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WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish breakoutWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a potential breakout level and it could drop lower from here. Sell entry is at 66.44 which is a potential breakout level. Stop loss is at 67.40 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 65.20 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
Market Update (No Buy/Sell Bias)🧠 Structural Recap: Why Gold Did What It Did 🔄 Mitigation & Reaction Zones Review ✅ Premium Supply Zone @ 3144–3160 (H1-H4) — Price tapped into this key premium area and sharply rejected it. This indicates a successful mitigation of that supply zone. — This zone previously aligned with the weak high and premium structure, adding to its weight. 🟦 Mid-Range FVGs @ 3120–3130 (H1) — This area acted as the bounce point today after price wicked down aggressively. — The strong wick from 3086–3144 confirms buyer interest post-news, filling imbalance and mitigating prior demand (on H1). 🟫 Mitigated Demand Zone @ 3086–3096 (H1-H4) — This demand zone was pierced and fully tapped. We saw a textbook bounce with strong reaction, suggesting the zone is now mitigated. — A notable EQ + strong candle from this zone created bullish displacement. 🔵 Unmitigated Discount Demand @ 3054–3080 (H4) — This remains a key untouched demand. Price wicked close to it but didn’t tap. — If we get another push down, this is still valid and unmitigated. 🧱 Below 3050: Unmitigated Macro Zone (D1) — The large OB/FVG combo around 2970–3030 still hasn’t been mitigated. This remains untouched liquidity in a deeper pullback. 📰 News Review — April 3, 2025 Trump’s Conference Commentary — Hawkish rhetoric around economic strategy but no clear monetary focus. — Mixed signals caused initial DXY strength, but later market corrected. US Jobless Claims & ISM Services PMI — Slightly worse-than-expected numbers, showing cooling economy signs. — This supported XAU recovery post-drop as rate hike sentiment weakened. Geopolitical Noise (Middle East) — Continued tensions are keeping safe-haven demand intact, especially below 3100. 🧠 TL;DR Zones like 3144–3160 and 3086–3096 are now mitigated. 3054–3080 and 2970–3030 remain unmitigated, future bounce areas. Today’s volatility was news-driven, but liquidity still sits lower. We’re currently in mid-mitigation flow, with the market respecting PA zones well.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
Non-Farm Payrolls – April 4: The key market driver!On Friday, April 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM EET, the U.S. Department of Labor will release one of the most anticipated macroeconomic reports — the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This figure reflects the change in the number of jobs in the non-farm sector and is a crucial indicator of economic health. Strong numbers suggest economic expansion and may prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy, while weak data could strengthen expectations of rate cuts — impacting stocks, the U.S. dollar, bonds, and commodities. Historically, NFP reports have triggered significant market reactions, with sharp movements depending on the actual data versus expectations. Analysts forecast a moderate job gain, indicating a slowdown compared to recent months. The release comes amid uncertainty linked to new tariffs introduced by President Trump, which may affect business confidence and consumer spending. Investors are closely watching for signals on the economy’s direction and potential Federal Reserve actions. How could NFP impact the markets? • Stock market: Weak data could stoke recession fears, pressuring equities, especially in cyclical sectors. However, if seen as a reason for Fed easing, markets may rebound. • U.S. Dollar: A disappointing report might weigh on the dollar as investors adjust their rate expectations. Strong figures, on the other hand, would support USD. • Bonds: Slower job growth could drive demand for U.S. Treasuries, pushing yields lower. • Gold: In case of weak data, gold may rally as a safe haven amid rising expectations of looser monetary policy. Economists expect a job gain of around 140,000, lower than previous figures — a scenario that could increase market volatility. Get ready for big moves!
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: SMC Trading point update This chart is a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown 1. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an upward channel, showing a bullish trend. Higher highs and higher lows confirm the uptrend. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Yellow Boxes: Key support zones where price previously consolidated before moving higher. Red Arrows: Marking resistance zones where the price faced rejection. Green Arrows: Indicating support levels where the price bounced. 3. Current Price Action: Price recently dropped to a key support zone (around $3,050). A bullish reaction is expected from this level. If support holds, the price may continue the uptrend toward the target of $3,186. 4. Projected Move: The black zigzag line suggests a potential bounce from support. If the support level holds, price could move back up within the channel. Mr SMC Trading point Conclusion: If price respects the support zone, there could be a good buying opportunity. A break below the support zone would signal potential bearish movement. Monitoring price action around the yellow zone is crucial for confirming direction. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow )
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
GOLD - 1H UPDATE Gold dropped nicely today, in a strong impulsive move which normally indicates a reversal. We also saw price touch $3,057, but we did say price also needs to close below that level which it never done. There's 2 possible plays on its next move; 1. Price just carries on dropping lower in the next week as expected. 2. Gold starts to consolidate, creating a 'redistribution schematic' for a bigger sell off. But this could also mean Gold creating 1 more new ATH.
SAXO:XAUUSDShort
by BA_Investments
DXY to 80? ...Tariffs the First Domino in a Multi-Year Collapse?This is a pure technical walkthrough of the U.S. Dollar Index—no fluff, no indicators, no fundamentals. Just market structure, smart money, and liquidity concepts. Back on January 14th , I posted about a potential 20%+ drop in the DXY — you can view it here . This video builds on that thesis and walks you through the full technical story from 1986 to today , including accumulation cycles, yearly trap zones, and my long-term target of 80. Am I crazy? Maybe. Let's see if I can convince you to be crazy too 😜 There is a video breakdown above, and a written breakdown below. Here are timestamps if you want to jump around the video: 00:00 – The Case for $80: Not as Crazy as It Sounds 02:30 – The 0.786 Curse: Why the Dollar Keeps Faking Out 06:15 – How Smart Money Really Moves: The 4-Phase Playbook 12:30 – The Trap Is Set: Yearly Highs as Liquidity Bait 20:00 – Inside the Mind of the Market: 2010–2025 Unpacked 25:00 – The Bear Channel No One’s Talking About 36:00 – The First Domino: Is the Dollar’s Slide Just Beginning? 👇 If you're a visual learner, scroll down—each chart tells part of the story. Chart: Monthly View – Three Highs, .786 Retraces, and Trendline Breaks History doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes. Each major DXY rally has formed a sequence of three swing highs right after a break of trendline structure. In both instances, price retraced to the .786 level on the yearly closes—an often overlooked fib level that institutional players respect. We’re now sitting at a high again. You’ll notice price has already reversed from that zone. That doesn’t guarantee a collapse, but when we line it up with other confluences (next charts), the probability of a deeper markdown becomes hard to ignore. I'd also like to note that all of the highlighted moves, are 2-3 year trend runs. Which means if we are bearish, this could be the exact start of a 2-3 bear market. Market Phases Since 1986 This chart illustrates how DXY has moved through repeating cycles of: 🟡 Accumulation: Smart money building positions quietly. 🔵 Markup: Price accelerates with buy orders + media hype. 🟣 Distribution: Smart money sells to latecomers. 🔴 Markdown: Public panic → smart money reloads. If we are indeed entering another markdown phase, this would align perfectly with the pattern seen over the past 40 years. You’ll also notice the "Point of Control" (POC) zones—volume-based magnets that price often returns to. These spots often act as the origin of the move, and as such, they make for strong targets and areas of interest. Liquidity Zones and Stop Loss Traps This is where it gets juicy. The majority of breakout traders placed long entries at the blue lines—above swing highs, thinking resistance was broken. But what’s under those highs? Stop loss clusters. Institutions use these areas as liquidity harvests. Several key levels are marked as “OPEN” in this chart, meaning price has yet to return to sweep those orders. That’s why I’m expecting price to begin seeking out that liquidity over the coming months. There's also an imbalance gap (thin price action) around the 85–86 zone. If price falls into that trap door, there’s nothing to stop it until the 80s. The 2025 Outlook Here’s how I’m approaching this year: ✅ Bearish bias under 105 🎯 Targets at 100, 95, and 90 🚪 Trap door under 86 if volume is thin Price is currently stuck under the recent point of control and showing signs of distribution. If that level continues to hold as resistance, we could see a multi-leg push downward, with the 100 and 95 zones acting as check-in points. If we break under the 90s and enter the imbalance zone, 80 becomes more than just possible—it becomes probable. 🗣️ Let’s Sharpen Together Do you see this unfolding the same way? Do you disagree with the 80 target? Drop a comment with your view or share your own markup—this is why we trade! Stay safe, ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinions. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade money you can’t afford to lose.
ICEUS:DXY
by elevatedinvestor
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, After completing our 1H, 4H and daily chart idea, we now only have our long term weekly chart idea remaining . We will update new Multi timeframe route maps in preparation for next week on Sunday Last week we stated that we still had the gap left open at 3094, after candle break above the channel half-line and ema5 lock. -This gap is now complete! We will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above. We also still have a detachment to ema5 lagging potentially due for further correction. We will look for ema5 lock or body close above or below the levels to confirm the next mid to long term range. This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
21
XAU/USD Trendline Breakout (02.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3077 2nd Support – 3048 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
25
Expand Energy (EXE) – Fueling Growth in the LNG BoomCompany Overview: Expand Energy NASDAQ:EXE is strategically positioned near the Gulf Coast, enabling it to capitalize on rising global LNG demand with a disciplined growth strategy. Key Catalysts: $2.7 Billion Capital Plan (2025) 💰 $500M for debt reduction & share buybacks, improving financial flexibility. Balances growth investments with shareholder returns. Production Expansion 📈 2024: 6.41 Bcfe/d 2025: 7.1 Bcfe/d 🚀 2026: 7.5 Bcfe/d 🌍 Scalable drilling & infrastructure investments enhance efficiency. Strategic LNG Market Positioning ⚡ Located near key export hubs, maximizing access to high-demand markets. Flexible capacity investments ensure adaptability to pricing trends. Investment Outlook: ✅ Bullish Above: $95.00-$96.00 🚀 Upside Target: $140.00-$145.00 📈 Growth Drivers: LNG market demand, financial discipline, and production scalability. 🔥 Expand Energy – Driving the Next Wave of LNG Growth. #EXE #Energy #LNG
NASDAQ:EXELong
by Richtv_official
EDUCATION: The $5 Drop: How Trump’s Tariffs Sent Oil TumblingOil markets don’t move in a vacuum. Politics, trade wars, and global economic shifts all play a role in price action. Case in point: the recent $5 drop in oil prices following Trump’s latest tariff announcement. What Happened? Markets reacted swiftly to Trump’s renewed push for tariffs, targeting key trading partners. The result? A ripple effect that sent oil prices tumbling as traders anticipated lower global demand. The logic is simple—higher tariffs slow trade, slowing trade weakens economies, and weaker economies use less oil. Why It Matters to Traders For traders, this kind of volatility is both an opportunity and a risk. Sharp price drops like this shake out weak hands while rewarding those who position themselves with clear strategies. If you trade crude oil, understanding the macro picture—beyond just supply and demand—can make or break your positions. The Next Move Is this just a knee-jerk reaction, or the start of a larger trend? Smart traders are watching key levels, tracking institutional order flow, and looking for confirmation before making their next move. How do you react when headlines move the market? Do you panic, or do you position yourself with a plan? Drop a comment and let’s talk strategy.
Education
by TLTurnerTV
11
"Goooo...!!! Get to the safe-haven choppa!"And there we go... Market participants are in panic mode as tariff show kicks off. Everyone is trying to find a safe-haven like CHF and JPY. However, gold and silver are not the ones, where you need to be now. Let's dig in! TVC:GOLD MARKETSCOM:USDCHF MARKETSCOM:USDJPY MARKETSCOM:JAPAN225 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
Trump's Tariff Wars : What To Expect And How To Trade Them.I promised all of you I would create a Trump's Tariff Wars video and try to relate that is happening through the global economy into a rational explanation of HOW and WHY you need to be keenly away of the opportunities presented by the new Trump administration. Like Trump or not. I don't care. He is going to try to enact policies and efforts to move in a direction to support the US consumer, worker, business, and economy. He made that very clear while campaigning and while running for office (again). This video looks at the "free and fair" global tariffs imposed on US manufacturers and exports by global nations over the past 3+ decades. For more than 30+ years, global nations have imposed extreme tariffs on US goods/exports in order to try to protect and grow their economies. The purpose of these tariffs on US good was to protect THEIR workers/population, to protect THEIR business/economy, to protect THEIR manufacturing/products. Yes, the tariffs they imposed on US goods was directly responsible for THEIR economic growth over the past 30-50+ years and helped them build new manufacturing, distribution, consumer engagement, banking, wealth, and more. The entire purpose of their tariffs on US goods was to create an unfair advantage for their population to BUILD, MANUFACTURE, and BUY locally made products - avoiding US products as much as possible. As I suggested, that is why Apple, and many other US manufacturers moved to Asia and overseas. They could not compete in the US with China charging 67% tariffs on US goods. So they had to move to China to manufacture products because importing Chinese-made products into the US was cheaper than importing US-made products into China. Get it? The current foreign Tariffs create an incredibly unfair global marketplace/economy - and that has to STOP (or at least be re-negotiated so it is more fair for everyone). And I believe THAT is why Trump is raising tariffs on foreign nations. Ultimately, this will likely be resolved as I suggest in this video (unless many foreign nations continue to raise tariff levels trying to combat US tariffs). If other foreign nation simply say, "I won't stand for this, I'm raising my tariff levels to combat the new US tariffs", then we end up where we started - a grossly unfair global marketplace. This is the 21st century, not the 18th century. Step up to the table and realize we are not in the 1850s or 1950s any longer. We are in 2025. Many global economies are competing at levels nearly equal to the US economy in terms of population, GDP, manufacturing, and more. It's time to create a FREE and FAIR global economy, not some tariff-driven false economy on the backs of the US consumers. That has to end. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
64
GOLD - Price can decline to support area and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price traded inside a flat pattern, where it moved between support and resistance levels. Then gold made fake breakout to the downside, but soon returned back and started to grow strongly. It broke the upper line of the flat and entered a rising channel, forming a steady bullish movement. Later price touched $3160 resistance and bounced down, making correction to $3070 support area. Now gold trades inside rising channel and near $3070 level, showing signs of slowing the decline. In my opinion, gold can bounce from support and reach $3160 resistance as the next upward target. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-3 : GAP Breakaway PatternFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and accolades related to my calling this breakdown (nearly 60+ days ago). Did I get lucky having these new tariffs announced, causing the markets to break downward? Probably. Did my research suggest the markets were going to break downward anyway? YES. Did my research predict these tariffs? NO. My research is specifically price-based. You'll notice I don't use many indicators, other than my proprietary price pressure and momentum indicators. The purpose of what I'm trying to teach all of you is that price is the ultimate indicator. You can use other indicators if you find them helpful. But, you should focus on the price chart and try to learn as much as you can from the price chart (without any indicators). Why, because I believe price tells us everything we need to know and we can react to price more efficiently than getting confused by various technical indicators. At least, that is what I've found to be true. Today's pattern suggests more selling is likely. After the markets open, I suggest there will be a bunch of longs that will quickly be exited and shorts that will be exited (pulling profits). Thus, I believe the first 30-60 minutes of trading could be extremely volatile. My extended research suggests the markets will continue to try to move downward (over the next 60+ days) attempting to find the Ultimate Low. But, at this point, profits are profits and we all need to BOOK THEM if we have them. We can always reposition for the next breakdown trade when the timing is right. Gold and Silver are moving into a PANIC selling phase. This should be expected after the big tariff news. Metals will recover over the next 3-5+ days. Get ready. BTCUSD is really not moving on this news. Kinda odd. Where is BTCUSD as a hedge or alternate store of value? I don't see it happening in price. What I do see is that BTCUSD is somewhat isolated from this tariff news and somewhat isolated from the global economy. It's almost as if BTCUSD exists on another planet - away from global economic factors. Still, I believe BTCUSD will continue to consolidate, attempting to break downward over the next 30+ days. Remember, trading is about BOOKING PROFITS and moving onto the next trade. That is what we all need to focus on today. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
20