GOLD → Retest of trend resistance before declineFX:XAUUSD is recovering amid uncertainty, but there is a fairly strong resistance zone ahead that could hold back growth and trigger a decline...
Since the opening of the session, the price has recovered slightly after a week-long decline. Growth is being held back by two-sided risks: on the one hand, pressure on the dollar and Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating are supporting the metal, while on the other hand, high bond yields and possible US trade agreements are limiting growth.
Investors are awaiting new statements from the Fed and are monitoring US negotiations with key partners. Amid concerns about fiscal stability and weak economic data, gold may remain in positive territory, but positive trade news could turn it down again.
Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Support levels: 3206, 3153
A false breakout of the specified resistance will confirm the inability to continue growth. Consolidation after a false breakout of 3257 - 3265 below 3257 could trigger a reversal and a fall to areas of interest...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Consolidation
USDJPY → Support retest. Is the trend continuing?FX:USDJPY is storming key support within the local downtrend. Pressure is intensifying the dollar's decline...
The dollar index is beginning to fall, which is also reflected in the currency pair.
Selling pressure is intensifying. A local downtrend is forming, with an attempt to break through key support at 144.82, below which the path to 143.4 - 142 opens up. Consolidation of the price below 144.82 could intensify the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 145.34, 146.07
Support levels: 144.82, 143.44, 142.35
Global and local trends are downward, and the fall of the dollar can only provide additional resistance, which will intensify the sell-off. A break of key support and consolidation of prices below 144.82 will trigger further sell-offs.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation in a triangle amid a BULLISH TRENDBINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating. A symmetrical triangle is forming against the backdrop of a bullish trend. Given the current technical nuances, we can bet that this consolidation is forming with the aim of continuing growth...
Fundamental nuances have gradually improved over the past few weeks, and the cryptocurrency market has revived slightly. Technically, I like the market structure on D1. After strong growth, the price is not going to fall, consolidation is forming. The market is bullish, after 2-3 weeks of consolidation, a bullish distribution is forming. The cycle has repeated itself twice. On D1, you can see how long tails are forming downward within the consolidation, indicating that whales are buying up all attempts to fall, keeping the market away from risk zones. Accordingly, at the moment, I would say that consolidation may continue for some time, and I do not rule out an attempt to retest the triangle support before growth, or entry into a deeper zone to retest the distant liquidity zones of 101400 and 100700 before continuing growth.
Resistance levels: 103.6, 104.4, 105.0
Support levels: 102.5, 101.4, 100.6
A decline can be considered if the price breaks the triangle support and sticks to 101400, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation (if there is no upward rebound).
However, at the moment, intraday trading can be considered, i.e., from the consolidation boundaries. A signal to exit the consolidation upwards and continue growth will be consolidation between 103.5 and 105.0 and compression towards the upper boundary.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin tests 105,000 with a view to breakout Bitcoin continues to consolidate. A sure sign of a strong bull market.
The market is not allowing the price to approach the key support 101400 and is forming a strong limit level in the 102500 area.
Scenario: I am waiting for a retest of 105000 resistance and if bitcoin remains consolidated above 103500 - 103800 and continues to test 105000, another retest of consolidation resistance could lead to a breakout and a rise towards ATH
An additional condition may be the consolidation of the price above 105000.
DOGE → Retest of the panic zone. One step away from a downtrendBINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P is facing selling pressure. After distribution (pump), the price enters a correction phase (dump) and storms the panic zone, a breakout of which could intensify an uncontrolled decline.
DOGEUSDT squandered all the potential accumulated in late April and early May. The distribution ended in the 0.2600 zone, after which the coin entered a correction phase. At the moment, the coin is testing the panic zone of 0.21400
All attention is on the base of the triangle at 0.21400. This is the panic zone. When the support breaks, buyers will be liquidated, and sellers may increase sales, which could trigger a bearish momentum.
Resistance levels: 0.222, 0.2307
Support levels: 0.2145, 0.2135
The main idea is a continuation of the decline. The trigger is a breakdown of support at 0.2135 and consolidation of the price below this zone, only in this case will the price continue to fall.
!!! The structure will be broken if the price reverses and consolidates above 0.222 and confirms the bullish sentiment with price consolidation above 0.23, in which case we will again consider growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC - Will the trend continue?Since the beginning of April, BTC has been on a notable upward trajectory, showing impressive strength with minimal retracements. This sustained momentum has captivated market participants and built a narrative of continued bullish pressure. Along this journey, BTC has carved out two distinct consolidation zones, periods of relative price stability, characterized by equal highs and lows. Each time, these consolidations were followed by a decisive breakout to the upside, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment in the market.
Another consolidation phase
At the present moment, BTC appears to be entering yet another consolidation phase. The price is coiling, showing signs of compression that often precede significant moves. This naturally leads to the question: are we about to witness another breakout to the topside, continuing the pattern established over the past several weeks?
Bullish scenario
In a bullish scenario, a breakout to the upside would likely see BTC pushing towards the 106,000 level. This zone is a key target for traders watching in this consolidation. Should momentum carry the price beyond this threshold, Bitcoin would be well-positioned to challenge its all-time high near 109,000. A clean move through these resistance levels could spark a new wave of optimism, potentially attracting fresh capital into the market and confirming the strength of the current uptrend.
Bearish scenario
However, it’s important not to ignore the risks. The bearish scenario involves BTC breaking down below the current support zone, which sits around the 101,000 mark. A decisive move beneath this level would undermine the bullish structure and signal a shift in market sentiment. In this case, Bitcoin might find itself revisiting the 97,000 to 98,000 range, an area that previously acted as resistance during the last consolidation phase and may now serve as a potential support zone if tested from above.
Conclusion
In essence, the market is at a critical juncture. BTC’s recent behavior suggests a buildup toward a significant move, but the direction remains uncertain. Whether it continues its march toward new highs or corrects to retest lower levels, this period of consolidation is likely to define the next phase of Bitcoin’s trend. Traders and investors alike are watching closely, as the next breakout, up or down, could set the tone for the weeks to come.
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GOLD → The fight for 3,200 continuesFX:XAUUSD has recovered after a bearish distribution. The price has returned to the range but continues to test the fundamental threshold of 3200.
The fundamental background has been gradually improving recently, which is putting pressure on the gold market, increasing the profit-taking ratio and the level of sales. After the resolution of the tariff war, all attention has shifted to the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and de-escalation could also reduce economic risks. As well as the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East...
Technically, the price is returning to the range after a deep false breakout but is facing strong resistance and pressure from sellers. Further developments depend on the 3200 level, which is of fundamental importance.
Resistance levels: 3225, 3236, 3257
Support levels: 3204 - 3200, 3194
The battle for the 3200 area continues, with bulls likely to try to keep the price above 3200, in which case the market may test the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci zone. However, given the recent improvement in fundamentals, the price may return from these zones of interest to 3200 with the aim of continuing the assault to break through and continue the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPJPY → Return to range. Possible price decline.FX:GBPJPY is forming a local bearish trend amid a correction in the dollar. The price is returning to the range and entering strong resistance.
Amid a correction in the dollar, the Japanese yen is strengthening, putting pressure on the currency pair.
GBPJPY is returning below a strong level (within the range) and consolidating in the selling zone, which could trigger a continuation of the decline towards areas of interest. Technically, the global trend is neutral and the currency pair is forming a rebound from strong downward resistance. If the bears keep the price below 193.45 - 193.74, the local downward trend may continue.
Resistance levels: 193.45, 193.74, 194.22
Support levels: 193.04, 192.35, 191.65
Price consolidation below 193.74 - 193.45 will confirm that bears are holding the range resistance. The sell-off may continue, and in this case, the price will head towards the indicated zones of interest and liquidity.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY may end its rally with a correctionNZDJPY almost without pullbacks, with one impulse forms a strong fall. The potential is starting to run out and the market will need a breather. The current wave may test the zone of interest at 85.268 and move into the correction phase
The price is ready to test the strong support at 85.268, the limit level is most likely still in the market and may hold the support area and thus trigger a correction and pullback to 0.5 fibo
Scenario: fall to 85.268, false breakdown and rebound to the first zone of interest (imbalance) 86.500
Bullish Divergence.
Bullish Divergence.
Weekly Closing above 51.30 - 51.50
would be a healthy sign.
However, 55 is an Important Resistance level.
immediate targets if 51.50 is Crossed & Sustained
will be around 55 & then 58.
Since it is moving in a range, so both sides must be
kept in mind.
Support Zone is around 45 - 47. & this time if it
breaks 44, we may witness further downside. which is
(for the time being) negligible because of Bullish Divergence.
GOLD → Correction ahead of news. Will the decline resume?FX:XAUUSD has been buying back all the losses from the Asian and Pacific sessions since the opening of the European session, but this looks more like a catapult being loaded...
GOLD broke through the global consolidation base of 3200, which only confirmed the bearish market structure. Investors are waiting for PPI and retail sales data in the US, as well as Fed Chair Powell's speech.
Expectations of fewer Fed rate cuts and optimism surrounding trade talks with China and South Korea continue to weigh on gold. However, weak macro data and a growing US budget deficit could revive interest in this safe-haven asset.
GOLD is in a correction phase and is heading towards the zone of interest: the liquidity zone and previously broken support of global consolidation.
Resistance levels: 3187-3190, 3200
Support levels: 3123, 3100
Gold may test the indicated resistance, but based on the nature of the market, this situation may end in a false breakout and a fall. Target 3123 - 3100.
However, unpredictable data may temporarily change the market, which could lead to momentum towards 3220-3230.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin ready to test support before risingThe volume profile indicates a clear boundary of the trading range - consolidation support as a target for the current local movement.
102200 - 101400 - panic zone, price may enter this zone, provoke bids (buyers' stoplosses and speculators' sales) and return to the range, which will activate a zone of interest for the market - 103930.
Scenario: the price is trading inside the consolidation with clear boundaries - support and resistance. The price is aiming for the support within a bullish trend. False breakdown of support may trigger a rebound and growth. Target 103930 - 105000
ETHEREUM → Consolidation. Which way will the distribution go?BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P has moved into a consolidation phase after the distribution phase. Focus on the 2414-2725 range. A retest of support is possible during the current phase. Despite the bullish trend, there are risks of a reversal...
ETH has been a fairly unprofitable project over the past few years, with the price hitting one bottom after another. While Bitcoin and altcoins were flying high, ETH has only shown itself to be a bull in the last few days.
In the current phase, the focus is on the consolidation boundaries, as well as the 2550 level. If the bulls keep the market above 2550, then the coin could strengthen to 2725, which would be a positive sign for us that buyers are interested in continued growth.
If ETH continues its correction towards support at 2414, then we will need to monitor the market's reaction to this level. I remain skeptical about ETH due to its weak long-term performance despite a strong fundamental backdrop.
Resistance levels: 2550, 2725
Support levels: 2414, 2260
Further movement will determine the price's exit from consolidation: a breakdown of support means a fall, a breakout of resistance means growth. But the current scenario is trading within the range. If ETH trades near 2725 and forms a pre-breakout consolidation, then we will have a chance for growth.
The opposite scenario is if the price falls below 2550 and begins to test 2414. In this case, sticking to the support level and numerous retests will indicate that the bull market has exhausted its strength and we can expect a correction to 2260-2065.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → One step away from a bullish trend reversalFX:XAUUSD is emerging from the local corrective channel “flag.” Pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the base of the reversal pattern continues. All eyes are on 3200...
Gold is losing ground amid trade optimism and a strong dollar. The price is falling at the start of Wednesday as traders take profits after a rise from weekly lows. Weaker-than-expected US inflation has not justified expectations, but the Fed's refusal to cut rates soon is weighing on the metal. Optimism surrounding new trade agreements between the US and China, the UK, and other countries, as well as hopes for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, are reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, the overall situation looks bearish. There is no deep pullback from support, which means pressure from sellers in the market. Consolidation is forming before an attempt to break through the 3200 level.
Resistance levels: 3243, 3257, 3269
Support levels: 3222, 3200
If the price continues to consolidate in the current local range and continues to attack support at 3222-3200, then in the short and medium term, we can expect the decline to continue. However, knowing the tricks of MM, the price may form a short squeeze relative to local resistance zones before falling further.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Countertrend correction and false breakoutFX:NZDJPY is testing resistance within a global downtrend. The currency pair is not yet ready to continue its growth and is forming a local reversal pattern.
Within the global downtrend, the currency pair is forming a countertrend correction and testing resistance at 87.400. The liquidity pool formed above this level is not yet ready to let the price move further. Without the possibility of continuing growth, the price returns to the range and forms a false breakout of resistance. However, since we are in the range and the price has returned inside it, if the bears hold the line (the upper limit of the trading range) at 87.400, this could trigger a further decline, thereby continuing the global downtrend.
Resistance levels: 87.400
Support levels: 86.5, 85.26
Consolidation of the price below 87.400 will confirm that the price is not yet ready to continue the trend. The falling dollar index is provoking a rise in the Japanese yen, which may also put pressure on the currency pair.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest resistance before fallingFX:XAUUSD is forming a correction and retesting a strong resistance and liquidity zone within a downtrend. The global trend is one step away from a reversal...
Gold stabilized ahead of the release of US inflation data. After falling 3%, gold is holding steady at around $3,200, consolidating against a weaker dollar. Investors are awaiting US CPI data, which could set a new direction.
Optimism about the US-China trade agreement, geopolitical détente, and profit-taking on the dollar are holding back the price decline. The market is assessing how inflation data will affect Fed policy and demand for safe-haven assets.
Globally, the market doubts that the upward trend will continue, and there are reasons to look for points from which the price could start to fall sharply...
Resistance levels: 3269, 3284
Support levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
The news may cause a shake-up, but if there are no surprises, a false breakout of 3260-3270 and consolidation of prices in the selling zone could trigger a decline to 3200-3150.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SUIUSDT → False breakdown of support before growthBINANCE:SUIUSDT has entered a consolidation phase within a bullish trend. The chart shows a zone of interest and a trigger area that are worth paying attention to...
The coin looks quite positive. An upward trend is forming, which is also supported by the growth of Bitcoin and a relatively positive fundamental background.
Technically, SUI is consolidating between 4.110 and 3.811. Below the support level, a huge liquidity pool has formed, which has not yet been tested. There is a high probability of a false breakdown before the growth continues, but if the market turns out to be more aggressive, buyers may not let the price fall to 3.811, in which case we can consider a breakout of the resistance at 4.11-4.275 and consolidation of the price above these levels with the aim of continuing growth.
Support levels: 3.811, 3.667
Resistance levels: 4.11, 4.275
The movement of Bitcoin shows that the market is gathering liquidity as part of a local correction against the backdrop of a bullish trend. Yesterday, we all witnessed a local liquidation, but there are no reasons for a decline yet. SUI, in an ideal scenario, may test support at 3.811 and form a false breakdown before continuing to grow.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLUSDT may rise to 200.0 after long-squeezeMarket maker collected liquidity from 168.5 (liquidation of buyers, entry of sellers and subsequent liquidation of sellers)
After a false breakdown the price went up on a light wave
After the long squeeze, the price is already going to continue the trend with peace of mind.
Ahead is a strong resistance from D1 180 - 180.3.
A break of the level will attract buyers. The target may be 200 - 205
Scenario: a retest of the resistance may end in a small correction. If there is no reversal and the price continues to test 180-180.3, we can expect a breakout, which may attract buyers and further growth to 200 - 205.
GOLD forms a DOUBLE TOP. Support 3200. Trend reversalGOLD is forming support for the double top reversal pattern
A break of 3200 will confirm the market's intention to reverse the trend and go downwards.
Scenario: There is a lot of important news from the US and Great Britain ahead. If the general fundamental background remains and the dollar continues its bullish trend, then we will be close to a breakdown of 3200.
Thus, a break of 3200 and consolidation below the level will be a signal that we are ready to go down.
NZDUSD is preparing for a reversal and a fallNZDUSD is in consolidation and preparing to exit it. Ahead is possible breakout of trend support and fall to 0.5757
The reason is as follows: change of fundamentals background (positive signals on tariff war), dollar growth and market reversal.
Scenario: break of consolidation support at 0.5885, price consolidation below this level - this will be a signal ready to start distribution, i.e. downward movement.
Primary target 0.5 fibo, secondary target 0.7 fibo
VIRTUALUSDT can derail support with momentumVIRTUAL is consolidating after the rally, but it cannot continue its growth yet. A descending triangle with a clear base support and a fourth retest relative to 1.877 is being formed, which in general only increases the chances of support breakout and decline
Scenario: if the compression of this format (within the descending triangle) continues and the price continues to compress to the support at 1.877, then in this case it will be possible to catch a breakout through a limit order. A sharp impulse is possible. As the first target I will wait for a decline to 0.5 fibo (1.73)
EURJPY → Storming the resistance. Ready for the rallyFX:EURJPY is rising amid a stronger dollar and positive news about the de-escalation of the trade war. The currency pair is storming the resistance of the range.
The currency pair is forming a retest of resistance. A breakout and consolidation above 164.19 - 164.50 could support the market amid the dollar's growth.
The dollar is strengthening after positive news related to the de-escalation of the trade war. Against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is losing ground, which is generally affecting EURJPY.
A move above the key level will confirm a breakout of the resistance of consolidation, which could trigger a distribution phase...
Resistance levels: 164.19, 166.7
Support levels: 163.15, 162.38
The price has already entered the buying zone, meaning that resistance has been broken. All that remains is to wait for confirmation that the bulls are ready... Consolidation above 164.19 - 164.5 will confirm this, and in that case, we can expect distribution towards 166.7.
Best regards, R. Linda!