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Copper

Copper is heading towards support, potential rise!Price is approaching our first support at 3.58653, in line with our 38.2% Fibonacci extension, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal pullback support, where we remain bullish above this level. We could see a potential bounce at this level and further rise up towards our first resistance at 3.65145, in line with our 78.6% Fibonacci extension and -27.2% Fibonacci retracement. It is worth noting that the price is still holding above the ascending trendline and the Ichimoku cloud, showing bullish pressure in line with our analysis. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Tickmill
Copper Outlook /long-term Technical Analysis We have broken the long-term resistance trend that had been in place for almost 10 years. RSI is very overbought, but this market has proven overbought can stay overbought for a long period. In the chart there is 3 potential targets for Copper in the long-term picture. There are several place to take profits and/or add on pullbacks. (These are the orange segment lines) Fundamental Analysis Industrial metals have been rallying strong; and are likely to continue with expected infrastructure investment for 2021 and further. Copper is also used in Semiconductors, which is the basis of all technology hardware. Steel is behaving in a very similar fashion, adding to the idea of industrial metals outperforming precious metals.
AMEX:COPXLong
by dorfmanmaster
1
Copper is facing bullish pressure, potential for further rise!Price has just bounced off our first support in line with our 38.2% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal swing low support, where we remain bullish above this level. We expect a possible further rise up to our first resistance at 3.57843, which is in line with our 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci extension levels. It is also worth noting that price is holding above both our ascending trendline and the Ichimoku cloud, which shows bullish pressure in line with our analysis. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Tickmill
Weekly copper market review 12/14/2020.Support us by consulting our free magazines with color stock charts and weather maps on our commodity-market-review.com website. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF COPPER Last week, COMEX copper futures closed higher at $3.528 per pound. Speculative trading is pushing copper prices up, with net positions of COT commitments of traders exceeding 80K for the 1st time, they are on historical highs. Copper stocks are historically low at 300937 MT and are about to fall below the 300 mark which represents less than 5 days of world consumption. China, the main consumer of copper, is in a phase of accelerated growth, with a recovery in the electronics and automotive export sector which has stimulated demand for industrial metals. In November, refined copper imports fell for the second consecutive time, down 9.2% compared to October. Imports of copper concentrates increased by 8.3% in November. China's exports grew by 21.1% in November, far exceeding the expected 12%. Internationally, the ECB increased its asset buyback program by 500 billion, the US support plan is still slow to come, and a brexit no-deal is increasingly likely. The FDA in turn is approving the use of Pfizer's vaccine, and vaccination begins this week in the US. In terms of the pandemic update, we have just surpassed 72 million cases worldwide, with more than 1.607 million deaths. The U.S. is still the most affected country, and will approach and surpass the 300,000 mark in deaths and more than 16 million cases. The Dollar consolidated last week as the DXY closed higher at 90.976, with the long-term trend still bearish. ECONOMIC RESULTS - Last week, Chinese exports grew by 21.1% in November and imports declined by 4.5%. Euro-zone GDP was up 12.5% in Q3, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index surged to 54.4 from an expected 37.5. US unemployment registrations disappointed at 853K for 725K expected. - On Monday, industrial production in the Euro zone came out at +2.1% compared to +0.1% the previous month. - On Tuesday, industrial production was +7.0% compared to +6.9% in the previous month. The Chinese unemployment rate was 5.2%. US industrial production was 0.4% compared to 0.9% the previous month, and the New York FED manufacturing index was down 4.90 compared to 6.30 in October. - Wednesday, Euro-zone Manufacturing PMI, U.S. Retail Sales and U.S. Manufacturing PMI. - Thursday, Euro-zone inflation, U.S. building permits, U.S. unemployment registrations, and Philadelphia FED manufacturing index. CERTIFIED COPPER STOCKS - London Stock Exchange copper stocks are down to 146325 MT from last week's 149675 MT. - Copper stocks on the Shanghai Stock Exchange were down to 82092 MT from 97783 MT the previous week. - Copper stocks on the New York Stock Exchange were down to 72520 MT for 73233 the previous week. - Total copper stocks were down to 300937 MT compared to 320691 MT the previous week. Total copper stocks are below the five-year average. THE DOLLAR The DXY index representing the Dollar against a basket of foreign currencies closed last week up at 90.976, although the long-term trend is still bearish. The DXY consolidated last week. The ECB increased its asset repurchase program by $500 billion, and, the U.S. support plan is still lagging behind, still failing to agree on emergency aid of just over $900 billion. The dollar has also strengthened against the pound sterling, on an increasingly likely no-deal, as the disagreements seem so deep. A low dollar is generally favorable to dollar-denominated commodity markets. COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS The weekly COT (Commitments of Traders) report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows all the positions opened by all market participants. The COT report is published on Friday, and reflects the open positions on Tuesday of the same week. It shows the position of commercial traders (producers, commodity buyers, ...) but also non-commercial (speculators). The net positions of speculators on the futures markets are particularly interesting to observe. The net speculative position on the copper futures markets is up this week to 80.039 K instead of 79.856 K.
COMEX:HG1!
by Commodity-market-review
Copper is heading towards support, potential rise!Price is approaching our first support in line with our 50% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal overlap support, where we remain bullish above this level. A small bounce and then a further rise above first support at 3.50954 towards first resistance at 3.57843 could be possible. It is also worth noting that RSI remains above the ascending trend line, which shows bullish pressure in line with our analysis. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Tickmill
$1 Copper by 2025Time Fib plus a descending triangle plus some economics about commodity prices and the deflationary dollar for the next 2 years; all that says that copper is dropping by 43% from its current price at $2.5 per pound, reaching $1.42 by the end of 2022. This breaks the descending triangle downward setting a target of $0.83. It sounds crazy, but I'm simply looking at the chart. The Fib zones time the reversal to take place in late 2024 early 2025 where the nearest resistance is the $1.25 to $1.42 range.
COMEX:HG1!Short
by TechNerdOmar
1
Copper is facing bullish pressure, potential for further risePrice is facing bullish pressure from our first support in line with our 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal swing low support, where we remain bullish above this level. A further rise above first support at 3.47033 towards first resistance at 3.52870 could be possible. It is also worth noting that RSI has just bounced from the support level at 35.09, which shows bullish pressure in line with our analysis. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Tickmill
Raiden Recourses looking BULLISHRaiden Resources Limited (ASX:RDN) is an ASX copper-gold exploration company focused on discovering large scale mineral deposits in the world class Tethyan region of Eastern Europe. Raiden operates in low cost and mining friendly jurisdiction’s which remain underexplored, seeking to systematically apply modern exploration techniques to discover Tier 1 projects. Bullish Outlook: - Falling Wedge Continuation Pattern - Bullish Break of Downtrend Trendline - Fractal and TB Fib Extension Targets Aligning - Volume returning - Fundamental News as Exploration Begins 09/12 Bearish notes: - Unclosed GAP 0.023-0.025 "DISCLAIMER: NO ADVICE. The information presented here is general in nature and is for education purposes only. Nothing should be considered to be advice. You should consult with an appropriate professional for specific advice tailored to your situation."
ASX:RDNLong
by Trader_Johnni
Copper is approaching support, potential for a further rise!Price is approaching our first support in line with our horizontal overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, where we remain bullish above this level. A short term rise above first support at 3.50883 towards first resistance at 3.57843 could be possible. It is also worth noting that price is now above EMA (55), which shows bullish pressure in line with our analysis. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Tickmill
Copper sell the break setup.Copper - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 34580 (stop at 34910) Trend line support is located at 34850. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. A break of 34600 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. A higher correction is expected. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a possible turnaround is possible. Our profit targets will be 33510 and 33110 Resistance: 35000 / 35300 / 35600 Support: 34900 / 34600 / 34000
FX:COPPERShort
by Signal_Centre1
Weekly copper market review 12/07/2020.Support us by consulting our free daily magazines with color stock charts and weather maps on our commodity-market-review.com website. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF COPPER Last week, COMEX copper futures closed higher at $3.5245 per pound. Speculative trading is pushing copper prices higher, as net positions of the net commitments of traders at +79K are at historical highs. Copper stocks are historically low at 320691 MT. China, in November, developed at the fastest pace in 10 years, exceeding expectations. Currently, the manufacturing sector in the country is the main driver of copper demand worldwide. The increase in appliance sales, caused by the containment and rebound in car and truck production, has reactivated the manufacturing sector and led to the consumption of industrial metals such as steel, copper and aluminum. The relative scarcity of the red metal has pushed industrialists to accumulate copper stocks to face a possible 2nd wave in producing countries such as Chile or Peru. Caixin's manufacturing PMIs stood at 54.9 in November, exceeding expectations and expanding for the 7th consecutive month. Internationally, last week was marked by the sharp fall of the dollar. The DXY, after breaking through the resistance of the 92, is moving towards the 90's, and the Euro approached $1.22 after disappointing US empoys figures. Hopes for a vaccine, the FED reaffirming that the priority remains to support the economy, and the joint Democratic and Republican proposal for a $908 billion emergency plan are driving equity markets. Curiously, commodities as a whole did not benefit from the dollar's decline. Discussions between the British and the Europeans continue as the December 31 deadline approaches in the hope of reaching a post-brexit trade agreement. Regarding the pandemic update, we have just passed the 67 million cases worldwide, with more than 1.537 million deaths. The United States continues to be the most affected country with more than 282,000 deaths and more than 14.7 million cases. Italy has passed the 60,000 death mark, and the United States is facing a spectacular rebound of the epidemic with more than 230,000 cases in 24 hours on Saturday. The United Kingdom, the first country to authorize Pfizer vaccine, begins vaccination on Tuesday. ECONOMIC RESULTS - Last week was rich in results. Manufacturing PMIs all showed an increase, in China they stood at 52.1 in November against 51.4 in October, in the Euro zone they stood at 53.8 in November against 53.6 in October, in the US they rose to 56.7 in November against 53.4 in October. US job creation disappointed, falling to 245K against 610K the previous month. Orders to US industry were up 1.0% compared to 1.3% in October. - On Monday, Chinese exports rose by 21.1% in November and imports fell by 4.5%. - Tuesday, GDP in the Euro zone, the ZEW index of economic sentiment. - Wednesday, inflation and producer prices in China. - Thursday, inflation and U.S. unemployment registrations. - Friday, U.S. producer prices and Michigan consumer confidence index. CERTIFIED COPPER STOCKS - London Stock Exchange copper stocks are down to 149675 MT from 150775 MT last week. - Copper stocks on the Shanghai Stock Exchange rose to 97783 MT from 92912 MT the previous week. - Copper stocks on the New York Stock Exchange were down to 73233 MT for 74019 the previous week. - Total copper inventories increased to 320691 MT compared to 317706 MT the previous week. Total copper stocks are below the five-year average. THE DOLLAR The DXY index representing the Dollar against a range of foreign currencies closed last week down to 90.701, and the trend is still bearish. The DXY after breaking the 92 resistance, plunged last week and is on its way to the 90. The Euro rose as high as 1.2175 on Friday after very disappointing U.S. employment figures. As a backdrop, Powell said the priority remains to support the economy, and Democrats and Republicans are working together on a $908 billion emergency support proposal as a first step. For later, once the Joe biden administration is in place, work for a more substantial plan. Forex traders are anticipating an increase in the money supply. A low dollar is generally good for dollar-denominated commodity markets. COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS The weekly COT (Commitments of Traders) report of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) shows all the positions opened by all market participants. The COT report is published on Friday, and reflects the open positions on Tuesday of the same week. It shows the position of commercial traders (producers, commodity buyers, ...) but also non-commercial (speculators). The net positions of speculators on the futures markets are particularly interesting to observe. The net speculative position on the copper futures markets is up this week to 79.856 K instead of 73.771 K.
COMEX:HG1!
by Commodity-market-review