectly with my long-term execution plan. I’ve placed this trade based on key historical demand levels with my stop-loss and take-profit clearly defined. I’m prepared for deeper drawdown, but this area remains high-conviction for me. Execution > Prediction.
Technicals:
• Key Level: Price tapped into a major demand zone dating back to 2021 lows, which had been protected ever since.
• Liquidity Sweep: This drop mitigated every low formed post-2021 — clearing out late longs and stop hunts.
• Trendline Break Anticipation: I expect a potential trendline breakout from the long-term descending structure.
• SL/TP Defined: This trade has structure. It’s not a hope-based setup, it’s pre-planned and managed.
• Consolidation + Accumulation: This is where strong hands prepare, and I’m joining in.
Fundamentals:
• Tight supply, rising global demand, and structural underinvestment in oil exploration.
• Chinese reopening + Russian ban tighten market availability.
• Central banks expected to support demand via easing cycles.
• Oil Bearish Catalyst (Short-Term):
• US tariff wave: Trump announced a total 54% tariff on China and baseline tariffs on all trading partners.
• Escalating fears of global economic slowdown pushed prices to $58.80, a 4-year low.
The bearish panic gave bulls like us a gift. This is how real trades are born - not in euphoria, but in blood.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
GOLD INTRADAY bullish continuation supported at 3028Gold maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support.
Key Level: 3028
This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level.
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback toward 3028 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3141, with extended upside potential toward 3167 and 3198 over the longer term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3028 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3020, followed by 3000 and 2974.
Conclusion:
Gold remains technically bullish while trading above 3028. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3028 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 3,035.98.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,937.76 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
High Risk, High Reward: Shorting ATH in a Bullish Copper Market.Copper just broke above its all-time high, triggering my short entry at 5.3010. While the macro trend is undeniably bullish, past price action has shown that each major high was followed by aggressive selloffs. This might not be the case this time – but that’s exactly why we have a stop-loss in place.
This is a tactical counter-trade: not about fighting the trend but playing a potential rejection from a psychological and technical key zone. Let’s see if history rhymes or the red metal keeps melting resistance!
Technicals:
• Daily timeframe breakout above ATH triggered the short at 5.3010.
• Strong vertical rally into major supply – parabolic move often cools down.
• Previous ATH levels have consistently attracted heavy selling.
• If price invalidates with a continuation above 5.61, the setup is out.
• Volatility around this zone is expected – precision and SL management are key.
Fundamentals:
1. Trump’s Proposed Copper Tariffs:
• Tariffs of up to 25% could disrupt global trade flow and introduce price instability.
• Market already priced in a bullish narrative, so any delay or uncertainty could spark a correction.
2. Panama’s Cobre Mine Shutdown:
• The mine accounts for 1% of global supply, and uncertainty around reopening may already be priced in.
• The government is holding off public visits, which adds operational risk but no clear bullish resolution yet.
3. China Smelter Closures:
• While bullish in nature, these are known factors – any shift or reversal from China could cool the demand-side speculation.
4. Overbought Sentiment:
• Prices surged rapidly, creating a gap between LME and NY copper prices, reaching record spreads.
• Speculative exhaustion could trigger a short-term pullback or deeper correction.
Risk-Managed Play. Let’s see if this time is different – or just the same old Copper story in a new macro wrapper.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the channel boundaryGOLD is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic support, which has already acted as a rebound point.
The chart has already consolidated above the support level and returned to the channel.
We expect a rebound after consolidation above the 50% retracement level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,050.2
Target Level: 3,274.5
Stop Loss: 2,899.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Gets Technical Sell Signal Amid Stock Market DownturnGold has triggered a sell signal based on a MACD system that has historically shown a 75% success rate since the major 2011 top. Out of eight total signals, six have worked, capturing an average downward move of 21.15%. While recent signals during the bull market have delivered more modest results, they have still successfully flagged key corrections. The latest signal appears to be working as well, though uncertainty in global markets remains high, and traders should proceed with caution.
The signal itself is simple: when the difference between the MACD and its signal line rises above 20, the likelihood of a correction increases.
While many market participants expect gold to rally during equity market crashes, history shows that in particularly sharp downturns, gold can initially follow the broader market. This is often due to rising margin calls and gold’s high liquidity, making it a common source of cash. However, this time, elevated short positions might help limit the downside risks for gold.