15 minute observation. goldGold held its spot tightly today, although I see bullish trend to the upside in the HTF which is my bias. But on LTF everything was looking like good movement form bulls and bears for the start of the new week. The 5minute ran good within the 1hr today which is good for those of you who like to scalp. i trust gold for a lot of reasons but mostly for its fundamentals analysis.
Confluencetrading
CTKUSDT wants to retest the supply zonethe price had a breakout from the daily dynamic resistance and static one on 1.2$ and hot the market is testing the 1.4$ daily resistance.
On the 4h timeframe, the price is creating an ascending channel and got the first rejection from the supply zone on 1.475$
How to approach?
If the price is going to have the breakout from the 1.4$ confluence zone, we could see a new retest of 1.5$. According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
GBPCHF SELL, then BUY!!GBPCHF seems to have formed a beautiful Gartley pattern on a 4 hour chart ! the pattern will soon be fulfilled as it reaches the 127.2 Fibonacci level of XA. after which i expect a pullback in the upward direction . For now , i expect a sell till 1.2177 followed by a bullish move to 1.2413 .
XAUUSD Price Action Breakdown UpdateThe sell idea from earlier got stopped out. There was news released regarding Ukraine and caused a bullish breakout. If price respects this level of support, it can continue to retest the highs from yesterday. Waiting for support to be formed to validate my trade idea.
330 pips bagged and I called the swing right here on tradingviewI made it clear when I sent out this signal that if you're taking this trade, that you should hold with a swing mindset and 330 pips later, boom 💥 !...
With a 20 pips stop loss from 1.11200, we bought and held till price hit 1.14500...the data is all here !.
Divergence at the end of a trend cannot fail you when you know how to trade it, especially when italigns with your other confluences and then the smart money concept of order blocks and break of market structure and the likes.
Go ahead and view my profile here, you will find out that 98% of my ideas here are all divergent trades !.
20+ pips bagged, more projected moves below.Price is likely to come all the way down to hit 1.34500/1.34400 then bullish all the way to the next psychological level @1.3550.
This projected move has a very high probability of occuring so watch out.
Don't buy just yet, our bearish move isn't quite complete yet because at the moment. price in H1 got stuck in the 200EMA and it's gathering volume to break that level hence the consolidation.
Hopefully Jolts Job openings provide the necessary volume we need to make this analysis happen.
We have another strong pattern that supports this analysis and as you can clearly see on the chart. It's our favourite pattern the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. We're waiting for our Last shoulder to form before taking those buys💯.
Get ready to short GBPUSDHello everyone !.
This signal meets all shorting requirements except the "M" pattern that will definitely form once price hits the flipping zone which is also a confluence and price will therefore be touching the trendline for the third consecutive time.
The DXY has been bearish which has been taking the price of GBPUSD to previous highs and once the news for Jolts job openings Is out, DXY will bounce back to it's monthly high and send GBPUSD and subsequent XXXUSD pairs back down.
Once fundamentals come out and supports our analysis,please go all in using proper risk management but we have an incredibly bearish bias on GBPUSD.
Price should head back down to it's 1.34400 region before any more major move !.
Hold till price hits support in H1The daily support level is just below the current price level so you can either wait till price gets there or you can open your buy positions at this current price level, whichever you choose to do, it's still a win-win scenerio !.
Use proper risk management because at the moment, strong fundamentals support a buy so all we are waiting for now are the next actions price will take.
Use proper risk managementStop loss - @1.12530
Take profit - @1.1350
Entry - @1.9.9.1.x.x.x.1.3.0.4
This is a pretty straight forward trade but straightforward hasn't really been the strong suit of prices lately due to inflation but fundamentals support this trade so we'll see.
Reason for this trade
1. Strong fundamentals.
2. Strong confluences (trendline, H4 support).
3. The action price is currently taking in M15 is kind of a rejection of the trendline.
4. Inverse head and shoulders pattern forming, it's remaining the last shoulder which should take price to our target.
All I'm waiting for now is a "W" pattern and divergence in M15 and hopefully in H1 as well !.
I grab liquidities for a living lolololDivergence is no joke at all...I spotted divergence in M5 and I had sell positions stacked just above the 34600 level and I saw telegram message from a group that called buys, they went all in, I mean like all in and once there was enough volume in the market, price started selling and voila, it hit my target however little it was and for that group, I believe it hit their stop losses 🛑 and that was that !.
Learn to trade divergences, learn to spot it at overbought and oversold levels in any of your technical indicators, it will be very helpful when making trading decisions !.
Wait till it hits the strongest supportEURJPY is already oversold in M15 but that alone is not the only reason for this trade, there are 2 support levels below...one is a psychological level @129.393 and the other which is @129.444 is not too strong of a support but it might hold during NYSEsession but we shall definitely find out in a few minutes !.
I have buy limits set already, you can hop on after making your own analysis.
Why confluence works?Why candles wick the way it wicks?
why 95% of the market fails to make money trading crypto?
what I'm about to show you is really top secret analysis only top 5% or less knows.
That my friend is confluence, why do you think 16th jan made a wick at 43.7k ? you might say its market being volatile but it was very clear on 14th jan we had naked POC at that level, it was very juicy as we saw 4hr nPOC at that same level.
I get it this might not work 100% of the time but this confluence trading makes me think almost all indicators are lagging, only levels matter.
Check out exo charts for getting nPOC and other stuffs. You have to put in the hard work to find these levels.
My new favorite pair !.All EURJPY asks of you is that you be patient with its price because once it hits major supply and demand zones or as you know them, support and resistance but in this case, we are dealing with support !.
Hop on this sweet 50 pips buy trade with me, i have been monitoring it since yesterday and it just hit my zone, i have been scalping 10-20 pips off of it because it hasn't started its major buy move yet but since it's already in it's zone, you can start buying to 131.30 or thereabout.
Power of multiple confluences in tradingThe rule is pretty simple: if you have many technical confluences backing your setup, the probability of your trade succeeding is really high. On the illustrated BTC chart, a number of confluences is listed. To be precise, there are 4 confluences examined, and they will be all scrutinized below:
1) The current direction of the market is bearish, meaning we are in a downtrend. As a rule of thumb, in a bearish market we look for SELL positions rather than going long (fading the short-term trade against the long-term trend).
2) A nice descending triangle pattern has been formed, indicating that a bearish breakout is highly possible, and that the price may keep dropping deeper down.
3) 60 EMA perfectly lines up with the upper boundary of the descending triangle, which is a crucial zone of resistance that the price can’t seem to penetrate.
4) A nice bearish engulfing candlestick pattern was formed before the massive drop happened, which serves as another indicator of bearish pressure.
After having all confluences ready in hand, it is time to execute. The Stop Loss is place a few pips above the zone of resistance, and the Target Profit is set at 3% gains, as the risk-to-reward based method is utilised.
NOTE: Even though having multiple confluences backs up your technical setup, gives you confidence, and provides your graphical setup with a higher chance of succeeding, risk-to-reward principles should be strictly followed in all cases! We cannot control the market, but we can control our capital, risk, and emotions.
Have a great upcoming weekend, everyone!
Potential Crab Forming 🦀 (Short then Long) USOIL - Daily Crab is still valid price is moving nicely up towards the D point.
However we had a big bullish push on the 27th that sent price into a consolidation leaving a large imbalance before price started to break to the downside again.
We have confirmation for shorts using the LTF BOS etc, once the markets open, I'll wait for price to settle and then I want to see price fill this imbalance and trade from the OB, S/D zone up to towards the weekly highs!
Such a beautiful zone of confluence! A++ trade if price gets there!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Here's my Shorting idea for The Loonie.Price is approaching resistance which also acted as shoulders in the head & shoulders pattern seen in our daily chart. Also, we have our upper trendline around this zone which we expect price should coincide with as it throws back into the zone. Another sell confluence is the blue trendline currently being retested.
If you like this idea, please, don't forget to follow for more analysis updates.