GOLD → Strong zone retest. Bounce before further growth OANDA:XAUUSD is breaking out and is about to test a key area of liquidity at the moment. What can we expect to see from gold going forward?
On the chart I have marked such important levels as 1953 and 1946.7. This is a rather strong resistance area forming a global sideways range. After a long retest, the price is highly likely to fail to break this level the first time and may form a correction to the support. But in the near term, based on fundamental factors and market sentiment, we can assume that the growth will continue after the pullback. In the medium term, the price may test the 2000 area, but we are interested in cheaper zones to start with.
Moving averages support the bullish trend.
Support levels: 1928
Resistance levels: 1946, 1953
Since we have a strong trend + distribution, this movement may continue, but after the retest of the mentioned resistance area. We will follow the price reaction to the area to make further conclusions
COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! CAPITALCOM:US500 TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
Consolidation
🥇 GOLD - Growth will continue after the breakout of 1929On the senior timeframe we see a stop after a strong distribution. This may last until the price breaks the resistance of 1929. At this point, consolidation and a retest of resistance is forming
TA on the high timeframe:
1) The bullish trend is strong
2) The area of 1929-1932 stops us from further growth.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is consolidating. Growth is formed from the support 1913
2) Retest of resistance can be accompanied by both rebound and breakout.
3) The signal for a rebound will be a false breakout, and the signal for further growth will be a breakout and consolidation above 1929.
Key resistance 📈 1929
Key support 📉 1914
Crypto Market Can Be Finishing A Corrective ConsolidationCrypto market made nice and clean impulsive rally at the beginning of 2023, which indicates for a bigger recovery after a correction. Well, Crypto market is now in a corrective consolidation since April, which we see it either as a bullish triangle pattern or maybe even slightly deeper and more complex W-X-Y correction.
After yesterday's volatility Crypto market firstly jumped higher on the news that SEC approved iShares spot ETF, but then immediately reversed down, when BlackRock confirmed that this is false and that their application is still under review. So, it looks like a short-term spike up only, which means that we should be aware of a new slow down within wave E of a triangle or maybe even for wave »c« of Y of deeper complex W-X-Y corrective decline.
Once a correction fully unfolds, we will expect a continuation higher in the Crypto market, ideally at the end of 2023 or beginning of 2024.
All the best!
GOLD → A counter-trend correction is forming. Panic zone OANDA:XAUUSD has been forming a correction since the opening of the session and has reached the area of 1910. The price enters the panic zone relative to 1914. What should we expect from gold next?
The correction on the background of a strong surge of energy and distributive movement should have happened. The market should pull back and gather potential before further upside. The price is testing the 1914.15 area for a breakout. The price is trading in the panic zone, where there are a lot of buyers' bids and sellers' bids are formed. A false break of the level will give us an impulse to 1928.8 and then to 1946. But, if the market consolidates below 1914.15, the correction may continue towards 1905 and 1900, but before further growth. The upward movement in the medium term may continue, for this price will have to overcome 1914, 1928 and 1946, At the moment we are waiting for the price to find support before further growth.
Support levels: 1905, 1900, 1895, SMA
Resistance levels: 1914, 1928, 1946
In the future I expect the continuation of growth, but only after the end of counter-trend correction
COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! CAPITALCOM:US500 TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
💱EURAUD - potential for further growth is forming EURAUD breaks the resistance of two-month consolidation. The market may show a rather prolonged strengthening towards 1.70000
TA on the high timeframe:
1) the market is entering the distribution phase
2) The accumulated potential can be realized during 2-3 weeks.
TA on low timeframe:
1) Consolidation is formed above 1.66387
2) before further growth the price may return to the support for a retest
3) also before further growth separates the breakout of resistance 1.67000. A strong impulse can be formed from the level
Key support📉: 1.66387
Key resistance📈: 1.67914
EURCAD → A symmetrical triangle can be broken through FX:EURCAD is in consolidation of the "symmetrical triangle" format. When one or another line (resistance or support) is broken, an impulse may be formed
This pattern, indicated on the chart, does not have a clear further direction, as it is a consolidation and the price breakout of one of the borders of the figure will determine for us the further direction in the short term.
Earlier the resistance of the descending channel was broken, most likely, the imbalance, which the market maker seeks to eliminate, is above the zone 1.4663, but before further growth the market should form a consolidation. Support at 1.4369 or 1.424 may be tested before rising. If the price breaks the resistance at 1.446 soon, further movement will become obvious. Moving averages are pointing to a near-term burst of activity.
Support levels: 1.4369
Resistance levels: 1.446
In the long term, I expect growth. But, before the growth there may be a local fall and support retest. A breakthrough of 1.446 will be a buy signal. A breakout of 1.4369 will be a sell signal.
Regards R. Linda!
IOTXUSDT - IoToX is stronger amid a weak market BINANCE:IOTXUSDT is proving strong amid a weak market and the fall of the flagship cryptocurrency. A dense pre-breakout formation is forming on the chart, which can give a great move if a number of conditions are met
BINANCE:BTCUSD is declining, the market failed to strengthen above 28000 and the price is falling to 26000. On the background of the 5-day fall of the flagship IoTeX / Tether feels quite confident. Growth and resistance breakout is formed. Consolidation formed under resistance will be enough for resistance breakout and active momentum formation. Altcoins periodically get potential at the transition of capitals between assets, which is most likely formed and IOTX. Earlier MA-50 was broken and the price is preparing to test MA-200 in the near future. The breakthrough of the second one will give a good leverage for growth. Targets in the medium term should be considered 0.02386 and 0.03036.
Support levels: previously broken figure line, 0.01610.
Resistance levels: 0.01866
I expect consolidation above the range and subsequent breakout of 0.01866 resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → A retest of trend support. What could go wrong?FX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend support amid the corrective movement of DXY (Dollar Index). Logically, on an uptrend, support should push price up, but what could go wrong?
On the daily timeframe TVC:DXY is forming a correction to an important support, the reaction could be bullish, thus USDJPY will start to form a rise to resistance. At the moment the fundamental part is quite complicated, with the Fed's tough stance, the dollar is forming a correction under the influence of other levers. So, we will start from the technical analysis.
The currency pair is heading towards the uptrend support, consolidation near this area is confusing and increases the chances of further support breakout. A sell signal (counter-trend strategy) will be the consolidation of the price below the uptrend support line, after its breakout. And the buy signal (trend strategy) will be a false break of the support line.
Resistance levels: 148.9
Support levels: 148,46
The situation is complicated by the fundamentals. From a technical point of view, the price can form a trend growth, but we need to wait for a signal. The setup may break, and in this case the target will be 147.38. Watch the reaction of DXY and USDJPY price to the trend support.
Regards R. Linda!
USOIL (WTI) 10.10.2023Crude oil has experienced a jump after the Hamas-Israel conflict.
It seems now that the price is following a consolidation phase forming important support and resistance levels. Breakout of those levels could cause the price to deviate significantly creating opportunities. Next possible levels are depicted by the arrows.
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🥇GOLD - A reversal pattern. Key level 1857GOLD is forming a reversal pattern that changes the local trend. At the moment, for the market to continue the growth scenario, we are interested in the level of 1857.7. If gold can hold this level, we will see the realization of the pattern and growth to 1877 and to 1901.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price inside the range 1875 - 1815. But resistance has not been reached yet. 1875 area is the actual target at the moment
2) A strong pullback is being formed, the target of which may be the area of 1885-1890.
TA on low timeframe:
1) A reversal pattern " Cup with a handle" is being formed. Exit beyond the resistance of the local consolidation will give us growth and realization of the setup.
2) Flat support retest of 1857 is forming.
3) I am waiting for price consolidation above. It is necessary to confirm that the market is ready for growth.
Key support📉: 1855-1854, 1845
Key resistance📈: 1866, 1873, 1877
Consolidating?Practicing my crayons skills... Don't judge :)
Fixed range VP setup near breakout zones
Things of interest
- Previous dips chopped before the next leg up
- Currently just outside high volume zones. Low vol = consolidation potential?
- Holding, so far, previous resistance zone
- Sideways moves could give time for breadth to improve
- Oil appears to be going up --> good for the markets?
- 'Triangle pattern' kinda interesting
Position :
If asked, I'd say wait for a trend.
Full/final position for the year will be initiated on trend confirmation via private scripts, MAs, etc.
Not financial advice. Good luck and don't risk what you can't lose!
BTC at times of warCrypto Meme market taking a hit supposedly due to the brewing war. People on twitter turning bearish and some even liquidating assets. No major moves and no big volume though.
Took Russian invasion in Ukraine as a reference, 24 February 2022 was the day the news hit. We did definetly dip but overall recovered well until May 2023 arrived.
Personally not selling anything. BTC daily chart still looking good to me after sweeping 25K. Could argue a H&S is forming but irrelevant at this point. I am still loading up on altcoins at these levels.
Like mentioned before there is still a chance of a blackswan, like the mini one with Evergrand Group in august. But i would rather take the hit than risk not having my bags ready for the bull.
BAKEUSDT → Breaking through resistance opens up the potential BINANCE:BAKEUSDT is trying to move into the phase of realization of accumulated potential. A consolidation above the 0.1421 level will be a good starting point. If we break through the resistance of the range, we can get a gorgeous bullish potential (targets are indicated on the chart)
BINANCE:BTCUSD shows good dynamics for the medium term. The price after the false breakdown of resistance does not fall and there are prerequisites for a possible strengthening of the price to 30000, which will give a great kick in the butt to altcoins if the total capitalization increases.
From a fundamental point of view, the cryptocurrency is still turbulent and there is not much bullish news (strong news). But bitcoin is showing strength relative to the SP500 ( CAPITALCOM:US500 ) - and that's good for us.
In terms of technical analysis BAKE: the price breaks the resistance of the annual descending wedge and we get a signal for further strengthening of the price. In the nearest future the market may test the previously broken level of 0.1421 and if the bulls successfully consolidate the position, the price may give a start towards 0.2339 and 0.2840.
Moving averages indicate consolidation and show a hint of something interesting.
Support levels: previously broken wedge boundary, 0.1421, 0.1161.
Resistance levels: 0.1580, 0.1882, 0.2339.
Since we see the breakout of the resistance of the figure, in the long term I expect the formation of the realization of the accumulated potential in the form of a bullish impulse to 0.2339, 0.2840.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of #NFP. What to expect?OANDA:XAUUSD has been consolidating for 4 days. The formation is directed to realization at the moment of #NFP publication. The market was in a downtrend for a long time, after which it went into a narrow consolidation, there were no pullbacks at all in the last two weeks
Today, at 12:30 GMT NonFarm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate (Sep.) will be published. This is quite important news for short-term forex market pricing. The impact is on the dollar, and from it already on gold. On the chart we see the formation of a long 4-day consolidation in the range of 1828 - 1815. On the daily chart, the maximum decrease in volatility over the last 2 weeks is forming. The consolidation is starting to form a pre-breakout character as this range is forming near trend support and near the key level of 1809-1807. Hence, based on the negative fundamental background and the formation of a pre-breakout consolidation, there is every chance of a support breakout and further decline towards both 1800 and 1775. But there is always a BUT. News is an unpredictable nuance. Negative news for TVC:DXY can give a bullish surge for gold and vice versa. The nuances are shown on the d1 chart. On D1 SMAs are in the phase of signal realization
Support levels: 1815.3, 1812, 1807
Resistance levels: 1828, channel border
It is difficult to expect something concrete from the news. In the short term there may be a retest of these resistance areas, but in the medium term I continue to wait for the fall
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The situation remains the same. Consolidation OANDA:XAUUSD continues to consolidate, therefore, the market situation remains the same. The probable outcome of events is a false break of resistance (retest of liquidity area) before further decline
The market has been forming consolidation inside the important range of 1828 - 1812 for the last few days. Liquidity is forming above these boundaries, which the market maker (with high probability) will not miss. In priority, I expect a surge in volumes at the next retest of the resistance area and the formation of a false breakdown. Local strengthening of the price may reach such areas as 1830, 1835, 1840. In the medium term, I expect a further fall, but after reaching local targets. The global target is an important support area, which is indicated on the senior timeframe: Weekly chart on the left (blue level). The moving averages indicate a strong trend. A sell signal can be formed relative to 1828.2, 1833.3, 1835.5
Support levels: 1812, 1807. 1800
Resistance levels: 1828.2
In the long term I expect a continuation of the fall, but a small bullish correction may follow before this movement
OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:SI1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Consolidation before the news GOLD is in consolidation on the background of falling market. There will be news soon, quite strong, and most likely the market players are waiting for the data, so consolidation will form on the chart. The sentiment indicator indicates a bearish potential. The trend is also bearish. The news impulse may hit resistance, after which the decline may resume
TA on the high timeframe:
Market is falling. Price breaks 0.5 fibo and heads towards 0.618
A retest of 1807.96 may follow (the level has not been tested yet), and the price may also hit 0.618 before a pullback.
TA on the low timeframe:
A sideways flat is formed, the essence of the flat is consolidation
Minimal volatility is formed on the market, as the potential for movement in one or another direction is accumulated.
Watch the price reaction to the mentioned levels, I am expecting a fall in priority, as we have a downtrend.
Key resistance📈: 1831, 1833, 1841
Key support📉: 1815, 1807.9
GOLD → The fall continues. Target 1828, 1812 and 1800OANDA:XAUUSD has been making a new downward jump since the opening of the session on Monday. The strong distributive move continues. The price is approaching an important area
The chart shows an important liquidity area, but not the final one (1800). At the moment I am interested in the 1828-1812 area. The nearest support line may be tested soon, followed by a correction before further decline. The strong bearish trend continues in the market on the back of TVC:DXY strengthening. ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices are released today, as well as FED Chars Powell speaks. It is worth paying attention to these releases. From the technical analysis point of view, I will wait for a bounce from 1828 towards the nearest resistance to increase liquidity, after which the price will continue another decline towards 1812 and 1800. The moving averages are showing a strong trend and there is a strong signal on D1
Support levels: 1828, 1812
Resistance levels: 1846
I expect a continuation of the fall in the medium term. Before the further fall, a pullback may be formed, watch the price reaction to the marked levels
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Retest of resistance leads to new sales FX:EURUSD is forming a retest of resistance of the descending price channel. On the senior timeframe (D1) the preconditions for further sell-offs are forming
The market is in the bear market phase. The resistance retest forms a consolidation of the price below the level, which forms a bearish potential before the further fall. At the moment, the fundamental background of the TVC:DXY is quite strong and thus, the Euro will weaken against it, which is what we see. On the monthly chart the price is testing an important support level. On the background of a strong fall, a false breakdown may be formed, which may be followed by a correction. The market cannot fall all the time and at some time EURUSD may go into the phase of consolidation (correction or flat formation). Moving averages act as resistance.
Support levels: 1.05000, 1.0557
Resistance levels: 1.0610, 1.0635
I expect the continuation of the fall to the mentioned support area with the subsequent breakout and further fall to 1.0350
Regards R. Linda!
It's coming backNice rounding bottom, consolidating since April 2022. Is trading just above the support after testing it, good entry point. I just opened a long position, it could time several weeks to reach the target but the risk and reward is good. There is a lot of support underneath. I like this trade.
GOLD →The market doesn't feel supported. Further ↘︎OANDA:XAUUSD is in a strong distributive phase, the price is not even stopped by the 1885 level (liquids area). The price is updating the low amid negative fundamentals, as evidenced by strong weakness from buyers
On Wednesday, the market forms a paranormal candle, the closing of which suggests the continuation of the fall, the local level of 1875 and 1872.58 is formed. If this zone is overcome and the price consolidates below this area, a bearish potential will be formed. But before the further fall, the market-maker may make a rebound to increase the liquidity. In the correction phase the price may reach such zones as: 1880, 1885 !!, 1890. But, it is worth paying attention to the D1 chart, the price is breaking the support of the symmetrical triangle, now the market has entered the phase of realization of the accumulated potential. On the background of bullish news for the TVC:DXY , the XAU price entry into the empty range can only accelerate its fall to 1800. This level is the nearest significant one. At the moment it is difficult to talk about buying, the medium-term market is ready to fall. We continue to follow the price
Support levels: 1875, 1872,5
Resistance levels: 1880, 1885, 1890
Market is red, DXY is being pushed up on the back of unstable inflation. Gold is not feeling strong support levels, suggesting weak buying power
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! OANDA:XAGUSD COMEX:SI1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
PEOPLEUSDT → A break of resistance opens up the new range BINANCE:PEOPLEUSDT forms a local bottom, breaks the resistance of the descending wedge and one of the key levels within the realization of consolidation. A new corridor is opened
As BINANCE:BTCUSD tests a local high near 26800, an altcoin reaction is forming. Even though the SEC has postponed the adoption of BTC-ETF indefinitely, the market is getting a small influx of assets. Our attention is drawn to PEOPLE. The price breaks the wedge resistance and continues to form a consolidation in a weak market. Finally, the coin breaks through the key, for now, level of 0.01022. Consolidation of the price above the level will form a bullish potential, which my move into the phase of realization and within the medium-term perspective PEOPLE / TetherUS can reach 0.01433 and 0.0185. Altcoins have been strongly consolidating their energy lately, something may happen soon.
Support levels: 0.01022, 0.00846
Resistance levels: 0.01433
I expect the price growth to continue after consolidation above 0.01022 level.
Regards R. Linda!
Swing Trade Opportunity on EURAUDThe euro seems to be bearish against a basket of other major pairs. As price reverses from mid-August highs, we've seen two consolidation ranges.
Price is currently in the process of breaking out of the lower range boundary of the second consolidation. I expect momentum to pick up.