Silver: Turning Point? 🔀🔀🔀We have reached the area around $28.935, where we expected the silver price to turn and move down South. If the price stays below that threshold there is no reason for us to change that expectation, though above that mark we would adjust the probability of the alternative scenario to 45%. In the longer run, we expect the silver price to fall below $24.04.
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Commoditytrading
WTI - RANGE BOUND!WTI - RANGE BOUND!
Commodities overall since last yr are on a rise as seen on commodity index, I mean look at lumber and various others the % of return has been great and this has been increasing due to inflation, lower dollar etc.
For now WTI - We are still within the range technically.
Pattern: Pennant
Support: 62.62, 60.30, 59.15, 57.20, 55.40
Resistance: 67.15, 69.75, 72.65, 75.15
A break to either direction for further clarification, the key trendline up staying above the bulls are still in control if we break below trendline up bears may start coming in.
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
Long Oil Trade! After a false break above the trendline, still, I was anticipating a move lower and perhaps a retest of the bottom trendline for a short entry... that didn't happen and so, we missed out. However, as we inch closer to fill the Shaven Head Candle which is marked on the chart, that same level is also a strong support level - hence the long trade to.. as you might guess, to fill a Shaven Head Candle at 62.83.
Happy Trading folks!
Cheers!
WTI Crude Oil - The Bigger Picture 👀There's a great chance that we would see higher prices on Crude Oil and for two reasons only... technically!
1. $63.90 level was taken out which opens up room to go higher.
2. Crude Oil... yes we just discovered this recently, it had broken above the Monthly Down Trendline awaiting a possible retest before a move higher.
So yes, that's the bigger picture.. at least it's what I see anyway! 😊
Happy Trading folks!
Cheers!
JO ETN bouncing breaking out of wedge right on supportJO is breaking out of small bullish falling wedge. It was objective to enter the trade as it was falling onto pretty good support at $35.25ish. Looking for follow though green candle tomorrow. $38.80 would be next stop and hopefully to take out top of trading range at $40.70. As you see, JO trades to the technicals pretty well. So, I hope it will be a good trade.
Gold on Weekly - C&H on monthly - 50% FIbo test - BullishThe weekly chart show a nice descending wedge which can form the Handle For the Huge Cup and Handle since 2012.
last Friday, GOld touch 50% on Monthly to rebound there. This bullish wolf, seems valid for a rebund to 2100 or more
Gold: Hard Work 🛠🛠🛠It hasn’t been easy for the bulls in the gold market to defend the upward movement, as the bears were able to pull the price back down around the crucial mark at $1742. In order for our primary scenario to stay intact, we need the bulls to push for another run to reach $1782. From there, we should see a small correction before additional increases in the price.
What would you like to see us analyze next?
Brent Crude: Great Potential 💯💯💯Although it does not seem like there is much to see in this chart, we actually expect the British crude oil to perform very well over the next couple of months. In the imminent course of action, we believe that the price will slightly increase and then move on to complete the correction under $59.04. From there, we will be all set to experience a long bullish run in the direction of $80 and above!
Also, check out our other forecasts!
Silver: Wait After WaitThe last couple of weeks have been relatively tiring as we are desperately waiting for the silver to make a move. This market is developing very slowly. Our expectation is that we will see declining prices for silver, as we expect it to move under $24.04. Somewhere around $22.23, we should see a short correction before the price gradually moves under $20. As long as we stay above $24.04, however, there is a 35% chance that the bulls take over and push for new highs above $30.35.
Patience pays off!
📈 (3/14)-(3/15) ES Trade Plan 📈 Hello Traders, today we'll be following up from last week's 3/12 Trade Plan. The last time we took a look at ES I mentioned healthy pullback to about 3901 or so before another attempt at last week's high near 3958.50-3959.25 - Well thats exactly what happened. Here's the new plan:
🔸 Long after a healthy pullback to minor supports 3933 or ideally 3923
🔸 PT Near @3945, 3958-3959 (ATH), Low 4000's.
🔸 Short rejecting @3946-3948 or failing to break over 3958-3959 (ATH)
🔸 PT Near @3935, 3922, 3901.
US Dollar Still DowntrendingSince the begging of 2021, we have seen around a 2% rally for the $USD; however, there is clearly a downtrend that has to be broken before the bulls get in.
The next level after breaking the upper channel line would be the 100sma, which has proven to be useful as a trend-following system.
Are you ready for some Natural Gas ?I believe Nat Gas is approaching a crucial demand zone! WHAT NEXT?
My current view remained neutral and speculative with Natural Gas being in a range of 2.9xx - 3.400. However, Natural Gas could develop a bullish move if the weather condition in the US continued to strengthen.
For Intraday traders, you could look for Buy setups as it approaches 2.9xx with R:R ratio at 3.04. To be more clear, your target will be at 3.400 and stoploss at 2.740. If you want to be risky your stop loss could be at 2.550.
For Swing traders and Position traders, I will not take this trade.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
~ Tuan Anh Commo
COCOA is tapping on the resistance of recent trading rangeNIB (cocoa ETN) is pushing against the top of the trading range. Cocoa has been consolidating for around two month now. Since I am long term bullish on agricultural commodities such as cocoa, if/when the top of the range is taken out, I expect quick run up as most of these commodities tend to have unidirectional run. First target is $32.80 range and next is the yellow down trend line. When and if that trend line is taken, I expect bigger upward move.
Have a good trade everyone,
T.
Maybe it is not too late to get some BREAD !!CBOT Wheat is range bouncing! WHAT NEXT?
My current view remained neutral with wheat being in a range of 632 - 670. However, wheat could develop a bullish move on Monday and early Tuesday due to USDA Supply and Demand report later Tuesday.
Wheat is overall bullish trading in this range, so we should be looking for Trend-Following Buy setups as it approaches our lower orange demand zone at 625 - 632.
So the highlighted green zone is still a very strong area even though it is tested a coupled of times. I strongly believed that this is where smart money a.k.a institutional traders stops hunt and they are looking forward to make the market move higher.
As per my trading style:
I already have a couple of positions open at 626 and 630 with stop losses somewhat at 615.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
~ Tuan Anh Commo
Technical Analysis and OutlookTechnical Analysis and Outlook
The continuous Silver action keeps the price above Mean Sup $26.250 . Silver's upside at this super bull rally is high; however, the downside low probability pullback should be to the Key Sup $24.750 - If it happens at all. To continue the rest of the market story, see the 'Weekly Market Review & Analysis For February 1, 2021" at the usual site.
Commodities poised for breakout?Dollar index is double-top and reaching breakout to the downside with MSCI Asia ETF on the upside. Most of the commodities are bottom and moving up. With stimulus package coming in, S&P500 will go higher and correlate with MSCI as well. Will go long into commodities, namely, gold, silver, copper, and wti and trade on the pivot points.