Coppershort
TECHNICALS | Copper's Up-Trend BrokenWhilst diagonal trendlines are geometrically certain to break, they are also rather difficult to trade, looking very obvious ex-post, but hard to pull the trigger on ex-ante. In this case, I am inclined to take the signal given I have traded the vicissitudes of Copper quite well, particularly in the past 6 months.
COPPER AND COMMODITY SHORT: The dollar effectThe bullishness in copper is misguided, in my opinion.
Sustained dollar strength always hurts commodities in the longer term.
The chart shows inverted dollar versus copper.
A big fat juicy divergence, along with likely continued dollar strength due to a structural off-shore dollar shortage, should put pressure on commodities.