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Global gold rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data Global gold OANDA:XAUUSD rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data weaken Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday (May 15), supported by a weaker US dollar and weak US economic data, while Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from peace talks prompted some safe-haven buying. At the close of trading on May 15, spot gold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD contracts gained 1.2% to $3,226.6 per ounce, after touching a more than one-month low earlier in the session. Gold FX:XAUUSD futures advanced nearly 1% to $3,218.70 per ounce. The US dollar index fell 0.1%, making gold, which is priced in the greenback, less expensive for holders of other currencies. Data showed that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declined in April, while retail sales growth slowed. Earlier this week, a report showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose less than forecast in April. The market is pricing in the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates boost gold’s appeal as it is a non-yielding asset. Thursday’s data added to the chances of a Fed rate cut, with more dovish expectations forming in the market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
OIL – Oil India Ltd | Target: ₹429.00🟢 Trade Details: LTP: ₹417.30 Recommended Buy Range: ₹415.50 – ₹416.00 🎯 Target: ₹429.00 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹408.70 🔍 Technical Snapshot: ✅ Strong bullish candle with volume confirmation ✅ EMA crossover supports the uptrend (9 EMA > 13 EMA) ✅ RSI at 62.22 shows healthy momentum ✅ Breakout above previous range box visible on Daily & 1H TF 📊 BB %B at 0.82 – still room before overbought levels 💼 Strategy: Suitable for short-term MTF holding (2–5 days) Risk-Reward ~1:1.5 Trail SL to cost once ₹424+ is breached Use smaller timeframes (15m / 1H) to confirm entry with volume For Education Purposes Only
NSE:OILLong
by rmhetre15
Silver Retreats on Semiconductor TensionsSilver pulled back to around $32.50 in Friday’s Asian session, giving up part of its recent gains following reports that the U.S. plans to blacklist several Chinese semiconductor firms. Given silver’s integral role in electronics and chip manufacturing, the news weighed on sentiment. Demand for precious metals has also weakened with easing trade tensions, as the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, cutting U.S. duties from 145% to 30% and China’s from 125% to 10%. Despite this, silver found support from a weakening U.S. dollar, which followed soft economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Powell, however, warned that persistent supply shocks could complicate inflation control moving forward. Resistance begins at $32.50, with further levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold is under pressure as the US dollar strengthensGold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD is under pressure as the US dollar strengthens and trade optimism spreads across the market. Prices slipped slightly early Wednesday as investors took profits after a rise from last week’s lows. Although US inflation came in lower than expected, the Fed’s lack of plans to cut interest rates anytime soon keeps gold OANDA:XAUUSD from gaining momentum. At the same time, optimism about new trade agreements between the US, China, the UK, and other countries, along with hopes for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, are reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Technically, the overall trend looks bearish. There’s no significant rebound from the support zone, indicating that selling pressure still dominates. Currently, prices are consolidating sideways before potentially testing the 3200 level. Key resistance levels are at 3243, 3257, and 3269, while support is concentrated around 3222 and 3200. If prices continue to fluctuate within the current range and test the 3222-3200 support zone, the downtrend is likely to persist in the short to medium term. However, it’s important to note that the market may create short-term “short squeezes” around resistance zones to challenge traders before prices fall further. Wishing everyone successful and effective trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
USOIL:Beware of pullback.The short-term trend of crude usoil continues to fluctuate and fall, hitting the 60 mark. Usoil prices gained some support at 60 and formed a rebound rhythm. The moving average system still suppresses oil prices, and the objective short-term trend direction remains downward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses upward below the zero axis, and bullish momentum strengthens. It is expected that after a slight upward movement in crude oil prices during the day, there is a high probability of being blocked again near 62.50 and falling. USOIL sell@62-62.5 tp:61-60.5 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_01
XAUUSD will it pump again? Gold free signal!!!Hello everyone. I want share my idea about XAUUSD (Gold). This week we started little bit bearish, week open we see big FVG at 4h chart which was not tested and till today it was coming down, but we see today after US news price was before into daily Gap zone and then show us aggressive buy. Why we got aggressive buy today? Gold (XAU/USD) staged an aggressive rally, climbing from a one-month low near $3,155 to around $3,219.81. The catalyst? U.S. economic news, likely softer-than-expected PPI data and growing concerns over a $1.049 trillion fiscal 2025 deficit, sparked safe-haven demand. A weaker dollar and renewed Fed rate-cut bets (possibly starting October) further fueled the surge. Gold’s appeal as a hedge against uncertainty shone through as markets digested mixed signals on Trump’s tariff policies. Gold’s technical rebound could push it toward $3,400 if it holds above $3,200, but trade optimism or a hawkish Fed might cap gains. Long-term, analysts see gold hitting $3,700 by year-end, driven by inflation and policy risks. Here is the setup for long side trade, my technical analysis is simple i am following trend, we have some shifting but that's not problem for, only i will be wrong if DXY will continue uptrend. 3212 open long position 3150 stop loss 3400 take profit In my last analysis about gold i was wrong, my prediction was long but as i mentioned in my last post there was 2h FVG which worked well, and broke daily FVG zone plus last week low. If you want see my last post about gold it will be linked in this post.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by elmakacho
XAUUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.2564, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 3266.64, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 3118.01, below a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
USOIL Temporary Drop seems inevitableOn Thursday, WTI crude oil futures prices fell approximately 3.5% during the session, extending losses after failing to test technical resistance levels. The decline was jointly driven by heightened expectations of a U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement and unexpected increases in crude oil inventories, both of which exerted heavy pressure on supply outlooks. Nevertheless, market analysis suggests the downside for the U.S. dollar may be limited. Improved global trade sentiment has reduced recession fears, leading markets to scale back expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. Data shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September is now 74%, down from earlier predictions of a July cut. Crude oil continued to decline today, breaking the previous upward pattern, with a high probability that prices will trade in a broad range going forward. Overall, the magnitude of the decline has increased, suggesting a higher likelihood of further downside. Today's trading strategy considers shorting on rebounds as the primary approach, while waiting for long opportunities at lower levels. Resistance is focused on the $62.0–63.0 area, with support at $60.0–59.0. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
TVC:USOILShort
by HilaryBloomer
Gold (XAUUSD) Reversal Setup - Watching for CHoCH on 1HGold has shown a strong bounce from a key support zone around $3,120, which previously acted as resistance. This area is now proving to be a solid demand zone. ✅ On lower timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m), we’re seeing a clear structure shift with Higher Highs (HHs) forming, indicating early signs of bullish momentum. 🧠 On the 1H timeframe, the Change of Character (CHoCH) level is around $3,270 — a clean break above this could confirm a bullish market structure shift. 🎯 If $3,270 is reclaimed with strength, potential upside targets could be: $3,350 (mid-range supply) $3,400 (previous weekly high) This aligns with smart money concepts (CHoCH → BOS → expansion) and we are currently in the Discount zone, making this an attractive area for potential long positions. 📌 Levels to Watch: Support: $3,120 CHoCH: $3,270 Targets: $3,350 / $3,400
TVC:GOLDLong
by TrendAlchemy
A wave of bargain hunting is giving short-term support to gold April’s U.S. CPI came in below expectations, cooling down hopes for Fed rate cuts. The U.S. Dollar index has also eased off its one-month high, while ongoing geopolitical concerns continue to back gold’s rise. On Wednesday morning (May 14), spot gold traded in a narrow range around $3,245 per ounce. Inflation Data April’s U.S. CPI rose only 0.2%, less than the expected 0.3%. This boosted gold as it doesn’t reduce the chances of Fed rate cuts, with markets still expecting cuts to continue in September. However, inflation could pick up again in the coming months due to tariff effects, so many investors still see gold as a solid hedge against inflation. On Tuesday, both Do Nam Trung and Trump called on the Fed to cut rates. Geopolitical Situation Geopolitical tensions remain a strong support for gold. Talks between Ukraine and Russia are still uncertain, and although the India-Pakistan conflict has paused with a ceasefire, tensions haven’t eased much. These risks keep gold’s upside potential alive if markets face sudden shocks. Gold Outlook Gold faces three main challenges: Progress in U.S.-China trade talks — even with a 90-day truce, tariffs remain in place. Fed monetary policy — mild inflation data could pave the way for rate cuts. Global geopolitical risks — especially the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and India-Pakistan tensions. There’s little major economic data today. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio will attend a NATO meeting to discuss security priorities and the Russia-Ukraine war, while several Fed officials will speak, so investors should stay alert. Technical Analysis (XAU/USD) On the daily chart, gold is trading within a narrow range with short-term bearish pressure from the 21-day EMA. The 0.50 Fibonacci retracement near $3,228 is key support limiting further drops. If this level breaks, gold could fall toward $3,163. For a new uptrend, gold needs to climb above the EMA21 and break through the $3,300 level. Key levels to watch: Support: 3,228 – 3,200 – 3,163 USD Resistance: 3,245 – 3,292 – 3,300 USD Wishing you a productive and successful trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold Loses 3,220 – Will It Fall Further?Gold has just broken through the 3,220 support and closed the H4 candle at $3,213/ounce. The strong red candle with volume shows that the sellers are still in control. I saw the EMA34 cut down to the EMA89 early and maintained a negative slope – confirming a clear downtrend. I am watching the 3,180 – 3,200 zone as the next target. If the price rebounds but does not surpass 3,240, I will continue to sell. The current situation is not suitable for buying against the trend, especially when the USD is still strong and the safe-haven sentiment is decreasing.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by vandogeve
Possible Scenario for Gold if GDP Surprises to the UpsideFirst, a warning: This is a hypothetical scenario in which gold has made its final top at 3500, and we explore the possible short-term effects of this outcome. Today will be a busy day for gold, with both PCE and GDP data scheduled for release. The remainder of the week is also likely to be more volatile than recent days, with earnings reports from NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:AAPL , and NASDAQ:AMZN , as well as a key jobs report on Friday. Gold reached a top at 3500. Whether this is the final top of the current cycle remains uncertain, it’s notoriously difficult to time tops in a bull market. However, there are some strong signals suggesting gold may be at or near its peak. For more details, please refer to the following post: Historically, gold tends to form a secondary top slightly below the peak before declining. It often retests (third time but seen as second at monthly chart) the high again, within 36 months before entering a bear cycle. If—and this is a big if—3500 is the top, another attempt toward that level is still possible. But first, today’s data will play a key role. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow is projecting below -2.30%, and the gold-adjusted GDPNow is below -1%, indicating weak Q1 expectations. Market consensus has a median forecast of -0.2%, with most estimates ranging between -1% and 0.6%. Much of the expected downside stems from the pre-tariff trade deficit. If GDP surprises to the upside with slightly positive growth and PCE slows as expected, this could put downward pressure on gold, possibly pushing prices down to the 3145–3170 zone. However, problematic China trade relations, continued war between Ukraine and Russia, and rising tensions along the India-Pakistan border could keep demand for gold elevated. This could lead to a recovery and a second, weaker top near 3450 or maybe even a breakout beyond that level. Please keep in mind that this is just one potential scenario for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem
XAUUAD UPDATE 15-5-2025This chart is a technical analysis of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) with a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Chart Patterns: 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: A clear falling wedge is outlined with blue trendlines converging downward, typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has tested the lower boundary multiple times, suggesting a strong support zone. 2. Projected Breakout: An upward arrow indicates a possible breakout from the wedge. The breakout zone appears to aim for the 3,473.994 level, marked with a red line. A potential rally target is highlighted in a yellow zone, between approximately 3,400 and 3,500. 3. Support & Resistance: Support: Around 3,122.690 (green line at the bottom). Resistance: Approximately 3,261.270, with further resistance near 3,473.994. 4. Volume: There’s steady volume activity, which could indicate accumulation before a breakout. 5. Fib Level: A Fibonacci retracement level around 0.793, often used to confirm reversal zones. 6. US Economic Events: Two U.S. flag icons suggest important economic data releases, which might trigger volatility and influence the breakout. Conclusion: This chart suggests a bullish outlook for gold, expecting a breakout from the falling wedge and targeting the 3,400–3,500 zone. However, the movement could be influenced by upcoming economic data, so it’s essential to watch for confirmation before acting. Would you like an interpretation in a different format (e.g., simplified summary or trading plan)?
TVC:GOLD
by Mr_Zakrii
Silver Eases Despite Weaker DollarSilver slipped below $31.90 on Thursday, pressured by easing safe-haven demand after the U.S. and China agreed in Switzerland to cut tariffs to 30% and 10% respectively for 90 days. While the deal briefly lifted sentiment, uncertainty looms over what comes next. The drop in geopolitical tensions has also dampened expectations for aggressive Fed cuts. However, weak U.S. inflation data from earlier this week supported silver by softening the Dollar and improving its appeal to international buyers. Silver faces resistance at $32.50, followed by $33.80 and $34.20. Support is found at $31.40, with lower levels at $30.20 and $29.80.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
The technical side collapses! Can the bear market continue?🗞News side: 1. Russia and Ukraine hold ceasefire talks 2. Initial jobless claims data released during today's US trading session 3. Trump administration exposed to trillions of national debt 📈Technical aspects: After gold fell below 3200, it pointed directly at the 3100-3000 line. Although there has been a rebound in the process, the current short-term short-term situation has not changed. The current lack of rebound momentum in the market is mainly due to the fact that the bad news has not been completely digested. At present, the gold price has rebounded to around 3160. Above, we need to pay attention to the first-line suppression of 3168, which is the first low point in the decline, followed by the 3190-3200 resistance zone above. If the gold rebound cannot break through the 3168 point, then the gold price will most likely continue its decline, test the 3120 low again, or even move towards 3000. If the European market hits the 3168 line and encounters resistance, it can be short-term and focus on the release of initial jobless claims data in the US market. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell