Gold overall bearish but expected one more leg upGold has been trending upward and is now expected to retrace to form a higher low.
Short-term strategy: Focus on selling as the price pulls back.
Long-term strategy: Plan to buy at the higher low once established.
Sell highs and buy lows.
Alternatively, wait for a breakout to confirm the next move.
Manage risk by selling at, Keep the strategy simple and focused on these key levels.
Commodity
XAUUSD - Gold 3Month (quarterly)Overview:
Gold and silver have performed remarkablely in 2024, emerging as the two best-performing assets of the year. Precious metals often serve as safe-haven assets during times of economic uncertainty, and this year has proven no exception. Investors have flocked to them as hedges against inflation and market volatility, helping to drive their values upward.
By the end of October, silver had surged by 42.4 percent, a dramatic increase that reflects growing demand and limited supply. Gold, similarly, has gained 33.7 percent, solidifying its role as a reliable store of value. These gains in the precious metals market outpaced other commodities and most traditional financial assets.
For comparison, the NASDAQ—the best-performing stock index—has gained 24 percent over the same period. This robust performance in the NASDAQ reflects strength in technology stocks, yet it still falls short of the exceptional growth observed in gold and silver. Such trends highlight the unique appeal of precious metals, especially during periods of market turbulence and geopolitical tension.
Watch the RSI as another blue candle will indicate a Q4 bullish momentum that may continue into the New Year. As for a Red Q4 Candle... This may push the RSI below the 80, creating a bearish Divergence in the LONG term. This Pullback may even look like a trend reversal. Keep in mind a healthy market needs to retrace.
Key Levels:
2450
2315
2235
(Support)
GOLD - History Repeating Itself... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📔I find the Gold 4H chart interesting.
Do you see a pattern here?
Look at the first three purple projections.
Gold broke below a low (marked in red), which signaled the start of a correction.
The correction was short-lived as the bulls took control again by breaking back above the red zone, triggering the next impulse phase.
Currently, Gold seems to be pausing, which might indicate the start of another correction phase.
🔄If history repeats itself, to signal a new impulse movement, we first need a break below the current low around $2,710, followed by a break back above it.
This projection could lead to the upper bound of the blue channel, around $2,850.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD: Trend is still bullish on intraday chartHi Traders!
Gold futures are up 0.6% at $2,793.50 a troy ounce after hitting a fresh record of $2,801.70 an ounce earlier in the session. The new high reflects safe-haven demand, boosted by uncertainty around the U.S. election, says Vivek Dhar, analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The growing likelihood of a Trump presidency has likely played a role too. Former President Trump's plans raise the risk of policy disruption, geopolitical tensions and a higher U.S. debt profile, Dhar says in a research report. These have further boosted gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. CBA expects gold to average $2,800 an ounce throughout the fourth quarter of 2024. It expects gold to rise to average $3,000 an ounce by the fourth quarter of 2025.
From a technical point of view, during yesterday's session Gold reached our TARGET 1 (see chart/analysis below), at the same time, the trend seems to remain bullish, and after a corrective structure on intraday chart, Gold could reach the 2,800 area also on the spot market.
🔴 ANALYSIS TARGET 1
(click and play on chart below)
Thanks for watching.
GOLD: Trend is still bullishHi Traders!
Gold futures rise 0.3% to $2,763.30 a troy ounce. The precious metal is close to its all-time high of $2,772.60/oz, set on Wednesday. Gold is maintaining its strength despite rising U.S. Treasury yields and slightly easing geopolitical tensions, says Pepperstone research strategist Dilin Wu. The driving force appears to be bets on a potential Trump victory in the U.S. presidential election, Wu says in a note. This is coupled with growing concerns over the escalating U.S. debt crisis. While both candidates advocate for expansionary fiscal policies, a sweep for Trump could see U.S. debt skyrocket by $7.5 trillion over the next decade, Wu says. This is more than double the $3.5 trillion expected under a Harris administration. Given the "Trump trade," the path of least resistance for gold seems to be upward, she adds.
From a technical point of view, the trend is still bullish and on the intraday chart we have something like a bullish harmonic structure with a potential Target around 2773. The Trendline bearish breakout is negative, because it could trigger the Harmonic Pattern failure. Please support this idea for future updates below.
Thanks for watching.
Palladium is the new Gold... Thank me later!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📌What is Palladium used for?
Palladium is used in catalytic converters for automobiles, in fuel cells to generate power, in jewelry, dental fillings, and electronic components. Catalytic converters convert the toxic gases from automobiles into less harmful substances.
📌How Rare is Palladium?
Palladium is one of the rarest metals on earth and even more scarce than platinum – 15 times more rare to be precise. If all the platinum in the world fits in your house, then every ounce of palladium can easily squeeze inside your living room.
📌Technical Analysis:
This week, Palladium rejected the $1000 round number and support zone and broke the Daily structure marked in red.
As long as the bulls hold, I expect a bullish continuation towards the $1700.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD - History Repeating Itself...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📔I find the Gold 4H chart interesting.
Do you see a pattern here?
Look at the first two purple projections.
Gold broke below a low (marked in red), which signaled the start of a correction.
The correction was short-lived as the bulls took control again by breaking back above the red zone, triggering the next impulse phase.
Currently, Gold seems to be pausing, which might indicate the start of another correction phase.
🔄If history repeats itself, to signal a new impulse movement, we first need a break below the current low around $2,625, followed by a break back above it.
This projection could lead to the upper bound of the blue channel, around $2,800.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Silver Smashes Key Resistance – Are the Bulls Ready for More?Good morning Trading family
Alright crew, let’s paddle out and talk about this sweet move in Silver (XAGUSD). After getting smacked around by the 32.266 resistance for what felt like ages, Silver finally busted through like a surfer catching the perfect wave. It’s not just some tiny splash either—this breakout is the real deal, the kind that makes you lean back and say, "Yep, the bulls came to play today." That level was like a nasty rip current, dragging buyers back every time they tried to push higher, but now the wind’s at our back and we’re heading for clearer waters.
So where’s the next wave taking us? All eyes are on that 33.00–33.40 zone—think of it as the next set of waves on the horizon. There’s bound to be some choppy waters up there, with sellers lurking, ready to throw some resistance. If we get solid momentum and strong volume, though, this ride could take us straight through without much hassle. But hey, markets love to toss in a little wipeout now and then—so don’t be surprised if we see a pullback to retest 32.266. That’s no biggie—it’s just the market catching its breath before it paddles out for another set.
Now here’s the pro move: if we dip and hold above that old resistance, it’s like hitting the reset button for the bulls. It gives everyone a chance to regroup and load up for the next big push. But if the volume kicks in and buyers keep charging, we might just see this baby rip all the way to 33.40 without looking back. Either way, it’s all part of the flow—ride the wave, but don’t fight it. Sometimes the best move is to wait for the right set to come to you.
If this gave you some value, give it a like, follow, or share, and let’s keep building this trading family. Stay stoked, stay sharp, and remember—it’s all about catching the right wave at the right time.
Mindbloome Trader
Gold on the Verge – Breakout to 2,705 or Drop Back to 2,673?Alright, folks, Gold (XAU/USD) is flirting with a breakout. If the bulls push it past 2,705, we could see some real upside momentum. But if it runs out of steam, we might dip back toward the 2,673-2,667 support zone for a reset.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 2,705 – A breakout here could spark a rally higher.
Support: 2,673 – Bulls need to hold this line to avoid more downside.
Fallback Zone: 2,667 – If this level cracks, we’re likely heading lower.
Right now, we’re at a pivotal moment. Will buyers keep the momentum alive, or are we headed for a quick pullback? Keep a close eye on the next move—there’s opportunity on both sides.
What do you think—are we breaking higher or taking a breather? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this helped you get prepped for the next move.
Mindbloome trader
Trade what you see
XAUUSD - Gold 1HRSimple Trading - Expanding Wedge pattern
Gold has broken above the expanding wedge and is now pushing for its target (2615). Expect gold to continue to the previous High (2600) and make a higher high.
If the Expanding Wedge pattern plays out correctly, 2615 should be the next target. Keep in mind that there is strong resistance at the 2600 price level. Expect another fakeout.
The previous week's high (PWH) is acting as support. If two or more Bearish candles close below the
PWH/support... this could indicate sell pressure.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
Gold will Shine again...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking above the $2,500 mark, Gold has been bullish trading within the rising red channel.
Currently, Gold is in a correction phase.
Moreover, the $2,475 - $2,500 is a strong support zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #Gold approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
More Upside For XAUUSDAs Gold approaches the 2600 level, I'm anticipating some volatility around this resistance level before a continuation higher.
FED cutting rates this week could push gold higher, especially if we see the DXY lose ground.
However, volatility is could be high, with choppy price action around this resistance level.
Look for short term upside scalps or to buy on retracement.
“The gold price is going up”In the US, the Producer Price Index (PPI) experienced a slight slowdown in August. Weekly unemployment benefit claims rose by 2,000, reaching 230,000. Following this data release, the decline in the dollar deepened. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell to 3.62%. As a result, gold prices tested the 2570 resistance level.
From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2570 resistance level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
GOLD: Pullback in Short Term?Hi Traders!
Gold prices rose early on Thursday as the dollar weakened ahead of next week's expected Federal Reserve interest-rate cut.
Gold for December delivery was last seen up US$19.70 to US$2,562.10 per ounce. Hopes among gold bulls that the Federal Reserve's policy committee would offer 50 basis point rate cut at the end of its two-day meeting next Wednesday were dashed when data released yesterday showed the August U.S. Consumer Price Index rose by 2.5% down from 2.9% in July.
"Gold dropped back on Wednesday after US inflation data dimmed the prospects for a 50-basis-point cut next week, but underlying strength prevails, with daily higher lows signaling continued appetite from investors," Saxo Bank noted.
The dollar eased early, with the ICE dollar index last seen down 0.08 points to 101.61. Treasury yields were flat, with the yield on the U.S. two-year not unchanged at 3.648%, while the 10-year note was paying 3.658%, also steady.
From a technical point of view, on the daily chart the trend is bullish (but has not yet reached our Target at the moment). That said, once the harmonic structure is completed, we do not exclude an interesting mid-term pullback. What do you think? Please support our idea for future updates.
Thanks for watching
Gold Is Coming Out Of An Elliott Wave TriangleOn a higher degree time frame, we see gold coming higher into a fifth wave, but it may take some time before it finds the top, as we see an unfinished lower degree impulse.
Gold remains in strong and impulsive five-wave bullish cycle on a daily chart and there's space for more upside, we will just have to be aware of a higher degree wave IV correction still this year, possibly in Q4. Why? Because we see a move out of a triangle here in fifth wave of III, so we know thats the final trust within higher degree extensions, meaning there can be limited upside in weeks ahead, ideally around 2600-2700 area.
XAUUSDTala time frame 15 minutes
After hitting the 15-minute swap zone, the price started to correct.
Currently, gold is bullish in the 4-hour time frame, but bearish in the 15-minute time frame. Now there was a drop of 15 minutes until the swap zone, and if we see the confirmation, we can enter buying positions. The best time to buy is when the price reaches the lower order block of the swap zone and will probably record higher targets.
Bearish reversal?Silver (XAG/USD) is reacting on the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could fall to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 30.11
1st Support: 29.01
1st Resistance: 30.11
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD - Gold 4HRSimple Trading - Triangle pattern
Gold has broken from its bullish momentum and is now finding support in the triangle around 2505. Expect gold to continue to the previous low and make higher lows around 2490. If the Triangle pattern plays out correctly, the Price will break bullish above the recent highs and continue to the target. Keep in mind that 2 or more candles are already closed above the Triangle. This could either be a break and retest or could indicate more sell pressure.
*These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
COPPER - Following Gold?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 COPPER has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising wedge pattern in blue.
At present, COPPER is undergoing a correction phase and it is hovering around the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a massive support zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #COPPER approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich