BitcoinUSDT(Comprehensive review)Hi friends In this analysis, the following is examined:
1-Ma 100 and Ma 50
2-Rsi
3-Ichimoku
4-Fibo
Check the status of moving averages:
(1D.3D.6D)
1D:The price chart has broken the 200 and 100 moving averages and at the same time it has pulled back to both moving averages.
After the pullback, we have seen an upward trend from the technical point of view, and in connection with the moving average, we are witnessing an upward trend after small corrections.
3D:We see a moving average 100 broken by the price chart We also see a Pullback chart to the place of failure .We also have to note that MA 100 with MA 50 is likely to cut off and cross
6D:The price chart had a collision with the Ma 200 and this collision was associated with the reaction .It should be noted that this is the second price impact with the moving average of 200
And this price chart has a lot of volume and power and there is a possibility of failure of this area.
Also, the moving average 100 is in the range of 33 to 34, which makes it possible to touch these range by the price chart after minor corrections.
Check the status of moving averages:
(4H.8H.12H)
12H:We see an uptrend (CROSS) between moving averages and price charts
Of course, we expect a corrective process to the moving average of 100 (PULLBACK), which is 24500 to 25000.
8H:Here too we see a rising cross between moving and the price chart .Here again we see a bullish cross between the moving gains and the price chart
Moving average of 100 in the price range of 24
And the moving average is 50 in the price range of 25
We expect both of these to create support within the mentioned range.
4H:Here too we see bullish crosses and we have started a corrective trend which confirms the above analysis.
Check the status of ICHIMOKU:
(3D.6D)
6D: The price is inside the red cloud, which shows us the cloud ceiling of the 32000 range and the cloud floor of the 19000 range
Conversion Line can stabilize in the cloud, which can act as support .According to this unwritten rule that the price chart inside the cloud can touch both the ceiling and the floor of the cloud, there is a possibility
that the price will be supported after the blue line and touch the ceiling of the cloud.
3D: The price chart has managed to break the cloud and validate its failure after a pullback
It should also be mentioned that after 450 days, the price was able to stabilize above the three-day cloud.
Base and conversion lines are expected to act as support and prevent the price from falling.
Also, the future cloud has opened in green, which can give strength to continue the upward trend
In this case, the price can move up to the specified area.
Check the status of RSI
(1D.3D.12H.4H)
1D:We see a negative divergence between the price chart and the RSI. If the floor of this divergence is higher than the previous floor, we can expect price growth after the correction. The upper floor should be between 20,500 and 22,800.
3D:RSI is in the range of 70. There is an expectation of RSI correction. According to the EMA, the correction area can be observed between 23000 and 24000
12H:Here we see the divergence of price and RSI
In this case, we will usually see a quick correction process that will also cause the RSI to rest
4H:RSI has completely rested and has reached the range of 30. If the EMA breaks and stabilizes, the price will increase again.
Check the status of FIBO
(12H.1D)
12H:If we draw a fibo between the price of 20 and 29, the zones 23 and 24 are considered reversal zones
3D:If we draw a fibo between the price of 15 and 48, the price is currently trying to break the 0.6 zone.
If this area breaks, it can continue to climb up to the 0.5 and 0.3 areas.
Conclusion
My personal view is to correct the price up to the area of 23500-2400 and if it stabilizes in these areas, we can expect the price to increase up to the area of 33000-34000.
If the price is not stabilized in the mentioned areas, it can be expected to drop up to 19
Note that there is a possibility of a drop to the range of 23000-22000 in order to collect liquidity
Our criterion will be used to measure the validity of the closing price of daily candles.
How to trade
If the price stabilizes in the range of 23,500, you can enter into a purchase transaction and choose targets above 26,000, and the loss limit can also be set below the range of 22,500.
It is also possible to enter into a sale transaction from the range of 28000 to 27000 and define the loss limit above 28,800
Or if the price does not stabilize above 24,000, you can enter into a sale transaction and set the target below 2,000, and the loss limit can also be set in the range of 25,500.
In case of analysis, it is possible to enter into a sale transaction by checking the conditions from 34000 to 33000, which of course requires Ayub's patience and reanalysis.
Comprehensive
BTCUSD - Fate Trendlines, The Wedge and Elliot Waves (ft. RSI)So this is what I see on BTCUSD. If we manage to do one more leg up, then we will 80%+ certainty stop at one of those higher trendlines (weird colored ones). Otherwise, you can see we have a wedge and we fall now we will keep on falling in love and out of love with bears (Alicia).
The THICK green trendline at the bottom is the most likely place where we will find the strongest support (and hopefully stop falling). The thick red line on the right is the place where Goldman Sachs analyst predicted us to stop the correction (1/3rd of the time it took us to get to the ATH).
Regarding RSI, you see clear divergence, at first we accelerated and our next fall was higher than the trendline, but now we fell down thru the uptrend of RSI, meaning we are turning bear by the hour. Either we fall now or touch one of those fancy colored trendlines higher and fall then after the last bull trap.
Volume is looking to die down too, which is also a bearish signal.
Now, bullish scenario: We pass both of those crazy colored trendlines with bullish biased volume and we skyrocket higher, after retesting the new support (in those fancy-colored trendlines) an the RSI turns bullish too. Then we can go long. But right now it looks pretty nasty. So if I were to short it (which I am doing) is to short it now and have the stop loss at least 50-70 dollars above those fancy colored lines and have my target at the bottom thick line. This should be a HUGE trade on Risk to Reward ration. Good luck.
Pro-tip: for conveniece, press "share" - "make it mine" to get the zoomable and editable copy of this graph at your disposal.
I will also add an Elliot Wave perspective here later in the update, but there isn't much to see, it's one of the agreed upon, conventional EWs at the moment.
Oh, and my 2 cents on sentiment analysis. I don't believe we have seen the bottom at 2980 recently cause once that happens (the real final bottom), r/ethtrader frontage will be full of bearish posts and comments as the most upvoted. This is when you know you have seen the bottom - when the majority (95%) have already sold. When people sell it they are bearish biased, that's how human emotions and biases work, that is sort of common knowledge. Also, by simple logic - when the majority (95%) sell, there is no one left to sell anymore. The price literally can't go down any lower. What about 5%? Well, my friend, you can be one of them and I hope I am one of them who sold now.