Consolidation-breakout
$XAUUSD - Consolidating/squeezing Analysis
We are seeing a reset on the indicators are price is being squeezed between the 1M 20EMA and 1M 50EMA.
Scenario 1:
There is strong support at $1650 and it will needfind support at least 1 more time (perhaps twice) before it continues upwards to all time highs (+15)
Scenario 2:
If price breaks below 50EMA we could potential see a drop (-23%) with little support below.
Consolidated Support & Resistance 1 WTF//TTK Prestige*It is a consolidated Support and Resistance as you all can see!
*Also marked the previous move of the Trend by forming the almost Identical Flag-Pattern.
*Broke both the 20 & 50 EMA's with a good bullish momentum, that made our stop-loss clear!
*i.e., the ideal S-L would be around the previous week Green Candle.
*Let the trend take a little retrace, then take the position after your own Analysis and Due Diligence
*The trend is bullish as of now but the momentum purely depends upon the next week's opening and close.
Summer BTC Movement Scenarios (End of Summer Rally ?)Hello everyone,
I would like to share with the community my first analysis ever. First thing first I am in the process of learning, so all the feedbacks are more than welcome.
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Let's start,
I have been watching BTC movement very closely more than ever this bear cycle. Even more so as we are more likely to enter a recession cycle within the next 12 months. Not to mention the disastrous world economic situation resulting in the spiking inflation rates, the devaluation of USD and the worst of all: Oil crisis.
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July 13
After BTC started its rally to "summer moon," a sudden reversal in trend formed a wedge on the Jul 20 by a reversal in trend caused by Elon Musk's BTC announcement (short).
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Jul 22
BTC price started to show premature signs of what seemed to be a regular range movement upward to retest the wedge resistance (yellow) in a natural accumulation pattern to break upward (as the wedge initially formed in an already developed up trend).
But things didn't not go as expected.
The first red flag was that when retesting the support, the price started consolidating longer than usual near the support area then quickly rested the closest resistance before reversion as quickly downward to retest the same support again.
In other words, the consolidation happened suddenly for an unusual length of time (breaking the ranging pattern). All this, oddly near the support area.
It seems to me like a failed bull trap (as buyers did not bite in) - Let me know what you guys think ?
Next thing you know the BIG DUMP (breakdown) that we all witnessed a few hours ago.
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To conclude this mini crash broke this short term rally as you can see on the chart I shared. Will it rally ? Will it pull back and bring us to the price levels before July 13th ?
All in all, The next days will tell us for sure.
The 2 decisive Macro factors will be:
1) Retail sentiment / Adaptation to this breakdown or upcoming breakdowns if there will be.
2) Big NEWS / Breaking News. Bullish or Bearish.
As per my TA:
I foresee that we will be pulling back one way of another towards the 21.6K in the short-term. Retesting the 19K resistance in the mid-term.
Thank you for your time.
Please leave a comment, any kind of support will be appreciated !
Your Truly :)
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DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE.
These are just my own analysis and ideas about the current market.
I am not a professional financial advisor.
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High Tension Lines In 1 WTF//CDSL*Let it cross the 50 EMA with confident volumes in 1 DTF!
*The trend may go Up-Wards or Down-Wards, because of that we are supposed to follow strict SL.
*There is lot of bearish candles before in the trend, but I see something is changing in the trend!
LET'S WATCH!!!
High Tension Lines In 1 WTF//SONATSOFT*High-Tension lines alert!
*First Target is 10% just above UPPER TREND LINE as of now.
*Look for bullishness and volumes if it breaks the UPPER TREND LINE in future.
*SL should be put below the support of H-T Lines.
*If EMA's(20&50) are broken with high volumes up-side then continue holding the stock.
4 HR TF Break DownThe narrative for this short set up is this:
When the 4hr breaks out of a consolidation zone from the 15min TF huge opportunities for high probability entries present themselves.
When you see the opportunity at the beginning of the break cease the moment.
You're either right or wrong.
A tight SL will take care of the RISK if you're wring,
But it sure feels good when you're right!
As always never overleverage.
Trust your trade set up.
Have fun!
I AM Pro Trading Made Simple
Breakout ahead on USDCAD After offering a great buy opportunity earlier this month the USDCAD pair is consolidating on the 60m timeframe.
Similarly, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom is consolidating.
Both these consolidations mean that the pressure is increasing and ultimately the pair will break either to the upside (trend continuation) or to the downside (trend reversal).
Remember to stay patient and always look for confirmation from the indicators!
A Key Support Area with Consolidation, Anticipated MOVE?We have a Key Support Area with a clear consolidation, this key area, I usually allow the market to provide me a break out and pattern confirmation for entry, there is the possibility of price breaking above and creating a Bullish move towards 36k and 39k and there could be a break below as well. if we see a break below to 24k and 21k, we should not stay too long and exit till a clear retest and break out has been confirmed in the sell direction. I a currently neutral at this key area cos the market will determine which direction I should trade.
LPI: WATCH FOR BIG WEDGE BREAK OUTLPI (Laredo Petroleum Inc), an independent energy company (oil and gas).
Huge consolidation within a big wedge . Weekly chart with price above Ichimoku cloud , which means the trend is positive. A break of 90 could be the signal of a strong uptrend , with a 1st resistance at 100.
The move could target anywhere between 146 and 208.
Analysts target: 124
Trade safe.
BNB lost $300 support!Today BNB lost the crucial support zone between $303 -295. If this level had been held BNB would have had many chances to return in the consolidation area within a few days.
$300 support breakout occurred in relatively high volume.
Two & a half hours before the daily candle close and BNB is already fighting the next essential support at $300.
Unfortunately for the bulls, the probabilities are with the bears. (If this candle close near $260).
Next support and the most essential of all is at $212.
If you are still holding BNB it’s unwise to sell the dip. Even if the dip is at $212.
If you are looking for a good entry for short position, it’s not the good time. Wait for the $260 breakdown and the retest as resistance before making your moves.
This break occurred due to LUNA/UST events. Nothing more. (In the short term of course)
Crypto maker is in extreme fear and that’s more bullish than bearish.
Remember investing is a probability game.
Not a financial advice. Always do your own research.
US30 Price Breakdown update1. Price closed above structure but was rejected by the level of resistance to the left.
2. If the next 30m candle closes bullish we can continue to go bullish to fill the range until the next level of resistance
3. If the candle closes within the range, price could consolidate and get choppy.
4. Sells would only be taken if price begins to break the lows