Latest Gold Price Update TodayGold prices today continue to maintain a short-term uptrend, driven by trade tensions and U.S. inflation data.
The weakening of the USD and the drop in U.S. Treasury yields have increased gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. The trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU, along with new tariff measures, further boost the demand for gold.
Additionally, the U.S. PPI for June rose by 2.3%, lower than the forecast and May’s increase, suggesting that inflation could decrease in the future. The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates in September, weakening the USD and supporting gold's uptrend.
With factors like trade tensions, a weaker USD, and positive inflation data, gold prices may continue to rise. Investors need to closely monitor these factors to devise an appropriate strategy.
Commodities
GOLD - Price can start to decline and break support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Gold initially traded inside a steady falling channel, carving lower highs at $3390 and lower lows around $3285 as bears held sway.
A brief fake breakout at $3365 briefly flipped sentiment, but sellers quickly reasserted control and pushed price back toward the channel floor.
Buyers then absorbed selling at the $3285 support area, sparking a rebound into a rising wedge pattern marked by converging trendlines.
Within this wedge, three minor breakouts failed to trigger sustained rallies, underscoring persistent resistance near the upper boundary.
I anticipate Gold to roll over from the wedge’s ceiling and break below $3365, targeting the wedge’s lower support line at $3310
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Crude Oil Trade Plan Scenarios and Key Levels
NYMEX:CL1!
It’s Wednesday today, and the DOE release is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. CT. This may provide fuel—pun intended—to push prices out of the two-day consolidation. Also, note that the August contract expires on July 22, 2025. Rollover to the September contract is expected on Thursday/Friday. You can see the pace of the roll here at CME’s pace of roll tool . The chart shows that rollover is about 70% complete, and CLU25 has higher open interest. Note, the front-month August contract is still trading at higher volume.
What has the market done?
Crude oil is in a multi-distribution profile since the peak witnessed during the Iran-Israel conflict. Crude oil formed a strong base above the 64s and traversed towards the 69s. Prices were rejected at these highs and have since reverted back towards the monthly Volume Point of Control, monthlyVPOC.
What is it trying to do?
The market is in active price discovery mode and has formed multi-distributions since June 23. The market has been consolidating after prices at highs were rejected.
How good of a job is it doing?
The market is active and is also providing setups against key levels. Patience to take trades from these higher time frame levels is what is required to trade crude oil currently. Otherwise, there is a lot of volatility and chop that can throw traders off their plan.
Key Levels:
• Yearly Open: 67.65
• Neutral zone: 67.15–67.30
• 2-Day VAL (Value Area Low): 66.40
• Neutral zone: 66.40–66.20
• 2025 Mid-Range: 65.39
• Key Support: 64.40–64.70
What is more likely to happen from here?
Scenario 1: An initial attempt to push higher, pVAL and onVAL finds aggressive sellers pushing prices towards mcVPOC and yMid confluence
Scenario 2: pVAL provides support for further consolidation and break back above yesterday's high and price moves towards yearly Open.
Glossary:
pVAL: Prior Value Area Low
onVAL: Overnight Value Area Low
yMid: 2025 Mid-Range
mcVPOC: Micro Composite Volume Point of Control
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal 3378 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel
Zone Activated: Deep Analysis
➕ 4 wicks connected at 3378
➕ 7 wicks connected at 3385
➕ Body Close at 3370
➕ Body Close at 3385
➕ Liquidity at 3380
Gold Rejected Post-CPI – Bearish Momentum Building Below $3,365Gold is currently trading near $3,338, continuing to show signs of rejection after testing the key $3,365–$3,392 resistance zone. The market has reacted to the July 15 U.S. CPI release, and despite initial volatility, gold failed to break above its major diagonal trendline, forming a lower high, a strong technical sign of weakening bullish momentum.
If price breaks below $3,330, it could trigger a wave of selling pressure down to $3,303 and $3,248 in the coming days. Traders should monitor price behavior around these zones for short-term entry opportunities.
📌 Technical Breakdown
Resistance Zone:
- $3,365–$3,392 remains the critical ceiling where gold got rejected for the third time in recent sessions.
- This zone aligns with the top of the descending wedge, long-term black trendline.
Bearish Structure Forming:
- After multiple attempts, gold could not sustain above the resistance.
- A series of lower highs and a weakening bullish push suggest a bearish continuation is likely.
Support Levels to Watch:
- Immediate: $3,337
- Mid: $3,320
- Strong: $3,303 (0.382 Fib) and $3,293
- Final Target: $3,248 → $3,220 → $3,193
🔺 Bullish Invalidation Scenario
If gold manages a clean breakout and close above $3,392, this bearish setup will be invalidated. In that case, upside targets would include:
- $3,412
- $3,434
- $3,490 (macro trendline)
But at the moment, that seems unlikely unless driven by unexpected fundamentals.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
GOLD FULL UPDATE – July 15, 2025 | Post-CPI TrapPost-CPI Flip Zone Battle
Hello dear traders 💛
Today has been one of those heavy CPI days — full of volatility, sweeps, and doubt. But if we read it structurally and stop chasing candles, everything makes sense. Let’s break it all down step by step, clearly and human-like.
Current Price: 3330
Bias: Short-term bearish, reactive bounce underway
Focus Zone: 3319–3320 liquidity sweep + key decision structure unfolding
🔹 Macro Context:
CPI came in slightly hot year-over-year (2.7% vs 2.6%) while monthly stayed in-line at 0.3%. That gave the dollar a short-lived boost, and gold reacted exactly how institutions love to play it — sweeping liquidity under 3320, then pausing. Not falling, not flying. Just... thinking.
That reaction matters. Why? Because it shows us indecision. It tells us that gold isn’t ready to break down fully yet, and every aggressive move today was part of a calculated shakeout.
🔹 Daily Structure:
Gold is still stuck below the premium supply zone of 3356–3380. Every attempt to rally there for the past few weeks has failed — including today.
The discount demand area between 3280–3240 is still intact and untouched. So what does this mean?
We are in a macro-range, and price is simply rotating between key structural edges.
🔹 H4 View:
The rejection from CPI at 3355–3365 created a micro CHoCH, signaling the bullish leg is now broken.
After the 3345 fail, price dropped to 3320 — but it hasn’t tapped the full H4 demand at 3310–3300.
H4 EMAs are tilting down, showing pressure. This isn’t a breakout. It’s a correction inside a larger range.
🔸 Key H4 Supply Zones:
3345–3355: liquidity reaction during CPI
3365–3375: untested OB + remaining buy-side liquidity
🔸 Key H4 Demand Zones:
3310–3300: mitigation zone from the CHoCH
3282–3270: deep discount and bullish continuation zone if current fails
Structure-wise: We are in a correction, not a clean uptrend. That’s why every bullish attempt fails unless confirmed.
🔹 H1 Real Structure
This is where things got tricky today.
Price formed a bullish BOS back on July 14, when we first pushed into 3370. That was the start of the bullish leg.
But today, we revisited the origin of that BOS, right near 3320. This is a sensitive zone.
If it holds → it’s still a retracement.
If it breaks → we lose the bullish structure and shift full bearish.
So far, price touched 3320, bounced weakly, but has not printed a bullish BOS again.
🔸 H1 Zones of Interest:
Supply above:
3340–3345: micro reaction zone
3355–3365: CPI origin rejection
3370–3375: final inducement
Demand below:
3310–3300: current flip test
3282–3270: if this breaks, bias flips bearish
Right now, we are between zones. Price is undecided. RSI is oversold, yes — but that alone is never a reason to buy. We need structure. We need BOS.
🔻 So… What’s the Truth Right Now?
✅ If 3310–3300 holds and price builds BOS on M15 → a clean long opportunity develops
❌ If 3310 breaks, and we lose 3300, structure fully shifts and opens downside to 3280–3270
On the upside:
Only look for rejections from 3355–3365 and 3370–3375
Anything inside 3325–3340 is noise. No structure, no clean RR.
Final Thoughts:
Today’s move was not random. It was a classic CPI trap: induce longs early, trap shorts late, and leave everyone confused in the middle.
But we don’t trade confusion — we wait for structure to align with the zone.
If M15 or H1 prints a BOS from demand, that’s your green light.
If price collapses under 3300, flip your bias. The chart already told you it wants lower.
No predictions. Just real reaction.
—
📣 If you like clear and simple plans, please like, comment, and follow.
Stay focused. Structure always wins.
📢 Disclosure: This analysis was created using TradingView charts through my Trade Nation broker integration. As part of Trade Nation’s partner program, I may receive compensation for educational content shared using their tools.
— With clarity,
GoldFxMinds
Gold
⸻
1. Trade Setup Summary
✅ Trade Type: Long (Buy)
✅ Entry: 3,322.250
✅ Stop Loss (SL): 3,311.500
✅ Take Profits (TP):
• TP1: 3,341.000
• TP2: 3,358.000
• TP3: 3,378.000
⸻
2. Chart Context Analysis
🔷 Structure:
• The market had a strong bullish push before a correction phase.
• Current candle is aggressively bullish from the zone near your entry, suggesting buyers are reclaiming control.
🔷 Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• There is an FVG area marked just above TP2 (around 3,358.000) indicating a price imbalance likely to be filled.
• Previous unfilled FVGs below acted as strong demand zones, supporting bullish continuation.
🔷 Trendline Observation:
• A dotted descending trendline was broken and price consolidated above it, suggesting a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish on lower timeframes.
⸻
3. Risk Management
• SL Placement: Below recent structural lows at 3,311.500, providing safety against liquidity sweeps while avoiding premature stop-outs.
• RR Ratio: Approximately 1:2 to 1:5 if all TPs are hit, making the setup favorable.
⸻
4. Overall Probability and Caution
✔️ Strengths:
• Confluence with FVG targeting.
• Strong bullish engulfing candle.
• Multi-TP strategy for secured partial profits.
⚠️ Risks:
• Potential rejection near TP2 due to previous supply reaction.
• High volatility can cause stop-out if market seeks liquidity deeper before continuation.
⸻
5. Conclusion
This setup aligns with smart money concept-based trades focusing on:
• Market structure shift
• FVG imbalance fills
• Clear SL protection with sequential TP levels
If you want, I can:
• Break this down into a daily plan for tomorrow’s session.
• Integrate it with your NAS100, US30, and Forex analysis for the week.
• Prepare similar structured breakdowns for your upcoming charts in your strategy refinement routine tonight.
Gold's Downtrend: Is a Breakout Imminent?Hello traders, what do you think about the gold trend?
Let's set aside the news factors for now and focus on short-term technical analysis with a bearish outlook.
In the current technical picture, gold continues to trade below the trendline, lacking upward momentum, forming a descending wedge pattern. The behavior around the convergence of EMA 34 and 89 also indicates that sellers still control the market.
A sell strategy is favored, with attention to the support zone around 3,315 – 3,320 USD. If this level breaks, stronger sell-offs are likely to follow.
What do you think about gold’s price today? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
Bullish bounce?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci reracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 64.89
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 63.08
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 69.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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Fake news stirs up the market, market trend analysis📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today, our overall trading can be said to have accurately grasped the trading points, and both long and short positions have earned us good profits.The gold market surged due to Trump's intention to fire Powell. Trump then denied the plan, which dissipated the risk aversion in the gold market and the overall rhythm fell back to a volatile pattern. The current market price of gold closed with a long upper shadow line, indicating that there is a certain need for adjustment in the market. Although the news stimulus has pushed it up to 3377, we need to be vigilant against the risk of a decline after a high rise. Pay attention to today's closing. If it closes below 3345, the bearish trend may continue in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Crude oil extends fallsThe crude oil market has entered a fragile and uncertain phase, with prices retreating from recent highs. While WTI crude is still holding above the critical $65 mark on a closing basis, it was below this handle at the time of writing. So, the overall tone remains cautious, with a bearish tilt expected to persist in the near term.
Technical Outlook: WTI Breaks Key Support
The WTI crude chart shows a breakdown of a short-term bullish trend line, and lower lows. The price failed to reclaim the 200-day moving average and found strong resistance since. Currently, it is testing support around $65.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further bearish momentum, with the next support zones seen at $64, and then the next round handles below that. $60 per barrel could be reached if the macro backdrop doesn't improve.
Geopolitical Factors: Trump’s Tariff Threats Dismissed
Donald Trump’s threats of 100% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil sparked initial concern but were ultimately shrugged off by the market. Traders interpreted the 50-day delay in enforcement and Trump’s historical pattern of backing off such threats as signs that immediate supply disruptions were unlikely.
OPEC+ Strategy: Supply Returning to the Market
OPEC+ has announced a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 bpd for August, with another 550,000 bpd potentially coming in September. This roll-back of earlier voluntary cuts aims to recapture market share, especially as U.S. shale production slows. However, the added supply may cap price gains, particularly as demand is expected to ease after the peak U.S. driving season.
By Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst with FOREX.com
Falling correction, shorting in European session📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold continues to consolidate around 3340, and the daily MACD indicator is stuck to the zero axis. Two consecutive days of negative bars also indicate that the overall trend of gold is weak and volatile. The hourly Bollinger Bands are closing, with the upper band located near 3352. The corresponding positions of the upper pressure middle band and SMA60 are basically at 3335-3350, but it is expected to gradually decline over time. On the whole, there are no particularly clear trading signals at present. Both bulls and bears have certain opportunities. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. Pay attention to the 3342-3352 area above. If the bearish trend is confirmed in the future, you can consider shorting when it rebounds here, with the target at 3330-3325. If gold retreats directly to 3325-3320 and gains effective support again, you can consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3342-3352
TP 3330-3325
BUY 3325-3320
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37.873 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.962..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 16.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3382, support level 3300
Four-hour chart resistance level 3365, support level 3320
One-hour chart resistance level 3342, support level 3325.
Yesterday, the lowest price fell to 3320, then fluctuated upward, and rebounded to 3343. As the price fell below 3341 yesterday and accelerated downward, a transition from support to resistance was formed here. Focus on the high point of the NY market rebound yesterday, 3352. Whether it can break through here will determine whether the market continues to rise or is blocked and then falls back like yesterday.
It is worth noting that the trend of the past two days is that Asia is rising and rebounding, and the NY market is falling. Today may be a cycle of yesterday and the day before yesterday. At present, gold is fluctuating and rebounding at 3320. If the NY market cannot break through 3352, it will continue to fall. For the time being, it can be sold high and bought low in this range. After falling below 3320, the next short-term target is 3310~3300.
BUY: 3324 SL: 3320
SELL: 3320 SL: 3325
SELL: 3352 SL: 3357
Pay attention to 3320, if it falls below, go long at 3310-3300The short order has been completed and profit has been realized. Now the 1H technical indicators show that there is still room for decline in the short term. Focus on the 3320 support. If it falls below 3320, the gold price is expected to reach the 3310-3300 area, which is also an ideal trading area for intraday long positions. There is nothing much to say. Follow the wolves and you will get meat. Currently, the brothers who follow me to trade have all made good gains.
OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3.324.79 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,317.96..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The rebound is not a reversal, continue to shortGold showed a trend of rising and falling back and closing low on Tuesday. The highest intraday rise was 3366, and the lowest fell to 3320. The daily line recorded a medium-sized Yin line with a long upper shadow. The K-line was negative, and the closing line broke the resonance support of the middle track and the short-term moving average, suggesting that the bullish momentum has slowed down and the bears are ready to move. Today, we need to pay attention to the further downward performance of gold. From the 4H level, the price stood firm at the four-hour resistance position last Thursday, and then rebounded upward in the short term. Yesterday, the price fell below the daily support level. Currently, the short-term market is bearish, and attention is paid to the resistance in the 3340-3345 range above. In the one-hour period, the price is in short-term shock adjustment. On the whole, it will be treated as a shock decline before breaking yesterday's low, and the lower side pays attention to the 3225-3320 area support. In the short term, you can consider shorting at 3340-3350 in the European session, and look towards 3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSD
Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%.
Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market.
It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point.
The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern.
Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements.
The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%.
At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A.
From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A.
Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern.
Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,358.13 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,349.76.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Crude oil---sell near 67.50, target 65.00-60.00Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil has also started to fluctuate recently. Pay attention to the impact of contract delivery on the trend of crude oil. The daily line of crude oil does not show the strength of its rebound. In terms of operation, it is still a rebound sell. Crude oil continues to be bearish. The situation in the Middle East has not made any major moves temporarily, and the support for crude oil is limited. Pay attention to the selling opportunities near 67.30 today.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil---sell near 67.50, target 65.00-60.00
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 38.281 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️