Amazon.comHello community,
A little analysis of Amazon stock.
We must watch the break of the trend line.
The movement is bullish, the 200-period simple average is bullish.
The 3 green zones on the chart indicate the accumulation zones.
The end-of-year holidays should be beneficial for the stock.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
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Consumer
CRM’s Bullish Setup: Inverted Head & Shoulders BreakoutSalesforce Inc. (NYSE: CRM) continues to innovate and maintain its position among the leading players in the cloud space, as highlighted in recent financial reports. The company’s growth has been driven by its focus on customer relationship management (CRM) technologies and its expansion into artificial intelligence, which has bolstered its offerings. Despite broader market headwinds, Salesforce has managed to navigate the tech sector’s volatility with strategic initiatives and solid earnings performance.
Technical Outlook: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern
On the weekly chart, Salesforce stock shows the formation of a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The key resistance level stands at $314.70 , which the stock attempted to breach earlier this year, experiencing rejection in February, marking the stock’s all-time high. A retest of this key resistance appears likely in the near term.
If the stock manages to confirm a breakout above this zone, our target price is set at $339.48 , a level that aligns with historical resistance and bullish momentum projections. To manage downside risk, we suggest placing a stop loss at $259.75 , a lower support level that provides solid technical backing in case of market reversals. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio (RR) of 1.5, making it an attractive option for traders seeking a medium-term position.
Quantum Probability Indicator: Strong Momentum Signals
Our proprietary Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs , further strengthens the bullish outlook on CRM stock. The indicator points to strong technical momentum, suggesting a high probability of the stock moving toward our target zone. This momentum aligns with Salesforce's broader market positioning and favorable investor sentiment.
Conclusion: Positive Short-Term Outlook for CRM
Salesforce Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging market environment, and its technical indicators now suggest a potential breakout. With a target price of $339.48 , a stop loss at $259.75 , and a 1.5 risk-reward ratio , this setup presents a favorable opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on bullish market conditions. As always, investors should remain cautious and monitor key resistance levels for confirmation of a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CCL - Big base break-out for Carnival
Carnival is breaking out big base starting early 2022 to 2024.
Recently Carnival released their earnings for their Q3 2024 (June-July-August), which is the best quarter for the industry.
The company made 1.74 bln USD net income from 7.9 bln USD revenue in the quarter.
For the current fiscal year, Carnival is expected to post earnings of $1.28 per share on $25.13 billion in revenues.
For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.62 per share on $26.03 billion in revenues.
Citi analysts in a research note said the cruising industry is experiencing strong web traffic and positive pricing trends, particularly for bookings in 2025.
They additionally raised Carnival's price target to $28 from $25
In terms of valuation, the stock currently trades at 15.8X current fiscal year EPS estimates, while peer industry average is 17.8X
KAYA Ltd - LONG [Healthy retracement and correction]NSE:KAYA
Technical Analysis:
Stock retraced 50% on FibRetracement
ABC correction wave (possibly) completed
EMA 50 support (Daily)
RSI looks healthy in the 40-60 zone
Stock hitting upper circuit today (22 August 2024)
Immediate resistance: 573 to 575
Next Target: 796
Company News:
- Collaboration with consumer goods maker Marico which will exclusively handle sales and marketing of Kaya's products (source: Reuters)
- Positive outlook: New Investor, New CXO appointments, stakes in ME sold and complete focus on the Indian market now (Various sources)
NINTENDO _ Rising Wedge Patter Target _ Achieve +100% PROFITRising Wedge Pattern forming and Expecting a Breakout. If Breakout above the Rising Wedge Pattern, market approaching the Pattern Target at price JPY 18,160. Offering the potential to Achieve a 100% PROFIT. This is Long-Term Analysis, must follow the Trend Continuation Technique.
Support me; I want to Help People Make PROFIT all over the "World".
ICBP (MONTHLY) ELLIOT WAVE PREDICT : END OF ABC CORRECTION?ICBP most likely will make an impulsive movement (5 wave rally) after the big correction (ABC correction).
The new 5 impulsive movement is on the way and will take ICBP to new All Time High.
There is Falling Wegde Pattern too (Continuation Pattern), and the Stochastic in monthly indicate the price is already in Oversold area and start crossing + Bullish Divergence
But this is Monthly Chart we are talking about so just be Patient because it will takes Months or maybe Years.
But we know the Trend will became Bullish in Long game.
In Short ICBP Have
Trend : Bullish 5 Wave Rally
Pattern : Falling Wedge
Stochastic : Oversold (Already Crossing) + Bullish Divergence
TARGET PRICE 12575 or HIGHER (ALL TIME HIGH)
DISCLAIMER ON
Macro Monday 36~U.S. Johnson Redbook Index (U.S Retail Sales)Macro Monday 36
The Redbook Index – U.S Physical Retail Store Sales
(Released Tomorrow Tuesday 4th March 2024)
This Johnson Redbook Index is very useful at providing the most current insights into consumer spending habits in the U.S. It is released every week covering the prior Mon – Sun consumer spend period in physical outlets around the U.S.
The index is compiled by Johnson Redbook Service by surveying a sample of 9000 retailers, and tracks year-over-year changes in sales of stores that have been opened for at least one year.
The Redbook Index historically tracks sales information from physical stores (Brick and Mortar Stores). Their website describes that they monitor "retail sales" and "same-store sales" which typically refers to physical locations, however some stores also now have an additional online presence, thus in recent years efforts have been made to incorporate some of the online sales data into the index, however this is a secondary and marginal.
The Chart
The Redbook Index provides the YoY percentage increase or decrease of USD in retail sales in the United States. It is released every week covering the prior Mon – Sun spend period giving a real time read on current consumer spending
It being a YoY data release means the percentage change in the Redbook Index is typically measured by comparing the current week's retail sales to those of the same week in the previous year. This calculation is expressed as a percentage to show the increase or decrease in sales over that time period.
Example: If retail sales for the current week are $110,000 and sales for the same week last year were $100,000, the percentage change would be * 100, resulting in a 10% increase.
The chart above illustrates the following:
▫️ The average % from 2005 to 2024 is 3.59% (black line in middle). We shall use this as our average midline barometer of retail sales.
▫️ Moderate levels of retail sales appear to fluctuate between +6% and -0.1% (white area in the middle).
▫️ We have an Exuberance Zone (Green) for when retail sales were over extended to the upside and a Recessionary Zone (Red) which was penetrated during the last two recessions.
▫️ You can see that in the mid 2000's we bounced off the Recessionary -0.1% zone three times as the index also made a series of lower highs (see arrow). This could be perceived as waning or struggling retail spending ahead of the crash. At present we have a series of lower highs and we have bounced off the Recessionary Level (-0.1%) once, if we see continued lower highs and more bounces from the red zone, this could be a concerning repeating pattern.
You will be able to press play on my TradingView page at any stage over coming months to see where this index has moved on this chart.
Lets see how this index performs over coming weeks and months.
PUKA
Unemployment Rate Double Bottoming at a 0.786The Unemployment Rate looks like it's getting ready to spike higher as it Double Bottoms at the 0.786 and cracks above the 21SMA. If this plays out, it will likely spike to the highs or even make a new higher high. During all of this, I expect the macroeconomic data charts below to also play out:
Consumer Credit Balances:
The Mortgage ETF:
US Interest Rates:
The REITs Sector:
Island reversal pattern forming for Home Depot?Island reversal pattern forming for Home Depot NYSE:HD ?
Started in Feb 22 almost a year ago after earnings report.
If it completes, exceeding 339, then it will be a bullish reversal and 400-420 will be in play. So for next earnings it's possible that price will gap higher. Still watching though.
This is not advice. Do your own research and trade your own plan!!
Macys an american institution is in a fight for it's life....if it takes out that neckline.
"Macy's founded in 1858.
It is the largest department store company by retail sales in the United States as of 2015.
Macy's operates with over 700 stores in the United States. Its flagship store is located at Herald Square in the New York City borough of Manhattan.
The company had 130,000 employees and earned annual revenue of $24.8 billion as of 2017. ". - wikpedia
#M
If Love The Gap. You will love it under a $1Let's look at some household retail names
starting off with The GAP #GPS
It's ATH was over Twenty years ago
Is this Head and Shoulders signalling a Bankruptcy event during the next recession?
Kroger: Bearish Crab with an Ascending Broadening WedgeKroger has formed an Ascending Broadening Wedge and blasted pass the 1.618 PCZ leading to an ultimate test of the 1.902 HOP level, now KR is trading below the PCZ and has tested it as resistance multiple times this year and has broken below the Demand Line of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. From here out I think the target will be a minimum of $22.32 which would be the 0.886 fibonacci retrace but it could go as low as $17.37 as that would be the standard target of the Ascending Broadening Wedge.
In addition to that, the PPO may soon break below its Demand Line.
LW long ideaLW performed well in the first inflation cycle 2021/2022.
As the dollar is testing a breakout on inflation fears, we may see some capital rotate into different sectors.
Last dollar bull cycle LW held up well in price. We are reaching very oversold levels and coming into big technical support.
Accumulation at these levels or lower provides good R/R
NZDUSD ✨ CPI News Trade ✨ q/qAn Anticipatory Analysis of Price Action
(5) TP3 @ 0.7100 (close trade)
(4) TP2 @ 0.6700 (shave 25%)
(3) TP1 @ 0.6450 (shave 25%)
(2) BSO @ 0.6225 📈⏳
(1) BLO @ 0.6105 📈⏳
ADDITIONAL INFO:
1️⃣ If the PA (Price Action) PB (pulls back) during the NZD News on Wednesday evening, we should be able to capture the UT (uptrend) with this Buy Limit Order
2️⃣However, if PA continues the UT, then we'll be "good to go" with the Buy Stop Order
3️⃣This is our first chance to profit. I picked this price because there is a wick-over-wick (8D) that may work as a pullback, so let's put some money in our wallets and chop off 25% of our investment at Take Profit 1
4️⃣This is our second chance to make a buck. I picked this price since there is a Major Resistance level (6D) that might work as a retracement, therefore we need more money in our wallets before PA arrives. An additional 25% will be shaved at Take Profit 2
5️⃣This is our third chance at making a profit. This is where we quit the ride, cancel all of our remaining buy positions at Take Profit 3, and prepare to short this thing since there is a Major Supply Zone @ 0.6715 (8D) that has a strong likelihood of reversing the trend to a short position
Donut Time in America. Ditch the New Year's Diet ResolutionsIts usually time to fade the American urge to "Eat Healthy this Year" by the time the leaves start showing up on the trees again.
Add to Krispy Kreme between 12-13 dollars.
"As society becomes more and more complex, cheating will in many ways become progressively easier and easier to do and harder to police or even understand."
Bayer AG (BAYN.de) bullish scenario:The technical figure Falling Wedge can be found in the daily chart in the German company Bayer AG (BAYN.de). Bayer AG is a German multinational pharmaceutical and biotechnology company and one of the largest pharmaceutical companies in the world. Headquartered in Leverkusen, Bayer's areas of business include pharmaceuticals; consumer healthcare products, agricultural chemicals, seeds and biotechnology products. The Falling Wedge broke through the resistance line on 22/03/2023. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 9 days towards 60.750 EUR. According to experts, your stop-loss order should be placed at 54.890 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Bayer AG plans to spend $1 billion on drug research and development in the U.S. this year as it works to double its sales in the country by the end of the decade, Bayer's top U.S. pharmaceutical executive told Reuters.
Sebastian Guth, president of Bayer's pharmaceuticals business in the Americas, in an interview with Reuters, said the company increased U.S. employees working on marketing for its pharmaceutical business by around 50% over the last three years and plans to expand on that by another 75% by 2030.
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