Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Supply Area Proximity and Market SentimentsSince September 10, Bitcoin's uptrend has been impressively consistent, marking three months of continuous growth. This prolonged price action significantly raises the probability of an impending correctional move down. BTCUSDT has been trading near the supply area for the past couple of weeks, inducing a sense of caution in the crypto market.
While the long-term trend remains strongly bullish, a healthy correction could be beneficial for sustained growth. Additionally, the remarkable surge in altcoins over recent months, though exciting, indicates the need for a potential pullback.
As long as BTC is below the current supply area, we anticipate a 20% correction to test the double Fibonacci support at $36k.
Correction
BITCOIN LIQUIDATION EVENT 01/03/24 - ALTCOINS MASSIVE GAINS OP!Today we've experienced a crazy liquidation event in the Crypto Market.
Bitcoin moved from 45k until 40-41k depending on the exchange.
Altcoins lost 20-40%, but many of them already recovered half and some up to 100%.
ARB, GMX and ENS did pretty well.
Right now, as long as Bitcoin holds this ORANGE TRENDLINE that goes back untli January 2023, on a daily closure, we are fine for continuation.
Targets: 47-48K
We are close to the near of the Wave 3. Wave 4 correction is near.
Right now the best plays to buy Altcoins, since many of them still have to appreciate on value in the comming month.
Altocins to watch:
XRP
THETA
FIL
XLM
IOTA
MATIC
Bitcoin: We Are Entering Re-Accumulation PhaseWith the expansion phase being on the higher high zones, we are soon to enter the re-accumulation zone, which means we might see some sharp movements soon and a potential movement to the lower zones to liquidate the majority of the long position before finally entering the bullish market!
We are still 4 months away (around 127 days) from the next halving, and recently we witnessed a nice expansion phase that resulted in a ROI of 175%. This is more than enough for the expansion, which means we are going to enter very soon into the re-accumulation phase.
Swallow Team
Nasdaq - First Quarter Might Be Red➡️Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq.
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➡️I will only take a trade if all of the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
➡️Consider hitting that like button for more free, daily analysis. Your support means a lot!
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➡️Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
➡️Keep your long term vision.
Keeping things simple - Bitcoin correction - Part 3Keeping things simple, stick to the higher time frames, you have all the information you really need. Check my previous ideas for W1 and D1 analysis
This idea further strengthens by bearish position (In the short-term)
Explanation given in the chart
Given the current price action, I'm expecting price to either range or correct (I think a correction is more likely)
Nifty - Surgical Precision Target & CorrectionOn Weekly Chart - After the Cup and Handle BO - Nifty retested the BO zone and bounced forming a Rounding Bottom BO. The Target for RB is 21820. The Multi-year trendline resistance is likely to cross around 21900-22000. Given India Vix BO, Nifty might face sharp correction after testing 21820-21900 levels. Keep a tab on individual stocks and their support levels
After reaching the Target of Rounding Bottom BO at 21,820 - Nifty faced with a Sharp Correction Precisely from the target level
This is the speciality of Technical Analysis. Technical Analysis is NOT based on Hope / Expectation / Trust on Management / Company / not a Future Forward state. A Chart Pattern is formed by "Herd Consensus" - How Majority People Behave, How Big Players / Operators create a situation of Demand / Panic Selling manipulating the minds of Majority Retailers.
Technical Analysis is simply a Scientific & Mathematical model of Human Behaviour and I see it as my Bhagavad Gita / Holy Bible / Quran. It already encompasses Hyped News messages from Media, Fraudulent attempts of some company management, Actions by Regulators, Company's product focus, future vision everything and is engraved in stone and hence cannot be changed.
This is why and how Technical Analysis works successfully
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT a SEBI registered company. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi--timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
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AMD, Worst Case Scenario and it still suggests making a new ATH!It seems madness to talk about making a new ATH these days with such a panic in the market due to FED's decision to raise the rates .Please follow the analysis to see if this is really a madness or just being realistic without caring to much about emotions , feelings and NEWS !.
What I am proposing here on the chart as wave count is what I can see as worst case scenario however, I welcome and embrace any more pessimistic wave count which anyone can suggest. So, If you have such a wave count please let me know and let us share our ideas.
I divided the chart into two sections with a vertical line to keep the chart clean and being focused on details of latest moves. I called the left side of the chart as territory of cycle degree wave 1 and 2 which means we are currently in cycle degree wave 3 started on 27th July 2015 at 1.61 USD.
Why I call this wave count as WORST CASE SCENARIO? Since, I considered a completed cycle with start point at 9.04 USD on 4th Apr 2018 and end point at ATH with extended wave 5s in all subdivisions ! As we know extended wave 5 is usual in commodity not stock market . What is common in stock market is extended wave 3 . I remarked extended wave 5s in different wave degrees on the chart. It is really a pessimistic wave count. Yet it is valid .
Considering this wave count as a true one , We are in primary degree correcting wave 4 (circled) and still there is one leg up to new ATH around 180 USD to make cycle degree wave 3 complete. Possible buy zone for this scenario is shown on the chart by green box. If this scenario happens , We will have a big correction at new ATH, Then another massive bull run and after that a big crash ! but, It is to soon to talk about.
In upper left corner of the right side of the chart , I showed a schematic drawing of an extended wave 5 with it's typical retracement. Typically, retracement of an extended wave 5 ends is top of wave 3 or wave 1 of 5. This guideline makes our suggested buy zone even stronger.
WORST CASE SCENARIO implies that we may have more optimistic scenario . Is there any? Of course there is . Since bodies of candles of current down going wave more than likely will enter to the territory of what labeled as wave 3 of (5) of circled 3 in daily time frame, we can consider wave cycle started at 72.5 USD on 13th May 2021 to be completed at ATH on 30th Nov 2021 with extended wave 5 .( There is alternative wave count which also considers this cycle a completed one but makes no difference in terms of price target in broader view). Also , extended minor degree wave 5 for intermediate degree wave (1) can be acceptable since both retracement and correcting pattern satisfies extended wave 5 pattern (See schematic drawing once more ).
But , What about extended wave 5 of (3) starting at 36.75 on 18th Mar 2021 and ending at 99.23 at on 11th Jan 2021? Neither amount of retracement nor the correcting pattern confirms this to be extended wave 5 !. If so, It can be considered as wave 3 of a different cycle with last up going wave (from 72.5 to ATH) being extended wave 5 of same degree and up going wave from 27.43 to 59.27 being wave 1 of same degree. In even more optimistic wave count this can be wave 1 of a new starting smaller degree up going wave cycle ! Try not to be confused ! All of these means that we may have more optimistic scenario with more up going waves with successive new ATHs one after another.
All in All, I assume that in worst case scenario, cycle degree wave 3 is yet to be completed. There are even more optimistic scenarios. Please let me know if you can make a more pessimistic yet valid wave count. As I previously emphasized , I believe AMD will see unbelievable targets in long term.
Hope this analysis to be helpful.
Bitcoin(BTC): Time To Short / NOW or NeverOn the fourth day, we see another attempt towards that upper resistance zone.
Never the less, we also sense demand in correction, where with every smaller push we are having, it is just not enough for a breakout of such a big resistance.
As you know, we have already opened a position on BTC Short, so the gameplan is still the same. We might see very sweet gains sooner or later. FVGs are waiting to be filled.
Swallow Team
I took profitsI took some profits of my long positions. Looks like SP is getting weaker. I'm still holding many long positions and saving cash to reenter at better prices. I also have puts on PLTR and Roku. I just bought a few puts of SPY expiring tomorrow just for speculation, not risking too much with puts.
SELL OPPORTUNITY ON AUDUSD On AUDUSD Price is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on 1HTF, inside a 4HTF ascending (reversal pattern) this gives an additional confluence.
Waiting for price to test the upper dynamic trendline that serves as my support before going short.
If you found this helpful, please support your fellow trader with a like.
USDJPY Hunting Resitance On Hawkish BoJUSDJPY came sharply to the downside recently on the hawkish BoJ which now saying that normalization can happen, possibly in March of 2024. Also, Ueda said that policy change could involve element of surprise . So we evne shoudl be aware of some volatile price moves in weeks ahead, ideally in favour of the JPY.
From an Elliott wave perspective we see nice turn lower, through the daily trendline support so more weakness can be coming after a corrective rally that is still in play. I see some nice resistance for wave 2/B rally is at 146.60-148.
GH
VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not
As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market
And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction
I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows
My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
Bitcoin Steps Into Temproary Corrective PhaseBitcoin is coming higher this year, moving very sharply through 2023, after a period of a consolidation that has been in play since March till Avgust of this year. We can see a nice and strong rise now, with some sharp extensions above daily base channel resistance lines and 40k area, so we assume that more upside can be seen as recovery is acting like an impulse. As such, be aware of further gains within a five-wave cycle for wave (C)/(III) up to around 48k - 50k area.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see some slow down in last few days after Jamie Dimon comments and ahead of US CPI data. But we think it's just a wave 4 correction, where first support can be already at the EW channel support line and 40k area, but price action may stay slow then within a potential sideways bullish triangle pattern. However, ahead of US CPI and interest rate decision this week, be also aware of a deeper correction to 38k - 34k support zone, if the price breaks out of Elliott wave channel.
EURUSD - Trend-Following Buy Setup ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
EURUSD has been overall bullish making higher highs and higher lows, and it is currently in a correction phase retesting the red trendline.
Moreover, it is approaching a strong demand zone 1.067
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Altcoins are looking to pullback 10-15% soonMore of a caution here. Alt bulls are starting to lose a bit of steam here in overbought territory on the RSI. I can't go through all the charts rn but they are all looking fairly similar, overbought on the daily RSI and looking to test major levels of support on the underside. Do what you will with this information but for me personally (as my followers know), I have taken quite a bit of profit off the table yesterday afternoon and this morning. I have moved my stops up to be in the profit on most of my trades and as I look through my current positions I am considering more action to ensure I exit appropriately if we get this pullback the charts are showing.
Again, I don't expect anything major. As you all know, I have stated that BTC should be going sideways to down (at least according to the technicals) over the next few days to weeks. This will give ALTS a bit of a chance to catch up more. But before this happens, bulls may need to catch their breath.
Best,
Stewdamus
BTC to see SHARP MASSIVE HUGE pullback in next 48 hoursHello everyone! With BTC having a run like it has in such a short amount of time, a logical trader knows that a price correction is massively over due.
Using my technical analysis, I have calculated the price of BTC to drop down, within the next 48 hours. Not long after it will bounce back up but not before it goes back down quite a bit.
This is just my technical analysis, and although I am a pro, I do not offer ANY financial advice.
NFA!
BTC/USDT Analysis and Trading Opportunity.
Scenario : After a strong rally, BTC entered a surge around the $37,000 mark, breaking through this zone and gaining a new momentum. With the monthly chart aiming to form a bullish pivot, the daily and weekly charts are highly stressed, requiring a correction.
S&P 500 : Healthy, attempting to form a bullish pivot on the monthly chart. Strong resistance at 4600 indicates that markets are seeking a correction.
BTCUSDT
Monthly: High, close to the resistance of 42500.
Weekly: High, RSI very stretched (needing correction).
Daily: High, RSI very stretched (needing correction).
Indicators
RSI
RSI Levels
12 and 26 period Moving Averages
Volume
Fibonacci Retracement
Strategy : 1 hour and 4 hours in oversold conditions. Whenever the daily chart enters a strong uptrend, a correction is needed, indicated when the 1-hour chart enters oversold territory (30% RSI). The same rule applies to the weekly chart, with its respective oversold timeframe being the 4 hours.
To confirm this strategy, we can observe that the 5-minute chart in oversold conditions (1-hour correction) and the 15-minute chart (4-hour correction) when entering oversold conditions provided excellent scalping opportunities. Now, the buying force will wait for the 1-hour oversold condition, while the selling force will use the 42500 resistance to take profits.
Using RSI levels, the price range of $40,200 to $38,300 was found, where several buy orders should be defined to obtain the best average price. However, due to the 1-hour chart being highly stressed, the price range found today with RSI levels will not be used, requiring daily updates of the range and order values using the same tool.
The initial stop loss should be set at 37950, slightly below 38000, which is a strong psychological number. As the price range is corrected, the old nearest top will be used as a stop loss.
The first partial should be taken just below 42500 (to ensure our order is executed). I will take a significant profit and raise my stop loss to the entry price. As the weekly chart needs correction, it is expected that the price will fall below 38,000, where we will repeat the analysis and seek oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.