GS Commodity Index ChartLooking at the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index and how the prices went up dramatically from the Covid lockdown, i would say that there is still room for a final rally, before a major correction in 2024.
The chart is self-explanatory.
Looking forward to read your opinion about this.
Commoditytrading
European Central Bank raises rates by 50 basis pointsThe European Central Bank has decided to raise its interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.00% - the highest level since 2008. The ECB President remained confident in the continent's banking sector despite recent doubts raised within Credit Suisse. As a result, EUR/USD added 30 pips to 1.0605. Later tonight, Mitrade expects the Eurozone's year-on-year inflation rate to remain at 8.5%.
GBP/USD increased 42 pips to 1.2107, and AUD/USD added 39 pips to 0.6654. USD/CAD declined 49 pips to 1.3718, as USD/JPY advanced 32 pips to 133.72.
Yesterday, the US stock market closed higher, with the Nasdaq 100 climbing 330 points to 12,581. The S&P 500 also gained 68 points to 3,960, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 371 points to 32,246.
Spot gold increased $1.55 to $1,919.55 an ounce, and WTI crude futures edged up $0.10 to $68.35 a barrel. Bitcoin surged past the key level of $25,000 to $25,114.0, and Ethereum recovered to $1,671.99.
Credit Suisse jitters worries investorsCredit Suisse just announced borrowing plans from the Swiss Central Bank, once again raising concerns in the banking sector. As previous issues remain unresolved in the investment bank, its share price plunged over 10%, currently at $2.16.
As for the major US indices, the Nasdaq 100 managed to add 51 points to 12,251. On the other hand, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 280 points to 31,874, and the S&P 500 declined 27 points to 3,891.
In February, US retail sales contracted by 0.4% on the month, higher than Mitrade's estimates. USD/CAD then advanced 83 pips to 1.3767, but USD/JPY dropped 82 pips to 133.40. The greenback strengthened against other major currencies, with EUR/USD plunging 157 pips to 1.0575. GBP/USD decreased 93 pips to 1.2065, and AUD/USD slid 64 pips to 0.6615.
Spot gold rose $14.22 to $1,918 an ounce, and WTI oil futures closed $3.08 higher to $68.25. Bitcoin and Ethereum slowed to $24,292.0 and $1,642.61 respectively.
Gold - Bearish Sentiment1900 has been broken successfully. Remember, EVERY BREAK EXPERIENCES A RETEST!! Now price will be breaking the second 1m BA zone for the second time at 1896.43. Market-makers are done taking out liquidity and have mitigated the 1912.00 order block. All we need now is HOLD our positions all the way down to 1821!!
Gold is FALLING!
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Proper risk management, trading psychology and patience PAY in the markets.
US dollar and stocks recover as inflation coolsThe market rebounded as most US inflation readings met estimates, with a 6.0% year-on-year increase, though monthly core inflation was slightly higher at 0.5%. US stocks also closed higher as the aftershock of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse subsided, with the Nasdaq 100 surging 276 points (+2.32%) to 12,199. The S&P 500 added 64 points (+1.68%) to 3,920, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 336 points (+1.06%) to 32,155.
The EUR/USD rate edged up 3 pips to 1.0732. Mitrade expects the European Central Bank to raise rates by 50 basis points early Friday morning. AUD/USD increased 15 pips to 0.6679.
A slow drop in the UK Claimant Count Change saw GBP/USD falling 23 pips to 1.2158. USD/CAD slipped 40 pips to 1.3684, and USD/JPY rebounded 104 pips to 134.22.
Spot gold declined $9 to $1,904.01 an ounce, and WTI oil futures slid $3.47 to $71.33 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum extended their rally to $24,947.0 and $1,706.92 respectively.
Market expects US inflation to drop furtherLater today, the US inflation data for February will be released, with Mitrade anticipating the annual reading to slow from 6.4% to 6.0%. With the SVB collapse in mind, the projection for next week’s Fed interest rate decision is swaying towards a more moderate target.
USD/CAD then fell 41 pips to 1.3724, and USD/JPY plunged 180 pips to 133.18. GBP/USD surged 153 pips to 1.2181. EUR/USD climbed 86 pips to 1.0729, and AUD/USD increased 23 pips to 0.6664.
As the market favors traditional safe-haven assets, spot gold gained $46.3 to $1,913.54 an ounce. WTI oil futures dropped $1.88 to $74.80 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to climb to $24,344.0 and $1,671.19 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 rose 92 points (+0.79%) to 11,923. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 90 points (-0.28%) to 31,819, and the S&P 500 slid 5 points (-0.15%) to 3,855.
GOLD (XAU/USD): a multi-timeframe perspective. Correction time?Firstly, let's take a look at the Weekly timeframe graph as illustrated on the left-hand side of the screen. We may observe that the price has been consecutively printing massive bullish candles after having rejected a crucial level of support (1802 - 1810) highlighted on the graphic.
Zooming into the Daily timeframe chart, it can be inferred that the price has been rocketing to the upside, and that it needs for some correctional moves to happen before being able to continue its bullish impulses.
Hence, we are anticipating for the price to consolidate around the area circled on the chart before initiating a drop and POTENTIALLY reaching the zone of resistance aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone.
SVB crash shocks marketThe Silicon Valley Bank collapse marked the second biggest bank failure in the US, after the 2008 financial crisis. Although bank deposits remain intact, shareholders are not protected. Shares of the parent company’s SVB Financial Group have plummeted over 70%, currently at $106.04.
The S&P 500 slid 56 points to 3,861. The Nasdaq 100 traded 165 points lower at 11,830, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 345 points to 31,909.
Meanwhile, US nonfarm payrolls in February increased by 311,000, against Mitrade's estimates of 205,000. On the other hand, the unemployment rate also climbed to 3.6%, higher than the expected 3.4%. Mixed signals in the labor market and a shell-shocked financial market drove up safe-haven demand, with spot gold adding $36 to $1,867.24 an ounce.
The dollar then weakened against its peers. EUR/USD increased 63 pips to 1.0643, and AUD/USD rose 51 pips to 0.6641. GBP/USD surged 103 pips to 1.2028, as UK GDP recorded 0.3% month-on-month growth in January, which rose past the market consensus of 0.1%. USD/CAD slipped 62 pips to 1.3765, and USD/JPY fell 116 pips to 134.98.
WTI oil futures moved up $0.90 to $76.68 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum recovered to $22,476.0 and $1,606.70 respectively.
High US Initial Jobless Claims readings caused market jittersThe US initial jobless claims rose to 211,000, higher than the expected figure of 195,000. Investors then worry about February’s Nonfarm Payrolls report, which will be released later today with Mitrade estimating a reading of 205,000. USD/CAD added 23 pips to 1.3827, and USD/JPY dropped 120 pips to 136.14.
As UK GDP is expected to grow by 0.1% in the month, GBP/USD gained 83 pips to 1.1925. EUR/USD increased 36 pips to 1.0580, and AUD/USD rose 4 pips to 0.6590. Spot gold climbed $17 to $1,830.88 an ounce, and WTI oil futures slid $0.94 to $75.72 a barrel.
After Silvergate announced plans for “Voluntary Liquidation” were disclosed, its stock price plunged 42.16%, and Bitcoin and Ethereum plummeted to $19,892.0 and $1,418.36 respectively.
The stock market ended lower. The S&P 500 declined 73 points (-1.85%) to 3,918. The Nasdaq 100 dropped 219 points (-1.80%) to 11,995, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 543 points (-1.66%) to 32,254.
Bank of Canada halts rate hikesThe Bank of Canada just announced its interest rate decision - leaving as it is at 4.50%. While the decision has been expected by Mitrade, it is also the first major central bank to put an end to months of rate hikes. USD/CAD then added 50 pips to 1.3804, and USD/JPY added over 20 pips to 137.34.
Though EUR/USD slipped 6 pips to 1.0544, GBP/USD managed to add 12 pips to 1.1842, and AUD/USD closed 5 pips higher to 0.6586. Bitcoin and Ethereum just fell to $21,743.0 and $1,537.22 respectively.
As investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday, spot gold declined slightly to $1,813.86 an ounce. Despite a drop in crude oil inventories by 1.69 million barrels, WTI oil futures dropped $1.2 to $76.66 a barrel.
The Nasdaq 100 climbed 63 points (+0.52%) to 12,215, and the S&P 500 edged up 5 points (+0.14%) to 3,992. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 58 points (-0.18%) to 32,798.
NEXT BIG MOVE ON GOLD Hello traders
Its been a while since i posted any charts because im too busy most of the time and i keep them on my pc or in my head
anyway here i am with a chart on gold for a potential long .
this chart/analysis is on a 3day htf and i anticipate the usd to continue its move to the upside up to 1.07 in which case we
will get the move down on gold to the drawn redion on my chart .
as i have labelled we have many confluences so i would expect a strong reaction in this zone
anchored vwap from sept 22 lows
200 ema
0.5 fib
0.618 fib pull from ath - sept low
htf value area low
0.382 speed fan which cuts straight through all of the above which i think is beautiful .
set alerts and wait for the reaction and know where you are invalidated !
i have marked out a channel which could give us an insight into further price movement after the move down .
you know the drill ..like follow share ..thankyou for stopping by
XAUUSD on February's Support ZoneXAUUSD after its biggest daily drop in recent months, it reached the Support Zone of February.
The MA50 (1D) has entered this Support Zone and can support as it is intact since November 10th 2022.
Legitimate short term buy opportunity.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy if the price breaks over Fibonacci 0.382 and retests the Pivot.
Targets:
1. 1280 (MA50 (4H) and Pivot).
2. 1856 (Fibonacci 0.618 and Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4H) is rebounding after breaking deep into the oversold level. It has been a strong buy signal before.
Please like, follow and comment!!
NATGAS Long- Used SFP & Breaker Order Block, with confluence SFP at the Monday low on 12H, 4H, and 1H
- MSB to the upside on the 30m buying retest of Breaker Order Block
- TP1 will be Monday's high, will reassess there but there's a possibility of filling the gap at ~2.93 and could hit 1D FVG at ~3.05
Market sentiment muted in advance of Powell testimonyFederal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify in the US Congress's Joint Economic Committee, explaining recent policy decisions and providing the central bank’s economic outlook. The uncertainty raised risk-aversion sentiment in the market, leading USD/CAD to add 19 pips to 1.3612, USD/JPY also moved up 5 pips to 135.91.
EUR/USD increased 46 pips to 1.0678, Eurozone's retail sales in January grew 0.3% on the month, lower than Mitrade's estimate of 1.0%. But GBP/USD fell 19 pips to 1.2021, and AUD/USD dropped 41 pips to 0.6727.
Spot gold slid $9.7 to $1846.72 an ounce, and WTI oil futures gained $0.78 to $80.46. Bitcoin and Ethereum just recovered to $22,455.0 and $1,570.80 respectively.
The stock market closed slightly higher yesterday, with The Dow Jones Industrial Average advancing 40.47 points (+0.12%) to 33,431. The Nasdaq 100 rose 11.67 points (+0.09%) to 12,302, and the S&P 500 added 2.78 points (+0.07%) to 4,048.
WTI CRUDE OIL Sell SignalWTI Crude Oil reached Resistance Zone (1).
Breaking above the Declining Resistance resembles late January.
Limited upside to Resistance Zone (2) based on the past 4 months.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 74.00 (over Support Zone 1).
Tips:
1. The MACD is also inside its 3 month Resistance Zone. The next Bear Cross will confirm the downtrend.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
This is an extension of this trading plan:
AUD strengthens ahead of the rate decisionOn Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to raise the interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.6%. Mitrade estimates Australia's retail sales in February to grow by 1.9%. Meanwhile, AUD/USD increased 39 pips to 0.6768.
EUR/USD added 36 pips to 1.0632, and GBP/USD surged 99 pips to 1.2040. USD/CAD slid 3 pips to 1.3593, and USD/JPY fell 90 pips to 135.86.
Spot gold rose over $20 to $1,856.43 an ounce, and WTI oil futures edged up $1.52 to $79.68 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum are currently trading lower at $22,342.0 and $1,560.78 respectively.
The Nasdaq 100 jumped 245 points (+2.04%) to 12,290. The S&P 500 gained 64 points (+1.61%) to 4,045. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 387 points (+1.17%) to 33,390.
NATURAL GAS BULLISH RSI DIVERGENCE IN DAILY TF !!!Hello to everyone,
As we can see there is a Bullish divergence in RSI & PRICE on daily timeframe . This is indicating that price has not much momentum to go downside. We can expect a trend reversal in natural gas but only RSI divergence does not confirms the trend reversal. We need positive price pattern or any bullish candle formation to go upside at the bottom of chart. If any bullish candle or bullish scenario forms than only we can go for the long position.
The green candle indicating price momentum towards upside and green candle has good volume also ,which is showing strength in buyers./b]
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad.
Resilient labor data strengthens the greenbackUS Initial jobless claims in February fell to 190,000, lower than the market expectation of 195,000 and January's reading of 192,000. A tight labor market has strengthened the greenback against its peers, as continued rate hikes become more likely. USD/CAD traded 2 pips higher to 1.3596, and USD/JPY climbed 58 pips to 136.76.
EUR/USD declined 69 pips to 1.0596, as the Eurozone year-on-year inflation rate dropped to 8.5% in February, higher than Mitrade's projections. GBP/USD plunged 90 pips to 1.1941, and AUD/USD decreased 32 pips to 0.6729.
Spot gold closed $0.98 lower at $1,835.74 an ounce, and WTI oil futures edged up $0.47 to $78.16 a barrel. Bitcoin and Ethereum declined to $22,845.0 and $1,581.56 respectively.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 341 points (+1.05%) to 33,003. The Nasdaq 100 rose 106 points (+0.89%) to 12,044, and the S&P 500 also increased 29 points (+0.76%) to 3,981.
German inflation rate outpaces estimatesThe German year-on-year inflation rate rose by 8.7% in February, against the expected 8.5%. The data also indicated a steady price level increase despite high readings. Later tonight, the Eurozone year-on-year inflation rate is projected to slow from 8.6% to 8.2%, as EUR/USD climbed 89 pips to 1.0665.
GBP/USD added 11 pips to 1.2031, and AUD/USD increased 31 pips to 0.6761. USD/CAD dropped 51 pips to 1.3594, and USD/JPY edged up 2 pips to 136.18.
Although the US had added 1.165 million barrels to the crude oil inventory, against Mitrade's estimate of just 457,000 barrels, WTI crude futures traded $0.51 higher to $77.69 a barrel. Spot gold rose $10 to $1,836.72 an ounce. Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading higher at $23,717.0 and $1,649.79 respectively.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 5 points (+0.02%) to 32,661. But the S&P 500 declined 18 points (-0.47%) to 3,951, and the Nasdaq 100 plunged 103 points (-0.86%) to 11,938.