XAGUSD: Bottom of the Rising Wedge. Bullish.Silver is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.462, MACD = -0.151, ADX = 27.970) as it trades under the 1D MA50 but still over the 1D MA200. The latter is at the bottom of the long term Rising Wedge and is the technical support level. As long as it holds, we will be bullish on Silver, aiming at its top for the next HH (TP = 37.000).
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Commoditiestrading
XAUUSD: Don't waste this longterm buy opportunity.Gold turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.544, MACD = -4.010, ADX = 27.147) following today's breakout over the 4H MA200. The most important aspect of this is that the 1W timeframe remains bullish (RSI = 61.387), which is highlighter by the fact that Gold is trading inside a Channel Up for more than 1 year (October 2nd 2023). This pattern looks very much like the Channel Up of the 2018-2020 Bull Cycle. The 1W RSI is rebound off the same level it did on the March 16th 2020 low. This indicates that the current levels is a buy opportunity we will most likely won't see again until the Cycles peaks. We are bullish, aiming for a similar +79.40% rise (TP = 3,200).
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WTI CRUDE OIL: targeting 95.00 with support by the 1M MA100.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.599, MACD = -0.340, ADX = 19.425) as the price hasn't practically moved for 3 straight weeks. Even the 1W RSI remains neutral (RSI = 46.004) as the last 4 candles have closed inside the 1M MA50 - 1M MA100 range. The 1M MA100 is basically supporting the pattern since April 2021. As long as it does, chances are will see a strong rebound to the R1 level, a price action much like what followed the 2013 consolidation that pivoted to Leg (4).
A similar S1 Zone was supporting on the 1M MA100. Consequently, we turn bullish on WTI expecting a R1 test in the coming months (TP = 95.00).
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XAUUSD: Neutral on 1D but expecting a bullish breakout soon.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.080, MACD = -4.570, ADX = 25.048) as the price is ranged between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA100, on the lower band of the 7 month Channel Up. This suggests that there is significant upside potential to Gold on the medium term and the flat 1D MACD indicates high degree of similarity with June 2024 when the price was again ranged between the 1D MA50 and the bottom of the Channel.
All bullish waves that started after lows, reached at least the previosu R1 level and that is our current target (TP = 2,790).
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WTI CRUDE OIL: confirmed bottom formation. Buy and target 77.50.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.429, MACD = -0.380, ADX = 24.190) but that bearish sentiment is the ideal buy entry as the price hit today the top of the S1 Zone and stayed supported, extending the sideways price action of the last 2 days. The 4H RSI is on HL, which has been the distinct characteristic of all prior 3 bottoms. Being on the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we expect a strong rebound to start even as soon as tomorrow, to test the bottom of the R1 Zone (TP = 77.50).
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Keeps respecting the long term Support Zone.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.339, MACD = -0.320, ADX = 27.988) as it is recovering from last week's red candle that almost touched the S1 Zone. As long this holds, WTI will be bullish on the medium term at least, as on the long term the formation of the 1W Death Cross is bearish. The presence of the LH trendline doesn't allow much room for higher targets and since the previous rebound on the S1 Zone (December 11th 2023) came close to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, our target is in the vicinity of those (TP = 78.00).
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XAUUSD: extending the rally on the 1H MA50.Gold is highly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.334, MACD = 39.540, ADX = 45.426) but that has no effect on the short term timeframes such as on 1H, where the nearly 2 week Channel Up continues to rise. Technically it will keep extending it as long as the 1H MA50 holds. Every rebound on or below it has been around +2.50%. The last test was exactly on it (yesterday), so we remain bullish and expect at least a +2.23% rally (TP = 2,775).
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Palladium Setup: Break 1119-1121, Targeting 1900 TP Good morning, trading family.
I see a potentially great trade setup with Palladium. If we break through 1119-1121, there’s a strong chance we could hit 1900. The ROI looks very promising. Set your alerts, manage your risk, and let’s see how this one plays out.
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
Light Crude Oil Futures: Bulls vs. Bears – Big Moves ComingAlright, trading fam, let me set the scene. We’re sitting at $69.40 right now, and the market is coiling like a wave that’s either going to barrel or wipe out everyone trying to ride it. This is one of those setups that makes you lean in because, whichever way it goes, it’s going to be a ride. You ready?
Bearish Path – Things Could Get Real Slippery
If the price slips below $62.30, it could open up a steep drop to as low as $17.12. Yeah, that’s a long way down. It’s like paddling into the wrong break and realizing there’s no way out without eating sand. If the bears manage to break that key support, all bets are off. Think demand drops, rising inventories, or a stronger dollar that sends oil spiraling lower. Traders who’ve been short are already eyeing this level—if it breaks, they’ll be riding that wave all the way down.
Bullish Path – Eyes on the Double Top
But here’s the flip side: if the bulls show up and break through $89.10, we’re talking about a potential double top formation. And if that double top gives way? It’s all gas, no brakes, with $129.25 in sight. It’ll take some momentum to push through—maybe supply cuts or geopolitical tensions—but if the bulls catch that wave, it could be a smooth ride to higher levels.
What’s the Move?
Right now, it’s all about staying patient and reading the flow. If $62.30 holds, you know the bulls still have some fight in them. But if they lose that level, the bears are going to have a field day. On the other hand, if the bulls break through $89.10, it’s game on to higher highs. This is one of those trades where the chart is giving us clear levels, and now it’s just a matter of who takes the wheel.
If this breakdown gave you some clarity, follow, share, and pass it along to anyone else riding these markets. Let’s keep an eye on these levels and catch the right wave when it comes.
Mindbloome Trader
XAUUSD: Holding the 4H MA50 is heavily bullish.Gold is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.187, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 21.504) as it is consolidating and hasn't yet made a new High since September 26th. On the brightside however, it held again the 4H MA50, which establishes that level as the new support. When being on a Bullish Wave inside this 3 month Channel Up, every time it consolidated on the 4H MA50 after a bottom rebound, it never broke it and the Bullish Wave pushed it to a new HH. We expect a new +7.60% rally (TP = 2,800) to peak by early November.
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NATURAL GAS: Peak reversal. Strong sell signal.Natural Gas is about to turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.678, MACD = 0.175, ADX = 30.811), previously from an overbough state, as it made a standard LH rejection at the top of a year long Triangle pattern. The 1D RSI peaked like all prior LH, the 1D MACD is forming a Bearish Cross (again like all prior LH), so we have a prime sell signal in our hands. Common target on all was the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 2.165).
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XAUUSD: Should turn sideways for the rest of the year.Gold is highly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.774, MACD = 45.540, ADX = 41.502) while at the same time it is approaching the top of the one year Channel Up. The two bullish waves of the pattern reached their HH after +22.50% and +18.50% rises and then turned sideways into a consolidation Rectangle. So even though the price can extend some more to reach a +22.50% rise, we are close to the +18.50% one and as mentioned the top of the Channel Up. This tells us that this isn't the time to buy at all but rather wait for the price to cross under the 1D MA50, which was the buy signal in the two consolidation Rectangles.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Last short term buy.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on the 4H technical outlook (RSI = 51.729, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 25.961) as it pulled back to the 4H MA50 intra day. The fact that it held, suggests that it remains the short term support of this uptrend that is targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 72.50) where so far we have had three straight rejections since August.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Best buy opportunity in more than a year.WTI Crude Oil is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.459, MACD = -2.670, ADX = 29.899) and coupled with the the price breaching inside the S1 Zone, the market is giving the best long term buy opportunity in more than 1 year. The S1 Zone is in place since March 15th 2023. Additionally, the 1D RSI has made a Double Bottom (DB), which has a 100% success record out of 3 times since March 2023. Every rebound to the LH trendline (pattern is a long Descending Triangle) approached the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Our TP = 78.00.
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XAUUSD: First 4H Death Cross in almost 5 months! Is it bearish?Gold is neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 47.738) but turned bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 42.512, MACD = -2.860, ADX = 30.716) as it formed the first 4H Death Cross since January 15th. If Gold fails to reclaim the 1D MA50 and establish a week of trading over it, we project a slow decline same as January-February aiming at the S1 level (TP = 2,300). The long term trend will remain bullish though as long as the 1D MA100 supports.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Oversold offers a buy opportunity.WTI Crude Oil has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 29.383, MACD = -1.620, ADX = 31.641) as the price is approaching the bottom of the 2 month Channel Down. As long as it remains under the 1D MA50, the long term trend will be bearish but the oversold conditions and the 1D MACD, which is replicating the early December 2023 bottom pattern, call for a low risk short term buy opportunity. We are targeting the top of the Channel Down and no higher than the 0.382 Fibonacci level (TP = 76.00).
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Opportunities to profit sideways.WTI Crude Oil turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.681, MACD = -1.020, ADX = 30.568) but remains neutral on 1W (RSI = 46.231) as it is approaching again the 1W MA200. That is a critical Support as not only it is untouched since February 5th but is the long term level that Oil has been bouncing aggressively on since March 2023. We look towards a Rectangle consolidation-accumulation as the last two times that the 1W MA200 was tested. We will buy on S1 and target the R1 level (TP = 80.60). Until we close over the 1D MA50, our strategy is to scalp this range.
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NATURAL GAS: Rejection on the 7 month Resistance.Natural Gas is only marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.609, MACD = 0.187, ADX = 40.616) as it failed to cross over the LH trendline. At the same time, it is supported on the 1D MA200 having broken out for the first time since January 3rd. Long-term we remain slightly bullish on NG but on the short-term, we will wait for LH validation. If the price crosses above it, we will take a short term buy and aim for the R1 level (TP = 3.350). If instead the price crosses under the 1D MA200, we will take a short term sell aiming at the 1D MA50 (TP = 2.200).
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XAUUSD: Sell signal after this 4H MA50 bearish breakout.Gold has turned bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 42.104, MACD = 6.500, ADX = 34.412) as it crossed today under its 4H MA50. This is the first time it does so after going that high since April 22nd. That was the start and validated sell signal for the Bearish Wave of the Channel Up. Consequently, we go short on Gold, aiming like then, at a -5.20% decline (TP = 2,325). This could contact the 1D MA50 too.
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XAUUSD: 4H Golden Cross since February.Gold is bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.834, MACD = 24.030, ADX = 26.032) and on the 4H formed the first Golden Cross since February 28th. Last time this sparked a very aggressive rise with the 4H supporting. We are targeting the top of the long term Channel Up (TP = 2,500).
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Selling until the end of the month.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.492, MACD = -1.060, ADX = 41.641) as it got rejected on the 1D MA200 today. The longer it remains under the 1D MA50, the stronger the selling will be. Being inside a Channel Down similar to October-November 2023 that extended all the way to the 1.5 Fibonacci level, we are expecting selling for the rest of the month. The 1.5 Fib is now just over the S2 level and that is our medium term target (TP = 71.50).
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XAUUSD: Overbought but still bullish above the 4H MA100.Gold is overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.650, MACD = 67.600, ADX = 69.434) and appears to be unphazed by the recent rejection at the top of the Channel Up that pulled back to the 4H MA50. This is basically a consolidation that can be evolved to a similar pattern with March's. It was the 4H MA100 that held it on an uptrend at the time and has been holding since February 23rd. We remain bullish as long as it continues to hold, targeting the top of the Channel on a +10.54% increase (TP = 2,550). If the 4H MA100 is crossed, we will go short aiming at the 1D MA50 (TP = 2,220).
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