WTIUSD Building a Base – Bullish Reversal Setup Above $58?# WTIUSD
**Instrument:** WTIUSD
**Current Price:** Around $60
**Bias:** Bullish (Reversal)
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**Analysis:**
WTI is showing signs of a potential **trend reversal** after forming a solid base near the $53.8 level, marked as the **invalidation zone**. Price has reclaimed the $58.3 support level and appears to be preparing for a bullish continuation, especially if it forms a higher low near this level.
A sustained move above $58.3 followed by bullish structure could open the door toward **$70.0** and possibly even **$75.0** in the medium term.
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**Key Levels:**
- **Support:** $58.292
- **Invalidation:** $53.828 (price closing below would negate the setup)
- **Bullish Targets:** $70.0 – $75.0
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**Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):**
Look for confirmation of support holding above $58.3 and potential bullish momentum for entries. Invalid if price breaks and closes below $53.8.
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> **Disclaimer:**
> This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
Commodities
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔
1. Newswise 📰
Tariffwar:
Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions.
Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates:
President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉
The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐
In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️
War in Ukraine remains tense:
Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨
Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥
India–Pakistan Conflict:
Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍
2. Technicalwise 📊
1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern
15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern
That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫
Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes:
- 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️
- 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️
- 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️
- 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️
- 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️
- 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️
Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐
5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”)
→ These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️
1d (55 – “Up”)
→ On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈
Overall Meaning 🧠
This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄
Possible Strategy Consideration 💡
If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊
My Bias 🤔
Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉
If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
GOLD Rising Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is making a nice bearish
Correction and will soon hit
A rising support line at which point
Gold will be trading at a 10% discount
Giving us a great entry point
To ride the coming bullish wave
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$UNG starting to accumulate a position. Swing TradeBuilding a position in unleveraged natural gas AMEX:UNG in $13-14's
Divergence on price/RSI.
Falling Wedge
Would like to see price get over and hold above daily 50MA
Will likely update once that is achieved
After 50MA is achieved and held, breakout the wedge and target the 200MA daily for profit.
Add on down days and be very patient with this one
Crude oil is extremely bullish.I see a very similar market structure in crude oil’s big picture as in the early days of Bitcoin. People will say, “But what about electric cars?”—yet few realize that over 6,000 products are made with oil. Not to mention, long-term oil use isn't going anywhere, even with the rise of electric vehicles.
I believe oil is actually very undervalued and has been repressed for many years. It can't be held down forever—a big upward move is pretty much inevitable.
As always, stay profitable.
- Dalin Anderson
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 15:
I. Analysis of news
Short-term pressure factors
Fed policy expectations: The market's expectations for the Fed to maintain high interest rates have strengthened (especially after the release of April CPI data), and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
US-China trade easing: The rebound in risk appetite has weakened the safe-haven demand for gold, but the impact is limited, and we need to pay attention to subsequent progress.
Global inflation signal: If US inflation data (such as PCE) falls in the future, it may ease hawkish expectations and provide support for gold.
Long-term support factors
Geopolitical risks: Potential risks such as the situation in the Middle East and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine still exist, and safe-haven buying may return at any time.
Central bank gold purchase demand: Central banks of various countries (especially emerging markets) continue to increase their holdings of gold, which has long-term support for gold prices.
II. Technical analysis
Daily level
Short-selling dominance: The big negative line fell below the lower Bollinger track, MACD dead cross and large volume, RSI is close to oversold (42.99), and there may be a rebound correction in the short term, but the trend is bearish.
Key positions:
Resistance: 3200-3210 (top and bottom conversion position), 3230 (5-day moving average).
Support: 3170-3160 (short-term psychological barrier), 3140 (March low).
4-hour level
Downward channel continuation: moving averages are arranged in short positions, MACD crosses below the zero axis, but be alert to the possibility of bottom divergence.
Operation signal: If it rebounds to around 3200 and is under pressure, you can arrange short orders. If it falls sharply to below 3160 without breaking, you can lightly position and bet on a rebound.
3. Operation strategy
Short-term:
Short orders: Enter the market in the 3200-3210 area, stop loss above 3220, target 3170-3160.
Long orders: Try to stabilize around 3160, stop loss below 3150, target 3180-3190 (quick in and out).
Mid-term: If it falls below 3160, look down to 3140-3120; if it stands at 3230, short orders need to be cautious.
IV. Risk Warning
Focus on data:
US April PPI (May 14), retail sales (May 15), speeches by Fed officials.
Sudden news of geopolitical situation may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations.
Position management: The current volatility is amplified, and it is recommended to hold a light position + strict stop loss.
V. Summary
Gold is subject to the hawkish expectations of the Fed in the short term, and the technical side is short-term dominant, but it is necessary to be vigilant against rebound corrections after oversold. Investors need to respond flexibly based on data and events, give priority to high-altitude and cautiously buy at the bottom. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty and central bank gold purchase demand will continue to provide support for gold.
USOIL UPDATEweek hit its largest since the week of March 7, 2025. The EIA crude oil inventory for the week stood at 3.454 million barrels, contrasting with the expected -1.078 million barrels and the previous figure of -2.032 million barrels.
On Wednesday, crude oil exhibited a high-range oscillatory pattern: it stabilized and rebounded near $62.7, then pulled back after reaching $63.6, maintaining volatility within a narrow upper range. Influenced by the large bullish candlestick on the daily chart, oil prices still carry an upward probability.
Overall, crude oil remains in a bullish consolidation phase. For trading strategies, a "buy low, sell high" approach is recommended, with resistance levels to watch at $63.6–64.5 and support levels at $62.7–61.2.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,183.66 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,208.13 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.229 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 31.986.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s the latest follow-up on our weekly chart setup and as anticipated, it’s playing out as analysed with the test into the top of our Goldturn Ascending Channel and rejection.
Price tested the upper boundary but failed to secure a sustained breakout. The EMA5 did not cross and lock outside the channel, signaling a lack of confirmation for bullish continuation. Instead, the top of the channel acted as a clean resistance zone, resulting in a firm rejection.
We are now seeing price pull back toward our identified support zones at 3281 and 3189, of which price can slowly align with the channel’s midline with either price finding support here, or we look for it to gradually sync up with the half-line of the channel for structural support.
As always, patience and precision are key. We'll continue using the 1H and 4H timeframes to buy dips on retracements into these support zones, targeting clean 30–40 pip moves. These levels and pullbacks offer ideal opportunities, especially in ranging conditions where our Goldturn method truly shines.
This is exactly why we rely on our Goldturn Channels, our proprietary system built on weighted averages. It filters the noise, helps us spot real breakouts vs. fake-outs, and gives us the confidence to act with clarity and discipline.
Thanks again for all the support, your likes, comments and follows.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
WTI Crude Oil: Trade Idea Context and SetupOur Long trade idea has already reached its target at 5921.75 in ES futures.
If you missed it, here’s a link to our article from the start of the week:
Note that, our entry was at 5861, while our stop was at 5837 in the example trade idea. The maximum low price was 5835.75 during Monday’s overnight session. Our stops could have been filled given this, however, we want to remind traders that these example trade ideas are for educational purposes, they are not a recommendation. Stops are never meant to dictate exact stop prices. Trader’s should place their stops according to their own risk management plan whether that be a mix of fixed dollar amount and market structure or filtering down to execution time frames to place stops per market generated information and structure.
Today’s Trade Idea: WTI Crude Oil
We will analyze the Long trade idea in WTI Crude Oil, providing both context and setup.
Fundamental Analysis Supporting Our Scenario:
Following the reciprocal tariff announcements, WTI Crude Oil fell to its lowest level of 54.48, a price last seen in 2023.
While equity markets have recovered, crude oil remains subdued—widely attributed to concerns over OPEC+ overproduction.
However, as we’ve previously explained, this interpretation is incorrect. The OPEC+ production increases were planned as early as December 2024, and the rollback of voluntary cuts is primarily aimed at meeting domestic demand within OPEC+ countries.
This uptick in consumption also coincides with seasonal demand from summer and the Hajj pilgrimage in Saudi Arabia.
Additionally, with the reversal of China’s escalatory tariffs and newly signed deals in the Middle East, many analysts have revised their GDP and recession forecasts upward.
We believe this improved economic outlook is yet to be priced in by the oil markets.
Technical Analysis Supporting Our Scenario:
From a technical standpoint, there is a significant resistance zone and key Low Volume Node (LVN) stacked just above the 2025 mCVAL and Q2 2025 mCVAH. The March 2025 Low also sits just above this cluster.
Our analysis projects a potential move from these levels up to the next major area of stacked levels:
• AVWAP from 2025 High
• Yearly 2025 VWAP
• 2025 Mid-Range
This sets the stage for a potential long opportunity in WTI Crude Oil as markets begin to price in shifting fundamentals and technical conditions align.
Key Levels:
• 2025 mCVAL: 63.38
• Q2 2025 mCVAH: 63.21
• AVWAP from 2025 Hi: 66.70
• Yearly 2025 VWAP: 67.44
• 2025- Mid Range: 66.52
Example Long Trade Idea: Probing Liquidity
Time frame: 1 hour or 30 mins
• Entry: 63.50
• Stop: 62.90
• Target 1: 64.37
• Target 2: 66.70
• Risk: 120 ticks
• Reward: 407 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.4R
Important Notes:
• Note that DOE inventories numbers are scheduled today at 10.30 am ET. Watch your risk amid volatility caused by this economic release.
• These are example trade ideas and not financial advice or recommendations.
• The trade idea considers 2 contracts to calculate risk and reward.
• Traders should conduct independent analysis and ensure proper risk management.
• Stop-loss orders are not guaranteed; slippage may occur, resulting in losses beyond predefined levels.
• AVWAP levels are accurate at the time of posting, they may vary as indicator further calculates prices with new volume and price information.
Glossary Index for all technical terms used:
VAL: Value Area Low
VAH: Value Area High
VP: Volume Profile
AVP: Anchored Volume Profile
C: Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP)
mC: micro-Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP)
AVWAP: Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price
NYMEX:CL1!
Gold Testing PRZ & Resistance Zone-Short Opportunity? Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved according to yesterday's analysis and the position that was Risk-To-Reward:1.61 and hit the target of this position. Do you think Gold will continue its correction, or should we wait for the next gold rally to start?
Gold is trading in the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the Resistance lines .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , it seems possible that an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern could form.
Educational note : An Ascending Broadening Wedge is a bearish technical pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows that expand over time. It signals increasing volatility and weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be in corrective waves in the 15-minute time frame .
I expect Gold to decline at least to the Support lines again , at least I think you can find a good Risk-To-Reward in PRZ for short positions .
Note: If Gold touches $3,292 [ Worst Stop Loss(SL) ], we can expect further gains.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Double Top pattern on the daily chart. After hitting an all-time high near $3,500, the metal has entered a sharp correction phase and is now hovering dangerously close to key psychological support at $3,200.
Technical Analysis Breakdown:
A clear Double Top pattern is forming on the Daily (D1) chart, with two peaks near the same resistance level — a classical bearish signal indicating bullish exhaustion.
If today’s daily candle closes below the $3,200 level, we could see a rapid decline toward $3,000 in the short to medium term.
The neckline for this pattern aligns with the critical support zone between 3196–3200, which is the key area to monitor for potential breakdown confirmation.
What’s the Smart Money Doing?
Investors are currently pulling out of gold and rotating into higher-risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies, looking for higher yields and growth potential.
This shift in investment suggests that the current sell-off might not just be a technical correction, but also a sign of changing macro sentiment — particularly if the Fed continues with a hawkish stance and delays rate cuts.
Suggested Trade Scenarios:
🔻 If Daily Close is Below $3,200:
High probability sell setup based on the Double Top pattern
Potential downside targets: 3120 → 3050 → 3000
🔺 If Price Holds Above $3,200 and Bounces:
Watch for a retracement to 3250–3278 for potential reversal signals
Short-term BUY scalp towards 3300–3320 with a tight SL below 3190
What to Watch This Week:
Keep an eye on key US economic data, including CPI, PPI, and a Fed Chair speech, which could cause significant volatility.
The market is highly reactive right now — avoid emotional trades and wait for clear confirmation from the charts.
Risk management is essential, especially during these uncertain times.
Final Thoughts:
The Double Top pattern on Gold is becoming a significant technical signal for a potential trend reversal. A confirmed break below $3,200 could open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,000.
📣 Stay connected with AD for more real-time updates, technical insights, and trading setups during every market session.
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3189.8
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 3179.7
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3207.3
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HelenP. I Gold can decline to trend line and then start to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price after several failed attempts holds in a support zone. The structure of this correction has formed beneath the previously broken trend line, and the price is now approaching it from above. What’s important is that buyers previously stepped in around this level, forming a bounce that allowed the market to reach toward the resistance zone near 3350. This area still remains unbroken, making it a magnet for future bullish targets. Currently, price action shows signs of local weakness, but the broader context favors a potential rebound. The confluence between the horizontal support zone and the descending trend line adds extra technical weight to this level. If price can stabilize here, I expect a retest of 3205, and a potential breakout above it could open the way toward my goal at 3260. This scenario assumes continued respect of the trend line as dynamic support. A clean bounce from it would signal renewed bullish interest, especially if backed by momentum on lower timeframes. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist: Thief Style Long Entry Plan!🌍 Greetings, global treasure hunters! Ciao! Salaam! Salut! Hola! 🌍
Attention, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 💸🦹♂️
Crafted with the slick Thief Trading Style—a blend of sharp technicals and cunning fundamentals—here’s our blueprint to raid the XNG/USD Natural Gas Energy Market. Follow the chart’s game plan, locked on a long entry. Our mission? Slip out near the perilous YELLOW ATR Zone—a high-stakes trap where overbought vibes, consolidation, or trend flips empower bearish rogues. 🎯💰 “Cash out and spoil yourself, crew—you’ve earned it!” 🥂🚀
Entry 1: “The safe’s cracked! Watch for the MA breakout at 3.750, then pounce—bullish loot awaits!”
Hot tip: Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or place buy limit orders at the latest 15/30-min swing low/high for pullback plays. 📣 Add a chart alert to nab the breakout!
Entry 2: “The caper’s live! Lurk for the MA pullback in the Grand Heist Zone at 3.300, then strike—fortune favors the bold!”
Stop Loss 🛑: “📢 Yo, crew, hear me out! 🗣️ If you’re jumping in with buy stop or limit orders, don’t set that stop loss until the breakout pops off. 💥 Play it safe and place it where I mark 📍, or go rogue if you’re feeling wild 😎—but don’t blame me if the market bites! ⚡ Your risk, your call.”
📍 Thief SL set at the nearest 4H swing low (3.400) or Grand Heist Zone SL at (3.100) for swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your trade risk, lot size, and multi-order strategy.
Target 🎯: 4.220—or ghost out early if the vibe shifts.
🧲 Scalpers, eyes up! 👀 Stick to long-side scalps. Got deep pockets? Dive in now. Otherwise, join the swing traders for the big heist. Use trailing SL to lock in your haul. 💵
⛽ XNG/USD Natural Gas is buzzing with bullish heat, fueled by key drivers. ☝📰 Dig into Fundamentals, Macro Trends, COT Reports, Inventory Data, Seasonal Patterns, Sentiment Vibes, Intermarket Insights, and Future Targets. Check the full scoop here 👉🔗
⚠️ Heist Alert: News & Position Defense 🗞️🚨
News drops can shake the market like a getaway chase. To protect your stash:
Skip new trades during news hours.
Use trailing stops to guard profits and secure your escape.
💎 Back our heist crew! 💥 Smash that Boost Button 💥 to fuel our money-grabbing spree. Join the Thief Trading Style squad and swipe profits daily with swagger. 🏆🤝🎉
Catch you at the next caper—stay sharp, bandits! 🤑😼🚀
Gold price plummeted below 3200, how should gold be deployed?🗞News side:
1. The rise in U.S. stocks is worrisome, and the risk of backlash is growing.
2. Pay attention to initial unemployment claims data
📈Technical aspects:
The US gold price fell below the key support of 3200. At present, the gold shorts continue to exert their strength and are expected to further test the support of 3170-3160, or even the previous key point of 3150. Before the market trend becomes clear, it is not recommended for brothers to enter the market at will. If the gold price successfully touches the support area below and obtains strong support, then enter the market to do more.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 14.05.2025Market Structure:
Gold was previously trading within an ascending channel but has broken below the channel, indicating possible bearish momentum. Price is currently hovering around the 3,234–3,238 retest zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Channel Re-entry Zone: 3,235 – 3,238
Resistance Above: 3,258 and 3,278 (next major target)
Support Below: 3,207 (recent low); break below opens up 3,190 and 3,175 zones
Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: M30 or H1 candle closes inside the channel above 3,238
Target 1: 3,258
Target 2: 3,278
Invalidation: M30/H1 closes back below 3,235 after re-entry
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 3,235–3,238 zone and forms rejection wicks / bearish engulfing
Target 1: 3,207
Target 2: 3,190–3,175 (if 3,207 fails)
Invalidation: Strong bullish candle closes above 3,238 with follow-through
🕒 Trading Tip:
Wait for confirmation via M30/H1 candle closes – do not jump in on first wick. Patience pays off in breakout-retest situations.
Kindly follow, comment and support.
Crude oil------sell near 65.00, target 63.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
Gold has been moving recently, and crude oil has also moved with it. Yesterday's crude oil daily line closed with a big positive, and is currently testing the big pass near 65.00 on the weekly line. If this position is broken, we will be bullish on the long-term trend of crude oil. Today's crude oil idea is to rebound in the short term, and the general trend is bearish. Consider selling when it approaches 65.00 for the first time. 61.30 is the buying and receiving position. Pay attention to the inventory changes of crude oil later.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil------sell near 65.00, target 63.00-62.00
Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off: Is a Reversal on the Horizon? Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off After Initial Bounce – Is a Reversal Looming?
Gold opened the day with a slight uptick, only to be quickly slammed down, reflecting the current weakness in buying power. The market is reacting to news in flashes, quickly reversing direction — slow on the way up, but fast on the way down. This is the perfect reflection of a market losing confidence in any recovery trend.
🧐 Is This a Sign That Gold Is Heading Towards a Strong Reversal Zone?
📌 Support Zones to Monitor:
3222 – 3220: Short-term cushion. If this fails, expect further downward pressure.
3206 (M30): Next level of defense where technical reactions may occur.
⏳ Caution: Early European session tends to show strong volatility. If no clear signs of a bounce, be cautious of sudden sharp drops.
As for the trade negotiations, the developments around tariffs have been much more positive recently. Most news points toward further downside pressure on Gold, and it seems to be staying in the downward price channel. The price zones are not much different from yesterday’s levels, so I’ll slightly adjust my entries for today.
Watch the Resistance Levels: They are key for shorting opportunities. The BUY setup still seems far off; it’s hard to pick a good entry with resistance zones appearing everywhere right now. Don't rush into BUY positions just yet!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3244 – 3262 – 3278 – 3290 – 3308 – 3330
📊 Key Support Levels:
3216 – 3206 – 3194 – 3170 – 3158
🎯 Scalping BUY Zones:
BUY SCALP: 3196 – 3194
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
BUY ZONE: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
🎯 Scalping SELL Zones:
SELL SCALP: 3257 – 3259
SL: 3263
TP: 3253 – 3250 – 3246 – 3242 – 3238 – 3235 – 3230 – 3220
SELL ZONE: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3262 – 3258 – 3254 – 3250 – 3240 – 3230
🔎 Key Insights:
The market is moving in a tight range, but gold continues to hold below significant resistance. As the geopolitical situation stabilizes and tariff talks improve, any sudden price reversals will be important to monitor. The FOMC meeting and global developments will play key roles in shaping the future trend for gold.
💡 Conclusion:
Gold is facing a strong sell-off after testing key resistance. Focus on shorting at key resistance zones and be cautious with any buys until a clearer upward trend forms. Stay disciplined, watch the support levels carefully, and manage your trades well!
Gold Selloff Continues as US–China 90-Day Deal Adds PressureGold did not respond well to the new 90-day deal between China and the U.S. On top of the India–Pakistan ceasefire, starting Ukraine–Russia ceasefire negotiations, Hamas–U.S. talks, and nuclear discussions with Iran, several developments are reducing global risk and weakening safe haven demand.
Many fundamental factors are starting to turn against gold. One of the key signs is the heavy profit-taking seen in the "managed money" positions in the COT report in the last several weeks. These developments are now starting to show in the price action.
The "weak double top" pattern, which is one of gold’s go-to reversal signals at major tops, gave the first warning. Since then, local support levels have been falling one by one. Gold is now testing the 3,200 level, which is expected to act as support. However, if this level breaks, the next target could be in the 3,145–3,170 range. The main medium-term target for a deeper correction remains around 3,000.
For any strong upward reaction, bulls should watch the 3,270–3,290 zone. If gold bounces from 3,200, this area could offer strong resistance and potentially cap further upside.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025Short-Term Bias: Bullish retracement toward premium zones
Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → forming potential bullish leg inside retracement
🔍 Recent Price Action (H4 Insight):
Clear CHoCH on H4 above 3292 → short-term structure flipped bullish.
Last impulsive leg pushed price into the 3330–3345 zone before rejecting slightly — signs of near-term resistance.
EMA5 and EMA21 are crossing upward, with price trying to retest EMA21 for a bounce.
Next H4 candle closure is critical — either holds 3290 for continuation or re-tests deeper zone.
📌 Key H4 Zones
Zone / Level Description
3380–3395 🔺 H4 FVG + OB zone – major near-term premium resistance (also Daily level)
3340–3345 🔁 H4 internal resistance – Friday top, low-volume gap area
3314–3318 🔁 Micro H4 imbalance – intraday fill zone
3284–3292 ✅ H4 CHoCH + OB – current bullish base, critical to hold
3250–3265 🔵 Deep demand – final intraday bounce zone before HTF demand
These levels will be your H4 battle zones — where price is likely to bounce, reverse, or accelerate depending on confirmation.
🔁 Potential Flow on Monday:
Bullish scenario:
If price holds 3284–3292 → intraday targets = 3318 → 3340 → 3380.
Clean structure = higher low + EMA support confluence.
Bearish scenario:
If price loses 3284 → could test 3250–3265. Only below this would invalidate current H4 bullish flow.
⚠️ Confluence Check:
EMAs: EMA5 crossing up through EMA21 → short-term bullish momentum building
Liquidity: Buy-side above 3345 → price may attempt sweep if supported
FVGs: Still unfilled gaps between 3314 and 3380 → magnet zones for bullish flow
CHoCH: Valid on 3284 → first HL attempt happening now
🧠 H4 Summary (for May 12):
Type Zone Reaction Potential
Resistance 3380–3395 Strong rejection possible
3340–3345 May slow price if volume weak
Support 3284–3292 Critical bullish structure zone
3250–3265 Breaker block zone (last bounce before HTF demand)
💬 Final Word to the Community:
Gold may have paused its moon mission at 3500, but the engines are refueling. Monday’s battle will be all about 3284 — hold it, and bulls might just take flight toward 3380. Lose it, and we buckle in for a deeper dip.
🟡 Whether you’re team buy-the-dip or wait-for-the-fade… stay sharp, stay patient, and always follow structure.
Like what you see? Drop a comment, tag a gold friend, and follow GoldFxMinds to never miss the real flow. 🧠⚡
XAU/USD - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3321
2nd Resistance – 3364
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