EUR/USD still MANIPULATING traders!There seems to be no end to this sideways trend that EUR/USD has been forming for the last couple weeks.
You could argue that some sort of SUPLY formed on the h1 and m30 timeframes, since plenty of volume came in to the market (news related), but still... the price failed to break significant structure and provide us with a new low...
there fore, seeking sells in these market conditions is a bit risky for my taste. I'm staying away until we get a CLEAN break of this consodliation!
*MANAGE YOUR RISK, TRADE SAFE!*
Best regards, T.
Consolidation
GBPJPY - ConsolidationHello traders,
As you may have noticed, I haven't posted anything about GBPJPY for a long time as it is in a major consolidation. It may take a very long time but hopefully within a couple of weeks the price will decide to go somewhere, for now I'm trying to watch the SELL ZONE and BUY ZONE and in case of a touch I'm looking for a rebound opportunity on the lower TF.
If the price goes below the BUY ZONE, I will then look for opportunities to sell, and if above the SELL ZONE, I will look for opportunities to buy in continuation up.
IMPORTANT WARNING:
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Rebounds from marked zones created by trading positions of large institutions such as banks or various financial funds may not create new HH or LL and therefore it is very important to collect partial profits at least according to these rules. This will help you to keep your equity curve constantly growing and protect your funds from big drops if the price unexpectedly turns against you. But the decision is only in your hands.
I personally prefer setting up multiple TPs , here's an explanation:
1) 1:1 allows you to take a 50% position and thus secure a balance against loss in case the market turns
2) 2-5 :1 means profit (25% trade volume ), after reaching this TP I move SL to BE
3) 5-10 :1 means bonus money with rest of trade volume (again 25%)
Money is lying on the ground, just bend down for it! Be patient and wait for the price to reach a strong zone and open a position!
USDCHF | In consolidation phase, good time for BUY position
USDCHF have been in consolidation phase after breaking the descending channel and being now on the support level gives the opportunity to open BUY position targeting the resistance level.
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like.
MichfX | EURUSD in the trading zone for short positions
EURUSD over trend has been bearish for a while. It has bee lately in the consolidation phase and has reached my trading zone where i have been planning to open partially short positions. I will be also looking into peneration and retest of zone 1.01280 before opening more short positions.
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like.
BIG Money Accumulating SHOP shares? Wyckoff Accumulation FormingOpposite the Wyckoff Distribution is the Wyckoff Accumulation. This is a sign of buying from big money. It shares many elements of the distribution and is broken into 5 phases. I will briefly outline them below...
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Wyckoff Accum Phases
Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. Up to this point, supply has been dominant. We should see volume taper and spreads widen (price-volume divergence). Big money will scoop up shares to create the AR on increased volume. A trading range is created using SC and AR.
Phase B: Is the actual accumulation phase. Prices are low and easy to grab. Expect the price to ping pong within the trading range as big money optimizes their average. Expect many stop hunts and false breakouts to free up shares.
Phase C: It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a decisive test of the remaining supply, allowing the “big money” operators to ascertain whether the stock is ready to be marked up. The shakeout is the optimal entry point but it does not always occur.
Phase D: If we are correct in our analysis, what should follow is the consistent dominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by a pattern of advances (SOSs) on widening price spreads and increasing volume, as well as reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes. During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top of the TR. LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E: In Phase E, the stock leaves the TR, demand is in full control and the markup is obvious to everyone.
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I believe the following points are in line with the phases above:
Decreasing volume and a widening spread before the start of the range. It is then followed by buying on increased volume. We have already seen Phase A.
Phase B is the accumulation. Note the increases in volume on the up moves but decreases in volume on the down moves. I think Phase B is mostly over if it has not been completed already.
Phase C will often have a shakeout. SHOP reported earnings and dumped to the lower end of the trading range. Although it did not break the range, I think this was the anticipated shakeout. We have since climbed higher on average volume and have now broken the upper range.
It is reasonable to assume we are in or transitioning to phase D. It is important that we see some form of consolidation to confirm the upward move. If we do not, we could see more tests of supply and moves back into the trading range. We are currently above the 50 Dynamic Moving Average but below the 100 EMA. This shows that the medium-term trend is flipping bullish but the longer-term trend is still down. The vol osc is also showing increases in volume supporting the move upward. Higher time frames also indicate that this trading range formed at previous support.
Overall, I think the stars are aligning to take this stock higher. Eager to hear your thoughts.
EUR/USD what's next?EUR/USD is overall in a bearish trend... this minor consolidation period has bullish potential, but we still have to be careful while looking for long positions. I marked an interesting SUPLY area, where plenty of short orders came in.
I will wait for the price to print a cleaner picture before executing any positions. Like i said, i favour shorts over longs, but you never know what happens. If we see bullish price action, i might just shift my focus!
Have a nice weekend guys, make sure to manage your trades before the market close today!
*ALWAYS TRADE SAFE, NEVER OVER RISK!*
Best regards, T.
$XAUUSD - Consolidating/squeezing Analysis
We are seeing a reset on the indicators are price is being squeezed between the 1M 20EMA and 1M 50EMA.
Scenario 1:
There is strong support at $1650 and it will needfind support at least 1 more time (perhaps twice) before it continues upwards to all time highs (+15)
Scenario 2:
If price breaks below 50EMA we could potential see a drop (-23%) with little support below.
EURUSD: Range Breakout 🔄I am set on a bullish EU! The range swept the liquidity to the downside but is yet to take liquidity from the high.
When we see this stop hunt it may continue all the way up into the major supply right above this current area.
Me and the team will be attempting to locate a buy later today.
I am wishing you all a profitable week ahead!
Dollar Index (DXY): Beginning of The Week Analysis | 7/24/22With interest rate and all the other lovely fundamentals the Dollar has been on bullish run of a life time! The last few days of the previous week, the Dollar did not do so much and even showed some initial temptation to keep shorting on Friday, but as you know .. it never that easy :-) Hence we ended with a three day consolidation.
I expect we may see the Dollar perform some aggressive bearish moves from a technical standpoint, but the sentiments for the Dollar can change as we get closer to the FOMC release. It will be an important to understand this index especially is you are trading anything US related this week.
Consolidated Support & Resistance 1 WTF//TTK Prestige*It is a consolidated Support and Resistance as you all can see!
*Also marked the previous move of the Trend by forming the almost Identical Flag-Pattern.
*Broke both the 20 & 50 EMA's with a good bullish momentum, that made our stop-loss clear!
*i.e., the ideal S-L would be around the previous week Green Candle.
*Let the trend take a little retrace, then take the position after your own Analysis and Due Diligence
*The trend is bullish as of now but the momentum purely depends upon the next week's opening and close.
XAUUSD: Liquidity Everywhere ⚠️Gold is a mess but it certainly is creating a lot of liquidity on both the buy and sell side. The range leaves us with uncertainty but we can try and make sense of what is going in.
I would like to locate a short to sweep the buyer liquidity BUT I am concerned because the majority of the market has the same idea according to the sentiment.
If price pulls back to the fresh supply, I will be looking for shorts AFTER we see a manipulation of the area.
If price breaks the supply aggressively we can assume that our short idea will be thrown out of the window and we will have to begin to search for buy setups to sweep the equal highs.
It's a tricky pair to work out currently, the best thing to do is sit on our hands.
EURGBP CONSOLIDATION BREAKSPair: EURGBP
Timeframe: 1H, 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support break, head and shoulder, consolidation period
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Key Takeaway: We need to see break of consolidation and push past support
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Level needed: Need to see price hit 0.83980
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Trade: Short
RISK:REWARD 1:9
SL: 10
TP: 90
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
NZDUSD CONSOLIDATION BREAKPair: NZDUSD
Timeframe: 1H, 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, resistance break, trend channel, consolidation period
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Key Takeaway: We need to see break of consolidation
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Level needed: Need to see price hit 0.62180
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Trade: Short
RISK:REWARD 1:7
SL: 20
TP: 150
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
GBPUSD H4Price is in a squeeze pattern, waiting for a breakout.. To confirm it is best to wait for a clear breakout of the pattern, as price is failing to break the supply region today & making a 3rd touch to the descending trend line, we could see sellers push price lower again as the first scenario as the overall trend is still bearish.