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Commoditysignals

XAUUSD on a breaking point. Get ready for the big move.Gold (XAUUSD) closed above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday for the first time since April 14. This is the first major bullish signal in a while but it is not confirmed yet as the price remains and in fact got rejected on the (dashed) Channel Down. A 4H candle close above it will be a buy signal for us, targeting the top of the Channel Up at 2070. On the contrary, a closing below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) will be bearish, targeting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 1940. Note the there is a Higher High Bullish Divergence on the 4H RSI, having rebounded after getting oversold. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
3
WTI OIL Filling the downside gap but short-term rebound.The WTI Oil (USOIL) got, as we expected, heavily rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), starting to fill the gap of March: Our next target is 74.00, just above the Pivot Zone, but on the short-term, with the 4H RSI rebounding after getting oversold (has given a 100% buy signal short-term in the past 4 months), we expect a rise towards the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for rejection. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
2
XAUUSD One step away from a major sell-offGold (XAUUSD) is testing the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up that started a month ago (March 20). The previous two times it hit this line, the price rebounded and a new Higher High was made. This time however the price has already been rejected twice on the 4H MA50, which keeps the short-term bearish (until it closes a 4H candle above it). With the 4H RSI oversold below 30.000 for the first time since March 07, we expect at least a short-term rebound towards the 4H MA50 and target 1995. If the candle closes above the 4H MA50, we will extend our buying strategy towards the top of the Channel Up, targeting 2060. If however we see a candle closing below the Channel Up, we will go short, targeting 1940 initially and upon a new 4H MA50 rejection, 1900 on the 0.618 Fibonacci. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
WTI OIL Broke below the 4H MA50. Sell confirmed.WTI OIL (USOIL) broke yesterday below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today upon re-testing it as a Resistance, it is currently being rejected. This is a major sell signal as since December 2022 inside the Resistance Zone, every such break-out was a confirmed sell. All prior 5 cases hit the Support Zone shortly after. Even an oversold 4H RSI doesn't mean a bottom will be formed. As a result we are confident to keep our medium-term sells (opened last week after the price got rejected on the 1D MA200 (red trend-line)) and target 74.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by TradingShot
3
XAUUSD Short-term pull-backs mean nothingThis is Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1M (monthly) chart where the long-term direction is best seen. Apart from the fast that it has been rebounding on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) since October, we can see that it has been trading within a Pitchfork, treating each trend-line as Resistance/ Support. At the same time, it gathers buyers every time the 1M RSI hits its Higher Lows trend-line and starts strong rallies when the MACD makes a Bullish Cross. The last such cross was completed on March. This indicates that every short/ medium-term pull-back on Gold doesn't affect a strongly bullish long-term trend in a market that based on the Pitchfork has incredible upside potential. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
XAUUSD Sell this pull-back, buy on the low.Gold (XAUUSD) broke bellow the Inner Higher Lows trend-line (dashed) and is headed for the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) again. The long-term pattern is a Channel Up but we see also a Diverging Channel Up that that formed the April 13 High. Sell this pull-back and buy when the 4H RSI hits the bottom of its Rectangle which has provided the previous 3 buy opportunities. This is likely to take place on the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). Our medium-term target on that projected bounce is 2055. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
WTI OIL on a triple Resistance test! Get ready for a big move.WTI Oil (USOIL) has gone a long way since our buy call a month ago, that not only did it hit its target but smashed through the Jan Lower Highs and the 1D MA100: The critical development of the week is that it hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since August 30 2022. Naturally that alone constitutes big news as along with the 83.35 High of December 01 and the top (Lower Highs trend-line) if the 8-month Channel Down, form a Triple Resistance Cluster. In our opinion, as long as the price is inside the Channel Down, we have a huge long-term sell opportunity, with Target 1 being on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 76.50. If on the other hand breaks above the Channel Down, we will hedge buy on the short-term and target the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) at 88.00, which is untouched since October 10. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
4
XAGUSD First major sell signal in 3 months!We had a blast with our buy signal on Silver (XAGUSD) in late February as we caught the exact bottom on the oversold 1D RSI: Now the tide is turning as the STOCH RSI on the 1W time-frame is vastly overbought and is waving the first sell signal after more than 3 months. This doesn't mean that the price can't extend slightly its rise, but this is an optimal level to start adding sells based on our long-term strategy. Right now the price is just above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, having broken above the dashed Lower Highs but is near the dotted Lower Highs. A max extension near the March 07 2022 High and the 0.786 Fib isn't likely but isn't unrealistic at the same time. As mentioned though, that is good enough for us to sell and as of today we switch back to being bearish on Silver, targeting initially the 2 year Pivot at 21.750. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAGUSDShort
by TradingShot
1
XAUUSD This Channel Up is everythingGold (XAUUSD) is pulling back as we suggested with our last week's analysis based on the US10Y: The pattern that emerged is a Channel Up since the March 20 High and the price is right now on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as it holds the Higher Lows trend-line (bottom) of the Channel Up, it is a buy signal, targeting 2050 (a Higher High). If it closes below the Channel Up, then longer term parameters will come in effect, first and foremost being the Fibonacci retracement levels from the March 08 Bottom. The 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci range happens to contain the Symmetrical Support Zone that come all the way from mid January. In that case, we will resume shorting Gold and target the top of the Zone at 1910. Notice how the 4H RSI has been inside a Channel Down while the price is on a Channel Up, indicating a Bearish Divergence. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
1
GOLD May have peaked medium-term based on the US10Y.Gold (XAUUSD) reached (even broke marginally) the top of its long-term Channel Up. At the same time, the US10Y (black trend-line) is almost on a Double Bottom similar to February 02. That was a medium-term peak for Gold and a one month correction followed as low as the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). Gold's peak was made after its 4H RSI broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, which turned out to be a fake-out. If the US10Y starts rebounding, Gold may form a similar peak and in that case we will turn bearish on the medium-term, targeting initially the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the last Low at 1910. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
7
XAUUD Bullish pennant like last November?Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a Bullish Pennant pattern since the March 20 top. Both the price action and the RSI on the 1D time-frame resembles the Bullish Pennant pattern of last November (both started forming after a +11% rise). That shortly after broke to the upside, as it technically does normally, and posted another +11% rise. Currently a break above it again, would seriously make the market consider another long-term rally. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
WTI OIL Near a long-term ResistanceWTI Oil (USOIL) hit our medium-term target last week but following OPEC's cuts, it opened with a big gap up on Monday: In order to more effectively understand the market dynamics after this move, it is best to view Oil on the 1W time-frame where we see all key characteristics of this move. First the rebound 2 weeks ago started after the price tested the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since February 01 2021. The price closed back above it and the rebound landed us to where we are now. This is just shy off Resistance Zone 1, which is holding since November 2022. This calls for the most optimal sell opportunity on a quarterly basis, targeting again the 1W MA200 and the 2 year Support Zone at 63.00. However with the 1W RSI on Higher Lows i.e. a Bullish Divergence against the candles' Lower Lows, we have to consider the probability of a potential bullish break-out. Since the 1W MA50 was a long-term Support turned into Resistance that hasn't allowed a 1W candle close above its since November 2022, we are willing to buy only if we close above it. The target on that occasion will be 93.00 (Resistance 2). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
1
GOLD May be starting a new 7 year Bull Cycle.Gold (XAUUSD) has been on a 6 month rally since the September 28 2022 market Low. This chart on the 1M time-frame shows that Gold is trading on approximately 7 year Cycles since the April 2001 market bottom and that based on this model, the September low may be the bottom of the previous Cycle and start of the new one. Since August 2011 there is a Higher Highs trend-line that rejected any bullish break-out attempts and bullish continuation both on the August 2020 and March 2022 Highs. At the same time the 1M RSI has been on Higher Lows since July 2013 and the recent September Low made a perfect touch on the trend-line. It is likely that a break and closing of a monthly candle above the August 2011 Higher Highs trend-line would start a Channel Up that could share some characteristics with that of 2001 - 2011. What do you think? Are we that close to such a historic Bull Cycle? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
6
WTI OIL Channel Up aiming at the 1D MA50.WTI Oil (USOIL) transitioned from the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern we described last week to a Channel Up: Our target remains 74.50 on the medium-term which makes both a Higher High on the Channel Up while filling a 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is the technical target for the IH&S. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
XAUUSD Bearish below the 4H MA50, 1st time in 2 weeksGold (XAUUSD) broke today below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 10. After the Triple Top formation last Friday, this is the 2nd medium-term bearish signal. With the 4H RSI on a Channel Down similar to the top formation of February 02, we are bearish targeting 1890 within Support Zone B. If the price closes above the 4H MA50 again and later breaks above the 1H MA50 (yellow trend-line), we will target short-term 2000 (last rejection) and resume with more sells the 1890 target. Notice how this is the huge Support Cluster where the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) are. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
NATURAL GAS Confirmed our long-term view, now turning sideways.Those who follow us for long, know that we tend to utilize long-term patterns, especially cyclical pattern that give a high probability of return as they filter out the day-to-day noise from the news. Natural Gas (NG1!) is no exception and our multi-year Cycles analysis last January proves that: As the price continued to free-fall, we now find it useful to better explain the situation to you, to turn back to the 1D time-frame and compare the 2022/23 Cycle to 2014/15. As you see the correlation is fairly high. Both started on a 1D Death Cross, with the 1D RSI deeply overbought. As the price never broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since December 20 2022, it appears that we are in a similar level as February 2015 when after a test of the first Support Zone (green), the price rebounded, got rejected on the 1D MA50 and then turned sideways to break it. It stayed neutral for basically 6 months before starting a new multi-month round of heavy selling. The signal to sell it again was when the price was at its closest to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The downside potential is significant and goes lower than the previous Low of 1.450, which is our long-term target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!
by TradingShot
1
XAUUSD Don't sell before this trend-line breaks!Gold (XAUUSD) continues its parabolic rise that started on March 09. The dashed Higher Lows trend-line is sustaining this uptrend and as long as it holds, we are targeting 2050, which represents a +5.50% rise, similar to the 2 bullish legs we already have since March 09 and a contact with the January 16 Higher Highs trend-line. On the other hand, sell if the March 09 Higher Lows break and target 1935 (Support Zone A) and if broken, potential extension to Support Zone B. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
1
XAUUSD Is this rise an extreme like Russia war or trend change?Gold (XAUUSD) is on an extreme rally since its rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) that filled today the 1960 High of February 02. At the same time it broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the multi-year Channel Down pattern that Gold has been trading in since August 2020. The last time it broke above this Channel was almost exactly 1 year ago (March 2022) during the peak of tension in the Russia - Ukraine war. That extreme effect only lasted for a week and the candle's wick almost reached the previous High (August 2020) before closing the 1W candle back inside the Channel Down. With the week almost over, it is likely that this time Gold won't close the candle back inside the Channel. The previous High is exactly at 2000 so based on the extreme variance, the model can tolerate a rise up to that level. Notice how the 1W RSI is also approaching a Lower Highs trend-line that dates back to August 19 2019! The question now that arises is does a 1W candle close above the Channel Down constitute another extreme like the war 1 year ago or is a change of trend/ pattern long-term, especially if the RSI breaks above its Lower Highs? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
6
WTI OIL Excellent long-term buy opportunity.WTI Oil (USOIL) got its 1D RSI oversold below 30.00 as the market made a new Low since December 09. The last two times the 1D RSI was that low was on the medium-term (Lower) Lows of December 09 and September 26. This is a strong buy signal as every time the Low was priced, it did so on a consecutive 1D Double Bottom candle, which just did today. The Pivot Zone is the first level of Resistance, but since the Dec and Sep rebounds both hit the 1D MA50 on the way up, we will target that again, setting a medium-term target at 74.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
XAUUSD Target hit. Look for a pull-back to re-enter.Gold (XAUUSD) reached our Inverse Head and Shoulders target (1913) we set last week and fulfilled the buy signal we gave 2 weeks ago right when the former Falling Wedge broke upwards: As the 4H RSI has gone overbought beyond limits, the 1D RSI is on a controlled bullish trend, with a Higher Lows trend-line as its Support. Every contact with it is a buy. As the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) is expected to cross above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) within 3 days and for a Golden Cross, we expect the price to pull-back inside the (green) High Volatility Zone. Target 1 is at 1920 (the Symmetrical Resistance) and if it price breaks above the 0.786 Fibonacci, Target 2 will be at 1955 right below the February 02 High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by TradingShot
2