Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. For a while, Gold was confidently moving within an upward channel, with each impulse supported by rebounds from the lower boundary. After breaking out of the buyer zone, the price made a strong bullish move, supported by momentum and healthy corrections. This movement continued up to the current support level at 3285, where the price began to stall. Then, a classic Head and Shoulders pattern has now fully formed. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible and aligned with the support area, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. This isn't random, it's a well-defined reversal signal forming after an extended bullish leg. The rejection from the right shoulder shows evident seller control, and the price is now testing the neckline from below. The support area has already been broken once, and any bounce from here appears corrective rather than impulsive. Given this setup, I expect that price can fully breakdown toward the 3060 level, which acts as both a strong historical support and my TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Commodities
Gold’s ATH Rally Slowing Down – Needs Correction!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been on a strong uptrend in recent weeks , creating a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day. Will a new ATH be created after $3,500 in the coming days? What do you think?
Gold is moving between the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has started to form Corrective Waves after recording the latest ATH . Gold is completing a Zigzag Correction wave (ABC/5-3-5) ( most likely ).
I expect Gold to start declining again after approaching the Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) and attack the Support lines and Support zone($3,282-$3,245) . It seems like Gold needs a correction , do you agree with me!? In the worst-case scenario for my analysis, Gold starts falling from the resistance zone($3,431-$3,406) .
Note: If Gold can move above $3,440, we can expect more pumps and maybe make na ew All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
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Gold forms a top patternOn the H4 chart, the gold price chart is forming a clear bearish structure after forming a three-peak pattern in a row around the $3,435–$3,470 range. Each time the price touches this range, it is strongly rejected, indicating that selling pressure controls the market. The fact that the price cannot maintain above the EMA34 and EMA9 at the same time is also a sign of confirmation of a weakening trend in the short term.
Although gold recovered slightly to the $3,365 range in the Asian session on April 25 thanks to news of PBOC money injection and a weakening USD, the buying pressure was not enough to break the bearish structure. The price quickly reversed and fell below the $3,300 mark, confirming the possibility of further correction in the near future.
Currently, the price has cut below the two EMAs and broken the nearest bottom at $3,290, triggering a bearish signal according to the “small head and shoulders” pattern on the H4. The next target is the strong support zone of $3,180–$3,220. If this zone is broken, the correction trend may extend deeper to the $3,100 area.
The appropriate short-term strategy at this time is to wait for the price to retrace to the $3,310–$3,330 area, cut losses above $3,350 and take profits around $3,200. The bullish scenario will only happen if the price breaks above $3,370 and closes above the old resistance – then the bearish structure will be broken.
GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!Hello guys!
Key Elements:
Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend.
S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region.
Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected.
Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94.
why:
1. Trendline Break
The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback.
After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure.
2. Supply Zone Rejection
A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles.
This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level.
3. Volume Profile Insight
The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target.
Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred.
4. S&D Flip
A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
Target: $3,245.94
Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation.
✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down:
Trendline break and successful retest.
Rejection from resistance (supply zone).
Lower high formation.
Volume profile attraction to a lower value area.
Bearish market structure forming.
____________________
📌 Conclusion:
This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, right after posting the analysis, the price quickly hit the first target at $3307, then experienced a bounce and rallied to the $3369 supply zone. From there, gold faced more downward pressure and eventually reached the targets at $3303, $3297, and nearly $3285.
Currently, gold is trading around $3291, and if $3285 is broken, we could expect further downside toward levels below $3259.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD (XAUUSD, 1H) Double Bottom & Continuation to Lower FibsOn the 1-hour chart, gold attempted to form a double bottom structure, which initially showed bullish potential. However, the price action quickly reversed near resistance, failing to sustain above key EMAs and trendline zones. This invalidates the reversal attempt and reaffirms the current bearish structure within the descending channel.
The price is now trading back below broken support and heading towards deeper Fibonacci retracement levels, with visible supply pressure and repeated failure to hold any bullish breakout. Volume has shifted lower on rallies, confirming weak buyer commitment.
Downside targets (Fibonacci structure):
– $3251 – 0.382 retracement
– $3221 – 0.618 retracement (primary structural support)
– $3165 – 0.786 extension zone (final support before breakdown scenario)
The descending wedge remains valid. Unless the market reclaims $3305–$3334 with strong confirmation, the corrective leg toward the lower support zones is likely to continue. A clean break below $3220 would open the door for a move toward the $3160s.
The failed double bottom setup confirms bearish continuation. Structure, volume, and trendlines all align with a move lower. Watch for reactions at $3221 and $3165 as critical levels.
Silver INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 3247Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3383
Resistance Level 2: 3414
Resistance Level 3: 3457
Support Level 1: 3247
Support Level 2: 3184
Support Level 3: 3112
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 3227Gold prices slipped on Friday and are on track to end the week lower.
China denied any ongoing trade negotiations with the US, contradicting former President Trump's claims.
Despite this, markets are rallying on deal speculation, with traders rotating out of Gold and into equities.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3392
Resistance Level 2: 3457
Resistance Level 3: 3500
Support Level 1: 3227
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3130
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show.
The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray.
Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC.
Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours.
NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty.
On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it.
Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum.
Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialCrude oil lacks upward momentum, with the target pointing to $60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
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April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340🎯 April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340 💥our first TP
Today’s NY session was all about precision and patience.
🔹 The market opened with a calm continuation of the post-Claims structure, giving bulls a final chance to reenter from the 3310 sniper zone, previously posted in our daily plan.
📍 Breakdown of the 3310 Buy
• Zone: H1–H4 demand confluence
• Confirmation: Clean rejection on M15, followed by consolidation and impulsive breakout
• Confluence:
– Untouched OB + FVG
– Price locked above M30 EMA100
– Discounted fib zone
– RSI bounce on M15
• Execution: Buy 3310.70 → TP 3340.78
• Result: +300 pips
Not just a technical win — but a mindset win. Snipers don’t chase. They wait.
🧠 NY Session Notes
• No macro drivers today, which gave full control to pure PA + structure
• Liquidity was swept below 3310 before aggressive buying stepped in
• Once price reclaimed 3330–3340, we saw a clean continuation to premium
• TP hit with no retest — textbook sniper exit
💬 Let’s Talk – No Chart Needed
📈 Did you catch the 3310 buy?
💭 How did your NY session go?
👇 Drop your thoughts or reentry ideas below — we learn every session.
📲 Like, Comment, and Follow to keep this stream of real structure-based updates alive.
We don’t predict. We react.
And today, we reacted perfectly. 💛
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,304.80.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,261.30 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,299.27
Target Level: 3,358.08
Stop Loss: 3,259.94
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Silver Holds Ground on Mixed Trade SignalsSilver is trading around $33.50 on Friday morning, continuing to show greater sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and trade news due to its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal. Recent price movements were shaped by mixed signals in U.S.-China trade relations. Although the Trump administration reportedly considered tariff reductions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that no formal proposals have been made and negotiations have not yet begun.
Technically, silver faces initial resistance at $33.80, with further levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if the upward move continues. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $33.15, followed by $31.40 and $30.20 if further weakness occurs.
Gold is still Strong; Long-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GOLD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising wedge pattern in orange.
After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD signaled the start of the correction phase.
Moreover, the $3,100 - $3,150 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #XAUUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD April Rally Continues📉 Flash Corrections and New Highs:
Gold has shown sharp swings, dropping to $3,287 per ounce and swiftly hitting a historic high of $3,500. These moves are not chaos but reflect deep processes within the global financial system.
🔍 Key Drivers of Today’s Gold Market
1️⃣ Geopolitics on Edge:
Trade wars between the US and China, political instability, and the upcoming US elections have fueled demand for safe assets. Central banks continue purchasing gold at a pace exceeding 1,000 tons per year, challenging the dominance of the US dollar.
2️⃣ Stagflation and Fed Policy:
Markets are pricing in rate cuts, traditionally strengthening gold’s position. Even short-term easing of geopolitical tensions hasn’t derailed the bullish trend — inflation expectations and weakening consumer confidence keep pushing prices upward.
3️⃣ China as a Major Player:
It’s not just state-level purchases — retail demand among China’s Gen Z is hitting new highs. Institutional mandates requiring gold holdings further tighten global supply, reinforcing upward pressure.
📊 Technical Outlook : Where to Look for Entry Points
Support Levels: $3,260 – $3,280
Resistance Levels: $3,420 and the psychological barrier at $3,500
April followed a classic scenario: breakout to new highs, profit-taking, and return to key levels for position re-entry. For the attentive investor, this isn’t a reason for panic but an opportunity to reload into a long-term bullish trend.
Gold is not just an asset — it’s a barometer of trust in the global financial system. Every time the system falters, gold shines brighter.
Conclusion
The gold market in April 2025 is a textbook example of how global risks turn into opportunities for those ready to act. Volatility only scares those who don’t understand it.
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold. Further downside is possible.Hey traders and investors!
Gold price bounced from a contextual level 3283 — the correction low within the dominant buyer’s initiative on the daily timeframe.
Further downside is possible. Watching levels 3381 and 3283.
The structure in this post is based on the logic of Initiative Analysis (IA).
Gold Analysis – New Leg of Correction Incoming?It’s been a “special” week for Gold, with wild swings that kept me mostly on the sidelines – except for Monday’s take profit. Now, however, the market is starting to show more clarity.
❓ Has the Market Topped Out?
After a dip to 3260, the price reversed sharply, gaining over 1,000 pips to reach 3367. Yet, both recent attempts to push higher were rejected.
Now, with the spike from 3360 to 3500 looking like a blow-off top, the stage seems set for a new leg of correction.
🔍 Key Technical Signs:
• Heavy selling pressure near recent highs.
• Price action suggests buyers are exhausted.
• 3370 becomes a key resistance – as long as it holds, bearish setups are favored.
📉 Trading Plan:
My approach is simple:
👉 Sell rallies
🎯 Target: a 1,000+ pip drop if 3370 remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Silver to over 500 USD in near futureClear cup and handle pattern, 2023 will be the year of the next Asian financial crisis just like in 1997 triggered either by Thailand or HongKong, only this time it will be Taiwan I believe. Anyone who haven't bought a new PC, laptop or a smartphone yet, do it now, shortages of microchips will be insane.
"XAU/USD at Crucial Support Zone"📈 Chart Overview
Instrument: Likely XAU/USD (Gold vs USD)
Date: April 22, 2025
Timeframe: Appears to be a short-term chart (possibly 1H or 4H)
🧠 Key Technical Elements
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
50 EMA (Red): Currently at 3,406.818 — acting as short-term dynamic support/resistance.
200 EMA (Blue): Currently at 3,277.286 — indicating long-term trend direction.
The price is well above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish long-term trend. However, it’s now testing the 50 EMA, suggesting a potential short-term inflection point.
2. Support and Resistance Zones
Immediate Resistance Zone: Around 3,430 – 3,440, which price recently rejected.
Key Support Zone: Around 3,385 – 3,390 (labeled “FOCUS ON THIS POINT”), which aligns closely with the 50 EMA.
Lower Support Zones:
3,310 – 3,320
3,240 – 3,260
🔍 Technical Scenarios Outlined on Chart
✅ Bullish Scenario (Upper Arrow Path)
If the price holds above the 3,385 support zone, especially with support from the 50 EMA:
We may see a bounce back to test and potentially break above the 3,430 resistance.
This would confirm a continuation of the uptrend.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Lower Arrow Path)
If the price fails to hold above 3,385:
A breakdown may lead to a drop toward 3,320, with possible continuation toward 3,240.
This would indicate a short-term bearish correction within a longer bullish trend.
🔑 Critical Price Level
Focus on the 3,385 zone — This is a confluence area where:
Horizontal support meets
50 EMA is located
A potential decision point for bulls vs. bears
🧭 Trading Strategy Considerations
For Bulls:
Look for bullish candlestick formations or volume confirmation near the 3,385 level.
Target a retest of the 3,430+ area with stops below 3,375.
For Bears:
Watch for strong bearish breakdown below 3,385.
First target: 3,320, second: 3,240, with stop-loss above 3,400.
📌 Conclusion
The chart illustrates a key inflection point. Price is at a decision zone — hold and bounce = continuation of bullish momentum, break = short-term correction. All eyes on how price reacts at the 50 EMA and support zone near 3,385.
Bearish Reversal in Play! | Key EMA Rejection & Support Targets🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
🕐 Timeframe: Likely a short-term (H1 or H4) chart.
📈 Asset: Most probably XAU/USD (Gold) or a similar asset.
🔴 Trend Breakdown
📍 Previous Trend:
✅ Strong bullish momentum 📈 pushing price into a resistance zone.
📍 Current Price Action:
🚨 Bearish rejection from resistance 🟥
Price got rejected exactly at the resistance zone (gray box) and the EMA 50 line 🔴 — a classic setup for a reversal ⚠️
📉 Key Technical Levels
🟦 Resistance Zone:
🔹 Between 3,385 – 3,400 USD
🧱 This zone rejected price strongly (see red candles)
📌 Also aligned with EMA 50 (3,400.837) — confluence adds strength 💪
🟩 Support Zones:
First Support Zone – ~3,285 📉
💙 In line with the EMA 200 (3,285.687)
🛡️ Might cause a temporary bounce 📈
Second Support Zone – ~3,240
📉 Marked as the deeper support in the bear case 🕳️
💥 If the first support breaks, this becomes the next target 🎯
📊 Indicator Insights
EMA 50 (🔴 Red): 3,400.837 – acting as dynamic resistance 😤
EMA 200 (🔵 Blue): 3,285.687 – acting as dynamic support 🛡️
📉 Price breaking below EMA 50 = first bearish sign
📉 Approaching EMA 200 = watch for either a bounce 🏀 or a breakdown 💥
🎯 Bearish Setup Forecast
📉 Here's what the arrows show (strategy logic):
📉 Breakdown below resistance → strong bearish move
🎯 Target 1: First support (EMA 200 / ~3,285)
🔄 Minor pullback possible (fake bounce 🪃)
💣 Continuation lower toward next support (~3,240)
📌 Critical Zone to Watch 🔍
⚫️ The circle marked “FOCUS ON THIS POINT” is key:
📌 Failed retest = confirmation of resistance
📌 Price rejected this level + closed below = strong bearish signal 🚨
🧠 Professional Insights
Element Observation Emoji
Trend Shift Bullish ➡️ Bearish reversal 🔄📉
Momentum Bearish pressure increasing 💨🟥
Risk Point Resistance near EMA 50 ⚠️🧱
Trade Idea Short toward supports 📉🎯
Confirmation Rejection candle after retest 🕯️🔁
Focus Level EMA confluence near resistance 🎯📌
🛠️ Possible Trade Plan (for educational purposes only)
Short Entry: Below 3,385 (after rejection 🔻)
Stop-Loss: Above 3,405 (above EMA 50 🛑)
Target 1: 3,285 🧲
Target 2: 3,240 📉