Oil - Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 25th I shared this "Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Higher"
I expected to see retraces and further continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bullish move delivered as expected!!!
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Commodities
Gold - Looking To Buy Dips In The Short TermH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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GOLD - 1H UPDATEGold is still sitting above the previous 'Wave 4 low' which shows not internal structure has been broken to the downside. Until that low is broken, there's nothing indicating a sell off is yet to take place, so it's possible we could see another push up, after SOME CONSOLIDATION. This is known as a 'redistribution phase'.
We also have the Zionist puppet Donald Trump announcing more Tariffs later on more countries, so expect some market volatility across the board.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-2 : GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests price may attempt to move downward in early trading, trying to find support near recent lows, then potentially roll a bit higher.
I do expect price to move into a downward price trend - attempting to break below the 549 price level and targeting the 535-545 target Fib level this week.
Today, Thursday, and Friday are all GAP/Breakaway types of patterns. So we should be entering an expansion of price trend and I believe that trend will be to the downside.
Gold and Silver are nearing a Flag Apex level. Very exciting for a potential breakout rally driving Gold up above $3250 and Silver up above $36.
I personally believe there is nothing stopping Gold and Silver in this rally phase until Gold reaches levels above $4500. GET SOME.
BTCUSD had a very interesting spike low. I still believe BTCUSD will roll downward - targeting the $76-78k level, then break downward towards the $60k level. Time will tell.
The rest of this week should be very exciting with the Breakaway and GAP patterns.
Get some.
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Crude oil---Buy near 70.60, target 71.90-76.00Crude oil market analysis:
Today's crude oil is still bought at a low price, and short-term bulls have started. Yesterday, gold fell in the US market, but did not fall in the Asian market, but repaired at a high level. The strong support of the daily line has reached 70.00, and the small support is 70.50. Today's idea is to find buying opportunities above 71.50. The daily moving average of crude oil is lined up, and there is still a lot of room for growth.
Fundamental analysis:
This week is a data week. Today, pay attention to the ADP employment data, which is the pre-agricultural data.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil---Buy near 70.60, target 71.90-76.00
BTC/USD: More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD: 2/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3150, support below 3053
Four-hour chart resistance 3150, support below 3113
One-hour chart resistance 3120, support below 3100
Gold news analysis: On Tuesday (April 1), spot gold continued to rise to new highs, reaching a high of $3148.94/ounce, and then dived 50$. On Monday (March 31) this week, the price of gold ushered in a new breakthrough, breaking through $3100/ounce, and rose by $100 in just one week. Multiple factors such as trade concerns, a weaker dollar and falling bond yields have driven the price of gold to rise, making it one of the most eye-catching commodities in 2025. So far this year, the price of gold has risen by 18.3%. Gold has received further support amid a sharp drop in the Nasdaq index, as investors are nervous about the tariff policy that the Trump administration will release on April 2. Trump recently announced that he would impose new tariffs on Russia and Iran. These policies are expected to have a wide impact on the global economy, causing investors to increase their allocation to safe-haven assets such as gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell back on the daily line and finally closed slightly lower. The sharp rise in the Asian session did not have a strong continuity. After the pressure near the high of 3148.50, the European and American sessions were mainly corrected by the decline. The market has fluctuated violently recently, and the adjustment space is large.
From the current trend analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the four-hour level near 3113, focusing on the 3100-3053 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to buy at a low level, waiting for the support to buy. Selling can only be entered at key points, short-term trading.
Buy: 3053near SL: 3049
Buy: 3100near SL: 3095
Sell: 3120near SL: 3125
USD/JPY : Bulls are coming back?! Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price precisely hit our previously forecasted target of 148.65 before declining further to 146.5. Following that, USDJPY rallied back up to 151 and is currently trading around 150.680. Should the price manage to stabilize above 150.5, we can anticipate further gains in this pair. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week.
In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound.
Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year.
In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2.
In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold - Price is at resistance with bearish RSI divergencePrice is at resistance with bearish RSI divergence (overbought at 72.39) and a potential double top forming. Volume is declining, indicating weakening momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 1, 3): The Stochastic is at 90.48, well into the overbought territory (above 80). This indicates that the price may be overextended and due for a pullback.
Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14): The RSI is at 72.39, also in the overbought zone (above 70). Additionally, there’s a bearish divergence—while the price made a higher high near $3,135.060, the RSI made a lower high, signaling weakening momentum.
Simple Moving Average (SMA, 14, 2) on RSI: The RSI’s SMA is at 68.05, showing that the RSI is still elevated but trending downward, supporting the bearish divergence.
Resistance Rejection: The price is failing to break through the $3,132.528–$3,135.060 resistance zone, as evidenced by the red circle showing a sharp rejection.
Bearish Divergence: The RSI (72.39) shows a bearish divergence, indicating that the upward momentum is fading despite the price hitting a higher high.
Overbought Indicators: Both the Stochastic (90.48) and RSI (72.39) are in overbought territory, suggesting the price is overextended and likely to correct.
Volume Decline: Decreasing volume on the recent push to resistance indicates a lack of buying conviction, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.
Double Top Potential: The price action near $3,135.060 resembles a double top pattern, a bearish reversal setup, especially with the rejection at this level.
Monitor for Confirmation: Watch for a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing) on the 5-minute chart to confirm the reversal before entering the trade.
Risk Management: Only risk a small percentage of your account (e.g., 1-2%) on this trade. Adjust position size based on the stop loss distance.
+400 pips EURUSD swing trade setup V-shape recovery BUY LOW🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 0680
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 1180
🔸Status: pullback in progress
🔸0660/0680 normal pullback
🔸BULLS still maintain control
🔸Price Target Bears: 0660/0680
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1160/1180
📊 Forex Market Highlights – April 2nd, 2025
🚨 Traders await Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff
reveal at 20:00 GMT – markets holding breath
as global trade tensions escalate.
💷 GBP/USD Sluggish Above 1.2900
📉 Cable struggles to gain upside as USD
safe-haven demand kicks in pre-announcement.
🇪🇺 EUR/USD Pressured Below 1.0800
🔽 Euro weakens amid risk aversion and strong
dollar flows — key support at 1.0760 in focus.
🥇 Gold Shines Bright
🚀 Hits ATH above $3,100 amid rising risk-off
mood & global uncertainty. Safe haven demand surging.
🔔 Stay sharp — volatility ahead.
Gold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump’s TariffGold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump’s Tariff Announcement
As shown on the XAU/USD chart today, gold prices are fluctuating near their all-time high, set when the price of an ounce surpassed $3,140 for the first time in history.
Gold has risen by approximately 19% in the first three months of 2025.
Why Is Gold Rising?
On 2 April, traders' sentiment is driving gold prices higher in anticipation of US President Trump’s tariff announcements, expected later this evening.
This event enhances gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, as concerns grow that Trump’s aggressive trade policies could slow global economic growth and fuel inflation.
Additionally, media reports highlight strong demand for gold from central banks, while exchange-traded funds linked to the precious metal are seeing capital inflows from investors concerned about geopolitical uncertainty.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
Gold price movements have formed two ascending channels in 2025: a broader blue channel and a steeper purple channel.
Notably, gold is currently trading near the midpoints of both channels, indicating that supply and demand may have reached equilibrium after buyers broke through resistance around $3,088 (marked by an arrow).
It is likely that XAU/USD will exhibit low volatility until news about Trump’s tariffs emerges. This could trigger sharp price movements, with a potential test of the purple channel’s boundaries in the near future.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SILVER Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,378.2.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,425.6 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTI Oil H4 | Pullback support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 69.99 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 68.40 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 72.94 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Has gold entered a downward channel?Gold ended its continuous rise. The daily chart was blocked and fell back, falling to 3100. Technically, the gold price is still above 3078/3095 of MA7 and 5-day moving average. At the same time, MA10/7-day moving average still remains open upward, and the price is running on the upper track of the Bollinger Band.
The short-term four-hour moving average narrowed, and the price was running near the MA10-day moving average at 3123. The price retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3101/3104. The RSI indicator turned downward after touching the overbought value above 80 yesterday. The hourly moving average is glued together, and the price returns to the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band. Gold is expected to continue to expand its operating range during the day. It is recommended to buy at a low level after the correction and be cautious in chasing the rise. Consider selling after the key resistance level or historical high.
Once Trump's tariff policy is implemented, pay attention to the high and low prices in the gold and silver market, which may usher in a substantial downward adjustment. On the contrary, if Trump continues to announce new tariff policies on the basis of the original tariff policy, gold needs to pay attention to triggering risk aversion and causing a sharp rise or a record high again.
Gold surged higher in the US market yesterday and is stagnant. Bulls are under short-term pressure and may enter an adjustment cycle. In the short-term, gold is expected to fall and adjust! Yesterday, gold rose first and then fell, rising to 3149 and then falling. The European market fluctuated narrowly. From the technical indicators, the 2-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, MACD dead cross and large volume, and the Bollinger band closed. The US market continued to decline after the shock, and currently fell below the 3120 intraday watershed. In the short term, it means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and started to retrace and adjust.
After yesterday's retracement, today's Asian market quickly rose to 3135.7. With the increase in volume on the hourly chart, it corrected the decline with 3150 as the high point. The fluctuation range was large and the adjustment speed was fast. The current position is too risky to chase the rise. Although shorting is against the trend, the implementation of technically overbought tariffs will also be realized, and there will be more room for profit-taking and downward adjustments. Buying and selling opportunities coexist.
Key points:
First support: 3115, second support: 3102, third support: 3093
First resistance: 3138, second resistance: 3150, third resistance: 3200
Operation ideas:
Buy; 3110-3113, SL: 3102, TP: 3140-3150;
Sell; 3143-3145, stop SL: 3154, TP: 3120-3110;