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Cotton Futures: Decoding the Matrix of Market ForcesCotton, a seemingly unassuming commodity, is quietly aligning for a significant bullish move. But remember—this is not a prompt for reckless action. The entry is reserved for those who wait for the Daily timeframe to confirm the trend change. The Codes of the Cotton Conspiracy Code #1: The Commercial COT Index Commercials are not merely dabbling—they are at an extreme in positioning, maxed out over a 26-week lookback. Their hands are heavy with longs, signaling a brewing storm that only the wise will prepare for. Code #2: All-Time Extreme Positioning For the first time since 2019, commercials hold their maximum long positions. Unlike 2019, these positions are at higher prices, implying deeper convictions. Meanwhile, Large Speculators are excessively short—a telltale sign that the tide may soon turn. Both are at an all-time extreme in positioning. Code #3: Valuation Metrics Cotton stands undervalued against the pillars of Gold, DXY, and Treasuries. The market’s mispricing is your opportunity, should you dare to seize it. Code #4: Open Interest Analysis Open Interest (OI) has been climbing steadily, a silent crescendo. Who is fueling this growth? The commercials—those orchestrators of market moves—are discreetly accumulating, signaling an impending bullish wave. Code #5: ADX Over 60—The Endgame Approaches The ADX has breached the critical threshold of 60, a harbinger of trend exhaustion. Confirmation lies in the ADX’s roll-over or the Large Speculators’ retreat from their short positions. Code #6: Spread Divergence As prices sink to new lows, the spread between the front and next month contracts defiantly rises—commercials are eager for the front month, a potent sign when paired with extreme positioning. Bonus Codes: Hidden Layers of Accumulation Insider Acc Index and ProGo hint at quiet accumulation. Momentum shows bullish divergence, %R enters a buy zone, and the oversold stochastic adds another layer of intrigue. The Flaws in the System Yet, no system is without its anomalies. Small Speculators are excessively long—a peculiar deviation, given their knack for misjudging bottoms. This anomaly presents two scenarios: a merciless long squeeze forcing out the naive, or a rare stroke of luck for the masses. Moreover, while True Seasonal is misaligned, remember that seasonals reflect historical ghosts, while positioning unveils the machinations of today's masters. Always lean towards positioning as your guide, not seasonals. The Red Pill Awaits The stage is set. The players are in position. The market whispers secrets only a few are willing to hear. Cotton’s matrix is laid bare—whether you act or remain a spectator is the choice only you can make. But beware, the rabbit hole goes deeper than you think. Are you ready to follow? Choose wisely.
ICEUS:CTH2025Long
by Tradius_Trades
1
XAUUSD The bullish trend isn't over yet.Gold / XAUUSD is currently on the bullish wave of a long term Channel Up holding since October 6th 2023. The overbought 1day RSI draws comparisons with September 26th 2024 and October 27th 2023, which made a short term pull back but continues the bullish wave to a new high nonetheless. So far the 3 main bullish waves were +18.68%, 22.50% and 22.00%. Based on that, the bad case scenario for the next High is 3000. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
XAUUSD WEEKLY WRAP UP This week, Gold (XAU/USD) continued its upward trajectory, achieving a sixth consecutive weekly gain. The metal reached a new record high above $2,880, reflecting sustained bullish momentum. Key Influencing Factors: Federal Reserve Commentary: Remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell contributed to market optimism, supporting the rally in gold prices. Technical Levels: Gold approached the significant psychological level of $3,000 per ounce, with analysts suggesting that surpassing this threshold could be a potential game-changer for the metal. Outlook: The market's focus is now on upcoming U.S. economic data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which could serve as a catalyst for further price movements. A higher-than-expected CPI reading may bolster expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, potentially exerting downward pressure on gold. Conversely, a softer CPI could support continued gains in gold prices. Traders are advised to monitor these developments closely, as they will play a crucial role in shaping gold's trajectory in the near term. FOLLOW US BOOST US FOR MORE MARKET RELATED NEWS ANALYSIS AND UPDATES
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG. First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted. Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now. Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time. That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning. And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens. Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours). My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future. I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities. Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me? Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Gold Pauses Rally as Dollar and Yields Strengthen Gold pulled back from recent highs as the US dollar and bond yields rebounded on renewed inflation concerns. The University of Michigan’s Inflation Expectations survey surged to 4.3% from 3.3%, raising fears of persistent price pressures. Strong wage growth in January (0.5% month-over-month) further fuelled expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its higher-for-longer stance on interest rates. Speculation about inflationary policies under a potential Trump administration has also added to the hawkish outlook. As a result, markets have repriced rate-cut expectations, lifting the dollar and weighing on gold. Key upcoming events in the week ahead include US CPI data, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, and corporate earnings, all of which could drive volatility. Technically, gold remains in a strong uptrend, repeatedly hitting all-time highs. However, signs of exhaustion are emerging. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought on multiple timeframes: the daily RSI hovers around 75, the weekly RSI is above 70 with negative divergence, and the monthly RSI has surpassed 78. Such levels suggest a pullback or consolidation is likely, though not guaranteed. Gold has reached the 127.2% Fibonacci extension of its October-November correction at $2859. If prices extend higher, the next target is the 161.8% extension at $2946. On the downside, initial support lies at $2845, followed by $2790 (October high) and the $2710-$2725 zone. Overall, gold’s bullish momentum remains intact, but traders should be cautious of near-term corrections, especially given extreme RSI readings and shifting macroeconomic factors. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
The 3rd Major Pivot in Gold’s Uptrend - Since Trade War in 2018We just witnessed the start of another pivot in gold when Trump won the U.S. presidential election in November 2024. My gold trading strategy has always focused on buying dips while keeping any short-selling opportunities short-term. The chart above clearly illustrates three major V-shaped formations in gold. After each tariff or trade war, a V-shaped pattern formed in the same month the policy was initiated, followed by a subsequent uptrend. Recently, I published a video analyzing other significant tariffs since the U.S.-China trade war began in 2018. We observed a consistent pattern: after each tariff or trade war, the same month of policy initiation saw the formation of a V-shaped trough, followed by an uptrend. This time, the V-shaped trough occurred during the U.S. presidential election month. The right side of this V-shape was completed with the announcement of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, signaling the expansion of the trade war beyond China. The consequence of trade wars is inflation, and gold has historically served as a leading indicator of this trend. If the trade war persists and intensifies, a continued uptrend in gold seems inevitable. Analyzing the long-term monthly chart using my parallel channel approach, we observed gold prices encountering resistance around $2,600 in September 2024 and beyond. However, by the close of January, the price action provided a clear confirmation of the ongoing gold uptrend. Gold firmly closed above $2,600, reaching $2,835 for COMEX Micro Gold Futures. On the 3-hour chart, I have provided another set of parallel channels as a guide to track support and resistance levels as gold trends further. As gold prices continue to climb, their notional value can become quite large for retail traders. COMEX Micro Gold Futures, being 1/10th the size of the regular gold contract, is a better option for me when the next buying opportunity arises. Recently, CME launched a new contract—a pocket-sized one-ounce gold contract. One key to successful trading is selecting the right contract size for oneself, which is crucial for effective risk management. Once again, my strategy for gold remains the same: focus on buying dips while keeping any short-selling opportunities short-term. Please see the following disclaimer and information that you may find useful: Gold Contracts: Gold Futures & Options Ticker: GC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00 Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 er troy ounce = $1.00 1Ounce Gold Futures Ticker: 1OZ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 per troy ounce = $0.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • My mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by konhow
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone, A PIPTATSIC finish to the week completing and smashing all our chart ideas across our multi time-frame analysis. We finish off today with an update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while now, level to level, to the finishing line today!! After completing all our targets with candle body close and/or ema5 lock confirmation, we were looking for a body close above 2797 to confirm a continuation into 2840. - This was hit completing this chart idea for the perfect finish. We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
Safe-Haven Demand Surges Amid Trade Tensions (Retest or Cont.)Gold Futures Fall but Hold Near Record High on Safe-Haven Demand The U.S. dollar gave up earlier gains after the Trump administration delayed higher tariffs on Canada and Mexico for one month. However, Washington remains firm on tariffs for Chinese imports. With Beijing retaliating, the risk of an escalating trade war increases, casting uncertainty over global economic growth. This scenario is driving strong safe-haven demand, supporting further gains in gold prices. Gold Technical Analysis Gold recently recorded a new all-time high and is still pushing toward 2,856, fueled by ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China. However, today the price is attempting a correction toward 2,823 before resuming its upward momentum toward 2,845 and 2,856. The breakout level is 2,809—as long as the price remains above this level, the market remains bullish. A break below 2,809 would shift the trend bearish. Key Levels Pivot Point: 2834 Resistance Levels: 2845, 2856, 2865 Support Levels: 2823, 2809, 2797 Trend Outlook Bullish while above 2823 Movement Range: 2823 – 2845 Bearish if the price breaks below 2809
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
CORN at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Push Toward 4.4950?PEPPERSTONE:CORN has reached a significant supply zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure. This zone has acted as resistance, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control. The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms rejection at this supply zone, we could see a move downward toward the 4.4950 level, which aligns with the broader bearish trend. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejections at this resistance zone, before considering short positions.
PEPPERSTONE:CORNShort
by DanieIM
1
COPPER at Key Resistance: Reversal Toward 4.4380?PEPPERSTONE:COPPER has reached a key resistance level, marked by previous price rejections and significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong supply area, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control. The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms rejection within this supply zone, we could see a move downward toward the 4.4380 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, before entering short positions.
PEPPERSTONE:COPPERShort
by DanieIM
1
Gold Market Update: Bullish Momentum ResumesYesterday, gold experienced a pullback, dropping to an intraday low of around 2835. However, the price quickly rebounded, and overnight, bulls regained control, pushing it back above 2860—a key confluence resistance level. This move suggests that the correction may be over. Looking ahead, the upcoming NFP data could drive further momentum, potentially leading to a new all-time high by the end of the week. From a broader perspective, the bullish outlook remains intact as long as yesterday’s low holds. A more significant correction would only come into play if we see a weekly close below this level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
3
NFP LESS THAN EXPECTED. KEY LEVELS TO WATCHThe U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Changed By 143,000 In January, Compared With Expectations Of 175,000 And A Previous Value Of 256,000 KEY LEVELS. We expect a rise in xauusd value to 2894 . 2869 2874 2883 2889 2894 2910 Alternative scenario if 2860 is broken it may fall to 2855 and 2840 can act as a strong support. the ultimate support for current scenario is 2833. follow us for further updates boost us so that we can reach more people
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
3
Crude Oil Outlook: Bearish Pattern, Triangle Formation, and Key Back in January, despite strong rise, crude oil has seen limited upside and fully reversed the path. This is partly due to the Trump administration’s goal of bringing crude oil prices lower, with plans to refill the US strategic reserves. In fact data from the Energy Information Administration, showing that production has been gradually increasing since summer of 2023, around the time energy prices hit a swing high near $95. Since then, crude oil has consistently formed lower swing highs. So, if the Trump administration will really boost the oil production, it will likely put more downward pressure on energy prices and help ease inflation; the CPI y/y data, which is highly correlated with crude oil prices, could decline as well as shown on the weekly chart (but this will change if / when economy “booms”). From an Elliott wave perspective, we are tracking an ongoing A-B-C-D-E triangle pattern, but wave E could still push prices a bit higher, for a rally in the next few weeks, because the pattern appears incomplete. But, once this triangle concludes, I expect a break to the downside. This would likely coincide with lower inflation expectations as mentioned; thus lower US yields, and a weaker US dollar. Overall, my assumption is that crude oil will eventually break below $64 per barrel in 2025! GH
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by ew-forecast
SILVER at Key Resistance Zone - Sellers Ready to Step In?OANDA:XAGUSD is testing a key resistance zone, an area that has previously triggered strong selling pressure, making it a key level to watch. If rejection occurs at this zone, such as through wicks, bearish engulfing patterns, or an increase in selling volume, sellers could regain control and drive the price lower toward the 31.650 target. This aligns with a short-term pullback scenario within the broader market structure. However, a sustained breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially opening the door for further upside. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by TrendDiva
1
"Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup with 2,888–2,900 Target"This chart shows a bullish structure in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a rounding bottom pattern forming. Multiple break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (ChoCH) points indicate a continuation of the uptrend. The price is currently consolidating near resistance, with a potential breakout targeting the 2,888–2,900 zone. If the weak high is broken, momentum could push higher. Support zones are visible around 2,840 and lower in case of a pullback. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Carryover PatternAs many of you know, I'm still expecting a breakdown in the markets leading to my Deep-V pattern on the 9th and the secondary Major Bottom on the 10th. Why haven't we started to move downward yet? I really don't know. I suspect the markets are being pushed higher by Market Makers trying to crush the shorts (premium). Either way, we'll know how this is going to play out over the next 5+ days. If I'm right, we'll see the SPY break downward towards 580-590 over the next 5+ days. The QQQ should move down 510-515 throughout that same breakdown (possibly a bit lower). I expect Gold and Silver to also move downward if this breakdown in the SPY/QQQ happens as I expect. Metals tend to move downward when the SPY/QQQ makes a sudden impulsive breakdown move. Bitcoin also appears to be poised for a breakdown event. It seems that all the indexes and symbols I follow in the morning video are already standing near the edge of a cliff, just waiting to jump off. I urge traders to move into a protective mode (protecting open longs and hedging against any breakdown event) over the next 5-10+ days. We'll eventually see another bounce/rally off some lows, but right now, everything looks ready to JUMP (off the cliff). Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
10
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 32.086 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 32.264 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1