XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist: Thief Style Long Entry Plan!🌍 Greetings, global treasure hunters! Ciao! Salaam! Salut! Hola! 🌍
Attention, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 💸🦹♂️
Crafted with the slick Thief Trading Style—a blend of sharp technicals and cunning fundamentals—here’s our blueprint to raid the XNG/USD Natural Gas Energy Market. Follow the chart’s game plan, locked on a long entry. Our mission? Slip out near the perilous YELLOW ATR Zone—a high-stakes trap where overbought vibes, consolidation, or trend flips empower bearish rogues. 🎯💰 “Cash out and spoil yourself, crew—you’ve earned it!” 🥂🚀
Entry 1: “The safe’s cracked! Watch for the MA breakout at 3.750, then pounce—bullish loot awaits!”
Hot tip: Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or place buy limit orders at the latest 15/30-min swing low/high for pullback plays. 📣 Add a chart alert to nab the breakout!
Entry 2: “The caper’s live! Lurk for the MA pullback in the Grand Heist Zone at 3.300, then strike—fortune favors the bold!”
Stop Loss 🛑: “📢 Yo, crew, hear me out! 🗣️ If you’re jumping in with buy stop or limit orders, don’t set that stop loss until the breakout pops off. 💥 Play it safe and place it where I mark 📍, or go rogue if you’re feeling wild 😎—but don’t blame me if the market bites! ⚡ Your risk, your call.”
📍 Thief SL set at the nearest 4H swing low (3.400) or Grand Heist Zone SL at (3.100) for swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your trade risk, lot size, and multi-order strategy.
Target 🎯: 4.220—or ghost out early if the vibe shifts.
🧲 Scalpers, eyes up! 👀 Stick to long-side scalps. Got deep pockets? Dive in now. Otherwise, join the swing traders for the big heist. Use trailing SL to lock in your haul. 💵
⛽ XNG/USD Natural Gas is buzzing with bullish heat, fueled by key drivers. ☝📰 Dig into Fundamentals, Macro Trends, COT Reports, Inventory Data, Seasonal Patterns, Sentiment Vibes, Intermarket Insights, and Future Targets. Check the full scoop here 👉🔗
⚠️ Heist Alert: News & Position Defense 🗞️🚨
News drops can shake the market like a getaway chase. To protect your stash:
Skip new trades during news hours.
Use trailing stops to guard profits and secure your escape.
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Commodities
Gold price plummeted below 3200, how should gold be deployed?🗞News side:
1. The rise in U.S. stocks is worrisome, and the risk of backlash is growing.
2. Pay attention to initial unemployment claims data
📈Technical aspects:
The US gold price fell below the key support of 3200. At present, the gold shorts continue to exert their strength and are expected to further test the support of 3170-3160, or even the previous key point of 3150. Before the market trend becomes clear, it is not recommended for brothers to enter the market at will. If the gold price successfully touches the support area below and obtains strong support, then enter the market to do more.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 14.05.2025Market Structure:
Gold was previously trading within an ascending channel but has broken below the channel, indicating possible bearish momentum. Price is currently hovering around the 3,234–3,238 retest zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Channel Re-entry Zone: 3,235 – 3,238
Resistance Above: 3,258 and 3,278 (next major target)
Support Below: 3,207 (recent low); break below opens up 3,190 and 3,175 zones
Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: M30 or H1 candle closes inside the channel above 3,238
Target 1: 3,258
Target 2: 3,278
Invalidation: M30/H1 closes back below 3,235 after re-entry
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
Entry Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 3,235–3,238 zone and forms rejection wicks / bearish engulfing
Target 1: 3,207
Target 2: 3,190–3,175 (if 3,207 fails)
Invalidation: Strong bullish candle closes above 3,238 with follow-through
🕒 Trading Tip:
Wait for confirmation via M30/H1 candle closes – do not jump in on first wick. Patience pays off in breakout-retest situations.
Kindly follow, comment and support.
Crude oil------sell near 65.00, target 63.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
Gold has been moving recently, and crude oil has also moved with it. Yesterday's crude oil daily line closed with a big positive, and is currently testing the big pass near 65.00 on the weekly line. If this position is broken, we will be bullish on the long-term trend of crude oil. Today's crude oil idea is to rebound in the short term, and the general trend is bearish. Consider selling when it approaches 65.00 for the first time. 61.30 is the buying and receiving position. Pay attention to the inventory changes of crude oil later.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil------sell near 65.00, target 63.00-62.00
Gold’s Make-or-Break Level: $3167 Is the Key to the Next MoveGold Spot is sitting at a critical inflection point — and if you’ve been watching the charts, you know exactly where the pressure is building: the $3167 zone.
This level has acted as a mid-term support floor, cushioning gold’s recent corrections and providing bulls with a lifeline. But that cushion is now getting thinner, and if price action breaks below this area decisively, the implications could be sharply bearish.
👀Why $3167 Matters👀
Take a look at the recent structure. Every bounce, every bullish attempt in the past week, has leaned on $3167. It's not just some random line — it’s where buyers have consistently stepped in to defend.
But now? The bounces are getting weaker. Volume’s fading. And price is consolidating right above support — never a good sign.
If gold breaks $3167 and closes below it, expect an acceleration to the downside. Momentum traders will likely pile in, and we could see a quick slide into the $3075–3052 zone, where the next real demand sits.
✨What I’m Watching✨
A clean hourly candle close below $3167 — ideally with follow-through volume.
Any retest of $3167 after a breakdown could offer a textbook entry for shorts.
🎁The Bearish Scenario
If the break happens, I’ll be targeting $3052 for the first bounce. That’s where previous accumulation kicked in — and it lines up with a cluster of reaction lows from late April. It’s also a psychological round number and a potential spot for intraday reversal plays.
Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off: Is a Reversal on the Horizon? Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off After Initial Bounce – Is a Reversal Looming?
Gold opened the day with a slight uptick, only to be quickly slammed down, reflecting the current weakness in buying power. The market is reacting to news in flashes, quickly reversing direction — slow on the way up, but fast on the way down. This is the perfect reflection of a market losing confidence in any recovery trend.
🧐 Is This a Sign That Gold Is Heading Towards a Strong Reversal Zone?
📌 Support Zones to Monitor:
3222 – 3220: Short-term cushion. If this fails, expect further downward pressure.
3206 (M30): Next level of defense where technical reactions may occur.
⏳ Caution: Early European session tends to show strong volatility. If no clear signs of a bounce, be cautious of sudden sharp drops.
As for the trade negotiations, the developments around tariffs have been much more positive recently. Most news points toward further downside pressure on Gold, and it seems to be staying in the downward price channel. The price zones are not much different from yesterday’s levels, so I’ll slightly adjust my entries for today.
Watch the Resistance Levels: They are key for shorting opportunities. The BUY setup still seems far off; it’s hard to pick a good entry with resistance zones appearing everywhere right now. Don't rush into BUY positions just yet!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3244 – 3262 – 3278 – 3290 – 3308 – 3330
📊 Key Support Levels:
3216 – 3206 – 3194 – 3170 – 3158
🎯 Scalping BUY Zones:
BUY SCALP: 3196 – 3194
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
BUY ZONE: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
🎯 Scalping SELL Zones:
SELL SCALP: 3257 – 3259
SL: 3263
TP: 3253 – 3250 – 3246 – 3242 – 3238 – 3235 – 3230 – 3220
SELL ZONE: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3262 – 3258 – 3254 – 3250 – 3240 – 3230
🔎 Key Insights:
The market is moving in a tight range, but gold continues to hold below significant resistance. As the geopolitical situation stabilizes and tariff talks improve, any sudden price reversals will be important to monitor. The FOMC meeting and global developments will play key roles in shaping the future trend for gold.
💡 Conclusion:
Gold is facing a strong sell-off after testing key resistance. Focus on shorting at key resistance zones and be cautious with any buys until a clearer upward trend forms. Stay disciplined, watch the support levels carefully, and manage your trades well!
Gold Selloff Continues as US–China 90-Day Deal Adds PressureGold did not respond well to the new 90-day deal between China and the U.S. On top of the India–Pakistan ceasefire, starting Ukraine–Russia ceasefire negotiations, Hamas–U.S. talks, and nuclear discussions with Iran, several developments are reducing global risk and weakening safe haven demand.
Many fundamental factors are starting to turn against gold. One of the key signs is the heavy profit-taking seen in the "managed money" positions in the COT report in the last several weeks. These developments are now starting to show in the price action.
The "weak double top" pattern, which is one of gold’s go-to reversal signals at major tops, gave the first warning. Since then, local support levels have been falling one by one. Gold is now testing the 3,200 level, which is expected to act as support. However, if this level breaks, the next target could be in the 3,145–3,170 range. The main medium-term target for a deeper correction remains around 3,000.
For any strong upward reaction, bulls should watch the 3,270–3,290 zone. If gold bounces from 3,200, this area could offer strong resistance and potentially cap further upside.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – Monday, May 12, 2025Short-Term Bias: Bullish retracement toward premium zones
Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → forming potential bullish leg inside retracement
🔍 Recent Price Action (H4 Insight):
Clear CHoCH on H4 above 3292 → short-term structure flipped bullish.
Last impulsive leg pushed price into the 3330–3345 zone before rejecting slightly — signs of near-term resistance.
EMA5 and EMA21 are crossing upward, with price trying to retest EMA21 for a bounce.
Next H4 candle closure is critical — either holds 3290 for continuation or re-tests deeper zone.
📌 Key H4 Zones
Zone / Level Description
3380–3395 🔺 H4 FVG + OB zone – major near-term premium resistance (also Daily level)
3340–3345 🔁 H4 internal resistance – Friday top, low-volume gap area
3314–3318 🔁 Micro H4 imbalance – intraday fill zone
3284–3292 ✅ H4 CHoCH + OB – current bullish base, critical to hold
3250–3265 🔵 Deep demand – final intraday bounce zone before HTF demand
These levels will be your H4 battle zones — where price is likely to bounce, reverse, or accelerate depending on confirmation.
🔁 Potential Flow on Monday:
Bullish scenario:
If price holds 3284–3292 → intraday targets = 3318 → 3340 → 3380.
Clean structure = higher low + EMA support confluence.
Bearish scenario:
If price loses 3284 → could test 3250–3265. Only below this would invalidate current H4 bullish flow.
⚠️ Confluence Check:
EMAs: EMA5 crossing up through EMA21 → short-term bullish momentum building
Liquidity: Buy-side above 3345 → price may attempt sweep if supported
FVGs: Still unfilled gaps between 3314 and 3380 → magnet zones for bullish flow
CHoCH: Valid on 3284 → first HL attempt happening now
🧠 H4 Summary (for May 12):
Type Zone Reaction Potential
Resistance 3380–3395 Strong rejection possible
3340–3345 May slow price if volume weak
Support 3284–3292 Critical bullish structure zone
3250–3265 Breaker block zone (last bounce before HTF demand)
💬 Final Word to the Community:
Gold may have paused its moon mission at 3500, but the engines are refueling. Monday’s battle will be all about 3284 — hold it, and bulls might just take flight toward 3380. Lose it, and we buckle in for a deeper dip.
🟡 Whether you’re team buy-the-dip or wait-for-the-fade… stay sharp, stay patient, and always follow structure.
Like what you see? Drop a comment, tag a gold friend, and follow GoldFxMinds to never miss the real flow. 🧠⚡
XAU/USD - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3321
2nd Resistance – 3364
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-14 : Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may attempt to stay somewhat elevated. The Carryover pattern is essentially a pattern saying, "expect more of the same type of trending today".
I would suggest the SPY/QQQ are somewhat extended and may pause a bit today.
I shared a chart I created back on March 23, 2025 that I found very interesting - showing a big rally in late-April/early-May. If that chart continues to be accurate - it suggests the markets may attempt a reversion move to the downside over the next 20-30+ days.
Time will tell if my predictions play out accurately or not.
Gold is moving into new BEARISH trending on the GOLD Cycle Patterns. After an extended consolidation phase in metals, this shift in the trend models was going to happen at some point.
Now, we need to see if Gold/Silver can hold above recent support or not. Even though I believe Gold/Silver are poised for another big rally, the disruptions related to the global economy and tariffs seems to have taken some of wind out of the sails of the metals rally (for now).
Bitcoin continues to lead the SPY/QQQ. Keep an eye on what BTCUSD does over the next 7-15+ days as I believe it will lead the US markets in trending (still).
Get some.
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Is gold about to break $3200 support?Gold has been trending lower amid growing risk appetite with stocks surging higher.
With no big bearish catalyst in sight for stocks, the market mood is optimistic and that means the pressure on gold is growing for a drop. The big macro driver has been a thaw in US-China trade tensions. With tariff rollbacks on both sides and negotiations showing real progress, investors are getting more comfortable. What’s more, Tuesday’s softer-than-expected US inflation print added fuel to the fire — calming nerves that Trump's trade tariffs would trigger a fresh inflation wave.
So, for now, sellers are in control of defensive plays like gold and yen, while the tech sector, especially chipmakers, is the main beneficiary.
Gold could potentially break THIS key support area around $3200 after making lower highs and lower lows on the intra-day charts. While the long-term trend is still bullish, I wouldn't be surprised if the bearish momentum continued for a few more days.
The first downside target is at 3136, followed by 3073 and then - the big level - 3,000. Could we see a drop to these levels in the coming days?
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
TA on WTI Oil - 2025.05.14Quick technical analysis on WTI oil.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Focus on 3200 for some support during the day🗞News side:
1. Sino-US tariffs have been eased
2. U.S. trade progress and focus on geopolitical risks
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday we gave a long trading strategy and have been waiting to see whether the gold price can touch our target point of 3270. However, gold did not fluctuate much after the opening of the Asian market, so I chose to manually close the position near 3256.
To be honest, the market did not fluctuate much today whether it was up or down, and it is still consolidating within our box range of 3220-3265. Although gold is generally weak, it has a higher probability of strengthening during the day, and the early gap may be ready for market recovery. At present, the gold price has tested the 3240 line many times. If it cannot stand above 3240, it may test the strong support of 3200 again. If there is no breakthrough below the strong 3200 support, the market may repeat
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategies Today, May 14Technical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167
Four-hour chart resistance 3270/3284, support below 3200
One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3200
Analysis of gold news: On Tuesday (May 13), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April was released, showing that inflationary pressures have eased, providing a complex signal to the market. This mild data that was lower than expected, coupled with the uncertainty of recent tariff policies, triggered an immediate market reaction and reshaped the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. Although the data tended to be dovish, the market reaction was not completely one-sided, showing a game of caution and optimism. Because bargain hunting occurred after prices hit a one-week low. In the previous trading day, due to the tariff truce agreement reached between China and the United States, market risk appetite increased, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold, and gold prices were therefore under pressure.
Yesterday, gold hit a high point before the data was released and then fell sharply, which also showed the repetitiveness of market sentiment. However, in the future, some negative factors have gradually landed, and the Fed's interest rate cut will be put on the agenda again in the medium term. The medium-term favorable pattern for gold has not changed, so gold is still bullish in the medium and long term, but there may be a decline in the short term.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3200 integer support, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour chart resistance 3250 and the four-hour chart resistance 3284. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3284.
SELL: 3283near SL: 3288
SELL: 3270near SL: 3275
USOIL UPDATEHello friends
Given the recent growth in oil prices, it is natural for the price to correct. Now we have obtained the most important price support areas for you and we have also specified the target. If you are willing to enter the transaction, be sure to observe capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
Best GOLD XAUUSD Psychological Levels Indicator on TradingView
There is one free technical indicator that will show you every significant psychological level on Gold XAUUSD chart.
It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set.
Discover the best psychological support and resistance indicator for Gold trading , its settings and useful tips.
First, let's discuss the significance of psychological levels in GOLD XAUUSD analysis and trading.
The classic way of the search of significant supports and resistance is based on the analysis of a historic price action.
However, while Gold constantly sets new historic highs such a method does not work, because there are no historic resistances to rely on.
In such a situation, the only reliable strategy to find potentially strong resistances is to analyze psychological levels.
Psychological levels are the round numbers based price levels. Because of the common human psychological biases, these levels attract the interest of the market participants and the prices tend to react to them.
A great example of a psychological level in Gold trading is 3000 level.
It served as a resistance first and after a breakout turned into an important support.
And I found a free technical indicator that plots all the significant psychological levels efficiently.
One more thing to note is that I strictly recommend searching for psychological levels on a daily time frame, because it provides the most relevant perspective.
To use this indicator, search "round" in indicators wind ow.
It is called "Round numbers above and below".
Click on that and it will start working immediately.
You can see that the indicator plotted 3 significant psychological resistances above current prices and 3 supports below on Gold chat.
In the settings of the indicator, you can change the number of levels to identify and change the style of the horizontal lines.
Examine the reaction of the price to psychological supports that the indicator shows. These levels may remain significant in futures and applied for pullback/breakout trading.
With a crazy bullish rally that we contemplate on Gold this year, psychological levels will be the most reliable technical analysis tools for the identification of future bearish reversals and corrections.
This free technical indicator on TradingView will help you in search of the strongest ones.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook & Trading Plan
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream,
Gold is currently in a consolidation stage.
The price is stuck within a wide horizontal channel on a daily
and we see a test of its support at the moment.
With the absence of high impact news in the economic calendar,
I assume that a consolidation will continue and there is a high
chance to see a pullback.
Your confirmation signal will be a bullish breakout and a 4H candle close
above 3271 - upper boundary of the intraday horizontal range.
There will be a strong possibility of a rise to at least to 3320 level.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a support of the range on a daily
and a daily candle close below that may trigger a further decline.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Strong Crash, Final Warning —Moving Below $2,000XAUUSD (Gold) will move below $3,000 with very strong bearish momentum. You cannot say that you were not warned. It will continue lower to hit a target around $2,750 after $3,000 fails as support.
After the $2,750 target hits, I will look again at the chart and see what it has to say. Below $3,000 is ultra high probability, guaranteed basically. $2,750 is also very high probability that it will hit.
Will it continue lower? At this point it is hard to tell because I don't know Gold's long-term dynamics in a correction, but it isn't looking pretty. If current geopolitical conditions is what's making Gold bearish, then XAUUSD is set for a long-term bear market because everything will continue in the same vein.
That is only if that's the reason why Gold is bearish.
» Looking at the monthly chart, it is a disaster. Gold is set to move below $2,000 in the coming months.
Do you agree?
Disagree?
Leave a comment.
Thank you for reading.
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Namaste.