EURCAD → A change in sentiment to bearish. MA-200 breakdownFX:EURCAD breaks trend support and spills to the downside as funds increase long positions on the Canadian dollar, whose rise is directly linked to the fall in DXY.
On D1, we see the currency pair returning to the range (1.5040 resistance) after a deep false breakdown. Accordingly, after the short-squeeze the market has potential - liquidity located at the bottom. Accordingly, in the nearest future the market may test 1.497, then 1.493.
BUT! On H4 there is a strong zone of 1.498 ahead. There is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction before a further fall, because below this zone there is a huge pool of liquidity, which will not let the price pass the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.506, 1.5085
Support levels: 1.498, 1.49
The 200&50 SMAs act as resistance, which indicates the current market sentiment. If the market is weak, a correction may not happen, bears may break the level quite quickly. In any case, it is worth watching the price reaction at 1.498
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Consolidation
BITCOIN → WHALES accumulate, BULLS aim for 70K ↑ BINANCE:BTCUSD has been consolidating since March, for half a year. Sooner or later the asset will move into the distribution phase. After the shakeout, the price returns to the channel and enters the consolidation phase, holding above 0.5 fibo.
The shakeout spurred by panic over bad data in the US market a few weeks ago is redeemed. False breakout leads to a rise to 62K, which defines the local range, forming a strong resistance and the beginning of a local correction. Within the correction, the price is testing 0.5 Fibo and the bulls are actively holding the price above this area, indicating that they are not ready to let the price go beyond this area yet.
So, the focus is on the consolidation of 62K - 56K.
How long will the price trade in this range? As long as it wants, until MM gathers the necessary potential
But, after support retest, false breakdown and liquidity capture, MM has another target - liquidity above 68K - 69K, therefore, we have a high probability to catch strengthening to the channel resistance (69K - 70K)
Support levels: 0.5 Fibo (56K), 53500
Resistance levels: 59700, 62500, 70K
A break of the local resistance may give an impulse to 62350. Next, we need to watch the price reaction at 62500. If the price will not pullback, but will start consolidating and squeezing, then we should wait for the breakout and growth to 70K
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FLOKIUSDT → Pre-breakout consolidation. 35% potential ↑BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT practically does not react to the manipulative fall of bitcoin. A breakthrough of the channel resistance and consolidation with the purpose of continuing growth is formed. It is worth paying attention to the zone of 16.00
The coin has been in an downtrend for a long time. But interesting preconditions are forming on H4. Floki lives separately from the market, consolidates above SMA 200 & 50 and continues to test 16.00 for a breakout. Bears are still trying to hold this zone, but their strength is running out. Volumes are rising as is the potential for a pre-breakout consolidation.
Resistance levels: 16.00, 21.00
Support levels: SMA, 14.056
Technically, the emphasis is on a resistance breakout. Consolidation may last for some more time. The structure will be broken if the price breaks the support at 14.056, but until that happens I am waiting for the realization and growth to 21.00
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GOLD → Consolidation in a bull market. Will we reach 2550?FX:XAUUSD is moving into a consolidation phase amid a strong bullish trend as buyers are waiting for catalysts for a new upswing. Buyers are still serious, and Central Banks of major economies continue to actively buy the metal.
Fears of a wider Middle East conflict, have eased, at the same time the US Dollar paused its overnight recovery. The corresponding reaction - flat, we observe on the chart of gold.
Further price direction appears to be northward, as it remains supported by the Fed's dovish sentiment on monetary policy and looming geopolitical risks in the Middle East. In addition, hopes of improved physical gold demand from India and China are likely to limit the decline in the gold price.
Resistance levels: 2517, 2531
Support levels: 2501, 2493, 2477
Technically, since the price is in a range and tested the resistance area earlier, the MM has a liquidity target at the bottom. Consequently, gold may test support (false breakdown) before heading towards resistance again. Emphasis on the channel boundary, 2501, 2493, 2477.
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ETHEREUM → Readiness for realization ↑ Target 3300 BINANCE:ETHUSD ETH is consolidating in front of strong resistance. Bulls do not let the price down beyond 0.5 fibo. amid Friday's news, the cryptocurrency market is reviving and ETH has high chances to pass through 2800.
A false breakout of the resistance of the range is formed, but instead of falling, the coin is consolidating, which is generally one of the pre-breakout nuances. Technically, it would be an ideal condition for me to wait for a prolonged consolidation near 2780-2800 followed by a price advance towards the zone with a breakout target. The liquidation that took place earlier rid the market of an unnecessary part of speculators, after which the whales went into an active accumulation phase, now ETH shows positive preconditions of readiness to go to the intermediate high and resistance of the global range.
Support levels: 2717, 0.5 fibo
Resistance levels: 2780, 2817
The market is bullish, as evidenced by some indicators, technical indicators on the chart, as well as the fundamental background. Accordingly, in the mid-term I expect the price to come out of the consolidation 2780 - 2550 and most likely this exit will be accompanied by a breakout of resistance and growth to 3300.
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GOLD 1H Situational Analysis
Gold has been pushing up for a long period of time, now it has finally slowed down and started consolidating seen on 1H chart.
For LONG opportunities, we need a upward confirmation signal Break of Structure(BOS) to happen at level 2517.580 first, which increases the probability of the market going towards the TP level 2531.765, after which we can start seeking for entry area at lower timeframes to BUY. There are two scenarios for the market to reach BOS, briefly marked by the blue and green prediction paths.
At current moment, it is not easy to Short the Gold, since the uptrend in higher timeframes still seems very strong. But I've suggested a rough "Caution level" at 2491.000, indicating a potential trend reversal signal once it's broken, it's lying below a 1H green demand zone.
IMXUSDT→ Exit from consolidation. One step away from the bullrunBINANCE:IMXUSDT exits the local consolidation and also breaks the resistance of the global trend, which can be regarded as a positive prerequisite for growth.
IMX is consolidating above the support at 1.386, formed in June. The area divides the market into 2 parts (long and short). Bulls are actively trying to keep the price above this zone, buyers' target is the area of 2.576. But before the rally MM can form a local long-squeeze, in which a false breakdown is possible (liquidity capture below the level) before further movement. It is also worth paying attention to MA-50, within the framework of the retest the market may test both sma and the previously broken wedge boundary before resuming the rally phase.
Support levels: 1.386, MA-50, 1.076
Resistance levels: 1.543, 1.784
Bitcoin is pressuring the market, which is forming a local correction, if the flagship starts moving up, it will strengthen the overall tone in IMX. But, if still bulls hold 1.385-1.400, breaking 1.520 resistance will give another chance for growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bull market is testing ATH. What to prepare for?FX:XAUUSD consolidates above 2508 and flies to the key resistance - the border of the range. High probability of a false breakdown and correction before the subsequent growth.
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The lively price growth is based on the sustained weakness of the U.S. dollar after the “dovish” remarks of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at a symposium in Jackson Hole on Friday: “the Fed's easing cycle will begin in September”. The hedge asset, meanwhile, is also benefiting from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
Focus on US durable goods orders data, which will be released later on Monday.
Technically, strong resistance will be difficult to pass the first time around. MM may test the imbalance zone of 2520 - 2510 before returning for another retest of 2531, the target of which could be a breakout and rise to 2550.
Resistance levels: 2531, 2550
Support levels: 2515, 2508
The global and local trends are bullish and the overall sentiment is clear. This tone is supported by the fundamental background from last Friday. Technically, the continuation of growth should be considered, as there are no prerequisites for a reversal or change of trend at the moment
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HelenP. I Gold can leave consolidation and rise to $2555 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Recently price declined to the trend line and at once rebounded and in a short time rose to the support zone, which coincided with support 2. Next, Gold broke this level and rose a little more, but soon turned around and made a correction movement back to support 1, which coincided with the trend line too. Then price rebounded and made impulse up to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, broke this level, and some time traded near. Gold even made a fake breakout and also it started to trades in consolidation. Inside the range, it rose to the top part, after which started to decline and fell lower to support 1 with the trend line. But soon, XAU backed up and today it trades near the top part of consolidation again. So, I expect that XAUUSD will fall to the trend line and then rebound up, exiting from consolidation. After this, I think, the price can continue to grow, therefore I set my goal at 2555 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NZDUSD → Attempt to change the trend amid falling dollarFX:NZDUSD is strengthening from the opening session amid the dollar's return to southward movement. Traders are intensifying USD sell-offs amid expectations of interest rate cuts...
Despite the New Zealand Central Bank's interest rate cut, the USD sell-off is more active on the currency pair. The dollar is forming a retest of support, which increases the chances of further decline in the price amid strong sell-offs.
The currency pair is testing the resistance at 0.6083, but at the moment there is a high probability of correction to the imbalance zone. The reason is that we approached the zone too quickly, we need to accumulate the pre-breakout potential. But, if the bulls manage to consolidate above the resistance, then the market will move to the realization phase after the trend line breakout.
Resistance levels: 0.60828, 0.61475
Support levels: 0.6036
Fundamentally, the environment points to the continuation of growth. Technically, the bulls will have to pass through the trigger at 0.60828 to start the realization phase.
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KLAYUSDT → Transition from bearish to bullish trendBINANCE:KLAYUSDT is entering the distribution phase after exiting the accumulation. The price is resting at the range boundary, but there are prerequisites indicating a possible continuation of growth
Emphasis on the key level of 0.1600. I like the accumulation formed near the level. The key aspect, to forge a further scenario with the purpose of opening entry, I expect a retest or accumulation under the level, which will mean that the coin is ready to go even higher.
On W1 the coin is still in consolidation and is not going to bottom, on D1 the price is breaking the resistance of the wedge, a pattern capable of reversing trends.
Resistance levels: 0.1600
Support levels: 0.5, 0.7 fibo, 0.1246
Technically, such a rise may be followed by a correction either to the local lows on H1 or to the Fibo zone, but a quick retest will increase the chances of a breakout and growth. But, if the bulls manage to go beyond 0.160 and form a consolidation, the growth may start much earlier.
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PEPE → Pre-break consolidation and retest of MA-200BINANCE:PEPEUSDT is consolidating after a shakeout. Bulls are emphasizing the resistance at 0.00000827. On W1, the coin is consolidating above key support, which is a good sign amid the overall bullish trend.
PEPE is trading above trend support and is not going to go down yet. A decrease in volatility is forming - “consolidation” character of the movement. After retesting the resistance, the price returns to the level for another test, which only increases the chances of a breakout of the area. Consolidation of the price above this area may affect the breakout of MA-200, which will be a confirmation of the readiness to go up. Technically, the zone of interest is 0.00001088 and “ob” in the zone 0.000013.
Resistance levels: 0.00000827
Support levels: 0.000007615
We continue to follow the price. The trend is bullish and there are no preconditions that would lead to a trend change. Technically, I expect an attempt to break the upper boundary of consolidation and further growth to the specified targets.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC (4H): Range BoundBTC is moving within a consolidation box
Price is ranging between:
61,800 (Resistance, top of channel)
57,700 (Support, bottom of channel)
Bulls need strength to break the resistance of 61,800.00
AB=CD pattern target calls for 68,000 (Daily Descending channel top)
However, a resistance of 63,500 will require Bullish move.
GOLD → We're up to 2500. What's next, up or down?FX:XAUUSD is updating its historical high due to fundamental reasons. At the moment the market is struggling for 2500, at the same time the dollar is showing the prerequisites of readiness to go south.
Fundamentally, there is a lot of interest in gold for several reasons:
Crisis in the Middle East, expectations of Iranian action.
A shift in the policy dovish view of the economy by the Fed
Jackson Hole Symposium. Traders are quite positive, in anticipation of Powell's comments on the economy and their impact.
Technically, a strong bullish trend and the realization of accumulation is forming on D1. The price updates the high and closes Friday's session very promisingly (at the weekly and daily high)
A price consolidation above 2510 will be a good starting point to the next psychological levels.
Resistance levels: 2510, 2525, 2550
Support levels: 2495
Technically, the focus is on the 2510 - 2495 range. If a false breakout of resistance is formed, profit-taking or MM actions may provoke price decline to the imbalance zone before further growth. But, a confident consolidation of the price above the resistance may form an impulse to 2525.
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GBPUSD → Double bottom + false breakdown = reason for growth ↑FX:GBPUSD is changing its course to the north. Double bottom, false breakout, return in trend boundaries, support in the form of MA-200 & MA-50 is the reason to change the market mood and give confidence to speculators.
An interesting and promising picture is forming on D1. The price on the background of the retest is confidently consolidating above the previously broken resistance of the symmetrical triangle, which held the market within its boundaries for quite a long time. Against this background, hedge funds increased their longs in GBP to the maximum for 6 years
Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 1.2894. The primary retest may provoke a small rebound, but against the background of strong buying and weak dollar, the big buyer is still in the game, this fact may lead to the break of the key resistance and further growth to 1.30 - 1. 32
Resistance levels: 1.2894
Support levels: SMA, 1.2818
If the price is able to consolidate above 1.2894, we should expect further growth. But at the moment there is a high probability of a small correction before further growth.
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USDCAD → The currency pair is preparing to decline. Target 1.360FX:USDCAD for the last few days does not show any preconditions for a pullback or growth, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to 1.372. The fall of the dollar can provoke a breakdown....
Technically, the price is returning to the range of 1.3755 - 1.3600. The bears are holding resistance, forming a descending triangle under the upper boundary of the range, which is generally a prerequisite for a fall. The only possible target in such a case could be the range support.
According to the survey conducted by BofA among investors, more and more traders are betting on the decline of the dollar. The general policy of the Fed is also putting pressure on the index. The currencies may go into a strengthening phase....
Resistance levels: 1.3755, 1.3787
Support levels: 1.372, 1.3655
Technically, the currency pair is forming a local downtrend, and the intermediate patterns play the role of triggers for the continuation of the movement. Accordingly, I continue to expect that the currency pair may decline to 1.36
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Bitcoin - A short term overviewBINANCE:BTCUSD (1H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
BTC is currently trading at $58593 and currently trading at the support zone. Looks like price is consolidating around 58K range. A break out or break down from this consolidation will result in price reaching the next target.
- If price breaks down then the next support for bitcoin is around 55K range.
- If bounces back from this range then next resistance is around 61K range.
Let's see how this plays out.
It looks like price will mostly bounce back from this range. This gives us a long opportunity
Entry: 58K range
StopLoss: 56500
TP1: 59000
TP2: 60000
TP2: 61000
Don't forget to keep stoploss.
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