Gold H4 | Approaching 61.8% Fibo resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 2,039.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci level
Stop Loss: 2,063.96
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance that sits above the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 2,004.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
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Commodity
XAU short opportunityxau is bearish in HTF and rejected from a seller POI .and building liquidity below the OB .if it wants to fall from the current point then it should first clear the current liquidity and again retest the lower 15M OB . And in case if it reaches to the top OB prefer high rejection from it.and go for short. if it shows bullish momentum then the setup is invalid.
#AQURISHA
Copper Equities Breaking Down, Is tthe economy?Copper is very close to losing criyical support.
If this daily chart trendline breaks, there is a big move down into the next support.
Copper Equity stocks are already teing us aa likely breakdown in the commodity is coming.
Is this base metal signaling weaker economic demand & growth?
A Bit More Downside For Silver In The Near Term?Although recently we saw a price rebound in EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD , still, the commodity remains below our 200-day EMA and a short-term downside resistance line drawn from the high of December 3rd. That said, in order to continue aiming lower, a break below the 22.51 hurdle, marked near the lows of December 13th and January 11th, would be needed. Until then, we will take a cautiously bearish approach in the near term.
If, eventually, we do see a price-drop below the 22.51 zone, this will confirm a forthcoming lower low, possibly clearing the path towards the next key support area, at 21.88, which is the lowest point of November 2023. If the bears cannot stop there, the next potential target for EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD might be near the medium-term tentative upside support line taken from the lowest point of March 2023.
Alternatively, a break of the previously mentioned downside line and a push above the 23.54 barrier may attract more buying interest. EASYMARKETS:XAGUSD could then travel to the 24.60 territory, marked by the high of December 22nd, where a temporary hold-up might occur. If the bulls continue to charge, this may result in a further move north, potentially aiming for the highest point of December, at 25.92.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Supercycles in commodities - i.e. Bitcoin, UraniumSupercycle - a term which is gaining popularity these days, applies to commodities. Basically what happens is surge in demand, which current supply struggles to cover, causes prices to sky-rocket from being under-valued to highly over-valued.
In my opinion Bitcoin and its' four-year cycle is the best example. The main event of the cycle is halving (halving the rewards of mining bitcoin), which is causing supply-shock and aftermath in the form of speculative bubble.
I strongly believe we are about to see a supercycle in Uranium in the following years. Spot price of that commodity is right now under-valued to such an extent Cameco (one of its largest global providers) is buying it from the spot market in order to meet the contracts and keeping some of its mines closed (waiting for the prices to rise). Currently there are about 440 active nuclear reactors and 50 being constructed (more than 10% of the actual number) mainly in China and India (respectively 16 and 6 as of March 2021). Interesting pair, isn't it? If the rest of the world does not want to stay behind they will have no choice but to follow that direction.
Nuclear energy is not opponent of wind and solar energy. It is their carbon-free companion versus the coal.
Technicals:
We are confirming the falling wedge break-out right now. If price action will succeed to do so, there might be rally much quicker than I expected when I first opened position.
Time for SUGAR (commodity) international prices to cool down?Weekly chart, SUGAR commodity has broken down support line # 2, and is heading towards #1 at around 17.12
Below that, the next target price will be 10.67
Another scenario is to rebound from Support # 1 towards 21 then 23
MACD indicator went negative, while RSI is getting into the buy area
Gold likely to continue shining in 2024For over two years of publishing on TradingView, we have maintained a bullish stance on gold, which has been marching higher in tandem with our expectations. In 2024, our outlook remains unchanged, and we expect it to continue performing well amid the persistence of institutional interest, global economic slowdown, and geopolitical tensions. However, we also recognize a potential threat to its well-being, represented by the stock market weakness. This thesis is built upon the fact that gold has been climbing higher alongside stock market indices for several months, showing a positive correlation. Furthermore, we have seen a perfect example in 2022, when the stock market selloff forced investors to sell gold in order to cover losses elsewhere; we expect the same thing to happen in the case of prolonged weakness in market indices. Nonetheless, we do not have plans to sell our holdings; instead, we plan to accumulate more (if the opportunity arises). With that said, our long-term price target for gold stays at $2,300.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily = Bullish
Weekly = Bullish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL - BEARISH MOVE 📉
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
The USOIL Reached a Resistance Level (74.03 - 74.75).
The Price Formed a Rising Wedge Pattern.
The Support Line is Broken.
Currently:
The Price Pull Back to Important Structure,
and Now It Will Continue Its Bearish Movement📉
TARGET: 69.50🎯
Gold H4 | Potential bullish bounceGold (XAU/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2047.84 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 2008.00 which is a a level that sits under an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 2087.57 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Silver H4 | Falling to 38.2% Fibo supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 23.743
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 23.234
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that sits under the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 24.593
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold H4 | Approaching 61.8% Fibo resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 2,088.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 2,146.15
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Take Profit: 2,019.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Crude Oil Is Looking For A RecoveryCrude oil is coming down now making five subwaves down from 80.00 so there can be some support not far away as higher degree corrective decline from October highs can come to an end soon. There is also a potential leading diagonal, which is a bearish structure, but still suggests that the market can stabilize a bit. RSI divergence also suggests that bears are losing strength. However, any short-term low is not confirmed, unless we see an impulsive move back above 72.60. But if you look at the current price move, we can already see price turning sharply today, which can be an indication for a higher rally.
Is Platinum Ready To Break Out?Looking at the technical picture of EASYMARKETS:XPTUSD on our daily chart, after reversing higher in mid-November, the commodity started forming higher lows. That said, it is struggling to build up higher highs, at the moment. However, that might change, if the price overshoots its key resistance area, roughly between the 944 and 952 levels. Until then, we will take a cautiously bullish stance.
A break above the aforementioned resistance area would confirm a forthcoming higher high, potentially clearing the path towards higher hurdles, as more buyers might see this as a good opportunity to step in. We will then target the 989 and the 995 levels, which mark the highest points of August and July respectively.
Alternatively, a break below a short-term tentative upside support line, drawn from the lowest point of November, could result in a further price drop, as it might spook some bulls from the field. Our next possible target could be the 890 zone, which is the current lowest point of December.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD NEUTRAL TO SHORT OUTLOOKGold prices have been subject to significant fluctuations recently, primarily influenced by factors surrounding the Federal Reserve's decisions and broader economic indicators. Understanding the key drivers behind gold's movements can be crucial.
The Federal Reserve, during its final meeting for 2023, is anticipated to maintain current interest rates. However, the market is particularly attentive to the Fed's 2024 guidance, especially Chairman Jerome Powell's comments. Any indications of a potentially hawkish stance or insights into future interest rate trajectories are poised to impact gold prices negatively, given the inverse relationship between gold and rising interest rates.
Inflation concerns have also been instrumental in shaping market sentiments. Recent reports unveiled unexpected rises in headline inflation, attributed to surging rental costs and increased prices for used cars and trucks. This persistent inflation, surpassing the Fed's 2% target, has sparked speculation regarding the timing of future rate changes.
Market expectations have been volatile, reflecting shifting probabilities of rate cuts. Current forecasts show a reduced likelihood of a rate cut in Q1 2024, highlighting the market's uncertainty and its sensitivity to economic indicators and central bank policies.
The impact on gold prices has been notable. Gold experienced substantial volatility this month, reaching record highs of over $2,100 per ounce before witnessing significant retracement. The precious metal even fell below the coveted $2,000 mark as the dollar regained strength ahead of the Fed meeting.
Traders are advised to closely monitor the Federal Reserve's statement post-meeting, economic projections, and Jerome Powell's press conference for insights into future policy decisions. Given the unpredictability inherent in financial markets, gold prices may continue experiencing fluctuations based on the perceived stance of the Fed on interest rates and inflation.
From a technical viewpoint, the indicators are currently displaying a neutral to bearish sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is offering neutral signals, while the trend remains bearish. Potential support levels could be identified at 1950.01 and 1984.47, whereas a breach beyond these levels might drive the price toward resistance levels at 2011.36.
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Explosion In Gold. Where To Next?It has been quite a volatile year for EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD and, judging by end of November and beginning of December activity, it continuous to be a volatile one, as we get closer to the new year. On the 4th of December we saw EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD hitting a new historic high, reaching the area near the 2144-dollar mark. This way the precious metal surpassed its previous all-time high, near the 2082-dollar mark, reached in April of this year. That said, before the EU market open on the 4th of December, the yellow metal fell back below that previous high and at the time of writing it is struggling to get back above that barrier. If EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD continues to trade below that 2082 zone, we may see a slight correction back down. That said, we may class that correction as a temporary one, before another leg of buying, as long as the price stays somewhere above a long-term tentative upside support line drawn from the lowest point of November 2022.
As mentioned above, if the price is able to stay somewhere above the 2082 hurdle, this may attract more buying interest, possibly dragging EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD towards the newly-established all-time high, at 2144. If that hurdle gets broken, this will confirm a forthcoming higher high, placing the commodity into an uncharted territory. That’s when we will use the help of our Fibonacci extension tool, in order to try and find our next possible resistance target. As we can see from our chart, the next potential target is at 61.8% extension, which is around the 2180 level.
Alternatively, a drop back below the 2048 zone could signal a possible larger correction lower. In that scenario we will start aiming for the 2009 hurdle, marked by the highest point of October. If that hurdle is not able to halt the slide, we may see EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD drifting below the psychological 2000 area, towards the 1933 level. That level marks the lowest point of November.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SILVER_WAVE 3Silver broke out of corrective triple three pattern after having risen in an impulsive wave 1 starting Oct.3 ending Oct.20.
Talking of chart patterns the commodity also broke out of the falling wedge chart pattern.
Other than a minor pullback on hourly/half hourly chart there should not be much resistance for this commodity to quicky achieve its projected wave 3 target close to approx. $25.
Note*- This chart is for educational purpose only
Gold - Macro View 🌎Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📌 Monthly: Left Chart
From a macro perspective, Gold has been generally bullish, trading within the rising brown channel.
For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the 2075.0 level is essential. In this scenario, a continuation toward the upper boundary of the brown channel can be anticipated.
📌 Weekly: Right Chart
Meanwhile, from a medium to long-term perspective, Gold appears to be confined within a range, currently nearing its upper boundary.
As long as the 2075.0 resistance holds, the possibility of a bearish correction persists. Confirmation of a bearish reversal setup would depend on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Crude Oil Found The Support?Crude oil is trading lower, currently showing blue wave C in late stages of a corrective wave B pattern. We can also see now five subwaves down within C from 88/89 zone, where final subwave (5) of C can be now coming to an end with a huge volume increase. We can actually already see a sharp bounce from the support that can be signal for a minimum three-wave recovery back to 80 area. If we get a five-wave impulsive recovery back above channel resistance line and 80.00 level, that's when we may call a bottom for crude.
✅TS ❕ XAUUSD: declining tops✅✅ The chart has formed a descending top.
The price is under the resistance level.
I believe that the asset will start to decline. ✅
🚀 SELL scenario: short to 1946 🚀
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