EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Just an update on the trade last night. As you can see we had a HTF buy range (1hr) where price came back into the discounted section. We then had a 30min range bar mitigation which created a large reaction to the upside so we can say this is where a money transfer has taken place.
Subsequently this made our new buying range and yet again price came back into the discounted area and gave the lower time frame entry, there were a few ways of getting into this trade and it also gave scale ins if it was missed.
Price then was heading into the daily premium region so we knew we needed to be partialing out of this trade as we pass through and mitigate the levels of supply, these supply levels were creating pullbacks to continue up however given the HTF area we are it is very wise to partial heavily where we did. Anyone everyone, theres a bit of an insight into one of the team trades last night in the Newyork session. Happy trading ladies and gents and i hope you learnt something.
Consistency
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Just an update on the trade last night. As you can see we had a HTF buy range (1hr) where price came back into the discounted section. We then had a 30min range bar mitigation which created a large reaction to the upside so we can say this is where a money transfer has taken place.
Subsequently this made our new buying range and yet again price came back into the discounted area and gave the lower time frame entry, there were a few ways of getting into this trade and it also gave scale ins if it was missed.
Price then was heading into the daily premium region so we knew we needed to be partialing out of this trade as we pass through and mitigate the levels of supply, these supply levels were creating pullbacks to continue up however given the HTF area we are it is very wise to partial heavily where we did. Anyone everyone, theres a bit of an insight into one of the team trades last night in the Newyork session. Happy trading ladies and gents and i hope you learnt something.
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Just an update on the trade last night. As you can see we had a HTF buy range (1hr) where price came back into the discounted section. We then had a 30min range bar mitigation which created a large reaction to the upside so we can say this is where a money transfer has taken place.
Subsequently this made our new buying range and yet again price came back into the discounted area and gave the lower time frame entry, there were a few ways of getting into this trade and it also gave scale ins if it was missed.
Price then was heading into the daily premium region so we knew we needed to be partialing out of this trade as we pass through and mitigate the levels of supply, these supply levels were creating pullbacks to continue up however given the HTF area we are it is very wise to partial heavily where we did. Anyone everyone, theres a bit of an insight into one of the team trades last night in the Newyork session. Happy trading ladies and gents and i hope you learnt something.
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. I hope youre all well. Attached is the HTF forecast,. Last night we took some nice longs up into the Premium of the daily selling range (trade around 15rr)with the more current expectation of price to soon continue down.
Later we will be looking for sells in the premium of the daily selling range. Happy trading everyone
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. I hope youre all well. Attached is the HTF forecast,. Last night we took some nice longs up into the Premium of the daily selling range (trade around 15rr)with the more current expectation of price to soon continue down.
Later we will be looking for sells in the premium of the daily selling range. Happy trading everyone
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Back again!! After a crazy trading session last night. Again, any questions let them rip!
BFIS were happy with the price of the EQL of the HTF daily sell range last night so we sold according following intentions and had a monster trading running around 30%. We also went long in to this sell transfer prior taking around 8 risk to reward. Following expectational order flow we expected the EQL sell side liquidity to be taken so this was the end target for us. Partials were taken along the way. Now we are expecting a pull back and will be looking to trade the pullback long to then sell again last on following the daily expectations (selling form the new sell range drawn in, in premium pricing)
Absolutely ready for another big session today (we hope).
Crazy week so far and enjoy your day ladies and gents.
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Back again!! After a crazy trading session last night. Again, any questions let them rip!
BFIS were happy with the price of the EQL of the HTF daily sell range last night so we sold according following intentions and had a monster trading running around 30%. We also went long in to this sell transfer prior taking around 8 risk to reward. Following expectational order flow we expected the EQL sell side liquidity to be taken so this was the end target for us. Partials were taken along the way. Now we are expecting a pull back and will be looking to trade the pullback long to then sell again last on following the daily expectations (selling form the new sell range drawn in, in premium pricing)
Absolutely ready for another big session today (we hope).
Crazy week so far and enjoy your day ladies and gents.
DXY | DOLLAR INDEX - SHORT Commitment of Traders shows that central banks have been shorting the dollar since June, the slash in 1% slash in interest rates by the FEDs is doing the Dollar any good either. Technically we have a good ol' Cup & Handle, we broke the handle's ascending channel quite impulsively, we are now creating another ascending channel.
FUNDAMENTALS
MANUFACTURING NUMBERS - MIXED
FACTORY ORDERS - GOOD BUT NOT GREAT
OIL INVENTORIES - WEAK
PMI's - GOOD BUT NOT GREAT
EMPLOYMENT - WEAK
OVERALL STRENGTH BASED ON NEWS
Taking into consideration the market movers, oil and employment I say the fundamentals indicate a weak dollar thus far, tomorrow is a critical day as well. So keep stock of your fundamental releases and assess them for dollar strength or weakness this weekend.
📚EDUCATION: THE BASICS OF TRADING EXPLAINED📚
Hello, Traders!
The basics of what it takes to be a successful trader are simple and obvious
Yet daily, I see traders who fail at one or multiple KEY points that sink their performance and they keep losing accounts even though these people do have the understanding of the market that would have been sufficient enough for them to be profitable if they followed the basic rules. Trading is as much about pattern recognition and capacity for abstract thinking as it is about the personality type, self-discipline, and specific mindset.
The lucky few are born fit for trading, but others might train themselves.
Below, is the breakdown of the basics behind the day trading!
✅TRADING IS A BUSINESS NOT GAMBLING
99% of the new traders have unrealistic expectations of the kind of returns trading might deliver. To make matters worse, they do not realize that it will take years of trial and error before they can make trading Their only source of income.
These delusions make the newbies treat trading like gambling. To AVOID this, please follow these 4 easy steps:
🔥SET AND KEEP YOUR RISK-REWARD.
I recommend risking no more than 1% of the deposit per each trade, which also implies using a variable lot size for every trade, so that no matter the SL
size in pips, or the pair you are trading, the dollar value of the RIKS remains the same with each trade. That way, you are in full control of the risks you
are taking.
🔥DO NOT GO ALL IN.
Sounds obvious, but I’ve seen it so many times. New traders, who lost 70% of the account, GO ALL IN on one trade that they think might help them
recover the balance. That is NEITHER a way to trade, nor a way to learn. Slowly losing your account while learning how to trade, is simply a fee that you
are paying the market for your education. Accept it or fail.
🔥PROTECT CAPITAL=USE SL
I can’t stress this enough and I BEG YOU to use SL. Do NOT enter the trade thinking that if the SL level that you had in mind is hit you will close
manually. You will NOT close the position, and the longer you hold it the more is the temptation to wait a bit more because it seems that the reversal is
coming soon.
🔥CUT LOSSES
Set a daily loss limit. For example, you can Ban yourself from trading for the rest of the day if you lost more than 3 trades in a row. You will enter what
is called a tilt most likely, and you will NOT be productive that day. The same goes for a week. Lost more than 10% of the account in a week? Next week
NO TRADING for you. Watch the market passively, or trade on the demo! By the way, That can be helpful even for professional traders too!
✅KEEPING A COOL HEAD IS KEY
The ideal trader is the one who can set all emotions aside as a robot would, while simultaneously keeping the versatility of the human mind and the intuition, that the machines lack(yet). It is of utmost importance for the new traders to understand that being right about the direction but entering too early or too late is the same as being WRONG because the result will be a LOSS.
Here is how to keep cool:
🔥CONTROL YOUR EMOTIONS.
Both euphoria and a panic attack are your enemies so the more detached you are, the better. Emotions are for the casino, and we are doing business
here, remember?
🔥AVOID FOMO( FEAR OF MISSING OUT)
That one applies mostly to the trades that you are not so sure about, but still want to take them, in fear of not making money. And the early entries
are determined by FOMO too( what if the price does not reach my limit order, and the trade plays out well, but without ME?) FOMO is Incredibly
counterproductive, don't let it control you!
🔥DON’T FOLLOW OTHERS
Avoid herd mentality! 99% of traders lose money, so doing what everyone does inevitably lands you in the 99% category.
🔥BUILD A WATCH LIST
A LOT of the beginners try to PREDICT behavior of the particular instrument that they decided to trade for some reason, instead of going through the
pairs looking for a ready setup that you KNOW works. The former approach leads to finding patterns, key levels, and setups that just aren’t there.
Naturally, the result of trading these is an inevitable LOSS.You should Build a watchlist big enough for your to have a choice, and go through it at
regular intervals, looking for opportunities but NOT INVENTING them.
✅ CONSISTENCY OVER BOOM-BUST STYLE
Consistent trading is the only way to make trading a reliable source of income. Slow but steady gains always beat leap-like boom-bust performance.
The psychological pressure of the latter will most likely break you sooner or later, and who needs gray hair in their 30es anyway?
That is how you achieve consistency:
🔥FIND A STRATEGY
Do the research on multiple trading strategies and pick those that you understand and that are compatible with your personality.
🔥USE PAPER TRADING AND BACKTESTING
To select which strategy is right for you, use backtesting to see how the strategy performed in the past. And use paper trading to see how the strategy
works in real-time.Once you chose the strategy, go back to paper trading and backtesting to polish it.
🔥TRACK YOUR TRADES
Keeping track of your trading! Working with that data is an invaluable tule for the trader, that helps identify your strengths and weaknesses, while also
helping you notice patterns in your trading that would have been left unrecognized otherwise.
🔥FORMALIZE YOUR RULES
Objectivity is KEY for consistent trading because during the rough patches of the market, being sure of your rules helps you stay in the market, waiting
for the tailwind, instead of questioning your strategy or your implementation of it. Create a strict ALGORITHM and follow it step by step. In order to do
that, you need to define every element of your strategy as precisely as possible. For example, a level for you is a daily horizontal level with at least 3
touchpoints, a breakout is valid only if the 4H candle closed above the level, etc... The less vague the terms, the fewer emotions will be involved in
deciding whether to enter the trade or not.
❗️IN CONCLUSION: If you want to become a trader, remember:
1- It will take YEARS to learn how to trade.
2- You will lose a TON of money in the process
3- You will FAIL with 95% probability.
4-Realistic returns from trading are WAY lower than you think
5-BUT when you succeed, you will set yourself free!
Please SUPPORT This Idea By A LIKE and COMMENT!
📚EDUCATION: THE BASICS OF TRADING EXPLAINED📚
Hello, Traders!
The basics of what it takes to be a successful trader are simple and obvious
Yet daily, I see traders who fail at one or multiple KEY points that sink their performance and they keep losing accounts even though these people do have the understanding of the market that would have been sufficient enough for them to be profitable if they followed the basic rules. Trading is as much about pattern recognition and capacity for abstract thinking as it is about the personality type, self-discipline, and specific mindset.
The lucky few are born fit for trading, but others might train themselves.
Below, is the breakdown of the basics behind the day trading!
✅ TRADING IS A BUSINESS NOT GAMBLING
99% of the new traders have unrealistic expectations of the kind of returns trading might deliver. To make matters worse, they do not realize that it will take years of trial and error before they can make trading Their only source of income.
These delusions make the newbies treat trading like gambling. To AVOID this, please follow these 4 easy steps:
🔥SET AND KEEP YOUR RISK-REWARD.
I recommend risking no more than 1% of the deposit per each trade, which also implies using a variable lot size for every trade, so that no matter the SL
size in pips, or the pair you are trading, the dollar value of the RIKS remains the same with each trade. That way, you are in full control of the risks you
are taking.
🔥DO NOT GO ALL IN.
Sounds obvious, but I’ve seen it so many times. New traders, who lost 70% of the account, GO ALL IN on one trade that they think might help them
recover the balance. That is NEITHER a way to trade, nor a way to learn. Slowly losing your account while learning how to trade, is simply a fee that you
are paying the market for your education. Accept it or fail.
🔥PROTECT CAPITAL=USE SL
I can’t stress this enough and I BEG YOU to use SL. Do NOT enter the trade thinking that if the SL level that you had in mind is hit you will close
manually. You will NOT close the position, and the longer you hold it the more is the temptation to wait a bit more because it seems that the reversal is
coming soon.
🔥CUT LOSSES
Set a daily loss limit. For example, you can Ban yourself from trading for the rest of the day if you lost more than 3 trades in a row. You will enter what
is called a tilt most likely, and you will NOT be productive that day. The same goes for a week. Lost more than 10% of the account in a week? Next week
NO TRADING for you. Watch the market passively, or trade on the demo! By the way, That can be helpful even for professional traders too!
✅KEEPING A COOL HEAD IS KEY
The ideal trader is the one who can set all emotions aside as a robot would, while simultaneously keeping the versatility of the human mind and the intuition, that the machines lack(yet). It is of utmost importance for the new traders to understand that being right about the direction but entering too early or too late is the same as being WRONG because the result will be a LOSS.
Here is how to keep cool:
🔥CONTROL YOUR EMOTIONS.
Both euphoria and a panic attack are your enemies so the more detached you are, the better. Emotions are for the casino, and we are doing business
here, remember?
🔥AVOID FOMO( FEAR OF MISSING OUT)
That one applies mostly to the trades that you are not so sure about, but still want to take them, in fear of not making money. And the early entries are
determined by FOMO too( what if the price does not reach my limit order, and the trade plays out well, but without ME?)
FOMO is Incredibly counterproductive, don't let it control you!
🔥DON’T FOLLOW OTHERS
Avoid herd mentality! 99% of traders lose money, so doing what everyone does inevitably lands you in the 99% category.
🔥BUILD A WATCH LIST
A LOT of the beginners try to PREDICT behavior of the particular instrument that they decided to trade for some reason, instead of going through the
pairs looking for a ready setup that you KNOW works. The former approach leads to finding patterns, key levels, and setups that just aren’t there.
Naturally, the result of trading these is an inevitable LOSS.You should Build a watchlist big enough for your to have a choice, and go through it at
regular intervals, looking for opportunities but NOT INVENTING them.
✅ CONSISTENCY OVER BOOM-BUST STYLE
Consistent trading is the only way to make trading a reliable source of income. Slow but steady gains always beat leap-like boom-bust performance.
The psychological pressure of the latter will most likely break you sooner or later, and who needs gray hair in their 30es anyway?
That is how you achieve consistency:
🔥FIND A STRATEGY
Do the research on multiple trading strategies and pick those that you understand and that are compatible with your personality.
🔥USE PAPER TRADING AND BACKTESTING
To select which strategy is right for you, use backtesting to see how the strategy performed in the past. And use paper trading to see how the strategy
works in real-time.Once you chose the strategy, go back to paper trading and backtesting to polish it.
🔥TRACK YOUR TRADES
Keeping track of your trading! Working with that data is an invaluable tule for the trader, that helps identify your strengths and weaknesses, while also
helping you notice patterns in your trading that would have been left unrecognized otherwise.
🔥FORMALIZE YOUR RULES
Objectivity is KEY for consistent trading because during the rough patches of the market, being sure of your rules helps you stay in the market, waiting
for the tailwind, instead of questioning your strategy or your implementation of it. Create a strict ALGORITHM and follow it step by step. In order to do
that, you need to define every element of your strategy as precisely as possible. For example, a level for you is a daily horizontal level with at least 3
touchpoints, a breakout is valid only if the 4H candle closed above the level, etc...
The less vague the terms, the fewer emotions will be involved in deciding whether to enter the trade or not.
❗️ IN CONCLUSION: If you want to become a trader, remember:
1- It will take YEARS to learn how to trade.
2- You will lose a TON of money in the process
3- You will FAIL with 95% probability.
4-Realistic returns from trading are WAY lower than you think
5-BUT when you succeed, you will set yourself free!
Please SUPPORT This Idea By A LIKE and COMMENT!
EURUSD forecast / trades takenTrade update and forecast. Running long took most of my % at the above range mitigation. Can easily pull back here and continue long or fill a larger imbalance below.
Remember we are trending long now and its likely we are going to take out the daily liquidity to the left and fill the large imbalance. Happy trading everyone
EURUSD forecast / trades takenTrade update and forecast. Running long took most of my % at the above range mitigation. Can easily pull back here and continue long or fill a larger imbalance below.
Remember we are trending long now and its likely we are going to take out the daily liquidity to the left and fill the large imbalance. Happy trading everyone
EURUSD forecast / trades takenSome great trades on EU again today, i Have been anticipating this WH to be taken out for some time.
We have tapped in to a nice supply zone now so we can certainly pull back here and its just a question if the pull back will follow through to continue the HTF bearish trend or will it continue slightly higher into premium prices
EURUSD forecast / trades takenCurrently long EU as forecasted, entry taken on the seconds chart.Just another rinse and repeat scenario. I will just hold the one position this time and see how we react to the Supply above.
I will look for shorts at the above supply and failing the follow through of the shorts i will look for further continuations to the long side into the Premium of the HTF selling leg. (see forecast)
I will be extra careful going long as we will be in the premium of the 4hr bearish leg. Happy trading everyone
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Keeping it simple for the week ahead. Took some massive trades on Friday last week with very small stops, see attached. Still yet to take a trade this week and waiting for sells as potential continuations as we are heavily bearish.
If we see bullish flow continue past my AOIs we could also get some nice longs as potential pullbacks as well. Thanks and safe trading everyone
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. Another successful trading day has passed. Only a couple of trades we taken as forecasted in previous posts.
As you can see we have finally broke the 4hr lows which ive been calling for a while and we traded according Closing all positions a few hours before the big news came out.
We cut our trades prior to news as i dont want or need random news spikes in my trading, it adds risk and exposure to your account plus its banned by the prop firm who has funded me so its a great way to lose my account all together.
Right now we have a massive imbalance in the market above where price is now back into the news candle. This drop tapped into a Demand zone so im expecting a pull back up (long) and will take long trades if they present. If we start seeing bearish flow mitigating ill also take sells however im preferring longs at present
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. not much has changed since yesterday besides the fact we took a bunch of nice trades. See image. The forecast is still the same and trades will be taken according. Expecting price to break the 4hr swing.
Due to the fact we are sitting at a HTF demand area we could spring up further before hand so like always im remaining neutral. Another thing i didnt draw in is that we can also do a liquidity sweep of the highs above the asian range and then drop and this would be a great spot to sell
EURUSD forecast / trades takenHey everyone. not much has changed since yesterday besides the fact we took a bunch of nice trades. See image. The forecast is still the same and trades will be taken according. Expecting price to break the 4hr swing.
Due to the fact we are sitting at a HTF demand area we could spring up further before hand so like always im remaining neutral. Another thing i didnt draw in is that we can also do a liquidity sweep of the highs above the asian range and then drop and this would be a great spot to sell