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Commodity

Why are Interest rates falling? Time to buy? We have seen an amazing fall in interest rates. Bonds have looked to put in a local bottom. Why are bonds showing signs of accumulation? Is the bond market pricing in a recession? I believe the recent decline in yields is due to commodity weakness. Yields have soften because energy & base metals have become cheaper. This drives the disinflationary narrative. I think its to early to tell whether this decline is from demand or global weakness.
TVC:US10Y
by Trading-Capital
Oil prices losing strength due to China's economic slowdown Oil prices continue to trend downward, as are expectations for increased U.S. oil production and pessimism about the Chinese economy. Expectations are growing that oil prices will gradually fall following reports that new wells will be drilled in US shale fields, and the costs for them will drop significantly by about 10% this year alone. Meanwhile, the economic slowdown in China, the world's largest crude oil importer, is also putting downward pressure on oil prices. China's oil imports in June fell 10.7% amid disappointment that the PBoC's rate cuts were not large enough to boost the Chinese economy. USOIL (WTI) has been trending downward over the past week, falling to the 75.10 level. After death-crossed, both EMAs rapidly widen the gap and send out a typical bearish signal. If USOIL fails to hold the 75.00 support, where the trend line intersects, the price could fall further to 72.50. Conversely, if USOIL advances toward the 76.80 resistance after recovering EMA21, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 78.20 level.
TVC:USOIL
by inkicho_exness
XAUUSD - Gold 4HRSimple Trading - Head and Shoulders pattern -PLEASE READ BELOW- Gold has broken from its bullish momentum and is now finding support at 2350. Expect gold to continue to the previous low and make Lower lows. If the Head and Shoulders pattern plays out correctly, 2400 should be the Highest gold goes before reaching the target. Keep in mind that 2 or more candles closes above 2390-2400 could indicate buying pressure. How to trade the pattern: Entry 1 is the 4hr FVG, 2400-2413 as this is a 4hr H&S pattern we look for the next FVG on the same time frame. BULLS: (weekly) Pay attention to the previous week's candle close. Two weeks ago gold week low was 2395. And last week, Gold's weekly low was 2350. The high of last week was 2430. not only was this considered a bearish week, but Gold also made a huge weekly doji candle. Gold price is uncertain on where price should move next. With a Potential bull flag pattern and a triple bottom, GOLD is certainly still long-term bullish. **We are currently in a 1000pips range or 100 points. 2390 -2290 If gold fails to remain bullish over the next couple of days, gold may drop to the previous week's support. BEARS: Respect the Pattern, take sells around 2395-2400. If a 4hr candle breaks above this 50pips zone, more bullish price action may push the price into the 4hr FVG. *These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDShort
by nikdobii
XAUUSD - Gold DailySimple Trading - Cup and Handle pattern Gold has made a break from its bullish momentum and is now finding support at 2380. Expect gold to continue to reject the previous low and continue to make higher lows. If the Cup and Handle pattern plays out correctly, 2380 should be the lowest gold should go before reaching TP1. How to trade the pattern: Entry 1 is the 50% fib retracement from the previous impulse. In our case, gold has dropped perfectly to the 50% fib Entry 2 is the breakout. BULLS: Pay attention to the previous week's candle close. the high of last week was 2480. We are currently in a 1000pips range or 100 points. If gold fails to remain bullish over the next couple of days gold may surpass the previous high and reach target 1. BEARS: we can see the market may consolidate shown in ZOOM 4HR. If strong sell pressure keeps gold under the next daily FVG which is around 2445-2451, we may look to take some profits. if gold remains bearish and breaks below 2380 we look to change our basis and look for more sells in the short term. *These are just my thoughts, not financial advice.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by nikdobii
Gold Keeps Consolidating Within A Higher Degree CorrectionGold has turned lower in the last two months, which has been expected as we saw market in fifth wave of an extended wave 3 after breaking to new ATH. Well, what we see now is a corrective pause which can come to an end in the near future, but possibly at lower support levels as the current price action here above 2300 can be a triangle in the middle of a three wave downward correction. We see nice support at 2222-2250 area. But, don't miss the alternate count, where wave 4 can be even a running triangle if price turns up now and breaks 2370 level. Bullish confirmation is above 2390 region.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Will gold go for a bit of a larger correction?Looking at the technical picture of EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD , it seems that we might see some action to the downside. That said, before getting comfortable with that idea, some breakouts are still needed. For now we wait for the TVC:DXY reaction from the US GDP and PCE today and tomorrow respectively. #gold TVC:GOLD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD
by easyMarkets
1
Silver climbs back above the 30-dollar markLet's see if EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD can break the downside line and go further north. The first part of moving back above the 30-dollar mark is done, now we just have to overcome the downside line. #silver TVC:SILVER Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD
by easyMarkets
Daily Timeframe suggests Bearish Price ActionWe are currently inside a 12$ Range on Crude Oil on the monthly timeframe. Support being 71.32 and resistance being 83.22. After two weeks of trading in June, Oil is up roughly 2/3 of 1 Percent. The First week being quite bearish but which was corrected, plus an additional some to the upside on the second week. Price came awfully close to the weekly resistance level ( about 25 cents) on Wednesday but coincided with US weekly Inventories and dropped on a higher than forecasted number. Weekly Bearish Target for Crude this week I have 75.36 Weekly support level. Weekly Long target for crude this week I have 79.58 Weekly resistance Level. What's interesting is that after the initial climb on last Monday, Crude simply consolidated for the rest of the week. It actually printed 3 Daily candles that had a larger top wick than the body of the candle. My Bias is bearish to kick off the new trading week and short term targets are 77.30 for the upcoming session.
TVC:USOILShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Crude Oil peaks on OverSupply of Commercial Held Barrels?Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) throughout Asian session and London session. The Actual reading, released 30 minutes prior to London close, showed an increase in the number of barrels held by commercial firms. 3.7M is the number. This increase is signnifcant , especially since the last 4 releases have been forecasted to show a decrease in the number of barrels held . With an oversupply, price naturally dropped , abiding to the laws of supply and demand. In our previous forecast we were anticipating a retest of 77.8 and consequential increase. We indeed observed this after price dropped dramatically. We saw 77.8 1Hr Zone hold firm. The Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes are still screaming buys and I'm still thinking there is some momentum bullish in the market. These are the prices that I like for scalping in the upcoming sessions. 78.80 1hr zone, 77.8 1hr zone. 77.30 is target for sells for upcmoming session while 79.25 is the target for longs in the upcoming sessions.
TVC:USOILLong
by ShrewdCatfx
2