XAUUSD: Bullish trend intact. Cycle target 3,100Gold may just be neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.126, MACD = -15.410, ADX = 31.343) due to the December's consolidation but on the 1M timeframe the Channel Up is very much intact and is immitating that of 2019 so far. Basically since late 2020, Gold has been replicating the post-2016 Cycle, which started with a 3 year accumulation period that led to the 2019-2020 Channel Up. This topped on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. This is enough for us to keep us bullish (TP = 3,100).
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Commoditytrading
COPPER | XCUUSD | HG1! Weekly Forecast: Bearish to the Lows!There is significant Sell Side Liquidity at the lows of this market. This will draw price to it.
Look for price to potentially trade into and drop from the Weekly -FVG.
Should be some significant opportunities this coming week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD looking for recovery? 1H analysisOANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD went bearish after the FOMC news and made the weekly low of 2584. Traders had anticipated 25 bps cut but the 2 rate cuts in coming year was a surprise and everyone took it positively. TVC:DXY went strong bullish and peaked at 108.
Now for today's trading opportunity I have simplified the levels for you people.
For now, let's see if it's technical correction or just bullish continuing.
BUY LEVELS: 2619 If market is able to hold above the level.
SELL LEVELS:
2584 a major level and fall below this means short
2638 a level that can be considered a resistance for being in line with SMA
2656 A strong resistance level that is great short level.
NOTE:
there is economic news coming in the us session. so if you are new trader stay, stay away from market. If yore regular trader then be lenient with stops.
& Always if you like my idea then boost it and share your thoughts in the comments.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Bullish fractal from 2023 targets $78.50.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.153, MACD = 0.060, ADX = 20.101) as it is trading around its 1D MA50 but at the same time remains supported on the S1 Zone. In the meantime the 1D RSI is rising on HL, which is a bullish divergence. This set of dynamics are identical to March-June 2023, when WTI was contained over the S1 Zone but the RSI was pointing to a bullish divergence that eventually caused a bullish breakout. Consequently, we are bullish now, aiming again at the R1 level (TP = 78.50).
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XAUUSD: Channel Up bottom buy opportunity.XAUUSD is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.110, MACD = -4.500, ADX = 23.016) as it is trading under the 1D MA50 and is approaching the 1D MA100. That was the trendline that contained the correction on November 14th at the bottom of the 8 month Channel Up and delivered a strong rebound. So far it seems that Gold is replicating the April-June accumulation phase. As long as the 1D MA100 holds again, we will be bullish, aiming for a strong rebound to the 2.0 Fibonacci level (TP = 2,825).
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Why Gold will sell off again!!As we saw in previous year gold always has a pattern that it follows after a massive rally, we now in the phase of accumulation and it rotating around the POC level of massive move down,
now its try to break the recent resistance but I think it will fail cause of it accumulation nature.
Watch out for new and trade has nice risk to reward!!
Use proper risk management!!
FOLLOW me for more breakdown!!!
USOUSD (OIL), key support remains in play Thanks for checking our latest update. Today we are looking at oil on its daily chart.
The key questions we are asking today from a technical perspective are: Will we see key support continue to hold, and will the rough looking ending diagonal pattern confirm, setting off a new rally? Or could sellers finally break the discussed key support area, setting off a new leg lower?
Key support: $67 - $66.50.
As always, traders must remain vigilant and stay abreast of the latest updates from OPEC and geopolitical influences, as these factors can significantly impact the market.
Good trading from Eightcap.
Oil: Time to Short? WTI Set to Plunge Over 10%Hey Realistic Traders, Is Oil About to Crash? Let’s Dive In....
What's the cause of sudden drop in oil prices?
U.S. President Donald Trump has pledged strong support for the oil and gas industry, aiming to streamline permits, boost domestic production, and expand drilling on federal lands. He has also criticized renewable energy subsidies and pushed for increased natural gas exports.
Aligned with Trump’s stance, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its 2023 oil production forecast to 13.23 million barrels per day, surpassing last year’s record of 12.93 million. Global output is also expected to increase, while weaker oil demand from China, driven by slowing economic growth, adds further downward pressure.
These policies and projections support the assumption of lower oil prices ahead
How much further could they decline?, Let's analyze it using technical analysis!
On the daily timeframe, TVC:USOIL is in a bearish continuation phase, potentially entering wave 3 of the trend. It has also broken out of a head-and-shoulders pattern that developed over the past 60+ days, signaling the end of a consolidation phase.
This breakout, paired with a bearish marubozu candlestick, strengthens the case for a continued downtrend. Adding to this, the MACD indicator has confirmed a bearish crossover, providing further confirmation of downward momentum.
With these signals aligned, we project a potential drop toward the first target of $60.51, and possibly even further to the secondary target of $57.80
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at $73.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Oil.
Crude Oil - High Tide Pt.2Pt 1 found here .
This is an extremely critical market at this time. What must be understood, is NYMEX light crude oil is not its' own independent market, but rather a BENCHMARK for a larger market for crude oil globally, and its' derivatives. Consider a Kenyan bank, that owns a loan on a Kenyan gas station. What is the best instrument to hedge their investment? Well, obviously the answer is NYMEX:RB1! , NYMEX gasoline futures. The sovereign bond of gasoline prices so to speak.
Examining the market technically, we see that it appears bullish. The market experienced a severe panic in price during 2020, as demand and logistics collapsed in face of a global epidemic. However the price has recovered considerably, due to OPEC controls and the global necessity for this commodity. In fact, the market has even retested attempts made at reaching its 2008 high.
Many local market do not have access to global markets as might be expected, such as the NYSE and CME to conduct their day-to-day affairs. This highlights the importance of NYMEX:CL1! globally, not only for the physical delivery of light crude in the United States. But the global marketplace for light crude oil and its' derivatives, such as plastic containers, heating oil and cosmetic products. The reference price for such items by suppliers, is naturally the most liquid benchmark available to them. Which is to say, they will sell their product based on the most available market for their ingredients. A notion common in all business, to be examined at a global level to understand the relevance of this market into the future. This market exists in the United States, which is what underpins the importance of the US Dollar as this principle applies to all commodity and equity benchmarks. Furthermore, the principle of liquidity remains relevant all through history, where commodities as long as trade exists have been priced according to the most liquid benchmark.
The relevance of the US Dollar can most clearly be observed in global bond markets. As capital becomes scarce as Quantitative Easing globally comes to an end, and begins to flow towards the USA, creating the rally in $TVC:DXY. Rates in sovereign debt markets in the US and abroad have risen, and prices have fallen. A lack of demand in sovereign debt outside the USA is being realized, as FRED:RRPONTTLD RRP usage has risen since the beginning of the war between Ukraine and Russia. Because the USA is also the global benchmark for interest rates, due to its deep liquidity. Banks all around the globe balance and hedge their local debt based on this proxy market. For all intents and purposes, this is the only game in town.
It may seem odd that the price of crude oil in US Dollars has risen, given that the value of the US Dollar has risen significantly worldwide. Inflation domestically might dictate that the price of NYMEX:CL1! should fall, but this has not been the case. There is something beneath the surface, that indicates a deep value in this trade yet to be realised. Despite governments and activist organisations fighting against the product, its relevance in commerce has not diminished. Coupled with the importance of this global benchmark, the whole of oil-based product globally appears as important as ever. The market indicated last week the potential for a turning point, as it has capitulated. Traders should consider the market will likely make another low, but appears to be setting up for a rally.
The chart appears to analyze copper CFDs on a daily timeframeThe copper market is showing bearish tendencies, with price breaking below a critical symmetrical triangle pattern. Here are the key insights:
1.Technical Breakdown:
Price recently broke the lower boundary of the triangle, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Strong selling pressure is reflected by increased volume.
2.Support Levels to Watch:
Immediate support: $4.00 (psychological level near the 50% Fibonacci level).
Key support: $3.85 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement and ascending trendline).
3.RSI and Momentum:
RSI still hovers above oversold levels, leaving room for further downside.
Moving averages suggest sustained bearish momentum.
4.Risk and Opportunity:
Traders should watch for a retest of the triangle's lower boundary (~$4.20) as potential resistance before further declines.
Break below $4.00 could open doors for $3.85.
📊 What are your thoughts on copper's next move? Let me know in the comments!
Bullish time in CORN ahead \o/You can see here the CBOT:ZC1! price displayed in a line chart. After reaching its high in early 2022, the bears took control, driving the price down significantly until now.
The factors in play are as following:
Seasonality: Corn prices have historically shown strength from December through March, aligning with planting and crop cycles. This seasonal trend could provide a solid backdrop for a potential price recovery. (highlighted in green on the chart)
Interest Rates: We’ve reached a pivotal moment in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle. The rate hikes that began in March 2022 coincided with the start of the bearish trend, while recent rate cuts in September 2024 may support a rebound in commodity prices, including corn. This shift in monetary policy could act as a bullish catalyst for corn and other commodities. (highlighted in orange on this chart)
Technical Indicators: For additional confirmation, one could wait for a bullish crossover of the moving averages (a golden cross). Such a cross would reinforce the technical setup and definitively signal the onset of a new bull market in corn.
With these factors in play, corn could be setting up for a strong rally in the months ahead.
SILVER Downtrend Alert! Short Trade Setup Ready for Major ProfitSILVER Commodity Technical Analysis (INDIAN Market):
On the 1-hour timeframe, Silver (Commodity) is showing a clear bearish pattern, validating a short trade entry at 95437. The price is approaching key target levels, with TP1 (92725) nearly achieved, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend in the short term.
Trade Summary:
Entry Level: 95437
SILVER Target Levels:
TP1: 92725 (nearly hit)
TP2: 88337
TP3: 83948
TP4: 81236
Stop Loss: 97631
The Risological Dotted Trendline adds further confirmation to the bearish sentiment, guiding this setup toward anticipated targets. Silver’s momentum suggests traders should watch closely as it edges toward additional profit-taking levels!
For extra safe traders, the Trailing Stop for this position is at 96,160
PLATINUM | XPTUSD Weekly Outlook Oct. 21st: BULLISH Bias!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
Platinum is heading towards the Swing High with good momentum.
Target should be achieved this week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers, and I respond to every comment.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD Explodes Past All Targets – Massive Gains Achieved!The long trade on GOLD entered at 76195 has surged with incredible momentum, hitting all our profit targets. The current price stands at 78375, confirming the strength of this bullish run.
Key Levels
Entry: 76195 – Long entry made as the uptrend was confirmed.
Stop-Loss (SL): 76062 – Strategically placed to manage downside risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 76358 – Successfully reached, signaling the first leg of the rally.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 76622 – Continued bullish movement hit this target.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 76887 – Strong momentum allowed this target to be met.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 77050 – Final target achieved, capping off a solid bullish trade.
Trend Analysis
The price has maintained consistent support above the Risological dotted trendline, affirming a robust uptrend. The consistent climb from TP1 to TP4 highlights the power of this movement, with all targets now realized.
SILVER | XAGUSD Weekly Outlook Oct 21st: Wait For BUYS!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
After closing last week with a strong bullish candle, the week ahead maintains a bullish bias.
Be mindful of a short term pullback this week, as price tends to retrace after breaking swing highs. Just remain patient and wait for valid buy setups in this case.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Is Sugar Sweet Enough? ICEUS:SB1! Price is making lower highs and lower lows. Blood incoming??
For any risk adverse traders there is a short trade entering as close as possible to $23 and targeting $20's. Price action is showing weakness short term and remember....
RETRACES ARE COMPLETELY NORMAL!! Just benefit from them and follow the trend.
Gold’s Push to 2766—But an $80 Correction May Be Coming!Gold is eyeing key levels at 2719, 2738, and up to 2766, but let’s not ignore the potential for an $80+ correction along the way. I’ll walk you through the key targets and where the market might throw us a curveball.
Join me as we break down the technical and figure out if gold is set to rally or hit a correction. If this analysis helped (or at least gave you something to think about), give it a like, drop your comments below, and hit follow for more updates. Your support keeps the content rolling—unlike gold, which might need a timeout soon!
Mindbloome Trader
Happy Trading
US WTI CRUDE OIL... Looking to BUY IT!US OIL
Price has pulled back into the Weekly and Daily +FVG. There is a good chance 73-72.00 will hold support, sending prices higher.
My eyes on the lookout for valid buy setups.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: US WTI CRUDE OILUS WTI Crude Oil expanded to the upside last week, with a convincing close. ON the Daily, a +FVG was formed. Things are in place for price to continue to move higher.
My bias is bullish, and I am looking for buys.
Consider the tension in the Mid East, pushing prices higher.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: SILVER | XAGUSDSILVER | XAGUSD is in position to make more gains. My bias is bullish, and I am looking out for long setups.
41.140 is my invalidation line. Should price break below this price, I will change my bias to bearish.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD: 2,650 by next week, 2,850 by early 2025.Gold turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.445, MACD = 34.140, ADX = 33.307). Despite that, our TP = 2,650 will most likely get hit by next week, so now we will discuss what could happen next. Obviously a rejection at the Top of the Channel Up is most likely to take place, with which the market will seek technical confirmation of a support and buyers near the 1D MA50 again.
On the 1W timeframe however (right chart), with the Fed cutting the rates aggressively as during the pandemic (March 2020), it is very likely that we are in a post cut rally which, with the support of the 1W MA50, will peak possibly as high as +78.50%, like the August 2020 Top. Consequently, we see more probable long term for Gold to reach 2,850 by February-March 2025.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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