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Will Oil Prices Face Downward Pressure After EIA's Forecast?Macro approach: - The EIA’s latest short-term outlook projects weaker oil prices as rising global inventories weigh on the market. Sluggish demand growth and increased production are expected to push output above consumption, building stockpiles and adding pressure on prices. - Traders are also monitoring the ongoing US-China trade talks in London. Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic after US Commerce Secretary Lutnick described the negotiations as progressing well. - On the supply side, Saudi Aramco has reduced its Jul oil shipments to China by 1 million barrels compared to Jun, suggesting that the recent OPEC+ production hike may not translate into substantial new supply. Technical approach: - USOIL retested both the descending trendline and resistance near 64.50 before pulling back. The price remains above both EMAs, signaling that bullish momentum is still intact. - A breakout above 64.50 and the descending trendline could open the door to 68.00–70.00. - However, failure to clear this resistance may lead to a retreat toward the 60.00 support level. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by DatTong
GOLD recovers strongly, market will wait for US CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded strongly in Asian trading on Wednesday (June 11) after a sharp decline in the New York session on Tuesday. The current gold price is around $3,341/ounce, up nearly $20 on the day. Traders are awaiting the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Estimates suggest that prices are likely to rise as US households feel the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. As a result, the Federal Reserve is likely to remain in a wait-and-see mode, keeping interest rates in the range of 4.25%-4.50%." Economists expect the US CPI to rise to 2.5% year-over-year in May from 2.3%, and the core CPI to rise to 2.9% year-over-year from 2.8%. OANDA:XAUUSD rose in Asian trade on Wednesday, even as the US and China said they had agreed on a plan to ease trade tensions during talks in London. According to Bloomberg, easing between the world's two largest economies would be negative for safe-haven assets like gold, and the lack of a decline in gold prices suggests investors are waiting for more developments. Gold prices have risen more than 25% this year as US President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have changed geopolitical dynamics, prompting central banks to buy gold to divest from US assets. Bloomberg also said investors are looking ahead to Thursday’s US Treasury bond auction and weak demand could boost gold’s appeal as a safe haven. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after receiving support from the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, the important support area noted by readers in the previous editions, gold has recovered once again. The short-term upside target remains unchanged at $3,371 of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rising from 50 is also a good signal for bullish momentum, and the large gap between the overbought area and the RSI shows that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead. During the day, as long as gold remains above $3,292, it remains bullish in the short term with targets of $3,371 in the short term, more than the raw price point of $3,400. The positions will also be listed as follows. Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,250 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3380 →Take Profit 1 3368 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3362 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3249 - 3251⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3245 →Take Profit 1 3257 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3263
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Current bullish movement there are still significant resistanceGold Market Update In the short term, the gold market has entered an uptrend. This upward movement has been supported by a Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS), indicating a bullish momentum and a potential reversal or continuation of the trend to the upside. However, despite the current bullish movement, there are still significant technical resistances that need to be considered before assuming a sustained rally. At the moment, gold is approaching a trendline resistance, which has historically acted as a barrier, limiting further upward price movement. In addition to this, there is also the presence of a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the same region, adding to the confluence of potential resistance zones. If the price is able to break above both the trendline resistance and the bearish FVG, it would confirm the strength of the bullish trend, and we could expect the market to continue climbing higher, potentially testing even stronger resistance levels above. On the other hand, if the market fails to break through this key resistance area and gets rejected, we may witness a retracement or a corrective move. In such a case, gold could decline back down toward the lower marked trendline, which would then act as the next significant support level. In conclusion, the immediate price action around this resistance zone will be crucial in determining the next direction for gold. Traders and investors should watch closely for confirmation of either a breakout or a rejection before making any decisive moves.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
Will gold continue its uptrend from the 3,300 USD level?Hello dear traders! Gold prices continued to decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, falling below the previous psychological support level, which is now resistance, at 3,350 USD. The main reason was that the US Dollar gained some positive momentum as the market leaned toward the Fed maintaining its current policy in July following the May report, causing XAUUSD to move lower into the weekend. From a technical perspective, as previously analyzed, gold broke below the psychological support level of 3,350 USD on Friday, with prices approaching the 3,300 USD support level at the time of writing. However, the RSI has dropped to the 30 level, indicating that selling pressure may be losing momentum, and global economic stress could potentially limit further losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LygridTrading
RIG Mega Profits SecuredRIG is a high beta oil stock. We secured profits today and looking for another entry. With the recent breakout and upside momentum in oil, this name caught a massive bid. Crude oil has seen a sharp rise in just the last week and shaping up for a continuation move higher. If this breakout holds energy stocks should continue to fly. WTI has its first major resistance level coming up within 1% from current price. Look for pullback buys in energy if oil continue to hold the inverse head & shoulder breakout.
NYSE:RIGLong
by Trading-Capital
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements. Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top. Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios: 1 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,950 Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum 2 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,650 Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend. Bullish Continuation Targets TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension) These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles. Supporting Technicals RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave Macro Fundamentals & Correlations Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum. Scenario Interactions: If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050. If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold. Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion. Scenario Interactions: If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite. If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets. A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity. These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario. In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance. From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey. Conclusion We present a multi-phased path for gold where: An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BitonGroup
XAUUSD: Neutral trade preparing a major breakout.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.070, MACD = 17.020, ADX = 34.480) a direct consequence of the sideways trading between the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200. The price action has rebounded on the former LH trendline, validating that it has resumed the long term bullish trend. The pattern that has prevailed so far is a Channel Up, and the current consolidation is similar to its first bottom sequence. We are bullish, aiming again for the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 3,420). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Gold rebounds and repairs, is it a shock or a bull market?📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical situation 2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold 📈 Market analysis: At the gold hourly level, after the pressure in the Asian session in the morning, it directly fell to the vicinity of 3302. The big Yin effectively lost the lower track of the descending flag consolidation channel. The original 3318 line was the confirmation of the channel counter-pressure point, which happened to be the 61.8% split resistance level at that time. At the same time, it lost the middle track. Therefore, we gave a trading idea of ​​looking at the rebound under pressure and continuing to decline in the European session. As a result, the market directly took a V-shaped wash-up and once pulled up to the vicinity of 3342. The European session fluctuated strongly and rose. Before and after the US session, it took advantage of the retracement to lure the short position, and there is still the possibility of a second pull-up space. Therefore, in the subsequent retracement support level, pay attention to two positions, one is 3322-3324, and the other is the 61.8% division support level of 3318. If it stabilizes, there is a high probability that there will be a second upward space, pointing to 3348. If the pressure here cannot be overcome, the bottom will continue to oscillate back and forth. At that time, it will fall back to see if a secondary low point can be formed to further stabilize the support. If it goes straight through and stands on it, 3293 may already be the short-term low. On the whole, I still hold short orders before the effective breakthrough of 3345, but at the same time, as the gold price rebounds and moves upward, the short-term support level is temporarily expected to be 3325-3320. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3335-3345 TP 3325-3315 BUY 3325-3330 TP 3350-3360 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Quick update following on from yesterday’s post. As expected, we got the push up after the EMA5 cross and lock above 3318, but price just fell short of our bullish target at 3352, leaving it open. This level now acts as a magnet, with price currently playing between 3318 and 3352, creating a tight range. We're watching closely for tests on both 3318 and 3352, with direction confirmed only by EMA5 cross and lock. The gap to 3352 still remains, so any bullish momentum should aim to fill this cleanly. Until one of these levels breaks with confirmation, we’ll likely continue seeing choppy movement in this range. We’ll keep using dips into support for intraday buys, targeting our usual 20–40 pip bounce trades as structure allows. Once again, thank you all for your ongoing support and engagement, we’ll continue to keep you updated throughout the week, as price unfolds and setups confirm. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential. 🔍 Technical Highlights Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended. Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly: The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA. Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure. MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight. RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher. ⚙️ Outlook The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher. Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREXcom
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 3345 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3326 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
6
Crude Oil Surges StronglyAs market participants await positive outcomes from negotiations between a major Asian economy and the U.S., crude oil prices edge higher modestly. During Tuesday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.12 to $67.16 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil gained $0.13 to $65.42, briefly hitting a new high since April 4th intraday. In the previous trading day, Brent surged to $67.19, the highest level since April 28th, primarily driven by market expectations of a potential deal between the U.S. and China. Current oil prices stand at a crossroads of multiple factors. In the short term, the global trade landscape dictates the main thread of market sentiment. If a mitigation plan is reached, it will boost demand expectations. However, the resumption of Iranian exports and OPEC's production increase strategy may lead to a potential supply glut in the second half of the year, emerging as the primary risk suppressing oil prices. Technically, the K-line has pierced below the moving average system, indicating a shift in the short-term objective upward trend. The formation of a large-bodied bearish candle in the subsequent session establishes the main rhythm, suggesting that oil prices may further decline to around $63.50 today before seeking new support. Overall, today's trading strategy for crude oil is recommended to focus on rebound shorting as the primary approach and pullback long positions as a supplement. In the short term, monitor resistance at the $67.5-68.0 range, while support lies at the $65.0-64.5 level. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by Ashbur
XAUUSD: Strategy and Analysis for June 10Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance level 3360, support level 3270 Four-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3290 One-hour chart resistance level 3327, support level 3303. The key support level of gold at the opening of 3310 has been broken. The price repeatedly stabilized at the 3310 line yesterday, forming a narrow range of fluctuations in the 3310-3320 range. The previous slow rise had formed a step-by-step upward structure. At present, this structure has been broken as the price fell below 3310, because the downward pattern formed last Friday has been completed. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the market will start a daily decline. Short-term ideas for Tuesday: Refer to the previous intensive trading area 3310~3320 price area, combined with the 15-minute level adjustment K-line pattern to find an opportunity to sell. The first key support position for the decline is 3290. If it falls below the support, the trend continues and may reach the 3250~3260 range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
$Gold Fills the Gap – Is a Bullish Bounce Toward $3350 Next?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that in last week’s analysis, the price successfully hit all four targets: $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317, and finally closed on Friday at $3309. This move delivered over 390 pips of return, and I hope you made the most out of it! Now, let’s move on to the latest gold analysis: As you can see, today gold dropped to the $3294 zone, finally filling the liquidity gap previously marked on the chart. Currently, gold is trading around $3315, and I expect further bullish movement toward the $3330 area as the first upside target. After that, we should closely watch the $3332–$3352 zone for a potential corrective reaction. There are more details in this analysis that I’ll share soon — with your support! THE MAIN TA :
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
25