Long and short battle break out before NFP,gold operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. NFP data released
2. Geopolitical situation worsens
3. Trump and Musk start a war of words
📈 Market analysis:
During today's U.S. trading session, we need to pay close attention to the impact of NFP on the market. Bros who trade independently must do a good job of risk control. The gold 1H chart shows that the current gold price is suppressed by the downward opening of the Bollinger Bands. Gold shorts dominate in the short term, and the MACD indicator has a tendency to form a death cross. At the same time, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a death cross and move downward, indicating that the gold price is still facing adjustment pressure in the short term. Looking at the 4H chart, we can find that although gold is currently rising on the 4H trend line, gold has not yet fallen back to the right level. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility that gold will continue to fall back in the future. The key resistance level above is 3390-3400, and the support level below is 3350-3340, with a focus on the important support level of 3330. Participate in high-altitude and low-multiple in the European session today, and consider retreating to 3350-3340 to place longs
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3350-3340
TP 3365-3385-3395
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Commodities
SILVER BUY BUY BUY...TARGET 40Silver price rose to multiyear high today morning at $36.35/oz as the price finally closed above its key resistance of 35.05-35.45. Price is in a strong bullish trend to target the upper trendline of yellow ascending channel at 36.75 which will act as temporary resistance and may trigger a pull back towards 35.50 region before bouncing back.
Stability above 35.05-35.45 will send price soaring towards 37.50 followed by 40.00-41.00 region.
Break below 35.05 will trigger correction towards 33.60-34.20 area.
On medium term basis Silver's bullish trend will remain valid till the price is stable above 33.60. Break and stability below 33.60 will send the price towards 32.70, 31.80 and 29.20 levels.
What are Harmonic Price Patterns?Harmonic price patterns are chart patterns based on Fibonacci ratios and market geometry, used to identify potential reversal points in Forex. They rely on Fibonacci levels (e.g., 0.618, 0.786, 1.618) to measure price structures, predicting reversal zones (PRZ - Potential Reversal Zone).
Key Features:
- Based on Fibonacci ratios.
- Geometric structure with 4-5 points (X, A, B, C, D).
- Identifies PRZ for buy/sell opportunities.
- Symmetrical, reflecting market psychology.
Key Harmonic Patterns in Forex:
1. Gartley:
- AB retraces 61.8% of XA.
- D at 78.6% of XA.
- Buy/sell at D.
2. Bat:
- AB retraces 38.2-50% of XA.
- D at 88.6% of XA.
- High-precision at D.
3. Crab:
- CD extends 161.8% of XA.
- D at extreme levels.
- Suited for strong volatility.
4. Butterfly:
- AB retraces 78.6% of XA.
- D extends 127-161.8% of XA.
- End of strong trends.
5. Shark:
- AB retraces 113-161.8% of XA.
- D at 88.6-113% of XA.
- Volatile markets.
6. Cypher:
- CD retraces 78.6% of XC.
- Short-term timeframes.
How to Use:
1. Measure Fibonacci ratios to identify the pattern.
2. Locate PRZ at D, combine with support/resistance, RSI, or candlestick patterns.
3. Set stop-loss beyond PRZ, aim for risk/reward ≥ 1:2.
4. Enter trades at D after price/indicator confirmation.
Notes:
- Requires precise measurements.
- Combine with other tools for reliability.
- Practice on a demo account first.
- Avoid during high-volatility events (e.g., news releases).
Let me know if you need details on a specific pattern!
XAUUSD - Gold awaits NFP!Gold is trading in its ascending channel on the hourly timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50. We should wait for a valid breakout of the pattern we identified yesterday, from which we had a Fick break above. We can enter the trade after it breaks in the formed pattern, and on the other hand, if gold corrects towards the demand zone, we can buy it in the short term with a reward at an appropriate risk.
Gold came under downward pressure amid renewed optimism regarding U.S.-China trade talks. Although prices surged to a four-week high earlier in the day due to strong demand from Asian and European buyers, a wave of selling during U.S. trading hours reversed part of that gain.
This shift in momentum coincided with rising U.S. Treasury yields and a boost in market sentiment following a phone call between the presidents of China and the United States. While no official statement has been issued yet, the decision to initiate a new round of high-level negotiations was seen as a positive signal. In recent months, gold has become a key indicator for gauging geopolitical and trade-related risks, having previously surged to an all-time high of $3,500 after the “Freedom Day” tariffs were implemented.
Despite ongoing concerns over Ukraine, Iran, and the growing U.S. fiscal deficit—which provide fundamental support for gold—the metal’s inability to break above the key resistance level of $3,437 has cast doubt on the short-term bullish outlook.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has projected that the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report for May will show a 125,000 increase in jobs. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%, and monthly wage growth is estimated at 0.3%. The bank also anticipates a 10,000-job decline in the public sector, largely due to tariff-related policies and reduced hiring. Overall, Goldman Sachs expects the report to be balanced and free of surprises, which should encourage the Federal Reserve to maintain its current policy stance.
Although gold has managed to stabilize above $3,000 per ounce in recent weeks, many investors remain focused on reclaiming the historic peak reached in April. According to one research firm, it’s only a matter of time before that level is tested and broken again.
In the annual “Gold Focus 2025” report published Thursday by the UK-based firm Metals Focus, analysts stated that gold retains strong momentum for further gains in 2026. They forecast that the average gold price this year could reach an unprecedented $3,210, with new highs likely in the second half of the year.
In an interview with Kitco News, Metals Focus CEO Philip Newman said it is difficult to envision a scenario that would derail the current bull market. While this perspective isn’t included in their formal forecasts, he believes the rally could extend into 2026.
Newman added, “If you look at what’s happening across the global economy, all the ingredients for a structural bull market are present.” He highlighted that one of gold’s unique traits is how quickly investors adapt to new price levels, often converting previous resistance levels into future support. A year ago, he admitted he would have expected $3,000 to trigger widespread profit-taking.
However, despite ongoing economic uncertainty and geopolitical instability, investors have not been discouraged by current price levels. Newman emphasized that what makes 2025 distinct is that new investors are just now entering the market. While gold has been rallying since 2023, much of the demand until recently came from central banks and Asian markets—particularly China.
Newman noted that only in Q4 of last year and early this year did retail investors begin to decisively adopt a bullish stance. “We’ve seen strong growth in investment demand this year,” he said, “but there’s still a large amount of capital that hasn’t entered the market yet. This is not a bubble—this is a well-supported, structurally sound market.”
He concluded by identifying changing perceptions of the U.S. dollar as a major driver behind increased gold investment.While the dollar remains a traditional safe haven, ongoing trade tensions and unsustainable government debt levels have eroded market confidence, prompting investors to seek safety and diversification through gold.
Gold Holds the Line – Will Bulls Take Control into the Weekend?Hey traders! Let’s take a quick look at what’s happening with gold as the week wraps up.
Yesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD saw a sharp drop during the U.S. session, sliding more than 600 pips. But by this morning, the metal bounced back with a short-term recovery, finding strong support around the $3,342 level.
The move came after U.S. jobless claims data came in higher than expected — a sign that the labor market may be losing steam. That’s fueling speculation that the Fed could move toward cutting interest rates sooner, which tends to weaken the dollar and push gold higher.
On top of that, ongoing global economic uncertainty keeps investors turning to gold as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, the $3,340 support zone is still holding firm. If buyers defend this level, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — at least in the short term.
What’s your take? Will gold finish the week stronger or face more pressure? Let’s talk in the comments 💬
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 6Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3412, support below 3322
Four-hour chart resistance 3367, support below 3350
One-hour chart resistance 3374, support below 3360
Gold news analysis: Gold fell sharply during the US trading session on Thursday. Although the slight rebound of the US dollar limited the upside of gold, the expectation of Fed rate cuts, lower US bond yields, US fiscal concerns, and trade and geopolitical risks still supported the strong gold price. The market is in a wait-and-see mood, with the focus on the upcoming NFP employment report. Technical indicators show that gold still has short-term upside potential, and breaking through $3385 will open up further upside space. The instability of the global economic environment, especially the unexpected contraction of the US service industry, the sluggish employment data and the impact of the Trump administration's new tariff policy, has provided strong impetus for the rise of gold. At the same time, the tension between major powers, the progress of EU-US trade negotiations, and the market's expectations of Fed rate cuts have further ignited the enthusiasm of the gold market, and the possibility of gold prices rising to the 3400 mark has increased.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of 3350-3322, and the pressure above focuses on the one-hour level 3374 and the four-hour level 3412. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is 3350. Before the four-hour level falls below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3412-3450-3500.
Buying strategy after breakthrough:
Buy: 3375near SL:3370
Buy: 3388near SL:3383
Buy: 3400near SL:3395
WTI(20250606)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
62.58
Support and resistance levels:
63.97
63.45
63.12
62.05
61.71
61.19
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 63.12, consider buying, and the first target price is 63.45
If the price breaks through 62.58, consider selling, and the first target price is 62.05
Macro Gold vs Stocks - Is it finally the Gold Bug's turn?When you zoom out things become more clear.
Has it always been that easy? Easy to see in hindsight difficult to execute over years and hold strong.
Trust the trends and when they break, you best be on your toes. It will never be the same but similar.
Short Crude Oil for The LeapRisk free trade for $100 on MCL
Scaling out of the trade from 4 hour supply to 4 hour demand.
Using the TrendCloud Trading System and it's working great.
So far I'm in the top 7% for this competition.
Focusing on managing this crude oil trade and also the opening range on the MNQ and NQ
Huge win on day 1 for $4000 on NQ opening range using the TrendCloud Trading Strategy.
Backtesting data shows great results. Super proud of this. It took me a month to program everything properly and optimize specifically for the NQ.
Is there still hope for the bull market to rise today?📰 Impact of news:
1. Progress made in talks between China and the USA
📈 Market analysis:
In view of the non-agricultural data to be released on Friday, the market is expected to maintain a volatile consolidation trend before then. From the daily level: the Bollinger Bands open gently, the gold price is running below the upper track 3414, and the MACD golden cross is running slowly, suggesting that the bullish momentum is weak. At the hourly level, the short-term short position is strong, and there is a certain rebound demand. Therefore, we pay attention to the 3343-3333 support line below, focusing on the 3300 support. After the gold price falls below the 3360 support, the 3360 position will suppress the gold price in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3343-3333
TP 3360-3370-3380
SELL 3360-3370
TP 3330-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Crude Oil is Building Momentum for a BreakoutDuring the U.S. trading session on Thursday, international oil prices fluctuated higher, with U.S. crude oil currently trading near $63.55 per barrel. Despite the intraday volatility, international oil prices remain under downward pressure, primarily influenced by two key factors.
First, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased more than expected, signaling weakening refined product demand in the world’s largest economy. This development has sparked investor concerns about whether the U.S. summer driving season can sustain demand growth, leading to a ~1% decline in oil prices on Wednesday.
The current crude oil market is caught between supply and demand headwinds:
Supply-side pressures: OPEC+’s production increase plan and Saudi Arabia’s strategic price cuts have created short-term bearish sentiment.
Demand-side uncertainties: The unexpected rise in U.S. refined product inventories has amplified market doubts about the vigor of global consumption recovery.
Additionally, the escalation of international trade frictions has further dampened risk appetite, exacerbating downward pressure on prices.
In the short term, oil prices are likely to continue oscillating within the $60–$65 per barrel range. Market participants should closely monitor U.S. macroeconomic data and OPEC+’s compliance with its production policies for directional cues.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@61.5-62.0
TP:63.0-63.5
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,348.94 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,329.82..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The long strategy has been successful, pullback and go long📰 Impact of news:
1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5
2. Initial jobless claims data
3. Non-farm payroll data
4. Worsening geopolitical situation
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the gold price has broken through the previous highs of 3392 and 3395. There is no obvious peak signal in the short term. At the same time, as the gold price continues to rise, the lower support will also move up in the short term, and the 4HMACD has a golden cross trend. In the short term, pay attention to the 3385 support below and the 3410 resistance above. The 1H indicator is close to the overbought area. We still need to be vigilant about the risk of rising and falling. If the gold price retreats to 3390-3385, we can consider going long with a light position.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3385-3375
TP 3400-3410
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XNG/USD Market Swipe: Bullish Breakout Blueprint!🌟 Natural Gas Heist: XNG/USD Bullish Breakout Plan 🌟
Hey Money Snatchers & Market Raiders! 🤑💸
Ready to pull off a slick heist on the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market? 🔥 Using our slick Thief Trading Style (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s the plan to grab the bullish loot and dodge the bearish traps! 🏴☠️💰
Entry 📈:
The vault’s cracked open! 🕳️ Snag the bullish loot at any price—swing low/high pullbacks are prime. Set buy limit orders in 15/30-min timeframes near swing levels for clean entries. 🕵️♂️
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Place your Thief SL below the moving average swing low candles on the 3H timeframe for swing/scalp trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and multi-order setups. Stay sharp! ⚡
Target 🎯:
Aim for 3.900 or bail before the high-risk RED Zone (overbought, consolidation, or trend reversal). Bears lurk there—don’t get caught! 🐻🚨
Scalpers 👀:
Stick to long-side scalps. Got big cash? Jump in! Smaller stack? Join swing traders with a trailing SL to lock in profits. 💰🛡️
Market Vibes ⛽:
XNG/USD is shaking off bearish vibes, fueled by fundamentals, COT reports, inventory, seasonal trends, and sentiment. Check our bio0 for links to dive deeper! 🔗🌎
⚠️ News Alert 📰:
News drops can spike volatility. Play it safe:
Skip new trades during news releases. 🚫
Use trailing stop-loss to guard profits. 🔒
💥 Boost the Heist! 💥
Hit that Boost Button to power up our robbery squad! 💪 With Thief Trading Style, we’re stealing profits daily. Stay tuned for the next heist plan! 🐱👤🚀
Let’s swipe the cash and celebrate! 🎉💸
Gold Hits All Targets with 500+ Pips – Eyes Now on $3420By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price moved exactly as expected and successfully hit all four targets — $3367, $3380, $3391, and $3400 — reaching as high as $3403 and delivering over 500 pips of return.
After sweeping the liquidity above $3400, the price corrected back to around $3370. Currently, gold is trading around $3380. If the price can hold above the $3370 level, we can expect a continuation of the bullish move toward the $3420 area.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Breaks Out of Bullish Flag >> Eyes on $3,480 and $3,720Alright, so looking at this 4-hour chart of Gold, there's a really clean bullish flag pattern that’s just broken out, which is a strong continuation signal.
You can see that after that big push upward, the price consolidated inside a downward (sloping channel for a few weeks. That’s pretty classic behavior. a strong move followed by a period of rest where the market cools off a bit, but without giving up too much ground. That’s what forms the "flag."
Now, the exciting part is that we’ve just broken out of that channel to the upside, and it’s not just a breakout for the sake of it, it’s supported by an inverse head and shoulders right at the top of the channel. That’s a double confirmation that buyers are stepping in with conviction.
The chart also marks two potential targets:
The first target is around $3,480, which is a reasonable measured move based on the height of the flag.
The second target is around $3,720, which would be a more extended continuation if the momentum kicks in.
As long as the price holds above the breakout area (around $3,320–$3,340), this setup looks solid. If we pull back and retest that area and hold, that might be a great long entry with those two targets in mind.
If price drops back into the channel, though, that could mean the breakout was a fakeout, so that level is key.
Gold Holds Above Key Support – Eyes Still on 3400 (READ CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price successfully hit the $3367 target exactly as expected, and then corrected back to $3346. Currently, gold is trading around $3358, and if it can hold above $3350, we can expect further upside. Based on the previous analysis, the next bullish targets remain at $3367, $3380, $3391, and $3400. (Maximum support is always appreciated, my friends!)
HelenP. I Gold will break support level and fall to $3275 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price reached support 1 and then at once dropped to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, making a first gap. Then the price tried to grow, but failed and continued to decline, breaking support 2 and later reaching the trend line. After this movement, Gold turned around and made an impulse up, breaking support 2 and making a first-second gap. Next, Gold made a correction movement to support 2 and then made an impulse up to support 1, which coincided with the support zone. After this, Gold made a small correction and then rose to the support zone, where it made a third gap. Next, XAU in a short time declined to the trend line, broke it, but then started to grow above this line. Some time later, Gold rose to support 1, making a fourth gap, and recently broke support 1 with a trend line. At the moment, the price is traded inside the support zone, and I think that XAUUSD will break the support level, make a retest, and continue to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 3275 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-5 : Inside BreakawayToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern - which indicates the markets want to try to break away from the sideways range I've been sharing with you.
Gold and Silver are making a very big move higher this morning - which may be indicative of some crisis or military conflict move throughout the world.
I see this move in Metals as a bit of a warning to the global markets. Metals hedge global risk levels. A rise in metals suggests traders fear some crisis event and are banking on Silver/Gold as an efficient hedge.
BTCUSD is still trading within the sideways channel as well. I see BTCUSD less as a hedge and more as a technology/Block-chain asset. No matter how you slice it, BTCUSD is not really an alternate currency, it is a Technology asset.
We could see some big moves over the next 2-5+ days because of how the markets are setting up and how Gold/Silver are reacting.
Buckle Up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
XAU/USD..4h chart Pattern.Here’s a summary of My Gold (XAU/USD or XAU/INR?) trade setup:
📈 Trade Idea (Long Position in Gold)
Entry: 3394
Target: 3500
Stop Loss: Not specified (⚠️ Risk undefined)
Potential Gain: +106 points
Percentage Gain: +3.12%
🧮 Trade Considerations:
Reward: 3500 − 3394 = +106
Risk: ⚠️ Not defined → Add a stop loss to calculate risk/reward properly.
If you add a stop loss, I can calculate the exact risk/reward ratio.
Would you like help setting an appropriate stop loss based on technical levels (e.g., recent support, moving average)? Or should I assume one for analysis?