COPPER (XCU/USD) – Week 44 – Market bound for a pullback.In our last week’s analysis, we anticipated the pair to finish the consolidation and make a new top. Instead, the price made a deeper than expected pullback.
For next week, we could see a bullish move developing, at least for correction.
Trade with care.
Best regards,
Financial Flagship
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. Remember that you need a plan before you start trading; so, take this knowledge and use it as a guidebook that will ultimately help you understand the market and easily predict your next move.
Copper
COPPER (XCU/USD) – Week 44 – Prepare your buy setups.In our last week’s analysis, we correctly anticipated the pair to pullback.
For next week, we foresee the pair finishing the consolidation and making a new top.
Trade with care.
Best regards,
Financial Flagship
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. Remember that you need a plan before you start trading; so, take this knowledge and use it as a guidebook that will ultimately help you understand the market and easily predict your next move.
Elliott Wave View: Copper (HG) Looks to Extend HigherShort Term view in Copper suggests the rally from September 21 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from September 21 low, wave ((i)) ended at 4.3175 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 4.0545. The metal then extends higher in wave ((iii)) as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 4.3955 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 4.3050. The metal extends higher in wave (iii) towards 4.781, wave (iv) ended at 4.7025, and wave (v) of ((iii)) ended at 4.823.
Pullback in wave ((iv)) is proposed complete at 4.537 as a double three structure. However, the metal still needs to break above wave ((iii)) at 4.823 to rule out a double correction. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (w) ended at 4.5935, wave (x) ended at 4.7575, and wave (y) ended at 4.5370. This completed wave ((iv)) in higher degree. Up from there, the metal should end wave (i) of ((v)) soon with 1 more push higher. It should then pullback in wave (ii) before the rally resumes. Near term, while pullback stays above 4.537, and more importantly above 4.309, expect the metal to extend higher within wave ((v)).
$OZL - finishing up the bullflag. Nearly done.DOwn the lift and up the stairs
that SI70 red line is sagging down and needs a shunt from a steep drop to enable this to move up and exit the flag.
Won't be long before BO!
Metals Continue to Outperform MarketsThe energy crisis continues to provide a strong support, not only for crude prices, but also for industrial metals. Last week aluminium added 9.2% and copper prices gained 9.17%. The absolute leader was zinc that jumped 20.49% in price.
The price of aluminium, which is one of the most energy-intensive commodities, is at a record high. On Monday morning its price peaked at $3288.75 per metric ton, that is 17.56% above 2008 record highs. I suggest the upside movement will continue and we may soon have prices close to $3500 per ton.Copper has exceeded $10,300 per ton while spot contracts are traded with highest premium over futures.
Copper stocks on the London Metal Exchange fell to the lows of 1974 this October. Goldman Sachs analysts suggest that copper stocks may run short by the second quarter of 2022.
Copper prices this May rose above $10,746 per ton. The excitement in the commodities market may push prices towards new records. The technical picture highlights the possibility of copper prices soaring to $11,800-12,000 if it passes the May high.
The price chart of Zinc, the third most popular non-ferrous metal in the world, points to another spin of the rally as its prices rose to $3830 per ton. Belgium Nyrstar N.V., a leading manufacturer of zinc, has reduced its zinc output by up to half at its plants in Budel, the Netherlands, Balen in Belgium and Auby in France since October 13 due to a significant rise in electricity prices.
Some Chinese steelworks forcedly cut production of zinc due to a shortage of electric energy that was caused by record coal prices. No wonder zinc prices will rose to $4300-4500 per ton. Although the international Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) said that zinc will see a surplus of 217,000 tonnes in 2022.
The energy crisis did not only impact Europe, but China reversed its activity in production and joined green economy acolytes. The Chinese industrial sector is still suffering from energy shortage caused by a lack of coal and environmental requirements to steelworks. All this mean that we could hardly expect any change to the existing upward trend in the near future.
COPPER (XCU/USD) – Week 42 – New top on the cards.In our last week’s analysis, we correctly anticipated the pair to continue the uptrend.
For next week, we foresee the pair making a small pullback towards the support and break the top.
Trade with care.
Best regards,
Financial Flagship
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. Remember that you need a plan before you start trading; so, take this knowledge and use it as a guidebook that will ultimately help you understand the market and easily predict your next move.
Copper - Just the BeginningCopper futures broke out of their wedge this week, with per tonne prices breaking the $10,000 milestone. Names such as Freeport-McMoran (FCX) are benefitting from this, while TRQ is on discount due to. setback in their mining process. Despite Fed tapering, copper is strong, surprisingly. I believe that now is the time to get in "The New Oil", as stated by Goldman Sachs, who gives the commodity a 50% upside before 2025. If copper moving 10% has resulted in Freeport going from $30 to $39, think of what will happen if Goldman and the rest of the Street is right...
Thesis:
Goldman Sachs recently published a note declaring copper "the new oil," and forecasting it could reach $15,000 (50% inc.) by 2025 as the world transitions to clean energy.
As the movement to sustainability/clean energy progresses, the exponential increase in demand for copper will outrun supply due to slow mine creation, centralized property rights.
Although it may take a few years and experience some drawdown, depleted inventories and a demand spike will likely cause the price to rise significantly over the next decade, with Bank of America suggesting a possible 100% increase to $20,000 per metric ton by 2025.
Overall sentiment on the Street is extremely bullish in the mid-to-long-term.
Copper Triggers Flag Pattern, similar looking to Oil BreakoutCopper confirmed a daily breakout of a flag pattern. Great follow through today. Next resistance comes in at previous highs of 4.80, and then likely new highs after that.
Potential retest of the trendline breakout is possible. Just normal breakout market structure. This chart interest me because it is very similar to Oil a few months back. And look what happened:
Hoping for a similar move. Inflation trade? Metals are getting a bid, and let's not forget to give some love to Dr. Copper!
Copper Prices Take Aim for May 2021 High Post Triangle BreakoutCopper futures are aiming for the May high at 812.60 after prices confirmed a breakout above a Descending Triangle chart formation.
The 200-day Simple Moving Average helped maintain the dominant uptrend as the red metal continues to consolidate since earlier this year.
A drop back under the July high at 768.50 could undermine upside progress, reorienting copper back towards the SMA.
Clearing the May high exposes the 78.6% Fibonacci extension at 851.8636 towards the 100% level at 900.60.
COMEX:HG1!
XCUUSD. Long position.hi hope you are well.
according to ElliotWave, we are at the ending phase of an ABCDE correction pattern, and the probability for reaching a new high in Copper is relative high if price activate our Trigger for long position.
This can be low risk high reward situation. better have it in your watch list.
I will answer to your questions, feel free to ask.
have a good day.
𝘾𝙤𝙥𝙥𝙚𝙧 𝙁𝙪𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙚𝙨 (𝙃𝙂1!) — 𝙀𝙒𝘼HG1!: 🕐 6h
A big review of this asset is planned for the first half of next year, but decided to make a small update to the count, as the current sideways formation looks very much like a bullish contracting triangle that is about to be completed. On completion of the final wave E of (B) , there will be a good trading setup for a long position.
The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.