Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?COPPER is falling toward the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.5711
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.4640
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 4.6871
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Copper
CHINA FIN MARKETS | Investing in China & AIChina's market resurgence might pose some great opportunities for investors, especially after a long bearish cycle for the global Chinese financial markets.
February 2025 saw a significant shake-up in global markets, with China emerging as a key player driving investor sentiment. The MSCI China Index surged by 11.2% for the month, vastly outperforming the MSCI US Index:
One of the biggest catalysts behind China’s recent rally has been its advancements in Artificial Intelligence (DeepSeekAI being one of the key drivers).
By operating at a fraction of the cost of their US counterparts, such as OpenAI and Meta, DeepSeek's competitive advantage has given China an edge in the AI space, which can be seen in the market confidence.
XIAOMI has been one of the top gainers, largely as they are expanding their market penetration:
Chinese markets in February saw a boost when President Xi Jinping was warmly received by tech industry leaders. A handshake between Xi and Alibaba’s Jack Ma who previously stepped back from the public eye following regulatory crackdowns, was seen as a major gesture of reconciliation between the government and the private sector. This renewed support for private enterprises.
China’s long-term strategy has been paying dividends in high-tech industries. China has increased its global market share in nearly all industries and is outperforming competitors in cost-efficiency, particularly in sectors like copper smelting.
Despite recent gains, China’s stock market has yet to fully recover from its underperformance over the past decade. While the MSCI China Index has risen 34.6% over the past year, long-term returns still lag behind global markets. A US$100 investment in an MSCI World Index tracker in 2010 would have grown to US$480 by early 2024, whereas the same amount invested in an MSCI China Index fund would have only reached US$175.
China’s resurgence has brought a renewed sense of optimism, but investors remain cautious. While AI advancements and low cost of labor have positioned China as a competitive force, historical challenges like regulatory intervention, tariffs and economic instability still loom.
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Copper The Week Ahead 10th March '25Copper maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a longer-term uptrend. However, the recent price action suggests a corrective pullback toward a key support zone, which could determine the next major move.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 9440 (200 DMA), 9650, 9950
Support Levels: 9260, 9160 (50 DMA), 9060
Bullish Scenario
A successful retest and bounce from the 9260 support level, which aligns with the rising trendline and previous consolidation zone, could reaffirm bullish momentum. If this level holds, Copper could target the 9440 resistance (200 DMA), with further upside potential toward 9650 and 9950 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario
A confirmed breakdown below 9260, with a daily close beneath this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to a deeper retracement toward the 9160 support (50 DMA), with extended downside risk toward 9060 if selling pressure persists.
Conclusion
While Copper remains in a broader uptrend, the 9260 level serves as a key pivot point. A bullish bounce from this level could signal trend continuation, while a breakdown below it may indicate further corrective weakness. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
COPPER at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Push Toward 4.5230?PEPPERSTONE:COPPER has reached a significant resistance level, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has historically acted as strong supply, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
If the price confirms a rejection within this supply zone, I anticipate a move downward toward the 4.5230 level. This setup suggests the possibility of a retracement after the recent upward movement.
Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, before entering short positions.
Copper Overbought uptrend, The Week Ahead 03rd March ‘25Copper maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a longer-term uptrend. However, the recent price action suggests a corrective pullback toward a key support zone, which could determine the next major move.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels: 9440 (200 DMA), 9650, 9950
Support Levels: 9260, 9160 (50 DMA), 9060
Bullish Scenario
A successful retest and bounce from the 9260 support level, which aligns with the rising trendline and previous consolidation zone, could reaffirm bullish momentum. If this level holds, Copper could target the 9440 resistance (200 DMA), with further upside potential toward 9650 and 9950 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario
A confirmed breakdown below 9260, with a daily close beneath this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to a deeper retracement toward the 9160 support (50 DMA), with extended downside risk toward 9060 if selling pressure persists.
Conclusion
While Copper remains in a broader uptrend, the 9260 level serves as a key pivot point. A bullish bounce from this level could signal trend continuation, while a breakdown below it may indicate further corrective weakness. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Copper is gonna to complete the 2nd leg??Hi all trading lovers and copper buyers...
Seems that after BREAKOUT from Descending Triangle and Pullback to breakout level, price is going to complete the 2nd BULLISH Leg in Weekly uptrend with a round level target (5.5555)...
(Pullback could be a bit deeper...)
PLEASE NOTE THAT IS ONLY AN ANALYSIS AND COULD BE WRONG...
MARKET IS BASED ON POSSIBILITIES AND UNCERTAINTIES...
MANAGE YOUR RISK...
#Forex #Trading #Analysis #Copper #Chart #Spike #Wedge #Uptrend
COPPER above 200DMA, The Week Ahead 24 Feb ‘25 The COPPER price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback towards the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone.
The key trading level is at the 9260 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 9260 level could target the upside resistance at 9445 (200-day moving average) followed by the 9650 and 9950 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 9260support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 9130 (50 Day Moving Average) support level followed by 9060.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?COPPER is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.6819
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.7856
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 4.5406
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
LONG ON COPPERPrice is in Great uptrend structure from the HTF.
Price has completed its pullback all the way to a Key Demand area.
Its also built up liquidity to be swept right above that demand zone.
I expect price to swept buy side liquidity to the downside, tap into demand, then take off to the upside.
I am buying copper.
Copper The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The COPPER price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback. towards the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. .
The key trading level is at the 9260 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 9260 level could target the upside resistance at 9445 (200-day moving average) followed by the 9650 and 9950 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 9260support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 9130 (50 Day Moving Average) support level followed by 9060.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
COPPER: Resistance breakout aims for 5.1985.Copper is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.919, MACD = 0.127, ADX = 33.191) and having crossed today above the R1 level, it is a healthy sign of bullish continuation. This is the 3rd main bullish wave of the long term Channel Up and every time the two prior crossed above their R1 levels, the extended to a new HH. The natural target is the R2 level (TP = 5.1985).
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High grade copper HG looking bullsihCopper traded on the COMEX looks bullish.
Currently at 3.20 per pound, the chart shows an Eve and Adam bottom forming between 2015 and now. The expected target of this move would be 4.70 which would put the market five cents above its old high set in Feb 2011 of 4.65.
From 4.65 I would expect the market to revisit the 3.30-3.60 region to make a strong bottom for a longer term ascent.
Looking back further on the copper chart, there is a longer term Adam and Eve bottom forming starting in Dec 2008 to present. The target would be 7.365 based off of this longer term pattern.
If copper were to trade up to 4.70 area and come back down to 3.50 area, it would also present an opportunity for an ascending triangle to form with the same target, 7.365, as the Adam and Eve pattern.
With a weakening dollar, look to copper for guidance on inflation going forward.
Copper (XCU) Bullish Pullback: Buy the Dip!Copper (XCU) remains bullish, with a retracement offering a buy opportunity at the 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels—if no divergence forms. Watch for bullish confirmation signals and set stop-losses below 0.618 or recent lows. If divergence appears, exit or avoid new positions. Upside targets: previous highs and Fibonacci extensions (1.272 or 1.618).
COPPER at Key Resistance: Reversal Toward 4.4380?PEPPERSTONE:COPPER has reached a key resistance level, marked by previous price rejections and significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong supply area, suggesting the potential for a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
The current market structure indicates that if the price confirms rejection within this supply zone, we could see a move downward toward the 4.4380 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure
Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, before entering short positions.
Bullish bounce?COPPER is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.1860
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 4.1137
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.2958
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Weekly Market Forecast Feb 2-7thThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 2-7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices were not easy to trade last week, as there were plenty of fundamentals at play. However, they are relatively still strong, and I am looking for further gains next week.
NFP week, imo, is best traded Mon-Wed. Thurs will likely see consolidation until the NFP news announcement Friday morning. I will look to fade the news release on Friday for NY Session.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Copper - Markets are waiting for new moves to start?!Copper is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. An upward correction of copper will provide us with a good risk-reward selling position. If the downtrend continues, we can buy copper in the next demand zone.
The Monthly Metals Index (MMI) for copper remained largely range-bound, experiencing a slight decline of 0.65% from December to January. Meanwhile, copper prices continue to react to the new U.S. administration and potential shifts in trade policies.
Ahead of President Trump’s inauguration, copper prices on the Comex exchange began breaking out of their previous range. By mid-January, copper prices had reached their highest levels since early November. This movement was likely driven by traders anticipating the impact of potential tariffs, some of which could affect the copper market. In contrast, prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) saw only modest gains, creating a temporary price divergence between the two exchanges.
Typically, Comex and LME copper prices move in tandem, making any significant deviations between them noteworthy. Since 2019, the two markets have shown a correlation of 99.76%, with Comex prices averaging a $19 per ton premium over LME prices. However, by January 14, this premium had widened to $402 per ton. It remains uncertain whether this premium will persist in the coming years or revert to historical levels, as seen in previous instances.
Historically, such price divergences have been temporary. One notable example was a short squeeze on Comex in late May, which marked the end of the Q2 2024 rally in base metals. During this period, the price gap between LME and Comex surged to $688 per ton, with Comex copper prices reaching a record high of $11,257 per ton.
However, this spread quickly narrowed due to shifts in trade flows toward the U.S. market. Although Comex copper contracts attract similar market participation as LME, lower inventory levels make them less liquid. Consequently, when stockpiles decrease, Comex prices become particularly susceptible to sudden surges.
Another factor contributing to price divergence was the October port strike, which led to a significant increase in Comex prices. Before the three-day strike began, Comex copper prices had already risen sharply, pushing the spread to $292 per ton until mediators brokered a resolution.
Market volatility remains a key risk for copper prices as traders await more details on which products and countries will be affected by new trade barriers. This uncertainty could either drive further price increases or trigger sharp declines if reality fails to align with market expectations.
Some of the tariffs proposed by President Trump are likely to serve as negotiation tactics, meaning they may not be fully implemented or could be abandoned if alternative trade agreements are reached. Meanwhile, reports suggest that the Trump administration is considering a phased approach to tariff implementation, which may help mitigate market reactions.
A closer look at Trump’s latest stance on China indicates a willingness to de-escalate tensions and increase engagement. However, his previous trade policies were highly aggressive, often involving heavy tariffs on Chinese imports.
COPPER extending a Bullish Leg to the 7-month Resistance. Copper (HG1!) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 07 2024 Low and the last two days has resumed the uptrend, invalidating the Jan 17 rejection. This suggests that the current rally is the latest technical Bullish Leg and should be extended to the top of the pattern for a Higher High.
Until then however, there is Resistance Zone 1 to consider, which is holding since June 2024, so we will be going for less risk, targeting 4.6550.
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Micro Copper Futures Headed to ~6 dollarsThe daily chart should be headed to ~5 and then ~6 dollars give or take. It already has a confirmed double bottom that is currently re-testing its neck after reaching the top of the larger wedge here and getting stopped there.
If LTFs moves down to re-test 4.27 or even a pullback below it around the EMAs occurs, and these levels are held or reclaimed as supports, that would be a successful re-test of the double-bottom's neckline.
That double-bottom's initial target would lead to a breakout of the larger wedge, after a failed breakdown (making it more likely already).
A daily wedge break targets $5.97 as its initial take profit target, around $5.14 as the halfway point towards it.
Good luck!
Potential bullish rise?COPPER has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.2584
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.1845
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.4151
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Market Forecast UPDATES! Jan 20 MondayIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Copper Short: Targeting Key Support at $4.17Copper is showing signs of exhaustion after recent bullish momentum, prompting a short setup on the 15-minute timeframe. Price action aligns with a potential retracement toward the $4.17 zone, where a critical support level resides.
Why This Trade?
• The overextended rally suggests a short-term pullback.
• Technical indicators point to weakening momentum, making the $4.17 price zone an attractive target.
Plan:
Manage risk effectively, take partials along the way, and let the trade play out toward support. Always remember: stay disciplined and pay yourself along the way.