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Consumerstaples

PG slow and steady long term winner with earnings coming LONGPG on the weekly chart gained 15% in a year and had a dip in the past two weeks with earnings at the end of this week. PG persistently and consistently beats earnings estimates and pays a dividend. Moreover, it consistently has a bit of a surge after earnings. I see this as an opportunity to get a good stock on a 4% dip of a discount and hold it through earnings for perhaps a 10% profit in two weeks while also picking up the quarterly dividend. Some traders including those institutionally based believe that buying near to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands is a good entry for getting fair value. I am one of them.
NYSE:PGLong
by AwesomeAvani
KHC approaching VWAP and looking to rise higher LONGKHC is a consumer staples, not a high flyng tech stock. Content to grind out a trend and take its time, it now looks to rise from sideways action since the last earnings. It is approaching the anchored VWAP where the big players sit waiting to pick up shares in the high volatility and volume zone and so earn a living from other traders who are not as savvy. Rising relative strengh supports a long trade here as does the Price Volume Trend. I find some balance with slow and easy swing trades to offset the chaos and volatility of the IT/ AI /Technology sectors.
NASDAQ:KHCLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
DLTR drops after earnings follows the market down DLTR dropped on a mild earnings beat. It is now below a volume shelf at 128. Indicators including the MACD suggest a reversal as bullish divergence is showing. The mass index supports a reversal. On the dual time frame RSI, the low TF green line is above the higher TF black line which is weaker. Overall, DLTR could retrace to 133 based on the Fib retracement tool However, I will not take this trade until price crosses above the POC line. !33 will be the first target and 134.5 the second target being the mean VWAP. I will take a call on options trade as well. I will only enter if the general market indices appear to be upgoing which is a challenge given the upcoming Powell speech at Jackson Hole If the market is down turning, the trade will be paused and reassessed at early next week.
NASDAQ:DLTRLong
by AwesomeAvani
P&G Target $135Procter & Gamble is in a weekly uptrend but was hitting its „head“ on the 158.00 resistance. After consolidating there it fell through the local higher low, building a new lower low and is currently retracing to that former local low which acts now as a resistance. The stock showed large sell volume on that resistance last friday which suggests we might se another break down to the current support at 135.00. We have two problems to consider in this trade: 1. The XLP (Index for Consumer Staples, with P&G as its biggest position) is currently more on a support than resistance and might suggest an upward move. That could mean P&G breaks through the 150.00 and is heading higher. 2. The yellow trend line was not broken yet. As a price action trader this is more of a minor problem to me because trend lines are artificial and only an indication for specific price action but should not be mistaken as price action itself. I therefore suggest to wait what happens today. If we see further downward movement, the trade could be taken. If we remain at the 150.00 resistance without larger sell volumes we should skip this one. Also, do not forget that consumer staples show steady performance during recessions and inflation periods because of the nature of their products. Not a primary concern for technical traders but it should be kept in mind. — 🐻 Trade Idea: Short - PG 🔥 Account Risk: 1.00% 📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option 🔍 Entry: +/- 147.00 🐿 DCA: No 😫 Stop-Loss: 155.00 🎯 Take-Profit #1: 135.00 (75%) 🎯 Trail Rest: Yes 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
NYSE:PGShort
by LGNDRY-Capital
1
XLP 73/70 Mar 18 Put Credit SpreadThis idea is a little out of the norm for me. I generally stick to broad market, but from time to time I play sectors. Credit Received: 0.36 or $36 / contract Strikes: Short 73 Long 70 Max Loss: 300-36 = $264 per contract Short Leg Delta: 30 Delta (more on this below) Trade Reasoning: 1. Market is being beat up by both the Ukraine - Russia situation and inflation, if both continue to worsen I believe consumer staples (what XLP tracks) will outperform the rest of the market. 2. White line presents a possible support level above my short strike here - Check! 3. Renko Overlay indicator from www.tradingview.com is a new addition to my chart, and it showed another decent support level (see picture below), this is represented by the yellow dashed line. 12% Return on risk - Less than 30 DTE - TP at 50% - SL at -200% Notes: 1. Delta is almost 2x what I normally shoot for (16 delta normal short target), however with these sector ETFs there is often wide spreads, little volume and somewhat crappy IV as well. As such, beggars can't be choosers. 2. Average True Range - ATR on this thing is piddly, so I felt more comfortable going closer to the money here. 3. Renko has been something that I have played with in the past, but I found it left out TOO much info. As such this overlay option from /u/LonesomeTheBlue is a very welcome addition.
AMEX:XLPLong
by ThetaTrades
1
Consumer Staples ETF for Uncertain Times, VDCConsumer staples/Consumer defensive stocks are a sector that is exactly what the name suggests. They are products and services that no matter the situation consumers are unable or unwilling to go without. Examples include, Walmart, Costco, Coca-Cola, Colgate-Palmolive, etc. These big name household staples are unlikely to give you the astronomic growth of the newest tech startup or revolutionize their industry but they do have some very appealing attributes that may make investors want to include them in their portfolio. 1) They Don't go Backwards: Too often investors are focused on the upside and not enough on the downside. Just like that new technology company experienced huge growth by replacing the technology before it so to will it eventually be replaced. Consumer staples do not suffer from this need to constantly innovate, they exist to provide goods and services that are generally essential for our continued existence and so consumers are are unable to easily replace them with a new product. Of course no business is immune to failure but generally the companies that exist in the consumer staples sector will retain their value over time. 2) Safety During Economic Downturns: During periods of economic hardship consumers may decide to completely abandon purchasing anything except the essentials needed for everyday existence. This will inevitably result in decreased profits for most businesses in the economy but not so much the consumer staples. While they may also experience decreased profits, the decrease in revenue is capped for consumer staples by the fact that people still have to eat, brush their teeth, and clothe themselves, this results in businesses in the consumer staples sector generally outperforming during economic downturns. 3) Inflation Resistant: Businesses in the consumer staples sector are able to effectively price higher inflation into their products and services. When high inflation puts excessive upwards pressure on prices consumers will start to taper their purchases of luxury and non-essential items, this generally means these businesses have to reduce prices to maintain sales or accept a decrease in revenue. Businesses who offer staple goods and services are not as prone to suffering from this phenomenon and can more easily price inflation into their products. This makes consumer staples an excellent hedge against inflation. The easiest way for new or "lazy" investors to gain exposure to the consumer staples sector is to use an ETF. I recommend using the Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC). This ETF has 97 holdings diversified across the consumer staples sector, its top 10 holdings are: 1 Procter & Gamble Co. 2 Walmart Inc. 3 Coca-Cola Co. 4 PepsiCo Inc. 5 Costco Wholesale Corp. 6 Philip Morris International Inc. 7 Mondelez International Inc. 8 Altria Group Inc. 9 Estee Lauder Cos. Inc. 10 Colgate-Palmolive Co. With the multiple headwinds currently facing the markets including, out of control inflation, China's property market collapsing, irresponsibly loose monetary policy, and record high valuations across every asset class, now is a good time to make sure you have exposure to an ETF like VDC that can help you weather an impending financial disturbance. *Not a recommendation to buy or sell*
AMEX:VDC
by MarkE
Sector early indicator? No, Consumer Staples, not that much.The Consumer Staples sector - here represented by Procter & Gamble (PG, in pink), Coca Cola (KO, in yellow) and PepsiCo (PEP, in purple) - are mostly not strong early indicators against the broader market (here represented by the DJIA in gray, and the NASDAQ in black)... KO & PEP fell from peaks in July 1998, then a period of over six months of weak underperforming prices from Dec 2014, a period of around two and a half months of weak underperforming prices from Aug 2017, then weak underperforming prices for KO & PEP during all of Aug 2018, and a period of around two and a half months of weak underperforming prices from mid Oct 2019.
DJ:DJI
by dartde
ridethepig | Consumer Staples🛒 Consumer staples is dealing with a remarkable situation on the macro front which we have discussed at earlier opportunities (see ALPHA PROTOCOL: SEEKING IMMEDIATE EXTRACTION). One should be wary of the immediate risk for a waterfall as consumer staples hang onto the highs by a fingernail. After completing the 5 wave sequence to the topside, clearly the end of the road is approaching for this economic cycle and we must decline into 2021/2022 in order to untangle the flows for 2022 -> 2030. Time to start paying close attention for early signs of a turn. Risk is threatening to breakdown in an impulsive fashion, our opponents are attempting to prevent the breakdown, but with stimulus delayed till after the elections the protective move is out of the question this week. Strong support from a technical perspective is found at 53/52 and 48/47.
AMEX:XLPShort
by ridethepig
Consumer staples are the best of all possible worlds right nowSo we've got macroeconomic forces pulling in a couple different directions right now. One the one hand, the Fed is talking about pumping trillions of dollars more liquidity into the market, which should further inflate equity prices. On the other hand, with coronavirus cases continuing to rocket, we're starting to see economic data fall off a cliff. Consumer staples and metals are the natural havens. Today, the University of Michigan measure of US consumer sentiment for July came in at 73.2 versus the consensus expectation of 79. This was the largest negative surprise on record, and it's going to have a big negative effect on the consumer discretionary sector. And what's bad for retail is also bad for banks, as CMBS delinquency reached 10.32%. We also got a large negative surprise on housing starts today, up only 2.1% vs. the 4.9% consensus expectation. Home building has been the one bright spot in the economy as Americans flee the cities for the suburbs, so this is a concerning deterioration in that market. The ECRI leading index has been flattening, and mobility is falling as scared consumers remain at home even in states that haven't reclosed. California's reclosure this week was a huge deal, since the state accounts for nearly 15% of US GDP. Consumer confidence chart: twitter.com Mobility chart: www.dallasfed.org Meanwhile, the Fed's balance sheet grew this week for the first time in four weeks, which means that liquidity-- and the accompanying asset price inflation-- is on the upswing again. Congress is actively working on as much as $3.5 trillion in new stimulus, and Lael Brainard of the Federal Reserve is signaling that the Fed may get more aggressive about trying to hit its 2% inflation target, even to the point of "overshooting" that target to make up for years of weak inflation. (Current CPI is about 1.2%.) See Brainard's remarks here: www.federalreserve.gov With economic data starting to sour, I don't really want to be in equities. But with more liquidity coming, I don't really want to be out of equities, either. My solution is to hide out in metals and consumer staples. A fall-off in mobility will be bad for nearly every sector of the economy, but it should be bullish for consumer staples and grocery store stocks, some of which report earnings in the next few weeks. That makes the consumer staples sector a natural safe haven as California recloses and frightened consumers stay home. Consumer staples also pay dividends, and they're a little more reasonably valued than technology, which is the other sector that might conceivably benefit from reclosing. As you can see on the chart, staples recently made a bullish trend line break (which I alerted before it happened), and they have continued to strengthen since.
AMEX:XLPLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
2