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Copperfutures

XCUUSD ( COPPER / USD ) Commodities Analysis 29/08/2022Fundamental Analysis: as of now we can see the global inflation has rise sky rocket and the worlds economy is in a huge bobble which soon will explode and a catastrophic crisis may occur, ultimately most of the manufacturing and development plants which are dependent on the base commodities such as Copper and gold may face some market crises and demand may plummet to a very critically low levels, consequently a lots of the retail and small entities producer and manufacturers will hit the bottom line and bankruptcies if their exposure is not hedged or planned their business strategies accordingly for these days. one of the main reason for this incident can be the changing of the world order and power pole transformation from west to the middle east and far east, Russia's conflicts with Europe and china's with south china's sea and Taiwan. food shortage and probably real state collapse could be predicted and can be a good cause of such a market fall. energy crisis and fuel price jump can be another good reason to decrease the equity and profit margin in the manufacturing and production segments. Technical Analysis: There exist a bearish Divergence of Price and MACD followed with some market fall from its ATH which means bullish trend Reversal and we are facing more falls and a bearish Market, using Fibonacci Retracement levels we have defined some Target Levels which are having confluences with different cycle Fib Levels. we have defined some Resistance levels using Fibonacci and Price Action. we may have some Bullish price correction on the way of the bearish trend. There are total of 4 targets defined using the confluences of Different Fibonacci and Price action levels and they can be considered as strong support levels if not Broken sharply
COMEX:HG2!Short
by BitonGroup
HG - COPPER FUTURES - BULLISH - LONGWill be looking at long positions for instrument for the following reason. • It is approaching a point of Major support in the ranging pattern looking back 3 months. • This is a long-term long swing for me looking forward at least 2-3 months, but it might happen sooner with the recent volatility in the market. • Looking to catch a long trade of the rejection from the support zone. o I would need to zoom in to get a better entry point, once price rejects from the support zone. • Also, I have been studying the Elliott wave patterns, and the 5th wave is usually the point of a major trend reversal. • Also, there is the formation of the falling wedge pattern which adds to the confirmation of a bullish reversal. Of course this is purely a technical approach. **This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice. **Please trade with proper risk management**
COMEX:HG1!Long
by MOGBEBOR
Copper - (continued) SHORT; for now ...I fail to grasp the general consensus where the overall impression seems to be that "bad technicals" but "a very pretty fundamental picture"? LME stocks jumped +45% just since January alone! - How is that a "good" fundamental picture? (I must be missing something, especially with China not coming back, in any way resembling past demand.) Long(er) term, one could make a case, perhaps, but only by disregarding the hole that the decline of Chinese demand will poke into global fundamentals. On the other hand, Copper/Gold ratio looks rather bullish. Here is a close-up; As for the Copper/Gold Ratio; That is definitely what bullish looks like! Stay SHORT for now (... and then make a lot of money trading it from under 3.50 ;-)
COMEX:HG1!Short
by Nemo_Confidat
2
COPPER: Best sell signal on a 1 month basis.Copper hit the top of the Channel Down pattern that started in mid January and got rejected straight away. The 1D time frame already turned neutral (RSI = 51.361, MACD = 0.023, ADX = 28.747) and if the price crosses under the 1D MA50 and MA200, it will give a confirmed sell continuation signal. First target is the S1 (TP1 = 3.5525) and second near the S2 (TP2 = 3.3750). A 1D RSI Double Bottom inside its S1 support, will be the first buy signal. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
COMEX:HG1!Short
by InvestingScope
2
HG1! One word - CLEAN!COMEX:HG1! One word - CLEAN! What a beautiful chart for copper! Technically it's ever so clean, when it comes to set ups like this - Be careful of fake breaks. Pattern - Triangle/Pennant Highs: 4.2100 Lows: 3.8255 A break of highs I expect: 4.3550 & 4.5570. However, a break of the lows I expect: 3.6740 & 3.5040 and perhaps lower! Currently, as long as we within this channel and within these ranges... until break either side! Have a great week ahead & it's a long weekend for some of us! 🔆 Trade Journal 🔆
COMEX:HG1!
by Trade_Journal
Copper: Like a Lead Weight ⚖️No worries – we didn’t confuse our metals! However, like a lead weight, copper should continue to sink further, heading for the green zone between $3.08 and $2.59 in the south. Already the price has broken free from the recent sidewards movement and has developed a new low, showing more and more downwards momentum. Once copper has arrived in the green zone, it should complete wave 2 in green, marking a distinctive low, which should then introduce a strong upwards movement.
COMEX:HG1!
by MarketIntel
Copper rally to be capped.XCUUSD - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4.185 (stop at 4.230) With signals for sentiment at overbought extremes, the rally could not be extended. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. We look for a temporary move higher. Our profit targets will be 4.075 and 4.055 Resistance: 4.160 / 4.187 / 4.250 Support: 4.150 / 4.080 / 4.030 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
COMEX:HG1!Short
by VantageMarkets
XCUUSD ( COPPER / USD ) Commodities Analysis 10/01/2023Fundamental Analysis: china is the biggest copper consumer and as of now we can see the most of its manufacturing plants and factories are getting shut due to Protests and ongoing havoc in the country. DXY is very bullish which can go up to 130 and ultimately will result in the more price fall in the commodity sections. World economic Crisis and Supply chain Disturbance which will lead to the Manufacturing Halt. Technical Analysis: Bearish Divergence of Price and MACD, Hidden Bearish Divergence Formation in the process which is a very strong Bearish Trend continuation sign. Nest Resistance and Potential Pivot Point 9500$ lower Support at 8450% Bearish Targets: 5800$, 5250$, 4300$
COMEX:HG2!
by BitonGroup
2
Copper analysis and ideas: Will bears come back?Copper prices may remain under pressure in the coming months due to investors' apprehension about China's growth prospects in the wake of the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, which disappointed the market. Since September, copper prices have fluctuated within a relatively narrow range (3.2-3.6) after the earlier sharp declines occurred this year. The long-term case for copper remains strong, as it is a key metal for the energy transition and global inventories are currently very low. However, one of the main challenges it faces in the near future is its dependence on China’s economic growth. The brown metal will remain under pressure unless China announces new growth-friendly economic policies to counteract the predicted slowdown in the country’s economy. However, the latest China Party Congress appears to prefer fostering sustainable growth and giving more importance to inequality, national security, and ideological matters. Copper bull markets have historically coincided with periods of extraordinary global growth, driven primarily by China. We have now reached a crossroads in that regard, and if China is unable to maintain high and consistent economic growth, copper will have to wait for a new global wave of coordinated investments toward the development of renewables and green energy. However, given the issues with inflation and rising interest rates that we are currently facing, it may still be years before the transition fully takes hold on a global scale. This could take the price of copper subdued for longer. When we look at the daily chart, we can see that some bearish pressure was forming near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2022 range. Also the 50-day moving average has been a quite strong dynamic resistance later. The technical picture remains overall on the bearish foot, and copper needs to clear the 2022 trendline at around $3.75 and then cross the psychological $4.00 mark before materially inverting the downtrend.
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by Capitalcom
Elliott wave Analysis of Dr. CopperCopper is in downtrend from the high of March-07-2022, as per elliott wave analysis the copper seems to be in (corrective) 4th wave. If my analysis and wave counts holds good, then the 4th wave should end below the low of wave 1 which is "4.0346". The 4th wave should clearly show the ABC corrective pattern. The trade idea is to SHORT COPPER in the 5th wave, there is no way to predict exact point when the 5th wave will start and end. But if the copper price keeps going up respecting 4th wave, we will have a good trade. Possible reversal from 4th to 5th wave can be determined by superimposing Weekly and Monthly Pivot Points on top of the elliott waves, I expect it to happen in early August. I will post an update whether we have a trade or not, until then keep an eye on Dr. Copper.
FX:COPPER
by spranav
Short Term Copper 'SELLS' heading into Q4 of 2022I think it's becoming more and more clear that copper sells could extend into the last quarter of the year. Corrective wave 4 seems complete at 0.382 of the second Minor wave count and price is currently in an impulsive bear wave of a lower degree. We should therefore expect Copper prices to plunge to $2.96/lb(-15.4% decline) with some minor bullish price action to around $3.2/lb before eventually finding support at $2.7/lb, representing a -22.42% decline based on the current market price. As indicated in the chart, this short idea comes into play ONLY WHEN Copper prices drop BELOW $3.35/lb, which is the terminus of the minuette wave 1. Additionally, I strongly recommend you to review my long term forecast in profile. Here is a link to my previous Copper forecast. Disclaimer: The information provided here is only for educational purposes and should NOT be taken as investment advice.
OANDA:XCUUSDShort
by Timgucci