XAUUSD - MY VIEW 30 MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
Commoditytrading
BluetonaFX - USOIL Descending Triangle PatternHi Traders!
The bearish price action continues on the USOIL 1D chart, and there may be possible opportunities for short entries.
Price Action 📊
The market has had lower highs and lower lows since breaking below the 3-month low and 20 EMA, creating a descending triangle pattern on the chart.
We are looking for further bearish momentum to break and close the trendline support line and continue to the downside.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
The market's outlook on USOIL is currently negative due to continuing dips in oil prices following tensions in the Middle East.
Support 📉
74.57: TRENDLINE SUPPORT
Resistance 📈
79.01: TRENDLINE RESISTANCE
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
XAUUSD: Bullish Divergence on 4H.Gold turned bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 43.890, MACD = -0.091, ADX = 34.371) after the November Channel Down almost hit the 4H MA200. It hit our 1,935.50 TP nonetheless (see previous signal at the bottom), and now the short term is giving us a buy signal in the event of a break over the Channel Down.
The 4H RSI holds a HL trendline which is a Bullish Divergence against the LL of the Channel Down. Consequently we will open a long if the price crosses over the top of the Channel Down, which is highly likely ahead of the U.S. CPI report tomorrow, and target a Triple Resistance level, the 4H MA50, the R1 and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 1,965).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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XAGUSD: Channel Down confirmed sell signal.Silver has failed to close a 1D candle over the 1D MA50 for four straight sessions and as it previously did on the 1D MA200, this is a bearish signal. Its confirmation is the 1D MACD that formed a Bearish Cross and each time the market has done so since April, inside this long term Channel Down, a new Low was made.
Even the 1D technical outlook just turned bearish (RSI = 44.205, MACD = -0.090, ADX = 34.407) and today's late session rise gives us a better opportunity to enter a short and target the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 20.850).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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BluetonaFX - SILVER Range Zone SHORT to SupportHi Traders!
Silver continues to trade in the range zone as it cannot break above the 23.765 resistance area.
Price Action 📊
The current price action looks bearish. Market highs and lows have started to become lower due to numerous price rejections around the 23.765 level. The market also recently broke and closed below the 20 EMA, and there are opportunities to use the EMA as a focus point to sell rallies.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
Ultimately, precious metals in general got hit this week, as the US dollar has rebounded quite a bit. Additionally, interest rates in America are picking up, which has offered a bit of a reason for investors and speculators to start selling precious metals.
Support 📉
22.292: PREVIOUS DAY'S LOW
20.678: 4 WEEK LOW
Resistance 📈
22.838: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
23.765: RANGE ZONE RESISTANCE
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
Gold: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Gold
Pattern – Breakout/resistance test
Support – 1817.90 - 1918
Resistance – 1944 - 1981
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the Gold on the daily chart.
So price has moved rather quickly today to the upside. Earlier, I was watching the consolidation and wondering if buyers might test it. Well, they not only tested it but broke out. We have run over this move and the next resistance levels in today's update.
The key here is influences, and we will keep seeing demand. If tensions continue, we could see 1980/81 retested based on the current buying speed. But also be wary of any changes in influences as it could lead to fast profit taking.
Oil has been another mover today, adding close to 1.5%. It's also a market we are keeping an eye on as we track towards the European session open.
Good trading.
Brent Oil Short Trade Consideration(1)We are looking at Brent oil for a potential short trade only if the following occurs:
1.Wait for Daily bottom to confirm
2.Then for top to confirm before taking shorts till Weekly Confirmation Bar
low is taken out at 83.46
**We will only be considering this short trade for a very small period as Weekly is in Uptrend**
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
Refn weekly Image
XAUUSD: Very alarming MACD Bearish Cross long term.Gold continues to flash bearish signals and besides the weekly (RSI = 34.620), it is about to turn technically bearish on the monthly timeframe as well (RSI = 48.938, MACD = 40.760, ADX = 33.051). On an even larger scale (3M), we have detected the latest sell indication, as the MACD formed a Bearish Cross.
With the price inside a giant Megaphonoe pattern where all candles have closed inside it, we can expect the current correction to extend as low as its bottom. During Gold's last accumulation phase (2015-2018), it was the 3M MA50 that saved the day and after testing and holding, it started the 2019 parabolic run.
Is this test inevitable?
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Live Trading Session 240: Live positions on Gold and EurIn this live trading session video,we look at our live running position on gold and the closed trade on EURUSD. Both these trades were take live on the RTCT webinar and still running. They are based on the Smart money framework,cycle methodolgy and volume principles.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
US Oil Approaches $90 Amidst Supply Scare and Cooling DemandIntroduction:
The oil market is heating up, and there's an exciting opportunity knocking at our doors. Brace yourselves as we delve into the recent surge in US oil prices, which have approached the $90 mark due to a scare in supply and cooling demand. In this article, we will explore the factors driving this upward trajectory and present a compelling call-to-action for those ready to seize this golden opportunity and long oil!
The Supply Scare:
In recent months, the global oil market has been grappling with a series of supply disruptions, sending shockwaves through the industry. From hurricanes disrupting offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico to geopolitical tensions impacting major oil-producing regions, the supply scare has created a perfect storm for oil prices to skyrocket. As traders, we understand the significance of such disruptions and the potential for them to create lucrative opportunities.
Cooling Demand:
Simultaneously, we have witnessed a cooling in demand, primarily driven by concerns over the resurgence of COVID-19 and its impact on global economic recovery. Travel restrictions, reduced industrial activity, and shifting consumer behavior have all contributed to a temporary dip in oil demand. However, as the world adapts to the new normal and economies gradually reopen, the demand for oil is expected to rebound, further fueling the potential for significant returns.
The Perfect Storm for Traders:
The convergence of supply disruptions and cooling demand has created an ideal environment for traders to capitalize on the oil market's upward momentum. With US oil prices inching closer to the $90 mark, there's an undeniable opportunity to long oil and ride the wave of potential profits.
Call-to-Action: Long Oil Now!
Fellow traders, it's time to seize the moment and embrace the exciting prospects that lie ahead. Here's a compelling call-to-action to encourage you to long oil:
Conduct Thorough Research: Dive deep into the current market dynamics, examining supply trends, geopolitical factors, and demand projections. This will enable you to make informed decisions and identify the best entry points for long positions.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Consider incorporating oil-related assets into your trading portfolio to leverage the potential upside. Options such as oil futures, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), or even energy sector stocks can provide exposure to the oil market's upward movement.
Set Realistic Targets and Manage Risk: Establish clear profit targets and implement risk management strategies to protect your investments. Utilize stop-loss orders, trailing stops, or other risk mitigation tools to ensure you don't get caught off guard by unexpected market fluctuations.
Stay Informed and Adapt: Monitor market news, industry reports, and expert opinions to stay ahead of the curve. The oil market can be volatile, and being proactive in adjusting your positions based on new information is crucial for maximizing returns.
Conclusion:
Traders, the time has come to embrace the exciting opportunity presented by the surge in US oil prices. With supply scares and cooling demand paving the way for potential gains, it's time to long oil and ride the wave of profits. By conducting thorough research, diversifying your portfolio, setting realistic targets, and staying informed, you can position yourself for success in this dynamic market. So, let's seize this moment and make the most of this exciting trading opportunity!
S&P quick Bounce but don't be fooledES made some considerable moves to the downside this week. Now it is time to partially rebalance those scales.
My expectations for the first few days of this week:
Monday-Tuesday-
Upwards retracement with price being pulled upwards by 4553.
Once there I will look for area rejection signs for our next leg down to the 4483.25 target.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Double Buy entry on this Channel Up.WTI Crude Oil hit the HL trendline inside the 1H Channel Up pattern, which was enough to turn the 1H technical outlook bearish (RSI = 37.852, MACD = 0.140, ADX = 31.002). A 1H RSI that low has previously been a buy entry two days ago. The lowest it has been during this Channel Up was 35.400.
In response to the above, we deem the HL hold good enough to make a first buy attempt and target the top of the Channel (TP = 92.00) on another +3.21% increase. If the price crosses under the HL we will make a second buy attempt at the bottom of the Channel Up (assuming the 1H MA200 holds) and target the 0.382 - 0.236 Fibonacci range on R1 (TP = 91.10)
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Is gold going to continue further south?We have entered Gold on the daily confirmation bar on a short trade. This is based on a daily P1 trend continuation move, and along with a weekly continuation trade move according to our smart money framework indicator. You can see on the image below on which part of the cycle we are in on the weekly timeframe and how that matches up with the daily. According to our OE tables, we can see that there is a 70% chance that the weekly potential low will be taken and for the short move to continue further.
Gold(Short)
E - 1925.6
ISL - 1953
T - TBC
Trailing stop at 1932
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
Is silver going to run further south?(2)We had a great clean move on silver past our 50% OE target. It has now hit our trailing stop.
Trade order summary position:
Silver(Short)
Trail stopped out at 2320.
Net P/L: 1.51% Profit
@1% =$1000,
1.51% = $1510
Do refer to our previous chart image where we took the trade last week.
To understand our ideas and videos better,we highly recommend watching our following stream videos:
1.Trader Starter Pack 5 day video course
Look on our channel profile or at our signature section to access it
2.7 steps to achieve consistent trading performance
www.tradingview.com
3.7 steps for strategy construction
www.tradingview.com
Palladium Analysis: Is price starting a swing higher? Today's focus: Palladium
Pattern – Descending triangle / Range
Support – 1223
Resistance – 1320
• Palladium added 4.37% on Thursday
• Palladium and Platinum ignored USD strength to finish firm on Thursday.
Hi, and thanks for checking out today’s analysis. We’re looking at Palladium primarily in today’s video, but we have also mentioned Platnuim, as it also posted a solid session on Thursday.
After yesterday’s rally, we have looked at a few things that have stood out in the buyer's favour, but we have also broken down the remaining hurdles and what we want to see from price to confirm the bullish signs.
Do you trade Palladium? If so, please let us know what you think of the descending triangle pattern and if you agree with current volume supporting yesterday’s move.
Have a great day and good trading.
Soft (Metals) Landing: Silver Likely Has More Room to FallSilver has been trading inside of a falling wedge since April 2022, battered by an increasingly-hawkish fed. Despite a formidable collapse in the biggest inflation driver, oil, CPI and PPI reports are shaping up to be a continuation of the trend; worsening inflation. With any weakness in oil likely to be temporary given our macro environment, it's easy to speculate that inflation-related surprises will likely be to the upside, adding even more pressure to a committed fed.
Because of this, I'm expecting the downtrend in metals to remain intact as we march towards future FOMC rate decisions. Inflation and unemployment currently stand to embolden the fed to raise on the high end of projections until there is a meaningful downtick in inflation, or a material disaster economically. The latter of which can be devastating for silver, given its industrial role. Lastly, specifically for silver, there are also gaps ahead of us that will likely want closed.
Gaps are outlined on this chart going back to 2020 bottoms, and FOMC meeting dates are represented by vertical lines.
My suspicions/beliefs/biases:
Silver is setting up one of the best buying opportunities in recent memory, and market forces will continue to drive deep value deeper for some time.
When the trend reverses, it will reverse for decades, and maybe longer.
Renewable energy sector, capital preservation strategies, fiat collapse, and relative value against literally everything will eventually snap silver's 11 year losing streak.
There will be another touch on the bottom trendline of the falling wedge, likely at or near the September FOMC meeting.
Silver should not break out of the wedge to the downside, but if it does, moves to gap lines will be violent.
We are almost certain to test gap line 1, and it is fairly likely that we will test gap line 2.
Once gap lines take support away from the descending wedge bottom line, reversal has likely begun.
Very unlikely that silver goes far beneath $14.70/oz.
Closing gap 2 would almost certainly mark the end of a front-loaded rate hike cycle, and almost lend itself to capitulatory selling-off, marking what I see to be a likely bottom moving forward.
Beneath gap 2, something terrible has probably happened, hug your loved ones and pray.
TLDR; Short/medium term bearish while the wedge is intact, eternally bullish the moment a breakout to the upside or a fed pivot occurs.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Overbought on 1D but still bullish.WTI Crude Oil turned overbought on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 70.618, MACD = 2.330, ADX = 75.260) as it is extending its relentless rally inside a Channel Up pattern since the June 28th low. This 1 month uptrend is approaching the R1 (83.50), which is the High of April 12th and current Resistance. We are using this as a short-term buy opportunity (TP1 = 83.50). As long as the Channel Up holds, we will buy again upon a pull back (TP2 = 85.50). If the price crosses under the 4H MA100 though, it would mean the end of the bullish trend, and we will shor, targeting S1 (TP = 74.00).
Prior idea:
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Gold: Can buyers hit a new leg higher? Today's focus:
Pattern – Continuation
Possible targets – 1978.50
Support – 1952.70
Resistance – 1965.55
Hi traders, and welcome to today’s update. After buyers held support on Monday, gold looks to be edging at new continuation in its current stage 1. Signs continue to favour buyers after they broke out of the medium-term downtrend last week.
We want to see price beat resistance and hold support or, at a minimum, the moving average to a new uptrend for the last leg higher to remain valid.
US retail sales data is due out today and could have an impact on the USD and Gold.
Have a great day and good trading.
WTI CRUDE OIL: First time since April on the 1D MA100WTI Crude Oil reached the 1D MA100 for the first time since April 28th. The 1D technicals turned green (RSI = 59.140, MACD = 0.550, ADX = 29.727) and if the 1D candle closes over the 1D MA100, then an emerging Channel Up will lead it to the 1D MA200 and consequently we will target a HH (TP = 76.50).
We will take the loss if the price crosses under the Channel Up and the 4H MA50, where we will go short and target the S1 (TP = 66.80) on the long term.
Prior idea:
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