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Commodities
GOLD Analysis | Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH 2954GOLD Analysis | February 25, 2025
🔸 Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below ATH (2954) and 2935
Gold is exhibiting bearish momentum, having already stabilized below the all-time high (ATH) of 2954. The price is now trying to touch 2918.
📉 While below 2935 will touch 2918 and If a 4H or 1H candle closes below 2918, this could trigger a strong bearish continuation toward 2906 and 2895.
📌 However, if the price closes a 4H candle above 2918, the market is likely to remain volatile between 2918 and 2935 before confirming the next move. 4h candle above 2935 will be sensitive to 2945.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 2945, 2954, 2975
Pivot Point: 2935
Support Levels: 2918, 2906, 2895
✅ Bias: Bearish as long as the price trades below 2935, with confirmation needed below 2918 for further decline.
WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Bearish Momentum Below $70.49 WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Analysis – February 24, 2025
WTI Crude Oil is currently trading at $70.18, and as long as the price trades below $70.49, the bearish momentum remains dominant.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Active)
✅ The price failed to reclaim the pivot zone at $71.78, leading to continued selling pressure.
✅ A confirmed break below $70.49 indicates a potential drop toward $68.53 and $67.03 as the next bearish targets.
✅ The monthly support trendline around $67 - $68 will act as a key level to watch for a potential reaction.
🔹 Bullish Reversal (Invalid Unless Above $71.78)
⚠️ If the price closes above $71.78, we could see a potential pullback toward $72.72 and $75.00.
⚠️ However, the trend remains bearish while trading below $70.49, meaning any bullish movements will likely be corrective bounces rather than a full reversal.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Resistance Levels: $71.78 | $72.72 | $75.00
🔹 Pivot Zone: $70.49
🔹 Support Levels: $68.53 | $67.03 | $66.20
🚨 Directional Bias: Bearish as long as the price stays below $70.49. Expect further downside pressure toward $68.53 - $67.03.
Gold Pulls Back After Parabolic Run – Trend Break or Buying OppoGold has been on a relentless tear, climbing within a well-defined rising channel since early January. But after touching $2,950, the rally has finally hit turbulence, with prices pulling back sharply to $2,895 (-1.94%).
Is this just a healthy correction, or is the yellow metal gearing up for a deeper decline?
🔍 The Setup – A Near-Perfect Rally Faces Resistance
For weeks, gold’s uptrend has been supported by:
✅ Strong bullish momentum – A nearly uninterrupted climb since mid-December.
✅ Consistent higher highs & higher lows – A textbook channel breakout pattern.
✅ Macroeconomic tailwinds – Expectations of rate cuts, inflation concerns, and geopolitical risks fueling demand.
However, today’s break below the rising channel is the first real test for bulls in 2024.
⚠️ Key Technical Developments:
📉 Break of the rising trendline – A potential early warning sign of trend exhaustion.
🟡 First major pullback since early Feb – A change in market behavior.
🔻 Bearish MACD crossover developing – Suggesting momentum may be fading.
🧐 What Comes Next?
Gold now sits just above initial support at $2,850-$2,860. A firm close below this zone could open the door for a deeper pullback toward:
🔹 $2,780-$2,750 – Near the 50-day EMA and a logical dip-buying region.
🔹 $2,700-$2,680 – The next major Fibonacci support if selling intensifies.
For bulls to reassert control, we need to see a strong bounce off $2,850, with a reclaim of $2,950 putting gold back on track toward $3,000.
💡 The Bottom Line
This pullback could simply be a shakeout before the next leg higher – but if momentum keeps fading, it may mark the beginning of a deeper retracement.
With inflation data & Fed commentary on deck this week, expect heightened volatility.
🔥 Buy the dip or step aside? What’s your play?
📌 Keep your eyes on that $2,850 level!
- MW
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day Move 25.02.2025Analysis:
Support & Resistance Zones:
The price is moving within a range with strong resistance around 2,950 and a support zone around 2,922.
A major support level is visible at 2,898, which could act as the next target if the price breaks below 2,922.
Trendline & Breakout:
An ascending trendline was supporting the price, but it appears to have been broken at the Vital Point (highlighted in green).
This could indicate a bearish shift if the price fails to reclaim the trendline.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price bounces back above the trendline and holds above 2,940, it could retest 2,950 and break higher.
Bearish Case: If the price continues below 2,930 and breaks 2,922, a drop to 2,906 or even 2,898 could follow.
Signal:
📉 SELL BELOW 2,930
Entry: Below 2,930
Target 1: 2,922
Target 2: 2,906
Target 3: 2,898
Stop Loss: 2,945
📈 BUY ABOVE 2,940
Entry: Above 2,940
Target 1: 2,950
Target 2: 2,960
Stop Loss: 2,930
💡 Key Note: The price is currently at a critical level (Vital Point). Wait for a clear breakout before entering a trade.
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XAUUSD: Has peaked if this level breaks.Gold remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.836, MACD = 52.960, ADX = 50.322) despite its oversold status intraday due to the strong selloff. This is because it remains inside the 2month Channel Up. Despite this, the 1D RSI displays LH that in contrast to the HH of Gold, wave a bearish divergence flag. Last time this was observed was on the October 31st 2024 top. The sell trigger was given when the 4H MA100 was crossed, after which the price dipped aggressively to the 1D MA100 and 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently we will turn bearish if the price closes under the 4H MA100 and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 2,765).
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How Trumps Tariffs Are Affecting Bitcoin & Crypto MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on COINBASE:BTCUSD talking about how Trump Tariffs affect COINBASE:BTCUSD here. I also talk about the stock market SP:SPX at the end of the video and TVC:GOLD as the chart give us real insights .
Watch video for more details
Trump’s tariff policies have had a notable short‐term impact on Bitcoin’s price. When tariffs are announced—such as the recent ones imposed on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China—the resulting trade tensions and uncertainty tend to trigger a “risk-off” reaction in the markets. Investors, worried about higher inflation and potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, often sell off volatile assets like Bitcoin, which can lead to steep, albeit temporary, price declines. For instance, following tariff announcements, Bitcoin’s price has sometimes dropped significantly (even approaching multi‐week lows) before partially rebounding when there’s news of tariff pauses or negotiations easing the pressure.
In the longer term, however, the picture is less clear. While the immediate market reaction is one of volatility and decline, some analysts argue that if tariffs contribute to sustained economic uncertainty or inflation, Bitcoin could eventually be seen as a hedge—similar to digital gold—potentially restoring investor confidence over time. Ultimately, the overall effect on Bitcoin will depend on whether the trade policy uncertainty continues and how broader economic conditions evolve.
There is still lots of bullish news for BTC www.tradingview.com
XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline Breakout (21.02.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2904
2nd Support – 2880
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Targeting a new era peak, risks blanket the marketOANDA:XAUUSD hit another all-time high as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs increased market fears of a global trade war, boosting safe-haven demand.
Trump's tariff policy and global market reaction
Trump said on Wednesday that he would announce new tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals "next month or sooner."
Since taking office on January 20, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.
As trade risks increase, global central banks are likely to continue buying gold, which is one of the key supporting factors for gold prices.
Ukraine situation and the possibility of gold correction in the short term
Trump also criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned that Ukraine must quickly reach a peace deal with Russia or lose the country.
If a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is reached, geopolitical tensions could temporarily ease in the short term, which could put pressure on gold prices. However, gold still has enough fundamental support and the long-term uptrend could continue.
Fed policy and Swiss gold exports soar
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting released Wednesday showed that Trump's early economic policies have raised concerns about rising inflation. This reinforces the Fed's stance on maintaining the current interest rate policy.
According to foreign media, Swiss customs data showed that Swiss gold exports increased significantly year-on-year in January, with gold exports to the United States reaching their highest level in at least 13 years.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold reached the target level of 2,946 USD, readers noted in the previous issue that the price point of the Fibonacci extension was 0.382%, it broke this level to renew its all-time high.
With the current position, if gold takes price action above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level once again, it will have conditions to continue to increase with a target then around 2,971 USD in the short term, more than 2,996 – 3,000 USD.
The relative strength index also does not indicate any possibility of a downward correction in terms of momentum.
During the day, the short-term uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by trend, and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it still has a main bullish outlook, declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity.
Notable locations will also be noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,954 – 2,971 – 2,996USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
Minor correction, GOLD renewed its peakOANDA:XAUUSD spiked to a record high on Monday as concerns about Trump's tax plans fueled safe-haven demand, and inflows into the world's largest gold ETF also provided further support. Although there have been adjustments as of the time this article was completed, this price decrease is insignificant, currently gold is trading around 2,940USD/oz, equivalent to a decrease of 0.41% on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD hit an intraday high of $2,956.29 an ounce on Monday, a record high and the 11th all-time high refresh this year.
The US Dollar Index (Dxy) hit its lowest since December 10 last year in intraday trading on Monday, making gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies.
Another positive news for gold was that the US 10-year Treasury yield fell 1 basis point to 4.443%.
SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, announced its gold holdings rose to 904.38 tons last Friday, the highest level since August 2023.
Trump says tariffs on Canada and Mexico will be imposed on time
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that comprehensive US tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled after a one-month reprieve ends next week.
Trump signed an executive order on February 1 imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada. However, on February 3, Trump announced that new tariffs would be postponed for 30 days as Mexican President Sheinbaum and Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau both pledged to increase border enforcement.
According to Trump's announcement, tariffs on Canadian goods will be deferred for 30 days, while tariffs on Mexican imports will be deferred for one month.
Markets generally believe that these tariff plans will cause inflation and potentially trigger a trade war, thereby increasing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Although on the daily chart, the RSI shows that the buying force is "exhausted" with price activity in the overbought area, the corrections that have occurred are not significant because the RSI has not yet gone below the 80 level with its steep slope.
Looking at the technical chart, staying above $2,940 is a bullish factor and if gold continues to trade above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension it has a bullish outlook and a target then around $2,971 in the short term.
The trend will still act as a short-term trend, even in case it breaks below, the main outlook for gold is still bullish with the price channel and EMA21 as main support.
However, the market will not move in a straight line, so traders must always be ready for large downward corrections that can occur when RSI operates for a long time in the overbought area.
In terms of trading, trades should be trend-based with support and resistance positions noted again as follows.
Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD
Resistance: 2,946 – 2,956 – 2,971USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2975
→Take Profit 1 2963
↨
→Take Profit 2 2957
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2905
→Take Profit 1 2917
↨
→Take Profit 2 2923
WTI on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI, the price has hit the daily order block at $73.5 and experienced a strong rejection on the 4-hour chart. The price has broken below the trend line and is indicating potential downward movement during the Asian session today. It's important to note that there is a CPI news release during the U.S. session today, so exercise caution in your trading decisions."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to ask!
GOLD Short-term buy and sell signalsGold continues to maintain a wide range of high-level fluctuations. After setting a new high of 2956 yesterday, the NY market fell sharply to around 2930, and then rose strongly again in the late trading, bottoming out and rebounding in the fluctuation range. The price is still running in a bullish trend structure.
Today, the Asian session will first look at the continued rise of NY's late bottoming out and rebound, and pay attention to whether it can set a new intraday high. In terms of trading, keep buying at a low price, but only participate in short-term thinking. After the historical high or new high, pay attention to the indicator's top divergence and overbought, and there will be a fall and wash at any time.
Last week, gold was affected by the dual impact of escalating geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in the global economic recovery, and the spot gold price showed a fluctuating upward trend. The weekly line maintained an upward pattern. The gold price fell again to around 2930 during the day and stood firmly above this position.
At present, the short-term moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, which clearly shows that the bulls have a dominant advantage. The bulls maintain an upward trend of shocks, the Bollinger Bands open upward, and various indicators are running at high levels. From the perspective of short-term indicators, the gold price still has the momentum to rise.
However, it should be noted that the daily line has been oscillating in a high range for 4 consecutive trading days. This oscillating trend has both advantages and disadvantages for both long and short parties, and it is very likely to be a signal that the bulls have reached their peak. However, given that the gold price continued to rise after several pullbacks last week, there is also the possibility of a bull correction pattern. Therefore, it is recommended to start with intraday operations around the range oscillation, and once the market breaks through, it is necessary to leave the market in time.
Key points:
First support: 2942, second support: 2933, third support: 2920
First resistance: 2960, second resistance: 2968, third resistance: 2978
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2933-2936, SL: 2925, TP: 2948-2950;
SELL: 2968-2971, SL: 2980, TP: 2950-2940;
GOLD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 2938.0
Sl - 2932.0
Tp - 2949.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
"Bullish Trend Continuation: Key Support Zones for Gold Buyers"Bullish Market Structure
The prevailing market structure remains bullish, indicating that selling gold at this stage may not be advisable. The price action continues to establish a sequence of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), reinforcing the overall uptrend.
Key Buying Areas
A critical support zone, identified as the Buying Area, aligns with a recent HL, suggesting a potential entry point for buyers. Additionally, a broader Buying Zone exists at a lower level, coinciding with the 200-period moving average (blue line), which may serve as a stronger support should the price retrace further.
Opportunity for Buyers
Given the bullish market conditions, any pullback into these key demand zones presents a buying opportunity, with the expectation of a continuation towards the Target Area at the upper resistance level. The presence of a break of structure (BOS) in the past further validates the strength of the ongoing trend.
Trader Caution and Strategy
Traders should remain cautious of any shifts in momentum while maintaining a bias toward long positions as long as the market structure remains intact.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-25-25: Rally PatternToday's Rally pattern will likely prompt a fairly strong recovery (upward) price move in the SPY before the markets turn/rollover and head lower again after reaching a top.
I see this move paired with the Metals cycle patterns, which suggest metals will move downward. I believe this will be the result of stronger USD price levels, which will translate into an initial SPY rally phase (driving the price higher) and then rolling over into more selling.
Ultimately, I believe the lows on Wednesday or Thursday will be the immediate base/bottom for this breakdown phase (near 587-593).
I'm not getting overly aggressive related to today's RALLY pattern.
I don't believe the markets have the momentum to rally very hard today and I believe we'll see a ROLLOVER type of move today - resulting in more downward selling.
BTCUSD is usually tied to the QQQ/NQ related to price action and the breakdown of BTCUSD may put additional pressure on the QQQ/NQ today.
So, get ready for a pretty volatile day. My estimate is price will ROLL DOWNWARD after a moderately strong open. Then, get ready for some volatility.
Get some.
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GOLD (xauusd): hello guys!
it seems the gold rising for upper level before a deep correction!
those two targets is pointed in the chart!
SELL Limit on Gold - TF 5m and 15mHello guys,
What do you think regarding this scalp position on Gold?
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? (READ CAPTION)The USD/JPY daily chart confirms that the price followed our analysis precisely, dropping from the expected zone and completing a 500+ pip correction, hitting all three targets: 152.70, 151.70, and 151, before reaching 148.00.
I anticipate a short upward move before another potential decline. The next probable target for USD/JPY is 148.65. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation!
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SILVER INTRADAY previous breakout level retest?The Silver (XAGUSD) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The price action creates a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation appears to be a breakout and a corrective pullback towards the previous support zone.
The key trading level is at 3166, which is the previous consolidation range. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3166 level could target the upside resistance at 3253 followed by the 3316 and 3340 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3166 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3125 support level followed by 3100.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
HelenP. I Gold may enter to resistance zone and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Not long ago, the price climbed into the support zone before making a corrective move down to the trend line. After that, it reversed and began rising within a wedge pattern, eventually reaching the support level, breaking through it, and continuing to move higher. Later, Gold surged into the resistance zone but soon faced a sharp correction back to the trend line. However, in a short time, it rebounded and returned to the resistance level. After another drop to the trend line, the price once again started climbing. Soon, Gold reached the resistance level and consolidated below it for some time before finally breaking through and touching the wedge’s resistance line. Following this movement, the price reversed and started declining. It attempted to recover but is currently trading below the resistance level. From my perspective, XAUUSD is likely to enter the resistance zone again before reversing and falling back to the trend line, which also acts as the wedge’s support. Given this outlook, I’ve set my target at 2915, close to the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USD: From $95K Surge to Critical $89K Support – What’s Next?Bitcoin's 6-hour chart shows that after our last analysis, the price successfully rallied from $95,000, reaching all three targets: $96,200, $97,600, and $101,700, yielding over 8% return.
Today, Bitcoin finally broke the $90,000 support after holding for several days, dropping to $86,000 before recovering to the $89,000 range. If the price stabilizes above $89,000 in the next two days, we could expect an upward move towards the next targets at $90,800, $93,800, and $98,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
$GOLD ANALYSIS (15-Minute Timeframe)! TVC:GOLD is testing the black resistance line ⚫ on the 15-minute chart.
✅ If breakout is successful, the first target is the green line level 🟩.
GOLD (XAUUSD) | Key Pivot Holding – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – February 24, 2025
Bullish Consolidation Continues Near ATH Zone
Gold is maintaining stability above the key pivot zone at $2,935, indicating a potential breakout scenario. The price is currently consolidating within a narrow range, awaiting confirmation of the next move.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A 4H close above $2,946 will strengthen the bullish case, with upside targets at $2,954 and $2,968. A further breakout above $2,974 could push the price toward the $3,000 psychological level.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above $2,935 may trigger a pullback toward $2,918, with deeper support at $2,895 and $2,873.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance: $2,946 | $2,954 | $2,974
🔸 Pivot Zone: $2,935
🔸 Support: $2,918 | $2,895 | $2,873
⚠️ Directional Bias: As long as Gold remains above $2,935, the bullish momentum remains intact. However, a break below this level could shift sentiment bearish.
📊 Keep an eye on upcoming economic data and market sentiment for additional momentum.
