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Commodity

Gold Builds Early Bullish Momentum!Gold has been resting well, and the rest may have given new life to the bullish momentum as we are starting to see some progress this month. An all-time high formed in August 2020 at $2075, and from there, we saw a decline down through the $2000 psychological area of support/resistance and below the 50 simple moving average. Price formed an area of consolidation and formed a base just below $1700 in March 2021. Price hit this level again in August 2021, and this bounce from support has given price some much-needed momentum. We have the $2000 round number above price, which may act as resistance. If price makes it above this hurdle, then we have the all-time high resistance at $2075, which may also act as an obstacle. As price has formed a base in the consolidation zone, a breakout of the the high or low will give us an indication of where price may go next. The prior trend was bullish, so we are anticipating a bullish breakout. See below for more information on our trading techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sublime_Trading
Soybean Oil Positioned to Move Higher to 6700 Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. Soybean Oil (SOYUSD) hit some resistance around the 6315 price level and declined towards 5845 where the commodity found support. SOYUSD is rallying to re test 6315 resistance. Expectations are for the commodity to breakout higher and target 6700. Failure of this move would occur if SOYUSD decline towards 5800. On a Daily Chart there has been a trend change from early September for the commodity to make a leg higher. Technical Indicators SOYUSD is trending higher with positive crossovers on the short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages. The commodity is trading above the respective MAs. The RSI is above 50, indicating a bullish price move. This is corroborated by the KST in a positive mode. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 5800 and a target of 6700. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.66. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
FOREXCOM:SOYUSDLong
by Ceddy86
Another Move Higher for Brent Crude Oil, Towards 89.25Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. The commodity Brent Crude Oil (BCO) has been in a rangebound movement since mid-October 2021, with resistance around the 86.50 price level and support observed around the 83.55 price level. Expectations are for a breakout higher towards 89.25. Failure of this move will be seen if BCO breaks below 83. On the longer termed Daily chart, BCO has had quite a rally thus far, with a low around the 65.213 price level, the commodity is 31.7% higher. A change in trend will be determined if BCO were to decline below 81.693. Technical Indicators BCO is currently trading above its short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages. The commodity is currently in an uptrend. The RSI is trading above 50 and there has been a positive crossover on the KST. This suggests another move higher for the commodity. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 83.00 and a target of 89.25. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.14 Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by Ceddy86
Silver Expected to Breakout Towards 24.75Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. The commodity Silver appears to have broken above 23.20 resistance from an ascending triangle setup. The support trend line was made with the higher lows of 21.50 and 22.35. Expectations are for Silver to head higher towards 24.75. Indicative stop loss is set around 22.15. Technical Indicators Silver is currently trading above its short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages. There has been positive crossovers on the respective MAs, indicating a bullish trend move. The RSI is also currently above 50 with the KST in a positive mode. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 22.15 and a target of 24.75. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.31. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. I currently have a position in Silver.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Ceddy86
Crude Oil Heading Towards $100Crude Oil has come a long way since the lows of April 2020, which took price down to just 1 cent. Price has since climbed back over 16,000% and currently looking strong. The first hurdle following the decline was in November 2020 when price approached the 50 simple moving average resistance level on the weekly timeframe. After defeating this indicator, price went on to challenge the 200 simple moving average, which at first held its ground, but price eventually broke through. Price went on to break above a previous level of resistance at $66 on its second attempt and did the same for the resistance at $76. Now that price has broken through multiple levels of resistance, the next major resistance that stands in the way is the $100 round number. This psychological level of resistance may prove difficult for price to break, so we need to keep an eye out if and when price approaches this level. For now, we can expect to see further moves to the upside and maybe even a retest of the support level at $76. See below for more information on our trading techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
TVC:USOILLong
by Sublime_Trading
When Might The Price Of Natural Gas Decompress?Traders that have taken a long position on Natural Gas will have been feeling lighter than air for the better part of 2021. Remarkably, the trading price of Natural Gas has rocketed up 115% since the beginning of the year, outperforming price increases in other commodities currently sitting close to record highs, Oats (up by 63.83% YTD), Copper (up by 19.65% YTD), and steel (up by 38.27% YTD). As of writing, Natural Gas is trading at $5.592 per million British thermal units, a thirteen year high for the commodity. What Is The Reason For The Meteoric Rise In Natural Gas An unusually scorching 2021 summer in the US drove demand for air conditioning and Natural Gas beyond normal levels, resulting in a lower stockpile of the commodity for an unusually cold winter. Following this, extreme weather conditions, such as Hurricane Ida, interrupted Natural Gas extraction in the Gulf of Mexico’s most productive zone. Will The Price Of Natural Gas Recede? Typically, when the price of a commodity rises, new investment will enter the market to scoop up the high prices. Regarding Natural Gas, the new investment could be from gas companies lifting output at existing gas wells or exploring new wells that will raise production. Counter-productively, the new investment and resulting lift in gas supply would help suppress the price rises in the commodity. New investment in Natural Gas has stalled as of late. While fossil fuels will still be needed for a long time, so-called ‘Zero Carbon’ policies from governing bodies worldwide are disincentivising Natural Gas exploration. The long-term prospects of Natural Gas wells are less certain and less attractive when contending with the likes of the Biden Administration throwing its full support behind renewable energy sources as the US engages in a wide-scale upgrade to its infrastructure. One project for the Biden Administration is for the US electric grid to be powered by 50% solar within the next thirty years. Achieving this goal would severely squeeze demand for Natural Gas, which, according to the EPA, generated approximately 40% of the country’s electricity in 2020.
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by BlackBull_Markets
Gold Potential Breakout Continuation Above 1,7571. Price crossed above the 1,757 level last week and stabilized. We did see a price drift back below this level and selling momentum did not pick up. 2. This leads to this week's outlook. If price can hold above the 1,757 level, we can expect further upside as price continues with the momentum from last week. I don't anticipate a sharp cross below this level, unless some fundamental news comes out. A slightly more likely scenario is if this price action fizzles if the level isn't respected for this week's open.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FinancialGamblR