$CPB: Campbell Soup – Simmering or Boiling Over?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:CPB : Campbell Soup – Simmering or Boiling Over?
With CPB at $38.21, is this iconic soup maker a tasty investment or a stale option? Let’s ladle out the details! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 38.21 as of Mar 24, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Down from $43.00 (early 2025), an 11% dip, per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Consumer goods volatile, inflation pressures, per posts on X 🌟
It’s a mixed stew—let’s see what’s cookin’! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $11.4B (298.5M shares) 🏆
• Operations: Soups, snacks, meals, strong brand presence ⏰
• Trend: Digital sales up, per historical data, but competition fierce 🎯
Firm in the pantry, but is it a staple or a luxury? 🏭
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Recent Earnings: Q4 2024 mixed, revenue up, EPS missed, per data 🌍
• Innovation Push: Plant-based, keto options, per reports 📋
• Market Reaction: Price reflects caution, per posts on X 💡
Stirring the pot with new flavors! 🍲
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Inflation: Higher costs squeeze margins 🔍
• Competition: Private labels, Kraft Heinz, per data 📉
• Health Trends: Shift to healthier options, per posts on X ❄️
It’s a spicy market—watch out for heat! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Iconic Brand: Campbell’s soup, strong loyalty 🥇
• Diverse Portfolio: Soups, snacks, meals, per data 📊
• Dividend Yield: ~3.5%, attractive for income seekers 🔧
Got a robust recipe for success! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Perceived as less healthy, innovation lag, per data 📉
• Opportunities: E-commerce growth, plant-based trends, per strategy 📈
Can it spice up its offerings or stay stuck in the past? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
CPB at $38.21—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $45+ soon, brand strength shines 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $35 looms, competition heats up 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
CPB’s $38.21 price tags a mix of nostalgia and uncertainty 📈. With a strong brand but competitive pressures, it’s a stock to watch. DCA-on-dips could be a savory strategy! Gem or bust?
Consumergoods
Target | TGT | Long at $105.75Target NYSE:TGT
Strengths:
P/E: 11.82x
Earnings are forecast to grow 4.95% per year
Dividend: 4.24%
Better "value" compared to others (i.e. NYSE:WMT )
Insiders recently awarded options
May have double-bottomed (see weaknesses below...)
Weakness
Economic headwinds / recession concerns
Debt-to-equity: 1.09x (slightly high)
Several price gaps on the daily chart are open below the current price. If recession fears are valid and news to messages "tighter consumer spending", these gaps will likely be filled (all the way down to the GETTEX:50S ). One day these will be filled, but that would be a huge opportunity for long-term investors...
Thus, at $105.75, NYSE:TGT is in a personal buy zone.
Targets
$119.75
$137.00
$150.00
Sleep Number Company | SNBR | Long at $6.99Sleep Number Company $NASDAQ:SNBR. Closed all existing open price gaps on the daily chart below its current rice. The overall downward trend is starting to flatten. They make all their products in the US and have minimal exposure to international markets (reduced risk around tariffs). Understandably, recession risks are high and such a company would be impacted. Plus, their debt is pretty high. This is a risky investment, but from technical analysis perspective, there could be a future rebound in the near-term. Thus, at $6.99, NASDAQ:SNBR is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$10.00
$12.00
(RL) ralph lauren A chart to view Ralph Lauren through some visual of my indicators for anyone who wants to see. Make what you will from the image and make up your own mind about the fear and greed concept for Ralph Lauren right now. Will the price continue, or will the price not?
The shares represents shares bought. The green line would then mean there are few shares bought and the shares are soon to go negative against the price of the stock. The more shares bought the higher the line spikes, pertaining to the lineMath_v3 (shares) indicator.
$NKE! I am on the KIM pump to $125 (YES we can) Confessions from the Desk: Can Kim K Save Nike, or Did Nike Just Buy SKIMS?
Fresh off two weeks of solid busts (both in the market and in my morale), I’ve decided to pivot—because clearly, my current trading strategy has all the accuracy of a broken Magic 8-Ball. This week, I’ve dipped my toes into consumer goods and sportswear, because if there’s one thing Americans will never stop buying, it’s overpriced gym clothes they never actually work out in.
And right on cue, Nike is making headlines. Did Nike just buy SKIMS, or did they just recruit Kim K to save their soul? Hard to say. Either way, the company is betting big on a Made in USA push—because nothing screams patriotism like a $120 athleisure set stitched together with the finest American thread.
This marks the first global advertising campaign under the new CEO, and let’s be real—the stakes are high.
The real question is: Is Kim Kardashian the savior Nike needs?
Figs Inc | FIGS | Long at $5.24Figs Inc $NYSE:FIGS. Technical analysis play first, fundamentals second.
My selected historical simple moving average lines have converged with the stock price, which often leads to sideways trading and a reversal in the downward trend (i.e. future price increase). The downward trend is flattening, but that doesn't mean post-earnings drop to $1.50-$2.00 isn't out of the question...
The FIGS brand is growing within the healthcare world with significant opportunities overseas. While economic headwinds may impede near/medium-term growth, revenue is anticipated to grow into 2027. EPS is expected to rise from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.20 by 2027. While this is not a "value" play and there is high risk for rug pulls, something may be brewing within the chart for a move up. Tread lightly, however...
Targets
$6.00
$6.40
$7.00
$8.00
Estee Lauder | EL | Long at $63.00On November 13th, 2024, the Director of Estee Lauder NYSE:EL purchased $10,000,000+ worth of shares. From a technical analysis perspective, this makes sense as it almost double entered my "crash" simple move average lines (indicated in gray). On the rare occasion the price double dips these areas, odds are typically in my favor a rally may be ahead (obviously, without unforeseen bad news from the company). While it still may dip into the "crash" simple moving average lines ( GETTEX:50S ), I believe the "Santa Claus" rally is around the corner and we may be close to a near-term bottom for $NYSE:EL. However, this is a very risky play due to the fundamentals of the company - which currently aren't good. But future prospects from NYSE:EL may change the momentum. Thus, at $63.00, NYSE:EL is in my personal buy zone.
Target #1 - $86.00
Target #2 - $100.00
Target #3 - $120.00
Voltas is ready to fly in blue sky, a perfect swing trade setupHello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your Trading as well. Today i have brought a company from a TATA Group. Stock name is Voltas and it is engaged in the business of air conditioning, refrigeration, electro - mechanical projects as an EPC contractor both in domestic and international geographies (Middle East and Singapore) and engineering product services for mining, water management and treatment, construction equipments and textile industry.
Voltas was created 6 decades ago when Tata Sons joined hands with a swiss company Volkart Brothers. Voltas is also one of the most reputed engineering solution providers specializing in project management. The company has 5,000+ Customer sites actively managed across India
Unitary Cooling Products(UCP)
Unitary Cooling products comprises Room Air
Conditioners (RAC), Air Coolers, Air Purifiers, Water Heaters, Water Dispensers, Water Coolers, Visi Coolers, Chest Freezers, Cold Rooms & Medical Refrigeration.
As of Q1FY25, company has 21.2% market share in room Acs and 36% in window ACs . It has 30,000+ touchpoints, 330+ EBOs and 5 Experience Zones. The company sold 1 mn units in 88 days.
Market Cap
₹ 46,365 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,401
High / Low
₹ 1,946 / 1,013
Stock P/E
65.4
Book Value
₹ 190
Dividend Yield
0.39 %
ROCE
8.51 %
ROE
4.40 %
Face Value
₹ 1.00
Industry PE
82.8
Debt
₹ 871 Cr.
EPS
₹ 21.7
Promoter holding
30.3 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 272
Return over 5years
15.1 %
Debt to equity
0.14
Net profit
₹ 709 Cr.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Kirklands | KIRK | Long at $1.99Kirklands $NASDAQ:KIRK. A strong move may be brewing... The historical simple moving average (SMA) is flirting with the price and has yet to break the barrier - which often results in a sharp price increase. The downward trend is finally starting to reverse based on this measure, too. While it may not soar to crazy highs like in 2021, the chart setup is exactly what I like to see for an anticipated move up as it consolidates. A 12M float and 7% short interest could get the ball rolling if/when the price breaks into the historical SMA.
Fundamentally, NASDAQ:KIRK is a small-cap with $114 million in sales. It recently partnered with NYSE:BYON as an exclusive licensee of Bed Bath & Beyond neighborhood stores, positioning the company as a multi-brand retailer. The first Bed Bath & Beyond neighborhood store is planned for a 2025 opening. Could this be the force for a future price move? Time will tell.
At $1.99, NASDAQ:KIRK is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $2.50
Target #2 = $2.75
Target #3 = $3.00
Target #4 = $4.00
Hasboro | HAS | Long at $66.00Hasboro $NASDAQ:HAS. Bouncing in an out of the historical simple moving average (SMA). While it may take a bit for it to spring out and continue its upward trend, it looks poised to do so. However, there is a small price gap that was never closed in the $40's that investors should stay cautious of if the downward trend continues. But a "confirmation" of a reversal will be either a continued move up or a retest of the lower historical SMA band (to close the recent price gaps) followed by a further move up. Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HAS has a high level of debt, but earnings growth is forecasted in its future. At $66.00, $ NASDAQ:HAS is in a personal buy zone, but patient investors may wish to wait for further confirmation of a reversal.
Target #1 = $73.00
Target #2 = $81.00
Target #3 = $87.00
Target #4 = $119.00 (very long-term...)
Reynolds Consumer Products | REYN | Long at $27.00Reynolds Consumer Products NASDAQ:REYN is a "boring" company with excellent fundamentals. P/E of 15x, 3.35% dividend yield, low debt, and a 53M float. The Director just scooped up $196,000 in shares and earnings are expected to growth (while slowly) over the next few years. It recently tested the low of my historical simple move average (teal and white lines on the chart) and it looks primed for a move up to fill the price gaps. Thus, at $27.00, NASDAQ:REYN is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $29.00
Target #2 = $31.00
Target #3 = $34.00
COCA COLA bottomed. Get ready for a +20% rally.Last time we looked at the Coca-Cola Company (KO) was at the end of the previous year (December 07 2023, see chart below), giving a buy signal, which eventually hit our $62.00 Target, even though it had to take longer than we expected:
This time, the price action is giving us yet again a very strong buy signal as the price rebounded yesterday exactly on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level of the 1-year Channel. At the same time, so did the 1W RSI, reversing upwards below its MA level, consistent with the previous two bottoms of April 12 2024 and October 06 2023.
Based on the lowest rally we had within this Channel, we expect Coca Cola to rise by at least +19.45%, setting our Target at $79.70.
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PROCTER & GAMBLE Low risk buy opportunity on the Channel bottom.Procter and Gamble (PG) has been trading within a 10-month Channel Up (since December 15 2023) and on September 10 2024 priced the latest Higher High and got rejected. Even though it has broken below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), yesterday it tested and held the short-term Support 1 level, which is intact since August 14.
The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) has been the absolute Support of this pattern, having formed just above it both the Higher Lows of July 30 and April 19. Yesterday's Low isn't as close to the 1D MA200 as those two but it is close enough to constitute a low risk buy for the medium-term, even though we might see a little more decline towards the Channel's bottom. Notice however the 1D RSI that made a clear rebound inside its 10-month Buy Zone.
As a result, we turn bullish on this stock and as with the last Higher High, we are again targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level at 182.00.
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PROCTER & GAMBLE is bullish bouncing on the 1D MA50.Procter and Gamble (PG) closed yesterday on a 3-day red streak and the 1D candle almost touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the short-term Support, which is intact since August 14. The stock has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 15 2023 Low, which is inside a wider Channel Up pattern since the 2022 market bottom.
The 1D MA50 is the first Support level of the 9-month Channel Up, with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being the second (and last). The Higher Lows are priced below the 1D MA50 but currently we haven't completed most likely the Bullish Leg at hand.
Last April the price pulled back to the 0.382 Fib, which held and provided the final push to the -0.236 Fib extension for a Higher High. Currently the 1D MA50 test is also testing the 0.382. If it holds, we expect the stock to peak again near the -0.236 Fib extension. As long as it holds then, we remain bullish, targeting 182.00.
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Good results for B&MThe market seems to have recieved B&M's results positively. The fall in reported profit was expected.
Technically this week could provide a launching pad for it to break to the upside from its weekly 50 ema.
This is not a recommendation. Trade your own plan and make decisions based on your own research.
Macro Monday 42 ~ Japan Business Sentiment (ReutersTankanIndex)Macro Monday 42
Japan Reuters Tankan Index – Business Sentiment
(Released this Wednesday 17th April 2024)
Firstly lets briefly cover the Japan Consumer Sentiment we covered last week,
Japan Consumer Sentiment
Last week we covered the Japan Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), which provided a great indication of how the Japanese consumer is feeling. The Japan CCI surveys have a reliable 90.6% response rate from c. 8,400 households. The Japan CCI came in at 39.5 for March last week which was the highest reading in 5 years and demonstrates a trending recovery from lows of 28.6 in Nov 2022.
Any figure below 50 on the Japan CCI is pessimistic however historically the index has only ever rose above 50 briefly twice. We discussed how this is due to many factors such as the Japanese being conservative and risk averse. To remedy this and help find a threshold, I used the historical average level of 40.86 as an indicator of above average historical consumer sentiment (however still pessimistic). If we break above the 40.86 level in coming months this would be a good signal of improving sentiment, essentially that the Japanese consumer is less pessimistic than on average, however still pessimistic.
Japan Business Sentiment
This week we are looking at the Japan Reuters Tankan Index (RTI) which is essentially Japan’s Business Sentiment Indicator.
Why is Business Sentiment in Japan an important macro-economic metric to observe?
1.Japan’s manufacturing output for 2021 was valued at $1.025 trillion USD, making it one of the world’s largest manufacturers. The country is known for its high-quality production in areas such as automobiles, electronics, and robotics
2.Japan contributes c.7.2% towards the world’s total manufacturing output, showcasing its critical role in the global supply chain and its influence on international trade.
3.Japan makes up 8% of total global GDP, despite having only 1.8% of the world’s population.
4.Japan is the third largest economy in the world after the US and China
Now that we understand that Japan is one of the major manufacturing and economic hubs of the world, lets now try to understand how optimistic or pessimistic Japan businesses are feeling at present.
The Japan RTI is collated from data from major leading Japanese companies. 200 manufacturers and 200 non-manufactures advise of improving (above 0) or worsening conditions (below 0). For reference the 200 non-manufacturing companies include the likes of services, retail, finance, and real estate.
The Chart
You will see, as outlined on the chart, that the Japan RTI is made up of 4 sub categories:
1. Business Conditions (current)
2. Business Outlook (future quarter)
3. Large manufacturing outlook
4. Non-manufacturing sector
These subcategories can help in understanding the nuances of sentiment in Japan among different sectors and are crucial for a comprehensive analysis of Japan’s business environment. We might cover these individually when the data is released this Wednesday. I am particularly interested in the future quarter business outlook.
Reading the chart
Above 0 = Business Optimism
Below 0 = Business Pessimism
0 = Neutral
The Japan RTI Business sentiment is currently above 0, firmly in the optimistic zone at 10.
You can see that we have been rejected from the 12 – 13 level three times since 2022 (Aug 2022, Aug 2023 & Dec 2023). If we break above this level it will be the first time in over 2 years that Japan Business sentiment reached this high. Expectations for the coming release this Wednesday are for a reduction to 9. So expectations are low for this weeks release.
Japan Consumer Sentiment has risen from a major low that was established in Nov 2022 and has since been on a significant up trend moving from 28.6 to 39.5. Whilst still in the pessimistic zone the consumer index moves closer towards the historical sentiment average of 40.86.
The Japan RTI Business Sentiment appears to have followed suit rising from a low in Jan 2023 a few months later and is now reaching for recent highs of 12 (current reading of 10 with 9 anticipated this week)
Both the Japan Consumer Sentiment Index and the Japan RFI Business Sentiment Index are trending towards higher optimism (or less pessimism) but have a bit more work to do to offer some confirmatory action.
We will look at the Japan Flash Composite PMI next week which is released Tuesday 23rd April 2024. This will help add perspective in the form of manufacturing/services data directly relating to New Orders, Output, Employment, Deliveries and Stock.
In between now and then I will update the above Japan RTI Business sentiment index this Wednesday and update you on Japan CPI which is released this Friday also (something to watch out for).
We will gradually get familiar the macro-economic data that matters across the globe here on Macro Mondays.
Again, all these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next 5 - 10 years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide I provided. I hope its helpful
Thanks for coming along.
PUKA
Macro Monday 40 - Euro Area Composite PMI Macro Monday 40
Euro Area Composite PMI
(Released this Thurs 4thApril 2024)
The Euro Area Composite PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is a significant coincident economic indicator that provides insights into the current overall health of the eurozone economy.
The Euro Area Composite PMI data is collected from a representative panel of around 5,000 manufacturing and services firms around the EU and then a weighted average of the two is provided to create the composite reading.
This index tracks variables such as sales, new orders, employment, inventories, and prices. Very similar to the US PMI that we previously covered.
The Chart
The chart illustrates the following metrics;
🟢Manufacturing PMI (green line)
🔴Services PMI (red line)
🔵Overall composite PMI (Thick Blue Line)
The green zone (>50) illustrates the economic expansion zone and the red area illustrates the economic contraction zone (<50). The 50 level itself is neutral.
Now, let’s very briefly cover the last three weeks of Macro Mondays No. 38, 39 & todays 40. These all featured the Eurozone economic health and can be valuable metrics to remain informed on. With a click of my charts in trading view you can remain updates with a visual easy on the eye.
EU Current Sentiment Outlook
(negative but improving)
1.The Euro Area Economic Sentiment Index is based on current sentiment surveys from EU Businesses and consumers for all 27 EU Member States.
-The current economic outlook as distinguished by businesses and consumers in the EU is currently below average at 96.3 (<100 is below average and >100 is above average).
- We have seen an improvement since Sept 2023 with an increase from 93.4 to 96.3 at present but remain in the negative.
EU Forward Looking Sentiment
(Firmly Positive)
2.The Euro Area ZEW Economic Index is a 6 month forward looking economists outlook for 20 of the 27 Euro Member states.
-The ZEW Index is anticipating optimistic economic conditions for the coming 6 months with a current reading of 33.5 which is well above the historical average of 21.39 on the chart. Economists in then EU see things improving over the coming two quarters.
EU Manufacturing and Services current performance composite
(Neutral - leaning negative)
3.Featured today, the Euro Area Composite PMI is a coincident indicator offering real-time health of the Eurozone economy through data collected from manufacturing and services firms.
-The Euro Area Composite PMI is currently close to neutral at 49.9 (just under the neutral 50 line) demonstrating that over the recent month we have been in marginal contraction in the EU according to the manufacturing/services composite.
- However, if we look at the individual Manufacturing PMI we can clearly see we are in negative/contractionary territory at 45.7 (green line) whilst the services PMI is rising into expansionary territory at 51.1 (red line). This is common theme in the US PMI at present also with services performing better than manufacturing sector.
The beauty of these charts is that you can go onto my TradingView Page and press update, and the chart will update you with all these metrics, informing you at a glance with how these metrics are performing collectively with a nice visual guide.
Thanks again for coming along and I hope this additional Eurozone chart helps you in your current and future understandings of EU Economic Sentiment, Forward looking economists sentiment and how manufacturing and services firms are feeling overall.
Bottom line is, economic sentiment appears to be leaning optimistic for the immediate future, however we await more readings for a conclusive trend direction from the coincident indicators, the ZEW Index and the Euro Area PMI index.
PUKA
#RAIN...looking good from 31.07.23#RAIN...
Intraday as well as swing trade
All levels given in charts ...
IF good potential seen then we work in options also
if activate then possible a good movement Keep eye on this ...
We take trade only when it activates...
Possible to give good target
TRADING FACTS
#MCX... Looking good for 21.07.23#MCX...
Intraday as well as swing trade
All levels given in charts ...
IF good potential seen then we work in options also
if activate then possible a good movement Keep eye on this ...
We take trade only when it activates...
Possible to give good target
TRADING FACTS
WMT benefits from consumer confidence LONGWMT may be benefiting from the potential suspension of federal rate hikes potentially
giving consumers more buying confidence and maybe a stabilization of credit card rates
as another form of relief. On the 4H chart, WMT is showed with a pair of anchored VWAP
bands set at the beginning of a prior breakout on June 30th and the pivot high on July 5th.
Price had descended to the third deviation green lines below the mean VWAPs zone ( black
lines) but has now ascended to the first deviation blue lines below the mean VWAPs.
WMT is in an early VWAP breakout at this point as price approaches the mean VWAP.
The MFT RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows both low and high TF RSIs now above the 50 level
and the low higher than the high demonstrating bullish momentum. The zero-lag MACD
is also confirmatory showing a line cross under the histogram on July 11th.
I find WMT suitably set up for a swing long trade. I will seek out the best entry on the
15-30 minute time frame by identifying a privot low from which to enter. The target
is the red second deviation lines above the mean VWAP zone at $158.25. A call options
trade would be for $157.00 with a 9-10 DTE.
3M Co. (MMM) bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart of the US company 3M Co. (MMM). 3M (originally the Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing Company) is an American multinational conglomerate operating in the fields of industry, worker safety, U.S. health care, and consumer goods. The company produces over 60,000 products under several brands, including adhesives, abrasives, laminates, passive fire protection, personal protective equipment, window films, paint protection films, dental and orthodontic products, electrical and electronic connecting and insulating materials, medical products, car-care products, electronic circuits, healthcare software and optical films. The Triangle broke through the support line on 20/01/2023. If the price holds below this level, you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 22 days towards 108.57 USD. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 129.63 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Wall Street will be looking for positivity from 3M as it approaches its next earnings report date. This is expected to be January 24, 2023. On that day, 3M is projected to report earnings of $2.34 per share, which would represent year-over-year growth of 1.3%. Meanwhile, our latest consensus estimate is calling for revenue of $8.04 billion, down 6.69% from the prior-year quarter.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
discretionary to staple spendimg has reached a zentithwe are at a point where the use of credit to purchase staples has outpaced the use of cash to purchase other goods. the expense of debt in discretionary goods has reached an inflection point with the expense of transaction in basic supplies. the chart is at a high. the sell signal is in. count on the cost of goods being relatively cheaper, and that being bad for sales. bearish for broader market.
TARGET PREDICTION!!!!! (SHORT)DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a macro analysis on what can be the potential path that price action will follow with current ongoing bearish momentum.
POINTS:
1. Price Action is in an overall downtrend channel.
2. Within this falling channel we have consolidation occurring with bearish trajectory as seen in the image to the top left in the top right example.
3. We have seen a BREAKOUT to the $139 range recently and if we come to see PULLBACK in the $156 range this would confirm a downward move.
*IMPORTANT: PULLBACK POINT COINCIDES WITH TOP OF CHANNEL, SUPPLY FLOOR & 100 & 50 MA.
SCENARIO #1: If price action is to lose $125 we will most certainly see a continuation of current bearish momentum which will then place us in the the follow SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET OF $125 - $75.
*NOTE: $125 -$75 SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET HAS PROVEN TO HAVE WEAK PRICE ACTION IN THE PAST.
SCENARIO #2: If price action is to move onto a bullish scenario it is crucial we hold $140 and see enough consolidation in order to invalidate current setup.
NYSE:TGT