GOLD → One step away from a bullish trend reversalFX:XAUUSD is emerging from the local corrective channel “flag.” Pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the base of the reversal pattern continues. All eyes are on 3200...
Gold is losing ground amid trade optimism and a strong dollar. The price is falling at the start of Wednesday as traders take profits after a rise from weekly lows. Weaker-than-expected US inflation has not justified expectations, but the Fed's refusal to cut rates soon is weighing on the metal. Optimism surrounding new trade agreements between the US and China, the UK, and other countries, as well as hopes for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, are reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, the overall situation looks bearish. There is no deep pullback from support, which means pressure from sellers in the market. Consolidation is forming before an attempt to break through the 3200 level.
Resistance levels: 3243, 3257, 3269
Support levels: 3222, 3200
If the price continues to consolidate in the current local range and continues to attack support at 3222-3200, then in the short and medium term, we can expect the decline to continue. However, knowing the tricks of MM, the price may form a short squeeze relative to local resistance zones before falling further.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Consolidation
GOLD → Correction ahead of news. Will the decline resume?FX:XAUUSD has been buying back all the losses from the Asian and Pacific sessions since the opening of the European session, but this looks more like a catapult being loaded...
GOLD broke through the global consolidation base of 3200, which only confirmed the bearish market structure. Investors are waiting for PPI and retail sales data in the US, as well as Fed Chair Powell's speech.
Expectations of fewer Fed rate cuts and optimism surrounding trade talks with China and South Korea continue to weigh on gold. However, weak macro data and a growing US budget deficit could revive interest in this safe-haven asset.
GOLD is in a correction phase and is heading towards the zone of interest: the liquidity zone and previously broken support of global consolidation.
Resistance levels: 3187-3190, 3200
Support levels: 3123, 3100
Gold may test the indicated resistance, but based on the nature of the market, this situation may end in a false breakout and a fall. Target 3123 - 3100.
However, unpredictable data may temporarily change the market, which could lead to momentum towards 3220-3230.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin ready to test support before risingThe volume profile indicates a clear boundary of the trading range - consolidation support as a target for the current local movement.
102200 - 101400 - panic zone, price may enter this zone, provoke bids (buyers' stoplosses and speculators' sales) and return to the range, which will activate a zone of interest for the market - 103930.
Scenario: the price is trading inside the consolidation with clear boundaries - support and resistance. The price is aiming for the support within a bullish trend. False breakdown of support may trigger a rebound and growth. Target 103930 - 105000
NZDJPY → Countertrend correction and false breakoutFX:NZDJPY is testing resistance within a global downtrend. The currency pair is not yet ready to continue its growth and is forming a local reversal pattern.
Within the global downtrend, the currency pair is forming a countertrend correction and testing resistance at 87.400. The liquidity pool formed above this level is not yet ready to let the price move further. Without the possibility of continuing growth, the price returns to the range and forms a false breakout of resistance. However, since we are in the range and the price has returned inside it, if the bears hold the line (the upper limit of the trading range) at 87.400, this could trigger a further decline, thereby continuing the global downtrend.
Resistance levels: 87.400
Support levels: 86.5, 85.26
Consolidation of the price below 87.400 will confirm that the price is not yet ready to continue the trend. The falling dollar index is provoking a rise in the Japanese yen, which may also put pressure on the currency pair.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC - Will the trend continue?Since the beginning of April, BTC has been on a notable upward trajectory, showing impressive strength with minimal retracements. This sustained momentum has captivated market participants and built a narrative of continued bullish pressure. Along this journey, BTC has carved out two distinct consolidation zones, periods of relative price stability, characterized by equal highs and lows. Each time, these consolidations were followed by a decisive breakout to the upside, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment in the market.
Another consolidation phase
At the present moment, BTC appears to be entering yet another consolidation phase. The price is coiling, showing signs of compression that often precede significant moves. This naturally leads to the question: are we about to witness another breakout to the topside, continuing the pattern established over the past several weeks?
Bullish scenario
In a bullish scenario, a breakout to the upside would likely see BTC pushing towards the 106,000 level. This zone is a key target for traders watching in this consolidation. Should momentum carry the price beyond this threshold, Bitcoin would be well-positioned to challenge its all-time high near 109,000. A clean move through these resistance levels could spark a new wave of optimism, potentially attracting fresh capital into the market and confirming the strength of the current uptrend.
Bearish scenario
However, it’s important not to ignore the risks. The bearish scenario involves BTC breaking down below the current support zone, which sits around the 101,000 mark. A decisive move beneath this level would undermine the bullish structure and signal a shift in market sentiment. In this case, Bitcoin might find itself revisiting the 97,000 to 98,000 range, an area that previously acted as resistance during the last consolidation phase and may now serve as a potential support zone if tested from above.
Conclusion
In essence, the market is at a critical juncture. BTC’s recent behavior suggests a buildup toward a significant move, but the direction remains uncertain. Whether it continues its march toward new highs or corrects to retest lower levels, this period of consolidation is likely to define the next phase of Bitcoin’s trend. Traders and investors alike are watching closely, as the next breakout, up or down, could set the tone for the weeks to come.
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GOLD → Retest resistance before fallingFX:XAUUSD is forming a correction and retesting a strong resistance and liquidity zone within a downtrend. The global trend is one step away from a reversal...
Gold stabilized ahead of the release of US inflation data. After falling 3%, gold is holding steady at around $3,200, consolidating against a weaker dollar. Investors are awaiting US CPI data, which could set a new direction.
Optimism about the US-China trade agreement, geopolitical détente, and profit-taking on the dollar are holding back the price decline. The market is assessing how inflation data will affect Fed policy and demand for safe-haven assets.
Globally, the market doubts that the upward trend will continue, and there are reasons to look for points from which the price could start to fall sharply...
Resistance levels: 3269, 3284
Support levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
The news may cause a shake-up, but if there are no surprises, a false breakout of 3260-3270 and consolidation of prices in the selling zone could trigger a decline to 3200-3150.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Consolidation. Which way will the distribution go?BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P has moved into a consolidation phase after the distribution phase. Focus on the 2414-2725 range. A retest of support is possible during the current phase. Despite the bullish trend, there are risks of a reversal...
ETH has been a fairly unprofitable project over the past few years, with the price hitting one bottom after another. While Bitcoin and altcoins were flying high, ETH has only shown itself to be a bull in the last few days.
In the current phase, the focus is on the consolidation boundaries, as well as the 2550 level. If the bulls keep the market above 2550, then the coin could strengthen to 2725, which would be a positive sign for us that buyers are interested in continued growth.
If ETH continues its correction towards support at 2414, then we will need to monitor the market's reaction to this level. I remain skeptical about ETH due to its weak long-term performance despite a strong fundamental backdrop.
Resistance levels: 2550, 2725
Support levels: 2414, 2260
Further movement will determine the price's exit from consolidation: a breakdown of support means a fall, a breakout of resistance means growth. But the current scenario is trading within the range. If ETH trades near 2725 and forms a pre-breakout consolidation, then we will have a chance for growth.
The opposite scenario is if the price falls below 2550 and begins to test 2414. In this case, sticking to the support level and numerous retests will indicate that the bull market has exhausted its strength and we can expect a correction to 2260-2065.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SUIUSDT → False breakdown of support before growthBINANCE:SUIUSDT has entered a consolidation phase within a bullish trend. The chart shows a zone of interest and a trigger area that are worth paying attention to...
The coin looks quite positive. An upward trend is forming, which is also supported by the growth of Bitcoin and a relatively positive fundamental background.
Technically, SUI is consolidating between 4.110 and 3.811. Below the support level, a huge liquidity pool has formed, which has not yet been tested. There is a high probability of a false breakdown before the growth continues, but if the market turns out to be more aggressive, buyers may not let the price fall to 3.811, in which case we can consider a breakout of the resistance at 4.11-4.275 and consolidation of the price above these levels with the aim of continuing growth.
Support levels: 3.811, 3.667
Resistance levels: 4.11, 4.275
The movement of Bitcoin shows that the market is gathering liquidity as part of a local correction against the backdrop of a bullish trend. Yesterday, we all witnessed a local liquidation, but there are no reasons for a decline yet. SUI, in an ideal scenario, may test support at 3.811 and form a false breakdown before continuing to grow.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLUSDT may rise to 200.0 after long-squeezeMarket maker collected liquidity from 168.5 (liquidation of buyers, entry of sellers and subsequent liquidation of sellers)
After a false breakdown the price went up on a light wave
After the long squeeze, the price is already going to continue the trend with peace of mind.
Ahead is a strong resistance from D1 180 - 180.3.
A break of the level will attract buyers. The target may be 200 - 205
Scenario: a retest of the resistance may end in a small correction. If there is no reversal and the price continues to test 180-180.3, we can expect a breakout, which may attract buyers and further growth to 200 - 205.
NEAR’s Pullback Zone Found — Is $4 Next?NEAR just pulled off a +50% rally from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2.224 — a strong show of force from the bulls. After that explosive move, price is now cooling off in a consolidation phase, preparing for the next leg higher.
🟢 Long Setup — Dip Before Lift?
The next high-probability long zone lies between:
$3.026 – $2.94
Possible but less likely of a deeper dip to $2.78 (0.5 Fib of the recent move)
Long entries can be laddered between $3.00 and $2.90 (even $2.80 if volatility kicks in).
Stop-Loss: Below the daily 21 EMA ($2.7344) and 21 SMA ($2.6739)
Target: $4.00
R:R: ~4:1 — clean and structured
This setup aligns with standard continuation behaviour after strong impulses — consolidation, retrace, and resume.
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection at $4.00)
Entry: ~$4.00
Stop-Loss: Above $4.25
Target: Yearly open (~$3.65)
R:R: ~1.5:1 — not ideal, but valid on confirmation
🎯 Summary
NEAR is consolidating after a strong move — either ready to continue higher or retest deeper into Fib support
Long zone: $3.00–$2.90 (poss. $2.80)
Short zone: $4.00 (on rejection only)
Simple structure, clean risk, and nothing forced — exactly how it should be.
Sometimes, less is more. Let price show the next move. Stay ready. 📈
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NZDJPY may end its rally with a correctionNZDJPY almost without pullbacks, with one impulse forms a strong fall. The potential is starting to run out and the market will need a breather. The current wave may test the zone of interest at 85.268 and move into the correction phase
The price is ready to test the strong support at 85.268, the limit level is most likely still in the market and may hold the support area and thus trigger a correction and pullback to 0.5 fibo
Scenario: fall to 85.268, false breakdown and rebound to the first zone of interest (imbalance) 86.500
Bullish Divergence.
Bullish Divergence.
Weekly Closing above 51.30 - 51.50
would be a healthy sign.
However, 55 is an Important Resistance level.
immediate targets if 51.50 is Crossed & Sustained
will be around 55 & then 58.
Since it is moving in a range, so both sides must be
kept in mind.
Support Zone is around 45 - 47. & this time if it
breaks 44, we may witness further downside. which is
(for the time being) negligible because of Bullish Divergence.
GOLD forms a DOUBLE TOP. Support 3200. Trend reversalGOLD is forming support for the double top reversal pattern
A break of 3200 will confirm the market's intention to reverse the trend and go downwards.
Scenario: There is a lot of important news from the US and Great Britain ahead. If the general fundamental background remains and the dollar continues its bullish trend, then we will be close to a breakdown of 3200.
Thus, a break of 3200 and consolidation below the level will be a signal that we are ready to go down.
NZDUSD is preparing for a reversal and a fallNZDUSD is in consolidation and preparing to exit it. Ahead is possible breakout of trend support and fall to 0.5757
The reason is as follows: change of fundamentals background (positive signals on tariff war), dollar growth and market reversal.
Scenario: break of consolidation support at 0.5885, price consolidation below this level - this will be a signal ready to start distribution, i.e. downward movement.
Primary target 0.5 fibo, secondary target 0.7 fibo
VIRTUALUSDT can derail support with momentumVIRTUAL is consolidating after the rally, but it cannot continue its growth yet. A descending triangle with a clear base support and a fourth retest relative to 1.877 is being formed, which in general only increases the chances of support breakout and decline
Scenario: if the compression of this format (within the descending triangle) continues and the price continues to compress to the support at 1.877, then in this case it will be possible to catch a breakout through a limit order. A sharp impulse is possible. As the first target I will wait for a decline to 0.5 fibo (1.73)
EURJPY → Storming the resistance. Ready for the rallyFX:EURJPY is rising amid a stronger dollar and positive news about the de-escalation of the trade war. The currency pair is storming the resistance of the range.
The currency pair is forming a retest of resistance. A breakout and consolidation above 164.19 - 164.50 could support the market amid the dollar's growth.
The dollar is strengthening after positive news related to the de-escalation of the trade war. Against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is losing ground, which is generally affecting EURJPY.
A move above the key level will confirm a breakout of the resistance of consolidation, which could trigger a distribution phase...
Resistance levels: 164.19, 166.7
Support levels: 163.15, 162.38
The price has already entered the buying zone, meaning that resistance has been broken. All that remains is to wait for confirmation that the bulls are ready... Consolidation above 164.19 - 164.5 will confirm this, and in that case, we can expect distribution towards 166.7.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the rally. 106K - 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT , after breaking out of consolidation at 97,860 and distributing to 104,300, has returned to a consolidation phase, which is generally a positive sign for possible continued growth.
The growth of Bitcoin is linked to several reasons:
General improvement in the global market situation — easing of trade conflicts; Expectations of a US Fed rate cut; Influx of investment into Bitcoin ETFs
Technically , we see the price breaking out of its local downtrend and entering a strong distribution phase. The northern train continues to pick up passengers.
At this stage, I would like to draw your attention to the consolidation at 104300 - 102300. A rebound from resistance is currently forming, and we need to monitor the levels of 103300 - 102300 - 101700. These are quite important areas of interest. A false breakdown (liquidity capture) may form before further growth. A return to resistance and the formation of pre-breakout consolidation, for example between 104300 and 103300, will only increase the chances of a breakout of resistance and growth to 106-107K.
Resistance levels: 104300
Support levels: 103300, 102300, 101700
The trend is bullish, with Bitcoin consolidating. The coin is not going to fall (at the moment), but to build up potential, the price may form a false breakdown of support (a deceptive maneuver) before continuing to rise. Retesting the 104300 level could lead to a breakout and upward distribution.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Return to range. Fall from resistance...FX:XAUUSD is reacting to data related to the tariff war. The price is returning to the range and forming a false breakout of resistance. The level of 3370 and the zone of interest at 3387 play a key role.
On Thursday, gold rose to $3,400 amid a weaker dollar, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and continued uncertainty due to US trade policy and tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Fed left rates unchanged and expressed caution in its assessment of the outlook, which also supports gold's rise.
However, in the European session, we are seeing gold react to the trade deal with Britain, most likely due to the easing of tariffs. Now the main focus is on the terms of the deal. We should not forget about China, where the situation remains tense, but everyone is waiting for a resolution.
Resistance levels: 3352, 3369, 3385
Support levels: 3319, 3269
The fundamental backdrop changes several times a day. At the moment, the situation is as follows: the rise of the dollar, the weakening of the tariff war, and the hawkish stance of the Fed may put pressure on gold. Therefore, I expect the decline to continue after a retest of 3370-3386. In this case, the target could be 3319.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → Resistance level and free zone for growth up to 180.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is holding steady and consolidating near the resistance level of the global price range of 152.85–111.85. Thus, the market has signaled that it is in a positive mood. A trigger is ahead...
SOL is forming a flag consolidation near the upper border of the trading range of 152 - 111, which indicates the accumulation of pre-breakout potential. A breakout from the flag, a break of resistance, and consolidation above 152.85 could provide support and growth. The cryptocurrency market is reviving after yesterday's news and relatively positive data in the tariff war. Countries are gradually beginning to agree, which is generally supportive for the crypto market.
Resistance levels: 152.85
Support levels: 144.6, 141.2
A breakout of the resistance range of 152.85 and consolidation of the price above this level will confirm the readiness for further growth. Further on, there is a free zone and the price can easily reach 180.00.
Best regards, R. Linda!
US100 - Liquidity sweep likely before bullish continuationFollowing a significant upward move last week, the US100 (Nasdaq 100 index) has entered a period of consolidation, currently exhibiting a ranging structure characterized by lower highs and relatively equal lows. This pattern typically suggests a tightening market where bullish momentum is cooling but not yet decisively reversed.
The presence of equal lows is particularly notable from a liquidity perspective. In retail trading behavior, such levels often attract a high concentration of stop-loss orders placed just below the support zone. Market participants perceive these lows as a reliable level of support, but in doing so, they inadvertently create a pocket of liquidity just beneath them.
Institutional players and market makers are well aware of these dynamics. It's common in such scenarios to witness what is known as a liquidity sweep, a short-term move below support levels to trigger stop-losses, fill large buy orders, and shake out weaker hands before the market resumes its dominant trend.
Given the current context, there's a high probability that we may see a downside sweep targeting the liquidity resting beneath the equal lows. This move would likely be swift and sharp, clearing out stop orders before a potential bullish reversal unfolds. If confirmed, such a move could mark the end of the current range and initiate a new impulsive leg higher in the broader uptrend.
Traders should watch for signs of price rejection or bullish divergence following the sweep as potential confirmation of this scenario. Until then, it’s prudent to remain patient and avoid getting trapped in the chop, especially near well-watched support zones.
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GOLD → The rally has given way to a correction. News aheadFX:XAUUSD is rising amid a challenging geopolitical environment. During the Asian session, a correction to the zone of interest (0.5 Fibonacci) is forming. The situation is quite complex and tense.
On Tuesday, the metal strengthened to 3433 due to tensions in the Middle East, but during the Asian session, gold fell sharply due to optimism surrounding the upcoming US-China trade talks, the strengthening of the dollar, and profit-taking ahead of the Fed's decision.
Investors are waiting for Powell's speech, which will determine the future of interest rate policy.
Despite the decline, gold is supported by ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia.
Theoretically, if the bulls keep the price above 0.5 Fibonacci, the growth may continue to 3439, as the price has not yet reached the liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 3439
Support levels: 3369, 3352
However, unpredictable data could trigger a return of the price to the range and a correction to 3323-3300. Risk is posed by upcoming news: FOMC, Powell's speech, and the rate meeting. The Fed's hawkish stance could put pressure on gold...
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDCAD → Intra-range trading. Retest of resistanceFX:NZDCAD is strengthening within a neutral trading range. The currency pair is supported by the dollar's correction, but how long will this last? Ahead of us are the FOMC meeting and Powell's speech...
The focus is on the trading range within which the currency pair continues its local trend. Liquidity around the 0.8317 level is attracting the price. The correction of the dollar is having a positive effect on the NZD. However, news is ahead, and traders are expecting a hawkish stance from the Fed. Against this backdrop, a reversal may occur...
Since the currency pair is in a neutral range, there is a high probability of a false breakout and correction.
Resistance levels: 0.83175
Support levels: 0.82644, 0.8235, 0.8225
The liquidity zone is likely to stop the price (temporarily or reverse it). Further movement depends on fundamental sentiment, but based on rumors about the Fed's position, it is worth carefully analyzing what data the market will receive this evening. A tougher Fed policy or hints of one could strengthen the dollar and weaken currencies...
Best regards, R. Linda!