Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short (SELL LIMIT) 1. Trend Alignment: H1 shows a clear down-trend — lower highs at 3446 → 3397 → 3347. SMAs on H1/M15 have turned down.
2. High-Probability Pullback: Price has broken the 3340 support twice and pulled back. Resistance here is offering a tight stop and plenty of room to TP.
3. Structural SL: Stop sits just above the prior swing high (~3350–3352)
Entry
Sell Limit @ 3340.37
Prior day low (now resistance) on H1 & M15
Stop Loss
3352.00
Just above the swing high around 3350–3351
Take Profit
3293.07
Invalidation
15 min candle close < 3310
Time Expiry
8:30 AM PST
Cancel if not triggered by then
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Commodities
CRUDE OIL poised to go UP AGAIN? Usually my posts on crude oil are short. but here’s a longer one for a change.
Back in December, I predicted that crude oil would hit the highlighted zone around $57. That’s exactly what happened, hit the target and bounced.
Over the past two weeks, we’ve seen wild swings in crude oil prices as tensions between Iran and Israel escalated. But now, following the ceasefire announcement brokered by President Trump, and considering Iran’s response over the past couple of days, crude oil has dropped below its pre-conflict price levels.
While I truly hope for a peaceful world where no innocent lives are harmed, my personal view is that this ceasefire feels fragile and may not last long.
So, what’s next for crude oil? Up or down?
If the ceasefire holds and we don’t see further conflict in the Middle East, I think crude oil could hover in the $65–$75 range. There’s even a slim chance we dip as low as $45.
However, based on my technical analysis model, and my doubts about the durability of the ceasefire, I expect oil prices to rise in the next 6 to 9 months. My targets? $78 and $85.
Of course, I might be wrong this time. :)
Cheers!
Crude Oil Gets Trapped Back Inside 3-Year Down trending ChannelAfter failing to close above the upper border and the 78 resistance level, and amid renewed hopes for a Middle East ceasefire, oil prices dropped sharply back toward the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders formation—initially broken ahead of the recent war escalation—at 64.70.
A sustained move below that neckline could target crude prices toward the mid-zone of the established channel, near 63.40 and 61.40, where another rebound may take shape.
On the upside, if a clear recovery re-emerges above the 72-mark, the potential for a breakout above the 78-resistance could return, opening the door to revisit the 80 and 83.50 highs.
— Razan Hilal, CMT
GOLD falls after Trump's statement, but skepticism remainsOn Tuesday (June 24) in the Asian market, spot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to decline. The current price of gold is around 3,340 USD/ounce, down sharply by about 30 USD. Gold traders are awaiting congressional testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as the ceasefire between Iran and Israel takes place.
On Monday evening local time, US President Trump announced that Israel and Iran have reached a complete agreement to achieve a comprehensive ceasefire. After Trump announced the news, spot gold prices fell sharply by more than 30 USD in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday, which lasted until the time of writing.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver his semiannual monetary policy report before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday.
Looking ahead, all eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s two-day congressional testimony starting on Tuesday for fresh clues on the timing of the next rate cut.
The market is now pricing in a 21% chance of a Fed rate cut next month, up from a 14.5% chance on Friday, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
Additionally, markets will continue to closely monitor the Iran-Israel conflict to see if the ceasefire can hold. The Israeli military continues to report that Iran has launched ballistic missiles into Israel.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is down and operating around the EMA21 moving average and technically, gold is currently in the best support area. Specifically, gold is operating at the EMA21, the technical indicator is noted as an important support for the short-term uptrend, followed by the horizontal support of 3,320 USD. Combined with the price action position, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, and 50 is now acting as a support in terms of momentum for the possibility of price increase.
However, if gold sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it could be bearish, with the next target being the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,228. Therefore, the area of the $3,300 base point is a very important support area for the long-term uptrend.
Intraday, with the current position, gold can still increase in price with the short-term target at $3,371 followed by the $3,400 base point.
Notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,300 – $3,292
Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3407 - 3405⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3411
→Take Profit 1 3399
↨
→Take Profit 2 3393
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 6-24 : Flat-Down patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move in a consolidated downward type of price trend.
Given the news that a ceasefire was initiated yesterday - and ENDED yesterday with Iran/Israel trading missile attacks and other conflicts, suggests the markets may react to extended FEAR today.
Gold and Silver are both moving downward. I see this as a PANIC move in metals.
When metals move into a Panic Selling phase, usually the SPY/QQQ also move into a panic selling phase.
Bitcoin bounced back above $105k. Could be very interesting to see how all these moves play out over the rest of this week.
Buckle up. Volatility is BACK.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge📍 XAUUSD – High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge
Gold is currently reacting at a high probability BUY area, supported by multiple technical confluences:
✅ $3,300 Round Number: Psychological level and historical reaction zone
✅ Completion of 2nd Bearish Leg: A classic two-leg correction often signals exhaustion
✅ Retest of Uptrend Boundary: Long-term ascending trendline that has supported price since March
📌 Entry: Current price zone
🎯 TP1: Local highs ($3,353)
🎯 TP2: Mid-channel or upper resistance zone ($3,398)
❌ SL: 3263
This is a textbook trend continuation setup — the structure remains bullish unless proven otherwise.
Wait for confirmation or manage your risk accordingly.
—
#XAUUSD #Gold #ForexTrading #MJTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyZone #SwingTrade #SupportZone #TrendlineSupport #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading #MarketStructure #RiskReward #ChartSetup #ForexCommunity
GOLD BUY BIAS • Demand Zone (Grey Box):
Price tapped into a clear demand/support zone around 3300–3310, showing rejection wicks and slowing bearish momentum.
• Reversal Expectation:
Bullish projection drawn on the chart suggests a potential rally if price holds above this zone.
• Upside Targets:
• First target: ~3390 (previous structure high)
• Next: ~3410–3440 (liquidity sweep area)
Everybody loves Gold Part 5Keeping it steady and reasonable
Part 5 weekly path is as shown.
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation down
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from +50/+100 or +150pips to the downside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way: Last week saw classic double top formed around level of significance (LOS)
As always price action determines trades
GoldKey Data Points:
Current Price: 3,309.065 USD
Open: 3,358.435 USD
High: 3,363.900 USD
Low: 3,307.295 USD
Change: +1.77% (+59,760 points)
Volume: Not explicitly stated but implied by "1B" (likely 1 billion units).
Price Action & Technical Observations:
Trend:
The price is currently below the open (3,309.065 vs. 3,358.435), suggesting a pullback after an intraday high of 3,363.900.
The +1.77% daily gain indicates overall bullish momentum, but the candle shows rejection near highs (wick formation).
Support/Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
Immediate: 3,362–3,375 USD (previous highs/profit targets).
Strong: 3,406–3,425 USD (key profit levels).
Support:
Immediate: 3,288–3,265 USD (labeled "Entity" and "Profit" zones).
Strong: 3,250 USD (psychological level).
Profit Targets:
The chart marks three profit-taking levels:
3,323 USD (minor), 3,362 USD (mid), 3,406 USD (major).
This suggests traders are eyeing these levels for potential reversals or take-profit actions.
Volume & Momentum:
The "+59,760" change with "1B" volume implies strong buying interest, but the long upper wick hints at selling pressure near highs.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If price holds above 3,288–3,265 USD, a retest of 3,362–3,406 USD is likely.
Bearish Reversal:
A break below 3,265 USD could trigger a drop toward 3,250–3,225 USD.
BREAKOUT SOON | $3700 - $3800 As illustrated, I’m visualising the next potential bullish continuation impulse that would take gold near the $4000 projected price.
In this idea, the path projected is based on the breakout of a rising symmetrical triangle that price formed; a strong bullish pattern that tends to be very effective when price successfully breaks out with strength.
On a fundamental aspect, things continue to hold the yellow metal on a positive route to maintain its bullish momentum and direction. Fed rates decision is getting close, and that is just the tip of the iceberg that’s going to move gold to record highs within weeks.
A key and major pivot area is near the $3200 - $3250 price range; so it’s possible we have one more attempt to break $3200.
—
GOOD LUCK
persaxu
Silver Steady at $36 as Rate Cut Bets RiseSilver steadied around $36.10 during the Asian session, paring earlier losses after the geopolitical jolt. While the ceasefire cooled nerves, markets remain alert after Iran’s limited strike on a US base. Fed commentary also weighed in: Bowman and Waller leaned dovish, though Powell’s tone remains cautious ahead of his testimony.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Gold Falls to Two-Week Lows Gold fell to around $3,350 per ounce on Tuesday, its lowest level in two weeks, as the ceasefire reduced geopolitical stress. The truce announcement, set to begin with Iran immediately and Israel 12 hours later, cooled safe-haven demand. The metal’s recent run paused despite lingering tensions in the region.
Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.
Oil Price: Breakout or Fakeout? Watch This Zone Closely Technical Overview:
The current price action is testing the upper boundary of a descending wedge, a bullish reversal pattern. The recent strong green candle indicates a potential breakout attempt, yet price is hovering near a critical resistance level at $74.20 (Fib 0.5).
Key levels from the Fibonacci retracement are:
🔼 Resistance at $74.20 (0.5), then $78.16 (0.618)
🧲 Local support at $69.78 (0.382)
🛡️ Strong demand zone near $63.81 (0.236) if rejection occurs
Structure + Patterns:
Price has been compressing inside a falling wedge, which statistically resolves to the upside.
The breakout candle broke above the 20 EMA and touched the upper wedge resistance — signaling a decision point.
Volume is rising on bullish candles — initial confirmation of buyer interest, but not yet decisive.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Break and close above $74.20 on higher volume → likely move toward $78–$86 resistance zone.
Confirmation of wedge breakout could trigger trend reversal, aligning with bullish fib levels.
Momentum could accelerate if macro factors support demand (see geopolitics below).
Bearish Case:
Failure to close above $74.20 = fakeout risk → price may reject down to $69.78 or even retest $63.81.
Bearish rejection wick on the daily/4H would be an early signal.
Macro & Geopolitical Factors to Monitor:
Middle East Tensions: Any escalation (especially around Iran or shipping lanes) could spike oil due to supply fears.
US Strategic Reserves & Elections: Moves to refill reserves or control inflation could support demand.
China Demand Recovery: Data showing improved industrial output or stimulus from PBoC may strengthen global oil outlook.
Final Thoughts:
Price is at a pivot zone — breaking this wedge with strength could shift the short-to-midterm trend. Until then, this remains a "show me" breakout . Watch how the next 1–2 weekly candles close around the $74–$75 area to confirm direction.
War breaks out again? The latest analysis and layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
At the 4H level: the Bollinger Band opening is enlarged, the MACD indicator double-line death cross is downward, the short-selling force is strengthened, but the RSI indicator rebounds after being oversold. Overall, there are obvious signs of a rebound in gold prices. At the hourly level: the gold price is in a downward channel, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD indicator is dead cross and the red bars are converging, and the short momentum has weakened. The RSI indicator rebounds from oversold, and the demand for spot gold rebounds is obvious. Therefore, we still hold long orders near 3320 in the short term. Short-term operation suggestion: go long when it stabilizes at 3325-3315, pay attention to the resistance range of 3370-3380 on the upside, and consider shorting when encountering resistance and pressure.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3345-3365
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,326.73.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,359.56 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,612.8
Target Level: 3,572.6
Stop Loss: 3,639.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Weakness continues, continue to short the bear market📰 Impact of news:
1. Pay attention to Powell's speech in New York
2. Pay attention to geopolitical influence
📈 Market analysis:
Gold opened lower and showed a weak situation. The 1H moving average was arranged downward. In the short term, bears still occupied the main trend. From the 4-hour analysis of gold, the bulls still had repeated resistance before breaking down. Once it breaks down, the market will go further bearish. Pay attention to 3330 below. 3400 is still the key above in the short term. Only by breaking through the bulls can the rebound continue. In terms of operation, high-altitude and low-long are temporarily maintained. Pay attention to the short-term resistance of 3355-3365 above, and the support of 3340-3330 below. Pay attention to the breakthrough! Pay attention to Powell's speech in the New York session.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3370-3365-3355
TP 3340-3330
BUY 3340-3335-3320
TP 3345-3355-3365
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset.
📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold.
🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals.
📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past.
EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce.
Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week.
✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310
SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320
📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens.
📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce.
🧭 Final Thoughts
XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
Gold Holds the Line – Will It Break Above $3,500?Gold continues to maintain its long-term uptrend after a technical pullback toward dynamic support around $3,325, aligning with both the EMA34 and the rising trendline.
If price rebounds from this zone and breaks above the key resistance between $3,460 and $3,500, a strong rally toward $3,600 could unfold in the medium term.
However, upcoming U.S. economic data—including GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE—will be critical in determining whether gold has the momentum for a breakout or remains in consolidation.
Are you holding gold, or waiting on the sidelines?
Gold: Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a selling opportunity around 3,340 zone, Gold was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,340 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.