Commodities
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)We've seen an initial rejection from our resistance zone, with Gold down 470 PIPS so far. We have seen most of today's downside wiped, as Gold has pushed back up again.
We have NFP data tomorrow, so how Gold moves & the weekly candle closes, will indicate if we still have some further upside left next week.
INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE FOR XAUUSDSupport Zone: 2854–2859
Pivot: 2854.00
CURRENT TREND
Long positions over 2854.00, with targets of 2879.00 and 2890.00 in extension.
BREAKOUT
Below 2854.00, expect for further fall with objectives of 2840.00 and 2830.00.
The next resistances are at 2879.00 and 2894.00.
Supports and Resistances
2900.00
2890.00
2879.00
2867.09
2854.00
2840.00
2830.00
Trade closed: target reached
it reached target of 2840
Gold is overbought.GOLD is in an upward channel.
The indicators hint to overbought.
The chart has created a harmonic pattern.
We foresee a correction.
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Trade Active
GOLD is in an upward channel between the trendlines.
The price is moving away from dynamic resistance and the channel's upper boundary.
The chart has created a harmonic pattern.
We expect XAUUSD to fall within the channel.
Bullish momentum to extend?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,812.53
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,776.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2,871.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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WHEAT at Key Resistance Zone - Sellers Ready to Step In?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT is approaching a key resistance zone, an area that has previously triggered strong selling pressure, making it a key level to watch.
If rejection occurs—such as wicks, bearish engulfing patterns, or a shift in momentum—sellers could regain control, driving the price lower toward the 559.0 target. This aligns with a short-term pullback scenario within the broader market structure. However, a sustained breakout above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially opening the door for further upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
XAU/USD Trade Idea: Potential Long Setup📊 Pair: XAU/USD (Gold)
💡 Trade Bias: Bullish
• Buy Entry: Around 2,816.691
• Take Profit (TP): 2,882.344
• Key Level (IDM): 2,839.487
🎯 Plan:
Waiting for price to take out the IDM level before moving into my order flow for a refined entry. Will look for a CHoCH flip on the 5M timeframe within the order block to confirm bullish intent.
🚨 Note: Price action near the IDM level and 5M confirmation will dictate the actual entry. Staying cautious until all confirmations align.
Gold might revert to the trend line following a rising riseHello everyone, today I'm ready to provide you with Gold analytics. A few days ago, we saw a big upward movement in the market, but before that, Gold traded near support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then it rebounded and surged to 2727 points before correcting even below support 2, but then it reversed and began trading inside the wedge. Price plummeted below the trend line and immediately rebounded, shattering the second support level and continuing to climb higher along this line.Gold ascended for a long time along this line, but on the fourth touch, it rebounded and reached the first support level, which corresponded with another support zone. Then it corrected to practically the trend line before quickly rising back to the first support, breaking it, and exiting the wedge. It then retested and increased its score to 2880 points. Now, I expect XAUUSD to make a correction to the trend line, which is positioned within the support zone. That's why I set my target at 2800 points, which corresponds to them. If you appreciate my analytics, please support me with a like or remark.
XAU/USD: A Possible Correction? (Read the caption.)Analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timescale reveals that, as expected, the price corrected to $2858 following yesterday's study. However, it rapidly recovered, gaining 240 pips to set a new all-time high of $2882.
Today, we finally had a pullback from $2882 to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the market manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and is strongly rejected from this level, we may witness a fall down to depths under $2850.
With increasing market volatility and important macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should exercise caution. Price activity near these levels will be key in deciding the next move, as gold responds to fundamental variables such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price activity near support and resistance levels will be critical for spotting potential trading opportunities.
Please support me with your likes and comments to encourage me to share more analysis with you and share your thoughts on the potential trend of this chart with me!
By Nexus Trades Zone
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Key Support – short term targetsThe 1-hour chart for XAU/USD shows a potential bearish setup with a recent breakout below a key support level. The price is currently hovering around 2,857, with a strong downward move anticipated if the breakdown sustains. The marked "Breakout Below" indicates a possible continuation toward the first target around 2,850, and if further selling pressure persists, the second target near 2,835 may be reached.
The previous bullish structure saw multiple breakouts and changes in character (ChoCh), but the current price action suggests a shift in momentum. If price fails to reclaim previous levels, a deeper correction could be in play.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today with our plans to buy dips is playing out, as analysed.
Yesterday after completing all our Bullish targets we stated that we were now looking for a ema5 cross and lock above 2875 for a continuation above or failure to lock above will see a rejection into the lower Goldlturns for support and bounce.
- This played out perfectly with no lock above 2875 confirming the rejection into the lower Goldlturns, which gave the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will now see play between the Goldturns and will look for ema5 cross and lock above or below the Goldturns to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2800 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2800 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2826 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2826 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2852 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2852 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2875 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2875 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2898 -
BEARISH TARGETS
2772 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2772 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2744 - 2712
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2712 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2685 - 2655
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Palladium Bullish ContinuationPalladium price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish momentum (after a credible reversal on the 4HR timeframe) as the price action may form another credible Higher Low with multiple confluences of key Fibonacci and credible Support levels.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 984.25
Stop Loss @ 942
TP 1 @ 1026.5
TP 2 @ 1068.24
Move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP1 hits.
XAUUSD Buy Limit OrderHey guys
I think we have a CHoCH in 1H TF but still we're bullish in 4H TF. So this area is good to set a buy limit order.
Let's see how the price reacts to this area.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 06.02.2025Market Analysis: Incomplete Head and Shoulders Pattern with Breakout & Retest Strategy
Pattern Identified:
The chart presents an incomplete Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which suggests a potential reversal or continuation depending on price action at key levels. The neckline of the pattern aligns with the green support zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (Red Area - ~2,872): Price has tested this zone multiple times, making it a key level for a breakout.
Support Zone (Green Areas - ~2,860 and ~2,844): These zones act as crucial demand areas, where price could either bounce or break lower.
Possible Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks above the red resistance (~2,872) and successfully retests it as support, this would confirm a bullish continuation.
Entry Signal: Buy after a confirmed retest with bullish momentum.
Target: Next resistance levels around 2,884 - 2,890.
Stop-Loss: Below the previous structure (~2,864).
Bearish Breakdown:
If price fails at resistance and breaks below the green support (~2,860), a bearish move is likely.
Entry Signal: Sell after a successful retest of the broken support (~2,860) as new resistance.
Target: Lower support zone around 2,844.
Stop-Loss: Above the broken level (~2,868).
Neutral Range-Bound Scenario:
If price remains trapped between 2,860 and 2,872, traders should wait for a breakout before entering trades.
Trade Signal (Based on Breakout Confirmation)
Buy Signal: If price breaks and retests above 2,872, enter long with a target of 2,884+.
Sell Signal: If price breaks and retests below 2,860, enter short with a target of 2,844.
This strategy ensures safe trading by waiting for confirmation before taking positions.
Kindly follow, comment, and like to show support.
Gold reaches new highs every day, buy after stabilizationThere is no need to analyze the technical aspects too much. If it is strong and sideways, just buy directly. Once the correction is too deep and the stop loss is hit, continue to buy at low levels. The direction is more important than the position. The daily line has been rising continuously. Since mid-December 2024, gold has been like a wild horse running away. The gold price is completely out of control. There is no guessing the top of gold. Today's NY market continues to be bullish. There is no highest, only higher. The next target of 2900 and 3000 is no longer a dream.
In the short term, pay attention to the 2830-2840 area, which has become a new strong support. The bullish trend will be maintained in the short term. The idea is to continue to be bullish if it retraces close to the support band. If the retracement is limited, then look for opportunities to buy after the hourly line adjusts and retraces. If it stops falling and stabilizes, it is an opportunity to enter the market to buy. Use support as a defensive position to arrange a buying strategy. Currently, it touched the 2848 line in 1 hour and stopped falling slightly. Then pay attention to buying near 2848, including buying directly near the current price of 2856 and lower prices, with a stop loss below 2848. If the SL is hit, continue to buy at a lower price. The most worrying thing at the moment is missing the buying opportunity.
INTRA DAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE OF XAUUSDSupport Zone
2854-2859
Pivot
2854.00
CURRENT TREND
Long positions above 2854.00 with targets at 2879.00 & 2890.00 in extension.
BREAKOUT
Below 2854.00 look for further downside with 2840.00 & 2830.00 as targets.
The next resistances are at 2879.00 and then at 2894.00.
Supports and resistances
2900.00
2890.00
2879.00
2867.09
2854.00
2840.00
2830.00
Gold’s Price Action: New Highs or Correction Ahead?Yesterday, gold reached yet another all-time high, slightly above 2,880.
However, the price quickly dropped by 200 pips, finding support at 2,660.
Since then, gold has been consolidating, but a correction appears to be looming.
In the posted 30-minute chart, we can see a small head-and-shoulders pattern forming.
A break below the newly established support and the neckline of the pattern could lead to a further drop to 2,640.
Although trading at this stage is extremely risky, I believe gold is more likely to correct at this point rather than make a new ATH.
Analyzing Our Crude Oil Trade Plan & Key LevelsNYMEX:CL1!
This is our first blog recapping the trade plan from the prior week. In this blog, traders can take a sneak peek into why we choose and plot the levels we do on our charts. However, these are simply our thoughts and ideas on the market—we do not know what will happen. You should carefully consider whether this approach aligns with your own trading strategy and risk tolerance before making any decisions.
Do you struggle with analysis paralysis in your trading? Don’t worry—we will help you develop a process that you can customize and apply to your own market approach.
Markets by nature have randomness and uncertainty built in. Markets move based on the collective psyche of the participants. These footprints left behind by the collective participants analyzed through volume profiling and multiple time frames is what provides us with our selected support and resistance zones.
To help you better understand our chart setup, here’s how we define key zones and indicators:
On our charts, we use color-coded zones to highlight key market levels:
Green zones indicate bull support areas.
Red zones represent bearish support areas.
Blue zones act as neutral zones but serve as important inflection points.
The Line in the Sand (LIS) is a crucial reference point:
A single LIS can be used to validate both long and short trade ideas.
Alternatively, there may be separate LIS levels—one confirming long trades above it and another confirming short trades below it.
Some other terms that you will commonly find in our blogs are:
VPOC (Volume Point of Control): The price level with the highest traded volume within a given volume profile.
VAH (Value Area High): The upper boundary of the value area, typically representing the +1 standard deviation level in the volume distribution.
VAL (Value Area Low): The lower boundary of the value area, typically representing the -1 standard deviation level in the volume distribution.
Value Area: The range where approximately 70% of the total traded volume occurs, falling within one standard deviation of the distribution.
Important and significant levels on our charts are marked. You can see on the crude oil chart, that we consider mid ranges of defined year, quarter, month, week as significant areas of interest and reaction by market participants.
We also give importance to HVN (High Volume Nodes) and LVN (Low Volume Nodes) and how price usually reacts to these visible distributions of high and low volumes on the volume profile.
Our analysis begins with four key questions that guide our market perspective and decision-making process:
What has the market done?
What is it trying to do?
How good of a job is it doing?
What is more likely to happen from here?
These questions are not intended to decipher the reasons behind market movements or predict outcomes based on personal bias. Instead, they provide a structured framework using Auction Market Theory, Volume Profile, and market-generated significant levels to develop a trade plan—whether for the day or the week.
This trade plan does not dictate specific trades to take; rather, it serves as a roadmap, outlining the key areas where we may want to engage with the market.
To illustrate the importance of structured market analysis and preparation, let's review how our recent crude oil trade plans have played out:
Week of January 27, 2025 – Crude Oil Plan Recap :
The initial trade plan played out, but a pullback occurred.
Buyers stepped in, pushing prices back toward the Blue zone (also the LIS for longs and shorts).
Long positions were only valid after confirming a reclaim of the January 2025 mid-range.
Crude oil then moved sharply toward our key bull support zone before rebounding higher.
This completed the trade plan scenario outlined in red.
Week of January 13, 2025 – Key Takeaways :
We identified the start of bullish momentum in crude oil following a long Q4 2024 consolidation.
Two short trade scenarios were outlined, with the first playing out as expected.
Reviewing past trade plans helps traders develop a structured market preparation process.
This analysis was featured in the Editor’s Pick, mapping out key levels and our thought process.
As we mentioned earlier, we do not have a crystal ball but we do have insights when planning for the week. If you are incorporating this weekly plan, please also monitor and be ready to adjust with new information that is provided on the hard right edge.
If you click the play button on most of our trade plans and just consider that week’s price movement, you may notice that our plans have thoughts and efforts put in them.
Trade Idea - Sell Limit Trade Idea for XAUUSD
Bias: Short Position
Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• XAUUSD is in an extended uptrend and nearing overbought conditions with RSI at 74.98, signaling a possible pullback.
• MACD is still bullish but reaching a peak.
• A rejection near 2865-2875 suggests a strong resistance zone.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Recent momentum is slowing down.
• RSI is at 47.65, indicating a neutral zone, with possible room for a move downward.
• MACD is weakly bullish but not showing strong continuation.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Clear lower highs forming.
• RSI is at 40.51, approaching bearish territory.
• MACD is negative, showing short-term selling pressure.
Fundamental Analysis:
• Gold has rallied significantly, but a correction is likely as traders take profits.
• US Dollar Strength: If any upcoming economic data favors USD, gold may decline.
• Interest Rate Expectations: No immediate dovish signals, keeping gold under pressure at highs.
Trade Setup (Short XAUUSD)
• Entry: 2865
• Stop Loss (SL): 2875 (10 pips above key resistance)
• Take Profit (TP): 2845 (2:1 RRR)
Rationale:
• Selling into resistance at 2865 where price action shows exhaustion.
• Stop placed above the last major swing high.
• Targeting a retracement to 2845, a logical support level based on price action and short-term trends.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-6-25: Counter-Trend RALLY Today's pattern is a counter-trend Rally pattern. I read this as a downward trending type of rally phase/bar.
Much like yesterday's rally in the markets. Today should be just the opposite - a downward trending bar.
I believe this is a move downward setting up the Deep-V pattern which should hit early next week.
I suggest traders prepare for a rollover-topping pattern near this upper resistance area and prepare for the markets to move downward - seeking support.
Gold and Silver will likely move downward as well if the market does roll over, as I suspect. Gold and Silver tend to move downward when the markets shift into a downward trend.
Bitcoin is trapped within a range (again), and it appears that over the next few days, it will attempt to move downward with the markets.
Again, the next four to five days will be a do-or-die type of move. I've been telling all of you this Deep-V breakdown will happen for more than thirty days, so I'm watching to see if it really does happen.
Either way, it is now a bad idea to take some profits near these highs in preparation for any potential breakdown.
Get Some.
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