Get started

Corona

Apenas o começo da crise...Durante a crise de 2008 nós tivemos uma retração de 60% do último topo até o útimo fundo, enquanto que até agora presenciamos uma retração de de 40%, ou seja, ainda temos um terço do total para percorrer caso a situação se repita. Conquanto, deve se levar em conta que esse bear market está sendo ocasionado por uma pandemia, isto é, não sabemos exatamente até quando a situação irá se perdurar. Outra situação é o retorno até a média de 200 períodos, não completando 60% de correção.
BMFBOVESPA:IBOV
by TuPam
Effects of monetary policy & cov19 on the S&P500Last time I covered the S&P we had just agreed to a phase one trade deal after having the prime rate cut 3 times and pumping out $60Billion of new USD every month over the last quarter. I was long all the way to top of the 10 year ascending channel, all the conditions were perfect for a great run for 2020. Then the onset of this Corona Virus showed us just how fragile global markets are right now. The S&P500 was around 3243 when cov19 started hitting the news. We had a reaction pull back followed by a dip buy bounce followed by a hard sell off that resulted in the S&P shedding 500 points dropping from 3400 to 2900 in less than two weeks. We have now broken through the bottom of our 10-year bull trend line. In December 2018 we broke the trend meaningfully when we fell from 2950 to 2350 and 300 points under the bull trendline. That dec18 break was over Chinese American trade war escalations but after a one month free fall, we fully recovered over the next 3 months. If we hold at the same soft bottom we saw in December 2018, we can expect to see the S&P somewhere around 2710. That’s only a couple hundred more points below where we are now. What concerns me is that we are just now seeing deaths in America, we had our first state declare a state of emergency and without a doubt there are 49 more states behind that state that will also likely be calling a state of emergency and bruising the stock market with each announcement. We also know investors have been shrugging off risk for years and may be desensitized and bargain hunting at some point, regardless of the state COV19. I was long when this hit. I had already realized a lot of my gains but was still holding calls that were up as much as 300% that went red within 2-3 days. Luckily I had hedged my holdings with shorts on Apple and small holdings for calls on 3x bear ETF’s. The end result my hedges ended up being worth almost as much as my long holdings were despite being much smaller. My 6 puts on AAPL were up 800%, my other puts up several hundred percent as well. I used the 1000 point DOW bounce days to add to my calls on bear ETF’s but with expiries further out as my last short holdings were April expiry and decay would start effecting profits as we near the month before expiry. Also in reverse I have a few long calls with distant expiry to capture gains in the event cov19 is fully contained tomorrow. I will likely take some portion of my gains from these shorts when we hit that 2710ish mark on the S&P, for good measure. I am converting my gains into REIT holdings because with these rate cuts and a real estate economy that is far from suffering, the REIT’s should dominate, I am doing a separate write up for that. In the meantime, how low this could go is difficult to say, it could manifest into a recession or depression. My approach is not to try to catch a falling knife. If I think we are nearing the bottom, I will start making small purchases on conviction holdings and continue to average down or average up at major support/resistance lines. Something important I have learned is that any major market movement like this is a huge opportunity! You just have to make sure you are on the right side of it at the right time with enough appetite for the risk and of course a little capital. If you are not looking at how you can take advantage of these market movements to make money, you are missing some great opportunity to get ahead, this is literally how the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. This is not investment advice, DYOR research. Also if you trade crypto, consider checking out our free level two market depth data available on vcdepth.io
SShort
by EncryptShawn
BITCOIN - Please be careful these days!After our previous trade (short) from $9500 to $6000 (Rising Wedge idea linked below), we took a step back and waited for the next trading opportunity. We can now see a Symmetrical Triangle forming on the intraday timeframes, which is a continuation pattern during a trending market. This pattern consists of at least two lower highs and two higher lows. We can also see a divergence between the volume and the recent climb from our swing low ($3850) to currently $5500 . The market reacts very aggressive to news surrounding Corona/ COVID-19 as well as the ongoing Saudi Arabia - Russia Oil price war. Please try to react from a logical & fundamental point: we are just at the beginning of something very stressful for the whole world. This is most likely not the last time you'll see the market dip. It's important to protect your capital and control your emotions. Don't sell at a loss if you did not got liquidated like everyone else did. The market is going to rebound, but simply not now. Try to add more to your positions on our way down instead of shorting in these volatile times. We use the previous lows at $4400 and $3800 as potential buy-zones for an upcoming Breakout of the Symmetrical Triangle. I will update this idea afterwards. cheers, cryptobuller ___ Disclaimer: Any opinions, chats, messages, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained in this Idea are provided as general market information for educational and entertainment purposes only
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Anton_XBT
21
Bitcoin - MARCH UPDATEDear traders, dear followers, as I said in the last video (feb update): "We will test certain levels 6500, 5K and 3K, and when this happens, I will make another video, but this will take a few weeks or month". Turns out, it took a week to do so!! Nevertheless, here is the march update with specific information, targets, analysis and persepcetives. Enjoy that and thanks for the messages, my DM box is kind of exploding, sorry when I cannot answer all of them immediately... Thanks for tuning in and happy trading everybody, your quality-trader
BITMEX:BTCUSD.P
by GER-Quality-Trades
IMPORTANT POST ---> BITCOIN ABOUT TO BREAKOUT BACK .. 6800As we know there was a breakdown, and sice 8K i did expect this breakdown, beacase of trends and whale effects. And here are the important update-----------------------> and i have say it again at this as i do always. L BANK Guys, it seems buy whales there active. Lbank are the exchange Bitcoin about to recovery back to 6800 + , Be active in trading, beacase today are important market changes. Have good trading time friends! if you like my post, dont forgot to give it a like, and for more new profit updates follow me. Thank you!
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by Protixder
1
600 PIPs USDJPY trade ideaThis idea is inspired by Corona Virus fears in the US followed by strong analysis. Running trade and profits are shown in a tweet posted on my account, look for the link in the comments. ** Support shown in Point #4 was tested on: 25 June, 19 24 sep, 19 3 oct - 8 Oct, 19 presents a strong case and price action movement around this level. ---------------------------- Follow the channel for more strong and in-depth analysis like this. Share the love with your friends and let me what do you think, Leave a comment :) To get these signals live #Telegram @ Tradingmoore
Short
by TREND-KEY
1
Corona Crash Fear Index Super VolatileOn a weekly chart, the VIX Volatility Index has surpassed the dotcom crash of 2000 and will in the next week probably surpass 2007/8. Contrary to what Marketwatch.com says, it is not yet higher than in 2008. But it soon will be. Extreme fear is gripping the markets. We shall survive, well probably 95% of us. Deepest respect and prayers go out to anyone affected, take care of your family, friends, and neighbors. The world is going biblical. Massive locust swarms in Africa, huge wildfires in Australia, Disease sweeping the world. WTF. I am going to start building an Arc ready for the frickin flood.
CBOE:VIXShort
by liberatedstocktrader
1
EURUSD The Herd is shortingThe EURUSD pair is getting hammered by too many shorts by retail traders; in fact, 70% of retail traders are shorting EURUSD. According to the crowd theory : (the crowd is always wrong) And powered by the rising money flow to the EUR we conclude that the price will go up a bit (60-100 pips) The last downward movement was characterized by a “surge” in retail sellers. This is a good reason to start thinking about long positions. Entry: 1.1320 TP1: 1.1385 TP2: 1.1405 SL: 1.1250
Long
by nexin
2