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What’s America's Real Goal in a Possible India–Pakistan War?We are nearing the end of the petro-dollar era. The power balance of the new world order will be defined not by oil, but by the strategic resources essential for AI, electric vehicles, and cutting-edge technology. Throughout the 20th century, the U.S. maintained its global dominance by controlling access to oil. From the Middle East to Latin America and Africa, wherever oil was found, the U.S. was there. But today, the focus has shifted to rare earth elements, lithium, copper, and other strategic minerals. Trump’s 2025 move to buy Greenland wasn’t a diplomatic joke—it was a signal. Behind-the-scenes deals in Ukraine for rare earth deposits tell the same story: whoever controls these "white gold" assets will lead the tech-driven world. Now enters Pakistan, with mineral-rich lands spanning over 600,000 km², nearly three times the size of the UK. Experts estimate its underground reserves to be worth $8 trillion. In Balochistan's Rekodik field alone, there are 12 million tons of copper and 20 million ounces of gold, with a copper purity of 0.53%, well above global standards. In the north, newly discovered lithium reserves could be a game-changer for the EV revolution. This is no longer just about resources—this is about deciding the future balance of global power.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Nurlan_PT
Technical Analysis for FX,Indices and many More!(5May-9May2025)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for? For me I am looking at : GbpAud and probably EurAud for shorts BTC likely to continue upwards move Majors to turn lower against USD Precious metals like copper and silver to bear more, Gold too. This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do? Do check out my recorded video for more insights! Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
ICMARKETS:BTCUSD
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
The relationship between gold, copper and the US10YFirst, can you tell me what you think the relationship between these two curves is? Clearly, these two curves have a strong negative correlation, meaning they move exactly opposite to each other. You can see in the image that their behavior is like a mirror image (from 2007 to before 2022). You are familiar with the gold-to-copper ratio, right? Now, when this gold-to-copper ratio curve rises, it means that gold is giving better returns compared to copper. This indicates that the global economy is moving away from growth and heading toward a recession. Investors, instead of investing in production (where copper symbolizes production), choose to invest in a safe haven like gold. The opposite happens when this curve goes down. The lower curve represents the yield on long-term U.S. bonds. When this curve is rising, it means that the supply of bonds is greater than the demand. People are selling bonds, which causes the bond yield to rise. When the curve is falling, it means people are buying bonds, which causes the bond yield to drop. Why do these two curves move in opposite directions? Now, let’s get to the main question. The answer to this question is simple: bonds, like gold, serve as a safe haven for investors. When the economy moves toward a recession (when gold offers better returns than copper, and the gold-to-copper ratio is rising), some investors shift towards bonds, and the yield curve drops. That’s why these two curves move in opposite directions. To summarize the entire story: Movement toward recession = investors moving toward gold and bonds = rise in the gold-to-copper ratio and drop in bond yield curve. Now it’s clear why these two curves move opposite to each other. The big surprise is coming👇 Since the beginning of 2022, the historical trend has changed. These two curves have started to show a positive correlation! Meaning, everything I mentioned above has gone out the window! Now, the question is: What suddenly happened? There are several analyses, but I believe what changed is that U.S. bonds are no longer a safe haven for investors, as they once were (the same fear signal I mentioned earlier). In fact, after the pandemic, the world has never been the same. This is an important development and it affects many things. I’ve addressed this topic from various perspectives before, and here’s a new angle on it. For the past two to three years, contrary to the historical trend, investors have been buying gold but selling bonds, and these two curves have been rising together. As you can see, the analytical situation has changed drastically compared to, say, 10 years ago, and many fundamental facts have shifted. For instance, many people expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and gold to go up again, but after an initial short shock, the story will probably reverse. #Gold #XAUUSD #HG1!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mostafadehghan321
1
Mid-Week Market Forecast: GOLD, SILVER, COPPER & PLATINUMIn this video, we'll present analysis and best setups for Wednesday, April 22nd to the end of the week. Gold is still a buy. Silver may present a sell opportunity at current levels. Copper looks like it is setting up for a valid sell. Platinum has showed weakness early this week. We'll watch for continuation. Be patient, and wait for confirmations! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
Bullish bounce?COPPER has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 4.5751 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 4.4681 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 4.8155 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:COPPERLong
by VantageMarkets
Copper: Markets are waiting for the continuation of trade tensioCopper is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. An upward correction of copper will provide us with a good risk-reward selling position. If the downward trend continues, we can buy copper at the next demand zone. The World Trade Organization (WTO) has significantly downgraded its outlook for global merchandise trade in its latest report, now forecasting a 0.2% contraction in 2025. Previously, it had projected a 3% growth. The organization warned that if the United States fully enforces its reciprocal tariffs and their effects intensify, global trade could shrink by as much as 1.5%. While the temporary suspension of some tariffs recently announced by Washington has somewhat eased the downturn in trade, the WTO emphasized that substantial downside risks remain. However, for 2026, the organization painted a more optimistic picture, anticipating a moderate 2.5% rebound in trade growth. In a pointed address, Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng sent a clear message to the international community, especially the U.S., asserting that China has no intention of backing down and will stand firm if its interests are threatened. His remarks came as a new wave of heavy U.S. tariffs—including duties as high as 245% on certain Chinese exports—has reignited tensions between the two economic powers. He Lifeng affirmed that China remains a reliable trade partner for the world. He also announced increased government support for Chinese businesses engaged in foreign trade and encouraged them to leverage opportunities at the Canton Fair and explore broader global markets. According to him, China’s vast domestic market could become a key destination for high-quality imported goods. Alongside these economic and diplomatic messages, Chinese officials’ rhetoric has turned more confrontational in response to recent U.S. actions. He dismissed what he called the U.S.’s “numerical games” and warned that China’s response to threats would be decisive. Stressing the importance of a healthy business environment, he urged officials to implement supportive policies effectively, ensuring foreign trade and economic activity proceed with greater transparency, efficiency, and ease. Meanwhile, the global maritime shipping industry has entered a concerning phase. New data from Vizion shows that bookings for shipments to the U.S. have sharply declined following the implementation of new tariffs by the American government. This sudden drop occurred just one week after the tariffs were imposed and reflects how businesses are reacting to deep policy uncertainty. High-traffic routes such as Shanghai to Los Angeles—which typically take 20–30 days—and routes through the Panama Canal to New York—which add another 15 days—have seen notable declines in bookings. This downturn is occurring precisely when summer orders should be peaking. The data clearly indicates that the anticipated decline in U.S. port volumes will materialize soon and with greater intensity in May. The plunge in bookings is sounding alarms not just for importers and retailers but also for the broader logistics industry, ports, and even Asian manufacturers, potentially leading to a slowdown in all these sectors. In parallel, Deutsche Bank’s latest report sharply downgraded the U.S. economic growth forecast for 2025 while raising inflation projections, signaling a shift in the bank’s analysis toward a stagflation scenario. According to the report, U.S. GDP is expected to grow by only 0.9% on a quarterly basis in 2025—markedly lower than earlier estimates. Key factors behind this revision include trade tariffs, policy uncertainty, and tighter financial conditions. The new wave of tariffs, particularly those targeting Chinese imports, has been cited as a major driver of renewed inflationary pressures. On the monetary front, Deutsche Bank warned that the abrupt economic policies of the U.S. administration have created unprecedented instability in the global financial system—an impact that will likely persist even if some tariffs are temporarily rolled back. The report also raised concerns about the future of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency and suggested that the country’s ability to finance its growing fiscal deficits could be seriously undermined.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERShort
by Ali_PSND
Potential bullish rise?COPPER has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 4.5751 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 4.4681 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 4.8155 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:COPPERLong
by VantageMarkets
Potential bullish rise?COPPER has broken out of the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 4.4701 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 4.3024 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 4.7893 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:COPPERShort
by VantageMarkets
Barrick Gold (strong buy) I want you guys take a look at some things real quick Current Environment Macro Landscape: Defensive + Hard Assets - Gold, Miners, Energy, Real Estate (inflation hedges) AI & Mega Cap Tech - MSFT, NVDA, AMZN — inflows China / Trade War Plays - FCX, CAT, Global Industrials Reflation / Commodity Rotation- Oil, Copper, Uranium, Ag plays gold: safe haven play amid geopolitical risk and tariffs Strong correlation with real interest rates + USD — lower rates + weaker dollar = bullish Tariffs = inflationary = bullish for gold Strong gold reserve base + relatively low AISC copper: 1. China Tariffs = Industrial Policy Countermoves If the U.S. imposes more tariffs on China, China could respond with stimulus or infrastructure spending — which increases demand for copper. China is the world’s largest consumer of copper, and its response to tariffs often includes pro-growth policies. 2. Copper is Critical for EVs, Grids, and Renewables Global push toward electrification, clean energy, EVs, etc., requires a massive amount of copper. Demand is secular, not cyclical — even if tariffs temporarily suppress growth, the long-term demand curve is strong. 3. Tight Supply Outlook Copper supply is constrained globally. Many copper mines are aging, with long lead times for new projects. Barrick is developing world-class copper assets (e.g., Reko Diq in Pakistan — one of the largest undeveloped copper-gold deposits in the world). lets not forget the most revenue being generated from operations comes from their Nevada mines.. US PRODUCTION gold barrick isnt the only mining company money is moving to, take some thought into moving money to commodities
GLong
by wilhelmthethird
High Risk, High Reward: Shorting ATH in a Bullish Copper Market.Copper just broke above its all-time high, triggering my short entry at 5.3010. While the macro trend is undeniably bullish, past price action has shown that each major high was followed by aggressive selloffs. This might not be the case this time – but that’s exactly why we have a stop-loss in place. This is a tactical counter-trade: not about fighting the trend but playing a potential rejection from a psychological and technical key zone. Let’s see if history rhymes or the red metal keeps melting resistance! Technicals: • Daily timeframe breakout above ATH triggered the short at 5.3010. • Strong vertical rally into major supply – parabolic move often cools down. • Previous ATH levels have consistently attracted heavy selling. • If price invalidates with a continuation above 5.61, the setup is out. • Volatility around this zone is expected – precision and SL management are key. Fundamentals: 1. Trump’s Proposed Copper Tariffs: • Tariffs of up to 25% could disrupt global trade flow and introduce price instability. • Market already priced in a bullish narrative, so any delay or uncertainty could spark a correction. 2. Panama’s Cobre Mine Shutdown: • The mine accounts for 1% of global supply, and uncertainty around reopening may already be priced in. • The government is holding off public visits, which adds operational risk but no clear bullish resolution yet. 3. China Smelter Closures: • While bullish in nature, these are known factors – any shift or reversal from China could cool the demand-side speculation. 4. Overbought Sentiment: • Prices surged rapidly, creating a gap between LME and NY copper prices, reaching record spreads. • Speculative exhaustion could trigger a short-term pullback or deeper correction. Risk-Managed Play. Let’s see if this time is different – or just the same old Copper story in a new macro wrapper. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
VANTAGE:COPPERShort
by AR33_
COPPER The 1D MA50 is the key.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) was on January 24 (see chart below) giving a buy signal that easily hit our 4.6550 Target: This time the market is in front of a critical moment. The 2025 pattern has been a Channel Up, which last Wednesday reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up. As long as the 2025 pattern holds, the recent pull-back is a buy opportunity targeting 5.3745. If the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks however, we expect a quick dive, rebound re-test and rejection, similar to July 05 2024. In that case, we will target the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up at 4.150. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
COMEX:HG1!
by TradingShot
Bearish drop?COPPER is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5.0325 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5.1220 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback resistance levle that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 4.8933 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:COPPERShort
by VantageMarkets
Copper Preparing up for a BIG MoveCAPITALCOM:COPPER Weekly Chart Analysis 📈 Current Price: $5.05(-1.43%) 🎯 Key Levels: Support Levels: $5.00 (Major), $4.92 (Next support) Resistance Levels: $5.50 (Next major target) 📊 Trend & Market Structure Breakout Confirmed: Price has broken above previous resistance (~$5.00) and is sustaining. Retest in Progress: Currently testing support at $5.00-$4.92. 💡Trade Plan 📝 Bullish Setup (Buy on Retest) ✅ Entry: $5.00 - $4.92 (Support retest) Stop-Loss: $4.85 (Below support break) Target: $5.50 and $6.50
CAPITALCOM:COPPERLong
by Trendxinc
Copper is red hot right now. Here’s whyCopper’s COMEX price hit a new high on 26th March making the red metal red hot right now. The first three months of 2025 have seen industrial metals make noticeable gains with the Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex up 10.55% year to date1. Copper’s gains, however, stand out for numerous reasons. Tariffs The additional premium of COMEX prices over the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices reflects aggressive buying by US traders importing copper in anticipation of a possible 25% tariff on copper imports. This speculation has been fuelled by President Trump last month ordering a probe into the threat to national security from the imports of copper. As aluminium imports were also recently subjected to tariffs, markets are speculating that copper might be next. This rush has triggered a shift in global flows, with metal moving out of LME warehouses and into US Comex facilities, where copper is held on a “duty paid” basis to avoid future levies. As traders front-run potential policy changes, this behaviour is tightening global supply and fuelling price gains, adding to a market already under pressure from rising demand and a looming supply squeeze. Demand China has given an additional boost to copper prices having announced a new action plan to boost domestic consumption by raising household incomes. The stimulus is seen as a positive signal for copper demand, especially as retail sales have already shown stronger-than-expected growth early in the year. China has also set itself a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, and so far this year, its manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) has remained in expansionary territory — a sign that the economy is holding steady. With momentum building across consumption and manufacturing, copper is getting a fresh tailwind despite lingering weakness in the property sector. Further support for industrial metals, including copper, has come from Germany’s recently unveiled €1 trillion infrastructure and defence spending plan — a move that will inevitably drive greater demand for base metals. Supply Supply tightness in the copper market is being driven by several structural and emerging challenges. Exceptionally low processing fees—caused by an oversupply of smelting capacity, particularly in China—have placed financial strain on global smelters, prompting companies like Glencore to halt operations at its facility in the Philippines. Looking ahead, Indonesia’s proposal to shift from a flat 5% copper mining royalty to a progressive rate of 10–17% risks discouraging future production growth. These supply-side pressures come as the International Copper Study Group reported a slight global copper deficit in January 2025. While a similar shortfall at the start of 2024 eventually turned into a surplus, this time the combination of weakening smelting economics, policy headwinds, and solid demand could make the current deficit more persistent and impactful. Several major copper miners have recently downgraded their production estimates for 2025, adding further pressure to an already tight market. Glencore suspended output at its Altonorte smelter in Chile2, while Freeport-McMoRan delayed refined copper sales from its Manyar smelter in Indonesia due to a fire3. Anglo American expects lower output from its Chilean operations amid maintenance and water challenges, and First Quantum Minerals faces reduced grades and scheduled downtime4. These disruptions are likely to tighten global copper concentrate supply, potentially widening the market’s supply-demand imbalance just as demand continues to strengthen. Sources: 1 Source: Bloomberg, based on total return index as of 28 March 2025. 2 Reuters, March 26, 2025 3 Reuters, October 16, 2024 4 Metal.com. February 14, 2025 This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
COMEX:HGS1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
Copper Set to Rally: Bullish Setup with Massive Upside PotentialCopper is holding firmly at a key support level and poised for a potential breakout. The combination of bullish macroeconomic factors and tightening supply suggests significant upside potential. China’s Growth Push: Chinese leaders are targeting 5% annual growth in 2025, with plans to boost domestic consumption and infrastructure spending, key drivers of copper demand. Robust Demand Drivers: Industries like EVs, power grids, and air conditioning continue to drive structural demand for copper, aligning with the global shift toward electrification and renewable energy. Supply Challenges: Multi-month low inventories in Shanghai warehouses signal tight supply conditions. Peru’s flat output and Chinese smelter profitability issues add further pressure to global supply. With these factors converging, copper prices are primed for a bullish move from current levels. Trade Setup TP1: $4.3498 TP2: $4.6347 TP3: $5.000 Stop Loss: $3.8622 This trade setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, with tightening supply and robust demand creating a solid foundation for bullish momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:COPPERLong
by ValchevFinance
Copper's Grip: Stronger Than Oil's?Is the U.S. economy poised for a red metal revolution? The escalating demand for copper, fueled by the global transition to clean energy, the proliferation of electric vehicles, and the modernization of critical infrastructure, suggests a shifting economic landscape where copper's significance may soon eclipse oil. This vital metal, essential for everything from renewable power systems to advanced electronics, is becoming increasingly central to U.S. economic prosperity. Its unique properties and expanding applications in high-growth sectors position it as a linchpin for future development, potentially rendering it more crucial than traditional energy sources in the years to come. This sentiment is echoed by recent market activity, with copper prices hitting a new record high, reaching $5.3740 per lb. on the COMEX. This surge has widened the price gap between New York and London to approximately $1,700 a tonne, signaling strong U.S. demand. However, this burgeoning importance faces a looming threat: the potential imposition of U.S. tariffs on copper imports. Framed under the guise of national security concerns, these tariffs could trigger significant economic repercussions. By increasing the cost of imported copper, a vital component for numerous domestic industries, tariffs risk inflating production costs, raising consumer prices, and straining international trade relationships. The anticipation of these tariffs has already caused market volatility, with major traders at a Financial Times commodities summit in Switzerland predicting copper could reach $12,000 a tonne this year. Kostas Bintas from Mercuria noted the current "tightness" in the copper market due to substantial imports heading to the U.S. in anticipation of tariffs, which some analysts expect sooner than previously anticipated. Ultimately, the future trajectory of the U.S. economy will be heavily influenced by the availability and affordability of copper. Current market trends reveal surging prices driven by robust global demand and constrained supply, a situation that could be further exacerbated by trade barriers. Traders are also anticipating increased industrial demand as major economies like the U.S. and EU upgrade their electricity grids, further supporting the bullish outlook. Aline Carnizelo of Frontier Commodities is among the experts forecasting a $12,000 price target. However, Graeme Train from Trafigura cautioned that the global economy remains "a little fragile," highlighting potential risks to sustained high demand. As the world continues its march towards electrification and technological advancement, copper's role will only intensify. Whether the U.S. navigates this new era with policies that ensure a smooth and cost-effective supply of this essential metal or whether protectionist measures inadvertently hinder progress remains a critical question for the nation's economic future.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by UDIS_View
Copper Bounce? $HG1! at Key Demand Zone!Back at a strong demand level on COMEX:HG1! (Copper futures). The key invalidation is a 4-hour close below 3.92, so I'll be watching closely to manually close. I'm looking for a potential bounce from here, and if the weekly candle closes bullish, I may consider this a reversal setup. The confluence between the weekly support and the current demand zone gives me confidence to take the trade. If the move fails, my next level to watch is 3.7 for another potential entry. Let’s see if COMEX:HG1! behaves this time.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by ZelfTrade
1
XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (9500) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 10050 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. ⭐Fundamental Analysis⭐ Overview: Fundamental analysis of XCU/USD involves evaluating the intrinsic value of copper based on economic, industrial, and external influences. At $9.70/lb, copper is at an unusually high level, suggesting strong demand, supply constraints, or external pressures. Economic Growth: Copper is a key industrial metal tied to global GDP growth, particularly in manufacturing, construction, and electrification (e.g., EVs, renewable energy). A price of $9.70 could reflect robust economic expansion, especially in emerging markets like China and India. Inflation and Currency: High inflation in 2025 could weaken the USD, pushing commodity prices like copper higher. Alternatively, a strong USD might temper this rise unless offset by other factors. Industrial Demand: Increased demand from green energy (e.g., solar, wind, EVs) and infrastructure projects could justify this price. Supply Constraints: Disruptions in major copper-producing countries (e.g., Chile, Peru) or reduced mining output could tighten supply, driving prices up. ⭐Macroeconomic Factors⭐ Interest Rates: If the Federal Reserve maintains high rates in 2025 to combat lingering inflation, this could strengthen the USD, typically pressuring commodity prices downward. However, at $9.70, demand might outweigh this effect. Global Growth: Strong GDP growth in China (a top copper consumer) or a global infrastructure boom (e.g., post-2024 recovery) could support high prices. Conversely, a recession would cap upside potential. Inflation: Persistent inflation in 2025 could make copper a hedge, boosting prices. A cooling inflation trend might signal a peak. USD Strength: A weaker USD (e.g., due to Fed rate cuts) would naturally lift XCU/USD, while a stronger USD could challenge the $9.70 level unless supply/demand dynamics dominate. ⭐Geopolitical Factors⭐ Trade Policies: Escalating U.S.-China tensions or tariffs in 2025 could disrupt copper flows, raising prices if China stockpiles or seeks alternative suppliers. Regional Instability: Political unrest in copper-rich regions like Peru or Chile (e.g., protests, strikes) could reduce output, supporting high prices. For instance, Peru’s flat production trends (noted in prior data) might persist. Sanctions/War: Geopolitical events, such as sanctions on Russia (a minor copper player) or conflicts affecting shipping routes (e.g., Red Sea disruptions), could increase costs and prices. Energy Transition: Global commitments to net-zero (e.g., post-COP29 agreements) might amplify copper demand, reinforcing the $9.70 level. ⭐Supply and Demand Factors⭐ Demand: Copper’s role in electrification (EVs, grids) and construction suggests strong demand. At $9.70, industries might face cost pressures, potentially curbing consumption unless offset by growth. Supply: Multi-month low inventories (e.g., Shanghai warehouses) and challenges in mining (e.g., declining ore grades, environmental regulations) could limit supply. A price this high implies significant tightness. Substitution Risk: High prices might encourage substitution (e.g., aluminum in wiring), though copper’s conductivity makes this limited in key applications. Stockpiles: LME warehouse data showing declining stocks would support $9.70; rising inventories could signal a reversal. ⭐Technical Factors⭐ Price Levels: At $9.70, XCU/USD might be testing a major resistance (e.g., a psychological $10.00 level). Historical highs (around $4.90 in 2022) suggest this is a breakout, potentially overextended. Moving Averages: If the 50-day MA ($9.50) and 200-day MA ($9.00) are below the current price, this indicates bullish momentum. A drop below these could signal a correction. RSI: An RSI above 70 (overbought) at $9.70 suggests a potential pullback; below 50 would indicate bearish momentum. Support/Resistance: Support might lie at $9.00–$9.20 (former resistance turned support), with resistance at $10.00–$10.50. ⭐Sentiment Factors⭐ Market Sentiment: At $9.70, sentiment is likely bullish, driven by optimism about industrial demand and supply fears. However, over exuberance could lead to profit-taking. X Trends: Discussions on X about unexpected commodity price spikes (akin to trending weather surprises) might reflect surprise at this level, hinting at speculative froth. Media: Positive coverage of copper’s role in green tech could fuel bullish sentiment; negative economic outlooks might shift it bearish. ⭐Seasonal Factors⭐ Construction Cycles: Spring (March–May) typically sees higher copper demand due to construction in the Northern Hemisphere, supporting $9.70. Chinese Demand: Post-Lunar New Year (Feb 2025) often boosts industrial activity in China, aligning with this price spike. Historical Patterns: Copper prices can peak mid-year if supply lags seasonal demand, suggesting $9.70 might hold short-term but face pressure later. ⭐Intermarket Analysis⭐ USD Index: A declining DXY (e.g., below 100) would support higher XCU/USD; a rising DXY could cap gains. Gold (XAU/USD): Copper often correlates with gold as an inflation hedge. If gold is also at highs (e.g., $2,900+), this reinforces bullish commodity trends. Oil Prices: High oil prices (e.g., $90+/barrel) increase mining costs, supporting copper prices but potentially slowing industrial demand. Equities: Strong industrial stocks (e.g., mining, EV firms) suggest copper demand; a broader market sell-off could drag prices down. ⭐Market Sentiment Analysis of All Types of Investors⭐ Retail Investors: Likely bullish at $9.70, chasing the trend via ETFs or futures, but prone to panic selling on dips. Institutional Investors: Hedge funds and banks might be long copper, betting on supply shortages, though some could hedge if overbought signals emerge. Industrial Users: Manufacturers (e.g., EV makers) might lock in prices via forwards, supporting the market, but high costs could prompt hedging or substitution. Speculators: High volatility at $9.70 attracts traders; sentiment could turn bearish if momentum fades. ⭐Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐ Short-Term: Likely a pullback to $9.20–$9.50 due to overbought conditions (RSI > 70) and profit-taking. Target: $9.30. Medium-Term: If supply remains tight and demand grows (e.g., China’s 5% growth goal), prices could test $10.00–$10.50. Target: $10.20. Long-Term: Sustained electrification trends might push prices to $11.00+, but economic slowdowns or substitution could cap at $9.00. Target: $10.50 (bullish) or $8.50 (bearish). ⭐Overall Summary Outlook⭐ Current Stance: At $9.70 on March 12, 2025, XCU/USD is in a Long/Bullish phase short-term, driven by strong demand, supply constraints, and a weaker USD. However, the extreme price suggests a Short/Bearish correction is imminent medium-term due to overbought signals and potential demand softening. Bullish Case: Continued supply disruptions (e.g., Peru/Chile strikes), robust Chinese growth, and green tech demand could push prices toward $10.50–$11.00 long-term. Bearish Case: Economic slowdown, USD strength, or inventory buildup could trigger a decline to $8.50–$9.00 within 6–12 months. Recommendation: Hold long positions short-term but prepare for a correction. Watch $9.50 support and $10.00 resistance for trend confirmation. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. 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FUSIONMARKETS:XCUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
COPPER Approaching Key Resistance — Potential Sell SetupPEPPERSTONE:COPPER is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see a pullback toward the 4.7100 level, a logical target based on previous price behavior and current market structure. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
PEPPERSTONE:COPPERShort
by TrendDiva
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