$BTC Tracks $GOLD Very Closely With 12-Week LeadCould it really be this simple?
Maybe we can just throw Global M2 out the window and track TVC:GOLD with a 12-Week Lead.
Someone pointed this out to me yesterday when I posted Gold's near 1/1 tracking with Global M2.
*Note the deviation in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA from the ETF hype.
Commodities
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 23.04.2025Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – April 23, 2025
The market is currently showing bearish momentum following a retracement from the recent highs near the 3,500 mark. Price is now approaching key Fibonacci levels, presenting potential shorting opportunities for intraday and swing traders.
Key Levels to Watch:
📉 Short Opportunity 1:
Zone: 3400-3410 USD (Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618)
Analysis: This is a premium supply zone and a retracement area aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket. If the price revisits this region and shows bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejections, or lower timeframe structure break), it's a high-probability short entry zone.
Signal: Look for price rejection patterns in this zone to initiate a short position.
Stop-Loss: 3,430
Target: 3,292 initially, then lower if structure breaks
📉 Short Opportunity 2 (Breakout Trade):
Zone: 3,292 – 3,300 USD (Major Support)
Analysis: This is a major support zone. A clean break below and successful retest from underneath would signal continuation to the downside.
Signal: Wait for a break and retest below 3,292 for confirmation before entering short.
Stop-Loss: Above 3,300 on retest
Target: 3,240 and potentially 3,215 – 3,220 zone
Overall Bias:
Bearish below 3,396. Price action confirms lower highs and lower lows. Structure supports selling rallies or breakdowns.
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After updating our 1H and 4h chart idea last two days, please see update on our daily chart idea also playing out perfectly.
On our last update we stated that we were seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout into the next level.
We got the candle body above 3297 and ema5 lock opening 3433 - This was hit perfectly completing this target. No further close above this level confirmed the rejection.
We are now looking for support above the channel top for a continuation or a ema5 lock inside the channel will see price play back into the channel levels.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WTI OIL Oversold rebound at the bottom of 7-month Channel Down.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit last week the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Down while its 1D RSI turned oversold (<30.00), the lowest it's been since March 2020 and the COVID crash.
Naturally, the price rebounded but still hasn't even tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which indicates that it remains a strong medium-term buy opportunity. With the previous Lower Low almost reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect to see at least $72.50 in the medium-term.
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$GLD short term top in $260-148 target on the downsideAMEX:GLD looks a bit extended here. I could see the possibility of GLD falling back to the $260 support at a minimum and maximum all the way down to $148
The $209 support would be the 50% retracement of the recent run. I like that as a level for a bounce.
Let's see where we end up.
Silver Update – April Rollercoaster Ends in Bullish Setup?What a month it has been for Silver also!
In early April, the metal broke down from a rising wedge pattern, triggering a waterfall drop of around 6,000 pips. The plunge took us right into the 28 zone, but the reversal that followed was nothing short of spectacular.
In just two trading days, Silver rocketed back above the key 30 level, and the rally didn’t stop there. By mid-month, it reclaimed the 32 support – a level previously broken during the drop.
📉 Last week, however, price action turned quiet compared to the volatility in Gold, with Silver entering a tight consolidation.
But here’s the key point:
➡️ Despite the sharp early-month drop, the structure is now bullish again and remains so as long as 32 holds.
💡 Trading Plan:
I'm looking to buy dips near 32 in anticipation of a breakout above 33.15 – the upper boundary of the recent consolidation.
If that level gives way, Silver could accelerate its gains and make a new attempt toward 35.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
$SLV pullback before the real bull trend starts?Silver looks to be trading in a large rising wedge, I could see the possibility of a pretty substantial pullback should price break down from the pattern.
We have the potential to fall between 30-60% from here should price break the pattern. The level to look for is a break of $22 on the downside, that will be the confirmation that we're moving lower.
I've marked off important support levels on the downside if we break down. A break of the upper resistance would invalidate the idea.
eurusd h1 best level to buy/hold +140 pips🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1280
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 1420
🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R
🔸pullback in progress right now
🔸expecting bounce at key s/r
🔸Price Target Bears: 1280
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1420
🔸strategy: BUY LOW exit 1420
🔸+140 pips on BUY side
Gold extends slump as risk assets rallyGold has extended its slump, now off by more than $230 (-6.5%) from yesterday's record high of $3.5K. Unwinding of "Sell America" trades continue as risk assets rally on Trump's trade optimism.
Key levels to watch
With short-term support broken at $3,342, this level has already turned into resistance.
The next support was at $3,284. This level has just been taken out. Therefore, we could this level turn into resistance in the next few hours.
Untested old resistance at $3,245 is now the next downside objective. Below that $3,200 and then $3,167 (old resistance).
How to trade gold?
Trade gold from level to level, as it unwinds from significantly overbought levels. Could be a while before it starts trending higher again. Equally, given the long-term bullish trend, the bears should be looking to book profit some profit at every potentially key support.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD - $6,200+ BULL RUN?! (MONTHLY TF)I believe we’re in for another huge bull run towards Wave 5 ($6,200), after a Wave 4 correction towards $2,800. Waiting on a final move down to liquidate late buyers.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
Hanzo | Gold15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish after Breakout at 3290
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bullish after Breakout at 3360
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🩸 15M Time Frame Analysis
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab
—
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3440
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3470
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥Key Level / Equal Area
—
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3195
Key Level / Equal High Formation - 3245
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3239
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3212
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
GOLD - $6,200+ BULL RUN?! (MONTHLY TF)I believe we’re in for another huge bull run towards Wave 5 ($6,200), after a Wave 4 correction towards $2,800. Waiting on a final move down to liquidate late buyers.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
XAUUSD: 23/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3400, and the support level is 3285
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3371, and the support level is 3300
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3350, and the support level is 3300.
The current gold price is short-term bearish.
The Asian session continued to break through 3300, falling to 3291.8, and then rebounded quickly. If the price falls below the 3300 integer mark again, it may further fall to 3285. After breaking the support of 3285, it will continue to test 3245.
If the price rebounds and breaks through the previous high resistance level of 3350 US dollars, the short-term trend may turn bullish.
Sell: 3350near SL:3355
Sell: 3285near SL:3290
Buy: 3300near SL:3295
XAU/USD: New ATH ~ $3500, What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the 15-minute gold chart, we can see that the price once again reached a new high today, rallying up to the key psychological level of $3500. Following this move, gold has experienced a pullback down to $3423 so far. If the price stabilizes below $3442, we will likely see a further correction toward the next target at $3411. (This analysis will be updated)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
HelenP. I Gold may continue fall to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong bullish impulse, the price of Gold reached a local peak and started to reverse. Before that, the uptrend was developing within a clearly defined ascending channel, where the trend line acted as dynamic support multiple times. Each time the price touched this line, it rebounded and continued climbing higher. However, the most recent upward movement ended with a sharp pullback, which marked the beginning of a potential correction. At the moment, the price is trading below the recent high and has already started forming a corrective downward move. XAUUSD is now heading toward the important support zone between 3190 and 3160 points. This area is not only a key horizontal level but also intersects with the trend line, making it a strong confluence zone that may act as a magnet for the price during this phase. I expect that the Gold will make a minor upward move before continuing to decline, targeting the support zone at 3190 points, which is my current goal. Given the recent price rejection from the resistance and the bearish momentum building, a move toward 3190 looks like the most probable path. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will continue to push higher, possibly breaking upper resistance near $550/493.
As I suggested in this video, I believe the upward price trend bias will continue into Friday (4-25) and suddenly shift into a BEARISH price trend/bias early next week.
The May 2-5 Major Bottom cycle low, my research predicts, will happen and should prompt a fairly strong downward price trend as we near the end of April and head into early May.
Gold and Silver will likely consolidate a bit over the next 24-48 hours. So, this is a great time to pick lower entry price levels for LONGS/CALLS.
Ultimately, I'm still expecting Gold to rally above $3750 before the end of May and attempt to target $4500++ before the end of June.
BTCUSD is moving into a potential "INVALIDATION" phase. Although I'm currently estimating the probability of that invalidation at about 20-30%, it is still a valid price trend.
I believe BTCUSD will shift into a downward price trend as the markets continue to unwind excesses through the May, July, and October lows, according to my cycles.
The big opportunity for traders over the next 48 hours is playing the upward trend bias in the SPY/QQQ - then moving into a mode of preparation for next week's breakdown/downward price trend in the SPY/QQQ.
So, play it smart. Follow the chart and don't try to be a superhero.
Play what is in front of you and prepare for the bigger price swings headed into next week and beyond.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 32.755will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 33.182 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAU/USD) orderblok key Support Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot against USD (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Price Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around the 3,355–3,365 level.
Demand/Support Zone (Doer Block Support Level): Around 3,282–3,291.
2. Current Price Action:
Price is currently at $3,331.96, close to the supply zone, and bouncing between the zones.
There’s a sharp downtrend, which seems to be slowing down near the support level.
3. Projected Move:
The chart suggests a short-term dip back into the demand/support zone, followed by a bullish reversal.
Target Point: A move back up toward $3,498.36, which is marked as a significant resistance.
4. Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 36.64 and recovering, suggesting potential bullish divergence or an oversold condition.
200 EMA: Around $3,291.52, providing dynamic support — aligning with the lower demand zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Idea:
Buy Setup (Long Trade):
Entry: Near 3,282–3,291 (support zone).
Target: 3,498.36.
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~3,270).
Overall Idea:
This is a reversal-based setup. The price is expected to retest the support before launching a bullish leg toward the target. The confluence of the EMA, support zone, and RSI near oversold adds weight to the potential for a bounce.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)