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3 Simple Tricks to Recover from a Drawdown like a Pro3 Simple Tricks to Recover from a Drawdown like a Pro. In our private client area, we often talk about the importance of understanding drawdowns. The first step in dealing with drawdowns is to acquire the right mindset that is conducive to trading. Do you want to learn how to live through the daily drawdown that is almost inevitable and all traders must go through? Statistics have shown that the majority of your life trading career will be spent in drawdowns. If you spend so much time in a drawdown, it’s important to learn how to recover from drawdowns. With that said, here are 3 trading tips you should use to help you recover from drawdowns: #1 Know the Maximum Drawdown of Your Trading Strategy Through effective backtesting methods, you can actually discover the maximum DD of your trading strategy. This will mentally prepare you for them. If a trader learns how to develop an awareness of what will happen to his account during a drawdown period, you’ll have the mental capacity to cope with the drawdown and stick with your trading strategy through these tough times. That’s assuming you have a profitable strategy. If you can’t learn to master this discipline, then you’re better off to stick to algorithmic trading and let the robot do the job for you. Automation will often eliminate counterproductive emotional decisions. #2 Cut Back Your Position Size Another thing you can do to cope with the painful reality of drawdowns is to risk per trade or the position size. Contrary to the popular belief that teaches you to increase your risk, so you can accelerate the recovery process, that type of behavior is very destructive for your account balance. Aggressive pyramiding to escape a drawdown is even worse. Take for example, how legendary trader Richard Denis thought the Turtles to handle drawdowns. When drawdowns occurred, they would reduce the trading size from 2% down to 1.6%. They would continue to cut back their position size if the DD was extending. This preventive action is for self-preservation of your capital. Learn it, and use it in your favor. #3 Increase your Risk-Reward Ratio A positive and big risk to reward ratio is part of every successful trading system. To escape a drawdown faster you need to learn how to increase your risk and reward ratio. One of the most effective methods to improve your RR ratio is to perfect your entry strategy. By having a better market timing you can keep your stop-loss very tight, thus further limiting your losses. With a RR ratio of 1:3, you can escape a drawdown period pretty fast even if your win rate is still somehow very low. If you can make a pact with yourself and not flinch in the face of adversity when your risk tolerance is reached your daily mental battle is half won. Final Words – Drawdown in Forex Trading In summary, drawdown forex is the most important risk metric because DD can make you switch your trading strategy if you have too many consecutive losses or if our losses last for too long. Forex drawdown can literally kill your account if you don’t know how to recover from a drawdown trading period. The only way you’ll never experience a drawdown is if you stop trading. You need to accept the reality that the drawdown in forex trading is inevitable There is no such thing as risk-free returns. You need to work smart not only to make profits but to also keep those profits. With that said, you only need to keep in mind these three drawdown trading rules, if you want to manage DD like a pro: Know your historical max DD Cut back your trading size Increase your RR ratio Thank you for reading!
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
1
USDCAD two possible ScenariosUSDCAD H4 - TWO POSSIBLE SCENARIOS this pair is trading inside this green channel, so we are overall bearish here. price is now sitting around the upper green trendline and orange resistance, so we may expect a downward movement from here unless price breaks above the orange level 1.4200 upward aggressively, then an upward movement till around 1.4650 would be expected as mentioned, for now, this pair is overall bearish (going downward), in this case, the first main rejection area is the lower green trendline and blue level 1.380 if price breaks below the blue level 1.3800, then a downward movement till around 1.3500 would be expected
by TheSignalyst
IT'S NOT OVER YET | THE FASTER WE RISE, THE HARDER WE FALLI am not confident this is the end. In the history of Bitcoin's existence, the faster we rose, the harder we fell. Vast acceleration always resulted in a large correction. We rose up too fast... yet again. Thus, I believe a large correction is due... yet again. Now I understand this pattern breaks eventually and we progress into a bull market, a long, multi-month, sideways bottoming pattern forms. I have yet to see anything of the likes. So why is this scenario any different? Historical Rapid Acceleration It seems like nothing has changed... yet again. VERDICT: Until we actually form a bottoming pattern that is sustainable and reasonable, I can't be confident that price is ready to start the next journey to new highs.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JayanVarsani
3
Price action & Psychology - Resistance, consolid., continuationHello ! Key points : Resistance broken on high volume and wide range candles Consolidation phase and support hold Huge price rejection on the hourly + high volume Relative strength (compared to today's market conditions) I've left some charting from the previous trade on this analysis, to get a context. On the previous analysis, we said that basically, what happens after an "ABCD" pattern, is that the "D" makes a new low (depending on what chart you're looking at it must not be an all-time low). So we're entering a new trend. As we know, stocks nearly always move in waves (higher highs, higher lows when uptrending, reverse for downtrending). What happens here, is that the stock needs some room to "breathe" before resuming the trend. Some people are taking profits (like I did yesterday), others are joining the party, while others wait on the sidelines. BUT , there's still a "healthy" balance between the different actors, otherwise, if the conviction was gone or there would have been enough sellers to absorb the buy orders, the stock would have reversed right away. The 2 reasons for a stock price (or any other security) to go up (reverse for down) Fundamentally, there are 2 reasons : There are not enough sellers to absorb buy orders (buyers > sellers) Traders/investors think that the stock is cheap (they have the belief that the stock will go up in the future, i.e. the conviction) ***Disclaimer : This is not an advice to buy the stock. Please, be aware that trading is a matter of probabilities, it takes only ONE trader to deny your trade.*** Thanks for reading and if you have suggestions or wanna discuss the idea, just leave a comment, I'll be happy to answer.
NASDAQ:VRALong
by UnknownUnicorn6734025
EUR/GBP REVERSAL | INVERTED H&S / DOUBLE BOTTOMNOTE: The following extends my earlier post on EUR/GBP. Please refer to it in addition to this post; attached below as a related idea. Inverted H&S - Right Shoulder Forming Double Bottom Still Holding As The Local Low Targeting The 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level Macro-Economic Analysis - Further Downside Expected, Thus A Rise In EUR/GBP VERDICT: Cycle low is in and forecasting movement to the upside. Targeting the 61.8% retracement level.
Long
by JayanVarsani
BITCOIN & SP500 | THE SIMILARITY IS PRECEDENTED | NOT A HEDGE.No unnecessary words needed. The chart speaks volumes. Bitcoin has never experienced a recession let alone a pandemic. Bitcoin will follow and mimic the global economy so long as economic implications exist. Main indicator for investing in Bitcoin should be the SP500, or any other equity index. This isn't a bull market. This is a bull trap correction. VERDICT: Bitcoin is not a hedge and will follow the broader markets until this recession/pandemic is over. Just ask yourself... why would bitcoin act differently?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JayanVarsani
5
GBPUSD sell idea ***GOOD RISK TO REWARD RATIO***We find GBPUSD in a 4 hourly bearish channel. Following an exhaustion to the up side, we will be looking to jump onto sells as we see upward momentum being lost on the 1h timeframe. Sells will be entered upon retest and denial of the 38.2% fib level as shown, where we could see a big push downwards to the 1.22270 price level. We find this to be a high probability trade, with a RR of 3.95 and is very well worth entering. Remember to trade responsibly and with appropriate risk management. Happy trading!
Short
by Tradesman1996
1