Correction
Bitcoin losing momentum The approval of the Bitcoin ETF has been already priced in
So, if you add the ETF approval with the bearish divergence with the ROC and a throwback is very likely
This could be a good opportunity for those who didn't buy this rally as the trend is still up
The key support zone is $40,000, I would not buy below this price.
BTCUSD Is Pointing Higher After A CorrectionBitcoin remains at the highs at the beginning of 2024, so we assume that more upside can be seen as recovery is acting like an impulse. As such, be aware of further gains within a five-wave cycle, where we are tracking higher degree wave III up to around 48k - 50k area. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see some sell-off after Matrixport’s latest report claims that the SEC will reject all Bitcoin spot ETFs in January, and final approval may be achieved in the Q2. However, we are still tracking two counts at this stage due to an upcoming decision of SEC on spot Bitcoin ETF. As a primary count it can be trading in an (A)-(B)-(C)-(D)-(E) bullish running triangle pattern within higher degree wave 4 before a bullish continuation for wave 5. But, according to secondary count, keep also in mind that recent jump could be also 5th wave out of wave 4 triangle pattern, so we should be aware of a larger, deeper and longer A-B-C corrective setback down to 40k-38k-35k support area.
BITCOIN|A correction and continuation of the BULLISH trendAfter reaching the 4H resistance zone, Bitcoin experienced a sharp drop.
In my opinion, this was a movement to correct the trend, and according to the previous analysis, we can hope for the continuation of the upward trend.
Continuing the movement of the new resistance area of 45100 and 46450 are still Bitcoin's targets for the future.
Bitcoin Flat( is the ETF gonna be positive or ?)Bitcoin ETF is either gonna bring Positive news to the space or it is gonna bring negative news.
So, if Negative, from the current price we might see a drop as detailed on the Chart, else if the news are positive, as already detailed on the chart, a move from 39k is needed for a Bullish run continuation.
On the Bullish Road, DYDX has to stop at some station | LongBiasOn week chart
DYDX has grown through 1 year and reached to 4,363 on Nov 2023
Now, DYDX is pulling back to lower to accumulate awhile before going up
My view for this bullish around 6,3 that's #SupplyZone
DYDX has #Support around 2,17 this zone is #Apex between two trend lines
Time will tell
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Supply Area Proximity and Market SentimentsSince September 10, Bitcoin's uptrend has been impressively consistent, marking three months of continuous growth. This prolonged price action significantly raises the probability of an impending correctional move down. BTCUSDT has been trading near the supply area for the past couple of weeks, inducing a sense of caution in the crypto market.
While the long-term trend remains strongly bullish, a healthy correction could be beneficial for sustained growth. Additionally, the remarkable surge in altcoins over recent months, though exciting, indicates the need for a potential pullback.
As long as BTC is below the current supply area, we anticipate a 20% correction to test the double Fibonacci support at $36k.
BITCOIN LIQUIDATION EVENT 01/03/24 - ALTCOINS MASSIVE GAINS OP!Today we've experienced a crazy liquidation event in the Crypto Market.
Bitcoin moved from 45k until 40-41k depending on the exchange.
Altcoins lost 20-40%, but many of them already recovered half and some up to 100%.
ARB, GMX and ENS did pretty well.
Right now, as long as Bitcoin holds this ORANGE TRENDLINE that goes back untli January 2023, on a daily closure, we are fine for continuation.
Targets: 47-48K
We are close to the near of the Wave 3. Wave 4 correction is near.
Right now the best plays to buy Altcoins, since many of them still have to appreciate on value in the comming month.
Altocins to watch:
XRP
THETA
FIL
XLM
IOTA
MATIC
Bitcoin: We Are Entering Re-Accumulation PhaseWith the expansion phase being on the higher high zones, we are soon to enter the re-accumulation zone, which means we might see some sharp movements soon and a potential movement to the lower zones to liquidate the majority of the long position before finally entering the bullish market!
We are still 4 months away (around 127 days) from the next halving, and recently we witnessed a nice expansion phase that resulted in a ROI of 175%. This is more than enough for the expansion, which means we are going to enter very soon into the re-accumulation phase.
Swallow Team
Nasdaq - First Quarter Might Be Red➡️Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq.
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➡️Consider hitting that like button for more free, daily analysis. Your support means a lot!
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Keeping things simple - Bitcoin correction - Part 3Keeping things simple, stick to the higher time frames, you have all the information you really need. Check my previous ideas for W1 and D1 analysis
This idea further strengthens by bearish position (In the short-term)
Explanation given in the chart
Given the current price action, I'm expecting price to either range or correct (I think a correction is more likely)
Nifty - Surgical Precision Target & CorrectionOn Weekly Chart - After the Cup and Handle BO - Nifty retested the BO zone and bounced forming a Rounding Bottom BO. The Target for RB is 21820. The Multi-year trendline resistance is likely to cross around 21900-22000. Given India Vix BO, Nifty might face sharp correction after testing 21820-21900 levels. Keep a tab on individual stocks and their support levels
After reaching the Target of Rounding Bottom BO at 21,820 - Nifty faced with a Sharp Correction Precisely from the target level
This is the speciality of Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is NOT based on Hope / Expectation / Trust on Management / Company / not a Future Forward state. A Chart Pattern is formed by "Herd Consensus" - How Majority People Behave, How Big Players / Operators create a situation of Demand / Panic Selling manipulating the minds of Majority Retailers.
Technical Analysis is simply a Scientific & Mathematical model of Human Behaviour and I see it as my Bhagavad Gita / Holy Bible / Quran. It already encompasses Hyped News messages from Media, Fraudulent attempts of some company management, Actions by Regulators, Company's product focus, future vision everything and is engraved in stone and hence cannot be changed.
This is why and how Technical Analysis works successfully
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AMD, Worst Case Scenario and it still suggests making a new ATH!It seems madness to talk about making a new ATH these days with such a panic in the market due to FED's decision to raise the rates .Please follow the analysis to see if this is really a madness or just being realistic without caring to much about emotions , feelings and NEWS !.
What I am proposing here on the chart as wave count is what I can see as worst case scenario however, I welcome and embrace any more pessimistic wave count which anyone can suggest. So, If you have such a wave count please let me know and let us share our ideas.
I divided the chart into two sections with a vertical line to keep the chart clean and being focused on details of latest moves. I called the left side of the chart as territory of cycle degree wave 1 and 2 which means we are currently in cycle degree wave 3 started on 27th July 2015 at 1.61 USD.
Why I call this wave count as WORST CASE SCENARIO? Since, I considered a completed cycle with start point at 9.04 USD on 4th Apr 2018 and end point at ATH with extended wave 5s in all subdivisions ! As we know extended wave 5 is usual in commodity not stock market . What is common in stock market is extended wave 3 . I remarked extended wave 5s in different wave degrees on the chart. It is really a pessimistic wave count. Yet it is valid .
Considering this wave count as a true one , We are in primary degree correcting wave 4 (circled) and still there is one leg up to new ATH around 180 USD to make cycle degree wave 3 complete. Possible buy zone for this scenario is shown on the chart by green box. If this scenario happens , We will have a big correction at new ATH, Then another massive bull run and after that a big crash ! but, It is to soon to talk about.
In upper left corner of the right side of the chart , I showed a schematic drawing of an extended wave 5 with it's typical retracement. Typically, retracement of an extended wave 5 ends is top of wave 3 or wave 1 of 5. This guideline makes our suggested buy zone even stronger.
WORST CASE SCENARIO implies that we may have more optimistic scenario . Is there any? Of course there is . Since bodies of candles of current down going wave more than likely will enter to the territory of what labeled as wave 3 of (5) of circled 3 in daily time frame, we can consider wave cycle started at 72.5 USD on 13th May 2021 to be completed at ATH on 30th Nov 2021 with extended wave 5 .( There is alternative wave count which also considers this cycle a completed one but makes no difference in terms of price target in broader view). Also , extended minor degree wave 5 for intermediate degree wave (1) can be acceptable since both retracement and correcting pattern satisfies extended wave 5 pattern (See schematic drawing once more ).
But , What about extended wave 5 of (3) starting at 36.75 on 18th Mar 2021 and ending at 99.23 at on 11th Jan 2021? Neither amount of retracement nor the correcting pattern confirms this to be extended wave 5 !. If so, It can be considered as wave 3 of a different cycle with last up going wave (from 72.5 to ATH) being extended wave 5 of same degree and up going wave from 27.43 to 59.27 being wave 1 of same degree. In even more optimistic wave count this can be wave 1 of a new starting smaller degree up going wave cycle ! Try not to be confused ! All of these means that we may have more optimistic scenario with more up going waves with successive new ATHs one after another.
All in All, I assume that in worst case scenario, cycle degree wave 3 is yet to be completed. There are even more optimistic scenarios. Please let me know if you can make a more pessimistic yet valid wave count. As I previously emphasized , I believe AMD will see unbelievable targets in long term.
Hope this analysis to be helpful.
Bitcoin(BTC): Time To Short / NOW or NeverOn the fourth day, we see another attempt towards that upper resistance zone.
Never the less, we also sense demand in correction, where with every smaller push we are having, it is just not enough for a breakout of such a big resistance.
As you know, we have already opened a position on BTC Short, so the gameplan is still the same. We might see very sweet gains sooner or later. FVGs are waiting to be filled.
Swallow Team
I took profitsI took some profits of my long positions. Looks like SP is getting weaker. I'm still holding many long positions and saving cash to reenter at better prices. I also have puts on PLTR and Roku. I just bought a few puts of SPY expiring tomorrow just for speculation, not risking too much with puts.
SELL OPPORTUNITY ON AUDUSD On AUDUSD Price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on 1HTF, inside a 4HTF ascending (reversal pattern) this gives an additional confluence.
Waiting for price to test the upper dynamic trendline that serves as my support before going short.
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USDJPY Hunting Resitance On Hawkish BoJUSDJPY came sharply to the downside recently on the hawkish BoJ which now saying that normalization can happen, possibly in March of 2024. Also, Ueda said that policy change could involve element of surprise . So we evne shoudl be aware of some volatile price moves in weeks ahead, ideally in favour of the JPY.
From an Elliott wave perspective we see nice turn lower, through the daily trendline support so more weakness can be coming after a corrective rally that is still in play. I see some nice resistance for wave 2/B rally is at 146.60-148.
GH
VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not
As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market
And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction
I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows
My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX