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GOLD recovers from around $3,300 area, short-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered slightly and is currently trading around $3,332/oz, supported by a decline in the US dollar and US bond yields. The market is closely watching the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY is near a one-week low, making dollar-priced gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is holding near its lowest in more than a month. As the conflict between Israel and Iran ends, geopolitical risk levels have disappeared, safe-haven funds have flowed back and thus gold is under pressure. From a more macro perspective, gold remains in an uptrend and real yields are expected to fall further amid continued Fed easing. In the short term, if the market reprices rate cut expectations to become hawkish, this could trigger a technical correction in gold. Economic data in the coming months will be particularly important for the gold market. If inflation data remains weak or the labor market deteriorates further, Fed officials could cut rates sooner or more significantly than expected. A ceasefire between Iran and Israel brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to have taken effect on Wednesday, a day after both countries signaled a temporary end to their conflicting air strikes. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in June, reflecting growing concerns among households about job prospects and another sign of a weakening labor market amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress on Tuesday that higher tariffs could start to push up inflation this summer, a key period when the Fed considers whether to cut interest rates. Traders of federal funds futures are currently pricing in a cumulative 60 basis points of rate cuts through 2025, with the first cut likely to come in September. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered slightly after testing the important support area noted by readers in yesterday's edition, around the raw price point of $3,300. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21 moving average, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can also be considered as upside targets for the time being. In terms of overall structure, gold is still in an uptrend with the price channel as the main trend. On the other hand, RSI is also hovering around 50, indicating that the market sentiment is still hesitant and does not have enough momentum for a complete trend. Intraday, gold still has a bullish technical outlook, but a sell-off that takes gold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bearish signal in the near term. Therefore, long positions should be opened near the $3,300 area, with protective levels behind the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. Notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: $3,320 – $3,300 – $3,292 Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3353 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3297 →Take Profit 1 3309 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3315
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD 4H: structure broken - phase reversal beginsTwo key directional signals were recorded on the gold chart: first, a breakdown of the ascending channel, followed by a confident downward exit from the triangle with a clear fixation under the $3297 boundary. Both figures worked independently, but consistently - and strengthened the impulse towards selling. The price has already gone beyond the lower boundary of the triangle ($3297), confirming the bearish scenario. Candlesticks closing under the level and local consolidation from below is a characteristic formation before the momentum continues. Technical parameters: - Channel breakout: completed - Triangle breakout: $3297 level - Retest from below: expected as confirmation - EMAs reversed downwards, structure broken - Volumes strengthened at the moment of breakout Tactical plan: - Sell after retest of $3297 - Targets on the move: $3248 and $3201 - Stop: above $3305 (above the area of false outs). The current structure indicates the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the downward momentum. As long as the price holds below $3297 - shorts are the priority.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
XAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish MomentumXAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish Momentum" – Where Are the Opportunities? Hello TradingView Community! Hot news from the Gold (XAUUSD) market today! We've just closely analyzed the Daily Chart and spotted a crucial signal: Gold's downward momentum is extremely strong and clear! This indicates that the short-term trend may have shifted, or selling pressure is currently overwhelming other supporting factors. 🌍 Current Macroeconomic Context (A Multi-faceted View): Previously, we discussed how a weaker USD might support Gold. Indeed, concerns about the Fed's independence (due to rumors of Powell's replacement) and expectations of Fed rate cuts have pushed the USD lower, typically a positive for Gold. However, the market isn't driven by just one factor. The sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran is reducing Gold's safe-haven demand. It appears that, at present, factors like decreased safe-haven demand and potentially strong technical breakdowns are prevailing, creating significant selling pressure on the daily timeframe. We also need to emphasize that the market remains very cautious about confirming a bottom for Gold, and we are still awaiting crucial US economic data (especially PCE on Friday) and FOMC speeches. ➡️ In summary: While a weaker USD theoretically supports Gold, the price action on the daily chart clearly shows bears are dominating. We must respect this signal and adjust our strategy accordingly. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (Focus on Daily Chart - Strong Bearish Momentum!): Based on the strong bearish signal from the Daily timeframe and key price levels from the chart (image_e9d325.png): Primary Trend on Daily: Clearly strong bearish momentum. Large, consecutive bearish candles breaking previous support zones indicate overwhelming selling pressure. Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Opportunities - where price might retrace before falling further): 3313.737 - 3315: This is the nearest and most important resistance area. If the price retraces here, it could present an opportunity to sell. 3321.466 - 3330.483: A stronger resistance zone, if price retraces deeper. 3341.947: Extremely strong resistance, unlikely to be reached in this context unless there's a major trend-reversing news event. Support Zones (BUY Opportunities - extremely cautious, only for Scalp or clear reversal signals): 3294.414: Immediate support, but could be easily broken if bearish momentum persists. 3276.122: The next support area if the price continues to fall. 3264.400: This is a very strong support and a potential downside target if bearish momentum holds. Consider BUYs here only if price hits this level and shows clear reversal patterns on smaller timeframes. 🎯 Updated XAUUSD Trading Plan (Prioritizing SELLs): Given the strong bearish momentum on the Daily chart, we will prioritize active SELL entries and approach BUY scalps with extreme caution, only at very strong support levels or with clear reversal confirmations. 1. ACTIVE SELL TRADES (Priority): SELL ZONE 1 (Selling at near resistance): Entry: 3313 - 3315 (If price retraces to this area and shows bearish rejection candle patterns on H1/H4) SL: 3320 (Just above the nearest resistance) TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3276.122 (Next target according to the chart) - 3264.400 (Final target if strong bearish momentum continues) SELL ZONE 2 (Selling at stronger resistance - if deeper retracement): Entry: 3331 - 3333 (If price retraces deeper and shows reversal signals) SL: 3337 TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3294.414 2. CAUTIOUS BUY TRADES (Only for Scalp/Clear Reversal Signals): BUY ZONE (BUY SCALP AT STRONG SUPPORT): Entry: 3266 - 3264 (Only buy if price hits this zone and shows clear reversal signals on M15/M30, such as reversal candle patterns, RSI divergence, etc.) SL: 3260 (Very tight, acknowledging higher risk) TP: 3270 - 3276.122 - 3280 - 3284 - 3290 (Aim for short TPs, no expectation of prolonged uptrend in strong bearish conditions) INTERMEDIATE BUY SCALP: Entry: 3284 - 3282 (If price has broken down through here and retraces, wait for confirmation) SL: 3278 TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 (Short-term targets only) ⚠️ Crucial Factors to Monitor Closely Today: Price Action at Resistance/Support Levels: How price reacts at these key marks will dictate the next move. US Macro Data (especially PCE on Friday): Any surprising news can rapidly reverse the current trend. FOMC Speeches: Can induce significant volatility in USD and Gold. Geopolitical Situation: Although currently optimistic, any unexpected developments could reignite safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 35.998 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 35.727..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
XAUUSD - Gold Bearish Bias Remains StrongXAU/USD remains under bearish pressure on the 4-hour timeframe. Until price breaks and closes above $3,336 with strength, selling the rallies remains a preferred strategy. However, watch for potential bounces near support zones, especially if momentum weakens or reversal candles appear. The price is currently trading below both the 50, 100 and 200 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend. The recent price action has respected the trendline resistance and failed to break higher, reinforcing sellers’ control. Price structure has formed a descending channel, which often signals a bearish continuation. However, if price finds a strong reaction from support, a temporary rebound could occur before further downside. Overall sentiment is cautious due to recent geopolitical de-escalation between Iran and Israel, which reduced gold’s safe-haven demand. Dollar strength, driven by hawkish Fed tone, continues to pressure gold. Key Support Levels : $3,295 – A minor support where previous candles showed buying interest. $3,289 – Critical horizontal support and psychological level. $3,270 – Next significant support if $3,289 breaks. $3,240 – Major support zone, last line before larger downside moves. Key Resistance Levels: $3,310 – Near-term resistance and EMA zone. $3,320 – Price rejection level from earlier 4H candles. $3,336 – Strong resistance with previous swing highs. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
This Trendline Has Held Since January, Will Gold Finally Break?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a key ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support since early 2025. Today's price action shows strong bearish pressure, but confirmation is still needed as the daily candle has not yet closed below the trendline. A decisive close beneath this level would signal a potential shift in market structure and open the door for further downside. Fundamentally, mixed U.S. data adds to the uncertainty—while Personal Income (-0.4%) and Spending (-0.1%) came in below expectations, the Core PCE Price Index rose to 0.2%, suggesting lingering inflationary pressure. If price breaks and closes below 3,260, I’ll consider a bearish continuation toward 3,200, 3,120, and possibly 3,000. However, if bulls defend this zone and reclaim 3,300+, a short-term bounce could still play out. For now, I'm staying patient and waiting for the daily close to confirm direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DNP-FX
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
"COTTON CFD HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Trap!"🔥 COTTON CFD HEIST: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap! 🚨💰 🌟 Attention Market Robbers & Profit Pirates! 🌟 (Hola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) 🔎 Strategy Based on THIEF TRADING ANALYSIS (Technical + Fundamental): We’re staging a bullish heist on the 🧵 COTTON CFD market—time to grab the loot and exit before the bears ambush us near the Dangerous Red Zone (key resistance). Overbought? Maybe. A trap? Likely. But thieves don’t overstay—we escape with profits! 📌 ENTRY (Bullish Vault is Open!): "SWIPE THE LOOT!" – Buy at current price OR set buy limits (15m/30m pullbacks). Pro Tip: Strong hands enter now; cautious robbers wait for dips. ⛔ STOP LOSS (Safety Net): Thief’s Rule: Set SL below nearest 4H swing low wick (~65.00). Adjust based on your risk tolerance & position size. 🎯 TARGETS (Escape Routes): Take Profit @ 68.50 Bail early if momentum fades! (Don’t be greedy—real thieves lock in gains.) ⚡ SCALPERS NOTE: Longs only! Use trailing stops to protect profits. No money? Join swing traders—this heist is teamwork! 📢 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Bullish drivers: COT Report, Macro Trends, Geopolitics, Seasonals. Full analysis herre: 👉🔗 🌍📊 🚨 TRADING ALERTS: News = Volatility! Avoid new trades during high-impact events. Trailing SLs save heists. Lock profits before the market turns. 💥 BOOST THIS PLAN → STRONGER ROBBERY SQUAD → MORE GAINS! (Like & Share to help us steal the market’s money daily! 🏴‍☠️💸) Next heist coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🤫🚀
VELOCITY:COTTONLong
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 – Navigating Key Levels Amidst USD Weakness! Hello TradingView Community! Let's delve into the intricate world of Gold (XAUUSD) today. The yellow metal is showing a subtle positive bias, largely influenced by a weaker US Dollar, yet a decisive bullish breakout above the $3350 mark remains elusive. 🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: Forces Shaping Gold's Path Gold has maintained a slight positive stance for the second consecutive day, but it's struggling to find significant follow-through, staying below the $3350 level in early European trading. USD Under Pressure – A Tailwind for Gold: The primary driver for Gold's recent strength is the weakening US Dollar. Reports suggesting President Trump is considering replacing Fed Governor Jerome Powell have sparked concerns about the US central bank's future independence. This speculation has fueled market expectations for further Fed rate cuts this year, pushing the USD to its lowest point since March 2022, thereby providing support for non-yielding assets like Gold. Cautious Outlook Prevails: Despite USD weakness, a definitive bullish trend for Gold is not yet confirmed. The ongoing ceasefire between Israel and Iran holds firm, with prevailing optimism limiting significant safe-haven rallies. This complex environment necessitates caution before confirming a definitive bottom for Gold or positioning for a substantial recovery from levels below $3300. Key Data Ahead: Traders are keenly awaiting upcoming US macroeconomic data and speeches from FOMC members. These insights will be crucial in influencing XAU/USD, particularly ahead of Friday's pivotal US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Pinpointing Strategic Zones Based on recent technical analysis (referencing image_e9d325.png for key levels), Gold is in a consolidation phase after a recent sharp decline, trading around the $329X mark. Price action below shorter-term moving averages suggests either lingering bearish pressure or an accumulation phase. Strong Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas): Critical demand areas are identified around 3294.414, 3276.122, and notably 3264.400. These levels are crucial for potential price bounces. Key Resistance Zones (Potential Sell Areas): Significant supply zones are found at 3313.737, 3321.466, 3330.483, and 3341.947. These are points where selling pressure may emerge. 🎯 XAUUSD Trading Plan: Your Actionable Strategy Here's a breakdown of the strategic entry and exit points for your XAUUSD trades: BUY ZONE (Strong Support - Long-Term Bias): Entry: 3266 - 3264 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 BUY SCALP (Quick Buy at Intermediate Support): Entry: 3284 - 3282 SL: 3278 TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 - 3330 SELL ZONE (Key Resistance): Entry: 3331 - 3333 SL: 3337 TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 SELL SCALP (Quick Sell at Near Resistance): Entry: 3313 - 3315 SL: 3320 TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor Closely: US Macro Data: Friday's US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is paramount for market direction. FOMC Member Speeches: Any official comments on monetary policy or inflation outlook will significantly impact USD and Gold. Geopolitical Stability: Developments related to the Israel-Iran ceasefire can influence safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Caught Between Bulls and Bears as Uncertainty BuildsGold prices continued to edge lower today, hovering around $3,320 per ounce, showing little change from the previous session. Interestingly, even as the US dollar dropped to its lowest level since February 2022 and Treasury yields fell, gold’s rebound remains limited — weighed down by a string of upbeat US economic data. The US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped nearly 0.6% to 97.13, while the 10-year Treasury yield eased to 4.259% — both typically bullish signals for gold. However, optimism around the US economy is tempering safe-haven demand. Adding to the uncertainty, reports suggest former President Donald Trump may announce a replacement for Fed Chair Jerome Powell as early as September or October, sparking speculation over future monetary policy direction. Meanwhile, Fed officials such as Susan Collins and Thomas Barkin have reiterated that there is no strong case for rate cuts in July, warning that inflation could reaccelerate — especially under the pressure of renewed tariffs. 🔎 Technical view: Gold remains supported near the 50-day moving average at $3,322, but RSI indicates growing bearish momentum. A breakout above $3,400 could reignite upside movement. However, if the price breaks below $3,300, the next key supports lie at $3,245, and deeper at $3,200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
1
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Silver (XAG/USD) is re4acting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st suport. Pivot: 36.76 1st Support: 35.73 1st Resistance: 37.29 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDShort
by ICmarkets
XAU/USD GOLD 4H + 1H PREMIUM TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – JUNE 27, 20254-HOUR TIMEFRAME – HIGHER TIMEFRAME BIAS Gold continues to trade near its all-time highs, consolidating just below a recent swing high of $3,315. Despite minor pullbacks, the macro trend remains bullish, with bullish structure still intact. Recent price action shows shallow retracements and strong rejections of key fib levels, a typical sign of underlying smart money accumulation. Price Action & Market Structure Gold recently printed a Break of Structure (BOS) at $3,290, followed by a retest of the broken level. We observed a Change of Character (CHoCH) near $3,300, quickly invalidated by bullish strength – further confirming accumulation behavior. Market remains in bullish alignment unless $3,250 is broken decisively. Key Support & Resistance Zones Resistance $3,315–$3,320 Demand $3,275–$3,282 Support $3,250 Targets $3,340 / $3,355 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Liquidity Grab beneath $3,275 likely triggered retail stop hunts 4H Bullish Order Block between $3,275–$3,282 remains unmitigated Imbalance Zone: $3,283–$3,289 – price may wick into this before launch Sell-side liquidity taken below $3,275 → bullish reaction Buy-side liquidity sits above $3,315 → likely short-term magnet ZOOMING INTO 1-HOUR CHART – INTRADAY SETUPS The 1-hour chart aligns with the bullish higher-timeframe bias, offering two potential premium-level setups: Setup #1: Bullish Rejection from 4H OB Entry Zone: $3,275–$3,282 This setup targets a liquidity sweep beneath $3,275 followed by bullish mitigation of a clean order block and imbalance zone. Confluence across fibs, OB, and structure support increases probability. Setup #2: Breakout Retest Play Trigger: Clean breakout and retest of $3,315 Entry: On successful retest (bullish confirmation candle) Ideal if momentum pushes through local resistance, clearing buy-side liquidity. Reclaim of structure suggests smart money continuation. Bearish Contingency (Low Probability for Now) If price breaks below $3,250 and confirms below structure: Look to short on retests into $3,275 Target next demand around $3,235 Until that happens, bullish bias remains dominant. Gold remains one of the most structured and responsive instruments to smart money technicals right now. A well-planned entry around demand, imbalance, or breakout levels provides excellent RRR potential if structure holds.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Tightening Triangle Signals Major Move Ahead for Crude OilChart Overview (30-Minute Timeframe) Instrument: Crude Oil Futures (OIL) Current Price: ~$64.77 Recent Trend: Strong bearish drop followed by consolidation --- 🔺 Key Patterns & Structures Identified 1. Descending Triangle (Current Price Action) The current price is tightly compressed within a descending triangle, with a horizontal support near $64.70 and a descending trendline from the recent highs. Bearish bias is typical in this pattern, but a breakout to the upside is possible, especially with bullish volume or news catalysts. 2. Previous Breakdown A sharp decline occurred from a resistance zone around $78.00 (highlighted in red). This breakdown was decisive and fast, breaking through former support levels (green zone around $68–$69). 3. Support Zone Holding The support at ~$64.70 has been tested multiple times but is still holding, suggesting buyer interest at this level. 4. Volume/Volatility Contraction Price is consolidating in a tight range between ~$64.5 and ~$65.3. This compression of volatility often precedes a significant breakout or breakdown. --- 🔁 Possible Scenarios ✅ Bullish Breakout Trigger: Break above the descending trendline (~$65.3–$65.5). Target: Revisit prior support zone at $68.00, possibly higher. Confirmation: Strong bullish candle with increased volume. ❌ Bearish Breakdown Trigger: Break below horizontal support at ~$64.70. Target: Possible drop toward $62.00–$61.00, depending on momentum. Confirmation: Strong bearish candle closing below support with high volume.
MARKETSCOM:OILLong
by Aria-Margot-Fx
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trends during the day📰 Impact of news: 1. PCE and Consumer Index 📈 Market analysis: Judging from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing and the MACD is showing a trend of forming a death cross, indicating that the short-selling momentum is still relatively strong in the short term. However, as the overall upward structure has not been destroyed, there is still a possibility of a rebound and repair in the future. During the day, we need to pay special attention to the support strength of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. ​It is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting at high levels and going long at low levels. The key support below is the 3305-3295 area, and the upper resistance is the 3340-3350 range. However, judging from the chart, in the short term, there may be a rebound near 3313. At present, it has indeed rebounded to around 3319 as expected. If it falls weakly to this week's low of 3295, you can buy if it does not break. On the whole, if it rebounds to 3335-3345, you can consider shorting, and if the support below 3305-3295 is not broken, go long. Today is Friday, and as it is near the end of the month, market liquidity is strong. Please be cautious in your operations today and be sure to set stop losses strictly. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3335-3345-3350 TP 3320-3315-3300 BUY 3305-3295 TP 3310-3320-3330 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
1
Gold Breaks Trendline – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its short-term ascending trendline formed since mid-May. The candle closed around $3,333, confirming a bearish engulfing pattern and highlighting growing selling pressure after multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $3,383–$3,399 resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618). Key Levels to Watch: - Immediate Support: $3,315 (tested twice before) - Main Resistance: $3,383–$3,399 (Fibonacci zone) - Major Resistance: $3,435–$3,451 (May high zone) If $3,315 fails to hold, gold could retest $3,285–$3,270, with deeper downside toward $3,222. Technical Overview: - The ascending trendline is now broken. - Bearish engulfing candlestick confirms momentum shift. - Price rejected sharply from Fibonacci 0.618 – $3,399. Trade Setups to Consider: Sell Opportunity: Short near $3,360–$3,383; stop loss above $3,400; targets at $3,315 and $3,270. Speculative Buy: Watch for reversal patterns near $3,315; stop loss below $3,300; short-term target $3,350–$3,365. Caution: This week brings major U.S. economic events (GDP, PCE, Fed speeches). Trade reactively, manage risk tightly, and avoid overleveraging.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
The idea of ​​​​oscillating crude oil 💡Message Strategy Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight of this growth was concentrated in June, when Asia's crude oil arrivals soared to 28.65 million barrels/day, setting a record high since January 2023, far exceeding 27.3 million barrels/day in May and 26.42 million barrels/day in June last year. Import boom driven by price What drove the surge in Asian crude oil imports in June? The answer has a lot to do with price. China and India are known to be extremely sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, usually increasing imports when prices are low and choosing to shrink when prices are high. Crude oil arriving in June is usually scheduled six to eight weeks in advance of delivery, which means that these cargoes were purchased when oil prices were low in April and May. Geopolitics and market uncertainty The sharp fluctuations in oil prices in June are inseparable from the fueling of geopolitics. Israel's military action against Iran and the subsequent intervention of the United States once pushed crude oil prices to a five-month high. After Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, the market risk premium quickly subsided, but geopolitical uncertainty is still an important variable affecting oil prices. In the future, any new geopolitical events may push up oil prices again, which will further pressure Asia's import demand. 📊Technical aspects The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. The momentum is stalemate between long and short positions, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day. However, crude oil is never that simple. It is greatly affected by international trends. At present, crude oil is still waiting for direction. So how can we obtain greater future returns in a volatile market? The answer is simple. At this time, what we need to do is to use a small stop loss to leverage large returns within the pressure and support range. 💰Strategy Package Short Position：67.00-67.20，SL：67.80，Target: 64.50-63.50/60.00 Long Position:64.00-64.20，SL：63.50，Target: 65.50-66.50/70.00
TVC:USOIL
by TheodoreSilas
XAUUSD – Key Inflection Zone Before Core PCE Price Index m/mGold opened today with a bearish gap, once again struggling to stay above the 3327–3305 support zone, the same range where it hovered yesterday. While the price did form a higher low and higher high structure on the lower timeframes, this move still lacks the strength to signal a proper reversal—rather, it looks more like a minor consolidation ahead of tonight’s US GDP and Unemployment Claims release. At this point, gold is trapped between two key forces: A resilient resistance zone formed by the downtrendline, unfilled gap from earlier this week, and confluence of MA50 & MA200 A rising minor support trendline, creating a tightening range and indicating that the next breakout may provide a clearer direction. ⚠️ Technical Outlook As long as gold remains below 3366–3367, the prevailing downtrend structure remains valid. Any rally into that zone should be viewed cautiously, especially if accompanied by weak volume or rejection candles. However, if gold manages to break and close H4 above 3367, it could trigger a short-term correction toward 3396 or even higher, aiming to fill the previous gap. But so far, the momentum remains bearish, and lower highs continue to dominate the mid-term structure. 🔽 Trade Idea (Cautious Swing Trade) Due to the wide stop-loss required, we recommend using reduced position size to maintain proper risk management. 🔵 Sell Area: 3358 – 3367 ❌ Stop Loss: 3396 (above the trendline and prior key high) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3331 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3306 🎯 Take Profit 3: 3289 🧠 Risk Level: Moderate to High (Lot size should be adjusted) R3: 3379 R2: 3366 R1: 3350 Pivot: 3327 S1: 3305 S2: 3286 S3: 3256
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Bullish breakout for the Gold?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,343.14 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,296.15 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 3,390.77 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Gold fluctuates at high levels, intraday trading points📰 Impact of news: 1. Initial unemployment claims data 📈 Market analysis: Gold has begun to show signs of bottoming out in the short term in the past two days. Since the daily line bottomed out and pulled up, the daily line closed positive yesterday, and the bulls began to counterattack, and the 1H low was rising. If it doesn't fall further in the short term, it will most likely bottom out and rebound. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger middle track of 3355, which is also the high point of Tuesday's decline. If gold breaks and stabilizes at this price, it will have a larger upward space, and the upper side will look at 3385. In the 4H chart, MACD temporarily forms a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; but the BOLL track pressure is still there, and gold bears still have momentum in the short term. Therefore, on the whole, in the short term, gold should pay attention to the 3350-3360 resistance above. If it encounters resistance under pressure here, it can consider shorting. Pay attention to the 3330-3320 support area below. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3350-3360 TP 3340-3330-3320 BUY 3330-3320 TP 3340-3350 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
#PAXGUSDT #1D (ByBit) Head & Shoulders near breakdownPax Gold printed a shooting star and is losing 50MA now, on daily. Seems on the verge of a big retracement down towards 200MA support, once neckline is broken. ⚡️⚡️ #PAXG/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (9.0X) Amount: 4.9% Entry Targets: 1) 3349.94 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 3049.06 Stop Targets: 1) 3500.75 Published By: @Zblaba LSE:PAXG BYBIT:PAXGUSDT.P #1D #PaxGold TVC:XAU Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +80.8% Possible Loss= -40.5% Estimated Gaintime= 1.5 months
Short
by TradingOn